BITCOIN Is this the last rally of the Cycle??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has held its 1W MA20 (red trend-line) to perfection and closed last week in green for the first time after 3 straight red 1W candles.
As discussed in previous analyses, the 1W MA20 is critical to BTC's bullish trend as it is the trend-line that supported every final parabolic rally on its previous Cycles.
Even on the current Bull Cycle, it has been the first (and main) level of Support during the entirety of the 3-year Channel Up. The second one is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and was the ultimate Buy Signal on all three occasions it was hit (or approached), which coincided with a 0.382 Fibonacci retracement test.
Since the last contact the market had with both the 1W MA50 and 0.382 Fib (April 07 2025 Low), Bitcoin has been trading within the Channel's 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci range, which is the zone that has dominated the price action for most of the Bull Cycle. It broke below or above it 4 times, twice below it in the early stages of the Channel Up and as the Cycle's strength accelerated, twice above it to form Higher Highs.
Those Higher Highs have been the mid-Cycle 'Profit taking Zones' (red Triangles), where traders/ investors were encouraged to book quarterly profits and wait for a lower buy opportunity o the 1W MA50/ 0.382 Fib Support Cluster.
Once again, this is were we expect this upcoming final BTC rally to peak. Technically, even if we see a highly aggressive rise starting now, this Zone should be at $140k and above. Profit taking is a personal matter to each trader, depending on their risk tolerance and how low/ soon they entered the market, but this chart can serve as a reminder on their profit taking strategy.
So are you booking your profits soon for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Btcusdsignals
Bitcoin - It is bullish either way!💎Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) still remains bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
Yes, over the past couple of days we have been seeing a quite negative correction on Bitcoin. However, looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin remains totally bullish. So even if Bitcoin continues with the recent correction, it would ultimately result in a bullish all time high break and retest.
📝Levels to watch:
$60.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTC/USD – FVG Buy Zone Setup Targeting $113KChart Overview (BTC/USD 30m)
Price is currently trading at $110,517.
EMA 70 (111,276) above price → short-term bearish.
EMA 200 (110,598) acting as immediate support zone.
📐 Trend & Channel Strategy
Market is moving inside an ascending channel (support & projection line).
Price recently retraced to the support line → potential bullish continuation.
🎯 Supply & Demand / FVG Strategy
FVG Buying Zone: $109,583 – $110,217 highlighted (strong demand zone).
Entry around this zone expected to trigger a bullish reaction.
📊 EMA Crossover Strategy
EMA70 > EMA200 previously → bullish structure.
Current retest of EMA200 is key → holding above signals continuation to upside.
💎 Price Action Strategy
After strong drop, price tapped into support + FVG zone.
Wick rejection suggests buyers stepping in.
🎯 Target & Risk Management
Target Point: $113,053 – $113,064.
Stop Loss: Below $109,583 (to protect against breakdown).
Risk/Reward ratio looks favorable (approx. 1:3).
✅ Conclusion:
BTC is in an uptrend channel. After retesting the FVG buying zone & EMA200, buyers are likely to push price back toward $113,000 target 🚀📈. A break below $109,583 would invalidate this bullish setup.
BITCOIN Is the end of the Bull Cycle approaching?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) may be approaching the end of its current Bull Cycle and a few weeks ago we have issued a first reminder of the dynamics of this Cycle in relation to all previous. The historic symmetry is high and this time we've presented it using the Time Cycles and Time Fibonacci levels.
As mentioned on previous studies, measuring the Super Cycle from bottom-to-bottom, the Top tends to be formed around the 0.786 Time Fib. Naturally the distance from the 0.786 Fib and 1.0 is the Bear Phase (red). What follows next is the Bear Buy (blue) of the Bull Phase from Fib 0.0 to Fib 0.236.
What concerns us most at this stage is the fact that 0.786 Time Fib is on the week starting December 01 2025. To make things more alarming, if the next Bear Phase follows the last two that measured 51 days from Top-to-Bottom, since the Super Cycle ends on October 05 2026, the next potential Top of this Cycle could be on the week starting October 13 2025!
Certainly food for thought, surely the current Cycle got derailed/ delayed a few months by Trump's tarrifs but above all this serves as a reminder that booking profits in trading is key. And especially since very few actually manage to do so on Tops.
So are you booking profits for this Cycle or not yet? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN 4H Bullish Cross formed. Can it sustain a rally to 124k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just completed its first Bullish Cross on the 4H time-frame between the MA20 (red trend-line) and the MA50 (blue trend-line). Following a rejection after marginally breaching above the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), this pattern looks very similar to the Bullish Cross of June 25.
