Bitcoin Roadmap | Short termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been experiencing a lot of volatility over the past 10 days, and the reasons for these movements could be the announcement of US indices + geopolitical issues Those who were in favor of Bitcoin caused Bitcoin to pump .
Bitcoin's movements over the past 10 days have managed to form an Ascending Channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 5 of microwave C of the main wave Y .
I expect Bitcoin to try to complete main wave Y , and if we find signs of a reversal in the Resistance zone($116,900-$115,730) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , we can expect a further decline . Also, it is expected that the CME Gap($117,235-$116,820) will eventually be completed in the main wave Y .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $114,165-$113,989
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $113,370-$112,664
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $117,102-$116,266
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Btc-bitcoin
15/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,672.39
Last weeks low: $110,615.91
Midpoint: $113,644.15
It's FOMC week and finally the time has come for the FED to cut interest rates, but by how much?
Currently the probability of a cut is 100%. The chance of a 25bps cut is ~90%, a 50bps cut ~12%.
Therefore I believe a 25bps cut is priced in and expected by the majority, a 50bps cut would be bullish and no change would be devastating to the markets in the short term.
Last week BTC continues its move up and flipped the important S/R level of $114,000 in preparation for FOMC. Ultimately the bulls should now target a flip of $117,500 to continue the larger bullrun move. Should the bulls fail to do so the rangebound environment looks to continue with the low being $106,000 (1D 200 EMA).
As I have mentioned in previous post September often gives poor returns, so far this year BTC is up 6% from month open, perhaps in anticipation for the rate cut to come? I don't see many setups presenting themselves until after Thursday so just being patient until then.
Good luck this week everybody!
BITCOIN Will it pull back??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just formed a 4H Golden Cross, technically a bullish pattern, which usually emerges at the start of uptrends.
Such a formation emerged on both main Channel Up patterns since the April 07 Trade War bottom. The interesting feature however is that, following every 4H Golden Cross, the price always pulled back to its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
With BTC having started the week on the back foot, the 4H MA200 currently stands at $113600. Ahead of the Fed Rate Decision this week, a 'volatility' pull-back would align the news with this technical need.
Do you think we'll get that pull-back? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Roundtrips are part of speculation. #HEX could go back to 1 SatThis is Hex, on ethereum, in it's entriety.
This is not a prediction.
As in, I Believe this will happen, with massive conviction.
But do I believe, it has a chance, of occurring?
Absolutely!
Richard pre loaded the HEX launch with 25 thousand followers.
And hours of streaming on youtube.
5 thousand got into HEX around the launch.
There are literally thousands of people, who are still MASSIVELY in profit versus #Bitcoin.
This is not a strong base for an altcoin like HEX, to go on a Bull Run.
The long term staking has in my opinion not allowed a proper capitulation / abandonment of the coins.
Imagine #Bitcoin goes on to do a 3X to it's top.
1 satoshi would be $0.00145
Now do you believe?
BTC: What to expect on Monday?BTC: What to expect on Monday?
Sunday is the perfect time to sync up with the market while most people are resting. Historically, Monday sets the tone for the entire week, often bringing increased volatility after the CME futures open. Currently, we can see the price of BTC on the 1-hour chart moving neatly within an ascending channel, gathering strength before the next impulse. This is the calm before the storm.
Fundamentally, everyone is awaiting this week's US Federal Reserve meeting, where there is a high probability of a rate cut. This could weaken the dollar and provide a powerful boost to risk assets, including Bitcoin. Technically, we have run into a key resistance zone of $117,200 - $117,500. It is here that the short-term fate of the trend is being decided. A breakout above this level will open the way up for us.
My plan is simple: I am not entering a position right now, but rather waiting for confirmation. I need a confident breakout and for the price to hold above $117,500. If that happens, my first target will be the $119,000 area.
BTC — Identifying High-Probability Long Zone With ConfluenceBTC has been in a 17-day downtrend since the swing failure at the ATH (~$124.5K). That move acted as both a bull trap and the completion of a 5-wave structure, offering an excellent short entry at the highs.
Now the key question: where is BTC heading next, and where is the next high-probability trade setup?
