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CADJPY

CADJPY: Bearish Move From Resistance Confirmed 🇨🇦🇯🇵 There is a high probability that CADJPY will retrace from the underlined daily resistance. A breakout of a support line of a rising wedge pattern on 1H time frame provides a strong bearish signal. I expect a retracement at least to 107.26 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
2
CADJPY Forming Ascending ChannelCADJPY is currently trading within a clear ascending channel, and price is pulling back after rejecting the upper boundary near the 110.00 psychological level. The recent bearish momentum suggests that buyers are taking profit, allowing sellers to regain short-term control. I’m watching for price to continue drifting toward the channel’s lower support near 105.50–106.00. If this support breaks with strong volume, it opens the door for a deeper drop into the major demand zone around 101.50–102.50, which aligns with previous liquidity sweeps and institutional footprints. From a fundamental perspective, CAD has been under slight pressure due to softer crude oil demand and growing expectations that the Bank of Canada may shift to a more accommodative stance if economic slowdown deepens. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remains broadly weak as the Bank of Japan maintains negative interest rates, but risk-off sentiment and rising geopolitical tensions could temporarily strengthen JPY through safe-haven flows. That makes this pair vulnerable to corrective downside despite the broader bullish structure. I’ll be monitoring price action closely once price reaches the lower boundary of the channel. A clean rejection from that zone will provide a high-probability buy setup to ride the continuation of the long-term trend. But a confirmed breakdown will flip this structure into a bearish reversal, making the 102.00 liquidity pool a prime target. Patience and precision are key — this setup has profit written all over it once confirmation aligns with fundamentals.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 107.52 1st Support: 106.67 1st Resistance: 108.88 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by IC Markets
CADJPY Bounce Plan – Dual Target SetupPrice is now reacting near the 108.144 entry zone, just above strong support at 107.545. If this zone holds, I’m expecting a bullish move to trigger toward the upside targets. 🎯 Targets in Focus: 📌 Expect 1: 109.010 📌 Expect 2: 109.721 If price breaks above 109.010 and forms a base, I’ll look for a second leg toward 109.721. - Entry Level: 108.144 - Support Zone: 107.545 (key invalidation area) - Confirmation: Bullish candle or structure shift around 108.10 zone Watching RSI and reaction at current level for early confirmation.
Long
by ClearTradingMind
CAD/JPY GOING LONG! BUT FOR HOW LONG? I want to document this possible direction because from what I am seeing this looks very probable. When it comes to this pair we have seen a great push to the upside that looked very steady until the disaster of 10/10 but I believe we will bounce long! but for how long is the good question, I would pay attention to this pair due to the fact that there is no real impactful news this week for either pair! Meaning some good foundational trades should be possible but again we follow price action and then move a long side! My theory is- Price will push down to .786 or .619 level and then bounce back up for a pullback or correction! (for my ICC) this is where I will be looking to do longs if I see HH N HL on smaller time frames up until critical prices like 108.497 and 108.962 and above! one of these key levels will either hold and push down even further or it will be broken and price will continue! tell me your feed back and thoughts on this trading idea.
Long
by TaYbTrading
CAD/JPY: Thief’s Playbook or Trap Zone? A Full Technical + Macro🚨 CAD/JPY – “Loonie vs Yen” Bank Heist Plan 🏦💸 (Swing/Day Trade) 📊 Market Overview (02 Sept 2025, Real-Time Data) Daily Change: +0.26% ⬆️ 52-Week Range: 101.24 – 111.57 📈 Technical Snapshot RSI (14-Day): 47.9 (Neutral zone) Moving Averages: Price trading below 50 & 200 SMA → bearish bias on higher TF Volatility: Low (0.35%) = Possible breakout setup Technical Signal: Mixed, leaning SELL from MA cluster 🧠 Sentiment & Positioning Retail Traders: Split views (mixed long/short positions) Institutions: Increasing net-long JPY exposure for 3rd consecutive week Fear & Greed Index: 61/100 (Greed mode) 🏦 Fundamental & Macro Heist Briefing: Like every great “operation,” CAD/JPY’s moves depend on central banks, commodities, and macro flows: 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan (BoJ) Gradually exiting ultra-loose policy, supported by stronger wage growth & sticky inflation. A hawkish BoJ = stronger yen = tighter barricades for our heist 🚔. 