Both took place after a strong medium-term correction is the form of Channel Down patterns, with the Bullish Crosses getting formed after a Lower Highs break-out. If fact even the August 07 MA20/50 Bullish Cross led to a strong rally.
As a result, if BTC manages to turn its 4H MA100 into a Support, we expect it to initiate a new rally to test at least the previous High above $124k, similar to the July 03 High test. The 0.786 and 0618 Fibonacci levels can be used as Resistance and Support levels upon break-outs and pull-backs respectively.
So do you think this 4H MA20/50 Bullish Cross can kickstart a new rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Swing Trade Setup – Institutional Inflows Fuel Bulls🎭 BTC/USD – Money Heist Plan 🚀 (Swing + Scalping Strategy)
📊 BTC/USD Real-Time Market Data
Current Price: $111,156.01
24h Change: +$2,117.61 (+1.94%)
Day’s Range: $108,540.93 – $111,180.45
52-Week Range: $49,538.00 – $123,640.00
😰 Fear & Greed Index
Score: 49/100 → Neutral 😊
Trend: Shifted from “Fear” to “Neutral” in the last 24 hours.
🧠 Investor Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders: Cautious (63% worry about crypto safety).
Institutional Traders: Bullish (💵 $3.7B net inflows in August).
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Score
Policy Uncertainty: High (U.S. tariffs, Fed policy shifts).
Fed Rate Cut Probability: High (expected September cut).
Key Event: Non-Farm Payrolls (Sept 5; forecast 45K jobs).
Gold Rally: $3,508/oz (+30% YTD, strong hedging demand).
🐂 Market Outlook
Short-Term: Neutral → Slightly Bearish (September volatility ahead).
Long-Term: Bullish (Institutional inflows + macro liquidity).
Bull/Bear Score: 55% Bullish vs 45% Bearish.
🎯 Thief’s Trading Plan (Layered Entry Strategy)
I’m setting up multiple limit orders (“Thief Layers”) instead of going all-in — this spreads risk, builds better entries, and keeps flexibility.
Entry (Layered Buys):
$109,000 → $109,500 → $110,000 → $110,500
(Add more layers as per your own strategy)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
$107,500 (Adjust for your own risk appetite)
Target Zone (Profit Extraction):
$116,000 (Checkpoint before major resistance zone)
💡 Key Takeaways
BTC rebounded +1.94% but faces headwinds from whale profit-taking & policy risks.
Neutral sentiment (49/100) reflects a balanced investor mood.
Friday’s NFP jobs data could shape Fed rate expectations → big volatility catalyst.
🔍 Related Pairs to Watch
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD | COINBASE:SOLUSD | BITSTAMP:XRPUSD | BINANCE:BTCUSDT | CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #Scalping #TradingStrategy #LayeredEntries #CryptoCommunity
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
BITCOIN ahead of September crash on historically worst month??Despite the obvious hint of 2 potential rate hikes by the end of this year, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has found itself on a downtrend. And as today we entered the first day of September, this sentiment is further empowered by one simple statistical fact: that September has historically been BTC's worst performing month.
As this table on the chart shows (source: CoinGlass), September's average returns have been -3.77%, the worst average score out of all months since 2013. An interesting fact however is that out of all the Septembers that ended in green (4), they did so when there was a red August (like the one we just closed at -5.91%). At the same time out of all the times August was red (8) four times September followed in red. This shows that historical probabilities are equally distributed there.
Statistics aside, the market has a strong case of a bottom on the current levels and that's purely a technical one. As you can see, since May 01, Bitcoin has been trading within a Channel Up. This pattern has seen so far two Bullish Legs of almost identical rise (+22.07% and +21.05% respectively) and when they corrected (Bearish Legs), the first Low was on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the second on the Channel Up bottom.
This time there is an even stronger technical case, as the price hit the 1W MA20 (red trend-line), which as we've shown on a recent study, is a Support level that historically kickstarts the final rallies during Bull Cycles.
Even their 1D RSI sequences are similar, with the indicator currently being on a Lower Lows formation that previously marked the June 22 (Higher) Low.
As a result, assuming we will see the 'minimum' of +21.07% Bullish Leg, we should be expecting a $130000 Higher High, which matches our realistic Cycle Top study, based on most studies we've conducted.
