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Btcusdanalysis

Has Bitcoin's long-short trend reversed?Recently, Bitcoin has demonstrated strong resilience at the key support level of 107,000: this level has undergone multiple downward tests, with no effective breakdown occurring; instead, it has rebounded quickly after each touch, confirming the market recognition of this support zone and the strength of buying interest. As the bottom support is confirmed, the price momentum has gradually strengthened and has now successfully broken through the previous resistance level on the 4-hour timeframe. Technically, a bullish structure of "valid support - broken resistance" has been formed, and the short-term trend has shifted from consolidation to a bullish bias. Based on this market change, our trading strategy needs to be adjusted accordingly: we can take a small-position long trade when the price retraces to the support level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888
#BTC/USDT Bullish Divergence on 1H, Low Risk Trade#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is poised to break it strongly upwards and retest it. We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 108062, which represents a strong basis for the upside. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 108450 First target: 108959 Second target: 109541 Third target: 110325 Don't forget a simple matter: capital management. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Bitcoin – Bearish Scenario Playing Out as ExpectedBitcoin – Bearish Scenario Playing Out as Expected Hello traders, BTC continues to follow the plan, reacting neatly within the channel and showing a minor drop at the retest of the rising structure. Hopefully, many of you managed to catch the short signal from the previous setup. In line with the current momentum, BTC remains in a solid downtrend. This short position will be held in the medium term, with the next long zone expected around 105k. On the higher timeframes, BTC is still within a broader bullish trend, with greater upside potential at the long-term buy zones. That said, current market sentiment shows heavy liquidity flowing into gold, which could mean BTC moves more slowly in the near term. This is my trading outlook for BTC – stay disciplined, manage risk, and feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
BTC Breakdown Alert: Bears Eye $106K Next! 🔥 **BTC Bears Ready to Attack? 🚨 Target \$106K Incoming!** 🔥 📊 **Market Bias** ⏳ **Intraday → 4H**: 🟥 Bearish (⬇️ below EMA9/21/20SMA, 📉 MACD negative, 💥 sell volume) 📅 **Daily → Weekly**: ✅ Mixed-to-Bullish (📈 above 200 SMA ≈ 101.3k) ⚖️ → Tactical short only, ⚠️ size carefully. 🎯 **Trade Plan** 💰 Entry: **109,200** 🛑 Stop Loss: **110,800** 🎯 Take Profit: **102,400** (⚡ 50% at 105,900 / 50% at 102,400) 📏 Size: **1 BTC** (risk \~1%) 💪 Confidence: **60%** ⏰ Timing: **Market Open** 🧠 **Why Short?** * 📉 EMAs/SMA bearish stack * 🔻 Expanding negative MACD * 🧊 Heavier sell volume * 🎯 BB extension aligns w/ \~102.4k ⚠️ **Risks** * ❓ Missing OI/liquidity data = squeeze risk * 📈 Long-term bullish structure > 200 SMA * 🌍 Macro shocks (ETF/reg headlines, DXY swings) --- 📊 **TRADE JSON (automation/record):** ```json { "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 109200.00, "stop_loss": 110800.00, "take_profit": 106000.00, "size": 1.0, "confidence": 0.60, "entry_timing": "market_open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-09-01 17:02:46" } ``` --- 🏷️ **Hashtags:** \#BTC 🚀 #Bitcoin 💎 #CryptoTrading 📊 #TradeSetup 🐻 #ShortTrade ⚡ #DayTrading ⏳ #RiskManagement 🛡️ #SwingTrade 🎯
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by quantsignals
1
Btc bottoming - See my short term bounce targetI have been anticipating a Btc local bottom as low as 108K since Aug 9th. It was a high probability call, because it's what Btc always does! Follow the patterns... Now that my T2 has been hit, I anticpate a bounce into my high probability range as seen in the above chart. I will be monitoring price action very closely to see if either of the other 2 higher targets are possible before my anticipated reversal. I will be taking profit at the top of this bounce. There is a possibility, based on the 3 week down rule, that the reversal (from my targets) may lead to a lower low to my T3 (below current low at 107.5K). This may happen as soon as late Sept- Oct. I hope I'm wrong about that. May the trends be with you.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
4
