MARA Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:MARA
🎯 Previous downside target was hit, $8. Price dropped hard, changing the Elliott wave count completely, stopping at the golden pocket. Wave (Z) of B appears complete, but we need to see ahigher high to confirm
📈 Daily RSI went deep into oversold with bullish divergence and is now printing hidden bearish divergence
👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node bottom, $7
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯MARA dropped to the SD-2 threshold, presenting a good opportunity to buy, below fv.
👉Fair value is ~$22
Safe trading
Btc-e
IREN Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:IREN
🎯 Iren wave 4 hit the daily 200EMA, just above 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. Price is at High Volume Node resistance, but above the daily pivot and 200EMA, showing the uptrend is intact. Continued downside has a target of the daily 200EMA, $26.75
📈 Daily RSI has not reached oversold
👉 Analysis is invalidated only at all time high, for now
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯IREN came back down to it’s expected range and jumped back into the SD+2 overbought zone. The incline is steep, reflecting its strong growth, giving strong down days also. Price is above fv
👉Fair value is ~$35
Safe trading
HUT Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:HUT
🎯 Price jumped back up following my path. Wave 4 of V was indeed complete at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node just above the daily 200EMA. The daily R1 pivot has been claimed. The uptrend is well intact.
📈 Daily RSI is showing bearish divergence as price falters
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close below wave 4, $30
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯 Hut is in the SD+2 overheated zone, where it is expected to spend <5% of the time. Price has a tendency to rally above the SD+3 threshold before being rejected, characteristic of low-cap assets. Price is well above fv, traders should be cautious
👉Fair value is ~$20
Safe trading
COIN Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:COIN
🎯 Price continued lower, ignoring all bullish divergences, though another is forming. Price has filled the gap and sits in the golden pocket. The bears are in control.
📈 Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence from oversold, a strong bottoming signal.
👉 Analysis is invalidated above $263, suggesting a major bottom is in
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯COIN behaving as expected. Price tested the SD+2 threshold 3 times and was rejected to fv each time. No momentum took hold despite COIN’s big run. Price is at fv.
👉Fair value is ~$225
Safe trading
CLSK Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:CLSK
🎯 Price is back at the daily 200EMA and above the pivot, below major resistance after finding support at the orange trend line and golden pocket. The direction is ambiguous, but I am leaning to further upside this week
📈 Daily RSI sits at the EW, flipped bullish but with no divergence.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave (2) at $9
Safe trading
CIFR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:CIFR
🎯 The triangle has flipped to a bearish-looking triangle. This is a penultimate pattern, we can expect price to thrust lower, test the daily 200EMA, end the correction and then makes its way to new highs. l pattern Wave d of the triangle may still be underway, wave e is expected to end at the daily pivot where price currently sits, above the daily 200EMA, showing the uptrend is still intact but flattening.
📈 Daily RSI is neutral, reflecting triangle dynamics
👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave b or above wave a.
Safe trading
BTDR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:BTDR
🎯 Price overcame the daily 200EMA, major High Volume Node and Pivot, showing a strong bullish trend is in play. It has pulled back to test the 200EMA and support node, normal behaviour. Wave C looks underway toward the $25 target.
📈 Daily RSI printed bullish divergence.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave (B), 9.50, and the structure will start to look bearish.
Safe trading
26/01/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $93,653.56
Last weeks low: $86,076.35
Midpoint: $89,864.96
As price sits at 2026 Yearly open levels the severity of the recent $98,000 rejection becomes even more clear for the direction of Bitcoins price.
The high time frame trend after the $98,000 rejection is a bearish one. The attempt to flip the 4H 200 EMA and use it as a launch failed with price falling back below it, confirmed by Fridays wick at $91,000 being pushed back down with force. From here the downward target would be Weekly low followed by $82,500.
The bulls have a buyside liquidity problem and with ETF flows turning negative, the short term does not look in their favor. The threat of another US Government shutdown would put further strain on the buyside demand as we saw previously during the October shut down of 2025, currently the odds of a shut down are at 70% on prediction markets. The bulls target remains the same as it has been since the start of the year, $98,000 must be flipped with price acceptance above to shift the HTF structure back in their favor.
