BTC 15M Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 47❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 15-Minutes timeframe .
👀 After several days of decline from the zones we previously identified, we are back to analyze Bitcoin for you. On the 15-minute timeframe, Bitcoin is consolidating above the $108,800 support level, with the upper boundary of this consolidation at $109,760. A breakout above this level could signal the beginning of a new structure and trend. A breakdown below support, however, seems less convincing for a short position, as many traders who feel they missed out are now stepping in to buy. Current support zones are acting as both maker and taker buy levels. Bitcoin requires increased volume to confirm either a breakout or breakdown. With the upcoming weekend, however, risks must be carefully managed due to typically lower market activity.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it is currently holding above the 50 level but facing resistance around 59. A breakout above 59 could enable Bitcoin to break consolidation resistance and push higher. On the other hand, a key zone lies near the oversold boundary; if Bitcoin enters this area, selling pressure could intensify and trigger a deeper correction.
🕯 Candle size and volume on the 15-minute chart remain within a range. We must wait for significant volume inflow—either upward or downward—to confirm direction. Bitcoin is shaping a new structure for the upcoming week, so patience is required until a breakout with decisive green or red candles occurs.
🧠 Trading outlook: It is preferable to wait for market structure to mature, with multiple tests of both support and resistance. The candlestick type used for entry is crucial, along with momentum confirmation at key RSI levels. A breakout above $109,766 combined with RSI surpassing 59 could provide a long setup. A breakdown below $108,795 combined with RSI falling below 30 and stronger selling pressure could trigger a short setup. Keep in mind that weekend trading usually comes with lower volume, which may result in indecisive structures—unless an unexpected global event sparks volatility.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Btc-bitcoin
Bitcoin Roadmap: Can BTC Hold the $108K Before Next Big move!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to break the Support zone($110,920-$109,900) and Support lines yesterday with the help of a Bearish Marubozu Candle(the Marubozu candle volume was acceptable).
Bitcoin is still moving in the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) and near the important Support line, Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($108,165-$107,000).
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3. Microwave 4 of the main wave 3 is of the Contracting Triangle type, and the main wave 3 is of the extended type.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising and attack the Resistance lines after completing the main wave 3 from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Support zone($108,200-$107,240), and Important Support line.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $110,624-$109,836
Note: If Bitcoin touches $106,800, we can expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800).
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $111,000, we can expect a renewed rise in Bitcoin.
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One of the indices that helps the Roadmap of Bitcoin and other tokens is the USDT.D%.
USDT.D% currently seems to have managed to break the heavy resistance zone and this is NOT good news for Bitcoin and other tokens, and perhaps a further correction in the crypto market is on the way.
USDT.D%’s roadmap for me is that it is almost in line with today’s analysis of Bitcoin.
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Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis: Critical Support LevelsBitcoin's current price action presents an interesting technical setup that can be analyzed through the lens of the fan principle. This approach reveals multiple key support levels that deserve attention, particularly the crucial 109-110K zone where Bitcoin currently finds itself.
Understanding the Fan Principle
The fan principle is a technical analysis concept that uses multiple trendlines emanating from a common point, creating successive support and resistance levels. In Bitcoin's case, these fan lines have developed over several years and now present a clear hierarchy of critical price levels that the market must respect or break.
The most immediate and important of these levels sits at 109-110K. This zone represents more than just another support level - it serves as the foundation for Bitcoin's current market structure. How Bitcoin reacts at this level will likely determine the near-term direction and set the tone for what could be a significant move in either direction.
The 8-Year Resistance: Two Rejections and Counting
A critical element in Bitcoin's current technical picture is the 8-year resistance trendline, clearly visible as the red line on the chart. This long-term resistance has proven its significance through price action, having already rejected Bitcoin twice upon contact. These two previous rejections demonstrate the strength and importance of this multi-year technical level.
The pattern of rejection followed by renewed approach is a classic technical setup. Each time Bitcoin has touched this 8-year resistance, it has been turned away, creating a well-defined ceiling that has influenced price action over an extended period. However, repeated tests of resistance levels often lead to eventual breaks, as the selling pressure at these levels can become exhausted over time.
Should Bitcoin manage to hold the current 109-110K support zone and mount another attempt at this 8-year resistance, a successful break would represent a major shift in market structure. Given the two previous rejections, a third attempt that results in a clean break could open the door to new all-time highs, as it would finally eliminate this long-standing technical barrier that has capped Bitcoin's upward movement.
Multiple Scenarios at Play
The fan principle suggests several potential outcomes from the current position. If the 109-110K level holds as support, Bitcoin could use this as a springboard for higher prices, potentially testing and breaking the 8-year resistance. The orange and yellow fan lines extending upward provide potential targets in such a scenario, with projections reaching into 2026 and beyond.
Conversely, a failure to hold the 109-110K zone would shift focus to lower fan support levels. The fan structure provides a roadmap for where Bitcoin might find its next significant support should the current level fail to hold.
