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BTC-D

15/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,672.39 Last weeks low: $110,615.91 Midpoint: $113,644.15 It's FOMC week and finally the time has come for the FED to cut interest rates, but by how much? Currently the probability of a cut is 100%. The chance of a 25bps cut is ~90%, a 50bps cut ~12%. Therefore I believe a 25bps cut is priced in and expected by the majority, a 50bps cut would be bullish and no change would be devastating to the markets in the short term. Last week BTC continues its move up and flipped the important S/R level of $114,000 in preparation for FOMC. Ultimately the bulls should now target a flip of $117,500 to continue the larger bullrun move. Should the bulls fail to do so the rangebound environment looks to continue with the low being $106,000 (1D 200 EMA). As I have mentioned in previous post September often gives poor returns, so far this year BTC is up 6% from month open, perhaps in anticipation for the rate cut to come? I don't see many setups presenting themselves until after Thursday so just being patient until then. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
BITCOIN Will it pull back??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just formed a 4H Golden Cross, technically a bullish pattern, which usually emerges at the start of uptrends. Such a formation emerged on both main Channel Up patterns since the April 07 Trade War bottom. The interesting feature however is that, following every 4H Golden Cross, the price always pulled back to its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). With BTC having started the week on the back foot, the 4H MA200 currently stands at $113600. Ahead of the Fed Rate Decision this week, a 'volatility' pull-back would align the news with this technical need. Do you think we'll get that pull-back? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
1
S&P500 | H1 Head and shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders. 🧐 Market Overview: I am still holding a short on the rising wedge visible on the 4-hour chart. While the S&P 500 has broken out to the upside of the wedge, there’s still a real chance this could be a fake out. The RSI is showing overbought conditions across the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes, which makes it difficult for price to push higher without cooling off first. From a probability standpoint, I see the short as more favorable here than chasing longs. With hindsight I should have waited for a reversal pattern to open shorts when trying to trade the risking wedge on the 4 hour chart. If the head and shoulders pattern on the 1H chart fails, then a possible double top on the 2H chart may form. I’ll post an update if that scenario plays out and I have time. NB! I do not have confirmation to enter the head and shoulders short yet. It is only on my radar for now. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 3.8 Entry: 6 589.7 Stop Loss: 6 599 Take Profit 1 (50%): 6 560.2 Take Profit 2 (50%): 6 544.2 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: A favorable setup doesn’t guarantee success, but managing risk and aligning with probability is how I stay consistent over the long term. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — I’d like to hear them. 📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by GTradingMethod
TradeCity Pro | AERO Testing Key Support on Curved Uptrend👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to review the AERO coin for you. It is one of the largest crypto DEX platforms that mainly operates in China Base and currently ranks 77th on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $1.05 billion. 📅 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, we see an uptrend that has been moving sharply upward along a curved trendline. ⚡️ The main resistance for AERO is the 1.5 zone, which I have marked on the chart. ✔️ Price has touched this area once and has now returned to its trendline, forming a minor top at 1.278. If it gets rejected from this level and triggers 1.082, this level will turn into a major top. 🔍 Currently, the 1.082 level is a very good trigger for a short position. Breaking this level confirms the trendline break and could start a large corrective wave toward the next support zone. ✨ However, if the price forms a range box between 1.082 and 1.278, we can open an early long position after the breakout of 1.278. The main trigger for a long position or even a spot buy will be the breakout of the 1.5 zone. 📊 A positive sign for the uptrend is that volume has increased well during bullish waves and decreased during corrections. This indicates strong buyer momentum and is a bullish signal for the trend. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
1
BTCUSD: Rully Continue in Upward ChannelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, we've seen a significant shift in the market structure for Bitcoin. The price has successfully broken out of a prior Downward channel, a key event that signaled a reversal and shifted control from sellers to buyers, establishing a new bullish phase. This new bullish phase has since formed a well-defined Upward Channel. The price has been making a series of higher highs and higher lows within this structure, but is currently in a corrective pullback, heading towards the channel's ascending support line, which is a key area to watch. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is based on the expectation that this newly formed Upward Channel will continue to be respected by the market. I'm looking for the price to complete its dip and test the ascending support line. A confirmed bounce from this dynamic support would be the key signal that the correction is over and the next impulsive move up is beginning. A successful rebound would validate the long scenario, with the price then expected to rally towards the top of the channel and break the intermediate Resistance at the 116700 level. The primary target for this move is 118500. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Ratner
