$BTC.D Death Cross Has Occurred! The Signal on ₿itcoin Dominance We've Been Waiting All Cycle For 🔥
20 / 50 WMA Death Cross has officially occurred on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
So close to Alt Season I can taste it 😋
Btcd
Altseason on the Horizon?Technically, BTC Dominance has retested the breakdown of the rising channel, confirming a clean rejection from the retest area.
If price manages to break below the current support zone, we could see a strong shift toward altcoins as capital starts rotating out of BTC.
This recent move also flushed out over-leveraged traders, resetting market positioning, a healthy sign before the next major leg.
Stay patient and always analyze your risk before entering any position. The next few weeks could be decisive for the altcoin market.
DYOR, NFA
Stay tuned for more update
THANKS FOR THE READING
#PEACE
Altcoin Fear Rising — But Liquidity Shift Is ComingI know the current pullback on altcoins has greatly increased the fear of a deeper drop, especially since Bitcoin just hit a new all-time high at $126,200 yesterday.
Yet, the Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTCDOM/USDT) shows that the price is getting ready for a major decline.
This suggests that liquidity could soon start flowing into altcoins, potentially starting this week.
BTC Dominance: Short-Term Dip or Long-Term Rally?📊 Bitcoin dominance has been cruising in an uptrend channel for a while, but it recently broke below the channel's floor, dropping to around 58%. Right now, it’s bouncing around in a key zone between the 60% resistance and 56% support.
What’s Coming Next?
🔴 Short-Term Bearish Scenario: If dominance can’t hold above 60%, we might see it slide back to the critical 56% support. This could give altcoins some breathing room and maybe even spark a decent rally. Perfect opportunity for those eyeing altcoin trades!
🟢 Long-Term Bullish Scenario: If dominance builds a solid base at 56% and starts climbing again, it could aim for 64% and even push toward 68–70%. If this plays out, Bitcoin’s gonna take charge of the market again, and altcoins might feel the heat.
The Bottom Line:
Short-Term: A drop to 56% could mean altcoins steal the show. Keep an eye on this level!
Long-Term: If Bitcoin flexes its muscles and dominance climbs to 68–70%, it’s probably time to lean heavier into BTC in your portfolio.
✍️ This analysis can be a solid guide for balancing your portfolio between Bitcoin and altcoins. Watch those 56% and 60% levels closely to make smart moves!
BTC.D Alt coins updatewait for the monthly candle closure and to form a fvg / gap, whenever it taps into the monthly fvg, start acculumating altcoins, invest good in stronger altcoins like ETH, Link, ENA, SEI, INJ and stronger memes like Doge, Fartcoin, Bonk and Turbo. These pairs are my favourite and will outperform in alt season. Because btc.d is strongly bearish that's why not giving any short signal for alts, ignore what's BTC doing. Market makers are just flushing the long / buyers before a strong impulsive moves. October first week or maybe the 2nd week may go in red then the real strong move will start. Market makers are just showing the market is strongly bearish, shifted structre to the downside trapping all smc/ict traders and other breakout traders to trap for short selling as they did in feb. Best Of Luck.
BITCOIN DOMINANCE has BROKEN DOWN Initially, we have a head and shoulders pattern that has yet to reach its target.
Additionally, there is a significant breakdown from a broadening ascending wedge.
Expanding wedge formations exhibit increasing volatility as they develop.
These ascending broadening wedge chart patterns emerge during uptrends, signalling trend continuation with higher highs and higher lows, often touching the upper and lower boundary lines of the wedge.
When the head and shoulders pattern was formed, it FAILED to reach the upper boundary.
This suggests a exhaustion of the uptrend.
The activation of the head and shoulders confirmed that a reversal was underway.
Now, we are witnessing the breakdown of the wedge, followed by back testing, which confirms the weakness of #Bitcoin compared to the #ALTS, particularly #Ethereum, of course.
I still believe that Bitcoin has higher price targets that will be achieved, so I remain optimistic about BTC.
If you own Bitcoin, it would be wise to stay with that asset and avoid getting caught up in the extreme volatility of alt coins.
For those of us who have been battling and enduring in the trenches over the past few years, the opposite holds true.
We CANNOT give in to Bitcoin maximalism at this point in the game!
This is our Time!
Altseason Index Proxy (TOTAL3 / BTC.D) Weekly TF
Symbol & Timeframe:
* **Symbol**: CRYPTOCAP\:TOTAL3 / CRYPTOCAP\:BTC.D
* **Timeframe**: Weekly (1W),
* **Purpose**: A clean, data-driven proxy for detecting altseason momentum
Technical Structure:
✅ Key Support Zones
* **13.47B (61.8% Fib)**: Critical golden zone; current price consolidation area
* **12.45B (50.0% Fib)**: Lower bound of golden zone
* **11.00B**: Historical support zone
* **8.15B (0.0%)**: Absolute bottom of retracement range
🔹 Hidden Bullish Divergence
* **MACD Histogram & Signal Lines** show hidden bullish divergence
* Price action forming **higher lows** while MACD makes **lower lows**
* Indicates trend continuation potential
🔢 Fibonacci Targets
TP1: 16.8B (100.0%)
TP2: 22.2B (161.8%)
TP3: 30.7B (261.8%)
🔄 Expected Path
* Potential short-term correction toward 12.4B followed by a breakout
* Bullish continuation path sketched with progressive Fib targets
📈 Macro & Fundamental Confluence
📉 Liquidity and Monetary Easing
* Global monetary policy is easing (e.g., Fed pivot expected mid-2025)
* Increased liquidity historically precedes strong altcoin rallies
BTC Dominance Decline
* BTC.D rolling down from long-term highs
* Signals beginning of capital rotation into altcoins
🚀 Emerging Narratives
* Rise of L2s (e.g., Base, zkSync), AI tokens, real-world asset protocols
* Fresh narratives tend to amplify altseason rotations
💼 Institutional Tailwinds
* Spot ETH ETF approvals pave way for alt ETF flows
* Regulatory clarity expected to reduce uncertainty in late 2025
Related Reference Charts:
🌐 TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC & ETH)
📊 BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
These charts offer standalone confirmation of:
Altcoin strength forming on TOTAL3
BTC dominance facing structural resistance
Composite Altseason Thesis:
1. Liquidity injections + halving = BTC rally
2. BTC.D breakdown + TOTAL3 support = altcoin strength
3. Technical confirmations: hidden divergence, fib confluence
4. Narrative and regulatory catalysts = widespread rotation
**Conclusion**:
We are entering a prime zone for altseason acceleration. Price reclaim above 13.47B and continued BTC.D drop will validate bullish thesis. Monitor closely for breakouts past TP1 and momentum into TP2/TP3.
📌 Current status:
- Price rebounding in the 12.45–13.47B Fibonacci zone (50–61.8%)
- Hidden bullish divergence on MACD + ascending price structure
- BTC.D has rolled off 65% resistance — suggesting capital rotation
📊 Altseason Thesis:
1. Post-halving BTC rally → profit dispersion into altcoins
2. Macro conditions (Fed pivot, record liquidity) enabling risk-on environment
3. Technical confirmation via index momentum and fib structure
4. Narrative tailwinds: Layer-2 adoption, AI-crypto, altcoin ETF catalysts
📈 Targets:
- TP1 @ 16.8B (100% Fib)
- TP2 @ 22.2B (161.8% Fib)
- TP3 @ 30.7B (261.8% Fib)
🟢 Key support: 12.45–13.47B zone; breakout + BTC.D collapse = altseason trigger.
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Back in July, I called the #BTC Dominance top before anyone else and predicted the #alts season.
That move shifted billions in capital across the market; those who followed were ahead of the game! 🏆
Every week, I share exclusive #BTC outlooks and in, depth weekly market reports with over 90% accuracy and always ahead of the curve.
Today’s spotlight:
🗓 04/09 #BTC Dominance vs now… 🎯
Key support zone: | 53% |
If we break below this levels, get ready for a big shift of capital into #alts!
