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Cadjpyanalysis

Will CAD/JPY Hold Demand and Push Toward the Next Target?🍁 CAD/JPY SWING TRADE SETUP 💴 ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 📊 CURRENT MARKET LEVEL: 111.115 (Real-time as of Nov 19, 2025) 🎯 TRADE DIRECTION BULLISH MOMENTUM ⬆️ | Swing Trade Framework 📍 ENTRY STRATEGY: LAYERED LIMIT ORDER APPROACH Advanced Multi-Entry Technique - "Thief Strategy" Execute multiple buy limit orders across key support levels to optimize entry execution: 🔹 Layer 1 (Strong Support): 110.000 JPY 🔹 Layer 2 (Mid-Range): 110.500 JPY 🔹 Layer 3 (Technical Level): 111.000 JPY 💡 PRO TIP: Scale your position sizing inversely with each layer - allocate 40% at Layer 1, 35% at Layer 2, 25% at Layer 3 for optimal risk management Customization: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance, account size, and recent price action. Tighter layers = higher frequency fills; wider layers = better averaging down potential. 🛑 STOP LOSS FRAMEWORK Hard Stop Level: 109.500 JPY ⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER: This SL is a reference point ONLY. Set YOUR stop loss based on: Your personal risk management rules Account equity tolerance (typically 1-2% risk per trade) Market volatility assessment Your trading experience level Remember: Your capital, your rules, your responsibility. 🎁 PROFIT TAKING TARGETS Primary Target (1st Pullback): 111.875 JPY (+0.75 exit point) Secondary Target (Strong Resistance): 112.500 JPY Moving Average acts as dynamic resistance + overbought zone ⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER: TP levels are analytical observations, NOT recommendations. Exit Decisions Should Factor In: Real-time momentum indicators (RSI, Stochastic) Volume confirmation at resistance zones Daily market volatility News/economic calendar events Your profit/loss objectives Take profits according to YOUR strategy, not someone else's target. 📈 TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE FACTORS ✅ Support Holds: 109.500 provides structural support ✅ Resistance Zone: Moving averages clustered near 112.00-112.500 ✅ Overbought Consideration: RSI compression near resistance ✅ Volume Profile: Historical resistance identified 💰 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR Track these pairs for sentiment shifts and early signals 🔴 Positive Correlation Pairs (Move WITH CAD/JPY) 1. USD/JPY ($) Why: Both pairs have JPY as base currency Impact: Strong BoJ policy changes affect both equally Watch For: If USD/JPY breaks above 155, CAD/JPY likely follows Correlation Strength: 85%+ (Very Strong) 2. AUD/JPY ($) Why: Commodity-linked currency vs JPY (like CAD) Impact: Risk-on sentiment drives both higher Watch For: Parallel breakouts suggest broader yen weakness Correlation Strength: 78%+ (Strong) 3. NZD/JPY ($) Why: Higher-yielding commodity currency vs defensive JPY Impact: Carry trade unwinds hit both simultaneously Watch For: If these turn bearish, CAD/JPY likely follows Correlation Strength: 75%+ (Strong) 🔵 Negative Correlation Pairs (Move OPPOSITE to CAD/JPY) 1. USD/CAD ($) Why: Direct inverse - one's strength is the other's weakness Impact: If USD strengthens, CAD weakens = CAD/JPY falls Watch For: USD/CAD above 1.3400 warns of CAD/JPY weakness Correlation Strength: -85%+ (Strong Inverse) 2. CAD/CHF ($) Why: Both carry safe-haven currencies but different way Impact: CAD weakness = both pairs decline Watch For: Divergence indicates currency-specific news Correlation Strength: -70%+ (Moderate Inverse) 🔑 KEY MARKET DRIVERS FOR THIS PAIR Bank of Canada (BoC) Actions: Interest rate decisions & forward guidance - bullish for CAD Bank of Japan (BoJ) Stance: Keeps JPY weak; defensive policies support the pair Crude Oil Prices: 80% correlation - oil strength = CAD strength US/Canada Economic Data: Employment, GDP, inflation prints (CPI) Risk Sentiment: Periods of risk-on favor higher-yielding CAD over safe-haven JPY ⏰ OPTIMAL TRADING WINDOWS Best Liquidity: 16:00-20:00 GMT (Overlap of Asian-American sessions) Second Choice: 08:00-12:00 GMT (London-Asian overlap) Avoid: 20:00-08:00 GMT (Low liquidity, wide spreads) 📋 PRE-TRADE CHECKLIST Check BoC & BoJ calendar for upcoming events (48-72 hour window) Verify USD/JPY direction - confirms broader yen momentum Confirm AUD/JPY & NZD/JPY for carry sentiment Check crude oil price action (impacts CAD bias) Assess current RSI levels - avoid entries in extreme zones Confirm entry limits are BELOW current price (limit orders only) Position sizing = (Account Risk %) / (Entry to SL pips) Set alerts on all layer entry points + alert on SL breach ⚡ IMPORTANT LEGAL & TRADING DISCLAIMERS 🔺 This analysis is educational and observational only - NOT financial advice 🔺 You assume 100% responsibility for all trading decisions 🔺 Past performance ≠ Future results 🔺 Forex trading carries substantial risk of loss 🔺 Never risk more than you can afford to lose 🔺 Adjust ALL levels (Entry, SL, TP) per YOUR risk tolerance 🔺 Consult a licensed financial advisor for personal guidance Happy Trading & Manage Risk First! 📊✅
