BTC: The Premium Zone Trap (4H vs 1H)Bitcoin is at a decisive junction. We are trading in the Premium Zone ($93,700+) with a clear conflict between timeframes. The 4H screams exhaustion (RSI 70.7 + Low Volume), while the 1H structure remains stubbornly bullish, holding above the $92,102 demand zone. The structure is intact, but the conviction is missing.
1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY (4H + 1H)
📉 We are seeing a divergence between price action and momentum:
• The Trap (4H): Price is in the Premium sell zone. RSI is overbought (70.7) and volume is down 41% at these highs. This is classic "divergence" behavior, price grinding up while participation drops.
• The Floor (1H): Despite the macro exhaustion, the 1H timeframe has cooled off (RSI 42.9) and is respecting the Ascending Support Trendline ($92,306).
• The Magnet: We have a bearish OB supply overhead at $94,760, but a juicy unfilled FVG sitting below at $90,189. Price hates leaving these gaps open.
2. THE CONFLICT: MOMENTUM VS. STRUCTURE ⚖️
Bearish Case (The Exhaustion):
• Volume has collapsed 66% on the 1H timeframe.
• MACD is printing bearish divergence on the 4H.
• 14.1% wick rejection at the $94,760 local top suggests sellers are active.
Bullish Case (The Trend):
• CHoCH and BOS are both confirmed bullish.
• Price is holding above all major EMAs (20/50/200).
• Buyers are defending the $92,102 Order Block.
3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯
We play the reaction, not the prediction. Here are the two probability paths:
🔴 Scenario A: The Premium Rejection (Higher Probability) If volume fails to return, gravity takes over.
• Trigger: Loss of the 1H support trendline ($92,300)
• Target 1: $90,189 (Filling the 4H FVG)
• Target 2: $86,760 (Major Swing Low)
• Invalidation: 4H Close above $94,760
🟢 Scenario B: The Demand Reclaim If the 1H structure holds, we squeeze the shorts.
• Trigger: Bounce from $92,102 (Bullish OB) with increasing volume
• Target: $94,760 (Range High) → $96,000 Extension
• Stop: Tight below $91,900
MY VERDICT Short-term structure is bullish, but the "fuel" (volume) is empty. I am leaning 68% bearish (expecting a sweep of the $90k FVG) unless we see a massive volume injection above $94k. Patience is the play, let the $92,100 level dictate the next move.
MARKET ROTATION WATCHLIST
📋 While Bitcoin consolidates in this premium zone, liquidity often rotates into specific altcoin setups that are lagging behind.
I am updating my watchlist today for coins that are showing cleaner structure than BTC.
Btc-e
BTCUSDT: Pullback Toward Demand ZoneHi!
Bitcoin is showing short-term weakness after failing to hold above the recent high. Price is currently trading below the local resistance area, suggesting a corrective pullback rather than continuation.
The highlighted demand zone around 90.4K–90.9K is a key area to watch. This level previously acted as resistance and was later flipped into support.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 93.1K–94.4K
• Demand / Support: 90.4K–90.9K
Downside Target:
• 90,500 (primary demand zone)
As long as price remains below resistance, a deeper retracement into demand is likely. Reaction at support will determine the next directional move.
BTCUSDT.P - January 8, 2026Bitcoin is trading below former support at 90,000–90,200, which is now acting as firm resistance, keeping the short-term bias bearish. A short entry is favored on retracements into 89,850–90,050, with profit targets near 87,700–87,900 at the next major support zone. A stop-loss should be placed above 91,200–91,400, as a move back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
SOLUSDT is poised to break support before falling Manipulative pumping of volumes to attract buyers to the bear market. The retest of the 140-142 zone ended with a short squeeze and turned into a decline in tandem with a decline in market volumes
After attempting to rise above 140.0, Solana formed a reversal pattern, the market changed character, and the local structure broke down, indicating a bearish sentiment.
