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Bitcoin at Key Liquidity Zone — Bullish Reversal Loading?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), as I mentioned in my previous idea , has successfully reached its first target($90,217). Bitcoin is currently trading near Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($86,6330-$86,170) and is moving within a small descending channel. Additionally, from an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin is completing its Wave C in an expanding flat corrective pattern(ABC/3-3-5). We’re also observing a positive Regular Divergence (RD+) within this small descending channel, indicating potential strength. I expect that once Bitcoin breaks above the upper line of this small descending channel, it will aim to retest and potentially surpass the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720), which it previously failed to break. Do you believe Bitcoin can sustain its momentum and confirm a breakout above $90,000? Let me know your thoughts! Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $91,300-$90,660 First Target: $89,321 Second Target: $90,250 Third Target: 50_SMA(Daily) Stop Loss(SL): $85,377Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24
Bitcoin: Will Bitcoin Cross $100,000?!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its descending channel. As long as Bitcoin is in this range, the best strategy is to buy at the bottoms and sell at the tops! In the event of an upward correction towards the specified supply range, you can sell Bitcoin with a better risk-reward ratio. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. This week, financial markets have officially entered the year-end holiday period, a phase during which many professional traders step away from active trading until the first full week of January. As a result, markets typically experience noticeably lower liquidity, reduced trading volumes, and a lighter economic data calendar in the near term. In such an environment, the key question for investors is whether these thin and low-volume trading days could set the stage for sudden and unexpected volatility. Market history suggests that when liquidity is extremely limited, even **minor catalysts can trigger outsized reactions—ranging from sharp, short-lived moves known as “flash crashes” to abrupt escalations in geopolitical risks**, whose impact is often amplified in quiet market conditions compared to normal periods. Despite these potential risks during the low-volume days at year-end, a large portion of investors appears inclined to **proceed cautiously** and remain on the sidelines until **two important decisions scheduled for early January** become clearer. The first major event is the **U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling on the tariffs imposed by Donald Trump**, a decision that could bring an end to **months of uncertainty** surrounding the legality of a significant share of the tariffs announced since April. However, even a ruling against the tariffs would not necessarily represent the **best-case scenario for markets**. Such a decision could intensify uncertainty and, if the U.S. government were required to **refund tariff revenues to companies**, it could impose a **multi-billion-dollar burden** on the federal budget—potentially creating a new source of **economic and political instability**. Meanwhile, **JPMorgan** is reportedly exploring the possibility of offering **cryptocurrency trading services** to institutional clients, including both **spot and derivatives products**. This initiative, still in its early stages, is intended to respond to **growing client interest** following recent changes in U.S. cryptocurrency regulations. Any rollout would depend on **client demand, thorough risk assessments, and legal feasibility**. These plans have not yet been made public, and a JPMorgan spokesperson declined to comment on the matter.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ali_PSND
FARTCOIN – Waiting for Key Support Before ReversalWe're watching FARTCOIN closely as it approaches a major support zone between $0.22 – $0.24. On the higher time frames, this level has held strong in the past, and we're hoping to see a bounce here that could signal the start of a trend reversal. Until then, we remain patient, waiting for cleaner entries and signs of strength before jumping in. ⚙️ Trade Setup Entry Zone: $0.22 – $0.24 Take Profit Targets: $0.32 and $0.40 Stop Loss: $0.19 If we see bullish confirmation around the support, this could be a good spot long opportunity. The upside targets line up with prior resistance levels that could act as take-profit zones if momentum builds.