Bitcoin Update – The Next StepsBitcoin Update – The Next Steps Hello traders, BTC is still moving in line with the outlook I shared previously. Price is now approaching the short zone according to technical structure. For those who prefer not to enter immediately, it may be better to wait for a reaction on the M15–M30 timeframes. The downside is that entries may not be as perfect, but the win rate could improve thanks to additional confirmation. At the moment, BTC’s price action remains relatively slow. It’s possible that price will consolidate around the entry area for a while, as there is still significant liquidity from the previous long move and market sentiment continues to lean towards upside expectations. Patience is key here. I’ll update again if there are structural changes. In the meantime, use this scenario as reference and feel free to share your thoughts in the comments so we can discuss further.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Cup & Handle Done, BTC Correction First Before Another High!The correction itself supported by the Rising Wedge pattern that has been break the support level. So, in the near term let it corrected, supposed to be $87,000-$92,000 areas before we see another record high in the medium term. The trigger will be Fed starting the rate cut in 17 September 2025. Caution : Not recommended for trading purpose! It's too risky! Better you use the spot for invest, not trading the futures market! BTC probably will move along with US Stock Indices.. therefore they area getting supported when Fed confirmed the rate cut cycles!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by irpansupiandi
BTC AI Prediction Dashboard - 6h Price Path (02.09.25) Prediction made using Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Link in bio BTCUSDT Forecast: Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Projects 6h Price Path (Forward-Only) Forecast timestamp: ~06:30 UTC Timeframe: 15m Prediction horizon: 6 hours Model output: Central estimate (blue line): -110,335 Represents the AI’s best estimate of BTC’s near-term price direction. 80% confidence band (light blue): 110,066 – 110,877 The light blue zone marks the 80% confidence range — the most likely area for price to close 40% confidence band (dark blue): 109,844 – 111,422 The dark blue zone shows the narrower 40% confidence range, where price is expected to stay with higher concentration Volume on signal bar: 181.86 This chart shows a short-term Bitcoin price forecast using AI-generated confidence zones. Candlesticks reflect actual BTC/USDT price action in 15-minute intervals. This helps visualize expected volatility and potential price zones in the short term.
by karansgr
1
Lock in profits and go with the trend.As previously analyzed and predicted, Bitcoin has started a pullback as expected after hitting the key resistance level on the 4-hour chart. Looking at the current market, the price has broken below the support of the short-term 5-day moving average, with a MACD death cross signal appearing on the hourly chart. Bearish momentum has initially been released, and the short-term downward trend has become relatively clear. Friends who entered positions earlier can appropriately reduce some holdings to lock in profits. If the price breaks below 107,000 later, you can continue to enter short positions after a rebound.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Matthew_8888
In a range-bound market, the main strategy is to short at highs.The recent movement of Bitcoin has once again validated the predictive logic put forward last week. It was previously clearly stated that "after price retests the lower support level, there may be a minor rebound" – and the current market is unfolding exactly as this rhythm suggests: after touching the key support zone, the price has indeed rebounded, but judging from the chart performance, the rebound momentum is noticeably weak. Regarding the subsequent operation direction, before the rebound can break through the key resistance level on the 4-hour timeframe, the overall trading strategy should still focus on "shorting at highs". Pay attention to the resistance level around 110,000 on the upside, and the recent low around 107,000 on the downside.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Matthew_8888
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHALES PREPARING HUGE MOVE!!!? (damn)Yello Paradisers! In this video, as professional traders, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis. First, we went through an ultra-high time frame where I shared with you that we are touching an important moving average trend line. Because of that, we understand that a channel retest is possible, but we need to be careful because there is a bearish divergence, and we already got a confirmational bearish cross. On the high timeframe chart, we have seen that the ABC zigzag is already finished. Right now, we are forming a possible first ultra-high timeframe wave, and from that, we are starting the first motive mode wave. We are seeing bullish divergence, and what I forgot to say is that if we start moving to the upside and creating the secondary high timeframe wave, we will touch the CME futures gap and close it. Which is another confluence. After that, we have been shifting our focus to the medium timeframe. I've told you that what's important is also what you don't see in the market and we are seeing so far no bearish divergence plus what I have didn't show you but there are also two bullish hammer candlestick patterns candles I have been sharing with you the moving average trend line the Fibonacci time zone and the next resistances finally at low time frame chart we have been going through the ending diagonal. Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics. I apologize; I accidentally turned off the video in the middle. Unfortunately, TradingView doesn't allow me to continue, so the next video will be here on TradingView on Wednesday. Stay tuned.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