BTCUSD – Accumulation Below EMA, Expansion Depends on ResolutionBTC is currently trading inside a well-defined accumulation price range after a sharp impulsive sell-off from the higher resistance zone. The aggressive downside move flushed liquidity and pushed price into a demand zone, where selling pressure clearly weakened and price began rotating sideways instead of continuing lower. This sideways behavior is not random — it reflects absorption and balance, not trend continuation.
Structurally, the market is compressed between demand and the mid-range, with overlapping candles and failed follow-through on both sides — a classic accumulation signature. However, price remains below the EMA, meaning the broader short-term bias is still neutral-to-bearish until reclaim occurs. That said, repeated defenses of the demand zone suggest sellers are losing control, and downside momentum is fading.
As long as BTC holds the demand zone, the most likely path is continued range expansion with higher internal highs, eventually targeting the upper boundary of the accumulation range. A clean break and acceptance above the range high would signal bullish expansion, opening the door for a move toward ~90.3k and higher.
Conversely, a decisive breakdown and acceptance below demand would invalidate the accumulation thesis and likely trigger another impulsive leg down as trapped liquidity is released.
BTC is not trending. it’s building energy. The next impulsive move will be dictated by which side of the accumulation range gets reclaimed, not by prediction but by confirmation.
BTC Compresses Inside Accumulation – Breakout or Final Shakeout On the 45-minute chart, Bitcoin is clearly transitioning from an impulsive sell-off into a broad accumulation phase, with price now rotating inside a well-defined range between roughly 88,400–90,400. The sharp downside move into the demand zone near 87,800–88,200 indicated sell-side exhaustion, and the strong reaction from that level confirms that buyers are actively defending lower prices. Since then, price has shifted into sideways behavior, marked by overlapping candles and repeated rejections at both range extremes — classic signs of balance after distribution, not immediate trend continuation.
Structurally, BTC remains below the declining EMA, which tells us that the broader short-term trend is still bearish. However, the failure to make new lower lows, combined with repeated absorption near demand, suggests that selling pressure is weakening. This type of compression often precedes a volatility expansion. As long as price holds above the demand zone, downside follow-through becomes increasingly difficult, favoring range continuation or a base-building process.
From here, two scenarios matter. If price continues to accept above 89,000–89,300 and eventually breaks and holds above the 90,400 range high, the structure shifts into a bullish breakout from accumulation, opening upside targets toward 91,200 → 92,800, where higher-timeframe liquidity sits. Conversely, a clean loss of 88,400 would invalidate the accumulation thesis and expose BTC to another sell-off toward 86,900–86,500.
In summary, Bitcoin is coiling inside accumulation after a completed markdown, with both buyers and sellers temporarily balanced. The market is no longer trending — it is preparing. Until a range break occurs, patience is key, but once expansion begins, the move is likely to be fast and decisive.
BITCOIN is done if it closes below the 1M Bollinger Basis.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading for the third straight month on the 1M Bollinger Bands Basis (black trend-line) and with only 5 days left to close the monthly candle, time is running out for a reversal.
That's because every time in the past 12 years that BTC closed a 1M candle below the BB Basis, it initiated Phase 2 of the Bear Cycle, and right now the price is sitting under it.
If it closes this way, Phase 2 should take it to at least the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has always been hit historically during a Bear Cycle and is in fact where the January 2015 and December 2018 bottoms got priced. Based on the last Bear Cycle though, we should even test the 1W MA350 (yellow trend-line), which is where the November 2022 bottom was formed.
If that happens, the Bear Cycle should bottom around $50000, which falls exactly in the middle of the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone, again consistent with all previous Cycle bottoms. Notice that only when BTC reclaimed and closed above the 1W MA200 again (March 2023) was the new Bull Cycle confirmed.
So what do you think? Will a 1M candle closing below the Bollinger Basis be that bad for Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – Trading Plan for Today | Jan 23🔥 Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – Trading Plan for Today | Jan 23
Bitcoin remains in a bearish higher-timeframe context.
Today’s session opened at the boundary of a key level, while
the weekly key level is located below the composite Point of Control,
keeping the bearish intraday bias intact.
Primary scenario (short)
Two valid scenarios are in play:
– A move into the upper daily zone, followed by a bearish reaction.