Current Situation
BTC is sitting at the 0.618 Fib retracement ($108,236) of the move from $98.2K → $124.5K. Many traders are already buying this level, which is valid but a deeper zone below offers stronger confluence.
🧩 Confluence Zone: $105K–$104K
POC of the previous trading range → ~$104K
0.75 Fib retracement: $104,768.5
0.786 Fib retracement: $103,823
Anchored VWAP (from swing low $74,508) → just above the 0.786 Fib
Midpoint of the previous 60-day range
Liquidity cluster → positioned around $105K–$104K
1.618 Fib extension target: $104,296
Pitchfork midline → supporting this level
200 EMA (daily) → adding dynamic support at ~$104K
This creates a high-confluence support cluster between $105K–$104K, making it the next strong long setup.
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $106K–$104K
Stop-Loss: Below $103K
TP: $110K-$114K
R:R Potential: 1:2+
Technical Insight
The ATH rejection confirmed both bullish exhaustion and a completed 5-wave move, triggering the current correction.
While the 0.618 retracement offers valid support, the $105K–$104K zone holds significantly stronger confluence.
This makes it the most attractive high-probability long entry zone in the current structure.
🔍 Indicators used
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the daily 200 EMA/SMA.
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
BTC – the $130K Roadmap!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is showing strong bullish structure both short-term and long-term 📈
After forming a clean inverse head & shoulders at support, price broke higher and is now trading within a rising channel.
🟢 Bullish short-term: As long as BTC holds above the $113,000 – $115,000 structure zone, buyers remain in control.
📊 Bullish long-term: Price continues to respect the major ascending channel, keeping the bigger picture bias to the upside.
🎯 Next target: If momentum continues, BTC could be on track toward the $130,000 resistance.
Patience here is key ⏳ — pullbacks into support could offer fresh continuation entries for the bulls 🐂.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BITCOIN PREDICTION: NEXT MASSIVE MOVE TO HERE - INCOMING!!!!!!!Yello Paradisers! In this video, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis as professional traders using Elliott Wave Theory and other advanced technical indicators and analysis techniques.
On the ultra-high time frame, we have been going through the Elliott Wave price section since 2023. We have taken a look at the Moving Average Trendline Touch, which worked perfectly, the Channel Retest that is incoming, and the Bearish Divergence with Bearish Cross.
On medium and high timeframe charts, I have been sharing with you the completed zigzag and first wave. We are currently in the secondary wave, waiting for it to finish, along with resistances and bullish and bearish divergences.Together with that, there are shooting star patterns, and on a low timeframe, I have been sharing with you the triple top reclaim and the next possible resistances, and what the next resistance and target are from a multiple timeframe perspective.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
PPI Shock Pushes Bitcoin Higher – Fake Pump Before Drop?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been making high momentum Sharpe moves over the last few days , which has made it a little difficult to trade, which is why I am still sticking to my previous analysis , and this analysis is an update of targets and even new entry points .
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($114,720-$113,580) , Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($114,510-$113,771) , Monthly Pivot Point , and Resistance lines = a set of Resistances
A few minutes ago, the US Core PPI m/m and PPI m/m data were released, which triggered a pump in Bitcoin . In my view, we should wait for Bitcoin to digest this shock and then continue its real trend .
Do you agree with me?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed microwave 5 of microwave C of the main wave Y , and we can expect a downtrend .
I expect Bitcoin to drop again to at least $111,600(First Target) .
Second Target: $110,883
Third Target: $110,000 and more dumps.
Stop Loss(SL): $114,923(Worst)
CME Gap: $117,235-$113,800
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $110,822-$109,752
Note: Be sure to follow capital management and do not take risks.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Warming Up- Like always, everything in the graphic to simplifies the information, stay simple is better.
- Bitcoin is known for its extreme price volatility, which can lead to major fluctuations, such as a significant crash in value followed by a rapid doubling of its price in a very short period, for that simple reason i avoid to predict low timeframe moves.
- Now check the hidden bullish divergence, check the level of BBW, the volality could be low, but TheKing could be ready to make parabolic move soon or later.
- I do my best to try to post at the good time for medium long term investment.