If the coin closes below 134, the market may intensify the sell-off and decline to 128.75 - 124.25
Scenario: A retest of 134.2 - 136.8 may confirm market weakness. If the price consolidates below this area, it may cause further price decline
HBAR – Rejected at Key Resistance, Retracement Entry OpportunityHBAR recently rejected hard at the $0.135 resistance zone, showing sellers still dominate at that level. However, a breakout and successful flip of $0.135 into support could ignite the next leg upward. With price currently retracing, this sets up a solid opportunity for a spot long position on the dip.
📍 Entry Zone: $0.1175 – $0.1243
🛑 Stop-Loss: Just below $0.1125
🎯 Take Profits:
• TP1: $0.135
• TP2: $0.15 – $0.165
• TP3: $0.19 – $0.21
If the $0.135 level flips cleanly with volume, expect bulls to regain momentum. As always, manage risk accordingly and monitor how price reacts at these zones.
AVAX Update – Watch for Pullback to Key SupportAVAX has rallied nearly +23% since our last trade idea and is now facing strong resistance. The move has been sharp, but price is showing signs of exhaustion here, and we expect a pullback before any further upside. This creates a solid opportunity to position for the next wave.
🔍 We're targeting a long spot entry around $13.30, which lines up with a previous support zone. This level offers a good risk/reward window, especially with confirmation from past price structure.
📌 Trade Plan:
Long Entry: ~$13.30
Take Profit Targets: $15.00 – $17.10, $18.50 – $21.00
Stop Loss: Below $12.70
BTC - Demand Did Its Job. Now Watching the ChannelBTC reacted exactly where it was supposed to... the blue demand zone held, and buyers stepped in!
Since that reaction, price has started to shift short-term momentum to the upside, forming a rising channel. Nothing aggressive yet, but structure is slowly improving.
From here, my focus is simple:
as long as BTC keeps trading within this blue channel, I’ll be patiently looking for pullbacks toward the lower bound, and from there, trend-following long setups.
The natural upside magnet remains the orange structure zone, which is still acting as the key decision area.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 3088.86 BPC 9© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework
Bolzen Market Institute
🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector.
TradingView Publication Date: 07.01.2026
🏷 3088.86 — price not yet reached at time of publication.
🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 9
Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks.
🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard.
🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence.
🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it.
EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω²
📎 Screenshot:
🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above.
🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent):
🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations.
— The Architect
BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
#EURJPY , BuySide QuickScalp ?📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #EURJPY
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
Lets have it in BUY side as well .
🚀 Trading Plan:
• Wait for Momentum around key levels
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED
• Manage risk aggressively, protect capital first
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
Bitcoin CME Gaps (1H)Bitcoin currently has two unfilled CME gaps located in the lower price regions. Historically, CME gaps tend to act as strong magnets for price, as Bitcoin often revisits these areas to fill the gaps before resuming its primary trend. While this behavior is not guaranteed, it has occurred frequently enough to be considered an important factor in technical analysis.
At the moment, the first CME gap is positioned in the 91K–90K zone, which represents a relatively shallow pullback area and could be tested during a normal corrective move. If selling pressure increases or the market enters a deeper retracement phase, the second CME gap located around 88K may come into play as a stronger downside target.
These levels should be monitored closely, as price reactions around CME gaps can provide valuable insight into market strength, liquidity absorption, and potential trend continuation. A clean fill followed by strong bullish confirmation could indicate that the market is preparing for the next leg higher. Conversely, failure to reclaim these levels may suggest extended consolidation or deeper correction.
As always, CME gaps should be analyzed in confluence with other technical tools such as market structure, support and resistance zones, volume behavior, and momentum indicators. They are not standalone signals, but when combined with broader market context, they can significantly improve trade planning and risk management.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
BITCOIN Realized Price shows where the bottom might be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has always priced its bottom below its Realized Price (red trend-line) on every signal Bear Cycle it had.
In fact the bottom was considerably lower than the Realized Price. The last two Bear Cycles (2022 and 2018) have had fairly similar bottoms, dropping by -33.80% and -35.45% respectively from the moment the price broke below the Realized Price.
Based on where the Realized Price is now (which by the time BTC hits it, will be lower) a rounded up -30% decline would have us reach $39000. The Realized Price deviation band (orange cloud) however would be just under $45000 towards the end of the year (which is roughly when we expect the Bear Cycle to end)
As a result, a fair bottom zone could be $45000 - $39000.
Do you think that's a feasible level to expect? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin - Weekly Trend Holds, $146K Fib Extension NextBitcoin Weekly Structure Intact: $90K Support Holding, $146K Extension Target
Bitcoin is respecting the weekly uptrend structure with current consolidation around the $90K zone.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $72,395 held as support during the recent correction, and price is now positioned for the next leg higher targeting the -0.618 Fibonacci extension at $146,676. Historical precedent from August 2024 suggests this pattern could repeat.
📊 Current Technical Picture:
Weekly Trend: The ascending trendline from the 2023 lows remains intact. Price is consolidating above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $79,487, showing the correction has found support.
Multiple weekly closes above $90K would confirm continuation setup.
Key Fibonacci Levels: The 0.618 retracement at $72,395 acted as strong support during the pullback.
Current price around $90K sits between the 0.5 Fib ($79,487) and the 0.382 Fib ($86,578). The 0.236 Fib at $95,383 is the next resistance to clear.
Upside Target: The -0.618 Fibonacci extension projects to $146,676, representing 63% upside from current $90K levels.
🔄 August 2024 Precedent:
What Happened Then: In August 2024, Bitcoin consolidated at the 0.5 Fibonacci level around $49,366. After confirming support, price launched into a powerful rally that extended to the previous all-time high zone near $73,000. The move delivered approximately 48% gains in just a few months.
The Pattern: Consolidation at mid-range Fibonacci level. Weekly trend confirmation with higher lows. Breakout above resistance. Extension to Fibonacci projection target. Volume expansion on the move higher.
Why It Matters: The current setup mirrors August 2024 structure. Bitcoin is consolidating at a key Fibonacci support zone with the weekly trend intact. If the pattern repeats, the measured move targets the $146K extension level.
📈 Why $146K Target:
Fibonacci Extension Math: From the cycle low to the previous high, the -0.618 extension projects to $146,676. This isn't arbitrary, it's based on the golden ratio mathematical relationship that Bitcoin has respected throughout its history.
Market Cap Context: $146K Bitcoin equals approximately $2.9 trillion market cap. While this seems aggressive, it represents similar percentage gains to previous bull cycle extensions. The 2020-2021 cycle saw Bitcoin go from $10K to $69K, a 590% gain. From current $90K to $146K is 63%, conservative by historical standards.
Institutional Backdrop: Spot ETF inflows, corporate treasury adoption, and nation-state interest provide fundamental support for the technical projection. The infrastructure for six-figure Bitcoin now exists.
🎯 The Setup:
Support Zone: $90K holding as current consolidation floor. Deeper support at $79,487 (0.5 Fib) and $72,395 (0.618 Fib) if needed.
Resistance to Clear: $95,383 (0.236 Fib) is immediate resistance. Break above this level with volume confirms the next leg up is beginning.
Target: $146,676 (-0.618 Fibonacci extension). This represents the measured move if the weekly trend continues and Bitcoin follows the August 2024 playbook.
Timeframe: If the pattern mirrors August 2024, the move could take 3-6 months to fully develop. Expect consolidation periods along the way.
📊 Weekly Trend Analysis:
Trendline Intact: The ascending trendline from 2023 lows has not been violated. Every test of this trendline has resulted in continuation higher. Current price action is respecting this structure.
Higher Lows Pattern: Bitcoin continues to form higher lows on the weekly timeframe. The recent low around $90K is above the previous correction low. This is textbook uptrend behavior.
Volume Profile: The consolidation at $90K is occurring on declining volume, typical of healthy corrections. When the breakout occurs, volume expansion should confirm the move.
Moving Averages: Weekly 21 EMA and 50 EMA are both rising underneath price, providing dynamic support. Price has remained above these key moving averages throughout the trend.
🔄 August 2024 Comparison:
Then: Consolidated at $49K after pullback. Tested 0.5 Fibonacci support multiple times. Weekly trend remained intact. Launched to $73K (48% gain).
Now: Consolidating at $90K after pullback. Testing 0.5 Fibonacci area. Weekly trend remains intact. Targeting $146K (63% gain projected).
