BTC Bitcoin Technical Rebound Despite Whale Short Position !If you haven`t sold this recent top on BTC:
Now Bitcoin (BTC) has recently pulled back, but signs are emerging that a technical rebound could be imminent.
A large crypto investor, or whale, has reportedly opened a 40x leveraged short position for over 4,442 BTC (valued at over $368 million), effectively betting on a near-term price drop. However, this appears to be more of a short-term, low-volume trade rather than a sustained bearish position.
Given the high leverage involved, the whale will likely seek to close the position soon with a modest profit rather than holding it as a long-term directional bet. Weekend trading volumes tend to be lower, which could contribute to short-term price weakness — but once the position is closed, buying pressure could return, fueling a recovery.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently near key support levels, with momentum indicators like the RSI signaling oversold conditions. Historically, similar setups have led to sharp rebounds as short covering and renewed bullish sentiment drive prices higher.
My price target for Bitcoin is $97,500 by the end of the year, which would represent a recovery of approximately 15-20% from current levels. If the whale closes the short position and broader market sentiment stabilizes, Bitcoin could quickly regain upward momentum toward this target.
Btc-bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Potential Bullish BreakoutCurrent Market Overview:
Price: $83,295
24h Change: -1.24% (-$1,043.43)
Exchange: Binance (2-Day Timeframe)
Technical Breakdown:
Support Levels:
38.2% Fibonacci Retracement: ~$77,262 – This level has acted as a significant support area.
Trendline Support: Bitcoin is currently bouncing off a key ascending trendline that has been respected since mid-2023.
Major Fibonacci Support: Lower retracement levels at $67,346 (50%), $57,430 (61.8%), and $50,539 (70%) indicate potential deeper corrections if the trendline breaks.
Resistance Levels:
Key Resistance at $106,183 - $109,588: A breakout above this zone could trigger a rally toward new all-time highs.
Psychological Level at $100,000: A critical milestone for BTC that could act as temporary resistance.
Bullish Scenario:
If Bitcoin maintains support above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and trendline, a potential breakout above $109,588 could push prices toward $130,000.
The upward projection aligns with historical price action and Fibonacci extensions.
Bearish Scenario:
A break below $77,262 could lead to further downside, with possible retracements to $67,346 (50%) or lower levels like $50,539 (70%).
The long-term trendline breakdown would be a major bearish signal.
Conclusion & Strategy:
Short-Term: Look for confirmation of support at $77,262 before entering long positions.
Mid-Term: If BTC breaks $109,588 with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward $130,000 is likely.
Risk Management: A drop below $77,000 could invalidate the bullish setup, prompting caution.
🚀 Bullish Outlook Above $109,588 | ⚠️ Caution Below $77,000
BCH: Current SituationYou asked, and we delivered.
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is trading at $331, a pivotal level that’s acting as a battleground between buyers and sellers. This price sits near a critical support zone, and recent price action shows BCH struggling to push higher amid broader crypto market weakness. The total crypto market cap has dropped by 4.4% in the last 24 hours, putting pressure on altcoins like BCH and fostering a cautious sentiment. Social media buzz, especially on platforms like X, has flagged $330 as a make-or-break level, holding here could spark optimism, while a breakdown might fuel bearish momentum. That said, take these posts with a grain of salt; they’re often speculative and lack the full technical or fundamental picture.
Technical Breakdown: What the Charts Are Saying
Short-Term (1-Hour and Daily Charts)
Support Levels:
Immediate: $330 – A close below this could signal trouble.
Next: $315.58 – A deeper drop might test this level if selling picks up.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate: $339 – A hurdle to watch for any upside push.
Next: $350 – A tougher ceiling that’s rejected recent rallies.
Indicators:
MACD: Bearish crossover, suggesting short-term weakness.
RSI: At 46.40, it’s neutral but leaning bearish, room to fall or bounce.
Moving Averages: Price is below the 20-period MA on the 1-hour chart, a sign of near-term softness.