Long
by Richtv_official
1
Maintaining purchases at the turn of the yearThe market has perfectly worked out the scenario outlined in the last review, and buyer activity is growing. We are approaching the end of the year, and we will consider the near-term prospects. On average, the market consolidated in anticipation of determining the opening level of a new annual candle for ETH and BTC. As I expected, ETH opened the second half of the month in the neutral zone, which smooths out sales. There is also a strong bullish signal for a retest of 3500. BTC has reached strong medium-term support around 85k, from which the probability of a rollback to a retest of 100k prevails, which I described in the last review. We have already seen one pullback, but there is still a possibility of an attempt to break through 100k after the opening of a new annual candle. Against the background of preparations for a new wave of purchases at the beginning of the year and the struggle for the closing level of the year, the probability of a new test of the range of 3100-3500 ETH prevails. A pullback in brent with consolidation above $ 60 also inspires optimism among buyers. If the year opens above this level, a very rapid reaction of the cryptocurrency market with a large wave of purchases is likely. However, most of the market, especially large-cap coins, still retains the potential for a turnaround to a clear bull run, which may linger until the next seasonal bullish period in February. With this picture, it is worth carefully weighing the growth potential before additional purchases today and giving preference to heavily oversold assets with high technical goals for retest and slow issuance. Today, I still prefer TURTLE NFP HOOK NTRN VIC MITO ENSO BMT SHELL, for which the growth potential is higher than the rest of the altcoin market, which may contribute to growth similar to RESOLV or STO in the near future. Among the coins with the tag monitoring for work, I consider only CHESS, which has high technical signals for retest up to 0.10-15. Against the background of the annual rollback in CHZ, the probability of a bullying in fan tokens is also increasing. ATM ACM CITY JUV looks especially interesting. However, the dynamics of CHZ in the second half of the year is quite negative, I recommend working with fan tokens in a small volume and not increasing turnover if there are older unclosed positions.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Strateg_
BTCUSDT.P - December 25, 2025The short-term structure is still tilted bullish, with a series of higher lows leading into the current consolidation just beneath the profit resistance band around 87,800–87,900. The retracement levels near 87,155–87,265 align with an intraday support cluster, making them attractive zones for staggered long limit entries with risk contained below the stop area at 86,760. As long as price holds above this support pocket, momentum favors another push toward the upper resistance range, while a decisive break below the stop would signal a shift toward a deeper downside correction.
Long
by miljedtothemoon
Bitcoin’s Christmas Range — Quiet Market, Loud Move AheadChristmas Range Play – BTC/USD (1H) Key Points (Short & Direct): Market State: Clear range / consolidation. Resistance: Upper range holding → sellers active. Support: Lower range still defended → no breakdown. Price Behavior: Sideways swings, liquidity grabs inside the box. Bias: Neutral → wait for clean breakout. Macro / Holiday Context: Christmas period = thin liquidity. Higher risk of fake moves and stop hunts. Real direction likely after holidays, not during. Trading Note: Range trading only (buy support / sell resistance). Avoid over-leverage and chasing impulsive candles.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
86-87K is still a BTC Red lineMerry Xmas, folks! So, last time we said that signals are mixed but we could keep an eye on 86-87K support area. BTC will keep chances on upward action until it holds. And... it still holds. Maybe this is just a result of a thin Xmas market, but BTC tries to form a reversal pattern here. Overall setup doesn't look fascinating, context is weak. But, at the same time, the cash risk is very small, dealing with this H&S pattern here. So, that's the only stuff that I want to share with you today.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Is the 4-Year BTC Cycle Still Alive?