So do you think Bitcoin will again declined this September or we are currently forming a new bottom? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC/USD Supply Zone Rejection Setup This BTC/USD 30-min chart shows price climbing within a rising channel toward a POI Supply Zone (114,201 – 114,940 USD). The market is respecting both the support line and rejection line while trading above the EMA 70 (111,733) and EMA 200 (112,102), indicating bullish momentum in the short term.
Key Analysis Using Strategies:
Trend/EMA Strategy: Price is above both EMAs, signaling bullish continuation until the supply zone.
Channel Strategy: Price is moving inside an ascending channel; upper channel resistance aligns with the supply zone, suggesting potential reversal.
Supply & Demand: Strong supply zone at 114,201–114,940 is the key resistance area to watch for rejection.
Price Action: After breakout from EMA and minor consolidation, price shows bullish structure with higher highs and lows.
Risk Management: Possible short entry at supply zone (114,201–114,940) with stop-loss above 114,940, and targets near 112,100 and 109,000.
📌 Summary: Short-term bullish toward supply zone, but a potential bearish reversal setup forms at 114,201–114,940 if rejection occurs, with downside targets around 112,100 → 109,000.
BITCOIN The NIGHTMARE BEAR CYCLE fractal that Bulls must avoid!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a strong correction lately after the August 14 All Time High (ATH) at $124500. Every High since has been sold and the price has found itself below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Whether that's alarming or not yet, this sequence draws a lot of comparisons with the pattern that led to the Cycle Top on 2021.
As you can see both patterns started off with Lower Highs that pushed the market to a new bottom on Lower Lows. A 1D Death Cross confirmed the bottom formation (along with a 1D RSI bullish divergence on Higher Lows) and BTC started rising aggressively again, flipping both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) into Supports and forming a Bull Flag on a 1D Golden Cross.
At the end of this sequence in 2021, a Double Top Higher Highs pattern, was what formed the Cycle's Top. Unfortunately for the Bulls' case, this is very similar to the Higher High formation we got on August 14. Even the 1D RSI patterns among those two fractals are similar.
Do you think we are in a similar situation as in late November 2021, which initiated the 2022 Bear Cycle?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Reclaims Support Zone – Potential Move Toward $117KBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is rebounding from a key dynamic support zone within its descending channel, with price action now testing the mid-range of the EMA cloud structure. This bounce suggests potential short-term upside continuation if momentum holds.
✅ Bullish Confluences:
Fibonacci Retracement Support: Price respected the 38.2%–61.8% retracement zone between ~$111,330 and ~$110,218, confirming strong demand.
EMA Cloud Reclaim: Current price action is attempting to reclaim the EMA cluster, signaling improving bullish pressure.
Trend Structure: Short-term higher low forming after the recent sell-off, keeping the possibility of a reversal alive.
Candlestick Reaction: Strong rejection wicks from support levels indicate buyers stepping back in.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – ~$114,442 (38.2% retracement resistance).
TP2 – ~$115,555 (61.8% retracement / mid-supply zone).
TP3 – ~$117,356 (full retracement / key resistance).
🛡️ Stop-Loss: Just below $110,800 (61.8% support breakdown), invalidating the bullish scenario.
BITCOIN The key importance of the 1W MA20 that was just tested!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost hit early this week its 1W MA20 (blue trend-line) and so far it appears to be holding it. Whether that leads into a sustainable rebound or not it remains to be seen but this is historically a critical level for the market.
More specifically, as you can see on the charts above, the 1W MA50 has initiated every Cycle's final rally since 2013! To make this special occurrence even more interesting, every such consolidation/ pull-back before the final rally, took place within the August - September period (2021, 2017, 2013).
So if it holds once again, we see no reason why it shouldn't start again the Cycle's last rebound. And since the first two Cycles are more similar with each other, we might assume that the current would be more similar with 2017. Since that one topped very close to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from the low of the final pull-back, we could get a peak this time around $140k.
Do you think history will repeat itself again and hit at least $140000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN The August-September bottom cheat sheet!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just entered its 2-year Buy Zone, which is a Higher Lows belt that has priced its last 3 major bottoms and since the November 2022 Bear market bottom, has been the most optimal long-term buy entry.
A very interesting fact is that the August - September period since 2023 has been such a bottom formation, with the 1W RSI Support Zone, providing an additional confirmation for a long-term buy entry, also present during the March - April 2025 Tariff led correction.
As a result, it is highly likely to start seeing the new Bullish Leg starting by the first 1-2 weeks of September, with the previous two rising by +96.86 and +105.80% respectively. That suggests that BTC could marginally surpass $200k before the Cycle peaks. That would also be just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from Aprils Low, similar to the December 2024 High.