- Don't forget that 125,000$ is far to be enough.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTCUSD: Fake Breakout and Drop to Support LineHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price of Bitcoin has transitioned from a downward channel into a large rising wedge pattern. This structure has defined the price action for several weeks, creating a volatile environment with clear boundaries at the support zone near the 109000 level and the resistance zone up to the 113000 area.
Currently, we are at a very interesting and critical point. The price has once again rallied to the top of the Wedge and is testing the major horizontal resistance at the 112500 level. This is the third significant test of this ceiling in recent history.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on a repeating pattern of behavior I've observed at this resistance. On the two previous tests of this 112500 area, the price created a 'fake breakout', briefly pushing above the level only to be aggressively sold off. This repeated failure is a strong clue that sellers are dominant here.
My expectation is that history will repeat itself. I'm looking for the price to make one more 'fake breakout' push into the 112500 - 113000 resistance zone. A swift reversal and a fall back below the 112500 level would be the key signal that sellers have once again taken control. The primary target for this move is 110700, which aligns with the ascending wedge support line.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTC's situation+next targets and expected movementsThe price seems to have completed the corrective wave, and from now on, it's time for a price increase, which will continue up to around $150k .
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC - Are the bulls looking for a liquidity grab?Market Context
Bitcoin is holding strong after bouncing from a higher support zone and is now pressing into an area packed with liquidity. The recent bullish price action has carved out multiple fair value gaps on the way up, each serving as confirmation of demand and strengthening the bullish structure. Above current price lies a major cluster of buy-side liquidity — a magnet for price.
Fair Value Gaps & Confirmations
On the way up, price created several bullish fair value gaps that have each been respected as support. The first, second, and now third retests into these imbalances show that demand continues to step in, absorbing supply and building pressure upward. Adding to that, a bullish inversion fair value gap (IFVG) has formed, giving extra confirmation that buyers are in control.
Liquidity Target Above
The most obvious draw for price is the heavy buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. With so many stops positioned there, the market is incentivized to push higher and sweep that zone. The path toward it could involve another retest into one of the fair value gaps below before expansion takes place, or a direct continuation straight into the liquidity pocket.
Final Thoughts
This structure is showing textbook bullish strength: stacked fair value gaps, IFVG confirmation, and a clear liquidity pool overhead. Unless the market breaks back below the deeper support zone, the expectation remains a run into buy-side liquidity.
If this breakdown sharpened your view, a like is appreciated — and I’d love to hear from you: do you expect a retest first, or do we shoot straight into liquidity?
BTC 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 38😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4-hour timeframe of Bitcoin we can see that Bitcoin was under a descending trendline, and each time it touched this trendline it faced selling pressure. Bitcoin broke this trendline at the end of August, and since the beginning of September until now it has been ranging below the $113,000 resistance, where it has touched this level 3 times and then got rejected downward. Usually, these kinds of zones don’t break easily, and if they do, it is together with major global economic news.
⚙️ The key RSI zone of Bitcoin in the 4-hour timeframe is at 65. A swing scenario is considered for Bitcoin after the news, and if this news comes in favor of the risky market (crypto), it can move above the 65 range and even enter overbought territory.
🕯 The size, volume, and number of green candles have almost increased, while red candles are still accompanied by selling pressure. There is a taker-seller zone above, at the $113,000 resistance, that has kept the price down. With the release of news, a good wave of capital can enter or exit the market.
📊 On the 4-hour timeframe of USDT.D we can see that Tether dominance is in a very important support zone, and losing this support can bring good volume into the market. I think this support break can also happen with today’s PPI news. Tether dominance, like Bitcoin, was above a continuation ascending trendline, but now it has broken the trendline and is ranging below it. This shows us the importance of the news!
📊 On the 4-hour timeframe of BTC.D we can see that Bitcoin dominance is in a support zone, and with a 4-hour candle that looks like multiple profit-taking it got supported and moved upward. Although the move is small, we should pay attention. The resistance zone of Bitcoin dominance is at 58.36%, and the support zone is at 58.06%. Losing these zones can give altcoins very strong moves.
