Buy the Dip on DOGEHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are updating our trade On DOGE. The market hasn't told us exactly where the top of demand is, but we can assume it is sitting above it for now.
Short Term
We’ve got a Key Buyer sitting down around $0.19245 — this is where the last serious push started. Above us another new seller is trying to stake a claim around $0.245–$0.250. I still think the Bulls are stronger.
As of now buyers can step in anywhere from top of demand, down to "Key Buyer". If that key buyer gets taken out, then this could run back down to the extreme demand
Green Scenario:
We have pulled back about 10% from recent highs. About 50% FIB line from the new buyers. We could move strait up from here.
(if you aren't already in the trade from my last post, you can be aggressive with the top of demand area, or conservative with the Red Scenario)
Red Scenario
We will don't know exactly how strong the buyers are at the top of demand. Hence this scenario.
Pullback to where we know the strong buyers are sitting, and reload.
Long Term
Your conviction on DOGE determines where you start buying:
Aggressive: $0.2240+ (Top of Demand)
Good Price: $0.1985 (Key Buyer)
STEAL: $0.14–$0.155 (Extreme Demand)
Thanks for reading the update, hope you do well!
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
Candlestick Analysis
Silver’s uptrend cracks with U.S. inflation in focusSilver’s latest run ended abruptly on Monday, with the metal reversing hard, breaking its recent uptrend and forming a bearish evening star three-candle pattern. With RSI (14) and MACD momentum readings now neutral rather than bullish, the focus shifts to price action over holding a set bias.
If the signal from recent price action proves reliable—a big “if” with U.S. CPI looming—watch for a break beneath $37.46, the prior multi-decade high from February 2012. If that occurs, one option would be to establish shorts beneath the level with a stop above for protection, targeting either the 50-day moving average or support at $36.27 or $35.50.
If silver fails to follow through on Monday’s reversal, the setup could be flipped, with longs established above the level and a stop beneath for protection. $38.50 or $38.73 screen as potential targets, with a break above the latter opening the door for a retest of the July 23 swing high at $39.53.
From a fundamental standpoint, the U.S. inflation report looms as Tuesday’s main volatility event. A monthly core reading of 0.4% or higher would likely create headwinds for riskier assets such as silver, curtailing Fed rate-cut pricing over the next year and strengthening the U.S. dollar. A core print below 0.3% could have the opposite effect, acting as a catalyst for a possible silver surge.
Good luck!
DS
NZDUSD INTRA-WEEK: BEARISH TRADE IDEAHi there,
I'm looking to sells on NZDUSD & GBPUSD as I speculate that this week would seek lower prices.
There is a clean bearish shift in market structure to look for shorts.
On the daily chart, we have created a swing high - which adds to the bearish conviction to seek lower prices.
I'd be sharing my trade idea for GBPUSD soon.
Cheers,
Jabari
August 11, Forex Outlook: What to Expect from This Weeks TradingWelcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Pairs to focus on this Week:
USDCAD
EURGBP
EURJPY
GBPCHF
USDCHF
NZDCHF
EURNZD
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 11, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 11, 2025 – Monday 🔴
Bulls Strike Back — Friday’s Damage Erase
📝 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened 29 points higher and quickly filled the gap. At the previous day’s close, it took support and marked the day’s low at 24,347.45 — which remained untouched for the rest of the session. From there, it fought through each resistance level, climbed to the previous day’s high, and marked a day high of 24,600.85.
A mild 40-point dip followed, but the index still closed strong at 24,560.45, reclaiming all of Friday’s losses and nearly matching Thursday’s close (just 11 points short).
The question now:
a) Was this just a dead cat bounce?
b) Or the start of a base-building phase after oversold conditions?
c) Or was it fueled by some positive news? (No major news tracked today)
Whatever the cause, bulls are back in the zone. To maintain positive momentum, tomorrow’s close needs to be above 24,650.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
📉 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,371.50
High: 24,600.85
Low: 24,347.45
Close: 24,585.05
Change: +221.75 (+0.91%)
Structure Breakdown
Candle Type: Green (Close > Open)
Body Size: 213.55 points (near-full body)
Upper Wick: 15.80 points (tiny)
Lower Wick: 24.05 points (small)
Interpretation
Strong bullish control: Open near the low, close near the high.
