Key Levels – Where Gold Reacts, Not Indicators?Many traders start trading gold using indicators, and that’s something almost everyone goes through. However, the longer you stay in the market, the more clearly you realize one important truth: gold does not react to indicators; it reacts at key levels . Indicators only describe what price has already done, while key levels are where real money actually makes decisions.
Price does not move randomly. It reacts at important price zones.
Key levels are areas where the market has shown clear reactions in the past — strong reversals, repeated rejections, or consolidation before a breakout. In gold trading, these zones often align with major highs and lows, round numbers, or areas of concentrated liquidity.
This is where both retail traders and large capital are paying attention.
One major reason many traders consistently enter too late is over-reliance on indicators. Indicators are always based on past price data, so when a signal appears, the key reaction has often already happened. At that point, entries are less attractive, risk-to-reward deteriorates, and the probability of false breaks or stop hunts increases.
Indicators are not wrong, but they always lag behind price.
Professional traders don’t try to predict whether price will go up or down. They wait for price to reach a key level and then observe how the market reacts. Is price strongly rejected, or does it break through easily? Is real buying or selling pressure actually showing up?
Key levels are not places to predict — they are places to observe and react.
This doesn’t mean indicators are useless. Indicators still have value for momentum confirmation or for understanding market context. But they should not be the primary factor for making entry decisions.
Key levels tell you where to trade.
Indicators only help you understand how price is behaving.
Conclusion
If you are trading gold and still searching for the “best indicator for XAUUSD,” you may be asking the wrong question.
The better question is:
Which key level is the market respecting right now?
Because in the end, price reacts at levels — not at indicators.
Buy!!
Don’t Rush to Call the Top on EURUSDEURUSD in the late December 20–21 period is showing a clearly bullish picture , supported by both fundamental news and technical structure . This is not a euphoric phase , but rather a period where the market slows down to accumulate before making its next move.
From a fundamental perspective, the ECB has kept interest rates unchanged and delivered a relatively positive outlook, while the USD lacks fresh momentum as U.S. data has not been strong enough to push the Fed back into a hawkish stance. This backdrop allows the euro to maintain a short-term advantage.
On the chart, price remains firmly above the 1.1680 support zone , and the Higher Low structure is still intact. The Ichimoku setup shows sideways movement above a thin cloud , a condition that often appears before a trend continuation rather than a reversal.
As long as the current support holds , the preferred scenario remains EURUSD pushing higher toward 1.1750, with the potential to retest the upper resistance zone. When the trend has not broken , following the flow is far wiser than trying to predict a top.
BTCUSD – Weak Rebound, Market Still in Waiting ModeHello, this is Domic.
Looking at the BTC H4 chart right now, the first thing that stands out clearly is this: BTC is correcting and consolidating after a strong sell-off, not transitioning into a new uptrend yet.
Previously, price dropped sharply from the 92k area down to near 86k — a decisive move that reflected active selling pressure. However, after this decline, BTC did not continue to break down further. Instead, it shifted into a sideways range with a modest rebound. This is no longer a panic sell, but rather a phase where the market is trying to rebalance itself after the dump.
From a technical perspective, price is currently trapped between two downward-sloping EMAs. Each rebound attempt gets capped and fails to break decisively above the upper moving average, while candle bodies remain small with hesitant closes. This behavior suggests that buying pressure is only strong enough for a technical bounce, not powerful enough to reverse the broader structure.
Price structure reinforces this view as well: subsequent highs are not meaningfully higher, and subsequent lows are not significantly lower either, forming a narrow, slightly bearish sideways range. This is a classic “crossroads” type of market — not weak enough to collapse immediately, but lacking the foundation needed for a sustained upside move.
Wishing everyone successful trading!
USDJPY Still Hot – 157.00 Is CallingHello traders,
USDJPY is currently showing a short-term bullish bias , as the narrative of a weak JPY despite the BOJ’s rate hike has not yet shifted overall market sentiment. Although the BOJ raised rates to 0.75%, the yen remains soft, indicating that much of the move was already priced in, and markets are still skeptical about the pace of further tightening.