5
WEEKLY UPDATE ON BTC, ETH, BTC.D - 9/7/2025This weekend's technical analysis is an update from previous week's analysis posted. I am expecting BTC to continue it's price action to the daily 200 EMA after the relief bounce off from the weekly 21 EMA as noted last week. Our BTC analysis will be invalidated if the on the daily chart we get a candle open and close above $114k on good volume and momentum as the weekly and monthly chart is still in a strong uptrend. ETH pullback is also intact as discussed from last week and approaching the breakout price level of $4000 which coincides with the weekly 9EMA support zone. I will be expecting ETH bulls to battle this level in a consolidation price action before a break down to the weekly 21 EMA target of 3,500. Bitcoin Dominance did follow through our analysis last week with the inverted hammer play and has now also given some confirmation of a temporal reversal based on indicators. I will be expecting a bounce on Bitcoin Dominance to the resistance level of 59.2% and if there enough momentum to break through the resistance then next target will be 60.64%. That's a summary of what I will be looking for on these charts as the week unfolds. Thanks for spending time to listen to my analysis and opinion and I wish you the best of trading this week. Cheers !!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by RICHINVESTOR
BE AWARE OF 111K BTC RETRACEMENT IF LARGER H&S STARTS FORMINGMorning folks, So, our 116.15K target is perfectly met. What's next? First is, some quiet time should be until the Fed meeting. As market hits upside AB=CD, forming daily "222" Sell around resistance area, it is reasonable to suggest a pullback. Normally, (before BTC proceeds to 119K target here) is to expect the pullback to nearest two levels - 114+K and 112.60-113.17K K-area as it is shown on 1H chart. But, we also do not exclude scenario of a bigger reverse H&S So, if you will see that market is dropping further - keep an eye on 111K support. This is the last bullish outpost for short-term tendency. Drop to 111K doesn't mean yet that the upside game is over. So, let's watch first for most common scenario of retracement, but also keep in mind 111K level. We do not consider any bearish trades for now and watch for deeps to buy. I mark this idea as "bearish" just because of expected retracement. In general we have a bullish view.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin break out of range?!Bitcoin is above EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If the downward trend continues towards the specified demand range, we can buy Bitcoin with appropriate risk-reward. Bitcoin’s rise to around 121,000 and its arrival at the specified supply range will provide us with its next selling position. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Bitcoin continues to fluctuate within the $110,000 to $117,000 range, as reduced capital inflows into ETFs combined with intensified profit-taking exert mounting pressure on its upward momentum. In this environment, the derivatives market—driven by the strong presence of futures and options contracts—plays a central role in balancing and shaping market direction. Profit-taking by 3–6 month holders, alongside losses realized by recent buyers at price peaks, has fueled selling pressure across the market. On-chain liquidity still maintains a constructive structure, but signs of gradual weakening are evident. Meanwhile, net ETF inflows and outflows have declined to around 500 BTC per day, significantly undermining demand from traditional finance (TradFi), which had previously been a key driver of rallies in March and December 2024. Following the mid-August all-time high, market momentum steadily weakened, dragging Bitcoin below the cost basis of recent buyers at the top and pushing the asset back into a range-bound structure. The critical question now is whether this reflects a healthy consolidation phase or the beginning of a deeper corrective cycle. While dip-buyers provided some support, the primary selling pressure originated from experienced short-term holders. Data shows that 3–6 month holders have been realizing approximately $189 million in daily profits (based on the 14-day moving average), accounting for nearly 79% of total short-term holder realized gains. These figures indicate that many investors who entered the market during the February-to-May correction used the recent rally as an opportunity to lock in profits—creating considerable resistance against upward continuation. In addition to profit-taking from seasoned short-term holders, recent peak buyers also capitulated by realizing losses during the pullback, further amplifying selling pressure. Alongside on-chain dynamics, assessing external demand through ETFs remains crucial, as these instruments have been pivotal in driving the current market cycle. Since early August, net inflows into U.S. spot ETFs have sharply declined, currently averaging around 500 BTC per day (14-day moving average). This is far below the levels of capital inflows that had previously supported the bullish phase of the cycle, reflecting weakening momentum from TradFi investors. Given the central role of ETFs in fueling Bitcoin’s recent uptrend, the slowdown in flows makes the market’s current structure noticeably more fragile. Meanwhile, blockchain-based prediction platform Polymarket has announced a new collaboration with Chainlink. The partnership aims to launch 15-minute crypto prediction markets featuring rapid settlement and industry-leading security standards. The integration of Chainlink’s oracle technology with Polymarket’s trading infrastructure is expected to enhance user access to accurate and reliable data, delivering a new experience in short-term prediction markets. This collaboration could mark a turning point in the development of innovative trading instruments and price forecasting tools.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
