Btc-e
Bitcoin recovery confirmed —told ya!— the relief rally is on!A second wave of a massive relief rally. Actually, a new bullish move, period. We cannot even say this is a continuation of the relief rally because the last move changed the chart structure. We are looking at the start of a new bullish phase, a new bullish wave or even a completely new bullish cycle. 2-3 months of sustained growth cannot be called a relief rally, not at this point, not after what happened. We ought to call it a bullish move, any type... Depending on how it goes (it is still too early), we will even open ourselves to new all-time highs.
Bitcoin went down today, very early to start the day, after producing the worst weekly close in its history. The chart looked awful and impossible to recover. But then something magical happened.
The April 2025 support that was supposed to break like butter ends up producing a double-bottom, as soon as this level was hit, Bitcoin is turning green again. Let's look at some numbers:
The low 7-April 2025 stands at $74,508. The current low, active now, sits at $74,612, a true double-bottom.
It is still extremely early though because we are looking at the actual 4H candle/session that produced the low—the lowest price in 301 days. But trading volume is really high on the bullish side... There is hope, and a worst possible ever situation can transform into something awesome.
Stay tuned. Make sure to follow.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin weekly, worst close ever on a bearish moveBitcoin just ended the week with a close at $76,968. This is the worst close ever on a bearish bias. That is, coming from a major high, this is the weakest close in the history of Bitcoin.
I am keeping this chart extremely simple to avoid any mistakes. The next target sit at $65,000 short-term.
The red line on the chart shows the weekly close. Trading above this level opens up bullish potential. Any trading below this level means Bitcoin will move straight down.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
MSTR, still finding a bottomI am still looking for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and NASDAQ:MSTR to find a bottom soon and MSTR maybe showing better signs.
Price has finally reached 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the big move up, where wave Y of 4 has a high probability of ending. This is also a major High Volume Node support area.
Hidden bearish divergence has played out but daily bullish divergence continued to persist.
Safe trading
CRCL All time Low but ending soon?NYSE:CRCL as hit an all-time low, breaking below the IPO launch price.
A triangle printed. Triangle are penultimate patterns before the last move of the trend so its possible this is the final leg down, just in time to capitulate investors.
Bullish divergence has printed in the daily RSI from oversold
Keep an eye on this.
Safe trading
What's Happening to Bitcoin (BTC)?What's Happening to Bitcoin (BTC)?
⭕️ Bitcoin is experiencing a clear period of pressure after breaking key support levels amid a sudden shift in US monetary sentiment, particularly following the news of Kevin Warsh's nomination to head the Federal Reserve. This has recalibrated market expectations towards a more hawkish monetary policy.
⭕️ A technical improvement in the dollar, primarily driven by the unwinding of large positions in gold and precious metals rather than a fundamental economic improvement, has put pressure on high-risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, especially with the outflow of speculative liquidity and a decline in institutional momentum.
⭕️ Despite some positive news, such as major companies like MicroStrategy's Bitcoin purchases , these were insufficient to offset the impact of tighter liquidity and the temporary strength of the dollar, keeping the overall trend bearish in the short term.
⭕️ Bitcoin is undergoing a repricing phase after an exaggerated rally. The decline reflects a combination of anticipated monetary tightening, a strong dollar, and a decrease in risk appetite. The downtrend remains dominant, and momentum has yet to provide a definitive reversal signal.
⭕️ The most likely scenario is price consolidation within the 74,000-80,000 range in the near term, with the possibility of limited technical rebounds due to oversold conditions. However, these will remain corrective unless we reclaim the 85,000 level with a clear close.
Coinbase, weekly hidden bullish divergence NASDAQ:COIN has been getting rekt alongside Bitcoin.
It has now closed below its weekly 200EMA and below the weekly pivot, a very bearish sign and it must recover to feel bullish again. Wave 2 of 5 now sits at he 0.786 fibonacci, a deep retracement for this stock.
If price falls below $141, hidden bullish divergence will be negated and the Elliot wave count is invalidated and a macro wave 2 is in play.
Price has fallen out of the multiyear uptrend line.
Ugly
Safe trasing
ABTC, Controversial bullish takeNASDAQ:ABTC has lost 90% of its value since appears to put in wave 1 of a new motif wave. This looks like a pump and dump as shares are dumped on investors, crippled alongside Bitcoin price action like all the other treasuries. Price is well below the weekly 200EMA and pivot.
However, if that was the start of the new motif wave up, after breaking its multiyear downtrend-line then the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement is the low golden pocket where we expect price to terminate wave 2. daily RSI has hidden bullish divergence.
This is the controversial, unsubstantiated take: The trump family have come into some bad light after their MEME coins and broken Crypto promises. But they are not the kind of family that want to leave their legacy tarnished so they will potentially be pumping this to uphold their reputation.
