BTCUSD: Final Wave Before the Breakout or Stuck Five-Wing?BTCUSD: Final Wave Before the Breakout or Stuck Five-Wing?
Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: BTC holds above ~$110,000, breaks through ~$120,000 → wave (5) activates → target ~$135,000–$140,000.
Consolidation: Trading between ~$110,000 and ~$120,000; the market is building strength for the next round.
Bearish scenario: Break of support at ~$110,000 with volume confirmation → correction begins to ~$100,000–$105,000.
Conclusion
The weekly analysis shows that the BTC/USD market is at a crossroads: either the final wave of growth begins, or a correction begins.
Holding the ~$110,000 zone is critical for maintaining bullish sentiment.
A breakout above ~$120,000 is a signal for growth.
A breakout below ~$110,000 is a signal for caution.
Btcusdsignals
BTC/USD Liquidity Blueprint – Are You Reading the Flow Right?🎯 BTC/USD: The Great Heist Setup | Swing Trade Blueprint 💰
📊 Market Overview
Asset: BTC/USD (BITCOIN/US DOLLAR)
Market: Cryptocurrency
Trade Type: Swing Trade
Strategy Style: The Thief Method™ (Layered Entry System)
🎨 Technical Setup
📈 Market Structure: BULLISH CONFIRMED
The Simple Moving Average is showing strong accumulation patterns with a healthy pullback structure. Bulls are loading up their bags like thieves preparing for the ultimate vault heist! 🏃♂️💨
Key Technical Indicators:
✅ SMA showing strong bullish accumulation
✅ Pullback phase completed
✅ Higher lows formation intact
✅ Volume supporting upside momentum
🎯 The Heist Plan: Entry Strategy
💎 The Thief Layered Entry System
Instead of going all-in at one price (that's how amateurs get caught! 👮), we're using a professional layered approach with multiple buy limit orders:
Entry Layers:
🔹 Layer 1: $108,000
🔹 Layer 2: $109,000
🔹 Layer 3: $110,000
🔹 Layer 4: $111,000
🔹 Layer 5: $112,000
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust based on your bag size and risk appetite. The beauty of this strategy? You average into position like a pro! 🎭
🛡️ Risk Management
⛔ Stop Loss: $106,000
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen),
This is MY stop loss based on MY risk tolerance. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 Set your SL according to YOUR risk management rules. Remember: Take profits at your own risk, protect capital like it's your treasure!
🎯 Target Zone: The Great Escape
🚨 Target: $124,000
Why this target?
The "Police Barricade" (strong resistance zone) sits right here with multiple confluence factors:
🔴 Major resistance level
🔴 Overbought conditions expected
🔴 Bull trap zone activated
🔴 Historical rejection area
🏃♂️ Exit Strategy: When we hit this zone, it's time to take your loot and run! Don't get greedy and caught in the trap!
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen),
This is MY take profit target. You're free to take profits whenever YOU feel comfortable. Your money, your rules, your timeline! 💰
🔗 Correlated Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these related assets for confirmation:
💱 Major Correlations:
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD - Typically follows BTC momentum; watch for similar accumulation
BINANCE:BTCUSDT - Alternative pairing for liquidity confirmation
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weakness in DXY = strength in BTC
$SPX/SPY (S&P 500) - Risk-on sentiment indicator
GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) - Alternative store of value; competitive correlation
📍 Key Correlation Points:
When DXY weakens, crypto typically strengthens
Traditional market risk-on flows support Bitcoin upside
ETH/BTC ratio helps confirm alt-season vs BTC dominance
Gold movements indicate macro hedging flows
⚙️ Why The Thief Strategy Works
✨ Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) on steroids
✨ Reduces emotional decision-making
✨ Better average entry price
✨ Lower risk per order
✨ Professional money management
Think like a thief planning the perfect heist: multiple entry points, calculated risks, clear escape route! 🎭
🎬 Final Thoughts
This isn't financial advice—it's a strategic blueprint for those who trade with discipline and style! The market is our playground, but only the smart thieves get to keep their loot. 🏆
Remember:
📊 Stick to your plan
🎯 Manage your risk
💰 Take profits systematically
🧠 Trade with logic, not emotion
🎭 Execute like a professional
📣 Support This Analysis
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #ThiefStrategy #CryptoSignals #BitcoinAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingSetup #CryptoTA #BTCSetup #SwingTrading
🎯 Stay sharp, trade smart, and may the profits be with you! 🚀
BTCUSD set to rise above $126k?First drop from $124k to $113k from weekly chart it is one single bearish drop, later price move to create a new higher high to $126k
from $126k to $104k stong liquidity sweep.
