Btcusdanalysis
Global M2 and Bitcoin Fib Bounce Targets Point to $134K Next Global M2 has been leading Bitcoin which has been diverging, mostly due to an economic slowdown and waiting for interest rates to start dropping as a catalyst.
Since we're pricing in and high probability of 3 rate cuts starting in September, I expect Bitcoin to start pushing higher and several studies point toward $134k - $135k from here.
These Fibs studies aren't exactly correct, b/c I drew the high / low using the wiicks vs the real bocy, but still interesting.
The first Fib swing high/low correction forecast the pump to the 1.618 target.
So using the most recent high/low swing, points toward around $134k on the 1.618 which is coincidentally the 2.618 extension from the first Fibonacci.
My bull-flag targets on Bitcoin also point to a measured move of $134k-$135k as the next likely profit target, before another pullback and ultimately on the way to $150k this year I think.
Let me know your thoughts below.
- Brett
BTC Bearish QM pattern
On the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is showing signs of forming a potential Quasimodo (QM) bearish pattern. Price has recently created a Lower Low (LL) after failing to sustain the bullish structure. The key supply zone lies around 119k – 122k, where we may see a liquidity grab and bearish rejection. As long as the market reacts to this resistance area with weakness, the first target for the downside is 108,300 USDT. A clear break below 108k could open the path towards deeper levels around 100k – 95k.
For now, buyers are pushing price higher, but confirmation of a bearish reversal will only come after rejection from the blue zone.
📌 What do you think? Will BTC respect the QM setup and turn bearish from 119–122k, or will bulls push through the resistance?
BTC chart analysis – my assessment
Wave A was completed on September 1, 2024, and we are currently in wave B.
Wave C within the B structure is currently being extended. I expect a correction (wave 4) down to the green support zone, which also contains important Fib levels and a lot of liquidity.
I then expect a final upward movement to around USD 120,000. If this mark is broken on a sustained basis, I believe there is a high probability that we are no longer in a B correction, but already in wave 1 of the final wave 5. Until then, however, I expect a correction in the coming days or weeks.
Why a correction is likely:
The interest rate decision is due on September 17. I expect a cut, as the economy is weakening and inflation remains an issue. Historically, markets have tended to react bearishly to interest rate cuts, as these steps are seen more as a rescue measure.
My scenario:
First, there will be an increase to around $120,000 (market maker move), followed by a pullback to the range between $107,000 and $98,000. There is a lot of liquidity there. My first planned purchase range is between $107,000 and $106,000. From there, I expect a recovery and the formation of the final wave 5 by the end of the year. This could be followed by a major correction, partly in response to the late interest rate policy.
What do you think—could this scenario be plausible?
Best regards,
Trading Architecture
Bitcoin Road to September 17Good morning, this is my first time here.
Today we’ll take a detailed look at Bitcoin’s path leading up to the main Fed meeting later this month.
A small “impulsive” move up to 117K is still possible while the market remains weak. Weekends are always weak, and market makers take advantage of this for their manipulations.
Right now, their goal is to gather as much liquidity as possible before the next upward move. Market sentiment is not in their favor, but the weekend is helping them.
Next, there are two major liquidity clusters at 112K and 110K. By luring traders into a trap with a fake rally, the price can safely head lower. It’s hard to move down against strong bullish sentiment, but there’s no other option—otherwise, during a rally without corrections, long positions will lock in profits as the price rises, each “pulling” liquidity to themselves.
This doesn’t necessarily mean the drop will reach those exact levels. You always need to watch the market in real time, not just “guess with daisies.”
Please subscribe and support, and I’ll continue to analyze the market live as the moves unfold.
Wishing you a great weekend and all the best!
BTC / USDT : Falling wedge breakout confirmedBitcoin (Update)
BTC has confirmed a breakout from the falling wedge pattern. After some consolidation, we anticipate a strong bullish move toward the $124,000 zone.
Keep it on your radar — breakout confirmation is in place, momentum could build quickly. Always manage risk in volatile conditions.
All Eyes on 90–94K — The Next Big #BTC MoveCRYPTOCAP:BTC touched 116.6K, right where we expected. I’m still holding my position and waiting for lower targets. If price pushes into 120–125K, I’ll add more there. My main downside targets stay the same: 105K → 100K → 95K → 90K.
Don’t let price swings control your emotions. The real move is still ahead. Market makers are pushing altcoins higher just to trap liquidity before a big dump.
Allow profits to continue growing.Today, Bitcoin's price movement has demonstrated a healthy rhythm of "testing - retracing - re-attacking": in the early trading session, it first moved upward to test the previous key resistance level, then proactively retraced to the lower support to confirm the validity of the breakout. After completing the correction, it once again launched a challenge to today's high. This retracement and correction trend not only digests the selling pressure from short-term profit-taking orders but also further accumulates the bullish momentum in the market. Compared with the previous oscillating pattern where "a breakout is immediately followed by a pullback", the current trend is more sustainable, laying a foundation for the continuation of the subsequent trend.
