ETHEREUM - Consolidation near 3150 ahead of rallyBINANCE:ETHUSDT.P is rising after breaking through trend resistance and consolidating. The main trend remains bearish, but there are local indications of bullish support. The 3150 trigger is ahead.
Bitcoin is strengthening amid geopolitical nuances, acting as a hedging factor (locally). A rise in the leading cryptocurrency could support Ethereum, which, in turn, could trigger a breakout of 3150 and a subsequent rally.
Ethereum is consolidating near 3150, forming resistance (a trigger). Technically, consolidation continues, and the coin may test local lows at 3120-3100 before retesting 3150 and continuing the rally.
Resistance levels: 3150, 3200, 3270
Support levels: 3120, 3100, 3077
If the pullback is not deep and the price quickly returns to retest 3150, then we can continue to monitor the coin, waiting for a signal to long...
If the bulls hold the price above resistance after breaking through 3150, this move could trigger continued growth toward 3200-3270.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Btc-e
$BTC Relief Rally Looks Promising₿itcoin showing some real promise here, but got rejected on the Daily Close for the key support zone that it needs to reclaim at the .618 fib ~$94,2k
It did close above the 50DEMA and we have a bullish cross with the 9DEMA on the horizon which should drop us into the new support zone.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC really needs some closes above $97k to make this rally a reality tho.
The next target would be the 50WMA ~$101,5 which could be the critical rejection point where most would be offloading.
The bearish Weekly Close on TVC:GOLD helps confirm this rally.
BTC TO 92XXX First after a pull back TO 97-98XXXBTC is resisting to drop . so if we look at the last 3 months we have been falling. Then we need to think simple. If BTC is not dropping fram that level, then must go up alittle. Also notice MACD in circled...To me, BTC will go to and see 92xxx First, after a pull back to 97-98xxx before Xmas or just after Xmas as a gift.
Bitcoin looks positive in short term: what’s the story behind?Bitcoin looks positive in the short term: what’s the story behind it?
From a technical perspective, the picture remains clearly strong.
• FRVP POC stands at 87.3K. As long as price holds above this level, the positive narrative remains intact. This zone also represents a key area of cost concentration in the short term.
• ADX at 51.5 confirms that the trend is strong. This suggests the move is not a weak bounce, but a well-defined directional trend.
• RSI has moved above 80 (4h). While this increases the probability of a short-term profit-taking pullback, it also signals that momentum remains strong.
Any pullbacks from here are more likely to be healthy corrections rather than structural breakdowns. In this scenario, with minor retracements, price could test the Fibonacci levels at 98K and then 103K.
In summary:
Short-term cooling is normal, but from a data perspective, the trend is still working in Bitcoin’s favor.
Bitcoin recovers, set to move back above $100,000Bitcoin just hit the highest price since the bearish breakdown, we have a local uptrend, a technical confirmation of the relief rally and recovery.
First, we used the chart signals to predict a reversal and relief rally. Now, it is confirmed based on Bitcoin's price action. We have higher highs and higher lows since 21-November. This fully reveals that we are headed higher in the coming weeks. All the altcoins are also recovering and/or moving forward for a while now.
In the last 24 hours, $216.2M worth of SHORT positions have been liquidated, vs only $11.7M worth of LONGs. This clearly reveals an overwhelming bearish bias and sentiment on Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
What happens when the sentiment changes from bearish to bullish? What happens when the market realizes that we are headed up?
I'll tell you, a massive bullish run.
Namaste.
05/01/26 Weekly OutlookHappy new year everyone!
As 2026 begins BTC bulls will be looking to continue last weeks momentum continuing this LTF rally from mid $80,000's towards 2025's yearly open of $93,300.
Liquidity in theory should support this continuation move as year end window dressing is over, the Fed have begun to inject cash into the markets again having ended QT. It is also important to note that BTC ETF's had a net inflow of $460m last week which does look positive for the bulls.
This week I would be looking very closely at weekly high and any price acceptance above that level. That would mean $100,000 major resistance level is the next step for this rally but it is a huge hurdle to jump, with $108,000 being an even bigger one after that.