– A direct short reaction from current levels without a deep retracement.
Primary downside target
Lower daily zone (Day).
If momentum expands, continuation toward the reverse zone is possible.
Invalidation
The bearish scenario will be reconsidered only if price accepts above the upper daily zone,
which would weaken the current downside narrative.
If the idea was useful, support it 🚀 and follow.
This is not financial advice. Risk management is required.
BITCOIN Looks Still Bearish (8H)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it appears that a bearish Diagonal is forming. We are currently in wave D of this Diagonal, which itself is forming a triangle.
It seems that wave d of this triangle has completed, and the price is now attempting to enter wave e, which represents the final wave of the triangle. For the price to return toward the red zone, some bottoming and accumulation may be necessary, and this process could take time.
It’s important to note that in markets like Bitcoin, price action is not always purely natural. Large market participants, including market makers and institutional players such as banks, often influence the market, creating temporary squeezes, fake breakouts, or liquidity hunts. These movements can affect the timing and shape of waves, and they often drive price toward key liquidity zones before the market continues its intended structure.
Once this triangle is complete, we expect Bitcoin to resume its drop. However, if a daily candle closes above the invalidation level, this bearish scenario would be negated. Traders should keep in mind that patience is key, and observing volume, liquidity, and market manipulation patterns can provide valuable confirmation for the next move.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
BITCOIN (BTC/USDT) – Weekly Trading Plan | Until Jan 26BITCOIN (BTC/USDT) – Weekly Trading Plan | Until Jan 26
The weekly session opened below the key weekly level,
with the weekly level itself positioned below the previous week’s Point of Control,
confirming seller dominance and a bearish weekly context.
Price is currently trading below major weekly references,
keeping downside continuation as the priority.
Primary scenario (short)
As long as price remains below the weekly key level:
– 94,127
the bearish scenario remains valid.
Primary downside target:
– Weekly reverse zone:
– 85,438 – 83,681
This area may trigger a slowdown or a potential reaction.
Alternative scenario
The bearish scenario is invalidated
only if price accepts above the weekly level:
– 94,127
In that case, price may rotate back into the upper weekly range
with potential upside toward 97,940 – 98,180.
If the idea was useful, support it 🚀 and follow.
This is not financial advice. Risk management is required.
Gold Vs Bitcoin- I don’t publish much these days and right now, it’s very difficult to analyze Bitcoin in isolation.
- The market is currently heavily focused on metals, and retail investors usually rush into whatever is already pumping, which is precisely what you want to avoid.
- This chart is not a prediction, but it can help identify good entry zones to accumulate more BTC. What we need is confirmation. Gold has formed a double top breakout and moved above $5,000. From here, regardless of whether gold continues higher, the key is to wait for a bearish divergence and then rotate.
- When Bitcoin begins its next leg up, Gold.D should start to roll over. Until then, and until clear signals appear, the safest approach is to stay on the sidelines.
Sometimes, the best trade is not to trade at all, just wait patiently for the right opportunity.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTCUSD H1 – Compression Inside Range, Expansion Is ComingOn the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trapped in a well-defined sideways range after a sharp impulsive sell-off from the higher resistance area. That initial drop clearly shifted short-term momentum bearish, but instead of continuation, price has transitioned into range-bound behavior, signaling absorption and indecision between buyers and sellers. The market is now oscillating cleanly between the upper range resistance (~90,200–90,300) and the lower support zone (~87,800–88,200), with repeated wicks and overlapping candles — classic signs of balance, not trend.
From a structural perspective, this is not a trend yet, but a preparation phase. Liquidity is being built on both sides. The EMA is flattening and running through the middle of the range, reinforcing the idea that momentum is neutral and price is waiting for a catalyst. As long as BTC remains inside this sideways zone, trading the middle carries poor risk-reward, and patience is required.
Key scenarios going forward:
If buyers manage to hold above the support zone and break decisively above the range high, the upside opens toward the 93,000–94,000 resistance zone, where prior supply sits. That would confirm a successful absorption of sell pressure and a bullish range expansion.
However, a clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would invalidate the range and likely trigger a bearish continuation, opening the door toward deeper downside levels in the mid-85,000s, as indicated by the projected path.