So do you think $200000 is possible for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - The magical $1.000.000 level!🚀Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is not done yet:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, we have been witnessing a bullish continuation on Bitcoin. After the all time high breakout, there is a high chance that this bullrun will continue and Bitcoin might even retest the resistance trendline at seven digits in the near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$1.000.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Powell's Speech Sparks Turmoil: BTC Surges and Pulls BackPowell's speech triggered a sharp surge in both BTC and gold 🚀. Amid such significant volatility, many traders will likely see their accounts wiped out 💥. BTC has pulled back today and may continue to drop to around 112,000 before rebounding ↘️↗️
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 117000 - 11600
🚀 TP 115000 - 114000 - 113000
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
BTC/USD Bearish Retest Setup – Eye on 106.6K TargetTrend: BTC is in a downtrend channel (rejection line above, support line below).
EMA Signals: Price is trading below EMA 70 & EMA 200 → bearish bias remains strong.
Supply & Demand:
Support zone: around 112,000 – 112,500 (price just bounced).
RBR Supply zone: 114,300 – 116,000 where sellers are likely waiting.
📊 Strategies in play
Support–Resistance: Bounce at support, retest expected at supply zone.
EMA Strategy: Bearish since candles trade under 200 EMA.
Break & Retest: Price could retest supply before resuming drop.
Target Projection: If rejection at supply holds, target = 106,600 zone (chart target point).
⚖️ Risks
A clean break above 116,000 would invalidate bearish setup and open room for reversal.
Range trading possible between 112k–116k before breakout.
✅ Summary: BTC short-term bias remains bearish. Expect retest of 114.3k–116k supply before continuation lower toward 106.6k target. Only a strong breakout above 116k flips the trend bullish.
BTC recently broke through the descending channel Market picture and sentiment
The price is trading around $114,942, down slightly by about -0.65% on the day. Daily range: high - $115,833, low - $114,583.
The medium-term and long-term trend remains bullish, supported by large capital infusions (ETFs, institutional purchases).
Bernstein analysts suggest that the current bull rally could last until 2027, which is significantly different from the usual four-year cycles.
Support and resistance levels
Resistance:
The nearest zone is $120K-121K, where growth was expected to slow and consolidation.
The long-term target is $135K, and even $150K by 2026, according to analysts' forecasts.
Support:
Multiple bounce point at $110K–112K is critical to maintain bullish momentum.
Nearest technical support at $111.9K, followed by $107.4K and $105.2K.
Technical Momentum and Structure
Consolidation is seen around $113.8K, with volumes rising (to $48B), signaling pent-up interest despite short-term fatigue.
BTC recently broke out of its downward channel, a positive sign. RSI remains favorable, and declining balances on platforms indicate institutional accumulation.
A breakout of $114K could trigger upside potential to $143K (25%) and further to $200K, according to Rosenberg Research.
BTCUSDT H4 MAPPING BTCUSDT Pumping After Trumps Speech So The Main Two Zones Have In This Setup That Btcusd Sell From Bearish Order Block And Buy From Breaker Block Area
Selling Zone 118:500 & 119:500
Buying Zone 114:500 & 113:000
Hope You Understand The Mapping So Follow Us And Boost Our Post For More Trades
BITCOIN Are the 0.5 Fib and 1D MA100 coming to the rescue?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for exactly the past 4 months (since April 22) and the recent correction off its All Time High (ATH) has broken below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 02 and is about to test the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
The 1D MA100 has been intact since the day the Channel Up started so it is on its own a strong Support. It gets stronger though, considering that this is where the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level is from its ATH, which is exactly where BTC rebounded (and priced the previous Higher Low) on June 22.
As you can see, there is a very high degree of symmetry among the Bullish and Bearish Legs of the Channel Up and the 0.5 Fib is -11.09% from the recent High, which is again the % correction of BTC's last Bearish Leg.
Notice also the similarities between the Bearish Legs' fractals, being on Lower Highs and Lower Lows. A new Lower Low now, would potentially signal the bottom.
As far as the next Bullish Leg is concerned, based on the previous one, we can expect a rise to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, which is at $140000.
Do you think history will be repeated once more? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: Confident Breakout of $120K — Targets of $125–$135K!• The trend remains bullish: Bitcoin is trading above $117K–118K, has updated its maximum to $124K. Steady growth is supported by growing institutional investments and a softening regulatory environment.
• Key levels:
- Support: $110K–112K — fundamental holding zone. :contentReference
- Resistance*: $120K–123K. A breakout with volume will open the way to $125–134K.
