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BTDR Volatile, but uptrend intactNASDAQ:BTDR had a huge bearish engulfing candle Friday. I keep my positions smaller on these assets. Price is still in a wave 3 breakout towards the $25 High Volume Node target. It appears wave (1) of 3 is complete with a wave (2) target of the daily pivot and 0.5 Fibonacci or golden pocket zone nearby. That would also test the untested wave 1 high as support a highly likely event. RSI has reset to the EQ where it often finds support in a strong uptrend. Safe trading
NASDAQ:BTDR
by Maddox_Metrics
BTCUSDT – When the U.S.–China Trade War Fills Bitcoin’s SailsTrade tensions have resurfaced after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese exports. The renewed fear of a trade war has pushed investors toward decentralized assets like gold and Bitcoin as a hedge against uncertainty. While the USD saw a slight uptick, the risk-off sentiment has driven capital into BTC — now viewed as a modern safe-haven asset. On the daily chart, BTC continues to maintain its bullish structure within a broad ascending channel that has been in place since June. After a sharp drop to the $108,000 support zone, strong buying pressure quickly stepped in, forming a long-tailed candle — a clear sign that the bulls are still in control. If the price holds above $110,000, BTC is likely to extend its recovery toward the next major resistance around $128,000 in the coming weeks.
Long
by Octaviuss
COIN Still following the plan.... nothing changedNASDAQ:COIN was expected to test the High Volume Node and channel upper boundary after its breakout as support. That happened Friday and touched it precisely during the market chaos we expect to reverse back to trend this week. Wave V is underway, wave IV completed at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node - a high probability area for a bottom. RSI tapped overbought but no bearish divergence. The gap has been filled and could market a reversal point lower on the macro and we should watch carefully but the trend is up for now. Safe trading
NASDAQ:COIN
by Maddox_Metrics
BTC Game Plan - DTB ModelBTC Game Plan – DTB Model 📊 Market Sentiment After the sharp 10/10 crash triggered by Trump’s announcement of up to 100% tariffs on Chinese imports, risk assets — especially altcoins — faced massive liquidation, with some dropping over 80%. As of 12/10, headlines indicate that Trump may reach out to President Xi, with Vice President Vance clarifying the statement. The market reacted bullishly, showing a strong rebound. However, sentiment remains neutral, as volatility persists and geopolitical uncertainty continues to influence short-term direction. 📈 Technical Analysis BTC retraced into the HTF Demand Zone, running the daily swing liquidity inside it. Additionally, price retested the bearish trendline, confirming it as a key technical pivot. Currently, BTC is attempting to recover toward the equilibrium (0.5 Fibonacci) of the recent decline. 📘 Model to be used – Demand to Trendline Break (DTB Model) 1-Identify HTF trend and valid demand zones. 2-Wait for liquidity sweep inside demand for energy confirmation. 3-Watch for price recovery toward equilibrium (0.5 fib). 4-Confirm with a strong close above bearish trendline and equilibrium for entry signal. 📌 Game Plan I’ll be waiting for BTC to break and close above the 0.5 Fibonacci (equilibrium) and the orange bearish trendline. That will be the first confirmation that the bearish phase may end, and momentum may shift to the upside. 🎯 Setup Trigger Daily strong close above the orange bearish trendline and 0.5 Fibonacci equilibrium level. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: Below $107,500 (protecting capital is more important than chasing profits) Target: $126,300 (near previous all-time highs) 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Crypto Total Market Cap AnalysisHi Team! The crypto market continues to show impressive strength, maintaining its position inside the long-term ascending channel. Despite the recent correction, the overall structure remains bullish as long as the lower boundary of this channel holds. After facing resistance near the upper line of the channel, the total market cap experienced a healthy pullback, which brought it close to the mid-zone of the structure. Buyers stepped in strongly from that area, suggesting that market participants still see dips as opportunities rather than warning signs. The key support zone lies between 3.1T and 2.84T USD, a region that has acted as both a breakout base and a demand area in the past. As long as this zone remains intact, the broader bullish momentum is likely to continue, keeping the medium- to long-term outlook positive. If price action stays within the rising channel and the 2.84T support area holds, the total crypto market cap could soon retest the upper trendline, potentially pushing toward new highs. However, a confirmed breakdown below 2.84T would signal a shift in structure, opening the door to a deeper correction phase.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by melikatrader94