At the same time, the USD continues to hold relative strength across the currency basket, providing a solid foundation for USDJPY to stay supported.
From a technical perspective, price action reflects a “slow but steady” uptrend : higher lows are being formed, and the 155.50 area is acting as a key support and pivot zone . The consolidation around 155.5–156.0 suggests accumulation, and as long as this base holds, the probability favors a move higher to retest the upper resistance.
The preferred scenario is to look for BUY opportunities on pullbacks : if price holds above 155.50 and shows a rebound, the near-term target is 157.00. Only a clear H4 close below 155.50 would weaken the short-term bullish outlook and warrant a reassessment.
Thank you for listening, and wishing you successful trading ahead.
USOIL Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 56.495.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 60.210 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Market Panic: Gold or Crypto?When the market enters a state of panic, the question is no longer “How much profit can I make?” but rather “Which asset helps me survive and protect my capital?”
In moments like these, gold and crypto are often placed side by side. Both are seen as safe havens—but in very different ways, and that difference is the key to making the right decision.
1) Gold – Where Capital Flows When Confidence Breaks
Gold has existed for thousands of years with one core purpose: preserving value.
When inflation rises, geopolitical tensions escalate, or the financial system shows signs of stress, large capital tends to move into gold first.
Why gold performs well during crises:
High global liquidity, accepted across all markets
Relatively “orderly” volatility, suitable for defensive positioning
Often benefits when real interest rates fall and the USD weakens
In other words, gold won’t make you rich overnight, but it helps you avoid being washed away when the storm hits.
2) Crypto – An Asset Driven by Expectations and Emotion
Crypto represents a new generation of assets, where value is heavily influenced by future expectations, technology narratives, and speculative capital.
In normal or euphoric market conditions, crypto can rise very quickly.
But when panic sets in, the story changes.
Here’s the reality we need to face:
Crypto reacts extremely sensitively to “risk-off” sentiment
High leverage + thin liquidity during stress periods can trigger chain liquidations
In major shocks, crypto is often sold alongside growth stocks, rather than acting as a true safe haven
Therefore, crypto is not a defensive asset in the traditional sense—it is an asset of belief and market cycles.
3) When Should You Choose Gold? When Should You Hold Crypto?
The answer is not “which is better,” but what the market context is.
True panic (systemic risk, war, financial crisis):
➡ Gold is usually the preferred choice.
Capital seeks certainty, not stories.
Short-term crisis followed by monetary easing:
➡ Gold often leads the first wave,
➡ Crypto tends to recover more aggressively after a psychological bottom forms.
Stable markets with abundant liquidity:
➡ Crypto performs at its best.
4) My Perspective: Don’t Choose with Emotion
From my experience, the biggest mistake traders make during panic is choosing assets based on personal belief instead of capital flow and market behavior.
A professional trader asks:
Where is large capital taking refuge?
Is current volatility suitable for my trading style?
Is my goal capital preservation or outsized returns?
If your priority is safety and stability, gold is usually the more reasonable choice.
If you accept high risk in pursuit of high reward, crypto should only be approached after clear confirmation, not during extreme panic.
NZD/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF is trending up which is evident from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 0.466.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Two Forces Cancel Each Other Out, EURUSD Tilts BearishAlthough the USD is weakening due to expectations that the Fed will continue its monetary easing , EURUSD has failed to break higher as the euro’s internal strength shows clear signs of weakness . With these two fundamental forces offsetting each other , the market is gradually leaning toward a short-term corrective decline.
On the fundamental side, disappointing Eurozone PMI data highlights a sharper-than-expected slowdown in economic growth , particularly in manufacturing and services. This has weighed on the euro, preventing EURUSD from capitalizing on USD weakness and increasing the likelihood of a pullback as buying momentum fades.
From a technical perspective, price is currently pulling back to retest the rising trendline and the Ichimoku cloud, signaling that selling pressure is building. The preferred technical scenario is a pullback toward the 1.1700 area, where dynamic support and structural support converge.
At this stage, it is more appropriate to observe price reaction at key support levels rather than expect a strong upside move. The market is testing patience—and it is often during these corrective phases that the clearest opportunities begin to emerge.