15
Bitcoin: Bullish Engulfing Setup Into FOMC Week.Bitcoin has formed a minor impulse structure and is currently showing a potential wave 4. The fact that it has initially rejected the 116K area resistance, but has barely retraced is a sign of strength. No wave 1, wave 4 overlap lap means a bullish wave 5 is more likely. A 5th wave can see price testing the 118 to 120K area this week. This puts my B wave scenario that I spoke about a week earlier into question which is the nature of subjective wave counts and why it is important to stay flexible. This week we have the FOMC meeting where the FED is expected to cut interest rates by AT LEAST 25 basis points with an increasing possibility of a greater cut. Keep in mind the 25 point scenario is priced in. If they cut as expected, the focus will be on the press conference and how Powell responds to questions. This is where the market can fluctuate wildly depending on what hints he provides about future rate cuts, etc. Such a catalyst can be substantial enough to push Bitcoin into the 120K area, which will also move the other major markets dramatically as well. What will invalidate the current bullish setup is a break back below the 113K support. IF this occurs as a result of the upcoming meeting, or any other reason, it will strengthen my B wave argument that I made the week earlier. So at this time, swing trade longs make sense, just be prepared for a dramatic change. IF for whatever reason price tests the 123Ks or higher, that will point to a potential run to the 130KS because it will confirm the current formation is still part of a broader wave 4. Yes it can be confusing, and when it is, focus more on the market structure itself. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
11
BITCOIN Looks Bullihs (4H)Based on the price structure, which has formed a bullish trend through small corrections, and also the lack of rejection from the resistances that have just been tested, along with a bullish CH and the formation of a supportive trendline, it is expected that Bitcoin will move close to its ATH or register a new ATH, and then enter a correction phase. Considering the Tether dominance chart we published a few minutes ago, we expect Bitcoin to remain bullish until it reaches the specified red zone. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
6
DOGE/USDT - H4 - Breakout (17.08.2025)The DOGE/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.2809 2nd Resistance – 0.3062 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
XRP Game PlanXRP Game Plan 📊 Market Sentiment Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets. 📈 Technical Analysis Price rejected the bearish trendline and started moving lower. This indicates to me that price wants to grab more liquidity before expanding higher. However, the HTF order flow remains strongly bullish, so I will only be looking for long setups here. 📌 Game Plan I will be targeting the $2.72 liquidity zone, which holds significant liquidity. Additionally, I will watch for price to test the HTF key level and look for rejection from that area. 🎯 Setup Trigger I will look for a 6H–4H break of structure before entering a trade (with LTF confirmation). 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: 6H–4H swing low confirming the BOS Targets: • TP1: $3.14 • TP2: $3.38 • TP3: $3.67 (All-Time Highs) 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
The XRP debacle?This coin and Blockchain may be great in the future, but definitely a bad investment compared to most of the majors. In my opinion. I am pretty sure with this pattern that I have mapped out we will see at least $.14 and probably five cents in the future, where banks and institutions will actually accumulate this coin and weak hands will sell. This looks to me as if it is a week off long-term reaccumulation pattern after the first initial takeoff in 2017 that being said if my prediction is right, five cent will be the spring to set off its next bull cycle. If we make it there, I will definitely buy a decent amount while everybody is panic selling.
CRYPTO:XRPUSDShort
by TheCryptoHare
12
Roundtrips are part of speculation. #HEX could go back to 1 SatThis is Hex, on ethereum, in it's entriety. This is not a prediction. As in, I Believe this will happen, with massive conviction. But do I believe, it has a chance, of occurring? Absolutely! Richard pre loaded the HEX launch with 25 thousand followers. And hours of streaming on youtube. 5 thousand got into HEX around the launch. There are literally thousands of people, who are still MASSIVELY in profit versus #Bitcoin. This is not a strong base for an altcoin like HEX, to go on a Bull Run. The long term staking has in my opinion not allowed a proper capitulation / abandonment of the coins. Imagine #Bitcoin goes on to do a 3X to it's top. 1 satoshi would be $0.00145 Now do you believe?