BTC is in compression mode. The range will not last forever the next impulsive move will come from a confirmed breakout or breakdown, not from guessing inside the box. Let price show its hand, then act. Risk management remains key.
BTC IS BEARISH UNTIL 100K WILL BE BROKEN UPMorning folks,
So, our plan is working perfect. Once we've got 1st weekly bearish grabber, last week we've got another one . As we explained last time, Japan is the major reason of BTC sell-off now. And there is not light out of the woods yet.
It means that currently bullish chances look phantom, only if US will make political decision to help Japan. Yes, we could get some intraday spikes, driven by BlackRock, Strategy and Co, but they will be short term, like last week.
To change the sentiment market has to erase grabbers, and move above 100K area. If we get something like H&S on the picture - this is quite another tune. Then, yes, bulls could return control over the market.
But for now, completion of downside XOP at 78K on daily chart looks more probable. So, we consider no longs by far. And watching for rallies for possible short entry.
LTCUSDT - Hunting for liquidity before the fallBINANCE:LTCUSDT is consolidating below 70.0 before a possible continuation of the decline. The global trend is downward, liquidity is low...
After a sharp decline, the coin entered a consolidation phase, during which a cascade of support is observed, which may falsely indicate the presence of a buyer. The goal of such a maneuver may be to capture liquidity at 69.70 before falling to 65.0
Within the context of a downtrend and low liquidity, MM may form a retest of the 69.3-69.7 zone (liquidity area) to continue consolidation and further decline to 67-65.
Resistance levels: 69.30, 69.70
Support levels: 67.0, 65.3
A retest of the resistance and liquidity zone and the absence of bullish momentum may form a false breakout of the upper boundary of consolidation, which in turn may provoke a continuation of the decline towards both local targets and the global bottom...
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSDT - The battle for 90K may end in a decline BINANCE:BTCUSDT , against the backdrop of Trump's speech and various comments, caused a shake-up within the range of 87,800-90,300, but the price is consolidating below key resistance within the current downtrend...
The downtrend may continue if Bitcoin consolidates below 90K. There is a chance of this happening as there is still no fundamental support for the market. Everyone is talking about the "CLARITY Act" on cryptocurrencies, but there is no date for its signing, and there are rumors that the process may be postponed until late winter or mid-spring, leaving the market without a bullish driver.
The market is experiencing a phase of struggle for the 90K resistance zone. Bears are stubbornly resisting, forming a false breakout and consolidation below resistance. The structure could be broken if there is an impulsive breakout of the 90,500 zone and the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone, but the bears have formed a fairly strong resistance zone.
Resistance levels: 90,400, 91,400
Support levels: 87800, 85000
I do not rule out another attempt to retest the 90350 zone, but if the bears keep the price below 90K, the market will have no chance for growth. In this case, a pullback to 89K - 88K can be considered.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC: There is an H1 pattern, but daily volume is against buyingHi traders and investors!
The seller defended the weekly level at 90,128. We can see three buyer candle wicks there that failed to break and hold above this level. After that, yesterday a seller candle formed on the daily timeframe with solid volume. More details are covered in the previous review.
On the hourly timeframe, a false breakout pattern of the lower boundary of the range has formed. However, considering long positions here is extremely risky.
The reason is that the daily seller candle formed on increased volume, with the main volume accumulated in the upper part of the candle. Buying against such a signal carries a high level of risk.
Given the overall context, the priority scenario is to look for short setups, targeting the daily seller target at 83,822.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Next Volatility Period: Around February 7th
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I believe BTC is currently at a critical crossroads, where it's either going to continue its uptrend or turn into a downtrend.
(BTCUSDT 1M Chart)
Therefore, support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is crucial.
Looking at this month's candlestick chart, the StochRSI 20 indicator appears to have formed a new point, rising from 37,155.0 to 87,550.43.
Therefore, caution is advised, as a decline below 87,550.43 could lead to a decline toward the next support and resistance level, near 73,499.86.
Even if the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart rises above the OBV High indicator at 97,954.51, an uptrend is expected only if it rises above this level.
-
(1W chart)
The key is whether the price can rise along the rising trend line (1).