Should the weekly high fail to hold once again a rangebound SFP play is the logical move, with midpoint ($89,300) and weekly low (86,800) the targets for the bears.
CELO at a Key Inflection Point | Price OutlookELO has been consolidating since mid-December after a steep 62% decline from November’s highs.
📅 Thursday’s upcoming event could be the catalyst to break this range.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
Breakout above $0.1318 could target resistance near $0.1401, within December 15’s bearish weekly void.
Further upside may stall at $0.1438–$0.1463, overlapping multiple voids and October’s swing low.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
First support sits at $0.1227 (Jan 3 daily void), with confluence from:
$0.1215 (Dec 30 rejection),
$0.1197 (Dec 22 weekly rejection), and
$0.1089 (Jan 1 swing low).
These are key zones where accumulation and stop defense may be active.
BTC Update — 92K Zone as Bull Run Trigger (100K+ Scenario)Bitcoin is approaching a critical decision zone around 92K, which is acting as a major pivot for the next macro move. Price action shows consolidation and higher acceptance just below resistance, suggesting strength is building rather than distribution.
Why 92K Matters
📍 Key reclaim zone: 92K has historically acted as a strong resistance/support flip.
📈 Structure shift: Sustained trading above this level would confirm a higher high on the intraday structure.
🔊 Volume context: Current compression indicates that once volume expands, the move could be fast and directional.
Bullish Scenario
A confirmed breakout and hold above 92K can be the start of a broader bull phase.
From this zone, BTC has a high probability to accelerate toward 100K+, with momentum-driven extensions possible once psychological resistance is cleared.
Pullbacks above 92K would likely be seen as retests, not reversals.
Invalidation / Risk
Failure to hold 92K after a breakout would delay the move and keep BTC range-bound.
As long as price holds above the current base, downside risk remains controlled.
Summary
This 92K zone is the ignition level.
If BTC accepts above it with volume, the market structure opens the door for a strong bullish continuation toward 100K and beyond.
📌 Patience here is key — confirmation turns this zone into the launchpad.
So, Maduro's capture is good for BITCOIN ??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and especially the altcoin market, has been rising strongly every since Maduro's capture by the U.S., which is the most dominant macro geopolitical event since perhaps Trump's global tariffs a little less than a year ago.
So what does that mean, that such an act is good for the crypto market? Well not quite. Macro economic and geopolitical unrest events like this have acted as catalysts for major market movements that rarely are to the upside.
Some may argue that BTC is purely acting on its original inception role, a safe haven against times of uncertainty/ volatility. But what we see on these first trading days of 2026, is that the market is so far following the historical Bear Cycle print that all previous cycles followed.
What's that? It broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in over 2 months, marking the first Low of the new Bear Cycle. What all previous Bear Cycles did when that break-out took place, was a short-term rebound (counter trend rally) that always hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and got rejected. In 2 times out of 3, it also tested the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the recent Low.
After that 1D MA200 test was concluded, the bearish trend was resumed and the price bottomed towards the end of that year. In 2 out of 3 Cycles again, the bottom was at or below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Cycle Low. Only the 2014 Cycle differed but that's to be expected as it was the first one and at the same time most aggressive. The current 0.382 Fib with a Target price of $56700, would be much less aggressive, which is natural due to the Theory of Diminishing Returns and Bitcoin's price stabilization as mass adoption kicks in more and more with each passing Cycle.
As a result, what we still think (presented this possibility over a month ago) the market will do now is rally towards 100k and then start Phase 2 of the Bear Cycle to bottom at least on $56700.
Do you agree that's a viable scenario? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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1W WIF Chart: Potential bottom on WIF? I’m watching WIF cautiously on the weekly, but it’s now firmly on my radar for a potential bottoming process, along with other SOL ecosystem meme coins.
After a prolonged and aggressive downtrend from the highs, downside momentum has slowed materially. Price is no longer cascading lower and is instead compressing near the lows, which is often how these assets begin transitioning from distribution into early accumulation. This isn’t a reversal yet, but it is a change in behavior.
