Alts to make a move in Q1 2006The Altcoin market is still holding strong above the trendline.
Are we entering a supercycle? Your Thoughts?
Btc-e
BTCUSDT.P - December 28, 2025Price is consolidating after a sharp sell-off, holding above the highlighted support zone near 87,100–87,300. The marked buy limit levels suggest a retracement entry within this support, with a stop placed just below the recent swing low around 86,500 to manage downside risk. If buyers defend this zone, a rebound toward the prior resistance and profit target around 88,800–89,000 is likely, aligning with the previous reaction high.
Bitcoin a sinking ship...Why would I say such a thing..?!
Because early long term holders and whales are aggressively selling down their holdings.
Like Rats fleeing a sinking ship.
Creating unprecedented supply pressure.
While on-chain activity has stagnated since 2017 and BTC is underperforming less volatile risk assets like Tech stocks.
So in summation.
Active wallets on the network is steadily declining.
As there is no real usage as peer-to-peer cash.
LTH holder's are no longer buying the dips (they may step in at far lower prices ... i.e. sub $50k)
Fading demand. Search metrics have fallen off a cliff.
Poor Risk-Adjusted performance.
Higher Volatility and negligible outperformance (if any)
EASY GAINS are no longer available.
Market Timing is essential for outperformance.
#HODL narrative is dead.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #248👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. After a few days without posting an analysis, let’s take a look at Bitcoin and see what the market has been doing during this time.
⏳ 4-hour timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin hasn’t shown any major difference compared to our previous analysis and is still inside the same large range box between 84,500 and 93,789.
✔️ Since Bitcoin has been inside this box for a long time, additional support and resistance levels have also formed within the range.
💡 Currently, the price has formed a smaller range between 86,555 and 90,018, and it is fluctuating between these two zones with very low volume.
⭐ Since Bitcoin’s previous low was recorded at 84,500, if the price gets supported at 86,555 and forms a higher low compared to 84,500, the probability of breaking 90,018 will increase significantly.
🎯 If 90,018 breaks, bullish momentum can enter the market, and if this momentum comes along with increased volume, Bitcoin can also break the next resistance zones such as 93,789 and 96,476.
⚡️ With the break of 93,789, we can get confirmation of Bitcoin turning bullish. But before that, any long position that gets opened, I personally take profits quickly, because there is no strong momentum in the market.
🔔 For short positions, the triggers we currently have are 86,855 and 84,500.Price stabilization below 84,500 will confirm Bitcoin turning bearish.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Update: Holiday Chop can be Boring BTC Update: There hasn’t been a ton of movement since my last update, but that’s not a bad thing. Bitcoin continues to hold up well here, with price stabilizing above recent lows and maintaining acceptance in this mid-range area. The selling pressure that drove the prior move down has clearly cooled, and for now, downside momentum looks muted rather than accelerating.
Structurally, BTC still appears to be working through a basing process. Price action remains choppy and overlapping, which is typical during bottoming phases, especially after a sharp corrective leg. What stands out is that repeated pushes lower are being absorbed, and sellers haven’t been able to force a decisive breakdown. That’s a constructive sign, even if it doesn’t immediately translate into upside expansion.
The ~$90K area remains an important pivot. While BTC hasn’t yet reclaimed higher resistance levels, it’s also not losing ground aggressively. Holding this zone keeps the market in a stabilization regime rather than a continuation-to-the-downside scenario. As long as price stays above recent lows, the probability of an immediate flush continues to decrease.
That said, I’m still keeping an eye on the ~$70K region. It remains the major higher timeframe support and the level that would represent a full reset if the market were to see another volatility spike. While the odds of a clean flush to that level appear lower than before, it’s still the key downside reference point if conditions deteriorate.
For now, the bigger picture remains constructive. BTC is holding up, volatility is compressing, and the market looks more like it’s building a base than preparing for another impulsive leg down. Until structure breaks or improves decisively, patience is key. This is still a wait-for-confirmation environment, but so far, price action is doing what it needs to do.
Bull Market 2023–2025: Final Results (27.12.25)Public history, responsibility, and the environment without which you don’t belong in the market
First of all, I want to thank @TradingView
In 2025, I received the WIZARD badge.
This is not just a label — it is recognition of my contribution as an active member of the TradingView Community.
For me, this matters not because of status, but because of responsibility.
This badge means I have the ability to propose changes and improvements to the platform, and some of these proposals have already been implemented.