Currently market is bouncing off the level crossing around $113k and possible cross above $126k? as there is stong liquidity grab from lowest level, it is of high probable price to continue to rise above the level.
BTC/USD SMC Analysis – Liquidity Trap & Potential Reversal Setup💹 BTC/USD SMC Analysis – Liquidity Trap & Potential Reversal Setup ⚡
🧭 1. Structure Overview
The chart shows a bullish structure with ascending lows (trendline support 📈).
However, near the recent high zone (~112,400–114,000), we see signs of distribution and liquidity sweep before a potential reversal.
🔍 2. Key SMC Elements Identified
🟢 CHoCH (Change of Character):
After the strong impulse up, a CHoCH formed (yellow label) indicating a shift from bullish to potential bearish bias.
🟣 BOS (Break of Structure):
Price confirmed BOS after breaking below the previous higher low — signaling sellers entering the market.
🟥 FVG (Fair Value Gap):
A bearish FVG appeared around 112,000–113,000, acting as a supply zone 🔺 where price retraced before rejecting again.
🟦 SMC Zone:
The earlier accumulation zone around 109,000–110,000 shows strong demand — possible buy-side re-entry if liquidity below is swept.
💧 3. Liquidity Zones
Buy-Side Liquidity: Swept near 114,000, triggering short entries 🎯.
Sell-Side Liquidity: Resting below 108,000–109,000, likely target area for downside continuation 💧.
⚙️ 4. Price Action Bias
Current rejection from the bearish FVG + BOS confirmation implies bearish momentum 📉.
Expect short-term correction toward 108,000 before next structure shift or accumulation.
Bitcoin Setup Ahead – Is the $115K Target Within Reach?🎯 BTC/USDT: The Gentleman Thief's Heist Plan | $115K Target 🔥
📊 Market Overview
Asset: BTC/USDT (Bitcoin vs Tether)
Market: Crypto
Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH
🎭 The Setup: Planning the Perfect Heist
Ladies & Gentlemen, gather 'round! We're orchestrating a sophisticated Bitcoin heist, and the vault is looking mighty accessible right now. 💼💰
🔍 TECHNICAL CONFIRMATION
✅ Weighted Moving Average (WMA) Double Pullback Detected
The chart structure shows a confirmed bullish setup with double pullback pattern on the WMA, signaling potential upward momentum continuation.
🚪 Entry Zone: Any Price Level
That's right, OG Thieves — flexibility is key! You can enter at current market price. We're not picky when the setup looks this clean.
🚨 Stop Loss: $103,000 (The Escape Route)
Now listen carefully, fellow bandits: This is my stop loss level at $103,000. But here's the deal — I'm NOT telling you to blindly follow my SL. You're the mastermind of your own operation! Manage your risk, protect your loot, and make decisions based on YOUR risk tolerance. Every thief needs their own exit strategy. 🏃♂️💨
🎯 Target: $115,000 (The Main Score)
Our primary target sits at $115,000. Why stop at $116K when there's a police barricade (strong resistance) + overbought conditions + potential trap zone lurking there? Smart thieves know when to grab the bag and disappear before the alarms go off! 🚔
Important Reminder: This is MY take-profit level. You run your own show! If you want to be greedy and push for $116K+, that's YOUR call. Take profits when YOU feel comfortable. This is your heist, not mine! 💼✨
🔍 Technical Analysis: Reading the Blueprint
Key Resistance Zones:
$115,000 - Primary target (Sweet spot to secure profits)
$116,000 - Strong resistance + overbought danger zone (Police barricade territory!)
Support Levels:
$103,000 - Critical support/stop loss area
Market Structure: Bullish momentum intact with room to run toward our target zone. Watch for signs of exhaustion near $115-116K.