🇨🇦 Bank of Canada (BoC) Balancing rate cuts with sticky inflation & housing concerns. CAD remains highly correlated with oil prices → if crude rallies, it reloads the Loonie’s ammo 🛢️💥. 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Impact Markets pricing a 91% chance of September rate cut. A softer USD can spill into CAD pairs, but safe-haven flows may still favor JPY. Commodities & Oil Connection CAD has high sensitivity to oil. WTI stability above $75 supports the Canadian dollar. Falling crude = weak CAD = smoother entry route for JPY “detectives.” Risk Appetite / Global Macro Equities in greed mode (S&P 500 holding above 125-day MA). Low VIX (14.2) → calm environment, but lurking volatility traps ahead. Junk bond demand signaling investors willing to take risk → CAD benefits in risk-on. Macro Score → Neutral to slightly bearish for CAD/JPY, as JPY strength from BoJ policy may outpace CAD support from oil. Macro: BoJ staying hawkish ⚔️ (inflation + wage growth) Fed tilting dovish 🕊️ (rate cut odds ~91% in Sept) CAD/JPY Macro Score → Neutral to Slightly Bearish 🎯 Thief’s Playbook (Educational Trading Blueprint) This is a “layering / DCA style” plan 🧩 – using multiple limit orders like setting up escape routes in a heist: Layer Entries (Example levels): 💰 106.000 💰 106.500 💰 106.800 💰 107.000 (you can adjust & add more “layers” based on risk appetite) Risk Management: 🛑 “Thief Stop” suggested around 105.500 (always adjust to your own risk model) Profit Objective: 🎯 Potential upside checkpoint near 109.000 (take the bag & escape before the police barricade 🚔) 🌍 Macro & Outlook Short-Term → Bearish tilt (JPY strength risk) Medium-Term → Neutral range (106 – 111) Long-Term → Potential pressure from broader JPY cycles 🐂🐻 Final Take CAD/JPY sits in a cautious zone – sentiment is mixed, with short-term JPY strength possible. But with layered entries, disciplined SL, and planned exits, traders can map their “heist strategy” like a pro. 📌 Related Pairs to Watch FX:USDJPY OANDA:EURJPY OANDA:GBPJPY OANDA:AUDJPY OANDA:CADCHF #CADJPY #Forex #SwingTrading #DayTrading #PriceAction #Yen #Loonie #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingCommunity #MarketOutlook
Long
by The-Thief
CADJPY Fading the Rally Bears Target 105.40 After Sharp ReversalCADJPY surged to fresh highs near 109.70 but quickly lost momentum, with sellers stepping in and pushing the pair lower. This sharp rejection hints at a possible top formation, especially as oil prices soften and Canadian data highlight labor market slack. With the Bank of Japan still dovish but domestic politics increasing uncertainty, CADJPY now looks vulnerable to deeper retracements, bringing key support zones into focus. Current Bias Bearish – Recent rejection at resistance strengthens the case for a corrective move lower toward 107.30 and potentially 105.40. Key Fundamental Drivers Canada: September labor force survey showed employment gains (+60k) but unemployment steady at 7.1%, signaling economic slack despite wage growth cooling to ~3.3% y/y. Japan: BOJ policy remains accommodative, but political uncertainty and wage negotiations add a backdrop of yen volatility. Commodities: Oil, Canada’s key export, has softened from recent highs, weighing on CAD support. Macro Context Interest Rates: BoC seen as patient, with markets pricing slower easing despite elevated unemployment. BOJ stays dovish, but political pressures could gradually shift expectations. Economic Growth: Canada is slowing, while Japan’s growth remains modest but wage-driven improvements keep the yen in play. Geopolitics & Trade: Trump tariffs and global trade risks weigh more heavily on CAD than JPY, as Japan benefits from safe-haven flows. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp rebound in oil or a dovish shift in BoJ communication could limit JPY gains and re-strengthen CADJPY. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Canada CPI – inflation readings will determine how patient the BoC can remain. BOJ commentary – any shift in tone on policy normalization could lift JPY across the board. Leader/Lagger Dynamics CADJPY tends to be a lagger, following moves in oil and USDJPY. It often amplifies volatility seen in broader JPY crosses like EURJPY and GBPJPY. Key Levels Support Levels: 107.30 105.40 Resistance Levels: 109.20 110.10 Stop Loss (SL): 110.10 Take Profit (TP): 105.40 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints CADJPY has shifted into bearish territory after rejecting 109.70, with momentum now pointing to downside targets at 107.30 and 105.40. The fundamental backdrop favors JPY resilience amid global risk caution and CAD softness tied to weaker oil and labor slack. A protective stop sits at 110.10, while take profit aligns with the 105.40 zone. Keep an eye on Canada CPI and BOJ rhetoric, as either could trigger sharp swings.