Minimal wicks show decisive directional movement with little intraday rejection.
Fully recovered from Friday’s sell-off — almost engulfing it.
Candle Pattern: Bullish Marubozu (near-full body) — often a sign of potential upside continuation if volume supports the move.
📊 Short-Term View (from August 8, 2025 reference)
Price reclaimed the 24,460 resistance zone and closed above it.
Momentum shifted from bearish to bullish.
Next watch: 24,620-24,675 supply zone, and 24,700 psychological mark.
Range & Bias
Support Zone: 24,475 – 24,445
Resistance Zone: 24,660, 24,725
Bias: Bullish above 24,460
Trading Insight
If buyers hold above 24,460, next target is 24,725.
Rejection there may trigger a quick pullback toward 24,500.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 214.75
IB Range: 80.95 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Summary:
10:20 AM: Long Entry → Target Hit (R:R = 1:2.65)
🗺 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24,620
24,660 ~ 24,675
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,780
Support Zones:
24,500
24,475 ~ 24,445
24,410 ~ 24,400
24,350
💭 Final Thoughts
Strong comeback by the bulls today, erasing Friday’s weakness in one swift move. Whether it’s a one-off bounce or the start of something bigger will be clearer after tomorrow’s close.
"Structure is key. When levels hold, momentum follows — when they break, so does conviction."
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
The daily trend has not changed, go long on pullback#XAUUSD
Good morning, and a wonderful day. Last night we expected that if the 3390-3380 level below is effective, then gold will still have room to rise. After the morning opening, gold began to fall and adjust, reaching a low of around 3367, and the overall trend fell into a wide range of fluctuations. From a technical perspective, the daily moving average tends to converge upward, with the middle track located near 3357. Before it effectively falls below, the daily bullish trend remains unchanged. Paying attention to the 4H technical indicators, we find that the MACD indicator death cross with large volume tends to fluctuate and fall. In the short term, we should focus on 3380-3390 above. At present, we should focus on the support at 3350. If it fails to break through effectively, gold will rebound again. On the whole, it is recommended to go long when the price retreats to around 3360-3350 during the day, with the target at 3375-3385.
🚀 BUY 3360-3350
🚀 TP 3375-3385
Can Ethereum Give Us Profit Before the Next Run to 4400?It feels safe to bid for BINANCE:ETHUSDT at 4100 right now and ride it up to 4400.
I will place my SL at 3.8k
Ignore this trade update if you don't know about position sizing and order scaling.
Let's see if this will cook.
What are your thoughts about this analysis? Let me know in the comments section.
If you like the analysis, like it and follow me for more trade updates.
ETH season or Altseason ?In this article, we’ll review what the market has done so far and where the money flow has been leaning—toward altcoins or toward Ethereum.
As you can see, Ethereum has turned into a kind of black hole: whenever Bitcoin takes a breather, ETH pulls in most of the capital, and only a small trickle reaches altcoins.
What we see across most other altcoins isn’t much—at best, they snap back to prior levels. Think of SOL or those alts tied to “centralization/compliance” narratives. Otherwise, for now, the market is largely defined by Bitcoin and Ethereum’s moves.
Disclaimer
This is market commentary and reflects my personal opinion. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any asset. Crypto markets are highly volatile and you can lose part or all of your capital. Always conduct your own research, make independent decisions, and use strict risk management (position sizing, stop-losses, scenario planning). Past performance is not indicative of future results. For guidance tailored to your situation, consult a licensed financial advisor.
#ETH #BTC.D #ETHBTC #BTCUSDT #Crypto #Candlestick #MarketStructure #Momentum #RiskManagement #PsychologicalLevel
Good Bounce by Nifty from Technical RSI Support zone. We saw a good comeback and bounce by Nifty from a Technical RSI support zone which is around 33. We can by no means call this start of a Bull rally as of now. For Bull Rally to sustain we need a closing on Nifty above 24842. In such a scenario if we get a closing above 24842 the Bulls will feel comfortable. Bulls can breath easy only after we get a closing above 25256 zone. Above 25256 the Bulls can take control of the market. With Nuclear threats flowing around and still Tariff related issues prevailing it looks difficult for Bulls to take proper control of the market. The bounce we saw today can be credited to few reasons mentioned below:
1) Government announcement to support the sectors that will be most affected by Tariffs.