Safe trading
#EURUSD , Gonna be Nice with us ?📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #EURUSD
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
Not a Quality setup as well . Don't rush on it
🚀 Trading Plan:
• Need Valid momentum Structure Close
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED ‼️
• Just and Only for QuickScalp
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
CLSK, Triangle in wave B?NASDAQ:CLSK has lost the daily 200EMA as bearish divergence on the daily plays out. RSI has plenty of room to fall.
Wave (1) tested the top of macro triangle, if this is wave (2) then price is printing a triangle for wave B with one more push lower to go with an initial target of the S1 pivot at $8.40, also the low-cap golden pocket at 0.786 Fibonacci retracement.
Analysis is only invalidated below $6.48.
Ugly, volatile, overlapping price action, Hard to trade.
The alternative bullish count is that this is a deep 1-2, 1-2 which usually leads to a leap up in wave 3 of 3. This is increasingly unlikely.
Safe trading
RIOT, Wave III or wave B?NASDAQ:RIOT is following Bitcoin down this morning after hitting my take profit #1 target in the High Volume Node resistance, $18.7. Stop loss is at break even to protect the win as part of my strategy.
Th Elliot wave now looks like a III wave ABC corrective structure that completed a larger wave B of II, bringing my wave III analysis into question, keeping wave II alive. Price is about to test the 200EMA, another long area for one of my strategies but I'm being cautious during these turbulent markets.
Daily RSI reached oversold and is slowing coming down the speed of adjustments suggest a bear trend is in tact.
Continuing above $19 keeps my wave III count alive but lowing the 200EMA suggests we visit the golden pocket in wave II at $10. Not ideal for the bulls. At this point we should see a strong reaction as wave III kicks in.
Safe trading.
BITCOIN Is Making a Small Recovery Before Dropping Toward 64KFrom the area marked with the green arrow, Bitcoin entered a bullish phase, which developed in the form of a triangle pattern. This structure has now been completed, signaling the end of that bullish consolidation phase.
After that, from the point highlighted by the red arrow, a diametric pattern began to form, marking the start of our bearish phase. This shift in market structure suggests that sellers have regained control on the higher timeframe.
At the moment, price action appears to be near the end of bearish wave E within this diametric structure. A short-term recovery is likely, forming wave F, which could temporarily relieve selling pressure. However, once wave F is completed, Bitcoin may experience another strong bearish leg to form wave G.
The 64K zone stands out as a critical downside target and potential completion area for this bearish diametric pattern. This level also aligns with key support and liquidity zones, making it an important area to monitor closely.
As always, keep your risk management in check and adjust your trading bias according to how price reacts around these key levels. Let’s see how the market unfolds.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
BITCOIN hit 10-month Low! Will it recover, at least a bit??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost hit today (so far) its 10-month Low of the April 07 2025 Low (Support 1). It did so after a very disappointing 2-week bearish streak where it initially had a crystal clear 1D MA100 (green trend-line) rejection, followed by two on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The pattern is technically quite similar to the January - March 2025 Channel Down correction that led to the April 07 bottom. With the 1D RSI turning massively oversold in the process, hitting the 23.50 Support, where both the November 21 2025 and February 26 2025 Lows were priced, it is possible to see a rebound to test the 1D MA50 at least, again.
Since however this is a Bear Cycle and not just a short-term correction within a Bull Cycle, we don't expect a sustainable rally like April - May 2025 but rather a prolonged sideways volatile price action, that could retest the 1D MA100 even before making a new Low and start Phase 2. For now, at least, a rebound to $87000 seems like a technical probability.
Do you think that's the case or BTC will drop even lower more aggressively? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin recover?!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its descending channel. Bitcoin's upward correction towards the specified supply zones will provide us with its next selling opportunities.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
By the end of January 2026, Bitcoin once again moved into the spotlight of global investors. However, instead of establishing a decisive bullish trend, the market entered a consolidation phase accompanied by downward-leaning volatility, a development that is well supported by on-chain metrics and fundamental indicators.
One of the most significant fundamental signals during this period has been related to on-chain activity and Bitcoin’s supply structure. Recent data show that illiquid Bitcoin supply—coins that are highly unlikely to be spent—has reached historically elevated levels, approaching record highs. This indicates that Bitcoin holders are increasingly inclined toward long-term holding, avoiding selling at current price levels. Such behavior reflects structural confidence in the asset and can contribute to reinforcing a price floor.
At the same time, Bitcoin balances on exchanges have declined, suggesting a reduction in potential selling pressure—an important factor that can help prevent sharp drawdowns during consolidation phases.
Whale accumulation data further reveal that large market participants retained a substantial portion of their Bitcoin holdings throughout 2025, while retail investors showed a greater tendency toward short-term selling.
Bitcoin’s pullback toward the $75,000 level caused the market value of Strategy’s digital asset holdings to fall below the company’s average purchase price for the first time in several months. Led by Michael Saylor, Strategy is one of the world’s largest Bitcoin holders, owning 712,647 BTC at an average acquisition cost of approximately $76,000.