👀 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these correlated moves:
🔹 ETH/USDT - Often follows Bitcoin's lead; look for confirmation
🔹 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) - Rising dominance = BTC outperformance
🔹 DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weak dollar = crypto strength
🔹 TOTAL (Total Crypto Market Cap) - Confirms overall market sentiment
Key Correlation: When BTC pumps with strong volume, altcoins typically follow with a slight lag. Monitor Ethereum for confirmation of crypto-wide bullish sentiment.
🎪 Risk Management: Don't Get Caught!
⚠️ This is a high-risk, thief-style trading strategy — meant for entertainment and educational purposes!
✅ Golden Rules:
Never risk more than you can afford to lose
Position sizing is EVERYTHING
Have YOUR OWN exit plan
Markets can reverse faster than you can say "heist"
This is NOT financial advice — just one thief sharing his blueprint with other thieves! 🎩
💬 Final Word from Your Fellow Bandit
Stay sharp, stay disciplined, and remember: The best thieves are the ones who live to steal another day! 😎🔓
Whether you're swinging for the fences or day-trading the volatility, make sure you've got YOUR plan locked in. My levels are just a reference point — YOU are the mastermind of your own trading heist!
Good luck, OG Thieves! May your bags be heavy and your exits be timely! 🎯💰
✨ "If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!"
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TradingView #CryptoAnalysis #BullishSetup #BTCPrediction #CryptoSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #BitcoinTrading #CryptoTA #PriceAction #TradingIdeas
BTC/USD: Final wave before breakout or correction signal?BTC/USD: Final wave before breakout or correction signal?
📊 Monthly Technical Analysis — Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Using support/resistance levels and wave analysis
🌀 Wave Context
According to the Elliott Wave Principle model, Bitcoin may be either in the final impulse wave (5) or at the start of an A-B-C corrective structure.
Wave (4) is expected to have ended near the $100,000-$110,000 zone. If wave (5) starts, it could signal a significant upward move. Otherwise, a breakout of support could signal a correction.
📈 Monthly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: BTC holds above $110,000 → breakout to $120,000 → start of wave (5) → move to $135,000+.
Consolidation: The price moves sideways between ~$110,000 and ~$120,000, accumulating strength before a new move.
Bearish scenario: Breakout of support at ~$110,000 with volume → correction to ~$100,000 or lower.
✅Conclusion
On the monthly timeframe, BTC/USD is at a crossroads: it is either entering a powerful uptrend or a significant correction is beginning.
The ~$110,000 level is a key marker for the continuation of the bullish structure.
A breakout above $120,000 is a signal for growth.
A breakout below $110,000 is a signal for caution.
Monitor price movement relative to these levels and confirmation of the wave structure before making trading decisions.
BTC: The overall trend remains oscillating upwardThe BTC is staying in the middle of the "support-resistance" range, with intense long-short competition, the overall trend remains oscillating upward
From a technical pattern perspective, the short-term support lies between 109,000 and 108,000. There have been multiple rebounds after stabilizing in this support range, indicating relatively strong buying support below. The resistance level at 113,000, as a previous pressure level, could open a new upward space toward 115,000 if it is broken with volume.
Considering the macroeconomic factors, if market risk appetite rises, Bitcoin is expected to test the resistance level upward based on the support range. If risk aversion heats up, we need to be vigilant about the risk of a pullback to test the support.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 110,000 - 110,500
SL 109,500
TP 111,000 - 111,500 - 112,000
Sell 112,000 - 111,500
SL 111,000
TP 110,500 - 110,000 - 109,500
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BITCOIN and the 'myth' behind following the Global SupplyA lot of talk is being thrown around lately regarding the M2 Global Supply (black trend-line) and how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will follow it upwards as it explodes. Those claims have intensified especially in the past 2 weeks as an argument to support BTC's recovery following the decline from its $126k Top.
However, history shows that the two don't have to be correlated. In fact, during the past two Cycles, BTC topped at least 105 days (15 weeks) before the Global M2 did. Especially during the previous Cycle (2021), BTC has broken well below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and stayed under up until the M2 peaked also. Note that the 1W MA50 is what has (so far) supported BTC's current correction.
As a result, no hopes of recovery can be rest upon a currently rising Global Liquidity. And if BTC's Cycle Top was 2 weeks ago, the Global Liquidity might peak 15 weeks from that, around January 19 2026 (possibly around the time the stock market peaks too).