Pattern: A falling wedge is forming, a setup that could hint at a bullish reversal if BCH breaks above the upper trendline with solid volume.
Long-Term (Weekly and Monthly Charts)
Support Levels:
Key: $300 – A major floor to hold for bulls.
Next: $263 – A deeper correction could target this if $300 fails.
Resistance Levels:
Key: $536 – A 50% Fibonacci retracement level and a big hurdle.
Next: $800 – A long-term target if momentum flips bullish.
Indicators:
200-Day MA: Trending down, reflecting prolonged bearish pressure.
RSI/MACD: Neutral on weekly, with no extreme signals yet.
Pattern: A double-bottom around $300 is worth watching, confirmation could spark a reversal, while a drop below $263 would sour the outlook.
Potential Scenarios: What Could Happen Next?
Short-Term Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If BCH holds $330 and punches through $339 with strong volume, it could climb to $350. A break above $350 might target $380, especially if MACD flips bullish. Look for a volume surge to confirm this move.
Bearish Case:
A close below $330 could trigger a slide to $315.58, or even $300 if selling accelerates. High volume on the drop would lock in bearish control, watch this closely.
Long-Term Scenarios
Bullish Case:
Holding $300 and breaking $536 could kick off a new uptrend, with $800 or higher in sight by 2026. This depends on a crypto market rebound and growing BCH adoption for payments.
Bearish Case:
A sustained fall below $300 might drag BCH to $263 or lower, especially if altcoins stay weak. This would kill the double-bottom setup and point to a longer downtrend.
Broader Context: What’s Driving BCH?
Market Sentiment: BCH’s identity as a scalable, low-fee payment option (thanks to bigger block sizes) keeps it in the game, but it faces stiff competition from other coins and regulatory uncertainty. Adoption is key, more real-world use could lift its value.
Tech Developments: Network upgrades enhancing scalability could boost BCH’s appeal. Watch for news on this front.
External Factors: Crypto prices often dance to macro tunes, think regulatory shifts, US economic data (like inflation), or Bitcoin’s moves. These could sway BCH in either direction.
Practical Tips for Traders and Investors
Risk Management: Crypto’s wild, set tight stop-losses and don’t over-leverage. A stop below $330 for shorts or $315 for longs could save your bacon.
Volume is King: Breakouts or breakdowns without volume are suspect. Wait for confirmation.
Stay Flexible: Markets shift fast, keep an eye on news and adjust your plan as needed.
BTC TRIANGLE CHART PATTERN IN 15-MHello Guys Here Is Chart Of BTCUSDT in 15-M AT
Entry Level: SELL Around 84500
Resistance: The upper trendline of the Triangle 84800
Support: Around below our Target 82000
Target Will Be : 82600
If BTC breaks below this level, the Triangle pattern and,And then it went to more further downside could.
BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)
Let's take a look at local movements on INDEX:BTCUSD .
Since last post Bitcoin moved in our favor, reached 38,500$.
We have a strong bounce here, which is heading towards upper 40s as long as daily close was above big red candle.
There is a probability, that Bitcoin is going to draw lower high which can be anywhere from 38.2 to 61.8 (Golden Pocket) Fib. In confluence we have several magnets at this range.
Possible stop losses around 43,500$
Fair Value Gap around 44,500$. Possible liquidations Across top 3 exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit) totaling around 4.0 Bln. USD. (This number covers last 30 Days Data)
Hence we should take into consideration, that huge amount of liquidity is sitting down in the previous reaccumulation zone. (Suggesting to check out Liquidity Heatmap . Putting link because I am not able to add screenshot.)
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Next I want to mention one weird thread I bumped into on Twitter.
It’s about HTX (ex Huobi), which is owned by Justin Sun. They turned off their proof-of-reserves system, what hints about their insolvency. Onchain analysis say that they have problems with ETH holdings.
Also this is not connected to only HTX, things are being wrong with TUSD and stUSDT (Stacked USDT receipt on TRON Network).
For further details about this event please read thread from adamscochran on twitter . Hence there was around 600 Mln. USDT transfer to JustlandDao yesterday.