I’m genuinely glad to be one of those community members who helps make TradingView better for everyone.
Why TradingView is about responsibility, not social media
I have been an active member of the TradingView Community for a long time, and I strongly believe this platform is fundamentally different from any other financial media space.
First — the chart as the core tool of analytical thinking.
Second — publications and the Play button, which lock ideas in time.
Third — and most important — the impossibility of deleting published ideas.
Fourth - indicators
You cannot rewrite history here.
You cannot erase mistakes.
You cannot hide behind “the context has changed.”
That is why I approach every single publication on TradingView with full responsibility.
Why there is no noise or random content here
I do not use TradingView the way many people use Twitter or Telegram.
There are no:
emotional reactions
random thoughts
posts made for reach or hype
As of December 2025, my audience consists of 132,000 followers, and I fully understand the responsibility that comes with that.
Yes, every publication is not financial advice.
But for myself, I set a clear internal rule:
every idea must be logical, verifiable, and honest.
Why the timeline starts in 2023
I intentionally start this review from 2023 because that is when the bottom of the previous cycle was forming.
At the time, it was not obvious to the majority of the market:
- fear was at its peak
- trust was minimal
- negative narratives dominated
I’ve been in the market for a long time and have lived through multiple full cycles.
This Bitcoin cycle was my third, and I consider it the most professionally executed one so far.
Each cycle is different:
- different narratives
- different audiences
- different speed
But market logic and crowd psychology repeat.
Publications that cannot be adjusted after the fact
Back in late 2022, an idea was published:
Bitcoin cycles + logistic curve = New bull run 2023–2025.
This was done before the move, not after.
Every marker you see on this chart represents a public idea published in real time on TradingView.
It’s important to highlight:
- all key ideas were LONG
- there were no public SHORT ideas during the bull phase
Why?
Because in a true bull market, speculating against the trend makes no sense.
The upside potential always outweighs the logic of catching small pullbacks.
Timing and the end of the cycle
If you open each publication, you’ll see:
- market phases
- time-based expectations
- structural projections
On most higher-timeframe ideas, the end of the bull market was publicly marked in red.
My key time reference was stated in advance — September 2025.
September 2025: when most still believed in continuation
Starting in September 2025, while market euphoria was still present,
I began publishing ideas stating that:
- the bull market was over
- positions were closed
- Bitcoin was forming a reversal
- the market was entering a bull trap phase
- you were warned in advance
These ideas were based not on emotions, but on market structure, cycles, and psychology.
Experience, no FOMO, and a mature position
After years in the market, I have zero FOMO.
I don’t worry about:
- missing a coin
- missing a narrative
- not participating in every move
The market is:
- fast
- volatile
- heavily manipulated
You cannot be everywhere.
The core task of the market is simple:
buy low — sell high.
That’s exactly what I’ve been doing for over 12 years, with more than 10,000 hours spent in the market.
The reality of the modern market
Today’s market consists of:
- funds
- corporations
- algorithms
- quantitative strategies
On lower timeframes and chaotic moves, retail traders are simply outmatched.
The gap between emotional decision-makers
and those who operate with structure, data, and discipline
will only continue to widen.
If you are in the market — you must be in the environment
Here I’ll be as direct as possible.
If you are in financial markets,
if you plan to continue trading,
if you want to survive and adapt —
you must be part of a strong community.
A lone trader in today’s market is easy prey.
Over the years, a community of like-minded traders has formed around me — people who:
approach the market systematically
- discuss scenarios
- analyze entries and exits
- stay connected during difficult periods
I share my public ideas for free, and that remains a core principle.
But if you truly intend to stay in this market,
you need an environment, feedback, and shared logic.
What you do next is your decision.
Trading is a marathon
Trading is not a sprint.
It’s a marathon.
Sometimes the best position is no position.
Sometimes the best trade is the one you didn’t take.
Patience, waiting, and discipline are skills —
without them, you don’t belong in this market.
The current moment and what’s ahead
At the moment, crypto is in a phase where I take very few trades.
Some positions are already open — at predefined levels, within a structured risk framework.
I’m not leaving financial markets:
- crypto
- Forex
- equities
- tokenized assets
- gold
- oil
Instruments change. Principles don’t.
In conclusion
If this chart receives 300 likes,
I will publish a separate post outlining:
- goals
- scenarios
- positioning
for 2026.