But what do you think? Do you think Bitcoin will catch up to the rising M2 Global Supply or will continue its decline into a new Bear Cycle as it has historically happened? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC: Correct prediction today👏Our prediction for Bitcoin's short-term fluctuation characteristics has also been accurately validated today.
✔We indicated that it would fluctuate around the key range in the short term, and in reality, Bitcoin has shown obvious wide-ranging fluctuations today, which is in complete alignment with the preset oscillation pattern.
✔Meanwhile, the market's competition for key levels has also confirmed our judgment:after testing the high level, the price gradually pulled back and then rebounded, highlighting the suppressing effect of the upper resistance. Moreover, the "V-shaped" rebound trend during the session has further verified the effectiveness of the short-term support range, which is highly consistent with our core prediction logic that Bitcoin is in a "shock adjustment phase, with price movements dominated by key levels".
BTC:Oscillating upward📈The BTC price shows an oscillating upward trend, with the low points gradually rising. However, trading volume has slowed down, indicating a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market.
📝On the daily chart, after a sharp decline on the 22nd, the rebound momentum on the 23rd was weak, and the market is still in a consolidation phase overall. It is necessary to pay attention to whether it can break through the key moving averages.
💡From the perspective of moving averages, the value of MA10 is greater than that of MA30, indicating a certain upward tendency in the short-term trend.
🎉The intraday support range for BTC is around 105,500–106,000, and the intraday resistance range remains around 111,000–111,500.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 107,500 - 108,000
SL 106,500
TP 109,000 - 110,500 - 111,000
Sell 110,000 - 110,500
SL 111,000
TP 109,500 - 108,500 - 107,500
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BTC: Shows an obvious volatile trendToday, BTC’s situation is relatively complex, with intertwined bullish and bearish factors, showing a volatile trend.
Price Movement: There has been sharp volatility, with rapid rises and falls. From the hourly chart, the price surged to around 114,000 last night, followed by a significant pullback from the highs, retesting the key support level around 107,500.
Influencing Factors:
News: The Federal Reserve held a meeting with payment companies to facilitate better institutional access to the stablecoin sector. This news triggered a short-term surge in Bitcoin prices. However, subsequent remarks by Trump proposing a 155% tariff led to a price decline. The uncertainty in news has had a significant impact on the market.
Market Sentiment: The fear index stands at 25, indicating a tendency toward panic in market sentiment. Additionally, the large traders’ long-short ratio shows a slight dominance of bears at 52.34%, reflecting relatively stronger short-term bearish momentum in the market.
Capital Flow: U.S. Bitcoin ETFs have seen net inflows exceeding $3.6 billion this month, the highest since January. Institutions like BlackRock continue to increase their holdings, forming bottom buying support for prices. However, the total open interest across the network has reached $48 billion, highlighting high leverage risks. A sharp price fluctuation could trigger massive contract liquidations, exacerbating market volatility.
Technical Analysis: On the hourly timeframe, the MACD has re-formed a death cross pointing downward. Although the blue bars have shortened and started to turn red, indicating a partial shift in short-term momentum, bears still hold the overall advantage. The upper resistance level is around $111,000, and the lower support level is around $107,500. A break below this key support could lead to further downside.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on range-bound trading. Avoid taking positions at mid-range levels, exercise caution in chasing trends, and patiently wait for key levels to enter trades.
Buy 107,500 - 108,500
SL 106,500
TP 109,500 - 110,500 - 111,500
Sell 111,000 - 110,500
SL 112,000
TP 109,500 - 108,500 - 107,500
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Perfect prediction of BTC trend, today's retracement continuesWith the emergence of the double top structure, gold and silver investors have been taking profits, and market funds have continued to flow into crypto assets led by BTC and ETH.
Historically, BTC and the broader cryptocurrency market have risen after gold peaks, driven by capital rotation.
In his opening remarks at the Federal Reserve's first Payment Innovation Conference held today, Federal Reserve Governor Waller spoke highly of cryptocurrencies and the "DeFi industry." Waller noted that the conference aims to explore how blockchain and cryptocurrency can be integrated into mainstream finance.
At the same time, the Federal Reserve also indicated that it would create a new era in the payment field, and the DeFi industry would not be doubted or despised.