Gold vs Real Estate: Which Is Safer?Gold vs Real Estate: Which One Truly Keeps Your Money Safe in Uncertain Times?
When markets turn unstable, the first question that always comes up is: “ How do I keep my money safe ?”
Almost immediately, two familiar names are put on the scale: gold and real estate .
One is a globally recognized defensive asset.
The other is a tangible asset tied to land and long-term growth cycles.
But safety does not lie in the name of the asset — it lies in how you use it .
Safety does not mean “never going down”
Many people mistakenly believe that a safe asset is one that never declines in price. In reality, every asset goes through corrections .
True safety means:
When you need cash, can you actually convert it?
When markets deteriorate, can you withstand the psychological and cash-flow pressure?
When the cycle shifts, does that asset help you survive?
And this is exactly where gold and real estate begin to diverge.
Gold — safety through liquidity and defense
Gold is considered safe because it does not depend on a single economy . When inflation rises, crises emerge, or confidence in fiat currencies weakens, gold is often chosen as a safe haven.
Gold’s greatest strength is liquidity . It can be converted into cash almost instantly, nearly anywhere in the world. This makes gold an effective defensive tool during periods of strong market volatility.
However, gold does not generate cash flow . Its price can also move sideways for long periods, requiring patience and a capital-preservation mindset rather than a get-rich-quick mentality.
Real estate — safety through tangibility and long-term value
Real estate feels safe because it is tangible and familiar . The land remains. The property remains. Over the long term, real estate tends to appreciate alongside economic growth and urbanization.
In addition, real estate can generate rental income , something gold cannot offer. For investors with stable capital and no pressure to rotate funds quickly, this is a major advantage.
The trade-off, however, is low liquidity . When markets weaken or credit conditions tighten, selling property can take a long time. If leverage is involved, this so-called “safe asset” can quickly become a financial burden.
The core difference: time horizon and flexibility
Gold suits investors who value flexibility and fast response .
Real estate suits those with long-term vision, substantial capital, and the ability to endure cycles .
Gold helps you defend in the short to medium term .
Real estate helps you build wealth over the long term .
No asset replaces the other.
They differ only in their role within your financial strategy .
GBPUSD – Downside Pressure Is Gradually Becoming ClearIn the latest session, GBPUSD experienced a sharp pullback as UK inflation came in below expectations , triggering a broad repricing of Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy expectations. November CPI fell to 3.2%, the lowest level in eight months , reinforcing market belief that the BoE now has more room to lean toward interest rate cuts in the period ahead. This development immediately put strong pressure on the British pound.
On the H4 chart, although the broader trend had previously been bullish, the current price structure is clearly showing signs of weakness . Price was strongly rejected from the 1.340–1.343 resistance zone and has continued to form lower highs in the short term. The inability to hold above this area indicates that buyers are gradually losing control.
At present, the 1.335 level serves as a key near-term support. If price rebounds but fails to reclaim the 1.340 resistance, the move is likely to be a technical pullback rather than a trend reversal, with selling pressure expected to return. A decisive break below 1.335 could open the door for further downside expansion in line with a medium-term corrective move.
In summary, with fundamental news turning negative for GBP and technical signals confirming growing selling dominance , the more prudent strategy at this stage is to prioritize selling on rallies, rather than attempting to catch a falling bottom. GBPUSD is entering a sensitive phase, and market volatility is likely to remain elevated as monetary policy expectations continue to evolve in the sessions ahead.
EURUSD Finds Its Rhythm: Buyers Remain in ControlIn the current trading phase, EURUSD is presenting a clean and easy-to-read bullish structure , especially when viewed against a news backdrop that has recently tilted slightly in favor of the euro . Following the ECB’s more stable and optimistic tone , the market has shown less appetite for aggressive USD buying, creating room for EUR to maintain its short-term advantage .
Looking at the chart, the price structure remains clearly constructive : the uptrend is intact with higher highs and higher lows. Recent pullbacks appear to be nothing more than a healthy pause, as price continues to find solid support around the 1.1700 zone — a well-defined technical level where buying interest repeatedly steps in. This behavior confirms that buyers are still in control, rather than stepping aside.