🔔 Bitcoin is now under an important resistance at $113,000. If this zone is broken, it can move upward again. A very strong support zone is also built by maker buyers at $107,627, which is quite far from the current price. For a long position, wait until the taker-seller zone is taken out with a whale candle and then enter on the pullback. Also pay attention that altcoins can give us the most profit during this period when both Bitcoin dominance and Tether dominance are dropping.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
RIOT Continues wave 3.NASDAQ:RIOT is moving well in wave 3 after price completed wave 2 at the triple support -0.5 Fibonacci retracement, High Volume Node (HVN) and daily 20EMA.
Fibonacci extension targets for wave 3 are minimum $45.17, which falls in line with wave 4 retesting the High Volume Node resistance as support at $34.
Daily RSI will put in bearish divergence if we continue higher today so watch out for that. An initial rejection or consolidation at $18 HVN is expected.
Analysis invalidated below $10.5
Safe trading
US100 - New Highs are coming!Market Context
The US100 is trading within a strong bullish structure after bouncing from a well-defined support zone. Price has been respecting key levels on the way up, forming fair value gaps (FVGs) that act as stepping stones for continuation. The overall picture points to a market that is building momentum for a potential liquidity grab higher.
Support Zone & Initial Rally
The chart shows a strong support zone at the lows, which provided the foundation for the current bullish impulse. Once price tapped into this area, buyers stepped in aggressively, leaving behind multiple bullish imbalances on the way up. This confirms that institutional interest is present at these levels.
Fair Value Gaps & Structural Strength
On the rally, price created overlapping FVGs, including a bullish fair value gap and an inversion fair value gap (IFVG). Importantly, candles never closed below the primary FVG — reinforcing its validity as strong demand. This means that even if price retraces, these areas will be closely watched for re-entries.
Liquidity Grab & Next Move
Above current price action lies a clear buy-side liquidity (BSL) level. The market is likely to target this zone, either directly from current levels or after a retest into the stacked FVGs. A liquidity sweep above the highs would be the natural continuation of the bullish structure, unlocking the potential for new short-term highs.
Final Thoughts
The US100 is showing a textbook bullish setup: strong support, healthy retracements, and unmitigated FVGs acting as demand. As long as the lower support holds, the expectation remains for a run into the BSL above.
If this analysis brought value, drop a like — and let me know: are you waiting for the retest, or do you think the market runs the highs straight away?
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 37💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1H timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after breaking the 111,330$ resistance, BTC managed to push higher and is now approaching its next key resistance at 113,000$. This level overlaps with the multi-timeframe range high, making it a critical zone. A clean breakout above this area could drive BTC toward higher price targets.
⚙️ On the RSI, the key zones are around 70 and 50. If momentum pushes past these levels—especially with positive news flow—BTC could enter an overbought phase, fueling further upside.
🕯 Candle structure is showing strength: green candles are getting larger with more volume. At the range high, we’ve seen some red candles forming, reflecting seller absorption. However, each test shows weaker selling pressure compared to the last time BTC hit this level—back then, price dumped sharply within just 2 red candles.
📊 Looking at Tether Dominance (USDT.D) on the 1H, after reacting to 4.45%, it broke lower toward 4.39% and even closed below that level. Right now, it’s retesting 4.39%. If this new support fails, dominance could extend lower toward the next support. A breakdown below 4.37% would be strong confirmation for BTC breaking its range high.
🔔 Trading plan : Bitcoin is currently sitting just below the 113,000$ resistance. Don’t rush into a position here. Ideally, wait for : Another test of this resistance. A confirmed breakout with a pullback/retest of 113,000$. Enter long after the retest for a safer entry.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin Cycles: History Repeating Itself?Bitcoin has always moved in cycles — a strong impulsive rally 📈 (1), followed by a healthy correction 🔻 (2), then a breakout above the previous high 🔓 (3).
Looking at the chart, the current price action is following this same rhythm once again. After the last correction, BTC bounced strongly, retested previous highs, and is now consolidating before its next potential move.
If this pattern continues to repeat, the next leg could take Bitcoin toward the $140,000 target 🎯 — aligning perfectly with the upper bound of the long-term channel.
👉 The past doesn’t guarantee the future, but BTC’s structure suggests the market might just be writing the same story again.
💬 What’s your bias here? Are you bullish or waiting for a deeper pullback?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC - Are You Ready?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in red.
This week, BTC has been retesting the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong strong and previous all-time high.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and previous ATH.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr