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Btctechnicalanalysis

Is Btc going lower? Aug 9th- As Btc was approaching a break of the trendline, I anticipated the usual % "fakeout" and set my T1 (green box) accordingly. Asking the question, "Is Btc doing what it always does?" Because if it did, then setting my bearish targets (and their probabilities), was a matter of simple calculations. Aug 12h - As my green T1 was confirmed, I became confident we were in a very common bearish pattern and with the highest probability, my bearish T2 would be hit. Aug 16th- Once I ruled out the 12% chance of a Btc parabolic move (without a retrace into either bearish target), I was able to recalculate the probabilities of my bear targets. These were udated as seen on the chart below. I wanted my followers to understand WHY I had increased the probailities in each of T1 and T2 targets. Aug 23rd - As of today, my bear T2 target has been hit and the entire anticipated bearish pattern has been confirmed. I wanted to offer a bit of an explination on how I came to determine price action once Btc broke trend. But the question remains, will Btc go lower into my T2 target ($108K - $112K)? I believe the answer is yes. And that would be my ideal buy zone for Btc and my favorite alt coins. May the trends be with you.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
Bitcoin Eyes $100K Re-Entry: Retest, Support Zone,Then Push 130kChart Analysis 1. Price Structure & Trendlines The chart displays a former upward trendline that has been broken, leading to a corrective pullback. Following that, price is perched within a “retest zone” (the red-shaded rectangle), which aligns with both historical horizontal resistance—now turning into support—and an area of previous consolidation. This is a classic setup: price often retests key breakout levels before resuming its move. 2. Support Levels The main support is clearly drawn around the $100K zone, highlighted by a grey bar below the retest zone. This is a psychological and structural area to watch for potential strong buying. Immediate support appears near $110K–$112K, as noted by the lower edge of the red retest area—this zone has shown to catch corrections before in technical analysis and news reports AInvest Mudrex Barron's . 3. Resistance & Upside Targets If the retest holds, the chart charts a potential bounce toward the upper rising trendline and beyond, potentially aiming for the $126K–$130K region, as marked by Fibonacci retracement levels. This aligns with several external forecasts suggesting resistance or target zones in that range AInvest Mudrex Barron's . 4. Potential Price Path & Scenarios (Denoted by Red Arrows) Bearish Scenario: Price may dip down into the retest zone, test support, and—if the breakdown occurs—continue lower toward $100K—a key area of interest. Bullish Scenario: The support holds, leading to a V-shaped recovery that propels price back above $115K, potentially triggering a rally toward $122K–$130K. Summary Table Key Zone / Level Significance & Note $110K–$112K Critical near-term support; breakdown risks move toward $100K AInvest Mudrex Retest Zone (~$114K–$115K) Area combining horizontal support and trendline; serves as pivot for next move Mudrex AInvest $120K–$123K Major resistance where a breakout could fuel continuation toward $127K–$130K Mudrex Barron's Broader Context & Market Sentiment Bitcoin is currently consolidating after setting new highs near $124K MarketWatch The Economic Times Barron's Cointribune . Analysts observe that sustaining above the $110K–$112K band is essential to the bullish case; falling below it could invite deeper downside Barron's Cointribune AInvest . Conversely, a decisive move above $120K–$123K could validate continuation toward $127K–$130K, and even higher—some forecasts extend to $135K and beyond Mudrex Indiatimes Barron's CoinCodex . Final Thoughts Your chart beautifully illustrates the classic “retest after breakout” dynamic: Hold above the retest zone? Look for a rebound toward $120K+, with the potential for a full bullish revival aiming for $130K. Break below $110K–$112K? Watch for a possible move toward $100K—a critical support level. Stay alert to macro catalysts too—like Federal Reserve interest rate signals, institutional inflows (ETFs), and regulatory developments—which could steer the next leg substantially