From the technical perspective of the hourly chart, there are clear bullish signals: the moving averages have formed an upward divergence pattern, and the price has always stood firmly above all moving averages. The moving average system has switched from a "convergent oscillation" state to a "bullish arrangement". This indicates that the short-term market has gradually broken away from the previous range-bound consolidation and officially transitioned to a bullish trend. Based on the current trend judgment, there is no need to rush to adjust the positions we established earlier in accordance with the strategy; we should continue to hold the existing positions and "let profits run".
If you feel confused about the future market trend, or if you have not yet made profits in such a market, follow me and leave me a message – let me help you resolve this issue.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: NEXT MASSIVE MOVE TO HERE - INCOMING!!!!!!!Yello Paradisers! In this video, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis as professional traders using Elliott Wave Theory and other advanced technical indicators and analysis techniques.
On the ultra-high time frame, we have been going through the Elliott Wave price section since 2023. We have taken a look at the Moving Average Trendline Touch, which worked perfectly, the Channel Retest that is incoming, and the Bearish Divergence with Bearish Cross.
On medium and high timeframe charts, I have been sharing with you the completed zigzag and first wave. We are currently in the secondary wave, waiting for it to finish, along with resistances and bullish and bearish divergences.Together with that, there are shooting star patterns, and on a low timeframe, I have been sharing with you the triple top reclaim and the next possible resistances, and what the next resistance and target are from a multiple timeframe perspective.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTC Buy Zone Forming – Potential Bullish Breakout AheadAnalysis:
Trend Structure: After a corrective decline from the $124K resistance area, BTC has rebounded strongly, forming a rising channel (highlighted in blue).
Support Levels: Strong demand observed near $107,200, aligning with the 0.868 Fibonacci retracement, making it a crucial support zone.
Buy Zone: Chart highlights the $114K–$116K range as a buy zone before continuation of the upward trend.
Resistance Levels: Key resistance remains around $124K–$126K, which is the next major target if the bullish momentum sustains.
Outlook: As long as BTC stays above $114K support, the bias remains bullish, with a potential rally towards $120K–$124K. A breakdown below $112K would invalidate the bullish scenario.
✅ Bias: Bullish continuation
🎯 Targets: $120,000 → $124,000
🛑 Invalidation: Break below $112,000
Can Bitcoin still break through the highs?Today, Bitcoin's price has moved upward to test the key resistance level we mentioned earlier as expected, and this trend is fully in line with our previous strategic prediction of "exchanging time for space". Looking back at the previous market consolidation phase, we repeatedly emphasized that "there is no need to rush for short-term operations; let the bullets fly for a while" — this judgment was based on the understanding that the market needs time to accumulate momentum and wait for the trend to become clear. Now, as the price gradually reaches the target resistance level, the strategy of holding positions patiently in the early stage has reached a realization node. Currently, we can prioritize taking partial profits by closing some positions: this move not only locks in the considerable profits already obtained and avoids profit retracement caused by market pullbacks but also retains flexible space for subsequent operations.
From the perspective of subsequent market deduction, if the price is accompanied by significant volume expansionwhen testing the resistance level this time and successfully breaks through it, it indicates that the bullish momentum already has the energy to continuously drive the market. At this time, there is no need to rush to chase the rally; instead, we can wait for the price to retrace to confirm the validity of the breakout before following up to add positions and seize the new round of upward market. If the breakout fails to be supported by volume, we need to be alert to the risk of short-term pullback and maintain the existing positions for observation. In addition, we need to focus on the next resistance level above — around the 118,000 mark. This level is not only an important resistance zone formed by previous transactions but also highly correlated with market psychological expectations, and will become a core node for whether the subsequent market can further open up upward space.
If you lose your direction amid such market moves, you can follow me or leave me a message.
BTC/USDT Short Trade Setup📉 BTC/USDT Short Trade Setup 📉
🔹 Entry Price: $114,632
🔹 Targets:
TP1 → $113,900
TP2 → $113,250
TP3 → $112,400
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $115,450
🔹 Leverage: 25x–50x (trade safe, don’t over-leverage)
📊 Analysis:
Bitcoin has hit a key resistance zone around $114,600–$114,800. Multiple rejections on the chart suggest a potential pullback is near. If the bearish momentum confirms, BTC could retrace toward the $112,400 support zone.
⚠️ Risk Management Tip: Always use SL to avoid liquidation. Remember, smart trading is about consistency, not chasing every move.
💬 What do you think — will BTC reject from here or surprise us with another breakout? Share your views below!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #ShortTrade #TradingView #BinanceFutures
BTC/USDT: Bitcoin Surge to 118K?🚀 BINANCE:BTCUSDT is shaping up for a bullish move on the 4-hour chart , with an entry zone between 109000-110000 near a key support and rising trendline.
🎯 First target at 113500 marks initial resistance, second at 114500 , and a third at 118000 could signal a major breakout! 📈 Set a stop loss on a 4hours close below 107240 to manage risk.