Short
by ultreosforex
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDCAD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDCAD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 1.39754 💰TP: 1.40513 ⛔️SL: 1.39279 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: The bullish potential is still alive for USDCAD. Currently, we are seeing active price accumulation near short-term resistance at 1.39580, which indicates buyers are taking the initiative. A potential buy trade is being considered based on a breakout of the upper accumulation boundary. In the mid-term, growth to 1.42000 and 1.43000 is expected. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Long
by StopLoss222
Could we see a bearish reversal?CAD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 109.28 1st Support: 107.99 1st Resistance: 109.75 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by IC Markets
1
CADJPY Is Going Up! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for CADJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 107.608. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 109.447 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
CADJPY - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by VladimirRibakov
CADJPY Set for October Crash? Institutions Bet Big on Yen 📊 Multi-Factor Analysis – CADJPY COT Data JPY: Net long positions are strongly increasing → Non-Commercial long +14.7K, Commercial long +12K. Institutional flows favor the Yen, confirming a bullish bias on JPY. CAD: Heavy liquidation → Commercial longs -49K, shorts -59K, Non-Commercial longs decreasing (-2.9K). Net positioning shows bearish sentiment on CAD, with a clear prevalence of short exposure among speculators. 👉 Interpretation: Institutional flows point toward a strong JPY and weak CAD → bearish bias on CADJPY. Seasonality CAD: Historically weak in October (negative averages in 20Y and 15Y, worsening in 5Y and 2Y). JPY: Historically strong in October, especially on short-term frames (5Y and 2Y very bullish). 👉 Interpretation: Seasonality supports a bearish scenario on CADJPY during October. Retail Sentiment 90% Long vs 10% Short on CADJPY. 👉 Extreme retail long positioning = contrarian bearish signal → potential for further downside pressure. Technical Analysis CADJPY broke below the descending trendline. Currently trading inside the weekly demand zone (105–106), acting as short-term support. RSI oversold → likely technical bounce toward 106.8–107.2 (supply + trendline) before continuation lower. Primary structure remains bearish, with medium-term targets at 104.80–105.00.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
CAD/JPY: Recovery in Progress with Key Resistance Levels AheadCAD/JPY has bounced from the 105.25 low following a recent selloff and is now climbing back within the ascending channel. Price action is forming a recovery structure, with momentum building toward the 106.50–107.00 resistance zone. Maintaining support above the 105.60–105.80 area is crucial for the bullish outlook to remain intact. If momentum holds, the pair may extend the move into a broader reversal, targeting the higher 107.90 resistance level in the sessions ahead.
Long
by RTED_Investing
2
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDCAD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDCAD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 1.39703 💰TP: 1.40349 ⛔️SL: 1.39065 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: The price compression toward the 1.39500 resistance area indicates a potential upside breakout. Given the recent breakout of the 1.37305 - 1.38760 accumulation, a more significant upward movement to 1.4, 1.41, and then 1.43 is also expected. A conservative entry would be best looked for after the price immediately closes above 1.39500. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Long
by StopLoss222
CADJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for CADJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 107.266. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 106.211 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
CADJPY Forming Ascending TrendlineCADJPY is currently trading around 105.50 after breaking below its long-term ascending trendline on the daily chart. This bearish breakdown signals potential continuation toward lower levels, with sellers gaining momentum after several failed attempts to sustain above 107.00. The rejection at higher levels indicates exhaustion from buyers, leaving room for the pair to retrace deeper toward the 102.00–101.00 support zone in the coming weeks. From a fundamental angle, the Canadian dollar is under pressure as oil prices face renewed volatility due to uncertain global demand and fluctuating supply dynamics. At the same time, the Japanese yen is drawing safe-haven demand, especially as global investors remain cautious ahead of central bank guidance. With the Bank of Japan signaling a gradual shift from ultra-loose policy and the Bank of Canada holding a cautious stance due to softer economic data, the yen has an edge in the current risk environment. Technically, the clean break of the ascending trendline confirms a potential trend reversal, and the bearish momentum is expected to strengthen if the pair stays below 106.00. Sellers will be eyeing the 103.50 and 101.00 zones as profit targets, while any pullback toward 106.80–107.30 is likely to attract fresh supply. Traders should remain alert to upcoming Canadian employment and inflation data, as well as BOJ policy remarks, which could bring sharp volatility. For now, downside setups remain favorable while price action holds below the broken trendline, offering solid profit opportunities toward key support levels.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
CADJPY Expected Growth! BUY! My dear friends, CADJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 106.74 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 107.03 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1