Furthermore, to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is crucial to see if the price can rise above the 91013.65 level, which is the StochRSI 50 indicator point, to find support.
-
(1D chart)
The next volatility period is expected to begin around February 7th.
However, since the volatility period shown on the 1W chart is in April, the main volatility period is expected to occur in April.
As the next volatility period passes, the key point to watch is whether the price continues to rise along the rising trend line (1).
Therefore, the price must remain above 89524.74 at the very least.
Currently, the M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart, so a complete reversal has not yet occurred.
Therefore, if support is found near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart this time, it is expected to move upwards above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Considering these points,
1. Key areas to protect: Left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (87814.27) ~ Left Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (93570.28)
To protect the first key area, support is needed around the 84739.74 ~ 87944.84 area.
To turn to an uptrend and continue the uptrend, the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart must rise above this level. Based on the current position, this is expected to occur only if the price rises above 95330.17.
-
(15m chart)
For the Heikin-Ashi candlestick to turn bullish, it needs to rise near 92631.0. It's rising.
Based on the chart movement, I believe a rise above 92631.0 will signal a reversal.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing near 92631.0, we believe the price must ultimately rise above the M-Signal indicator to maintain its upward momentum.
My basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, it could exhibit a step-like upward trend. If the price falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, it could exhibit a step-like downward trend.
Therefore, it's recommended to trade using a split trading method.
Looking at the current 15m chart, the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators were generated and then rose, but only slightly, generating the DOM(60) indicator.
Therefore, to sustain the upward trend, the DOM(60) indicator must break above the level.
Once you've identified a key point or range, you need to determine whether a break above that point or range can sustain the upward trend.
For this purpose, we use the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators.
The StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators should all be showing upward trends.
If possible, the StochRSI indicator should not have entered an overbought zone. The TC indicator should remain at 0.
The OBV indicator should remain above the High Line.
If the above conditions hold when the DOM (60) indicator breaks above, an attempt to rise above 92631.0 is expected.
If not, a decline towards the HA-Low indicator is likely.
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The final destination is likely to be near the 69K to 73499.86 range, as mentioned at the start of the decline.
However, as always, there is a possibility of a smaller decline and a subsequent rise. Therefore, we need to closely monitor the upward trend, especially when the price rises above the left Fibonacci 2.618 (87814.27) to left Fibonacci 3.14 (93570.28) range and sustains.
Every investor wants to buy at a lower price. However, caution is required, as buying when the price is in a downward trend can be extremely burdensome.
Currently, the price is near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart, so if the price falls, it is likely to experience a step-down trend.
This step-down trend ultimately signals a reversal to the upside, so aggressive buying is acceptable. However, investment allocation should be adjusted, as additional buying will be necessary when the HA-Low indicator is met again.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 2798.20 BPC 5© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework
Bolzen Market Institute
🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector.
TradingView Publication Date: 26.12.2025
🏷 2798.20 — price not yet reached at time of publication.
🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks.
🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard.
🏷 Static Tape 1: price published in the order of energy block production.
🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not chronologically, but by block execution priority. Crucially, do not confuse: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution sequence records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic tape is tied to proprietary energy production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it.
🏷 The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 5
EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω²
📎 Screenshot
🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations.
The Architect
BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 2799.17 BPC 5© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework
Bolzen Market Institute
🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector.
TradingView Publication Date: 24.12.2025
🏷 2799.17 — price not yet reached at time of publication.
🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks.
🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard.
🏷 Static Tape 1: price published in the order of energy block production.
🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not chronologically, but by block execution priority. Crucially, do not confuse: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution sequence records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic tape is tied to proprietary energy production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it.
🏷 The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 5
EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω²
📎 Screenshot
📎 Architect’s Commentary:
I express my gratitude to TradingView moderation for their constructive collaboration and for enabling the demonstration of analytical artifacts during their evolutionary phase. Publishing charts in prefactum mode is not merely a technique—it is a method of future verification through structure. This is quantum analytics under BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant.
The permanent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains openly accessible and is intended for international institutional review.
🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations.
The Architect
BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant






