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Bitcoin: $120K Breakthrough – Getting Ready for $130K–$134K!Bitcoin: $120K Breakthrough – Getting Ready for $130K–$134K! 🚀 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Technical Review, August 2025 • Support: $110K–112K holds — above it, bulls retain initiative. • Momentum resumes: BTC broke through $120K, thanks to $260 million inflow into Bitcoin via ETFs and potential Bullish IPO. Drive is maintained. Possible target is $130K–$134K. • Technical outlook: Recovery above $115K after record highs in July. Breakout — will give way to $128K. Hidden risks — fall below $110K. • Long-term targets: Technical measurement points to potential up to $146,400 if above $112K holds and top is broken. RSI remains favorable, volumes on exchanges are declining — signal of institutional outflow. Bottom line: Bitcoin is confidently holding above the key $110-120K zone. A breakout of $120K is a starting point for a move to $130-$134K, and then to $146K. Watch for consolidation or pullback near current levels. Tactics: - Buy on dip: around $112-115K with targets of $130-134K. - Breakout buy: if it consolidates above $120K, target $130-$134K, then $146K. - Stop loss: under $110K.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
1
BTC: Multi-Phase Correction Scenario₿ BITCOIN: Multi-Phase Correction Scenario - Liquidity Hunt to Major Pullback Sharing my broader outlook for Bitcoin's next major moves. This is a multi-timeframe analysis with several key phases. 🎯 **📍 Phase 1: Daily Dow Theory Reversal** The pink line below marks the daily timeframe pivot point based on Dow Theory. I'm expecting a liquidity grab at this level first - sweeping out the stop losses parked below this key structural point. 🔄 **📈 Phase 2: The Counter-Trend Rally** After the liquidity hunt, I'm looking for a recovery back toward the upper yellow horizontal line - this represents the recent range high. This would be a classic "fake-out" move to trap short-biased traders before the real decline begins. 🎭 **⏰ Time Factor Consideration:** If this rally extends into next week or beyond, we might only see a recovery to the lower yellow horizontal line instead. **Time affects momentum** - the longer price takes to develop, the weaker the eventual bounce tends to be. 📅 **📉 Phase 3: The Main Event** Finally, I'm anticipating a significant decline down to the purple line at the bottom - approximately the 0.382 Fibonacci level. This would represent the major corrective move. 🎯 **⚠️ Risk Management Note:** I cannot provide a risk-to-reward ratio for this setup yet. **Why?** Because I don't know exactly how price will behave at each critical level, and the stop loss placement will depend on how the structure develops. The R/R calculation will determine whether I actually take this trade or pass on it. 📊 **🧠 Key Takeaway:** This is a perfect example of why having a plan is different from having a trade. I know what I want to see, but I won't commit capital until the risk-to-reward makes sense. Patience pays in trading. ⏳ --- **Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates. --- *Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
by Hiroyuki-Suzuki
BTC/USDT 4H Trade Idea – Demand Zone Rejection & Liquidity Sweep Bitcoin is currently retesting a strong support zone after a sharp sell-off. Price dipped into the liquidity sweep / manipulation zone, triggering stop hunts below the support area. This often indicates accumulation by smart money before a potential reversal. 📌 Plan / Setup: Watching for bullish confirmation in the highlighted demand zone. Possible entry after rejection or confirmation candle. Stop-loss: Below the liquidity sweep zone. Target 1: 119,200 (immediate resistance). Target 2: 121,000 (major resistance zone). 🔑 Why this setup looks strong? Historical demand zone support respected multiple times. Liquidity grab below support hints at reversal potential. Clear risk-to-reward if price reclaims resistance levels. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Trade with proper risk management. This is not financial advice, just an educational trade idea. Hashtags & Keywords for TradingView #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #SupportAndResistance #DemandZone #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingPsychology #RiskManagement #CryptoAnalysis
Long
by Jamtara_Trader
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Indicators Suggest $127,000 TargetAt the time of writing, BINANCE:BTCUSDT trades at $115,061, holding firmly above the $115,000 support. The models suggest that selling by STHs will remain limited until BTC approaches $127,000, which sits above the previous all-time high of $124,474 and marks the next major profit-taking level. For BINANCE:BTCUSDT to reach this target, broader market support will be necessary. Geopolitical tensions remain a drag on sentiment, but renewed investor confidence could aid momentum. Reclaiming $117,261 as support and pushing to $120,000 would set the stage for a potential new all-time high in the near term. If conditions worsen, BINANCE:BTCUSDT risks losing $115,000 support, with a possible decline to $112,526 or lower. Such a move would invalidate the bullish thesis and highlight the vulnerability of BTC to external pressures, reinforcing caution among traders while the market reassesses its trajectory.