Wishing everyone clarity, discipline, and a cold mind.
May 2026 be better than 2025.
And may there be peace on our planet.
Yours, EXCAVO
BTC/USDT (15m) – Cup Formation, Pullback Into Trend SupportHi!
BTC is developing a well-proportioned Cup formation on the 15-minute timeframe, signaling a constructive recovery after the recent decline. The rounded base reflects gradual absorption of supply rather than panic selling, which is a healthy characteristic of continuation structures.
Following the impulsive breakout from the right side of the cup, the price entered a short-term consolidation below resistance, forming a mild pullback. This retracement is technically logical and currently aligns with the rising trendline, which acts as dynamic support. Such pullbacks often serve as momentum resets rather than reversals, provided structure remains intact.
The highlighted supply zone above the price explains the temporary hesitation. Acceptance above this zone would confirm strength and open the path toward the 90,200–90,600 area, matching the projected continuation from the cup structure.
Overall, this is a technically logical setup favoring continuation, with well-defined risk and invalidation.
Bitcoin – The Big Liquidity Hunt is Coming!Bitcoin's price is controlled by banks and governments. They won't allow the price to move until they have acquired the liquidity they need.
Before trading, you should always think about where most retail traders have placed their stop losses. They don't care if you lose; they're after liquidity.
But if you can identify these liquidity pools, you can ride along with the big banks and institutions and profit.
If technical analysis accounts for 20%, psychology is 80% of the story.
The timeframe for this analysis is 4 hours
On the chart, we've marked liquidity pools places where most traders have set their stops with $$$ signs.
The price has been ranging in this zone for 36 days. What happens each time? Liquidity pools form, these pools get swept, and then the price moves.
Now, the liquidity pools we've marked at the lows in red have not yet been swept, and most traders in long positions have their stops just below these two lows. The range from 83,764 to 82,412 is exactly where long traders’ stop losses will be hit, short positions will increase in size, and it is the best zone for a trend reversal.
There are many traders with a bearish view on Bitcoin but guess what happens if these two lows are hit? Longs get stopped out, traders in short positions either add to their size or new shorts join in—and that is exactly where the price will bounce back upwards.
Trading is not hard or complicated if you have a professional coach.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
BTCUSDT –Chart Analysis (4H)BTCUSDT –Chart Analysis (4H)
BTC is coiling inside a tightening range — lower highs vs higher lows. This type of compression usually leads to a sharp directional move.
Price is respecting the rising base around 85k
Every dip into the green zones shows buyer absorption
Sellers are active below 89k, keeping pressure from above
Support: 85,800 – 84,600
Major Support: 82,200
Resistance: 88,800 – 89,500
Supply Zone: 93,500 – 94,000
When price holds support during Extreme Fear, it often means weak hands are exiting while stronger players accumulate quietly.
DYOR | NFA
BTCUSDT.P - December 27, 2025Price is trading in a short-term consolidation above a broad support zone, with the marked retracement levels serving as staged entry points within that support area. The main objective is the highlighted resistance region near 88,870, where price previously met selling pressure and formed a ceiling. The protective stop is set below the lower boundary of support, giving the setup a favorable reward-to-risk profile if the prior upswing continues.
$BTC at a Key Decision ZoneHello! Just a quick market update.
88k continues to act as the local resistance, with 85k as the key support area to watch. Price is currently sitting in a decision zone, so how it behaves around 86–85k will be important.
If this area can hold and we see some stabilization, there’s still a reasonable chance for a push back into the 90–92k zone. However, if support gives way and acceptance builds below 85k, I’ll be looking for a continuation lower toward the 82–80k region.
Next Volatility Period: Around December 28th
Hello, traders!
Follow us to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
-------------------------------------
#BTCUSDT
This volatility period will end on December 24th, and the next one will be around January 10th, 2026.
However, it's important to observe the movement after the newly formed trend line passes around December 28th.
The rising trend line (1) is drawn on the 1W chart. The key is whether it can rise along this trend line and break out of the short-term downtrend line.
The low point is 84739.74-87944.84, so a bullish trend is likely to occur if the price finds support near this level and rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
To break above this key point or level and continue the uptrend, the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators must show upward trends.
If possible,
1. The StochRSI indicator should not have entered the overbought zone.
2. The TC indicator should remain above zero.
3. The OBV indicator should remain above the High Line.
Therefore, we need to determine if the above conditions can be met while finding support near the low point (84739.74-87944.84).