Join the community, stay one step ahead, and take your trading to the next level! 🔥
BTCD Enjoy Short Term Relief In ALTS#BTCD Enjoy Short Term Relief In ALTS
Until BTCD reaches 4280, opening any long position in any altcoin will only be a losing decision.
BTCD is going to test support at 3732, so until then, there will be a short-term pump in altcoins.
*Namaste*
#RIOT and the miners pumping = AltseasonThe Bitcoin miners have quietly entered a Bull market since April, without much attention.
This indicates that investors are looking for additional risk beyond #BTC as they prepare for an exciting Altseason.
Their reasoning might arise from the perception that Bitcoin can provide only a limited return going forward based on its current point in the cycle and the outsized returns it has already delivered over $100K+ per coin from the low 3 years ago.
As you can see, RIOT has recently broken out of an inverse head and shoulders pattern against Bitcoin dominance.
Historically, when this pattern has emerged in the previous two cycles, the logarithmic target has been achieved and even exceeded, coinciding with strong altcoin performance.
We have much to look forward to in the upcoming months.
$BTC.D Head and Shoulders Topple to 42%If I were a betting man, this is what the future holds for ₿itcoin Dominance.
A head and shoulders pattern could very well be the eventual topple for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D as we see it make it's way down to 42% which follows previous cycle's trend.
the RSI shows room for correction back up for one more push.
the 20WMA bearish crossing below the 50WMA will be the nail in the coffin.
Bitcoin Dominance Continue Dropping, Dec. 2024 Support HoldsThe uptrend ended the 23-June 2025 week. On this date, the index at hand started to decline; Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) turned bearish.
Notice how many altcoins bottomed in April, the majority, and yet BTC.D did not peak until June. A delayed effect.
The downtrend is now on and undeniable; the altcoins bull market is now on and undeniable.
The downtrend is unraveling but far from being done. Bearish momentum is building up but we have not seen the true potential of the altcoins market. As Bitcoin Dominance moves down, the altcoins market moves up.
In July BTC.D took a pause, two green weeks. It closed green and the third week we saw the resumption of the bearish move and trend.
In August, late August, now, BTC.D is taking another pause, about to close one week green. This should not be taken as the end of the altcoins bull market, not at all. The market is only becoming stronger to produce even higher, bigger and better growth.
The low from November-December 2024 (54.56%) is still intact as support. Cryptocurrency market prices are going much higher this time around; the cycle will be much longer, this support is sure to break based on TA, with the index moving much lower.
Back in late 2024 the bullish wave for the altcoins lasted exactly 1 month. After this major rise, we had a decline lasting many months.
Things are different now. BTC.D has been going down for weeks, 10 weeks but the index is still trading pretty high and that's my main point. There is still plenty of room for this index to drop.
Sell when prices are up. Bearish potential develops after a major uptrend; out of a top. This top is present here and from here down-we go. The index again, of course; Crypto is going up.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Dominance Continues To Drop (Bullish Crypto)While Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) continues to drop, the altcoins continue to consolidate, to recover. Not all of them are up and to be honest, most of them are down, and this is good news.
Even after all this time and all we've seen and waited, still, there are many opportunities available; meaning, it is still early in this bull market bullish cycle and wave. There is still time to buy at low prices. But...
There is a "but." Many pairs are no longer great to buy. Some examples are the obvious ETHUSDT, BTCUSDT and those trading high up. Don't get me wrong, these pairs can be traded all of the time, over and over, again and again, but, the best prices possible are no more and this will increase the complexity of our new entries and how much money we can make. Risk also becomes higher. No worries though, when one door closes, seven hundred new doors open. Opportunities are endless in this market.
Bitcoin Dominance Index bearish bias remains intact, in fact, it continues to strengthen. This means that Bitcoin will continue to grow and the altcoins as well. Truly, this is all we need. We already have more than enough signals, but one more can't hurt.
Bring the bullish storm. Crypto will change your life for the better, if not now, in the future.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bullish Now, Bitcoin & The Altcoins · 2025 Bull Market ContinuesThe altcoins market cannot be bearish at the same time that Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is bearish. When Bitcoin Dominance is bearish the altcoins market is bullish. When the altcoins market is bullish Bitcoin is already growing or set to grow.