Waller also revealed that he has proposed setting up a new type of account at the central bank, which he called a "payment account." Waller said he has asked the Fed to consider this new type of account, which would make it easier for businesses to access the central bank's payment channels without having to have a full master account. This move has clearly increased market attention for cryptocurrencies.
In the subsequent BTC trading market, we can once again use 109500-108500 as short-term support, and go long on pullbacks to see rebounds. Pay attention to the 113000-115000 resistance zone above. If the momentum is maintained, it may move towards 120000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTC:Continuing to pull back📈Looking at the 4-hour candlestick chart, Bitcoin continued to pull back and decline today. The short-term support level remains in the 107,000-107,500 range, which has provided support multiple times during previous downward movements. If the price breaks below this range, it may further drop to around 105,000. The resistance level is in the 112,000-113,000 range; a breakthrough here is expected to open up more upward space.
📝In the long term, after Bitcoin's fourth halving in April 2024, its daily production dropped from 900 to 450 coins, with the inflation rate falling below 1% for the first time. This has further strengthened its scarcity. Combined with the surge in institutional demand, the supply-demand gap is expected to widen, supporting a long-term upward price trend.
💡However, in the short term, the contradiction between continuous institutional inflows and profit-taking by short-term holders may lead to certain price fluctuations.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 107,000 - 107,500
SL 106,500
TP 108,000 - 109,000 - 110,000
Sell 111,500 - 111,000
SL 112,000
TP 110,000 - 109,000 - 108,000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Correct projection for BTCThe core conclusions of my analysis on Bitcoin today have all been verified by market trends, which can be summarized in three aspects: trend prediction, key level control, and trend logic:
1-Consistency with short-term trends: It was pointed out that "the 4-hour chart continues to pull back, with short-term support in the 107,000-107,500 range". Intraday BTC has continued to fluctuate around this support zone without breaking below the key level, and it was also noted that the resistance level is around 113,000,a breakthrough here is expected to open up more upward space. Today's fluctuations are completely in line with expectations.
2-Support from long-term logic: The long-term upward logic of "strengthened scarcity and expanded institutional demand after the 2024 halving" was reaffirmed. Although short-term fluctuations were affected by profit-taking, it has not deviated from the long-term positive framework.
3-We accurately captured "the restrictive effect of support and resistance levels on prices", with no deviations in judgments on "short-term fluctuation rhythm and long-term trend direction", effectively providing clear range and direction references for trading operations.
BITCOIN The NIGHTMARE chart you don't want to see right nowBitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the verge of establishing an LMACD Bearish Cross on the 1M time-frame, which for better reliability needs to close the current 1M candle (October) to confirm it.
** The nightmare LMACD Bearish Cross **
As the title says, this is a 'nightmare' development for the market, certainly not something that the majority of investors want to see right now, as this Bearish Cross has had disastrous effects every time it took place at the end of the 4-year Cycle.
First of all, let's not allow being overlooked the fact that the 1M LMACD is also reversing right before a test of its multi-year Lower Highs trend-line. That line priced all previous Cycle Tops.
** Is this a Cycle Top? Best-worst case scenarios**
Back to he Bearish Cross, it has always been formed around Cycle Tops as well. More specifically, the one that was formed after January 2014, was already on the 3rd month after the Cycle Top. The one that was formed after February 2018, was on the 4th month of the Bear Cycle. More recently, the one that was formed on August 2021 was 3 months before the Cycle Top. Interestingly enough, that was a peculiar Cycle with an (almost) Double Top, which was no surprise that the LMACD got rejected on its Lower Highs trend-line much earlier on the April 2021 Top.
As a result, the best case scenario based on this model for BTC is to have another 3 months of Bull, especially if it gets aided by favorable news (Trade deal, rate cuts, adoption). The more likely however historically, especially if October closes in red in 10 days, is that Bitcoin has entered a new Bear Cycle and this MACD Bearish Cross comes to confirm it.
** How low can it go?? **
What's even worse is that, if we've already seen the Top, the market tends to decline on average by more than -80% historically, with the last Bear Cycle suffering losses of almost -78% (the softest Cycle of all). It was also the only one that closed a month (numerous 1M candles actually) below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) unlike the first two, which used that as a Support/ Cycle Bottom. As a result, the best case scenario if a new Bear Cycle has already started is to place a bottom on its 1M MA50 around $60000 - 65000 and the worst to decline by -78% around $30000 (or a little worse).