The most important support and resistance level is 69000-73499.86.
Therefore, volatility may occur as the price approaches this level.
If support is found at this level, I believe it's definitely a good time to buy.
I believe the price level we won't see again is below 42K.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Unless BTC Breaks Above 200/350 Daily SMA ...Still BearishTrading Fam,
Crypto traders must have been naughty this year. Even our expected Santa Rally fell short of expectations. In other words, even this crypto grinch expected more from Santa’s reindeer. As stated in previous posts, I was expecting a bounce to at least 100k. But so far, that hasn’t happened. BTC remains in the bear flag and could not even muster enough energy to touch the top of the channel. Unless Santa had mechanical issues with his sleigh and is running behind, it looks like crypto traders have received coal in their stockings this year. So, here’s what I am seeing for price action moving into next year.
The only way we can count our Wyckoff Market Cycle as complete is if we happen to rally up above the top of our bear flag channel and break above the 350 SMA (orange) with confirmation. However, even that leaves some doubt. I’d prefer to see us break above that 200 SMA (red) and confirm to be more sure, otherwise, any rally may simply become a big old bull trap.
The remaining scenarios I see are noted: we either break down from the bear flag immediately, or we touch the top of the flag first, or that descending red trendline before continuation down. At this point, these are the most likely scenarios.
That red trendline on the underside of price, which is currently acting as support, comes all the way from the previous cycle highs in April of 2021 to Nov. of 2021 and is continued out to the present day. If this is broken, further selling should be expected. At that point, I am not even sure my Target #1 would hold strong.
Meanwhile, gold, silver, and basically all precious metals are flying! Just don’t let Peter Schiff know you’ve noticed.
✌️Stew
AVAXUSDT - The hunt for liquidity before the fall BINANCE:AVAXUSDT , within the context of a global downtrend and low liquidity associated with market conditions, is forming a short squeeze ahead of a possible decline.
The global trend is protracted and downward, which generally indicates the dominance of bears in the medium and long term.
Bitcoin is consolidating against the backdrop of a downward trend, which generally creates negative sentiment in the market.
AVAX is forming a short squeeze of consolidation resistance at 12,460, formed against the backdrop of a global downward trend. This is a manipulative maneuver to accumulate liquidity before a possible decline.
If the bears keep the price below 12.540 - 12.460, then a decline can be expected in the short and medium term.
Resistance levels: 12.46, 12.54
Support levels: 12.03, 11.94, 11.26
A false breakout of resistance could confirm the end of the correction or consolidation and trigger a continuation of the main downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
MNT Pullback to Key Support – Bounce Incoming?MNT has seen a significant drop over the past few days, but it's now entering a major support zone where price previously found strong demand. This could present a high-reward opportunity for traders watching for a potential reversal or bounce from this level.
📌 Entry Zone: $1.053 – $1.060
🎯 Take Profits: $1.35, $1.54
⛔ Stop Loss: $1.03
The entry area aligns with a strong demand zone, and if price reacts positively here, there's room for a technical bounce toward the next resistance levels. Look for confirmation via price action – bullish candles, volume spikes, or divergence setups could all strengthen the case.
🧠 Trade Smart: Always use proper risk management. This is not financial advice, just an idea based on chart structure and support/resistance zones. Trade at your own discretion.
BTCUSD trade idea for buysBTC/USD Technical Analysis: Potential to Reach $90K if Current Technicals Hold
Current Market Overview: Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of bullish momentum, respecting the current technical indicators. The price is positioned well within key support and resistance zones, with significant upward potential if the prevailing trends continue.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Level: A strong support around continues to hold, with price bouncing off this level multiple times. A confirmed break below this level could signal a shift in market sentiment.
Resistance Level: The key resistance lies near $90K, a level that could be tested if the current technicals remain intact. Watch for a breakout or rejection at this level.
Indicators to Watch:
RSI: Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is , indicating . If RSI continues to move higher, it may confirm continued bullish momentum towards $90K.
EMA/MA: The 50-period and 200-period Moving Averages are showing alignment, suggesting the market's trend direction.
Volume: Strong volume support at key levels may suggest a sustainable move upward, with increasing volume acting as confirmation of the rally.
Scenario 1 - Bullish Continuation: If BTC continues respecting these technical levels, we could see a breakout towards $90K, driven by strong bullish sentiment and market momentum. Watch for a clean break above key resistance levels for confirmation.