* Bitcoin is closing 2025 below expectations, even after ETFs, institutional buying, and a pro-crypto backdrop created ideal conditions for a bull market. * Bitcoin’s RSI relative to gold has reached levels that historically appeared near major cycle turning points. * The market looks compressed and tired rather than broken, with price action indicating a decision phase rather than a collapse. Looking at Bitcoin’s recent price action, it’s clear the market isn’t in panic mode, even though 2025 has been frustrating and confidence feels thin. Right now, the BTC price is trading around $87,690.28, and while that’s well below earlier highs, the behavior lately doesn’t look like fear-driven selling. Bitcoin didn’t fall apart in one sharp move. The price rolled over from the highs near $110,000 and spent months grinding lower, slowly wearing traders down. But recently, that rhythm has changed. Instead of accelerating to the downside, the market has started to pause. It feels more like hesitation than fear. Traders seem to be reassessing after a long stretch of disappointment, rather than rushing for the exits. The BTC price is trading inside a broad range where buyers have stepped in repeatedly. Every dip into this zone has found demand, even if the rebounds have been weak and short-lived. That matters because earlier in the year, Bitcoin sliced through multiple support levels without much resistance. This is one of the first areas where selling pressure has clearly slowed. Moves lower are getting absorbed faster. Sellers don’t look as aggressive as they did during the spring and autumn selloffs, while buyers remain cautious but present. It’s not confidence yet, but it’s also not capitulation. On-chain data backs that up. Bitcoin’s market cap has stopped falling sharply and has started to level out instead. Capital isn’t rushing out of the network any longer. It looks more like money is sitting on the sidelines, waiting for clearer signals. Network activity tells a similar story. Active addresses and transaction counts have cooled, but they are still well above levels seen during true bear market lows. Usage hasn’t collapsed. It has stabilized. So what’s next for Bitcoin? On lower timeframes, the BTC price continues to run into resistance, with each bounce losing momentum before it can turn into a trend. Buyers are showing up near support, but conviction is still missing. That leaves Bitcoin in a wait-and-see phase. Selling pressure has eased, but the market hasn’t shown enough strength yet to confirm a clean move higher. Whether the BTC price can break out of this range or slip back into another stretch of sideways chop will likely shape the next phase of this cycle.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by CoinCodex
$BTC - Gamma context into Dec 26Bitcoin has been stuck in the 85k–90k range, and it’s mostly options mechanics doing the work. Put gamma around ~85k has been absorbing downside, while call gamma near ~90k has been capping upside. That’s why dips stall and rips fade — it’s dealer hedging, not real conviction. This structure starts to loosen into the Dec 26 options expiry as a large chunk of gamma rolls off. When that happens, price becomes less reactive to hedging flows and more sensitive to actual buying and selling. Gamma unwinds on December 26. Direction after that comes down to where spot is trading as gamma pressure decays. For now, keep eyes on the 88–90k area. If price caps there again, it could present a short opportunity, with 82–78k as the downside zone. We’ll be reassessing post-expiry once the gamma map resets.
by Tealstreet
BTCUSDT – 4HChart AnalysisBTCUSDT – 4HChart Analysis Structure: Price is still following a descending channel Ichimoku: Price is hovering around the cloud → Range and uncertainty Strong Demand Zone: 84,600 (Multiple reactions → Buyers active) Dynamic Resistance: Falling trendline near 88,800 – 89,300 Lower Highs → Sellers are capping rallies Bullish Relief: Sustaining above 84,600 + Breaking 89K → Move towards 91K – 92K Bearish Continuation: Loss of 84,600 → Next target 82,200 Consolidation phase within a downtrend. Be patient — only trade on breakouts or support confirmations. ⚠️ No FOMO. Risk management first.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BTCUSD H4 | Bullish BounceMomentum: Bearish The price is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support. Buy entry: 87,553.62 Pullback support Stop loss: 82,022.06 Swing low support Take profit: 92,947.82 Pullback resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:BTCUSDLong
by Tradu
BTC Is Bleeding Liquidity — Breakdown Before the Next Big Move?BTC/USD – 1H QUICK ANALYSIS Technical Price is making lower highs after rejection from the resistance zone ~90,300. Structure shows weak bounces → distribution inside range. Short-term bias remains bearish-to-sideways while below mid-range. Likely drift toward range low / liquidity sweep before any reversal. Key Levels Resistance: 88,800 – 90,300 Support: 86,800 → 85,200 Macro Context Profit-taking after strong run-up. USD stabilizing short-term limits BTC upside. No major bullish catalyst → market favors range rotation. Bias Sell rallies / wait for support reaction. Bullish only after a clean reclaim above resistance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Matthew_TradeRFX
