BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)
Let's take a look at local movements on INDEX:BTCUSD .
Since last post Bitcoin moved in our favor, reached 38,500$.
We have a strong bounce here, which is heading towards upper 40s as long as daily close was above big red candle.
There is a probability, that Bitcoin is going to draw lower high which can be anywhere from 38.2 to 61.8 (Golden Pocket) Fib. In confluence we have several magnets at this range.
Possible stop losses around 43,500$
Fair Value Gap around 44,500$. Possible liquidations Across top 3 exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit) totaling around 4.0 Bln. USD. (This number covers last 30 Days Data)
Hence we should take into consideration, that huge amount of liquidity is sitting down in the previous reaccumulation zone. (Suggesting to check out Liquidity Heatmap . Putting link because I am not able to add screenshot.)
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Next I want to mention one weird thread I bumped into on Twitter.
It’s about HTX (ex Huobi), which is owned by Justin Sun. They turned off their proof-of-reserves system, what hints about their insolvency. Onchain analysis say that they have problems with ETH holdings.
Also this is not connected to only HTX, things are being wrong with TUSD and stUSDT (Stacked USDT receipt on TRON Network).
For further details about this event please read thread from adamscochran on twitter . Hence there was around 600 Mln. USDT transfer to JustlandDao yesterday.
In the end, I want to mention, that there is no 100% accurate analysis.
We are dealing with probabilities, just with analysis we are shifting probabilities to our favor.
Best Wishes.
Btc-bitcoin
Bullish Quasimodo in Play – Bitcoin’s Next Target: $84,500?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) again as I expected yesterday . Has Bitcoin given up or is it gathering momentum to attack the resistance zone again? What do you think?
Bitcoin is moving near Yearly Pivot Point and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($80,537_$78,390) .
From Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing an Expanding Flat(ABC/5-3-5) corrective wave .
According to the Price Action , Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Quasimodo Pattern .
Educational Note : The Bullish Quasimodo Pattern is a reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after a downtrend. It forms when the price creates a lower low followed by a higher high and a higher low, confirming a shift in market structure.
I expect Bitcoin will NOT leave the CME Gap($86,400_$84,650) unfilled and will rise to at least $84,500 .
What do you think, will Bitcoin leave this CME Gap($86,400_$84,650)?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $78,800, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin’s Wild Ride: Up or Down, I’m Watching!Hey there, trading family—just chilling and watching Bitcoin like it’s my buddy on a rollercoaster. It’s hanging out near that FWB:83K spot, and I’m like, “Dude, if you bust through, I can see you tearing up to $120K-$130K—time for a high-five and a snack!” But if you start slipping with those lower lows, no biggie. You might drop to $79,600, then maybe $78,700, $77,000, or even $73,500. I’m just kicking back, enjoying the show—up or down, it’s all good vibes! If you liked this, comment below, boost, or follow—let’s keep the trading love going!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Bitcoin in a falling wedge / bull pennant It’s hard to say where it will. Break up from ths pennant, I put the dotted measured line in an arbitrary spot which will almost certainly have to be readjusted and most likely further down than where I placed it but if it were to somehow break up from the wedge by then and confirm that breakout the target would be in the 145k zone. *not financial advice*
BTCUSD - If it is a Similar Situation to 2017If we are experiencing a similar run to 2017 we would be 847days into the bull run
I have shown the bars pattern for where price could go with the rest of the time left, which shows a 3500% gain this bull market. This is compared to the 2017 run which was a 9000% gain to the top.
We have some bull time left is the take away if the runs are comparable.
Weekly chart.
VANRYUSDT Approaching a Breakout from Falling Wedge VANRYUSDT is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that traders are closely watching. This pattern often signals a potential breakout, and with strong volume backing the movement, the chances of a significant price surge are increasing. As the price consolidates within the wedge, buyers are gradually stepping in, indicating growing investor confidence in this project.
The market sentiment around VANRYUSDT remains positive, with investors showing increased interest in its potential. A breakout from this pattern could trigger an explosive rally, with expected gains ranging between 250% to 300%. If the price successfully breaches the resistance, it could initiate a strong uptrend, attracting even more market participants and pushing VANRYUSDT toward higher levels.
With strong volume supporting the price action, traders should keep a close watch on the key resistance level. A confirmed breakout with sustained buying pressure could validate the bullish outlook. As the crypto market remains volatile, proper risk management and technical confirmation are essential before entering a position in this promising setup.
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✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is your opinion about this Coin?)
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Bitcoin Tests Resistance: Will the CME Gap Get Filled?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued its downward trend as I expected in the previous post , but over the past 12 hours , Bitcoin has started to increase from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . The question is whether this upward trend will continue in the past few hours or not !?
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JOLTS Job Openings & Its Potential Impact on Bitcoin
The JOLTS Job Openings report will be released today, March 11 . It provides key insights into the U.S. labor market . This data can influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance , impacting risk assets like Bitcoin.
Potential Impact on Bitcoin :
Higher-than-expected job openings : Signals labor market strength, increasing the likelihood of Fed tightening → Bearish for Bitcoin
Lower-than-expected job openings : Suggests labor market weakness, increasing the odds of rate cuts → Bullish for Bitcoin
Historical Influence :
In previous months, JOLTS data has triggered volatility across financial markets, including crypto. For instance, a sharp decline in job openings last year led to a weaker dollar and Bitcoin rally. Conversely, stronger-than-expected job numbers have reinforced hawkish Fed expectations, pressuring Bitcoin.