Structurally, WIF is spending time building value near the bottom of its range rather than bouncing and failing immediately. Volatility has contracted significantly compared to prior selloffs, and each push lower is attracting quicker responses from buyers, even if they’re still cautious.
I’m not assuming this is a bottom, but this is the zone where bottoms typically form if they’re going to form at all. The key for me will be time and confirmation: higher lows, reduced sell pressure, and eventually a reclaim of prior weekly resistance. Until then, patience is critical.
This same dynamic is starting to show up across several SOL meme names, which makes it worth monitoring as a group rather than in isolation. For now, this remains a watch-and-wait situation, with risk management front and center and no need to force exposure before the structure proves itself.
Let the chart explainFirstly, HAPPY NEW YEAR!!
In terms of the chart, people seem not to understand - candlesticks provide a whole lot of info. The majority of indicators are reflections of old price action.
Last year I covered several posts on mechanical structures and the associated techniques. Here's one;
Let's give an example here using GBPUSD.
This is how you can simplify your trading.
First, identify the larger range.
There are two obvious things that stand out in this example; firstly the trend itself and secondly, the break of the structure that caused the new low.
The reason they are important is to show the momentum (orderflow), in other words, who's in control.
We could do this in several ways - the mechanical is just a simple way to allow you to repeat the same process almost on autopilot.
Once you can spot the obvious without much effort, the ranges become a lot easier and the analysis is done in under one minute.
Now I have my range, next step I can look for some rationale as to where and why a Pull Back is likely to come to.
For clarification
Just to show you, a simple way to do this is use the volume profile tool and just cover range high or low to the opposing high or low.
So why here?
Well, to understand this, there are some other interesting areas to look into, such as supply and demand (not for this post) but in simple terms, it was this supply that made the new low.
OK, so if you get this so far. Another post that might be useful for you is one of my posts from 2021 here on @TradingView. This, is a lesson on Dow Theory.
Once you understand the primary range is what was drawn, you can then shift your attention to the secondary trend.
If you remember, how we broke down the external range. You can now see an internal range formed.
If this low had been taken out - the story would be completely different. This would have given more reason for the Pullback to be over and done with.
But in the example, the low held and that means it is still in the Pullback phase. So, unless the larger range high in broken. Indicating a larger trend shift.
The logic is simple, look for changes of character on the smaller ranges and watch them fall like dominoes. Once the secondary trend switches to your favour (back down, in the example) then you have some good, high probability setups on the cards.
Happy New Year to you all, again!
2026 is going to be another AWESOME YEAR!!!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Is Bitcoin on the verge of a bullish move? (4H)This analysis is an update to the previous one, which you can find in the related analyses section.
The previous analysis is still valid, and Wave D of this diametric pattern needs to complete. Since trading volume was low and it was the end of the year, this move has taken longer.
I had marked a red line in the previous analysis, noting that as long as this line isn’t convincingly broken, the price cannot recover. In the past, every time the price approached this line, it was quickly rejected but now, after moving above this red line, it hasn’t been rejected yet.
We’ve marked Bitcoin’s targets on the chart.
Let’s see how it plays out.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
Bitcoin: Renewed optimism for 2026?The year 2025 was pretty tough for the crypto market, with significant corrections in the value of coins, however, it seems that the year 2026 started with renewed optimism. During the first trading day in this year, BTC moved from the $88K levels and tested the $90K currently strong resistance line. The question that currently remains is when the BTC will have strength to finally test the next resistance and strong psychological level at $100K?
The RSI finally managed to move above the 50 level, indicating that the market is slowly moving toward the overbought market side. At the same time, the MA50 continues to strongly diverge from MA200, indicating that there will be no cross in the near term period.
During the previous week the majority of market participants were on New Year’s holidays, in which sense, liquidity was not at higher levels on financial markets. Monday will be the day of the actual first trading week in this year, in which sense, it could be expected some increased volatility. If Friday's move was only a small reflection of the current market sentiment, then we can expect a final break of the $90K resistance level, where the next target for BTC will be the $95K up to $100K range. In case that geopolitics and macro data affect the market sentiment, in this case BTC will again shortly pull back toward the $88K. In any case, what the first trading day showed is that the liquidity is there and just waits for the right moment to return back to crypto.