Here we have the daily chart for Bitcoin Dominance. Here we have a full break of support. The bearish bias only continues to strengthen and is supported by really high volume. As Bitcoin Dominance moves lower, the altcoins move higher.
You can see a huge rounded top pattern as well as a very strong decline started late June. Notice that the strongest decline before this June was November 2024. November 2024 was when the entire altcoins market produced a strong advance. This was the first signal and also the bottom for many altcoins (ALTS vs BTC pairs). Things are changing.
The dynamics we are about to experience between Bitcoin and the altcoins market is something not seen ever before. The market evolved for years, is evolving and continues to evolve and this evolution will be reflected in market price action and the charts. The charts will be different and how the altcoins behave in relation to Bitcoin and each other. The market will continue to become harder to read, predict and understand. It is just natural. We human becomes more mentally complex as we become older, it is the same system.
A bearish bias on this index confirms the continuation of the bullish wave for the altcoins. This is all you need to know. You need to know that Bitcoin and the altcoins market will continue to grow. Not months into the future, not years into the future, short-term. We are going up now.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Has Altcoin rally begun?A long-term support trend-line on Bitcoin dominance has just broken. This suggests BTC dominance may decline , which often shifts liquidity toward Altcoins. If confirmed in weekly time frame, we could see stronger moves across the Altcoin market.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my market view.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTCDOM) Headed Toward MA200 @2277Here we have Bitcoin Dominance (BTCDOM) but this time through the perpetual futures contract on Binance, weekly timeframe.
The bearish bias is fully confirmed—already a developing phenomena—it has been happening for months.
A little more than two months ago, on the 16-June week, BTCDOM peaked and started dropping. The break of the uptrend was confirmed with four consecutive weeks BTCDOM closing red. The action went below our short-term moving averages and also below a strong Fib. retracement level.
The last two weeks closed red. This is the third week and while it is green, most of the space won has been lost. The current candle is a bearish hammer, a continuation of the previous two and of the broader bearish move.
While BTCDOM was rising for years volume was dropping for years. This volume divergence supports the structure breakdown we are seeing now. The next support is found around MA200, black line on the chart. This indicator has a reading of 2277. MA200 falls between 0.618 and 0.786 Fib retracement.
As Bitcoin Dominance moves down (BTCDOM), Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the altcoins (TOTAL) grow.
Namaste.
Altseason Trigger? BTC.D Test Crucial SupportOver the past two weeks, Bitcoin dominance has lost its upward trendline and is starting to turn bearish. However, for this scenario to play out, the support box highlighted in the chart (drawn using ichimoku) must first be broken.
Breaking this level = the start of Altseason
there are three possible scenarios:
1. A direct breakdown.
2. A pullback followed by a breakdown.
3. Sideway movement within the current range.
We should hope that the third scenario does not occur.
this analysis reflects a personal opinion and is not buy or sell signal.
$BTC.D On the Cusp Of Breaking Down - What to WatchNothing too exciting to write home about for the Weekly Closes today, but ₿itcoin Dominance shows continued signs of breaking down, now closing the past 2 weeks below the 50WMA.
If we get one more decisive Weekly close beneath it, I’d feel very comfortable calling Alt Season.
BTC.D is also on the verge of breaking below the 8-year trendline, as well as the 0.236 Fib which would add confluence.
Breaking below 57% should seal the deal.
This will be a big week to watch.
Bitcoin Dominance Below 60% & Below SupportBTCD just lost the 0.236 Fib. retracement support, the next level to be tested immediately is 55.64 followed by 52.44 followed by 49.23. All these are high probability targets.
The week closes today and is red. The chart drawings, patterns and signals are bearish; bearish confirmed, pointing lower and support additional bearish action. Everything points down for this index and the volume is just too strong. The downtrend is on.
The drop is about to intensify next week. Last week was the continuation and this week the confirmation. Now we will experience the meat of the current move. This is when bearish momentum intensifies.