Again, not the kind of technical analysis most want to be seeing right now..
** The positive look **
For conclusion, we should always keep in mind that the fundamental scenery/ environment changes with every Cycle in a more favorable way, e.g this Cycle we had much stronger institutional adoption, even national treasuries and more importantly we saw the introduction of the Bitcoin ETF by Blackrock which was a game changer in capital inflows. You don't see often such investment bank giants 'allowing' one of their products to tank by -80%.
But what do you think? Are we already in a Bear Cycle or there are some more months left in the Bull's tank? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTCUSDT — Decision Zone: Continuation or Major Correction Ahead?Bitcoin’s 2-Day chart (Bitstamp) is now approaching a critical macro zone — the $106,000–$101,000 support block, which acts as the last stronghold for bulls in this current uptrend.
This area represents a confluence of horizontal support and the main ascending trendline that has guided price since late 2024.
If buyers can defend this zone, Bitcoin could still experience one final leg up toward the cycle top.
However, a decisive breakdown below it would confirm the start of a major structural correction.
---
Structure and Pattern
Primary Pattern: Rising Wedge / Ascending Channel
The pattern indicates weakening bullish momentum — each higher high forms with less strength.
Such formations often end with a sharp breakdown once the support line fails.
Key Levels:
Support zone (yellow block): $106K – $101K
→ Confluence of trendline and horizontal support.
Immediate resistance: $116,500
Upper liquidity zone / cycle top target: $126K – $128.5K
---
Bullish Scenario — “The Final Push”
If Bitcoin successfully rebounds from the $106K–$101K zone, it could trigger the last upward wave toward $126K–$128.5K, potentially marking the final phase of this bull cycle.
Bullish Confirmation:
2D candle closes above $110K–$112K
Formation of a reversal pattern (hammer/pin bar) with increasing volume
Momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) start to turn upward
Upside Targets:
Target 1 → $116,500
Target 2 → $126K – $128.5K
Macro Narrative:
A bounce from this zone would likely lead to the final euphoric rally before distribution begins.
---
Bearish Scenario — “Breakdown of the Cycle”
If Bitcoin closes a 2D candle below $101K, the bullish structure will officially break down, confirming the start of a major correction phase.
This would validate the rising wedge pattern and shift momentum entirely to the bears.
Bearish Confirmation:
2D close below $101K
Failed retest around $104K–$106K
Rising selling volume
Downside Targets:
Target 1 → $92,500
Target 2 → $75,500
Macro Narrative:
A breakdown below $101K would mark the end of the bull market and the beginning of the re-accumulation phase below $90K.
---
Conclusion
Bitcoin is standing at its macro decision zone: $106K–$101K.
This range will determine whether we get one final bullish push — or the start of a major correction.
Holding above → potential rally toward $126K–$128K
Losing support → possible drop toward $92K–$75K
The next 2D candle will decide the macro direction of Bitcoin — continuation or collapse.
---
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #RisingWedge #BTCUpdate #BitcoinOutlook #CryptoTrend #MarketStructure #BitcoinChart #BTCOutlook
Correct projection for BTCBTC's movement today is fully consistent with our analysis, fluctuating upward within the range of 107,000 to 112,000. In terms of operation, it is necessary to closely follow this fluctuation range, adopt the "high short, low long" strategy, accurately seize the entry timing, and timely take profits when reaching the target level to ensure gains are locked in.
BITCOIN Did the 1W MA50 save the Cycle again??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has now completed two straight weeks since the Friday 10 flash-crash of almost touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but managing to hold it and rebound. This is not the first time we see this pattern during this Cycle. In fact it is a frequent one that systemically fuels the 3-year Channel Up of this Bull Cycle.
As you can see, ever since the November 21 2022 bottom of the previous Bear Cycle, the current Bull Cycle has been trading within this Channel Up pattern, which after it broke above the 1W MA50 and in March 2023, turned it into its long-term Support.
More specifically, since that day, every time BTC broke and closed a weekly candle below its 1W MA20 (red trend-line), it dropped further to its 1W MA50 to find Support, priced the Channel Up Higher Low and rebounded.