Long
by The-Thief
CAD/JPY at Key Weighted Support – Is the Next Wave Up?💹 CAD/JPY – Bullish Layer Trap Setup | Weighted Power Play! 💥 Asset: CAD/JPY (Canadian Dollar vs Japanese Yen) Market Type: Forex Market Profit Pathway Setup (Swing / Day Trade) 🎯 Plan: The Bullish Thief’s Weighted Move The bullish plan is confirmed after a Weighted Moving Average (WMA) pullback — a classic thief-style momentum catch! 😎 We’re stalking the zone where price respects the WMA curve and bounces higher, hinting a continuation to the upside. 💡 Why Weighted MA? Because it gives sharper precision and reacts faster to price volatility, giving us the edge in timing our entries before the crowd jumps in. 💰 Entry Zone (Layer Strategy Style) The Thief Strategy uses a layered limit order entry method — stacking multiple buys to average a prime position during pullbacks: Buy Limit Layers: 108.000 | 108.200 | 108.400 | 108.600 (You can adjust or add more layers based on your risk appetite) 🛡️ Stop-Loss: @ 107.700 (Thief SL Zone) 📈 Target Zone: @ 110.200 – 110.500 🧠 Trade Logic & Insight 🔹 Why Bullish? The recent momentum shows buyers defending key structural lows near 108.000. Weighted MA crossover supports bullish momentum continuation, backed by strong CAD fundamentals and stable oil prices (CAD often correlates positively with crude). 🌐 Correlated Pairs to Watch 💵 USD/JPY: Similar JPY-side weakness can confirm CAD/JPY upside. 💰 CAD/CHF: Often mirrors CAD strength in risk-on sentiment. 🛢️ XTI/USD (WTI Crude Oil): Rising oil prices can fuel CAD gains, providing extra confirmation for bullish CAD/JPY bias. ⚠️ Notes from the Thief OG’s Desk Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs) — this setup is my personal style of entry planning. Not a recommendation. You’re the driver — your profit, your risk, your rulebook! 📜 Police barricade near 110.500 is a trap zone — act smart, escape with profits before the correction hits. Always manage risk wisely and use your judgment — that’s the real thief’s code! 🕶️ ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! ⚖️ Disclaimer This is a Thief-style trading strategy shared just for fun and educational purposes. Not financial advice — trade responsibly and always do your own analysis. 🔖 #CADJPY #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #FX #WMA #WeightedMovingAverage #CAD #JPY #ForexSetup #RiskManagement #TradingCommunity #TrendTrader
Long
by The-Thief
Analysis : CADJPY Bullish Wave Complete EUR & GBP rangeboundQuick follow-up to yesterday's multi-wave analysis, focusing on short-term price action developments across CADJPY, EURUSD, and GBPUSD. 📊 CADJPY - Bullish Wave Structure Complete ✅ The intraday bullish wave structure has now completed. Price action is setting up for high formation. What We're Watching: Expecting a valid pullback to confirm the high Once pullback structure forms, we'll look for continuation or reversal signals This is textbook wave completion behaviour Key Point: Let price show us the pullback structure before making decisions. Don't anticipate—react. 📊 EURUSD - Range-Bound Currently consolidating in range as anticipated. The expected downside move has not yet materialized. Status: Waiting for range break to confirm continuation of bearish structure from yesterday's analysis. 📊 GBPUSD - Range-Bound Upside Broken Similar to EURUSD, price is in consolidation range. Downside move expected but not yet confirmed. Status: Patience required. Let structure break before entering positions. Analysis Summary: ✅ CADJPY wave complete—watching for pullback ⏳ EURUSD & GBPUSD in range—waiting for breakout 📌 USDJPY not covered in this update Trading Principle: This is why we follow price behaviour mechanically. Predictions mean nothing—structure and confirmation mean everything. 👍 Boost if you find these daily updates helpful 👤 Follow for continued multi-wave analysis updates
by Charts247TradingAcademy
CADJPY Forming Falling WedgeCADJPY is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, which is often seen as a bullish reversal setup after a corrective decline. On the chart, price has pulled back from recent highs and is now compressing within descending support and resistance lines, showing decreasing volatility and seller exhaustion. This type of price action generally signals that buyers may soon step back in, especially if the pair breaks out above the wedge resistance with strong momentum. As a professional trader, I am monitoring the pattern for a potential upside continuation if the breakout confirms with volume and candle body expansion. Fundamentally, CADJPY remains influenced by diverging central bank sentiment. The Bank of Canada continues to maintain a controlled policy stance as inflation remains stable within the expected range, while the Bank of Japan still operates with ultra-loose monetary policy. This interest rate differential keeps CADJPY attractive to carry traders and supports long-term bullish structure. If energy prices stay firm and Canada benefits from positive global risk sentiment, CADJPY could continue gaining strength after the wedge breakout. However, short-term corrective movement is still visible as the market responds to profit taking and global risk fluctuations. If the wedge fails to break upward, price may retest lower support levels for liquidity before a new bullish trend leg begins. I remain focused on price reaction near structure, as break-and-retest confirmation will be key for high probability long positions. On TradingView, falling wedge and CADJPY forecast are currently highly searched topics, reflecting strong interest in potential trend continuation setups across the Forex market. With a clean pattern, strong fundamentals, and supportive long-term structure, CADJPY holds the potential for profitable bullish opportunities once confirmation appears.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
CADJPY: Ending Diagonal + RD(_) = Downtrend StartingToday, I’d like to share a Short positioning opportunity on the CADJPY pair . In the current scenario, CADJPY is moving within a Resistance zone(112.100 JPY-109.500 JPY) and is close to a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) as well as the upper line of the ascending channel. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that CADJPY is completing the microwave 5 of the microwave C of the main wave Y , and the microwave 5 appears to be forming an Ending Diagonal . Additionally, we can observe a negative Regular Divergence (RD-) between the peaks. Fundamental analysis : Considering the above analysis, and also taking into account the fundamental conditions, Canada’s core inflation came in softer than expected, reinforcing the BoC’s easing path, while JPY benefits from the current risk-off tone. Fundamentally, CADJPY remains biased to the downside. Finally, based on all the above, I expect that CADJPY will begin its downward trend, with a First target at 109.103 JPY Take Profit(2): 108.543 JPY Stop Loss(SL): 118.820 JPY(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Canadian Dollar/ Japanese Yen Analysis (CADJPY), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
15
CADJPY: Trade Plan Pullback Setup Targeting External Range HighsTaking a closer look at CAD/JPY, the pair continues to hold a bullish trend structure, with higher-timeframe price action breaking to the upside 📈. When we look left on both the daily and weekly charts, we can clearly see two external liquidity targets — the external range highs, which remain the logical draw on price 🎯. At this stage, I’m anticipating a retracement on the 30-minute timeframe. If price pulls back into discount and we then see a bullish market structure break, I’ll be looking for a long setup from that point 🚀. Stop-loss placement is discussed in detail in the video. Not financial advice. ⚠️
Long
by fxtraderanthony