Thinking of the inverse relation between Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the altcoins, this means that the 2025 bull market is about to speed up. We are about to see a massive influx of capital into the market and a large amount of bullish momentum.
Remember, Bitcoin will also grow.
Bitcoin and the altcoins market is going up.
Ethereum will continue growing.
Be prepared, no more red.
(As Bitcoin Dominance goes down, Crypto goes up.)
Namaste.
ALT SZNThe altseason is starting. I expect a small pullback, followed by an altcoin rally that will last until mid-2026.
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.)
I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made)
BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation".
Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are):
- A monthly bearish engulfing candle
- A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market
- Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too
However, there are strong counterarguments.
The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise.
Update on the above chart:
The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario.
Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs.
Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least.
ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS?
You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal.
Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!
Bitcoin Dominance · Bitcoin Hits $1,000,000, ETH $200K Bitcoin Dominance is displaying the lowest reading in 8 months, since January 2025.
Bitcoin Dominance is in the worst condition possible in 4 full years. The Bitcoin Dominance Index chart predicts a major bullish cycle across Crypto; Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
This week we have a bearish continuation on BTC.D, which also works as bearish confirmation which reinforces the bearish continuation. The altcoins are already going up, it has been happening for months.
The market has been rising for months; Bitcoin has been rising for years but this isn't all. Seeing BTC.D here we know the bigger portion of the current trend is still to unravel.
The rounded top, a bearish reversal signal, is complete and the neckline, the main pattern support, has been broken. Trading volume continues to be high and the bearish bias strong.
There is more. It is the first time Bitcoin Dominance breaks below EMA55 weekly since June 2022. Coming from a high point, this event happened January 2021, the start of the previous bull market. The same signal again now means the start of the current bull market.
It is already happening, it is already confirmed.
It was the same back in 2021. In January/February 2021 it was already happening and it was already confirmed that Crypto was having a major bull market. Bitcoin was already trading near its previous all-time high. Market conditions are the same. Bitcoin is about to grow 20%. While Bitcoin grows this much, the altcoins will grow between 300 and 600%. Then Bitcoin will take a pause and the altcoins will continue to grow. Ether is likely to go beyond 10K.
Crypto is going up. This is the best possible ever. Your life can forever change.
Take a minute to think.
Stop for a moment. Engage your mind and visualize... What type of results can you produce?
What would you do if you knew with a high level of certainty that Crypto is going up? How would you take advantage of this information? What type of actions are you taking now to maximize profits in this bullish wave?
It is not about being bearish or bullish, it is about adapting to what is happening. Crypto is going up; Are you in or are you out?
Namaste.
Bitcoin Dominance · Downtrend Continues (Bullish Bitcoin)The uptrend ended 27-July 2025 with the highest reading on BTC.D since January 2021. Back in January 2021 BTC.D was also bearish, dropping, and this bearish period in this index matched the strongest bullish action ever, the 2021 bull market.
Now, the bearish phase on BTC.D is intensifying. I am bullish on Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
Bitcoin Dominance being bearish does not mean Bitcoin is bearish, it means the altcoins are rising. When the altcoins are rising, Bitcoin is already high and will continue rising.
Two days closed green on BTC.D and today back red. A few days green, many days red. A new low each time, lower low. A lower high shows up each time... This is only the start.
A reading of 60% is nothing to be proud of if you are a bear. The truth is that Bitcoin Dominance being at 60% simply means that the altcoins market has still plenty of room for growth. For example, Ethereum can hit $11,111 and Bitcoin $200,000+. Targets need to be updated because we will have an extraordinary bull market.
» Many pairs have been growing for months, since April.
» Other pairs have been sideways for months, since April.
» While still others continued lower.
Soon, the entire market will move in one rhythm, one flow. And this flow is an up-wave. Rising prices for the long haul. The best scenario possible if you love Crypto. The strongest bullish cycle since 2021. Possibly the strongest ever.
Prepare for higher prices.
» Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is going down.
» Bitcoin and the altcoins are going up.
Namaste.