Scenario 2 - Bearish Reversal: If technicals fail to hold, watch for a potential breakdown below support levels. This could shift the market outlook and present new trading opportunities to reassess.
bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?The price on the 4h timeframe is within an ascending triangle, which can be promising. If the price breaks this pattern with bullish candles, it could easily rise by the distance of AB=CD.
Previous analysis
BTCUSDT — Intraday Short Continuation | Range Pressure RemainsContext
Following the previous short execution from the seller’s zone 88,600 – 88,200, price delivered a clean downside move and reacted from 86,400.
However, despite this reaction, there is no clear evidence of sustained buyer strength at the moment.
Expectation
Within the current intraday structure, continuation toward the 86,000 area remains a valid and logical scenario.
Price is still trading under prior supply, and upside acceptance has not been established.
Risk Management
This is a continuation idea, not a late entry chase.
Risk should be reduced relative to standard position sizing and execution considered only with confirmation.
Invalidation
The intraday short bias will be invalidated only in the case of an aggressive move and firm acceptance above 88,600.
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Update. BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Update.
Price swept liquidity near 84.5K and bounced → classic fake breakdown.
Still moving inside a descending channel.
84.5K = key support (holding keeps bounce valid).
82.2K = invalidation level if support fails.
Resistance: 88K → 92K–94K supply zone.
Neutral to slightly bullish as long as 84.5K holds.
Reclaim above 88K = upside continuation possible.
Below 84.5K = deeper pullback risk.
Not financial advice. Manage risk.
BTC Is Not Trending — It’s Loading LiquidityBTC/USD – QUICK ANALYSIS (1H)
Market Structure
Clear range / consolidation phase
Price oscillates between defined support and resistance
No confirmed breakout → sideways market
Key Levels
Support zone: ~86,800 – 87,200
Resistance zone: ~90,000 – 91,000
Price Behavior
Repeated reactions at both edges = liquidity absorption
EMAs flatten → lack of directional momentum
Macro Context
Market waiting for new catalyst (Fed tone, USD move, ETF flows)
No strong risk-on or risk-off trigger → chop continues
Bias
Range trading only
Wait for clean breakout + volume before trend bias
Avoid FOMO inside the box
Bitcoin Is Not Weak — It’s Reloading LiquidityBTC/USD – QUICK ANALYSIS (1H)
Structure
Price is rotating inside a high-liquidity range
Recent sell-off did not break structure → liquidity grab
Buyers defended the range low / intraday support
Key Zones
Support: ~87,000 – 86,800
Range Mid: ~88,300
Resistance: ~90,500 – 90,800
Price Behavior
Sharp drop = stop-hunt, not trend reversal
Current bounce shows absorption + acceptance back into range
Outlook
Base case: Range continuation → push back to range high
Bullish trigger: Acceptance above 88.5k
Invalidation: Clean breakdown below 86.8k
Bias
Neutral → Bullish within range
Strategy: Trade the range, not the breakout
Quiet Christmas range — volatility is being delayed, not cancelChristmas Liquidity Trap – BTC Is Loading the Next Move
BTC/USD – 1H | Key Takeaways:
Market State: High-liquidity range consolidation.
Support Zone: ~86.7k–86.8k → buyers defending well.
Resistance Zone: ~90.3k–90.5k → major supply cap.
Structure: Higher lows forming inside the range → pressure building.
Bias: Neutral → breakout-dependent.
Holiday / Macro Context:
Christmas = thin liquidity, slow flows.
Smart money accumulates quietly inside ranges.
Real expansion often comes after the holiday lull.
Playbook:
Range trade only until breakout.
Bullish continuation only on clean break & hold above 90.5k.
Bitcoin Is Quietly Absorbing — The Real Move Comes After ThisBTC/USD – 1H |
Market State: Clear range-bound consolidation between strong support and resistance.
Support Zone: Price is testing the lower liquidity band (~86,400–86,700) — selling pressure is slowing → signs of absorption.
Resistance Zone: Major supply sits around 89,800–90,500 — the level that defines the next directional break.
Structure: Current dip is corrective, not a breakdown. Momentum compression favors a range expansion soon.
Scenario:
Hold above support → bounce toward 88,500 → 90,000.
Clean break above resistance → trend continuation.
Lose support → range remains, not a crash.
Bias: Neutral → bullish only after confirmation. Patience here pays.