• Technical signals:
- Short-term consolidation after growth of almost 4% — natural rest before the next rebound.
- If BTC consolidates above $125K, there is potential up to $150K.
Bottom line: Bitcoin is demonstrating a consistently bullish sentiment. Holding above $110-112K is critical, a breakout of $120-123K is a signal for growth to $125-134K, and with strong dynamics - to $150K.
Recommendations:
- Buy on dip around $112-115K with targets of $125K+
- Breakout entry** when consolidating above $123K, targets $125-134K
- Stop-loss: slightly below $110K
Shorting BTCUSDT – Strong HTF Bearish Signals in PlayRecent Price Action:
- First Rejection (8/14): Bitcoin was rejected at the previous ATH (~$102.3K).
- Second Rejection: Price failed to surpass the secondary swing high (~$122.4K), leading to a sharp drop (liquidation of buy orders).
- Rebound Attempt: Price dipped to $106.8K, filling the CME gap and likely triggering short-term short liquidations over the weekend. However, the rebound lacked sustainability.
- Breakdown Confirmation: On Monday’s market open, BTC broke below key support, extending the drop to the 0.786 Fib level (~$114.6K).
Market Structure Shift (Higher Timeframe Confirmation):
- The breakdown invalidated the prior bullish structure on H4+ timeframes, confirming a bearish bias.
- The inability to hold above key levels and the liquidation-driven moves suggest weakening demand.
Short Setup Opportunity:
- Ideal Entry Zone: 116.8K - 117K
- SL: ~118k
- TP: ~112k
- Confluence: 0.618 Fib retracement from recent swing high.
Rejection at this zone would further validate bearish continuation.
BITCOIN 2020 fractal gives huge buy signal now.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) emphatically for the first time in 2 months, sounding short-term fear alarms ahead of the key macroeconomic news of this week. The 1D RSI hit 40.00 however, which has been an automatic buy on both major recent lows (August 01 and June 21).
Short-term aside, it is a fractal from BTC's last Cycle in 2020 (chart on the right) that perhaps offers the most comprehensive long-term outlook, which is what has always helped us maintain an objective, stress-free perspective.
As you can see, both today and 2020 fractals display not only similar price actions but also RSI sequences. Even though naturally the 2020 rebound on the Pivot trend-line has been way more aggressive as the market was still recovering and adjusting the price from the COVID crash, today's price action display's similar phases but in a more sustainable rise.
Based on the RSI fractals, we could be in similar phase as early December 2020. This suggests that there is still upside potential that may extend to as high as 150 - 170k before this Cycle is over.
Do you think that this is a solid Profit Zone for the Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Reward – Bullish Thieves or Bearish Bandits?🚨💰 BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S. Dollar" Crypto Market Grand Heist Plan 🎭🚨
🕵️♂️ Dear Thief OG’s, Money Makers & Market Bandits 💎💰
It’s time to lock & load the Bitcoin Heist Plan with both sides of the robbery open (Bullish & Bearish)! ⚡
🔑 Entry Zones (Where the Robbery Begins)
📉 Bearish Bandits: Any price level! Rob the upside liquidity & run it down!
📈 Bullish Thieves: Pullback entry 108,000.0 and above – sneak in with style & power.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route)
🔒 For Bullish: Thief SL @ 105,000.0 🚨
⚠️ Reminder, OG’s: Adjust your SL with your own strategy & risk plan. Don’t get caught by the market police 👮♂️💥.
🎯 Target (The Loot Bag)
🏆 Bullish Robbery Target: 124,000.0 💸
🏴☠️ Bearish Robbery Targets:
1️⃣ 110,000.0
2️⃣ 104,000.0
📜 Thief’s Market Note
This isn’t just a trade, it’s a crypto robbery blueprint – choose your side, Bullish or Bearish, and execute like a true Thief Trader. Always plan your entries in layers, stack the loot, and manage your risk like a pro bandit. ⚡💼
🔥💥 If you love the heist style, Boost this idea 💥🔥
Every boost adds fuel to the Thief Trading Crew 🚀💎.
Stay alert, stay sharp, and remember… the market is the biggest bank, and we are here to rob it! 🤑🎭💰
BTC: Rebound Imminent, Go LongBTC today broke below 115000, then rebounded right away 📉→📈. The rebound will keep going and retest 120000—now’s a solid chance to go long! 🚀
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 115000 - 115500
🚀 TP 117000 - 118000 - 119000
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