🌟 A break above 110500 with strong volume could trigger this rally, driven by market sentiment and whale activity. Watch BTC dominance! 💡 Ready for this lift-off? Drop your take below! 👇
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: 109,000 – 110,000 (support)
❌ Stop Loss: close below 107,240 to manage risk
🎯 Target 1: 113,500 (first resistance)
🎯 Target 2: 114,500 (secondary resistance)
🎯 Target 3: 118,000 (final target)
Bitcoin Price Eyes Breakout as ETF Inflows Mirror ATH TrendBitcoin’s price is trading at $114,192 at the time of writing, facing resistance at $115,000. Sustained buying interest at this level will be crucial to trigger the next stage of upward movement.
If ETF inflows remain strong, BTC could flip $115,000 into support and rally toward $117,261 before targeting $120,000. This level would represent a critical milestone in Bitcoin’s ongoing bull cycle.
However, if the breakout attempt fails, Bitcoin may consolidate between $112,500 and $110,000. Such a pullback would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis but still keep BTC within its broader uptrend channel.
Bitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPIBitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPI
Hello Traders,
The current picture for Bitcoin is unfolding broadly in line with expectations, with the uptrend continuing to build momentum. Price movements are backed by solid volume, and the overall structure is developing as anticipated.
Key Levels
The price has cleared the 113k area, confirming that the bullish trend remains intact. This strengthens the probability of completing the final leg of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
The next area to monitor is around 116k, where a modest reaction or short-term pullback could occur before the trend resumes towards the 121k region.
Close attention should be paid to the 117k level, as this represents the potential completion of the inverse head-and-shoulders structure. At this point, price may consolidate before establishing a fresh primary trend.
Trading View
For the moment, it remains important to follow the prevailing uptrend. Any shift in market structure will call for re-assessment, with updated strategies to be applied only once clear confirmation emerges.
This is my latest outlook on Bitcoin ahead of the PPI release. I trust this perspective will assist in shaping your trading approach.
$BTC Bounce Holds Strong: Eyes on $124.5K NextCRYPTOCAP:BTC is holding steady around $114,000 after bouncing right off the $111,600 support zone.
Buyers stepped in strongly at that level, showing they’re not ready to let the price drop further.
This green zone is acting as a solid base, and if BTC can continue to close above it, momentum is likely to shift back toward the upside.
The next key target sits near $124,500, which lines up with the last major swing high.
As long as we remain above $111,600, the market structure appears healthy, and bulls still hold the upper hand.
DYOR, NFA
BTCUSD POSSIBLE BUY SETUP -----118K Break of Structure (BOS): Multiple bullish BOS indicate a trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Change of Character (CHoCH): Confirmed trend shift early on.
Descending trendline broken: Signaling the end of bearish momentum.
Price broke above resistance (~$113,250): Now acting as a support zone (highlighted in green).
Current price: ~$114,272
Bullish target zone: Between $116,000 – $118,000, marked in maroon.
BTC Inverse Head and ShouldersThe chart clearly shows an inverse head and shoulders formation:
Left Shoulder: ~Aug 26 low.
Head: ~Aug 29 low.
Right Shoulder: ~Sep 5-7 low.
This is a bullish reversal pattern after a prolonged downtrend. The breakout above the neckline (around 113,200 – 113,500) confirms the bullish bias.
Fib & Extension Targets :
Immediate target: Fibonacci 1.0 extension ~119,600.
Extended target: 1.618 extension ~123,500.
These align well with previous resistance levels (early August highs).
Bitcoin rises as expected how to trade next?After Bitcoin broke upward out of the descending triangle consolidation zone this time, it did not repeat the "breakout followed by a pullback" trend seen in previous days. In the past, after the price broke through key patterns, it often fell rapidly and returned to the oscillating range; however, after this breakout, the price has remained firmly above the support level at the upper edge of the descending triangle, forming an effective breakout confirmation, and the market's bullish momentum has significantly strengthened compared to before.
For those who followed the strategy to establish long positions near the support level earlier, they have now gained a floating profit of 2,000 to 3,000 points, and the short-term profit target has been initially achieved. From the current technical perspective, the primary resistance level above is concentrated around the 115,000 mark. This level is not only an intensive resistance zone formed by previous transactions but also overlaps with the psychological expectation of integer levels, so a certain amount of selling pressure is likely to occur here. Therefore, it is recommended to consider taking partial profits by closing some positions near this level: on the one hand, it locks in the profits already obtained to avoid profit retracement caused by market pullbacks; on the other hand, retaining some core positions allows you to seize further upward space if the price breaks through the 115,000 resistance level later.
If there are key changes in the market later—such as a breakout of key levels, a significant change in trading volume, or an adjustment in the trend direction—I will update the strategy and notify everyone as soon as possible to ensure that the operation rhythm is synchronized with market changes and help everyone cope with market fluctuations more steadily.
BTC forms an ascending triangle, 113000 is just the beginningBITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC saw a slight rise during the day. From the hourly and 4H charts, the MACD technical indicator formed a golden cross and broke through the upper short-term pressure of 113000. The short-term trend formed an ascending triangle. Bold and aggressive investors can rely on 113500-112000 to go long, with the target looking at 115500-116500.