CAD/JPY Profit Plan – How to Layer Entries Professionally!🎯 CADJPY: The Maple Syrup Robbery Setup 🍁💴 | Multi-Layer Entry Zone Active! 📊 Market Overview Asset: CAD/JPY (Canadian Dollar vs Japanese Yen) Trade Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid Strategy: "The Thief Method" - Multi-Layer Limit Order Accumulation Bias: 🐂 BULLISH 🔍 Technical Analysis The CADJPY pair is showing bullish confirmation following a textbook triangular moving average pullback and successful retest. The price structure suggests accumulation before the next leg up, making this an optimal zone for strategic layered entries. Key Technical Confluences: ✅ Triangular MA pullback completed ✅ Support zone retest confirmed ✅ Higher lows forming on the daily timeframe ✅ Bullish momentum building above key support 💰 The Thief's Playbook: Multi-Layer Entry Strategy Instead of a single entry point, this setup utilizes multiple limit orders (layering strategy) to build positions at favorable levels while managing risk. 🎯 Entry Layers (Limit Orders): Layer 1: 106.800 Layer 2: 107.000 Layer 3: 107.250 Layer 4: 107.500 Layer 5: 107.750 Note: You can add more layers or adjust based on your account size and risk appetite. The beauty of this method is flexibility—enter at ANY price level within this range. 🛡️ Risk Management: Stop Loss: 106.500 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is the Thief's suggested SL. However, YOU are the captain of your own ship! Set your stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance. Trade at your own risk and never risk more than you can afford to lose. 🎯 Profit Targets: Primary Target (TP1): 108.600 (+100 to +180 pips depending on entry) Secondary Target (TP2): 109.600 (+190 to +280 pips depending on entry) 💡 Pro Tip: Consider scaling out at TP1 (take 50-70% profit) and letting the rest ride to TP2 with a trailing stop. ⚠️ Reminder: These are suggested targets. Lock in profits when YOU feel comfortable. It's YOUR money—make money, take money! 💸 🔗 Correlated Pairs to Watch Keep an eye on these related pairs for confluence and broader market context: OANDA:USDCAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦 - Inverse correlation (CAD strength indicator) FX:USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵 - Direct correlation (Yen weakness/strength gauge) OANDA:AUDJPY 🇦🇺🇯🇵 - Similar risk-on/risk-off dynamic OANDA:EURJPY 🇪🇺🇯🇵 - Cross-yen pair sentiment BLACKBULL:WTI Crude Oil 🛢️ ( NYMEX:CL1! ) - Strong positive correlation with CAD (Canada = oil exporter) Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) - Safe-haven correlation with JPY (inverse to CADJPY) Key Point: If crude oil rallies and USD/JPY shows strength, it confirms the bullish CADJPY thesis. Watch for risk sentiment—risk-on = JPY weakness = CADJPY strength! 🚀 📈 Trade Summary ParameterValueEntry Zone106.800 - 107.750 (Multi-layer)Stop Loss106.500TP1108.600TP2109.600Risk/RewardApproximately 1:2 to 1:4+ 🎬 Final Words from The Thief Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) 🎩✨, This setup is about patience, precision, and proper position sizing. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you. Remember: professional thieves don't rush—they plan, they execute, and they disappear with the bag! 💼💨 Stay sharp, stay strategic, and happy hunting! 🎯 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #CADJPY #Forex #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #DayTrading #CAD #JPY #MultiLayerEntry #TheThiefMethod #ForexSignals #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #PriceAction #ForexSetup #CurrencyTrading #ForexCommunity #TradingView #ForexAnalysis #BullishSetup
Long
by The-Thief
#CADJPY +2300 Pips Swing Buy With Three Major Targets| Possible?The CADJPY has nicely formed a swing bullish pattern that is confirmed. One strong entry zone lies between these prices, 109 and 106, which remain a critical level. As described in the chart, there are three targets to focus on. We strongly recommend thoroughly examining the charts and reading them carefully, as this description is brief due to the detailed chart. Here’s what to look for: - Look for a continued or repeated pattern to better understand the next possible move. - Look for volume when it emerges; enter with the trend momentum. - Don’t forget to like and comment on the chart! Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
17
CADJPY – Rounded Top Reversal Forming at Key ResistanceAfter a strong bullish move, CADJPY has reached the 109.25–109.28 resistance zone, which has acted as a supply area multiple times. The chart structure shows a rounded top pattern, signaling potential exhaustion in the uptrend. 💡 Technical View: Price repeatedly rejected from 109.27 zone. Rounded top indicates weakening buying momentum. A descending curve formation suggests upcoming bearish correction. Rising trendline below (around 108.80–108.60) could be the next target zone. 📉 Trade Setup (Signal): Entry (Sell): below 109.20 Stop Loss: 109.35 Take Profit 1: 108.90 Take Profit 2: 108.60 🧭 Bias: Short-term bearish 💬 Expecting price to turn down after testing resistance. If the pair breaks above 109.35 with volume, bearish view becomes invalid.