BTC Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:BTC
🎯 Price remains in a shallow corrective phase, similar to previous price behaviour. Bitcoin remains up 420% since the 2023 bottom, and sentiment has never been this low for this long. Weekly RSI has now printed bullish divergence and tapped the weekly pivot, a strong bottoming signal. Wave 4 appears complete, wave 5 has a target of the weekly R4 pivot at $233000.
📈 Price is above the weekly 200EMA and pivot, demonstrating the bullish trend is intact. Weekly RSI bearish divergence has played out. Bitcoin RSI does not often reach oversold on the weekly.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below the weekly 200EMA, $73000
Safe trading
BTC 97-98K is possibleMorning folks,
Just we talked about bearish signs last time, BTC immediately has shown upside bounce. But I'm hurry up to disappoint you that bearish context is not off the table yet, say on weekly chart.
BTC shows splashes every time when some liquidity is injected. We know what has happened on 31 December and 2nd of January. RRP activity by US Banks and 75+Bln from the Fed. Obviously some part appears on crypto market.
This makes us consider upside AB=CD and "222" Sell pattern with possible target around 97-98K area. At the same time, AB-CD shape doesn't let us to say that bearish tendency is broken. It might be just a local retracement.
For position taking I would keep an eye on 90K support area. If BTC will reach 98K - we will think what to do next. But, as it can collapse at any moment as it has shown previously, let's just see what will happen
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #256👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. The market trend has started, and long triggers are being activated one after another.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin made another bullish leg, and after breaking 89,040 and 90,373, it also activated the next trigger at 91,585.
✔️ At the moment, the zone Bitcoin has reacted to is 93,026, but the main resistance is located at 94,157.
📊 So far, we have had three entry points on Bitcoin, all of which are in profit, and from now on, any new entry on Bitcoin will be much riskier.
⚡️ For now, we can move our stop-losses up to the previous low at 91,118, and for taking profit, the next suitable zone would be 94,157.
↗️ For a new position, we can consider the break of 93,026 as a trigger, but the key point is that we have a major resistance at 94,157, which lies before Bitcoin reaches its target and can prevent this bullish wave from continuing, pushing the price into a correction.
🎲 For this reason, in my opinion, the 93,026 trigger is not very attractive and is quite risky, and personally, until 94,157 is broken, I won’t open any new positions on Bitcoin using another trigger.
🔽 As for short positions, the situation is completely clear: for now, we need to wait until a trend change occurs and a bearish structure is formed, and only then look for short triggers.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin at the Edge: Breakout Incoming or Another Trap $89000BTCUSD H1 chart, price is currently testing a key resistance zone around 88,800 – 89,000, an area that has previously triggered multiple rejections. The recent upward move represents a recovery leg within a broader range, rather than a confirmed breakout.
As price reaches this resistance, buying momentum is clearly slowing, with smaller bullish candles and immediate selling pressure appearing at the zone. This behavior suggests that sellers are still active, and the market has not yet accepted higher prices. Without a strong H1 close above this resistance, the current move lacks technical breakout confirmation.
The more probable short-term scenario is a rejection from resistance, followed by a pullback toward nearby support levels. Initial support is located around 88,200 – 88,000, with a deeper support zone near 87,700, where buyers previously stepped in. As long as price remains capped below resistance, the market structure continues to reflect a range-bound / consolidation environment.
In summary, this is not a confirmed breakout. Bitcoin is trading at a decision area where price must either produce a clean, impulsive close above resistance to confirm continuation, or face rejection and rotate back into the range. Until that clarity appears, bias remains neutral, with focus on price reaction rather than directional anticipation.
Bitcoin Is Not Escaping Yet — This Is H2 Accumulation Hello everyone,
On the H2 timeframe, the key focus right now is not an immediate breakout, but the fact that Bitcoin remains locked inside a broad accumulation range, where price continues to rotate between clearly defined support and resistance.
