BTCD Bear Market Confirmed · Altcoins Bull Market ConfirmedThis is a rising wedge pattern and it broke for the first time after 792 days. We are looking at Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) on the monthly timeframe, super long-term.
A classic long-term double-bottom in 2022 launched a massive uptrend. This uptrend developed within a perfect rising wedge. Last month BTC.D broke this pattern with a full red candle and the highest volume since November 2024.
To add some perspective, the highest volume months were last month (red) and November 2024 (red). The highest volume before these two only happened during the climax of the 2021 bull market, so you can have an idea how strong the volume is this time around.
Since Bitcoin Dominance has an inverse relation with the growth in prices of the Cryptocurrency an Altcoins market, when Bitcoin Dominance was ultra bearish and crashing down, 2021, the Cryptocurrency market was ultra bullish and moving up. Seeing this major long-term signal, the highest bearish volume month to break a 792 days long uptrend, reveals the start of another major crash on this index. The major crash on this index is the confirmation of the late 2025 altcoins bull market.
Bitcoin and the altcoins market will continue growing on all terms.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
If you agree, leave a comment.
Namaste.
BTC-D
BITCOIN Bounced on its 1D MA50. Bull Flag breaking soon?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a beautiful technical rebound on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), testing and holding it on 3 separate 1D candles. This has caused a short-term rebound so far, taking the price to the top of the Channel Down.
As we mentioned on previous analysis, if BTC breaks above that Channel, it will be technically confirmed as a Bull Flag, similar to the May 20 - June 20 pattern. Interestingly enough, that one was confirmed by a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, a formation that the MACD is about to make again. However it is not conclusive as 1 out of the last 3 such sequences was false.
In any case, if the break-out does take place, we are ahead of potentially two targets. Short-term $140000, which would be a +25.45% Bullish Leg, such as the one that led to the current Flag and medium-term $148000, which is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Which Target do you think we'll hit, if any? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$SOLBTC Broke down. Same with $SOLETH. Will it rebound? We peaked in CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart as we predicted here.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC weathering the storm: CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D close to 66%. CRYPTOCAP:BTC to 160K. for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
Since then, Altcoins have shown signs of strength and CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D is bouncing back with BITSTAMP:ETHUSD at 4000 $. Please check my CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D blog here.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D : Cycle tops are in. CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D : Bounce form the all-time lows for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
CRYPTOCAP:SOL being one of the large caps within the Altcoin must participate for the Altcoin summer to happen. But when we plot the BINANCE:SOLBTC and BINANCE:SOLETH then we see a broken chart with a fall from the cliff. On July 6th I wrote theta §SOLBTC looks bearish and we might find it difficult to break out of the range 0.0025 to 0.00125.
BINANCE:SOLBTC : Little strength to show for. for BINANCE:SOLBTC by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
I put the BINANCE:SOLETH on the same chart and I was surprised how perfectly fit between the Fib retracement level. 😊 Now we would like to see where this chart goes and where does it bounce back. We see that the favorite range where BINANCE:SOLETH spends most of the time is between 0.053 to 0.04. Currently the ratio is at 0.044. My estimate is that the ratio will bounce back from the psychological level of 0.04 and then bounce atleast to 0.06 which is the mid-point of the upward slopping channel on $SOLETH.
Verdict: Altcoin summer is on. BINANCE:SOLETH is short term bearish but medium term bullish with 0.06 as target.
BTC Bleeding, Scalpel Please💣 Price just nuked back to our OG S1 zone and buyers are throwing hands at $113k 🥊
This is a quick scalp play while the dust settles
🎯 Entry: 113,159
🛡 Stop: 113,111 (just below S2's base. you can tighten this up, to the base if desired.)
📈 Scalp Target 1: 114,444
🚀 (Swing Trade) Target 2: 116,588
🧠 Setup: Reclaim after wick trap
📐 Structure: Bullish continuation off demand
📍 Zone: Micro-range base + sweep low trap
Scalpel sharp ✂️
Clean. Tight. Ruthless.
⚠️ Heads up — 30m still trending down
So lock those stops and stay nimble 🔪
⚠️If $113k fails, watch for a flush to S2 or even S3.
This bounce is a scalp — not a trend shift (yet) 🚨
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #148👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin’s analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin made an upward move, but now it’s back around the same levels and has essentially faked most of that move. Let’s see what its next move could be.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Two changes have been made to the chart. First, I turned off the Fibonacci tool because the key levels in this corrective phase have already been identified, so there’s no need to use Fibonacci levels right now.