BITCOIN Merry Christmas with symmetry at its very best!First of all allow me to wish everyone Merry Christmas with Tradingshot's best wishes to everyone for great health and prosperity! Now as far as Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is concerned, this chart on the 1W time-frame displays once more its symmetry among Cycles at its very best. They key component here is the Supertrend. Every time this indicator turned red (bearish) as it has done now since November 10, BTC has already started its Bear Cycle. The amazing symmetry here is found in the past 5 weeks when the price has been ranging within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). As you can see the moment it broke below the 1W MA100, it also breached the 0.182 Fibonacci retracement level and entered the 0.182 - 0.236 Fib Zone. This has happened every single time with remarkable precision since the 2014 Bear Cycle. The last two Cycles bottomed on the 0.382 Fib at least. So what does that mean for us now/ today? Well first of all, the current Bear Cycle is likely to reach $56500 (0.382 Fib) at least. Secondly, every Bear Cycle bottomed around 44 - 46 weeks after the Supertrend turned red. This gives us a fair time horizon for the potential bottom around September 14 2026. Would you be buying once $56500 hits or come September 2026? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
30
BTC/USD Analysis – December 24, 2025HI! Bitcoin is showing signs of potential bearish pressure, but confirmation will depend on how price behaves around the critical support zone. Key Observations: Critical Support Zone: The blue area on the chart (~$78k–$79k) represents a major support level. A breakdown below this zone could trigger further downside, with the first target around $72k and a final target near $66k. Until this support is decisively broken, the bearish scenario remains unconfirmed. Recent Price Action: A strong drop occurred recently, followed by only a 33% corrective retracement, indicating limited bullish momentum. Bearish Patterns: Cup Formation: The chart shows a clear cup pattern, which historically can precede further consolidation or downside in a bearish context. Weekly Trendline Break: On the weekly timeframe, the trendline has been broken down, suggesting a potential shift in overall market sentiment. Conclusion: BTC appears poised for further downside, but traders should wait for a confirmed break below the critical blue zone before entering bearish positions. If this support fails, we could see the next targets around $72k and $66k. Until then, the market remains in a cautious state. Trading Plan: Bearish Confirmation: Only if $78k–$79k support is broken. Targets on Breakdown: $72k (first), $66k (final). Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSD
by melikatrader94
12
BTC/ISD)bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of BTCUSD – intraday (likely 1H–4H) chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + mean-reversion logic. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation (corrective pullback) • Price sold off impulsively, then started to slow down into discount • The move down shows decreasing momentum, suggesting sell-side liquidity absorption, not continuation lower ⸻ Why Price Pulled Back • Liquidity was taken above the recent swing high • Price retraced into a deep discount area • This is a classic rebalancing move after an impulsive leg ⸻ Key Demand / Order Block Zone (Blue Area) ~85,800 – 86,700 Strong confluence: • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • Clearly marked order block (ob) • Prior reaction lows • Psychological support around 86k • Green arrow → first buyer response already visible This is the highest-probability long area on the chart. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from impulse low → swing high: • 0.62 → shallow reaction • 0.705 – 0.79 → institutional rebalance zone Textbook location for trend continuation entries ⸻ Trade Idea (Example Plan) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 86,000 – 86,700 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~85,200) • Targets: • TP1: 88,050 (EMA / mid-range) • TP2: 89,800 – 90,000 • Final TP: 90,700+ (marked target point / liquidity above highs) RR potential: ~1:3 to 1:5 ⸻ Best Confirmation Signals Before entering, look for: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick from the zone • Lower-TF CHoCH • Compression → expansion behavior • Failure of price to accept below the order block ⸻ Invalidation • Strong close below ~85,200 • Acceptance below the OB with momentum If that happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price likely seeks deeper HTF liquidity. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a classic BTC continuation play • Deep discount • OTE + order block • Liquidity above acting as magnet Please support boost this analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Solana (SOL) Attempting Breakout – Eyes on $145 and $174SOL is currently testing the $126 zone, aiming to reclaim ground after a prolonged downtrend. This level aligns with a descending trendline that has acted as dynamic resistance. A clean breakout above it could trigger a shift in momentum and pave the way for higher targets. 💡 Trade Setup: Entry Zone: $120 – $126 Take Profit 1: $145 Take Profit 2: $174 Stop Loss: $112 A strong candle close above $126 could confirm bullish continuation. Watch for volume to support the breakout. If rejected, SOL may retest lower supports—risk management is key.