Under a favorable scenario, EURUSD has room to extend higher and test the 1.1800 area , which stands as the nearest resistance and a logical upside target for the current move. As long as price holds above 1.1700, the bullish bias remains dominant, and any pullback should be viewed as opportunity rather than risk.
In summary, EURUSD is advancing in an orderly bullish manner — not rushing into a breakout, yet showing no signs of meaningful weakness . If market sentiment remains steady, the upside path stays open for traders willing to stay patient and follow the trend.
GBPUSD is Nearing an Important Support Area!!Hey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.33250 zone, GBPUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.33250 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.791.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.797 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZD/CAD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CAD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.797 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 4,320.70.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 4,339.30.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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What Is the Bull Side – and What Is the Bear Side?In trading, there are concepts that everyone has heard of , but not everyone truly understands correctly . “ Bull side ” and “ Bear side ” are two such terms. Many traders use them every day, yet often assign them overly simplistic meanings: bulls mean buying, bears mean selling.
In reality, behind these two concepts lies how the market operates , how capital flows think , and how traders choose which side to stand on .
What Is the Bull Side?
The Bull side (bulls) represents those who expect prices to rise . However, bulls are not simply about buying .
The true essence of the bull side is the belief that the current price is lower than its future value , and that the market has enough momentum to continue moving upward .
The bull side typically appears when:
Price structure shows that an uptrend is being maintained
Active buying pressure controls pullbacks
The market reacts positively to news or fresh capital inflows
More importantly, strong bulls do not need price to rise quickly . What they need is a structured advance , with healthy pauses and clear support levels to continue higher.
What Is the Bear Side?
The Bear side (bears) represents those who expect prices to fall . Like bulls, bears are not merely about selling .
The core of the bear side is the belief that the current price is higher than its true value , and that selling pressure will gradually take control .
The bear side tends to strengthen when:
An uptrend begins to weaken or breaks down
Price no longer responds positively to good news
Every rally is met with clear selling pressure
A market dominated by bears does not always collapse sharply . Sometimes, it shows up as weak rebounds , slow and extended , but unable to travel far .
When Does the Market Lean Toward Bulls or Bears?
The market is never fixed to one side . It is constantly shifting .
There are periods when bulls are in control , times when bears dominate , and moments when neither side is truly strong .
Professional traders do not try to predict which side is right . Instead, they observe:
Which side controls the main move
Which side is reacting more weakly over time
What price is respecting more: support or resistance
These price reactions reveal who is in control , not personal opinions or emotions.
Common Mistakes When Talking About Bulls and Bears
Many traders believe they must “ choose a side ” and remain loyal to it . In reality, the market does not require loyalty .
The market only demands adaptation .
Today’s bulls can become tomorrow’s bears .
A skilled trader is someone who is willing to change perspective when the data changes , rather than defending an outdated view .
USOIL BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 55.27
Target Level: 56.16
Stop Loss: 54.67
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP/USD BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP/USD is trending up which is obvious from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 1.341.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD – The UP Trend Is Still Well ProtectedThe gold market is no longer asking “will it go up or not” — the real question now is how the rally unfolds . When we combine the news backdrop with the price structure on the chart, the bullish picture of XAUUSD becomes increasingly clear.
On the fundamental side , recent U.S. economic data shows a cooling labor market , while expectations for the Fed to continue easing monetary policy remain intact . Yields and the USD are not strong enough to trigger a deep sell-off, and safe-haven demand is still present. This creates a solid macro foundation supporting higher gold prices, rather than a random technical bounce.
From a technical perspective , the uptrend remains clean and well-structured:
• Price is above the Ichimoku cloud, and the cloud is sloping upward → the primary trend remains bullish.
• The 4,300 zone is acting as both a dynamic and psychological support, where price has just pulled back and reacted positively.
• The long-term ascending trendline remains intact → the Higher Low structure is still preserved.
The most logical scenario at this stage is consolidation above 4,300, followed by a continuation toward the 4,380 – 4,390 zone, where the upper trendline resistance converges. This is a classic behavior of a strong market: no sharp sell-offs, no panic — just a pause before the next leg higher.