14
$BTC Double Top - Business Cycle & Global Liquidity Analysis TWIN PEAKS 🎄🌲 How the Business Cycle Supercharges Liquidity (and Crushes Cycles Many of you may remember my BTC cycle thesis I wrote ~1.5 years ago. It was based solely on technical analysis covering previous cycles and did not take into account macro conditions such as global liquidity and the business cycle. While that has been a guiding light to get me to this point, after further macro analysis, my views have changed a bit. Based on my technical analysis, a price target north of $200k remains for CRYPTOCAP:BTC , but I now believe we will see some sort of a DOUBLE TOP like we did in 2021; this time in mid-December 2025 and late-March / early April 2026. The December 2025 top will fulfill the “4-Year Cycle prophecy” which has been fueled by the current boom in global liquidity. Whereas the March / April 2026 top will come from a booming business cycle (measured by the ISM PMI); something we have yet to see. As you can see in the 2017 and 2021 cycles, the business cycle cues Alt Season. I don’t think we see a real one without it. That’s where people spend the money they made through safer assets such as Gold > Stonks > ₿itcoin etc. We saw Altcoins, NFTs, Sports Cards, Sneakers, Watches, Collectibles etc go parabolic during this time in 2021. And it just so happened that the market for a lot of these high-risk assets topped around that time. Here's a link to a Michael Jordan rookie card in PSA 9 condition that peaked around February 2021 right before the business cycle topped. www.psacard.com I think Altcoins went on for a bit longer after the business cycle topped because they were native on-chain and had less friction to transact (crime season anyone?). NFTs saw sustained speculation because of the novelty and innovation they were bringing to the space. NFTs should act more like traditional risk assets this time around, and top slightly after the business cycle. THE FURTHER WE ARE IN THE BUSINESS CYCLE, THE FASTER LIQUIDITY REACHES RISK ASSETS. Think about it… everyone and their mother are making a ton of money from a booming business cycle ie hairdressers, uber drivers, personal trainers etc and dumb money finds high-risk assets near instantly. We see this with an uptick in google searches, youtube views etc. This is why global liquidity with a 10-12 week lead overshoots cycle tops in the past. An immense amount of Global QE in 2021 created an outlier for a continued pump in liquidity, even after the business cycle topped. Then in the bear market, liquidity deviates from risk assets again as money moves back to safe havens first such as GOLD, which is a near 1:1 injection, and we see ₿itcoin lag by 10-12 weeks. We should continue to see large caps do well for the remainder of the year as money slowly rotates out of BTC into ETH, SOL, BNB etc, but small caps don’t start to outperform until the business cycle starts convincingly rising well above 50. Alternative investments such as sports cards are starting to see a similar rotation. Michael Jordan is the ₿itcoin of sports cards, and many of his cards are well above 2021 all-time highs. Other high-end cards from GOATs such as Tom Brady, Mickey Mantle, Wayne Gretzky etc continue to shatter prior records. NFTs are also starting to see a resurgence with high-end collections such as Crypto Punks, X-Copy etc. I’m not completely sure if the first or second top will be higher for CRYPTOCAP:BTC yet, but I’m leaning towards the first one in December. The aforementioned riskier assets should get the lion’s share of business cycle capital in March / April. At this nexus we will see the Treasury General Account refill suck liquidity out of markets due to tax season. TGA refills have marked previous tops in 2017 and 2021, so I see no reason for this time to be different. Yes, this will be a much shorter business cycle, which is caused by a historic amount of money printing during the pandemic. The outcome left the US economy in a high-inflation / high-interest rate environment. The business cycle represents Main Street, and it is clear that the aftermath of the pandemic has crushed middle and lower income households. ~FIN~ JK POST REFERENCES: -The 4-Year Boom and Bust Cycle is by design -Synchronized Bear Market Bottoms -If you want to dive deeper into the current macro landscape, you should definitely read the playbook I wrote ~10 months ago. It’s been playing out near-perfectly.