✔️ The second change is that I moved the Maker Buyer zone slightly higher because I think this placement is more accurate and the price has reacted better to it.
✨ With this updated zone, we can see that yesterday the price reached it, got rejected, and is now moving down.
📊 Volume during this correction has been decreasing, which is a positive sign for buyers. However, RSI faked the 61.67 zone, which isn’t great from a momentum perspective, but since the market doesn’t have a clear trend right now, it’s not very important for us.
💥 In my view, as long as the price stays above 115364, this correction is logical and doesn’t harm the bullish leg. But if the correction deepens, the probability of a drop back to 112233 increases.
💫 Confirmation of a bullish move will come after breaking the current zone. For the start of longer-term bullish legs, the 120041 and 122733 triggers are very important.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe yesterday, we could have opened a position using a candle setup, which could have given us a 2:1 risk-to-reward. But if you didn’t take profit, you likely hit the stop-loss by now.
🔔 I personally opened this position on my sub-account, while on my main account, I currently hold long-term Bitcoin positions with wider stops.
📈 At the moment, for opening a new position on Bitcoin, we can enter on a break of 116829. However, I’ll personally wait for the price to test this zone multiple times, form a clear main trigger, and then enter upon its breakout.
🔽 As for shorts, there’s no short trigger as long as Bitcoin is above 115364.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TON Setup – Pullback to Support After 15% SurgeToncoin (TON) has climbed over 15% since our last trade. Price is now pulling back into a key support zone, potentially forming a base for the next upward leg.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $3.20 – $3.30
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $3.60
o 🥈 $4.00
• Stop Loss: $3.08
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 5💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe .
👀 After triggering its long signals, Bitcoin moved upward and hit the seller zone at 117,500, then reversed from that level.
🎮 A Fibonacci retracement has been drawn from $ 114,200 to $ 117,560. The price entered the zone between the 0.37 and 0.61 levels, and we need to see whether it reacts to 0.61 with selling pressure or pulls back to 0.37. Understanding market behavior in this area can guide us.
✏️ A curve line has been drawn from the first touch of the maker-buyer zone to the first touch of the maker-seller zone. This line intersects well with the 0.37 Fibonacci level, which has now been broken in current conditions.
🔽 With the increase in short positions and selling volume for Bitcoin, the price experienced a decline and correction. If selling pressure continues, Bitcoin could start a short-term correction.
⚙️ Our RSI oscillator is below the 50 level, with a support zone at 41.22. If this zone is lost, market momentum will lean more towards selling and further correction.
💸 BTC.D , if it breaks 60.72 %, could drop to lower levels, making Bitcoin lighter relative to the market.
💵 USDT.D , if it breaks 4.28 %, could also drop to lower levels, reducing Tether’s share in the market and shifting more capital into Bitcoin and altcoins.
🖥 Summary: Bitcoin was rejected from the 117,560 level and, along with selling pressure, dropped below the 0.37 Fibonacci zone. There is a support level at $ 115,530 — as long as the price stays above this zone, Bitcoin can maintain its upward trend with short-term multi-timeframe corrections.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
$ETH/USDT Breakout Analysis 1W Chart: Ethereum $ETH/USDT Breakout Analysis 1W Chart:
ETH has successfully reached the $4,000 breakout level, completing our first major target from the accumulation zone ($1,500–$1,900). Price is currently testing the critical $4,000 resistance. If ETH can close a weekly candle above this level and hold, it will confirm a strong continuation structure — potentially targeting $5,000, $7,000, and up to $8,000 in the coming months.
🔸 Support LEVEL: $3,500 is now the key weekly support zone. This level aligns with previous resistance and structure, offering a strong base for bullish continuation. If ETH holds $4,000+ weekly, $3,500 becomes a high-conviction re-entry zone.
🔸 Upside Target: Upon confirmation above $4,000, ETH could rally toward $5,000 short-term, with extended targets at $7,000 and $8,000 if momentum continues.
🔸 Risk Level at $3,500: A weekly close below $4,000 followed by a drop under $3,500 would invalidate the breakout. This could signal a failed breakout and return to range. High risk zone opens below $3,200.
🔸 Watch for Retest ZONE: Look for a healthy retest of the $3,900–$4,000 zone. If ETH pulls back and holds this zone on weekly, it offers a strong entry with targets toward $5,000 and above.