Short
by forexinworld
CAD/JPY: Bearish Breakdown to 101.92?FX:CADJPY is displaying strong bearish signals on the daily chart , with price adhering to a downward trendline established since July 11th, forming successive lower highs that underscore persistent downward momentum . The highlighted " Compress Pattern " at the lower end suggests a period of consolidation and price compression, often preceding a volatile breakout to the downside as sellers build pressure against key supports. Entry zone between 108.86-109.75 for a short position. First target at 101.75 (risk-reward >1:2.5) , second at 101.92 (risk-reward >1:5.5) near major support zones. Set a stop loss on a close above 110.05 to guard against an upside reversal. Seek confirmation through a decisive break below the entry with elevated volume. 🌟 Fundamentally , this week we have Canada's inflation rate report, which significantly impacts CAD—recent data shows September YoY inflation at 1.9% and core at 2.6%, potentially influencing BoC policy. Additionally, Japan's trade balance report this week could introduce volatility to JPY, with the Merchandise Trade Balance Total scheduled for October 22st. 💡 📝 Trade Plan: ✅ Entry Zone: 108.86 – 109.75 (short entry near resistance/trendline) ❌ Stop Loss: Close above 110.05 🎯 Targets: TP1: 107.75 (R:R > 1:2.5) TP2: 101.92 (R:R > 1:5.5) What's your perspective on this setup? Share in the comments! 👇
Short
by Master_Hunter
3
CADJPY Forming Bullish MomentumCADJPY on the 4H timeframe is showing a clear transition from bullish momentum into a corrective bearish phase. After an extended rally, price formed a lower high and broke structure to the downside, confirming short-term selling pressure. The current retracement appears corrective, and as long as price remains below recent lower-high levels, I’ll be watching for the next impulsive leg toward 105.00 and potentially deeper. From a fundamental perspective, the yen is gaining strength as risk sentiment cools ahead of key central bank events and rising geopolitical uncertainty supports safe-haven flows. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is facing headwinds due to softening oil prices and growing expectations that the Bank of Canada may lean toward easing in upcoming meetings if economic slowdown persists. This divergence between a potentially weaker CAD and a recovering JPY adds confluence to the bearish technical setup. I anticipate price to retest the previous broken structure zone before continuing downward. Any rejection from that supply area will act as confirmation for continuation targets toward mid-105s. I’ll be patient and let price action align with fundamentals for a clean entry with maximum reward-to-risk potential.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
CADJPY Forming Ascending ChannelCADJPY is currently trading within a clear ascending channel, and price is pulling back after rejecting the upper boundary near the 110.00 psychological level. The recent bearish momentum suggests that buyers are taking profit, allowing sellers to regain short-term control. I’m watching for price to continue drifting toward the channel’s lower support near 105.50–106.00. If this support breaks with strong volume, it opens the door for a deeper drop into the major demand zone around 101.50–102.50, which aligns with previous liquidity sweeps and institutional footprints. From a fundamental perspective, CAD has been under slight pressure due to softer crude oil demand and growing expectations that the Bank of Canada may shift to a more accommodative stance if economic slowdown deepens. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remains broadly weak as the Bank of Japan maintains negative interest rates, but risk-off sentiment and rising geopolitical tensions could temporarily strengthen JPY through safe-haven flows. That makes this pair vulnerable to corrective downside despite the broader bullish structure. I’ll be monitoring price action closely once price reaches the lower boundary of the channel. A clean rejection from that zone will provide a high-probability buy setup to ride the continuation of the long-term trend. But a confirmed breakdown will flip this structure into a bearish reversal, making the 102.00 liquidity pool a prime target. Patience and precision are key — this setup has profit written all over it once confirmation aligns with fundamentals.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