2) Some noises from within the Government to increase the spending to compensate for the GDP loss due to Tariff situation.
3) Silver lining in the clouds which are showing due to the upcoming Trump-Putin talks, Indian PM's proposed China visit.
4) RBI has allowed Indian banks to open special Vostro accounts to facilitate international trade settlements. (However if this has built positive sentiment is something which is yet to be fully understood). Also I am not an expert to understand the framework under which these accounts will work or how it will benefit our companies is a matter of economic experts to study.
With all this buildup the supports for Nifty remain at: 24343 and 24204. Below 24204 closing or weekly closing the Bears will take total control of the market and drag Nifty below 24K towards 23788 or 23223. Most important support remains at 24204 (Father line Support of Daily charts).
Nifty Resistances remain at: 24614, 24772, 25063 and finally 25256. Above 25256 Bulls can take control of the market and we will comment above further levels when we get there.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
BTC perfectly hits $120K, latest BTC analysis and operations#BTCUSD
After nearly a week of volatile consolidation, BTC once again touched around 120,000. I have already made it clear to everyone before that once BTC stabilizes above 116,500, it may first touch 118,000 and then challenge the macro resistance level of 120,000. I think anyone who had carefully reviewed the strategy and thought seriously about the ideas behind it would have made substantial profits. Currently, BTC maintains an overall upward trend, but may face the risk of an overbought pullback in the short term. Those with sufficient funds in their accounts can consider shorting with a light position. BTC may reach 118,000-117,000 and stabilize before rebounding.
AUDUSD – Tuesday’s RBA Rate Decision and US CPI Release Pivotal?It’s only 5 weeks ago that the RBA surprised FX traders by keeping interest rates on hold to provide policymakers with extra time to assess new information on the Australian economy and to confirm that the direction of inflation is moving back down towards 2.5% on a sustainable basis. This decision helped AUDUSD to post a 2025 high of 0.6625 on July 24th, a level from which fresh selling reappeared resulting in a low of 0.6419 being touched on August 1st.
August has so far been a positive one for AUDUSD, with general US dollar weakness seeing this popular currency pair closing on Friday at 0.6522, right in the middle of the range identified above. This week, Tuesday is potentially the pivotal day for AUDUSD traders to focus on with the RBA Interest Rate Decision due at 0530 BST, which is then quickly followed by the press conference led by Governor Bullock starting at 0630 BST.
A 25bps (0.25%) RBA rate cut is fully priced so anything else would probably be an even bigger surprise than the July pause. Especially since the latest Q2 CPI print showed inflation moving lower, a move acknowledged by RBA Deputy Governor Hauser as a welcome development. This shifts the emphasis towards the press conference where AUDUSD traders will be keen to hear whether their expectations for more rate cuts from the RBA into the first quarter of 2026 are correct or well off base.
That’s the AUD side of the pair covered, then later Tuesday the focus shifts to the US dollar side, when the latest US CPI update is released at 1330 BST. FX traders are very sensitive to the direction of US inflation, and the outcome of this release could well influence whether the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at their next meeting in September, as traders expect, or if they could be forced to remain unchanged as President Trump’s tariffs start to lead to higher prices, something Fed Chairman Powell has stated policymakers are concerned about.
Strap in AUDUSD traders tomorrow could be a wild and volatile ride!
Technical Update: Is the 0.6521 Level Pivotal?
So far, August has seen AUDUSD rally from the August 1st low into last Thursday’s high by just under 2%. While this activity may lead to some traders anticipating a more sustained period of strength, looking at the chart below, it becomes evident that further confirmation may be required before jumping to this conclusion.
Price strength seen last Thursday and Friday, was held by the 0.6521 price level, which is equal to half the decline that materialised between July 24th and August 1st. While 0.6521 is currently being tested, this looks like the first potential resistance focus, with closing breaks above this level required to suggest further strength towards 0.6625, the July 24th high.
As for support, traders may well now be focused on the 0.6480 level, which is half of the August price strength. While not a guarantee of prolonged declines, successful closing breaks below the 0.6480 support, might suggest continued price weakness.