6
BTCUSD Bearish Since March 13, 2023, the BINANCE:BTCUSD has consistently traded above its weekly 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), demonstrating sustained bullish momentum. The price has tested the weekly 50 SMA on three occasions, each time finding support and maintaining its position above Moving Average. However, a significant bearish divergence is evident on the weekly chart, signalling potential weakening momentum despite the upward price trend. Given this divergence and historical price action, there is a high probability that BTCUSD may retest the $95,851–$100,000 support zone in the near term. Traders should monitor this critical area for potential price reaction.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by KhalidUsman
Bitcoin - Inflows Whisper Calm, Structure Awaits Discipline.⊣ ⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1D) – (Aug 30, 2025). ◇ Analysis Price: $108,377.41. ⊣ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1D): ▦ EMA9 – $111,357.61: ∴ Price remains below EMA9, confirming immediate bearish control; ∴ EMA9 has flipped into dynamic resistance after multiple failed retests; ∴ Short-term recovery requires a clean daily close above EMA9. ✴️ Conclusion: EMA9 acts as near-term resistance, bearish short bias intact. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ EMA21 – $113,437.56: ∴ EMA21 aligns with Fib 0.618 ($114,049), forming a resistance cluster; ∴ Persistent rejection since Aug 21 emphasizes mid-term weakness; ∴ Reclaiming EMA21 is the first real bullish trigger. ✴️ Conclusion: EMA21 = critical pivot to shift from bearish to neutral. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ EMA50 – $113,852.43: ∴ Slightly above EMA21, adding weight to the $113.4 / 113.9k resistance zone; ∴ Until broken, this confluence acts as a bearish supply wall; ∴ A reclaim here reopens upside toward Fib 0.786 ($118.3k). ✴️ Conclusion: EMA50 reinforces resistance cluster. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ EMA200 – $102,917.45: ∴ Long-term fortress, still untested in this cycle; ∴ Confluence with Fib 0.236 ($104,367) = macro defense zone; ∴ Bears’ ultimate target if current supports give way. ✴️ Conclusion: EMA200 stands as macro citadel. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ Bollinger Bands (21, 2) – $121,042 / $113,437 / $105,833: ∴ Price riding lower band at $105.8k; ∴ Bands widening = volatility expansion with bearish tilt; ∴ Failure to revert to midline confirms continuation risk. ✴️ Conclusion: Bands highlight bearish volatility regime. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ RSI (21, 9) – 40.90 / 44.62: ∴ RSI below neutral 50, momentum bearish; ∴ Not oversold (<30), leaving room for more downside; ∴ No bullish divergence present. ✴️ Conclusion: RSI validates sellers’ momentum. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ MACD (9, 21, 9) – Line: –2,079.96 / Signal: –1,342.25 / Histogram: –737.71: ∴ Bearish cross intact below zero-line; ∴ Histogram remains deeply negative, no sign of contraction; ∴ Momentum acceleration still favors bears; ✴️ Conclusion: MACD entrenched in bearish phase. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ ADX (21, 9) – 26.25: ∴ Above 25 confirms trend strength; ∴ With DI– dominance, direction is bearish; ∴ Indicates continuation rather than reversal. ✴️ Conclusion: ADX confirms strengthening bearish trend. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ MFI (21) – 34.75: ∴ Below 50 = capital outflows dominate; ∴ No oversold signal (<20) yet; ∴ Market still has selling pressure capacity. ✴️ Conclusion: MFI aligns with distribution bias. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ OBV (21, BB2) – (–86.84K): ∴ OBV trending lower, confirming distribution; ∴ Volume does not show accumulation footprint; ∴ Confirms sellers dominate liquidity. ✴️ Conclusion: OBV validates distribution regime. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ Stoch RSI (3, 3, 21, 9) – K: 16.30 / D: 24.97: ∴ In oversold territory (<20); ∴ No confirmed bullish crossover yet; ∴ Relief bounce possible if crossover occurs. ✴️ Conclusion: Oversold condition may allow relief, but not structural reversal. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ Fibonacci Retracements (0 = $98,385 -> 1 = $123,731): 0.786 -> $118,307 – (upper resistance); 0.618 -> $114,049 – (current battlefield, confluence EMA21/50); 0.500 -> $111,058 – (reclaim point for neutralization); 0.382 -> $108,067 – (current support pivot); 0.236 -> $104,367 – (deeper target, near EMA200). ✴️ Conclusion: Market clings to 0.382; Loss exposes 0.236 + EMA200 fortress; Logic sealed. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle: ∴ Short-term structure: price pinned under EMA9 and EMA21/50 cluster, bearish dominance confirmed; ∴ Momentum: RSI below 50, MACD negative, ADX >25 = sellers in control; ∴ Capital flows: MFI <50, OBV falling = distribution not yet exhausted; ∴ Only counterpoint: Stoch RSI oversold; potential for technical bounce, not structural reversal. ✴️ Conclusion: The battlefield is 0.382 Fib ($108k). Bulls must reclaim $111k -> $113.4k to neutralize; failure drags price toward ($104 / 103k). Logic sealed. ⊢ ∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence - (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Inflow Total + EMA9 - (All Exchanges): ∴ Current inflow readings remain low-to-moderate, no spikes comparable to 2022 capitulation phases (>200K BTC); ∴ EMA9 of inflows trending stable/declining since Q2 2025; ∴ Lack of exchange deposits suggests no broad panic selling. ✴️ Conclusion: Inflows do not confirm capitulation; sellers are present but not aggressive. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ Historical Context: ∴ Spikes above ~150K BTC inflow (e.g. 2022–2023) correlated with sharp price drawdowns; ∴ 2024–2025 shows inflows mostly <50K BTC/day, even during corrections; ∴ Current cycle corrections appear orderly rather than panic-driven. ✴️ Conclusion: Current inflow regime supports controlled distribution, not mass liquidation. Logic sealed. ⊢ ▦ Liquidity Implications: ∴ Absence of exchange inflow surges implies supply pressure limited to tactical sellers; ∴ On-chain wallets continue holding, whales not rushing coins into exchanges; ∴ Technical breakdowns (EMA clusters, Fib 0.382) would require derivative/liquidation cascades rather than spot-led panic. ✴️ Conclusion: Structural downside must be driven by futures leverage, not spot panic flows. Logic sealed. ⊢ 𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation and On-Chain Oracle: ∴ Structure: EMA stack inverted; Fib 0.382 ($108k) = present bastion; EMA200 ($103k) = macro citadel; ∴ Momentum: RSI, MACD, ADX in alignment with descent, affirming stoic acceptance of downward will; ∴ Capital Flow: OBV and MFI declare liquidity leaving, distribution sealing bearish fate; ∴ Oracle: Oversold Stoch RSI whispers of fleeting respite, not salvation; ∴ Structure of Flow: Unlike past cycles, inflow discipline holds; coins remain largely in cold storage; ∴ Momentum of Will: Market decline is technical, not yet forced by whales. Bears act by structure, not by panic; ∴ Fate of Distribution: Without inflow surges, spot-driven capitulation remains unlikely; path to $103K relies on derivative liquidation. ⊢ ✦ Structure Thus: ∴ The market embodies stoic compression; ∴ Only a reclaim >$113.4k reopens neutrality; ∴ Loss of $108k pulls destiny to ($104 / 103k); ∴ Fate sealed in bearish compression, awaiting expansion - logic sealed; ∴ On-chain inflows confirm the absence of mass panic; ∴ Technical charts dominate destiny; ∴ Bears have structure, but not yet blood; ∴ Bulls retain a chance if they defend $108K with low inflows sustained. ⊢ ⚚ Unified Insight (Technical + On-Chain): ∴ Technical: Bitcoin clings to Fib 0.382 ($108K); failure = ($104 / 103K). Momentum + OBV favor bears. ∴ On-Chain: No whale capitulation; inflows remain muted, meaning downside is not spot-led. ✴️ Consequence: If inflows stay low, bulls may engineer a bounce at $108K -> $111K. If derivatives trigger cascade, EMA200 ($103K) becomes the stoic fortress. ⊢ · Cryptorvm Dominvs · MAGISTER ARCANVM · Vox Primordialis · · Dominivm Cardo Gyratio Omnivm · Silence precedes the next force. Structure is sacred · ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Magister_Arcanvm
BTCUSD Short Opportunity, Bears Take Control BTCUSD is currently trading around 116,980, facing strong rejection near the 117,200–117,500 resistance zone. The recent price action suggests that sellers are gaining control as bullish momentum fades. A sustained move below 116,800 could trigger further downside pressure, pushing Bitcoin toward 115,500 and 114,800 in the short term. If the bearish structure remains intact, the next major target lies near the psychological level of 110,000, which aligns with previous demand zones and a key Fibonacci retracement level. Stop-loss should ideally be placed above 117,600 to protect against any false breakouts. Watch for increased volatility during US trading hours and upcoming macroeconomic data releases, as these could accelerate the move. Overall bias remains strongly bearish as long as BTC trades below 117,500.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by SadarExplore