The Parallel: Same Fibonacci retracement level. Same weekly trend structure. Same consolidation behavior. If history repeats, similar explosive move higher.
🚀 Catalysts for the Move:
Spot ETF Flows: Institutional accumulation continues through Bitcoin ETFs. Daily inflows provide consistent buying pressure that supports upward momentum.
Halving Cycle: The April 2024 halving historically leads to bull market peaks 12-18 months later. We're now 9 months post-halving, entering the typical acceleration phase.
Macro Environment: Potential Fed rate cuts in 2025 would benefit Bitcoin as a scarce asset. Liquidity conditions improving supports risk assets.
Nation-State Adoption: Countries and corporations continue adding Bitcoin to treasuries. This long-term HODLing reduces available supply.
⚠️ What Could Invalidate:
Weekly Close Below $72K: If Bitcoin closes a weekly candle below the 0.618 Fibonacci at $72,395, the trend structure is compromised. This would suggest the correction is deeper than anticipated.
Trendline Break: A decisive break below the ascending weekly trendline would indicate trend failure. This is the critical support that must hold for the bullish thesis.
Macro Shock: Recession, financial crisis, or major risk-off event could override technical structure. Bitcoin still correlates with broader risk sentiment.
Volume Failure: If Bitcoin attempts to break $95K without volume expansion, it suggests lack of conviction. Sustainable moves require volume confirmation.
🧠 Why Most Will Miss This:
At $90K Now: "It's already up so much from $16K, too risky to buy here."
At $110K: "Should have bought at $90K, I'll wait for a pullback."
At $130K: "This is a bubble, it's going to crash."
At $146K: "Why didn't I buy at $90K when it was obvious?"
The Pattern: Early entries feel uncomfortable. Confirmation feels late. Obvious is actually late. Right now, at $90K with weekly trend intact, is still early for the $146K target.
⚠️ Important Disclaimers:
This analysis is for educational purposes and reflects a technical view based on Fibonacci extensions, historical pattern recognition, and weekly timeframe structure. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell Bitcoin or any cryptocurrency.
Cryptocurrency investing carries extreme risk. Bitcoin can experience 20-30% corrections even during bull markets. The $146K target is a mathematical projection based on Fibonacci ratios, not a guaranteed outcome.
The August 2024 comparison is based on similar technical setups, but past patterns do not guarantee future results. Each market phase has unique characteristics and risks.
Weekly trend analysis provides structure but can fail during major market dislocations. The 0.618 Fibonacci support could break, invalidating the bullish thesis.
Position sizing must account for Bitcoin's volatility. Never invest more than you can afford to lose completely. Cryptocurrency should represent only a portion of a diversified portfolio.
Always conduct independent research, manage risk appropriately, and consider your investment timeframe and risk tolerance. All cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss.
BTC KEY TO DIRECTIONMorning folks,
As we said last time, the bearish scenario is not off the table. In fact, market now stands in a big triangle which is the key. BTC now is challenging 90K support. If it will be broken, the next is the last one around 88K. Downside breakout will open road to 75-78K lows again.
Now I do not see any good buying opportunities and prefer to watch for market reaction on major support levels.
EURUSD Compressing Into a Triangle — Volatility ExpansionEURUSD on H1 is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle, reflecting a clear contraction phase after the prior bearish move. The market is no longer trending impulsively; instead, price is compressing between descending resistance and ascending support, signaling indecision and energy build-up.
Structurally, sellers remain in control below the descending trendline, while buyers are gradually stepping in at higher lows. Price is trading below the EMA 50, which continues to act as dynamic resistance and reinforces the corrective nature of the current price action rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
A key supply / reaction zone around 1.1700–1.1710 has already caused multiple rejections. This area is critical for short-term direction, as acceptance above it would signal a shift in momentum, while rejection keeps the compression bearish-neutral.
At the same time, the rising trendline support is holding, preventing immediate continuation to the downside. This confirms that the market is waiting for a break-and-confirm before committing to the next directional move.
Bullish scenario: A clean breakout above the descending trendline, followed by acceptance above 1.1710, would confirm bullish continuation toward 1.1750 and potentially 1.1780.