CAD/JPY: Thief’s Playbook or Trap Zone? A Full Technical + Macro🚨 CAD/JPY – “Loonie vs Yen” Bank Heist Plan 🏦💸 (Swing/Day Trade) 📊 Market Overview (02 Sept 2025, Real-Time Data) Daily Change: +0.26% ⬆️ 52-Week Range: 101.24 – 111.57 📈 Technical Snapshot RSI (14-Day): 47.9 (Neutral zone) Moving Averages: Price trading below 50 & 200 SMA → bearish bias on higher TF Volatility: Low (0.35%) = Possible breakout setup Technical Signal: Mixed, leaning SELL from MA cluster 🧠 Sentiment & Positioning Retail Traders: Split views (mixed long/short positions) Institutions: Increasing net-long JPY exposure for 3rd consecutive week Fear & Greed Index: 61/100 (Greed mode) 🏦 Fundamental & Macro Heist Briefing: Like every great “operation,” CAD/JPY’s moves depend on central banks, commodities, and macro flows: 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan (BoJ) Gradually exiting ultra-loose policy, supported by stronger wage growth & sticky inflation. A hawkish BoJ = stronger yen = tighter barricades for our heist 🚔. 🇨🇦 Bank of Canada (BoC) Balancing rate cuts with sticky inflation & housing concerns. CAD remains highly correlated with oil prices → if crude rallies, it reloads the Loonie’s ammo 🛢️💥. 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Impact Markets pricing a 91% chance of September rate cut. A softer USD can spill into CAD pairs, but safe-haven flows may still favor JPY. Commodities & Oil Connection CAD has high sensitivity to oil. WTI stability above $75 supports the Canadian dollar. Falling crude = weak CAD = smoother entry route for JPY “detectives.” Risk Appetite / Global Macro Equities in greed mode (S&P 500 holding above 125-day MA). Low VIX (14.2) → calm environment, but lurking volatility traps ahead. Junk bond demand signaling investors willing to take risk → CAD benefits in risk-on. Macro Score → Neutral to slightly bearish for CAD/JPY, as JPY strength from BoJ policy may outpace CAD support from oil. Macro: BoJ staying hawkish ⚔️ (inflation + wage growth) Fed tilting dovish 🕊️ (rate cut odds ~91% in Sept) CAD/JPY Macro Score → Neutral to Slightly Bearish 🎯 Thief’s Playbook (Educational Trading Blueprint) This is a “layering / DCA style” plan 🧩 – using multiple limit orders like setting up escape routes in a heist: Layer Entries (Example levels): 💰 106.000 💰 106.500 💰 106.800 💰 107.000 (you can adjust & add more “layers” based on risk appetite) Risk Management: 🛑 “Thief Stop” suggested around 105.500 (always adjust to your own risk model) Profit Objective: 🎯 Potential upside checkpoint near 109.000 (take the bag & escape before the police barricade 🚔) 🌍 Macro & Outlook Short-Term → Bearish tilt (JPY strength risk) Medium-Term → Neutral range (106 – 111) Long-Term → Potential pressure from broader JPY cycles 🐂🐻 Final Take CAD/JPY sits in a cautious zone – sentiment is mixed, with short-term JPY strength possible. But with layered entries, disciplined SL, and planned exits, traders can map their “heist strategy” like a pro. 📌 Related Pairs to Watch FX:USDJPY OANDA:EURJPY OANDA:GBPJPY OANDA:AUDJPY OANDA:CADCHF #CADJPY #Forex #SwingTrading #DayTrading #PriceAction #Yen #Loonie #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingCommunity #MarketOutlook
Long
by The-Thief