In the end, I want to mention, that there is no 100% accurate analysis.
We are dealing with probabilities, just with analysis we are shifting probabilities to our favor.
Best Wishes.
Bullish Quasimodo in Play – Bitcoin’s Next Target: $84,500?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) again as I expected yesterday . Has Bitcoin given up or is it gathering momentum to attack the resistance zone again? What do you think?
Bitcoin is moving near Yearly Pivot Point and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($80,537_$78,390) .
From Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing an Expanding Flat(ABC/5-3-5) corrective wave .
According to the Price Action , Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Quasimodo Pattern .
Educational Note : The Bullish Quasimodo Pattern is a reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after a downtrend. It forms when the price creates a lower low followed by a higher high and a higher low, confirming a shift in market structure.
I expect Bitcoin will NOT leave the CME Gap($86,400_$84,650) unfilled and will rise to at least $84,500 .
What do you think, will Bitcoin leave this CME Gap($86,400_$84,650)?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $78,800, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin’s Wild Ride: Up or Down, I’m Watching!Hey there, trading family—just chilling and watching Bitcoin like it’s my buddy on a rollercoaster. It’s hanging out near that FWB:83K spot, and I’m like, “Dude, if you bust through, I can see you tearing up to $120K-$130K—time for a high-five and a snack!” But if you start slipping with those lower lows, no biggie. You might drop to $79,600, then maybe $78,700, $77,000, or even $73,500. I’m just kicking back, enjoying the show—up or down, it’s all good vibes! If you liked this, comment below, boost, or follow—let’s keep the trading love going!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Bitcoin in a falling wedge / bull pennant It’s hard to say where it will. Break up from ths pennant, I put the dotted measured line in an arbitrary spot which will almost certainly have to be readjusted and most likely further down than where I placed it but if it were to somehow break up from the wedge by then and confirm that breakout the target would be in the 145k zone. *not financial advice*
BTCUSD - If it is a Similar Situation to 2017If we are experiencing a similar run to 2017 we would be 847days into the bull run
I have shown the bars pattern for where price could go with the rest of the time left, which shows a 3500% gain this bull market. This is compared to the 2017 run which was a 9000% gain to the top.
We have some bull time left is the take away if the runs are comparable.
Weekly chart.
VANRYUSDT Approaching a Breakout from Falling Wedge VANRYUSDT is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that traders are closely watching. This pattern often signals a potential breakout, and with strong volume backing the movement, the chances of a significant price surge are increasing. As the price consolidates within the wedge, buyers are gradually stepping in, indicating growing investor confidence in this project.
The market sentiment around VANRYUSDT remains positive, with investors showing increased interest in its potential. A breakout from this pattern could trigger an explosive rally, with expected gains ranging between 250% to 300%. If the price successfully breaches the resistance, it could initiate a strong uptrend, attracting even more market participants and pushing VANRYUSDT toward higher levels.
With strong volume supporting the price action, traders should keep a close watch on the key resistance level. A confirmed breakout with sustained buying pressure could validate the bullish outlook. As the crypto market remains volatile, proper risk management and technical confirmation are essential before entering a position in this promising setup.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is your opinion about this Coin?)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Bitcoin Tests Resistance: Will the CME Gap Get Filled?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued its downward trend as I expected in the previous post , but over the past 12 hours , Bitcoin has started to increase from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . The question is whether this upward trend will continue in the past few hours or not !?
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JOLTS Job Openings & Its Potential Impact on Bitcoin
The JOLTS Job Openings report will be released today, March 11 . It provides key insights into the U.S. labor market . This data can influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance , impacting risk assets like Bitcoin.
Potential Impact on Bitcoin :
Higher-than-expected job openings : Signals labor market strength, increasing the likelihood of Fed tightening → Bearish for Bitcoin
Lower-than-expected job openings : Suggests labor market weakness, increasing the odds of rate cuts → Bullish for Bitcoin
Historical Influence :
In previous months, JOLTS data has triggered volatility across financial markets, including crypto. For instance, a sharp decline in job openings last year led to a weaker dollar and Bitcoin rally. Conversely, stronger-than-expected job numbers have reinforced hawkish Fed expectations, pressuring Bitcoin.