Long
by Richtv_official
BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Update. BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Update. Price is still inside a descending channel Strong sell-off again from trendline + Ichimoku cloud Current Price: ~87,200 Strong Support: 84,600 Next Support: 82,200 if 84.6k breaks Resistance: 88,800 – 89,500 Major Supply: 93,500 – 94,000 Hold above 84,600 → range bounce possible Break below 84,600 → bearish continuation risk Trend flips bullish only above descending trendline + cloud ⚠️ Market still corrective. Wait for confirmation — no FOMO.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BTCUSDT – Holiday Range Bounce (Low Volume, Lower Expectations)A) Market Summary BTC is trading around 87.2k during the European morning, once again chilling in the 85–90k “gamma prison” after yesterday’s data delivered exactly… nothing. Most global markets are on holiday mode (or running half-days), meaning: • thinner liquidity • more algos • fewer real humans The only US data point today is Initial Jobless Claims at 14:30 CET — not top-tier macro, but in a thin market it can still create ugly wicks. Conclusion: this is a slow, boring, range day — perfect for one clean trade, terrible for overtrading. ⸻ B) Trade Decision ✅ Intraday trade available But only as a low-frequency, holiday mean-reversion setup with reduced risk. No scalping frenzy. One shot. If it doesn’t trigger — fine. ⸻ C) Intraday Setup (BTCUSDT Perps) • Direction: Long • Entry (limit): 85,600 • Stop-loss: 84,900 (Below today’s sweep low + key 5M/15M swing) • Take-profit: 87,800 • R:R: ~3 : 1 Time Rules (holiday discipline): • Limit valid until 14:00 CET • If filled, position must be closed or SL moved to BE by 14:20 CET • No exposure into 14:30 CET Jobless Claims ⸻ D) Trade Logic (Why This Makes Sense on a Boring Day) • Macro context: Holiday trading = lower volume, higher algo participation, and more exaggerated wicks. That favors a single pre-event range trade, not multiple scalps. Jobless Claims are medium-impact, but in thin liquidity they can still spike price hard. • Market structure & liquidity: On 4H / 1H, BTC continues to oscillate cleanly inside the 85–90k range, with repeated failures at 90k and consistent reactions from 85–86k. The 85.6k entry sits slightly below the middle of this support zone — exactly where buyers have already stepped in twice. • Gamma & options context: From recent sessions, 85k acts as a gamma / options support area, reinforcing the idea that quick dips below 86k tend to get pulled back toward 87–88k rather than cascade lower. • Derivatives & positioning: BTC open interest remains elevated, but there have been no major OI shocks in the last 24h. After recent liquidations, leverage is somewhat cleaner — reducing the probability of an immediate waterfall through 85k. • Liquidation dynamics: Liquidation heatmaps show long-liq clusters around 85–86k, with short-liq clusters above 90k. This setup aims to catch a liquidity sweep of weak longs, followed by a move back toward mid-range. • Order book (confirmation only): Before entry, Binance/Bybit should still show layered bids at 85.4–85.8k, with relatively light asks up to 87.5–88k. That structure supports absorption of a market-sell flush and a bounce. ⸻ E) Invalidation Rules (When to Walk Away) Price-based • If a 15M candle closes below 84,900, the idea is invalid. Support failed, gamma defense is gone — respect the stop. • If BTC rallies directly above 88.8–89k without dipping to 85.6k, cancel the limit. Context flips to high-range trading, not a bottom sweep. Time-based • Auto-cancel the limit at 14:00 CET. • If in the trade and price can’t reach 87.2–87.4k by 14:20 CET, close manually. No holding even small PnL through data. Macro-based • Any unexpected Fed / geopolitical headline before 14:30 CET with strong DXY or index movement → don’t enter; if already in, reduce risk immediately (partial or BE). Order-book-based • Do not take the trade if bids disappear near 85.6k and large static ask walls build between 86–87k — that directly contradicts the bounce thesis. • Exit immediately if, after entry, you see aggressive market sells slicing through 85k on thin bids with no absorption. That’s a real breakdown, not a sweep. ⸻ Final Note This is a holiday trade: • low expectations • low frequency • clean execution If it works — great. If it doesn’t trigger — even better. Preserving capital on boring days is a win.