This has happened so far 3 times (excluding now), in September 2023 it almost touched the 1W MA50 and rebounded but in August 05 2024 and April 07 2025, it marginally breached it and then rebounded. Based on this, BTC is currently at or very close to the new Higher Low (Support), hence a buy opportunity.
The only condition that hasn't been fulfilled, is the 1W RSI entering its 2-year Support Zone. If the 1W MA50 indeed holds and manages to keep closing the 1W candles above it, that would be an indication that the Bull Cycle is still in effect. The minimum rally a pull-back has given throughout the Cycle has been +92.44%, so as long as it holds, there are strong probabilities that BTC may reach a least $143000.
Do you share that model's optimism or you think the new Bear Cycle has already started? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
#BTC Update:- Are we going lower? Or Higher? Don't miss this!Before jumping into the chart, I’ve got a few words for everyone.
The recent crash has been absolutely brutal. It’s shaken the entire market and, sadly, affected so many lives; some people lost everything, and some couldn’t handle the pain. My heart truly goes out to everyone who suffered. 💔
But remember, the past is behind us. What really matters now is what we do today and how we build our tomorrow.
No one was spared from this storm. It felt like a broad daylight robbery, and if you got hit too — please, stay strong. Don’t give up. Sometimes the market resets itself in the harshest ways to prepare us for the next big move.
Take SUI for example, a solid project that would normally take 6–9 months in a bear market to drop 85%, yet it did that in one single daily candle!
From $3.71 to $0.5597, that’s an 84.9% dump in just one day.
And the worst part? Most people couldn’t even catch those prices because exchanges went crazy.
👉 Moral of the story: It’s not over. Far from it. This might just be the reset we needed before the next leg up.
### Now, about the Bitcoin chart:
BTC crashed hard, but guess what? It bounced right off the support.
That’s a strong sign.
The blue EMA you see on the chart is the 200 DEMA, another bullish signal that tells us there’s still strength in the market.
Keeping it short and simple, we’re likely heading higher from here.
Invalidation: A daily break and close below $103K.
---
I’ll be sharing more altcoin charts soon, so stay tuned.
And to everyone reading this, stay strong, stay grounded, and remember… WAGMI 🙌
We’ve been through worse, and we’ll come out of this even stronger.
If this message resonated with you, don’t forget to hit that ❤️. Let’s keep spreading positivity in this space.
BTC: Continuing to fluctuate between 106,000 and 107,500Today, BTC continues to trade within a narrow range and has repeatedly encountered resistance at the key level of 107,500. This level can be regarded as the bull-bear divide.
If the price can break above this level and stabilize, a small rebound is expected, with subsequent target levels around 109,800 and 111,000.
On the downside, we will focus on the support level around 106,000. If the price is suppressed from above and falls below this support level, it may continue to decline.
Buy 106000 - 106500
SL 105500
TP 107000- 107500
Sell 107500 - 108000
TP 109000
TP 106500 - 106000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – BTCUSD ANALYSIS (18/10/2025)Prepared by: ElDoradoFx Premium 2.0 Analyst Team
⸻
🧭 Market Overview
Bitcoin is trading around 107,000, attempting to stabilize after a sharp drop from 115,800 earlier in the week.
The daily structure has shifted bearish, following consecutive rejections from the descending trendline and a clean break below the 200 EMA.
However, price is now sitting near a major weekly demand zone (106,300–106,000), aligned with the 1D Golden Zone retracement.
This weekend, the market is expected to consolidate before deciding whether to extend the bearish trend or attempt a technical rebound.
⸻
📊 Technical Breakdown
1️⃣ Daily Chart (D1)
• Structure: Short-term bearish — lower highs and lower lows formed after 115,800 rejection.
• MACD: Strong red histogram; momentum favors sellers.
• RSI: 36.5 → Oversold area, early signs of exhaustion.
• 200 EMA: Recently broken at 107,900 → now acting as dynamic resistance.
• Key Support: 106,300–106,000 (last swing + Golden Zone).
Bias: Bearish to neutral; possible retracement toward 108k before continuation lower.
⸻
2️⃣ 1-Hour Chart (H1)
• Structure: Price is consolidating below descending trendline from 110,000.
• EMA50 < EMA200 → bearish alignment, but short-term rebound visible.
• MACD: Positive momentum beginning to build after strong histogram recovery.