I believe there's a higher probability that the JOLTS report will come in weaker than expected, which could lead to a short-term rally in Bitcoin and gold. However, if the report is stronger than anticipated, we might see temporary selling pressure in the market. What is your idea!?
Today's positive news was " Trump Plans Order to End Crypto Banking Restrictions ". In general, Trump's statements no longer affect the crypto market as much as before. Do you agree with me?
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Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour timeframe and use technical analysis tools .
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and near the 200_SMA(Daily) .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed five down waves , and we should wait for the next up waves . One of the signs of the end of wave 5 is the presence of a Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys .
According to the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) after a downward correction and attempt to fill the CME Gap($86,400_$84,200) .
Note: If Bitcoin can move above $87,200, we can expect the start of an uptrend.
Note: We should expect a bigger drop if Bitcoin falls below $72,000.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin CME Gap at $77,930 Filled! Now, can $BTC push to $150K?Bitcoin CME Gap at $77,930 Filled! Now, can CRYPTOCAP:BTC push to $150K? 🚀
🔹 Support Level: $75,000 – If it holds, #BTC may target $100K+
🔻 If support breaks, my spot bids: $72K | $69K | $66K (Already filled at $77K ✅)
This drop was a liquidity flush to shake out high leverage traders. Stay prepared!
📢 Where’s your next buy order? Share below! 👇
#Bitcoin
2 Options, Keeping it simpleBTC is currently within its long-term ascending channel but has shown strong rejection at the upper boundary (~$100K).
A pullback toward the mid-channel support (~$70K-$75K) seems likely, aligning with historical retracement patterns.
Indicators Show Weakness:
RSI Divergence suggests a slowdown in momentum.
MACD hints at a potential bearish crossover.
📉 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $95K - $100K (Upper trendline)
Support: $75K (Mid-channel), $60K (Lower trendline)
📈 Scenario 1: BTC consolidates and regains strength for a new ATH attempt.
📉 Scenario 2: A deeper correction to the lower trendline before continuation.
Needs to really break $95k first.
Can Bitcoin reverse its trend?BTC is at horizontal support that can pivot the short-term trend. However, without market structure pivoting and breaking the short-term trend the trend is likely our friend. A confirmed higher low and higher high would build a strong bullish thesis.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
Bitcoin can fall to buyer zone and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A while ago, the price entered a downward channel, where it immediately rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone. After that, BTC bounced back up, rising to the resistance line of the channel before falling to the support line. However, it quickly climbed back to the seller zone before continuing its decline within the downward channel. Later, the price reached the 99000 resistance level, reversed, and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Eventually, it broke through this level, exiting the downward channel. After that, Bitcoin started trading within a triangle pattern, where it made a sharp upward impulse from the support line to the resistance line, followed by a correction to the 84400 support level. Recently, BTC rebounded from this level and attempted to grow but failed, and now it is trading near the support line of the triangle. In my view, Bitcoin could decline to the buyer zone, breaking out of the triangle pattern before beginning a new upward movement. Based on this, my target is set at 93000. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Forecast by NEoWaveIn the previous analysis, I said that we seem to be in wave-(e) of D. We considered wave-D as a diametric, which seems to have ended with the drop in Bitcoin price and we should consider the diametric to be over and change the labeling a little. Currently, considering what happened, we have two scenarios:
Scenario 1
In this scenario, if the Bitcoin price is maintained above $70,000, there is a possibility of a double combination pattern, the second pattern will probably be a Diametric or Neutral Triangle or a Reverse Contracting Triangle, and wave-D (higher degree wave) will continue. In this case, the price could touch $150,000.
Scenario 2
In this scenario, if the price goes below the key level of $70,000, we should consider wave-D to be over and the price could decline to the range of $49,000-43.00 and wave-E will be completed.
BTC - the path to $72k This trade continues. And started months ago.
BTC is in a deep bear market.
And has more room to run.
$68,600 is now really looking like the 1st stabilization point. There will be rallies in between, but there is a lot of slow grinding pain ahead. Elliot Wave, Murrey Math and Kumar wave being used for the forecasts. Comments always welcomed. Happy Trading.
Bitcoin falls amid disappointment with Trump’s crypto policy
Bitcoin fell as investor hopes for a US strategic reserve plan were let down. Rather than accumulating cryptocurrencies, the US government held only its previously seized assets, triggering a price decline. However, large investors viewed the dip as a buying opportunity. Data reveals that whale and shark wallets acquired 5,000 Bitcoin during the downturn, reflecting confidence in the market despite the drop.
BTCUSD tested the 77,500 support level after failing to reclaim the EMA21. The widening bearish EMAs suggest a potential continuation of the downtrend. A sustained recovery and a close above 80,000 could lead to a retest of the next resistance at 82,500. On the other hand, if BTCUSD fails to hold above 77,500, a further drop toward 75,000 may follow.
Bottom Still Not in, Drop could hit low 70kBTC is falling due to markets and investor fear. The Bottom still hasn't travelled the length of the the FVG on the Weekly Chart that will be attractive to smart money and institutional investors
When looking at the Historical Data it shows that the price had a pullback and found resistance at the Weekly 21 day RMA .
Currently that looks like a point where Resistance once again will be established when combined with the FVG on the Weekly, Price will likely fall below and recover to hold the 21d RMA