Long
by minno91
BTCUSDT - Pre-Macro Liquidity Grab (In, Out, No Drama)A) Market Summary BTC is trading around 88.5–89k early Tuesday after getting rejected at 90k (again). Price is stuck inside a wide daily range of 84–95k, basically doing cardio but going nowhere. At 14:30 CET, we get the US macro triple boss fight: • GDP (2nd estimate) • Durable Goods Orders • Corporate Profits Translation: wick city. Big candles, fakeouts, chaos. This is not a “hold and pray” day — it’s a quick liquidity trade before the storm. ⸻ B) Trade Decision ✅ Intraday trade available A conservative mean-reversion long from a liquidity pocket below Asia lows, with a hard time stop before 14:30 CET. We take the bounce — we do not marry the position. ⸻ C) Intraday Setup (BTCUSDT Perps – Binance / Bybit) • Direction: Long • Entry (limit): 87,000 • Stop-loss: 85,600 • Take-profit: 89,800 • R:R: ~2 : 1 Time Rules (non-negotiable): • Limit valid until 14:00 CET • If filled, position must be closed or SL moved to BE by 14:20 CET • No exposure into 14:30 CET macro roulette ⸻ D) Trade Logic (Why This Isn’t Random Gambling) • Macro context (the clock matters): Today’s US data regularly causes violent moves in DXY, yields, and BTC. This trade is designed as a pre-event technical play, not a hero trade through news. • Structure & liquidity: BTC is sitting in the middle of a multi-week range (84–95k). 4H / 1H structure shows lower highs below 90k, with a well-defined support zone around 86.5–87.5k — exactly where short-term long stops are hiding. • Derivatives & liquidations: CoinGlass shows BTC futures OI around $58–60B — still elevated, but partially reset. This favors an intraday stop-hunt rather than a full trend shift. Liquidation heatmap highlights long-liq clusters at 86.5–87.5k, while short-liq clusters sit above 92k. • Funding & sentiment: Funding is slightly positive to neutral, sentiment cautious rather than euphoric. That’s ideal for range behavior: flush liquidity → bounce → back to balance. • Order book (confirmation only): Binance & Bybit order books show stacked bids around 86.8–87.3k and solid asks near 89.5–90k. This supports a scenario where a dip into 87k gets absorbed, followed by a push back toward the sell walls. ⸻ E) Invalidation Rules (Read This Before You Click Buy) Price-based • Setup is invalid if a 1H candle closes below 85,500 → Liquidity support failed, risk shifts toward 84k or lower. • Cancel the 87k limit if BTC breaks and holds above 90,500 on 1H → Context flips to breakout, not mean reversion. Time-based • If the 87k limit is not filled by 14:00 CET, cancel it. • If in the trade and price fails to bounce above 88.5k by 14:20 CET, close manually. We do not babysit trades into macro spikes. Macro-based • Any surprise macro headline (Fed comment, geopolitical shock) before 14:30 CET with aggressive DXY/index moves → trade is invalid, reduce or don’t enter. Order-book-based • Before entry: If bid clusters near 87k disappear and large asks stack aggressively above price → do not enter. • After entry: If price taps 87k, order book stays thin, and BTC slices through 86k with volume → respect the SL. No moving stops. No adding. No coping. ⸻ Final Thought This is a “touch the liquidity, grab the bounce, get out” type of trade. We’re trading time + structure, not vibes. Fast in, fast out — and flat before the fireworks 🎆
Long
by minno91
Bitcoin Is Not Weak — This Is Liquidity CompressionCURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS – BTC/USD (H1) Market Context Bitcoin is currently trading in a compressed structure after a prolonged sideways range, following a strong rejection from the upper resistance zone. This move is not a trend reversal, but a liquidity-driven correction within a broader consolidation phase. Structure & Price Behavior The market previously formed a clear range between resistance (upper red zone) and support (lower gray zone), with multiple liquidity sweeps on both sides. Price has now returned to the lower boundary of the range, where demand historically stepped in. The recent sell-off shows weak follow-through, suggesting selling pressure is decreasing, not accelerating. Technical Signals Price is currently below EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating short-term bearish pressure. However, price is reacting at the range support, not breaking impulsively — a key sign of absorption rather than distribution. The structure suggests a potential spring / false breakdown, commonly seen before range expansion. Probable Scenarios Primary Scenario (Higher Probability): Price holds the 86.5k–87.0k support zone Short-term base formation Rotation back into the range Continuation toward 88.8k → 89.5k → 90.6k Invalidation Scenario: A strong impulsive breakdown below the support zone with volume This would open risk toward deeper downside liquidity Market Conclusion Market State: Sideways → Compression Current Phase: Liquidity absorption at range support Bias: Cautious bullish reversal from support Strategy: Patience — wait for confirmation, do not chase volatility 👉 Bitcoin is not breaking down it is building energy. The next expansion will be clear once the range resolves.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Bitcoin Has Two Bearish Patterns, 1st Might Be A Model For 2nd Updating the Bitcoin chart following the earlier Bear Flag alert I spotted another bearish continuation pattern that had already formed on top of the Bear Flag, a Pennant marked in orange I drew it and share with you how it already played out so it can be used as a learning example This helps illustrate how the current Bear Flag can repeat the same classic stages 1st stage - price broke down from the Pennant below 106k, similar to the recent Flag breakdown below 88k 2nd stage - price made a textbook pullback to the broken support, a common throwback seen in both patterns 3rd stage - price then resumed its downward move, completing the continuation sequence
Short
by aibek