CADJPY Fading the Rally Bears Target 105.40 After Sharp ReversalCADJPY surged to fresh highs near 109.70 but quickly lost momentum, with sellers stepping in and pushing the pair lower. This sharp rejection hints at a possible top formation, especially as oil prices soften and Canadian data highlight labor market slack. With the Bank of Japan still dovish but domestic politics increasing uncertainty, CADJPY now looks vulnerable to deeper retracements, bringing key support zones into focus. Current Bias Bearish – Recent rejection at resistance strengthens the case for a corrective move lower toward 107.30 and potentially 105.40. Key Fundamental Drivers Canada: September labor force survey showed employment gains (+60k) but unemployment steady at 7.1%, signaling economic slack despite wage growth cooling to ~3.3% y/y. Japan: BOJ policy remains accommodative, but political uncertainty and wage negotiations add a backdrop of yen volatility. Commodities: Oil, Canada’s key export, has softened from recent highs, weighing on CAD support. Macro Context Interest Rates: BoC seen as patient, with markets pricing slower easing despite elevated unemployment. BOJ stays dovish, but political pressures could gradually shift expectations. Economic Growth: Canada is slowing, while Japan’s growth remains modest but wage-driven improvements keep the yen in play. Geopolitics & Trade: Trump tariffs and global trade risks weigh more heavily on CAD than JPY, as Japan benefits from safe-haven flows. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp rebound in oil or a dovish shift in BoJ communication could limit JPY gains and re-strengthen CADJPY. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Canada CPI – inflation readings will determine how patient the BoC can remain. BOJ commentary – any shift in tone on policy normalization could lift JPY across the board. Leader/Lagger Dynamics CADJPY tends to be a lagger, following moves in oil and USDJPY. It often amplifies volatility seen in broader JPY crosses like EURJPY and GBPJPY. Key Levels Support Levels: 107.30 105.40 Resistance Levels: 109.20 110.10 Stop Loss (SL): 110.10 Take Profit (TP): 105.40 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints CADJPY has shifted into bearish territory after rejecting 109.70, with momentum now pointing to downside targets at 107.30 and 105.40. The fundamental backdrop favors JPY resilience amid global risk caution and CAD softness tied to weaker oil and labor slack. A protective stop sits at 110.10, while take profit aligns with the 105.40 zone. Keep an eye on Canada CPI and BOJ rhetoric, as either could trigger sharp swings.
Short
by ultreosforex
CADJPY - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by VladimirRibakov
CADJPY Momentum Stalls, Sellers Look for ControlCADJPY has tested the 107.40 zone but failed to sustain a breakout, suggesting fading bullish momentum. With oil prices struggling to find direction and the yen attempting to stabilize after weeks of weakness, sellers are circling. The chart structure points to a potential corrective leg lower if the pair breaks under near-term support. Current Bias Bearish – the pair shows signs of exhaustion near resistance, with downside levels now in focus. Key Fundamental Drivers Bank of Japan: Still accommodative, but the risk of verbal intervention increases as yen weakness deepens. Bank of Canada: Expected to lean dovish after weak GDP and labor data, leaving CAD vulnerable. Oil Prices: CAD remains tied to energy performance; lower oil tends to weaken CAD. Macro Context Interest Rates: BoC rate cut bets have increased, while BoJ policy remains ultra-loose, although rising JGB yields may offer some yen support. Growth Trends: Canadian economy shows signs of stagflation risk (weak growth, sticky inflation), reducing CAD’s appeal. Commodity Flows: Oil volatility directly impacts CADJPY, with recent weakness adding to pressure. Geopolitics: Energy trade flows and Middle East tensions could ripple into oil and CAD sentiment. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp rebound in oil prices or BoJ hesitation to tolerate further yen strength could invalidate the bearish case. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Canada GDP and inflation reports BoJ commentary/intervention signals OPEC-related oil output headlines Leader/Lagger Dynamics CADJPY often acts as a lagger, following moves in oil and broader yen crosses like USDJPY and EURJPY. Watch USDJPY for early signals on yen direction and oil prices for CAD momentum. Key Levels Support Levels: 106.45, 105.95, 104.98 Resistance Levels: 107.44, 108.05 Stop Loss (SL): 108.05 (above recent highs) Take Profit (TP): 106.45 (first target), 105.95 (secondary target), 104.98 (extended target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints CADJPY carries a bearish bias as resistance holds at 107.40–108.00 and sellers push for a move toward 106.45 and below. Stop loss sits just above 108.05 to protect against false breakouts, while take profit levels extend toward 105.95 and 104.98. The pair remains heavily influenced by oil and yen sentiment, making it more of a lagger than a leader. Watch oil headlines and BoJ remarks closely, as they could shift momentum quickly.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