👉 In summary:
The UPTREND in XAUUSD continues to dominate. As long as 4,300 holds, any pullback should be viewed as a trend-following opportunity, not a reversal signal.
BTCUSDT – Weak Technical Rebound, Downtrend Still in ControlHello everyone, looking at the current D1 chart, Bitcoin is showing a relatively weak rebound that appears more technical in nature rather than a true trend reversal. In the context of December 2025, the market still lacks a strong enough catalyst to draw capital back into crypto, while the medium-term price structure has not improved.
From a news and capital flow perspective , BTC is clearly underperforming gold. In 2025, global capital has favored defensive assets: gold continues to print new all-time highs, while Bitcoin lacks a compelling narrative. Spot ETF momentum has cooled, the halving is already behind us, and there are no major upgrades significantly impacting supply–demand dynamics. Although the Fed has begun cutting rates, policy remains insufficiently dovish to create a strong risk-on environment for crypto. At the same time, the correction in U.S. equities has reinforced a broader cautious sentiment.
From a D1 technical standpoint , BTC remains below both the EMA34 and EMA89, confirming that the medium-term downtrend is still intact. Each rebound has formed a lower high, while buying volume is noticeably weaker than selling pressure. The 88,000–86,000 USD support zone is being tested, and the failure to reclaim EMA34 increases the risk of a downside break.
Personally, I lean toward a scenario where BTC sees another leg down toward the 86,000 level, or even 84,000 USD, before entering a new accumulation phase. A sideways range between 88,000 and 93,000 would only be likely if volatility completely dries up and the market continues to wait for clearer signals from the Fed.
What do you think? Is Bitcoin preparing to form a bottom, or is this just a pause before a deeper decline?
S&P 500 (H4) – A Breathing Pullback Within an UptrendHello everyone, Domic here.
Looking at the S&P 500 on the H4 timeframe, the dominant feeling right now is not a trend breakdown, but rather a market slowing down to catch its breath after a fairly solid advance.
The medium-term trend still leans bullish, as the EMA89 continues to slope upward and price remains within its zone of influence. Losing the EMA34 only signals that short-term buying momentum has weakened, with EMA34 now acting as dynamic resistance — a classic feature of a corrective phase within an uptrend.
The key level to watch is the EMA89. Price is currently rotating back to test this area with moderately sized bearish candles, without any aggressive breakdown. Volume also does not suggest strong distribution or panic selling. This behavior is typical of a technical pullback, not the start of a trend reversal.
The most fitting scenario at this stage is for the S&P 500 to continue moving sideways and consolidating around the EMA89, roughly within the 6,740–6,780 zone, allowing the remaining selling pressure to be absorbed. Only if we see a clear H4 close below the EMA89, followed by failed rebounds back above it, would a deeper correction come into play. For now, this remains a “rest after the run” within a medium-term uptrend.
Wishing you all a smooth and successful trading day!
XAUUSD – Technical Pullback, Uptrend Still IntactHello everyone, let’s go through a few interesting developments in the gold market this week with Domic.
Gold is currently trading around 4,339 USD/oz after rebounding nearly 40 USD from the overnight low at 4,301. This is not a random bounce, but a familiar reaction when safe-haven flows return amid rising geopolitical risks.
The current focus comes from tougher moves by the US toward Venezuela and the risk of expanded sanctions on Russia’s energy sector. Supply disruption concerns have pushed oil prices up nearly 2%, triggering a broader defensive sentiment across financial markets. In this environment, gold continues to be favored as a safe-haven asset.
From a technical perspective on the H4 timeframe, XAUUSD’s uptrend remains firmly intact. Price continues to hold above both EMA34 and EMA89, with both moving averages clearly sloping upward. The pullback from the 4,350 area down toward 4,300 was clean and contained, without breaking the overall structure. This suggests a healthy pause to absorb profit-taking pressure rather than any signal of trend reversal.
Wishing you all a smooth and successful trading day!






















