Iron Ore Bears in Control After 200DMA BreakIron ore has fallen through the 200-day moving average, a level consistently tested but rarely crossed, as seen in price action over the past year. If the contract closes below it today, a short setup could be on the cards.
Traders could sell with a stop above the 200DMA to protect against a reversal, targeting ¥747 support. ¥755, the low of October 20, is also on the radar for anyone considering the setup. Should the unwind extend beyond ¥747, ¥735 is the next logical target, coinciding with former resistance that capped the price several times earlier this year.
Oscillators are sending a bearish message. RSI (14) is trending lower beneath 50, while MACD confirmed the signal with a bearish crossover earlier this week. Downside strength is building, favouring short setups.
On the fundamental side, Chinese trade data released today showed a 4.3% drop in iron ore imports in October. That may be contributing to the bearish breakdown, especially with steel exports also falling sharply compared to a month earlier.
Good luck!
DS
Candlestick Analysis
USD/JPY(20251107)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Revelo Labs, a US private data provider, reported that US non-farm payrolls decreased by 9,100 in October; Challenger job cuts in the US surged 175% year-over-year in October, and year-to-date layoffs increased by 65%; Chicago Fed data showed the October unemployment rate was approximately 4.36%, a four-year high. Federal Reserve officials remain cautious. Chicago Fed President Goolsby believes a lack of reliable inflation data and remains hesitant about interest rate cuts; Cleveland Fed President Hammarck emphasized inflation risks and opposed further rate cuts; however, Governor Milan continues to expect a Fed rate cut in December; New York Fed President Williams believes the model-based estimate of the US neutral interest rate is around 1%. Governor Barr pointed out that the impact of artificial intelligence may be affecting hiring in some industries.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
153.33
Support and Resistance Levels:
154.63
154.15
153.83
152.83
152.52
152.03
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 153.33, consider buying with a first target price of 153.83.
If the price breaks below 152.83, consider selling with a first target price of 152.52.
Small Caps Look VulnerableBe it the longest government shutdown in history, the largest increase in October layoffs since 2003, the increasingly unconvincing price action, shifting momentum picture, or the descending triangle it’s coiling in, the purest cyclical play in the U.S. equity index universe—the U.S. small caps 2000 contract—looks vulnerable to downside.
2420 is where bulls and bears are currently slugging it out, marking support that’s held since mid-October. While the price continues to bounce from the level, the moves are becoming increasingly small, hinting that downside may loom.
A break and close beneath 2420 could see shorts established with a stop above to guard against reversal, targeting 2370 support—an area that’s consistently attracted buyers since September.
RSI (14) is trending lower and sits beneath 50, indicating building downside pressure. MACD is entering negative territory after crossing the signal line from above, suggesting directional risks are skewing lower even if the signal remains neutral for now.
Good luck,
DS
Nifty Analysis EOD – November 6, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – November 6, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Another day of controlled weakness — bears still holding the steering wheel.
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a mild +25-point gap-up, quickly filled the gap within the first minute, and bounced nearly 90 points from the lows. However, the index failed to sustain above the Previous Day Close (PDC) for long and slipped below the 25,550 support zone before 10:10 AM.
Post that, Nifty spent almost the entire session hovering around the 25,550 level, forming a tight 50-point range between 25,520 and 25,575. Activity remained brisk inside this narrow band — a typical sign of short-term balance building after directional exhaustion.
Around 12:45 PM, an attempt to break out toward 25,615 faced rejection, pushing Nifty back inside the range. Finally, around 3 PM, the index broke down from this mini distribution, marking the day’s low at 25,491.55 and closing at 25,519.95, slightly above the intraday bottom.
Overall, it was a single-distribution day, where bears dominated the main trend as well as sub-trend structures.
Bias remains bearish below 25,640, while a decisive break and hold above it could trigger a short-covering move. Until then, the expectation remains for Nifty to test the 25,330–25,300 zone in the near term.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,593.35
High: 25,679.15
Low: 25,491.55
Close: 25,509.70
Change: −87.95 (−0.34%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Another bearish candle with a medium body and a clear upper wick.
Range (High–Low): 187.6 points → continued volatility.
Body: ≈ 83.65 points → steady selling across the day.
Upper Wick: ≈ 85.8 points → strong rejection near intraday highs.
Lower Wick: ≈ 18.15 points → minor recovery but bears stayed in charge.
📚 Interpretation
Nifty opened slightly higher but couldn’t hold above 25,650, facing supply near 25,670–25,680. Breaking below 25,500 during the mid-session confirmed the continuation of weakness seen after recent bearish candles. Although there was a mild recovery toward the close, the settlement below 25,510 underscores sustained selling pressure.