CRYPTO:HEXUSD
by BallaJi
21
BTC: What to expect on Monday?BTC: What to expect on Monday? Sunday is the perfect time to sync up with the market while most people are resting. Historically, Monday sets the tone for the entire week, often bringing increased volatility after the CME futures open. Currently, we can see the price of BTC on the 1-hour chart moving neatly within an ascending channel, gathering strength before the next impulse. This is the calm before the storm. Fundamentally, everyone is awaiting this week's US Federal Reserve meeting, where there is a high probability of a rate cut. This could weaken the dollar and provide a powerful boost to risk assets, including Bitcoin. Technically, we have run into a key resistance zone of $117,200 - $117,500. It is here that the short-term fate of the trend is being decided. A breakout above this level will open the way up for us. My plan is simple: I am not entering a position right now, but rather waiting for confirmation. I need a confident breakout and for the price to hold above $117,500. If that happens, my first target will be the $119,000 area.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by formula_capital
$BTC Sunday Report Bitcoin touched 116.6K CRYPTOCAP:BTC Sunday Report Bitcoin touched 116.6K right where we expected, and I’m still holding my short position with eyes on lower targets. If price pushes into the 120–125K zone, I’ll add more there. We already saw a dump from 116K to 107K three weeks ago, and now BTC has returned to the 116K zone, but this hasn’t changed the overall picture. Market makers continue to push altcoins higher to trap liquidity before the real move down. ⚠️ The FOMC meeting a key event, with the policy statement scheduled for Sep 17 at 18:00 UTC, followed by a press conference at 18:30 UTC. Regardless of whether the Fed cuts rates or not, I expect the market to remain bearish as liquidity is still being engineered for a larger downside play. Added more at 116.6K (average entry now around 115.5K) Will add again if we revisit 120–125K Targets stay the same at 105K → 100K → 95K → 90K
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #176👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s go for a different kind of Bitcoin analysis today. I’ve used a new color theme on the chart—let me know in the comments whether you like this theme or prefer the previous one. ⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe In the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin had formed a descending channel, moving lower with a bearish structure of lower highs and lower lows toward the 107,000 support zone. ✔️ After reacting to this support, price climbed toward the channel’s top. Following one false breakout, it managed to break the channel on the next attempt and moved toward the channel trigger at 113,222. 💥 This move came with rising volume, which boosted bullish momentum and increased the likelihood of breaking 113,222. ✨ With the breakout of 113,222, Bitcoin’s main upward wave began, and price is now heading toward the next resistance at 116,960, which it is already approaching. 🧩 Over the last few candles, volume has dropped significantly, mainly because it’s the weekend. If volume starts to pick up with the new week, the probability of breaking 116,960 will increase. 🔑 A breakout above 116,960 could serve as the next long trigger, while Bitcoin’s key major resistance remains at 121,188. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
15
BTC — Identifying High-Probability Long Zone With ConfluenceBTC has been in a 17-day downtrend since the swing failure at the ATH (~$124.5K). That move acted as both a bull trap and the completion of a 5-wave structure, offering an excellent short entry at the highs. Now the key question: where is BTC heading next, and where is the next high-probability trade setup? Current Situation BTC is sitting at the 0.618 Fib retracement ($108,236) of the move from $98.2K → $124.5K. Many traders are already buying this level, which is valid but a deeper zone below offers stronger confluence. 🧩 Confluence Zone: $105K–$104K POC of the previous trading range → ~$104K 0.75 Fib retracement: $104,768.5 0.786 Fib retracement: $103,823 Anchored VWAP (from swing low $74,508) → just above the 0.786 Fib Midpoint of the previous 60-day range Liquidity cluster → positioned around $105K–$104K 1.618 Fib extension target: $104,296 Pitchfork midline → supporting this level 200 EMA (daily) → adding dynamic support at ~$104K This creates a high-confluence support cluster between $105K–$104K, making it the next strong long setup. 🟢 Long Trade Setup Entry Zone: $106K–$104K Stop-Loss: Below $103K TP: $110K-$114K R:R Potential: 1:2+ Technical Insight The ATH rejection confirmed both bullish exhaustion and a completed 5-wave move, triggering the current correction. While the 0.618 retracement offers valid support, the $105K–$104K zone holds significantly stronger confluence. This makes it the most attractive high-probability long entry zone in the current structure. 🔍 Indicators used Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the daily 200 EMA/SMA. ➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Long
by SiDec
6
HBARUSDT → Correction before the rally...After strong growth from the 0.14 zone, BINANCE:HBARUSDT HBAR updated its maximum to 0.30 and entered a correction phase, testing the intermediate and strong support level of 0.2300. A false breakdown has formed, and price consolidation above the key zone could trigger another rally. HBAR currently has two key levels: 0.243 and 0.2337. The bulls are trying to keep the correction at the upper support level. However, there is a huge pool of liquidity hidden behind 0.2337, which could be tested (before growth resumes) if 0.243 fails to hold the price. Locally, the coin is breaking the structure of the downward correction (consolidation in a bull market) and is trying to consolidate above support (in the zone of interest). The end of the current correction phase may lead to a resumption of distribution. Support levels: 0.2432, 0.2337 Resistance levels: 0.2547, 0.26, 0.2763 The formation of a bullish structure relative to 0.2432 will confirm the presence of an interested, large buyer. This could trigger strong growth. Otherwise, I will wait for a retest of 0.2337, from where I will look for an opportunity to open long positions with the aim of medium-term growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4