CRYPTOCAP:BTCLong
by jonnieking
4
BTC – Bulls Still in Control, As Long As the Intersection Holds!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is retesting a major confluence zone, the intersection of the rising red trendline and the previous ATH structure around $110K–$112K. This zone has acted as a strong pivot multiple times, and as long as it holds, the overall bullish trend remains intact. Bullish scenario: Look for trend-following longs near the current intersection, targeting the upper red trendline around $125K. Bearish invalidation: A daily close below $107K would break the confluence and signal a potential shift in momentum. 📈 The structure is still clean, a healthy correction within an ongoing bullish cycle. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
10
Bitcoin Facing Channel Resistance: Another Drop Ahead?Hello guys! BTC is currently moving within a descending channel, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. The price continues to respect this channel, and until a clear breakout occurs, the downward bias remains intact. Key Observations: Two bearish engulfing (Engulfed 1 & Engulfed 2) have marked strong rejections from the upper boundary, reinforcing seller dominance at higher levels. After the second engulfing, the price rebounded slightly, forming a minor pullback within the channel. The upper boundary around $122,200–$122,500 is acting as dynamic resistance, aligning with the trendline. Short-Term Expectation: BTC could potentially push once more toward the upper boundary of the channel (around $122,200), where sellers may re-enter. If the resistance holds, a continuation toward the $118,200–$118,300 support zone is expected, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel and previous reaction levels. Levels to Watch: Resistance: $122,200 – $122,500 Support: $118,200 – $118,300 Breakout confirmation: A clean close above $122,500 could invalidate the bearish setup and open the way for a short-term bullish correction. Bias: Bearish below $122,500
Short
by melikatrader94
30
BITCOIN SIGNAL: NEXT TARGET REVEALED!! (scary) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
3
BTC - Distribution after ATH sweepMarket Context Bitcoin has completed a clear liquidity sweep at the all-time high (ATH) and is now transitioning into a corrective phase. After taking all the liquidity above the prior high, price aggressively rejected and shifted structure to the downside, signaling that smart money may now be engineering a retracement. The move lower has found a temporary pause within a lower accumulation zone where liquidity is rebuilding. Fair Value Gaps & Manipulation Following the ATH sweep, price manipulated back into a fair value gap (FVG) chain, where it met resistance. This area acted as a precise reaction point, rejecting further bullish attempts and confirming the FVG as an active supply zone. Each touch into this chain has resulted in lower highs, supporting the idea that distribution is underway. The fair value gaps below are likely to be targeted next as price seeks efficiency. Liquidity Dynamics Liquidity above has already been collected — the current draw now lies beneath. The accumulation zone below current price holds resting sell-side liquidity, and the market could aim to fill those inefficiencies before finding new demand. A retracement into these lower levels would act as a healthy correction to the prior bullish impulse, maintaining structural balance. Final Thoughts The market has shifted from an aggressive expansion phase to a potential distribution stage. With liquidity taken at the highs and FVGs now providing resistance, the bias leans toward a corrective move lower before any renewed bullish continuation. A break below the local accumulation floor would confirm deeper targets. If this breakdown helped clarify the current BTC structure, a like is always appreciated — and let me know: are you positioning for the correction, or waiting for the next bullish leg to form?
Short
by Louigi_24
79
$BTC Preparing for a new run.Bitcoin continues to progress steadily within its long-term rising channel. The price is currently consolidating at the lower band of the channel, gathering strength for the next strong upward wave. On the downside, momentum has been held by the major descending trend resistance that has persisted for months. A break above this resistance line would signal a strong shift in momentum, as seen in the past. The technical structure is creating simultaneous bullish potential on both the price and momentum sides, signaling that the bull run will be more intense in the coming period. The rising channel is being maintained. Momentum is poised to break out.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by EtherNasyonaL
1
Bitcoin (BTC), End of Cycle Season Based on Cycle DurationBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin appears to have already formed its peak within the current bullish cycle and may now be preparing for a correction. Alternatively, if BTC makes another attempt to reach a new all-time high within October, that period could mark the final peak of this cycle. Looking at historical data, Bitcoin has shown a repeating pattern — an uptrend lasting approximately 3 years and 11 months (1,065 days) from the bottom, followed by a downtrend of about 1 year (365 days) from the peak. During down cycles, the cycle low has typically formed between the EMA 50 and EMA 100. Backtesting monthly charts shows that Bitcoin often breaks below the EMA 50, finds support above the EMA 100, and then breaks through the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling the start of a new bullish cycle. Become an early follower and be part of the journey.🚀 I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
Short
by Now_Trading