43
$BTC: -$4000 in 10min – panic or opportunity?Here's our take: 🔹 Historically, such sharp CRYPTOCAP:BTC drops used to cause -20% to -40% crashes in altcoins. Now, some alts are holding, others correcting mildly, and a few are even rallying. 🔹 In the last 24 hours, $840M was liquidated. Roughly 80% were long positions. Historically, reversals often start after $1.1–1.3B in total liquidations. 🔹 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) and Tether Dominance (USDT.D) are forming readable, consistent patterns. 👉 Current thesis: OKX:BTCUSDT will likely continue its movement inside the falling purple channel. If price reaches $107–108K, we’ll consider closing our short bot to reassess market conditions. 💬 What’s your perspective? Share below. ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
by P_S_trade
11
BTC/USD – H1 Trading Plan | Key Levels in FocusBitcoin is still trading within a clear downtrend under the H1 descending trendline. After the recent drop, price is consolidating around short-term equilibrium zones, setting up potential sell continuation setups while leaving room for a possible short-term bounce from demand areas. 📊 Technical Outlook 113,393 → Key resistance (confluence of supply + descending trendline). 111,407 → Short-term support, could provide a reaction. 108,793 → Major demand zone, critical for potential bullish bounce. 📝 Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Sell the pullback (Primary Bias) Entry: 113,000 – 113,400 Stop Loss: Above 114,000 Targets: 111,400 → 110,000 → 108,800 Scenario 2 – Buy from demand (Countertrend idea) Entry: 108,800 – 109,000 Stop Loss: Below 108,300 Targets: 110,500 → 111,400 → 113,000 ⚠️ Risk Notes Main trend remains bearish – buy setups are only for short-term retracements. A clean breakout above 113,400 may shift structure, opening the way towards 115,000+. H1 may create false signals; wait for confirmation from price action before executing trades. 👉 What do you think? Will BTC continue its drop towards 108,800 📉, or will buyers defend demand and push for a rally back above 113k 🚀?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
4
ALTSEASON TIME (PART2)Hello friends In the previous post, we talked about Ethereum dominance and altcoins, now we need to take a look at Bitcoin dominance. Well, you see that the channel we had was broken and now there is a very important number for us, which is the support number 54. If the number 57 is broken, we can reach the number 54, and if we reach this number, we will go for lower numbers. This will cause the growth of Ethereum and altcoins. Keep in mind that support 54 is a very important support and they tried to break it before but failed, so our key support is this number and we should pay attention to it. *Trade safely with us*
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by TheHunters_Company
BTC Breakout Watch🚨 BTC Breakout Watch Massive volume spike. Clean breakout. Now it’s all about follow-through. 📍The Alpha View: In the 1/2 hour, these levels matter: ✅ Above Green Line→ Bullish🐂 🟡 Above Yellow Line → Cautiously Bullish 🟨 Below Yellow Line → Cautiously Bearish 😡Below Red Line → Bearish 🐻 This is where momentum decides who owns the next move — bulls must hold the line, or it’s just another fakeout in disguise. ➼Stay Sharp. Stay Disciplined. Stay Ready.
by TheAlphaView
BTCUSD Short: Targeting Channel Support at 107800Hello, traders! The price auction for BTCUSD has been clearly contained within a descending channel for an extended period. This bearish structure was established by key pivot points that defined the upper supply zone near 117350 and the lower demand territory. Since the formation of this channel, every rally attempt has been met with significant selling pressure from the supply line, consistently confirming that sellers are in control of the dominant trend. At present, the price has completed another impulsive move downwards within this structure. BTCUSD is now trading at a critical juncture, directly testing the major horizontal demand level at 111000. The market is currently pausing at this support, which represents the upper boundary of the wider 111000 - 110300 demand area, a key battleground for market participants. The working hypothesis is a short continuation scenario. It is anticipated that after a brief dip into the demand area, a minor corrective bounce may occur. However, this rally is expected to fail, with sellers reasserting control. This failure would confirm that the bearish momentum remains dominant, setting the stage for the next leg down. The take-profit is therefore set at 107800 points, targeting the lower demand line of the channel. Manage your risk!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by heniitrading
1