by BeInCrypto
Bitcoin Key Holders Turn Neutral Ahead Of Volatility ExplosionBINANCE:BTCUSDT price had shown an upward trend throughout the month, but this momentum faltered in the last 24 hours, with BTC falling to $117,305 . This decline occurred as the price slipped below the established uptrend line, signaling a shift in market sentiment. If investors maintain their positions during the expected volatility surge, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could stabilize above $117,000. This would open the door for a potential push toward $120,000, turning it into support and allowing further upside movement. However, if investor sentiment turns bearish and selling increases in response to volatility, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could face a significant drop . In this case, the price may fall through the $115,000 support level, potentially reaching as low as $112,526 . This would wipe out the gains seen in August, invalidating the bullish outlook.
by BeInCrypto
Btc hit my upside target perfectly. Now retrace to downside T1?On Aug 9th, I suggested that Btc would break the downward trend and head up to my upside target (green T1). It did so the next day. I then anticipated a retrace to either T1 or T2 based on historical data (see chart below) My upside target hit within 1%. So now...with the highest probability, Btc may now retrace into T1 (1st red box). There's always a chance it can go lower, but based on price action I expect a bounce at T1. We may not get T2 (even though there is a higher historical probability). There is still that 12% chance Btc is just up only from here (with NO retrace into T1). ***Let me know what target you think will be hit (T1 or T2), or if you think up only from here. May the trends be with you
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late July to August 3, 2025. The current price is $113,570.31, with a 24-hour change of +$1,064.77 (+0.95%). The chart shows a recent upward trend followed by a sharp decline, with key levels marked at $113,570.31 (buy/sell price) and $111,135.38 (support level). The trading volume and price range are highlighted, with a notable drop below the $113,570.31 level as of 03:16:00 on the chart.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
1
BTC At Key Support! Will Bulls Breakout From $116K? Don’t Miss **💎 BTC TRADE SETUP — HOLDING SUPPORT FOR NEXT LEG UP** 📈 **Market Bias:** Mixed → Short-term pressure, long-term bullish 🔍 **Key Level:** Price holding near **50-SMA** support ⚡ **Potential:** Consolidation could fuel breakout toward **\$117.5K** **🛠 Setup:** * **Direction:** LONG * **Entry:** \$116,132.70 * **Stop Loss:** \$114,500 (below support) * **Take Profit:** \$117,500 * **Size:** 1 contract (1x leverage) * **Confidence:** 70% * **Timing:** Market open 📌 **Why Long?** * BTC above major moving averages — bullish trend intact * RSI & MACD hint at possible upside momentum * Favorable risk-reward near key support zone ⚠ **Risk Note:** Breakdown below **\$113,069** (50-SMA) flips bias bearish. Volatility can cause sharp swings — position sizing matters. --- **#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #Cryptocurrency #CryptoSetup #DayTrade #SwingTrade #PriceAction #CryptoSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #BitcoinPrice #BreakoutTrading #SupportAndResistance #BTCAnalysis #MovingAverages #RSI #MACD #CryptoInvesting #BullishSetup #CryptoMarket**
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by quantsignals
Current situation BTCUSD Current situation The price is trading around $114,959, having reached a daily high of ~$115,678 and a low of ~$113,851. BTC is holding the 50-day moving average (SMA) and the downtrend is not dominant - this level is an important technical support. A bull flag pattern has formed, which indicates a likely further upward momentum. Support is formed near $110,000, and a potential breakout target is $120,000. Technical patterns and levels The inverted head and shoulders pattern on the weekly chart indicates further growth. The neckline is at ~$115,000 - its breakout can open the way to targets in the range of $132K - $141K, and the theoretical measurement of the movement predicts up to $172,000, which is ~50% growth. After an unsuccessful attempt to overcome the resistance at ~$115,600, the bearish trend remains in the short term. However, the stability above $114,500 is supported by the growth of institutional interest and the inflow of capital into crypto products, which creates the preconditions for a possible breakout. Main levels and signals Support: ~$110,000 is a critical level, the violation of which will cross out the optimistic scenarios. Resistance: ~$115,600–115,700 is the nearest barrier. A sustainable breakthrough through it with volume can open the way up. Goals for growth: $120,000 → then $132,000–141,000 → potentially up to $172,000. Risks: A failure below $110K can trigger a deep correction. .
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
$BTC bouncing over crucial support!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently pulling back from the $123K resistance area, heading toward a major confluence support zone between $107K–$110K, which aligns with: ✅ Previous breakout zone ✅ 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement ✅ Lower bound of the ascending channel ✅ 200 EMA support This level is expected to attract buyers and act as a strong base for the next bullish leg. Price dips into the $107K–$110K support Look for a bullish reversal (reaction candles or bullish divergence) Target 1: $128K – retest of resistance Target 2: $132K – upper boundary of the ascending channel CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains within a healthy bullish structure. This pullback is constructive, not bearish. The $108K–$110K zone is a high-probability long setup — wait for bullish confirmation before entering. A daily close below $106.8K would invalidate the structure and open up downside risk.
Long
by persis10t
3
BTC/USDT Buy Setup – VSA & Demand Zone Reaction✅ Entry: Current price action near 117,297 🎯 Target: 119,078 (+1.22%) 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 116,944 (below demand zone) 📊 Technical Insight (Volume Spread Analysis): Stopping Volume at Lows: The recent down move halted with a wide spread down-bar on high volume, followed by an immediate rejection. This indicates potential professional buying absorbing supply. No Supply Confirmation: After the stopping volume, several narrow spread candles on low volume formed, suggesting weak selling pressure and a lack of commitment from bears. Bullish Reaction: Price rebounded from the demand zone with increasing volume on up-bars, showing early signs of demand dominance. The current consolidation just above the support is typical of absorption before a markup phase. Risk-Reward Structure: The setup offers a favorable 2.2:1 R:R ratio, with the stop placed just below the zone to avoid false breakouts while allowing the trade room to breathe. 📌 Trade Plan: Bias remains bullish as long as price holds above 116,944. A breakout above the minor resistance (117,828) with volume expansion would confirm the next leg up toward the 119,078 target. If volume fails to support the move, reassess before committing additional capital.
Long
by coolbouy
2
BTC-----Sell around 118000, target 116500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on July 25: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, and the K-line pattern continued to fall. Although the price is at a high level, the attached indicator is dead cross. The current big trend is falling. From the overall trend and the trend law, the pullback is not strong. Instead of breaking the high, the decline is strong and continuous. Then the trend is also slowly changing. The key support position below is 115700 area, which is the position to pay attention to today and next week; the short-cycle hourly chart currently has a continuous negative K-line pattern, the price is below the moving average, and the attached indicator is dead cross. The continuation of the intraday decline is a high probability trend, and whether the European session can continue to break the previous low is the key. The current short-term resistance position is in the 118000 area. Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: Sell at the 118000 area of the pullback, stop loss at the 1118500 area, and target the 116500 area;
Short
by NicolaZhu