Market Structure Considerations
The convergence of multiple technical factors at current levels makes this period particularly noteworthy. The fan principle, combined with the 8-year resistance test, creates a situation where Bitcoin faces both significant support below and meaningful resistance above. This compression often leads to decisive moves in one direction or the other.
The long-term nature of these technical levels also suggests that any major move from here could have lasting implications for Bitcoin's price trajectory. Breaks of multi-year technical levels tend to trigger substantial follow-through in the direction of the break.
Looking Ahead
Bitcoin's position relative to these fan-based support levels and the 8-year resistance creates multiple potential paths forward. The key will be monitoring how price action unfolds around these critical levels, as they provide a technical roadmap for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
The fan principle analysis suggests that maintaining the 109-110K level is crucial for any bullish continuation, while a break of this support could lead to a test of lower fan levels. Meanwhile, any eventual break of the 8-year resistance would represent a significant technical development with potentially far-reaching implications for Bitcoin's long-term trajectory.
As with any technical analysis, these levels provide guidance rather than guarantees, and market participants should monitor price action closely as it unfolds around these critical zones.
Treasury General Account MAJOR Impact on $BTC PriceI’ll be the first to admit I failed to closely follow and analyze the impact of the Treasury General Account (TGA).
We all know it’s a liquidity suck on ₿itcoin and cryptocurrencies, which are the most highly sensitive assets to liquidity, but have you ever dove into the data to see just how impactful it is?
I went through all the refills and calculated how much it drew down the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price.
Note how TGA refills also marked cycle tops in 2017 and 2021.
This really is something to closely monitor going forward alongside Total Global Liquidity (TGL).
What I have found is when TGA refills are occurring, they have more impact on the price of BTC than TGL.
We can see this in the current state of market, where TGL is at an ATH and the TGA is currently being refilled.
GOOD NEWS: The TGA refill is just about complete 🏁
Moon on brave soldiers 🌛
BTC - about to go full retardo - $135kI think the title says it all. BTC is about to go into a massive rally. We need to finish out the last little bits of this correction, and go all in. $135k is going to be an easy next target before the next area of Consolidation. That level of consolidation is unlikely to give much back, which will then unleash full retardo mode taking us to near $164,200. Time line is about 6-8 months or so as how it is looking to me today. I will update as we climb. Good Luck. Especially to the traders holding short positions. Ouch.
BTC to $100,000 or lower BTC is pretty much out of options. The thicker lines on my chart represent the most likely path. Here in Red. The thinner line represent the counter move. I post these types of charts when the market is at an inflection point, such is the case now. The simplicity is that we must rally now, and not give up any ground at all or the market tanks to $100,000, and then deteriorates further to $85,300. So in a 24 - 48 hour period we will know the direction of the market for the next 6 months. I am seeing this thing breaking down in all kinds of ways, and I am calling a top here to BTC, with the most likely bottoming / consolidation zone coming near $85,300. Well see.
Bitcoin Tests Support at $110,500: Will the Downtrend Continue?The chart shows that Bitcoin is in a descending channel, with higher price levels being blocked, creating lower highs. Recent price action has formed a "lower high" pattern and is continuing to move downward.
BTC is currently testing support at the $110,500 level, and if broken, Bitcoin could easily drop to the $109,800 region. This is a level that traders need to watch closely, as if it fails to hold, the price may fall even further.
Recent news about significant liquidations from whales and cautious sentiment from Bitcoin ETFs is pushing the market toward a bearish trend. The actions of large investors, along with the fluctuations of other currencies like the USD, and price adjustments from previous resistance levels further reinforce the downtrend.
Wishing you successful trading!
$BTC Bulls Must Step Up Or Next Target 200MA₿itcoin testing the perimeter of the DANGER ZONE ⚠️
Thankfully closed inside of it.
Notice how well PA respects this zone.
Bulls really need to step up here, otherwise the long awaited retest of the 200MA awaits CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $104k.
It has to retest there eventually nonetheless.
Note the RSI is nearly at the level we bottomed on Liberation Day.
BTC – Momentum Returns!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been overall bullish trading within the rising broadening wedge marked in red.
This week, BTC has been retesting the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong structure and previous ATH.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and orange structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin Outlook: From Support Bounce to Short Liquidation TargetBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in my previous idea ( Long and Short positions hit their targets ).
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($114,820-$113,170) , Resistance line, and the Monthly Pivot Point , and seems to have failed to break 100_EMA(Daily) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin completed wave 5 as I expected by attacking 100_EMA(Daily) and Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) , and we can expect more bullish waves .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance line in the coming hours and attack the Resistance zone ($114,820-$113,170) and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage ($114,334-$113,400) .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $110,950-$110,350
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $115,000, we should expect Bitcoin to rise again.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN SIGNAL: IS IT ABOUT TO GET WORSE??!! (scary) Yello Paradisers!