I believe there's a higher probability that the JOLTS report will come in weaker than expected, which could lead to a short-term rally in Bitcoin and gold. However, if the report is stronger than anticipated, we might see temporary selling pressure in the market. What is your idea!?
Today's positive news was " Trump Plans Order to End Crypto Banking Restrictions ". In general, Trump's statements no longer affect the crypto market as much as before. Do you agree with me?
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Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour timeframe and use technical analysis tools .
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and near the 200_SMA(Daily) .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed five down waves , and we should wait for the next up waves . One of the signs of the end of wave 5 is the presence of a Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys .
According to the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) after a downward correction and attempt to fill the CME Gap($86,400_$84,200) .
Note: If Bitcoin can move above $87,200, we can expect the start of an uptrend.
Note: We should expect a bigger drop if Bitcoin falls below $72,000.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin CME Gap at $77,930 Filled! Now, can $BTC push to $150K?Bitcoin CME Gap at $77,930 Filled! Now, can CRYPTOCAP:BTC push to $150K? 🚀
🔹 Support Level: $75,000 – If it holds, #BTC may target $100K+
🔻 If support breaks, my spot bids: $72K | $69K | $66K (Already filled at $77K ✅)
This drop was a liquidity flush to shake out high leverage traders. Stay prepared!
📢 Where’s your next buy order? Share below! 👇
#Bitcoin
2 Options, Keeping it simpleBTC is currently within its long-term ascending channel but has shown strong rejection at the upper boundary (~$100K).
A pullback toward the mid-channel support (~$70K-$75K) seems likely, aligning with historical retracement patterns.
Indicators Show Weakness:
RSI Divergence suggests a slowdown in momentum.
MACD hints at a potential bearish crossover.
📉 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $95K - $100K (Upper trendline)
Support: $75K (Mid-channel), $60K (Lower trendline)
📈 Scenario 1: BTC consolidates and regains strength for a new ATH attempt.
📉 Scenario 2: A deeper correction to the lower trendline before continuation.
Needs to really break $95k first.
Can Bitcoin reverse its trend?BTC is at horizontal support that can pivot the short-term trend. However, without market structure pivoting and breaking the short-term trend the trend is likely our friend. A confirmed higher low and higher high would build a strong bullish thesis.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
Bitcoin can fall to buyer zone and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A while ago, the price entered a downward channel, where it immediately rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone. After that, BTC bounced back up, rising to the resistance line of the channel before falling to the support line. However, it quickly climbed back to the seller zone before continuing its decline within the downward channel. Later, the price reached the 99000 resistance level, reversed, and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Eventually, it broke through this level, exiting the downward channel. After that, Bitcoin started trading within a triangle pattern, where it made a sharp upward impulse from the support line to the resistance line, followed by a correction to the 84400 support level. Recently, BTC rebounded from this level and attempted to grow but failed, and now it is trading near the support line of the triangle. In my view, Bitcoin could decline to the buyer zone, breaking out of the triangle pattern before beginning a new upward movement. Based on this, my target is set at 93000. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Forecast by NEoWaveIn the previous analysis, I said that we seem to be in wave-(e) of D. We considered wave-D as a diametric, which seems to have ended with the drop in Bitcoin price and we should consider the diametric to be over and change the labeling a little. Currently, considering what happened, we have two scenarios:
Scenario 1
In this scenario, if the Bitcoin price is maintained above $70,000, there is a possibility of a double combination pattern, the second pattern will probably be a Diametric or Neutral Triangle or a Reverse Contracting Triangle, and wave-D (higher degree wave) will continue. In this case, the price could touch $150,000.
Scenario 2
In this scenario, if the price goes below the key level of $70,000, we should consider wave-D to be over and the price could decline to the range of $49,000-43.00 and wave-E will be completed.