Structurally, BTC has spent an extended period compressing inside the 86,200–90,500 range. Multiple upside attempts toward the upper resistance zone have been rejected, while every pullback into the lower support zone has been absorbed. This repeated rotation confirms balance, not trend, and signals that liquidity is still being built.
From a technical perspective, price is currently holding above the EMA34–EMA89 cluster, which has acted as dynamic support during the recent recovery. The latest dip was defended cleanly and followed by a push higher, forming a support-and-retest structure around the 88,200–88,400 area. This behavior shows that buyers are active, but not yet aggressive enough to force acceptance above resistance.
Importantly, there is no structural breakout at this stage. Highs remain capped below the range top, and price action continues to print overlapping swings, typical of accumulation rather than continuation. The projected path on the chart reflects this well: a shallow pullback to retest support, followed by another attempt higher toward resistance.
Resistance zone: ~90,400–90,600 — range high and breakout trigger.
Mid-range support / retest: ~88,200–88,400 — current decision area.
Major support: ~86,200–86,500 — accumulation floor.
Invalidation: Acceptance back below the EMA cluster would weaken the constructive setup.
Only a clean breakout and sustained acceptance above the resistance zone would confirm that accumulation has completed and open the door for upside expansion. Until then, Bitcoin is not trending — it is absorbing liquidity and preparing, where patience and level discipline remain critical.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
Can Bitcoin Hold This Level?Hello Traders,
On the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading back into a clearly defined resistance zone after recovering from the prior sell-off. The recent price action shows a series of higher lows, indicating short-term bullish pressure rebuilding as price rotates upward toward supply.
This resistance zone is a key decision area. Historically, this level has acted as a distribution zone, and price reaction here will determine whether the move develops into a sustained continuation or another corrective rotation.
If price manages to break above the resistance and hold with acceptance, the structure opens the path toward higher targets, as marked on the chart. In this scenario, continuation would likely unfold in stages, with upside extensions toward Target 1, then Target 2, and potentially Target 3, assuming structure remains intact.
However, failure to accept above resistance would likely trigger a pullback. A rejection from this zone could rotate price back toward the mid-range support levels. As long as price holds above the broader support zone, such a move would still be considered a corrective pullback within a developing recovery, not a full bearish reversal.
The bullish continuation scenario is invalidated if price decisively breaks below the marked support zone and shows acceptance below it. That would signal a structural failure and reopen the downside.
At this point, Bitcoin is not at a high-conviction entry area but at a decision zone. Patience and confirmation are required. Let the market show whether it accepts above resistance or rotates back toward support before committing to directional bias.
Share your view below.
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Happy Trading!
Rising Wedge already done! Time to BUY BTC ?The Rising Wedge pattern has reached its target at 80% completion. The decline has actually touched the white shaded area marked as "exp stronger demand area 2," although the decline in this zone was relatively rapid and short-lived. Overall, I believe the downward trend in this Rising Wedge is likely limited. Even if a decline does occur, the swing low might open the opportunity for a double bottom pole position, triggering a stronger rally.
On the other hand, take a look at the RSI I marked! In previous periods, it was clear that every time the price began to saturate or become oversold, the RSI would cross over the moving averages, indicating a gradual price increase. This wasn't just one example, but also several other examples in the past.
Now, check the arrow marked on the current RSI and the current price. The RSI is starting to show signs of an impending crossover with the yellow moving average. Although the crossover hasn't officially occurred, it may be the first sign needed for the gradual start of an upward phase. Of course, the assumption of the white area as an alternative demand area is considered in the 73,624-80,277 zone, or the current area in the yellow shaded zone, around 86,491-92,829. As a safety measure, a stop-loss should be placed below the 69,666 support level, which previously served as resistance for the Cup & Handle pattern.
Caution!
Given that BTC is considered a risky asset, it is important to ensure a conducive environment for risk assets to rise, such as economic stability, expectations of interest rate cuts, or calm geopolitics. Otherwise, the bullish scenario is likely to fail!






