WE HAVE PREDICTED EVERY MOVE OF BITCOIN - HERE IS WHAT’S NEXT!! Yello Paradisers! we have predicted every single movement on Bitcoin in the past few months, and in this video, I will reveal to you what's going to happen next with the highest probability. Again, on the high time frame chart, we are seeing the ABC zigzag, and right now, we are trading inside of the C wave. Further in the video, we are zooming into the fourth wave.
On the medium time frame, we are seeing bearish divergence that is showcasing an absorption. We are describing Heron-Chorda's target and taking a look at the channel in which the zigzag is being formed. On the low time frame, we are analyzing the Elliott Wave Theory Triple Three pattern, and on the ultra-low time frame, we are analyzing the impulse.
We are describing what kind of conformations we are waiting for. Basically, it's a five ways to the downside. Then, we will be increasing our portfolio exposure on a corrective mode wave to the upside where we will be able to create a tight risk-to-reward ratio position and a high-probability trade setup. Trade smart, trade with a professional trading strategy, be tactical, and enjoy your weekend.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin above $116k ┆ HolderStatOKX:BTCUSDT reclaimed the 115k pivot after breaking a local channel that formed within a larger wedge. The surge from triangle consolidation, followed by a controlled pullback and higher‑low, suggests accumulation rather than distribution. As long as 113–115k holds, targets line up at 118.5k, 121k and the extension toward 124–126k along the rising trend fan. Only a decisive close below 112k would invalidate the immediate bullish bias and reopen 109–110k. For now, constructive momentum and structure favor continuation.
$BTC Eliot Wave last step + Golden cross.The entire crypto market is on fire — Golden Crosses everywhere across altcoins. 🔥
BTC looks to be in the 5th wave of an Elliott Wave pattern and has just printed its own Golden Cross. Bullish momentum is clear in the price action.
But how long can this run last?
We may be in a parabolic phase, yet there’s heavy liquidity sitting around $115k.
The logical play: a drop to grab that liquidity, then a push to $120k+.
In the end… only the market makers know. 🎯
DYOR
DOGE Breakout?After a 13 day rally and a 12 day pullback, could DOGE be breaking out and confirming a new 4H trading range?
After a bounce off the bullish orderblock DOGE has broken out of the diagonal downtrend, then pulled back to retest the previous diagonal resistance level as new support. This is a textbook breakout play & retest but this doesn't 100% guarantee the breakout will be successful. Should it be a successful breakout Local Resistance is the first clear level of interest for the bears to fight back.
This type of setup does give a clear invalidation should price fall back into the downtrend with acceptance. A fakeout could also lead to a loss of the Major Support level, that would introduce a potential revisit of $0.166.
Bearish reversal off 127.2% Fibonacci resistance?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 118,505.46
1st Support: 115,747.36
1st Resistance: 120,26.61
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
$LINK has retested the $15.80 breakout zone and bounced stronglyBIST:LINK has retested the $15.80 breakout zone and bounced strongly. Price is now gaining momentum and holding above the 50EMA. As long as this zone holds, LINK is likely to push toward $24, $28, and $32 in the coming weeks. A break below $15.0 would invalidate this bullish setup.
$BTC - LTF OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 1h
On lower timeframe, we want 115.6k (monthly open) to hold.
If you're currently short, might take partial profit if we bounce and break above 116.8k
Short remains safe below 116.8k. If 115.6k (monthly open) breaks, eyeing for 114.2k-113.3k (mondayLow) for long re-entry.
$BTC New Cycle: It’s Hard Not to Notice the ShiftSince December 2024, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been closely following the SPX500, forming three similar cycles—each decreasing in intensity and shorter in duration.
The similarities are striking, especially when analyzing the MACD and RSI.
Each cycle ends with a bearish divergence.
Each cycle sees a rebound or bottom during consolidation, often touching the top of the previous cycle.
Most importantly, the cycles are accelerating.
However, it’s difficult to draw a definitive conclusion. These patterns are new in Bitcoin’s history, and there's no past reference for such institutional-driven behavior.
I believe the entry of institutions is reshaping Bitcoin’s rhythm. Their strategy is accumulation, not speculation, which brings more stability but also alters traditional crypto cycles.
What do you think will be the consequences of this shift?
Drop your thoughts in the comments👇
Bitcoin Bounces Back — Is $120K the Next Stop?!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) reacted well to the 50_SMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800 and started to rise again.