As the chart above shows, closing breaks below the 0.6480 level, may see prices under increasing pressure, with possibilities to then test the August price low at 0.6419, even 0.6355, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 9th to July 24th 2025 strength.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
EURUSD: SELL OPPORTUNITYEUR/USD trading below a major resistance level and after pulling back to the broken trendline, we're seeing a scenario for short-term chop consolidation before potentially resuming the bearish move toward lower lows .
As long as price stays beneath the 1.1700 resistance level, the bearish bias remains intact.
Gold’s Pullback: Fueling the Next Surge Toward 3390-3400Today is the first trading day of this week. Gold has continued to fall since the opening, and has reached a low of around 3364 so far. Through the short-term trend, we can see that gold has insufficient willingness to continue to rise above 3400 and still faces considerable resistance. It needs more support and momentum to drive it forward before it can continue to rise. Currently, gold continues to retreat to around 3364. Has the trend of gold turned into a bearish trend? I think it's too early to draw such a conclusion!
Although gold has fallen significantly, there is still strong buying support below. The 3360-3350 area has become a key support level. As long as gold does not fall below this area, the bullish structure has not been completely broken. Therefore, there is still sufficient energy for gold to continue its rebound. This decline in gold is intended to increase liquidity and accumulate more upward momentum, which will help gold stabilize at 3400 and move towards higher targets!
Therefore, for short-term trading, I think we can still continue to try to go long on gold, but after all, the decline in gold has been so large. For short-term trading, we can appropriately lower the rebound expectations to the 3380-3390 area.
GAMUDA - Leading stock in CONSTRUCTION SECTORGAMUDA - CURRENT PRICE : RM4.97
Based on Japanese Candlestick , 30 April 2025 candle was a LONG CLOSING BOZU WHITE CANDLE . At that particular moment, it changed the trend from BEARISH to BULLISH because :
1) Price already above EMA 200 and closed on that day above EMA 50
2) Price closed into ICHIMOKU CLOUD
3) CHIKOU SPAN starts moving above CANDLESTICK
4) MACD also bullish
At current moment, after two days of selling pressure the share price turns positive today and closed higher than previous day's high. This may consider as potential buy on dips for those didn't have position yet. Supported by rising EMAs, the share price may move up to test the all time high level.
ENTRY PRICE : RM4.94 - RM4.98
TARGET : RM5.36 and RM5.57
SUPPORT : Below EMA 50 on closing basis
BTC Bulls Back in Control – 130K in SightIn my previous BTC analysis, I highlighted that the price was sitting right in a confluence support zone, with strong odds for a bullish reversal.
That scenario played out well — bulls regained control. After a retest of the low pruces in the middle of last week and a modest initial bounce, momentum accelerated today, pushing BTC close to its previous all-time high at the time of writing.
Looking ahead, I don’t expect the old ATH to be a major obstacle for buyers. A clean break above should open the path toward 130K+ as the next logical upside target.
For now, as long as BTC trades above 114K, bulls have no reason for concern.
CVX – Ichimoku Bullish Setup
📈 Technical Outlook
☁ Kumo: Large & supportive. Span A flat (pause), Span B bullish.
🔹 Tekan-sen: Broken to downside.
🔹 Kijun-sen: Bounce & pointing up → trend strength.
📍 Chikou Span: Above price → bullish confirmation.
💡 Bias → High probability of upside continuation.
📊 Trade Plan
Entry: 155.01
Stop Loss: 149.55 (below last swing low)
Take Profit: None – trail SL at each new swing low
🎯 Potential Target Zone: 168.96 (major resistance)
⚠ Risk Management
This setup follows Ichimoku principles—let winners run, cut losses early.
Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
MNQ SET TO MAKE MORE NEW HIGHS, BEWARE OF THE STRONG PULLBACKSWe are very likely to witness CME_MINI:MNQU2025 (and of course NQ) reaching for new highs in the not too distant future.
However it is wise to bare in mind that price having made a high in the previous week of may experience a deep retracement into an area of weekly price inefficiency:
This general area sits nicely above the lower end of the Premium-High of the current weekly Dealing Range (0.75 DRT).
It is also feasible to expect price to revisit the Equilibrium of the current weekly Dealing Range (0.5DRT) as depicted in the chart at a general area of over the next month or so before seeing sustainable new highs being achieved.
Lets keep a keen look out for the release of this week's economic reports (especially inflation related) that may help drive price lower in the short term before we see it achieve a season of further new highs.