Bearish scenario: Failure to break resistance and a confirmed breakdown below the ascending support would expose downside targets toward 1.1680, with extension risk toward 1.1650.
Until a breakout occurs, entries inside the triangle carry elevated risk. Patience is key — the best opportunities will come after confirmation, not while price remains compressed within the structure.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #258👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let’s move on to the Bitcoin analysis, today the market is going through a correction.
⏳ 4-hour timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, after Bitcoin reached the 94478 resistance, it entered a corrective phase and its bullish momentum decreased significantly.
✔️ In the first corrective leg, price retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, and since then it has retraced down to the 0.618 level.
💥 The 0.618 Fibonacci area overlaps with 90373, forming a strong PRZ. If Bitcoin’s next bullish wave is going to start, price can build a bottom here and begin its upward move.
✨ If the correction extends further, the next support is 89040. If this level is also lost, price can move down toward the main low at 86855, in which case the entire bullish move we had so far becomes a fakeout.
🔔 If price finds support right here at 90373, we can open a long position after the structural break that Bitcoin creates. The main confirmation for the start of the next bullish wave will be the break of 94478.
🎲 For a short position, I will wait until price stabilizes below 90373, and then I will look for a trigger.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off 61.8% Fib SupportThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 89,685.29, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 86,649.35, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 93,898.42, which is a multi swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
ETH/USDT | new ATH ahead in 6 Months! (READ THE CAPTION)Ethereum rallied to $3,300 and is currently attempting to hold above this level. If price stabilizes above $3,300 within the next 24 hours, the next short-term targets are $3,450 and $3,620. A clean break above $3,620 could accelerate momentum toward $3,850 and $4,000. The $2,100–$2,700 demand zone remains a strong institutional support, and as long as Ethereum stays above it, the medium-term outlook remains bullish with a high probability of reaching a new all-time high in the first half of the year.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD 📊 FX:GBPUSD Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe)
The overall trend is decisively bullish, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows. The price is currently trading well above the EMA 200 (black line), which maintains a positive slope, confirming long-term upward momentum 📈. While the EMA 50 (red line) is currently acting as immediate dynamic support, we see a slight exhaustion in the last few candles near the recent peak. The price is presently in a minor corrective phase (wave 5), testing the strength of the buyers near the 1.34753 USD level. As long as the price holds above the previous broken resistance turned support at 1.34200 USD, the bullish structure remains intact for a continuation toward the next measured move 🚀.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Target Resistance 1: 1.35250 USD (Recent Swing High) 🎯
Target Resistance 2: 1.36000 USD (Major Grey Box) 🚩
Major Upside Target: 1.37290 USD (Next Structural Level) 🏆
Immediate Support: 1.34200 USD (Grey Box/Flip Zone) 💡
Intermediate Support: 1.33100 USD & 1.32000 USD (Dashed Lines) ⚡
Primary Demand Origin: 1.30300 USD (Main Grey Box) 🛡️
#BTC/USDT - Where the 2026 Bottom Might Actually Form ( Short) #BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the upper limit and is heading towards breaking it. A retest of the upper limit is expected.
We have an upward trend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the upper limit. A downward reversal is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 944650. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again.
We have a trend of consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it. This supports a downward move towards touching this level.
Entry price: 93500
First target: 93006
Second target: 92509
Third target: 91866
Stop loss: Above the support zone in green.
Don't forget a simple thing: capital management.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
SUI Pullback Setup – Eyeing the Next Leg UpSUI has rallied impressively from the ~$1.40 area into strong resistance at $2.00. This move confirms bullish strength, but we’re now seeing signs of exhaustion near this resistance zone. A short-term pullback is expected, which could offer a better entry point for the next leg higher.
📍 Entry Zone: Watching for a dip toward $1.65, which aligns with potential support from previous structure and could act as a launchpad for buyers to re-enter.
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: $2.20 – $2.50
• TP2: $3.00 – $3.30
❌ Stop-Loss: Just below $1.50, to protect against a deeper correction or invalidation of the bullish setup.






