Together, we go through multiple timeframes. We are going through an ultra-long timeframe, breaking of the channel. How proper reclaims look, what the preceded price action is that is going to happen next and what preceded before that, and what the cycles are. We are taking a look at the bearish divergence, a shooting star which increased the truncation probability on lower timeframes.And that we are in the first motive mode wave of a higher-degree impulse.
On a high time frame chart, we are going through the secondary wave, the bearish divergence, resistances, and with the highest probability, the secondary wave is not yet finished. We are looking for confirmations from a high time frame perspective.
On a medium timeframe, we are deeply calculating the sub-waves. I'm sharing with you the fourth wave that, with the highest probability, is finishing, and we are about to have a fifth corrective mode wave because we are in an ending diagonal.
On a low timeframe chart, I'm sharing with you the expanding triangle and the upcoming price action with the highest probability.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN SIGNAL: ANOTHER PERFECT PREDICTION (warning) Yello Paradisers! As always, as professional traders in this video, once again, we will go through multi-timeframe analysis. We are using Elliot Wave, indicators, advanced technical tools, and price action reading. Enjoy it. I love you.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
The BTC cycle that started at 84K is projected end at 114K This is a cycle update for BTC/USDT. Based on the cycle data, the cycle that started at 84K has ended at 114K. This indicates that we are now entering a new major trend breakdown in the cycle. It can take time, but when there is a new uptrend cycle, we will add.
This time frame and action made the end of the cycle that started from 84K
This could mean that btc can enter below 110K in the coming time. We have seen more times in the history of BTC that by the cycle end, the trend breaks down in steps.
BTC Bearish Structure, $109,350 Next? Bitcoin
Bearish Outlook
Structure: Trendline, Key Level and Bearish Flag
BTC’s recent price action shows strong selling pressure, with a clear bearish breakout below the hourly trendline and the key level at $114,500. Currently, price is consolidating within minor support and resistance levels. A further break below the minor support could trigger continued downside momentum, targeting the next support at $109,350.
Bearish Setup in Bitcoin – Correction Before Deeper Drop?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to decline and broke the ascending channel and Support zone($114,820-$113,170) with the help of the Bearish Flag Pattern , as I expected in the previous idea update .
Do you think Bitcoin can go below $105,000 !?
Bitcoin is once again approaching 100_EMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) in the ascending channel, and now it seems that we should expect bearish waves .
I expect Bitcoin to FAIL to break the 100_EMA(Daily) with one attack and have an upward correction to Fibonacci levels and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($114,098-$113,229) , and then re-attack the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) and 100_EMA(Daily) .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $111,850-$110,421
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $115,000, we should expect Bitcoin to rise again.
Note: There is also a possibility that the SPX500 index( SP:SPX ) will also correct and, given Bitcoin's correlation with this index, cause Bitcoin to correct further.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN The hidden pivot of the Bollinger Bands (140k or 100k?).Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is testing again the basis (black trend-line) of the 1W Bollinger Bands (BB), just 3 weeks after it held and initiated a rebound.
On this chart you can see that since July 2023, every time BTC closed a 1W candle below the BB basis level, the price pulled-back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and then rebounded. That is its ultimate long-term Support so far.
As a result, all eyes should be on this week's closing. Below the BB basis, we should most likely seek the 1W MA50 a little above the $100000 mark. Ideally, it should coincide with a 1W RSI Support Zone test (holding since September 2023).
If the BB basis holds though, we should extend the BB top within the $130-140k Zone.
What do you think will come first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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CLSK Moving Fast!Local Analysis / Targets / Elliot Wave
CLSK sentiment was awful as I explained a few weeks ago, it appeared to be in a macro triangle similar to XRP before the x10 breakout. That breakout is now underway with a huge move last week characteristic of wave 3 and reinforcing my analysis. Minimum wave 3 targets are well above $20 and price should move quickly once it over comes the triangle resistance it is now approaching at $15.
Price was front run above High Volume Node support and the golden pocket leaving limit orders behind forcing them to buy higher if they want to participate pushing the price up further.
Daily RSI is overbought but so was NASDAQ:IREN and that continued upwards for weeks, as has $WULF.
Standard Deviation Band Analysis
Standard deviation bands remain negatively sloped but I am expecting that to change and price continues upwards. That said, investors should be weary of a reversal in this area where price spends <5% of the time. Bulls are looking for a sustained move into the zone and a breakout above the SD+3 threshold offering a target of $50.
Safe trading
$BTC Battle of the Bulls and Bears is ON! Pretty wild day in the crypto market.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bears closed below the 100MA, but thankfully right above the .236 Fib and avoided the DANGER ZONE ⚠️
Bulls need a big next couple of days.
Can't hang out here for too long.
RSI is looking healthy after this reset tho.
How you feeling?
Bullish or Bearish?