• RSI: 50.1, showing neutral mid-range — space for a minor bullish correction.
Bias: Intraday corrective bullish move likely toward 107,800–108,000 resistance.
⸻
3️⃣ 15M–5M Chart (Intraday Momentum)
• Structure: Higher lows forming from 106,400 → 106,900 → 107,000.
• RSI rising above 55; MACD histogram bullish → short-term recovery pattern.
• Resistance: 107,450–107,800 (FVG + trendline intersection).
• Support: 106,500–106,300 (EQL + demand zone).
Bias: Short-term buy pressure into resistance, watch for rejection near 108k.
⸻
📐 Fibonacci Analysis
Last Swing: 115,800 → 106,300
• 38.2% → 109,820
• 50.0% → 111,050
• 61.8% → 112,280
📊 Golden Zone: 111,050–112,280
→ Expect major sell reaction if price retraces into this area next week.
⸻
🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ BUY SCENARIO (Short-Term Correction)
• Break & Retest: Above 107,450 confirms short-term bullish continuation.
• Retest Zone: 107,300–107,450
• Targets:
TP1 → 107,800
TP2 → 108,500
TP3 → 109,200
• Stop-Loss: Below 106,700
⚠️ SELL SCENARIO (Main Bias)
• Break & Retest: Below 106,300 confirms continuation to the downside.
• Retest Zone: 106,300–106,500
• Targets:
TP1 → 105,800
TP2 → 104,600
TP3 → 103,200
• Stop-Loss: Above 107,000
🚀 SWING SELL (High Probability)
• Ideal Entry: 111,000–112,200 (Fibonacci Golden Zone)
• Targets: 108,000 → 106,000 → 103,500
• Stop-Loss: Above 113,000
⸻
🕐 Fundamental Watch
• Weekend = low volume, potential for range-bound moves.
• Next week: Focus on U.S. CPI follow-through & Fed speakers, which may add volatility.
• CME futures gap remains open near 108,800, likely to be filled early next week.
⸻
⚙️ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 107,450 / 108,000 / 109,800 / 111,000
Support 106,500 / 106,300 / 105,800 / 103,200
Trendline Resistance 107,800 (H1 descending structure)
⸻
🧾 Analyst Summary
BTCUSD is in a corrective phase, showing short-term rebound signs from the 106k support zone, yet still locked under heavy resistance at 107.8k–108k.
A break below 106.3k resumes the bearish trend, targeting 104–103k, while a bounce above 107.4k may trigger a limited retracement to 108.8k–111k before sellers re-enter near the Golden Zone.
Overall market remains bearish but approaching exhaustion levels — watch for short-term buy opportunities within 106.3k–107k range before the next leg down.
⸻
📈 Primary Bias: Bearish below 107,800 – next downside targets 106,000 → 103,200
📉 Alternative Bias: Bullish retracement above 107,450 → 108,800 → 111,000
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 17/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
🔻 SELL +20 pips
🟢 BUY +20 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips
🔻 SELL LIMIT +110 pips
🟢 BUY +50 pips
❌ BUY –30 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +200 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🟢 BUY +400 pips
---
💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: +1,100 pips
📈 RESULT: 10 Signals → 9 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 90 %
---
⚡️ SWING SETUPS RUNNING:
🟢 BUY from 4,081 → +2,970 pips
🟢 BUY from 4,181 → +1,970 pips
💎 TOTAL SWING GAIN SO FAR: +4,940 pips
---
🔥 Precision. Patience. Profits.
Ending the week with momentum and clean executions 📈💪
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
BTC: Sharp VolatilityBTC exhibited a trend of rising first and then falling, with overall intense volatility,reflecting the uncertainty and complexity of the market.
From the perspective of short-term technical indicators, after Bitcoin’s price broke below the key range of 109,000–110,000, this area has now transformed into a resistance level. Currently, the price is fluctuating within the 106,000–107,000 range: it faces resistance near 107,500 on the upside, while receiving support from the 103,000–104,000 range on the downside. If the price fails to break through the 107,500 resistance level effectively, it may continue to face downward correction pressure.
Buy 106000 - 106500
SL 105500
TP 107000- 107000
Sell 107500 - 108000
TP 109000
TP 106500 - 106000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance






