The question is, can Bitcoin reach $120,000 again and even create a new All-Time High(ATH)!?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave 4 in the descending channel . To confirm the end of the main wave 4 , we must wait for the upper line of the descending channel to break. The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to trend higher in the coming hours and attack the resistance area and the upper line of the descending channel(First Target: $117,490) .
Do you think Bitcoin's main correction has begun, or does Bitcoin still have a chance to create a new ATH?
Second target: $119,991
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $113,526-$112,591
Note: Stop Loss: $111,070
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Update • Resistance Turned Support · TOP Altcoins ChoiceTraders hedge for a Bitcoin drop below $100,000?
Meanwhile, Bitcoin is rising trading above 115K. Resistance turned support.
The last all-time high turned out to work as support this time.
The retrace from 123,000 to 115,000 amounts to a 6.5% decline, which simply means that Bitcoin is trading at or near resistance. Staying close to resistance after a new all-time high is major signal of strength. A bearish signal would only become real if a high volume drop develops or Bitcoin closes weekly below 110,000. This isn't happening right now so the bulls win.
Are you a bull? You win.
I am a bull. I win.
👉 As Bitcoin continues bullish the altcoins market will continue to grow. Knowing this, which one is your Top Altcoin Choice ?
👉 Leave a comment with your favorite altcoin.
I will do a full analysis for you and publish in my profile.
If the chart doesn't look great, I might reply right here in the comments section.
Thanks a lot for the continued support. It is appreciated.
Let's play again.
Let's trade again.
Together we can win.
Success, profits and growth long-term.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Dominance at Critical Juncture – Triangle Breakout Could🔍 Technical Overview
Bitcoin Dominance has declined from 62.6% to around 61.3%, forming a clear corrective leg within a rising channel. This drop has currently paused at a major static support, where price action is consolidating in a contracting triangle pattern near the channel’s lower boundary.
⸻
🧠 NeoWave Interpretation
We are likely in the final stages of Wave D of a larger Diametric structure, unfolding within a rising channel. The correction from 62.6% resembles a complex, slowing wave D that may be near completion.
Two key scenarios are now in play:
1. 🔺 Breakout of the triangle’s upper boundary would mark the start of Wave E, pushing BTC Dominance higher and triggering a sell-off in altcoins.
2. 🔻 A breakdown of static support (61.3%) would likely be short-lived, as the channel’s lower trendline may provide dynamic support — still leading into a bullish Wave E.
⸻
📊 Smart Money Summary
• 🟡 Wave D likely completed near a strong confluence zone
• 🔼 Watching for a triangle breakout — potential early signal for Wave E
• 🟥 Failure of altcoins to maintain strength supports this thesis
• 🧭 Bias remains bullish BTC.D unless 60.9% channel support decisively fails
⸻
🎯 Strategy Outlook
In such wave structures, Wave E tends to be sharp and sentiment-shifting. With BTC.D sitting on strong support and consolidating in a terminal triangle, exiting altcoins before a breakout is a risk-averse decision.
⸻
✅ Conclusion
BTC Dominance may be at the end of Wave D. If the triangle resolves to the upside, expect dominance to climb rapidly — likely reversing the recent strength seen in altcoins. A bullish Wave E appears imminent unless invalidated.
⸻
📌 Save this analysis
💬 Share your altcoin views in the comments
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Scenario Remains in Focus4H Chart Analysis – Structural + Price Action Insight
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a descending minor channel (orange), which is part of a larger complex correction pattern, potentially a contracting running flat or diametric in NeoWave context. The sequence A to G may suggest that the market completed its G-leg after bouncing off the lower support.
Now, BTC has reached the upper boundary of the orange channel, which aligns with a strong resistance zone around 116.8K–117K.
⸻
✅ Primary Scenario (Bearish Bias):
As long as BTC fails to break and sustain above 116,800 – 117,000, the current move can be interpreted as a pullback within the correction, with high probability of price heading back toward the green liquidity/support zone near 110,800 – 111,400.
This could be a continuation of the broader corrective structure, or even the beginning of a new downward cycle.
⸻
❗ Alternative Scenario:
If bulls manage to break above 117,000 with strong momentum and confirmation (e.g., breakout + retest), the structure may shift bullish with short-term targets near 118,500 – 120,000.
⸻
🎯 Key Takeaways:
• Watch price action closely at the current resistance zone.
• Bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection wicks, or supply absorption signs) is required before considering short entries.
• High R:R setups emerge near channel extremes with clear invalidation levels.