While this situation carries psychological significance, it has limited financial implications. None of Strategy’s digital assets have been pledged as collateral. As a result:
There is no liquidation pressure;
No bank can force the company into a mandatory sale;
Strategy retains full discretion over whether to sell or continue holding its Bitcoin.
Strategy currently carries approximately $8.2 billion in convertible debt, with its first major maturity not occurring until the second half of 2027. The company has multiple options, including refinancing, converting the debt into equity, or redeeming it outright. This financing structure has previously been implemented successfully by other companies and is considered a proven model.
02/02/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $90,610.47
Last weeks low: $75,706.32
Midpoint: $83,158.39
With January of the new year wrapped up it's been quite the opening month for Bitcoin and the broader market in general.
The loss of the yearly open ($87,500) confirmed the bears remain in control and as such, with the help of an enormous crash in metals, pushed Bitcoins price back towards 2025's Yearly low of $74,500. Now in the early hours of the weekly open that exact level has been traded with a perfect double bottom on the HTF chart. Does this mean BTC is now safe to move back up?
A relief bounce may be on the cards from here, my targets would be the inefficiency zones at 0.25 ($80,000) and if the bounce has real backing maybe $86,000. However I am not yet satisfied that the April Low has been effectively traded just yet...
For more confirmation of a bottom being in I would like to see the demand zone swept with sellers continuing to pour in but buyers soaking up the volume resulting in very little price movement. In effect this would be forced sellers (liquidations) moving their BTC to high conviction buyers in the market. I am not yet satisfied that we have had this play out.
The fear and greed index sits at 14, the same score as the Covid crash but interestingly it's a higher score than the sell-off in November of last year at a score of 11. This gives us an interesting divergence similar to that of the end of the bear market in 2022. It's also significantly lower than the April low of last year at a score of 24.
This week is about seeing where/if BTC finds strength, with BTC strength alts will follow. Also Tradfi and specifically the metals market is something to keep a eye on. It's not everyday an asset loses $4T in value in 3 days like silver did!
Maybe your biggest risk is your biggest chance !!!The chart speaks for itself. As you can see, after breaking down from the descending wedge, the price has dropped. Now it can be said that the ABC corrective waves are close to completion, with only the final wave — wave C — remaining. I expect this wave to fall to around 69,000 dollars. After that, in my view, Bitcoin could rise to 130,000 dollars. Remember this: the sea erupts in a single moment, and nothing can stop it.
$BTC — Short-Term Base FormingCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 2h
Now that 74k has been tapped, I’m looking to see if price can start forming a short-term base in this area. Ideally, we want to see the 76–75.7k zone hold as support, which would help stabilize price action and set up a potential push higher. If that level continues to defend, the near-term upside target sits around 80.5k–81.3k.
For now, I’m letting price action develop and watching how buyers respond around this range before getting more aggressive.
BTC Getting Ready For Another Leg Up ?Following the recent crash, Bitcoin effectively swept all available liquidity around the $70K region, clearing out weak hands and stop orders. With that liquidity now taken, price action is beginning to stabilize, suggesting the market may be preparing for its next significant move. BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P reclaims structure and builds MOMENTUM, this phase could mark the transition from distribution into a new expansion or continuation leg, depending on volume and confirmation.
Bitcoin Testing Key Support | Don’t Miss This Signal! (1D)📊 Bitcoin Price Analysis | Major Support Zone, Liquidity Sweep & Potential Reversal | Daily & Weekly Outlook
Bitcoin is currently approaching a highly significant and well-established support zone that has historically acted as a strong demand area in the market. This region represents a key level where institutional buyers and long-term investors have previously entered the market.
Recently, Bitcoin has swept major liquidity pools and triggered multiple stop-loss levels. Through consecutive bearish drops and strong selling pressure, price has been driven closer to this critical support area. This type of liquidity grab often signals market manipulation by smart money and may precede a major trend reversal.
Based on current market structure, price action behavior, and technical confluences, Bitcoin is expected to react from the highlighted zone and potentially move toward the predefined upside targets. These targets are aligned with previous resistance levels, Fibonacci retracements, and structural highs.
⚠️ Important Timeframe Notice:
This analysis is based on the daily timeframe, which means the projected move is expected to develop gradually. The full realization of this scenario may take several weeks, requiring patience and disciplined risk management.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If Bitcoin successfully holds above the marked support zone and shows strong buying momentum, a bullish continuation toward higher price targets is likely. Confirmation signals such as bullish engulfing patterns, higher lows, volume expansion, or structure breaks will strengthen this outlook.
❌ Invalidation Level:
This analysis will be invalidated if a weekly candle closes below the defined invalidation level. Such a breakdown would signal weakness in market structure and could lead to further downside movement.
🔍 Key Highlights:
Major long-term support zone in focus
Liquidity sweep and stop-loss hunt completed
Potential mid-term bullish reversal setup
Daily timeframe analysis (multi-week development)
Weekly close below invalidation = bearish continuation
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
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