CADJPY Sellers Target Key Support as Momentum FadesCADJPY has slipped after failing to sustain momentum above the 107 handle, and the price action now leans toward renewed downside pressure. The chart structure shows repeated rejections and lower highs forming, which opens the door for a deeper pullback. With oil prices struggling to hold gains and JPY catching periodic safe-haven bids, this cross looks vulnerable to further declines. Current Bias Bearish – CADJPY is showing weakness with sellers eyeing lower support levels. Key Fundamental Drivers CAD: Weak Canadian labor market data and rising BoC rate cut expectations pressure CAD. Oil prices remain soft, removing an important support pillar. JPY: The yen continues to benefit from safe-haven demand, especially during global risk-off waves and BoJ’s gradual steps toward yield control adjustments. Yield spreads: Narrowing spreads between CAD and JPY rates reduce CADJPY’s carry appeal. Macro Context Interest rates: The BoC is leaning dovish after weak jobs and growth numbers, while the BoJ’s cautious shift away from ultra-loose policy provides structural support to the yen. Growth trends: Canada faces slowing growth amid weaker domestic demand, while Japan’s growth remains modest but steady. Commodities: Oil weakness weighs on CAD. Geopolitical: Risk-off events (tariff disputes, Middle East tensions) tend to favor JPY strength, amplifying CADJPY downside. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp recovery in oil prices or a stronger-than-expected Canadian economic release could lift CAD and cap downside momentum in this pair. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Canada CPI and retail sales for confirmation of BoC’s dovish outlook. BoJ policy commentary for clarity on yield control and inflation stance. Leader/Lagger Dynamics CADJPY tends to act as a lagger, often following broader risk sentiment and oil price movements. It also reacts to USDJPY moves, meaning JPY flows largely set the pace. Key Levels Support Levels: 105.95, 104.98 Resistance Levels: 106.93, 107.54 Stop Loss (SL): 107.54 (above resistance zone) Take Profit (TP): 104.98 (major support) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints CADJPY bias is bearish, with SL set at 107.54 and TP aimed at 104.98. Oil weakness, dovish BoC expectations, and resilient JPY flows all lean in favor of further downside. The key watchpoints are Canada’s CPI/retail sales and BoJ commentary. Unless oil rebounds strongly, sellers are likely to stay in control, with price action favoring a test of 105.95 and potentially 104.98.
Short
by ultreosforex
2
CADJPY Rejection at Key Supply Zone – Bearish Move Ahead?Hello Traders! 👋 CADJPY is showing signs of weakness after testing the 107.478 – 108.504 supply zone. Price broke below the ascending trendline and is now retesting it as resistance. If this rejection holds, we could see strong bearish momentum pushing price toward the 104.644 support zone. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zone: 107.478 – 108.504 Current Price: 106.85 Next Bearish Target: 104.644 ⚡ Bias: Bearish if rejection holds below 107.478. A clean close above 108.504 would invalidate this setup. 📌 Technical Confluence: Trendline break ✅ Supply zone retest ✅ Lower highs forming ✅ What do you think? Will CADJPY respect this supply zone and drop, or will the bulls reclaim control? 💬 Drop your thoughts below & let’s discuss! 👍 Don’t forget to like, share, and follow for more setups. ❤️
Short
by FrankAgbo