🕯Candle Type
A lower-high, lower-close continuation candle that reinforces the ongoing short-term corrective phase. The extended upper shadow reflects selling on every rise — a clear hallmark of a market still in the grip of bears.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 201.14
IB Range: 91.95 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
10:09 – Short Trade → Target Achieved (R:R 1:1.56)
13:44 – Short Trade → Target Achieved (R:R 1:2.4)
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25,550
25,585
25,615 ~ 25,635
Support Zones:
25,460 ~ 25,440
25,380
25,340
25,310 ~ 25,290
💡 Final Thoughts
The index continues to exhibit controlled weakness, with bears gradually grinding down support levels while bulls fail to sustain any momentum. As long as 25,640 remains intact, selling on rise remains the favored approach. A breach below 25,440 could accelerate a test toward 25,300.
“Markets don’t reverse when you want them to — they reverse when enough traders are trapped.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Short_INDIAN HOTELHi traders,
Currently INDHOTEL trading @ 1Month low with breakdown at 200 EMA.
Pros for short set-up:-
* Bad results.
* Stock below 200 EMA.
* Breakdown after 1month consolidated in 1Day timeframe.
*Index is weak ( nifty Tourism Index ).
Cons:- Options premiums are high to enter buy side in PE.
* Low call premiums for Nov-2025 and December -2025.
* Better to trad in Futures.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Too Overbought Now
Looks like Dollar Index finally starts correction.
A test of a significant hisotric daily resistance triggered
a bearish movement and an intraday change of character
on a 4H time frame.
I think that the market may drop lower.
Goal - 99.8
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Wider Range or Early Trend Reversal in Multi-Timeframe?👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 15-Mimutes Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 15-minute timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after recent declines, BTC has entered a 15-minute trading range. The top and bottom of this range act as our long and short triggers. Keep in mind that Bitcoin’s next move could potentially develop into a long-term directional move.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, the 70 level serves as confirmation for a long trigger, while the 35.5 level confirms a short trigger. Note that RSI confirmation based on its momentum swings can provide higher-quality trade setups.
🕯 Selling volume has increased slightly as Bitcoin approaches its resistance zone at $104,520, and we’ve seen a similar reaction when price hits resistance from below. This indicates buyer hesitation and stronger seller activity.
Meanwhile, buying volume has risen as price nears the support zone around $102,810. If this buying pressure continues, it could confirm an extended range formation in this area.
✍️ As in previous setups, Bitcoin’s potential scenarios remain straightforward. With proper RSI confirmation, we can look for entry opportunities.
🟢 Long Scenario : A breakout above the $104,520 resistance zone, accompanied by increasing buying volume and RSI exceeding the 70 level on the 15-minute multi-timeframe, could signal a long trade.
🟥 Short Scenario : A breakdown below the $102,810 support zone, with rising selling volume and RSI dropping below the 35.5 level, could trigger a short trade.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
The 2025 Bitcoin Crash - This Means OpportunityLook at the Rate of Change...do you notice
the shift in momentum?
This means buyers are coming in to scope
the price of Bitcoin..
Listen to me Bitcoin is not going to
zero..
This is the type of crash that you have
been looking for.
This is the time
to start buying up as much bitcoin as
possible.
You will be actually getting Bitcoin
at a discount.
The momentum indicator below is your
key to understanding
market psychology
This is not time to get negative
and listen to main stream media
this is your chance to prove
to yourself that you understand
"The bottom" of the market.
I have a confession...
the rocket booster strategy is based
on a false crowd psychology
It means because everyone knows about it
the strategy no longer works..
Does this mean you give up on trading?
No of course not.
But what i want you to get from the
rocket booster strategy
is the behaviour of the WRONG Crowd.
Also understand that the price action
has to show you a new high or new low
depending on whether you are buying or selling.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky
please use risk management
and profit taking strategies.
And use a simulation trading
account before you
trade with real money
The #1 Forex Pair Before The Non-Farm Payroll Reporttrading can be a challenge
right now i dont know what to tell
because explaining how to find these patterns
is very very hard.
But with time you will get to understand.
I would encourage you to read a book
called the crowd by Lebon
In that book which was written
by french politician it talks about
the madness of crowds.
Its not easy to be independent..this is
why its very important for you
to really stay away from media hype
And learn to make your own decisions
and become self independent trader
Am not going to show you perfect trades
and if the trades turn out well
am not going to show you
the secret.
Because the secret is time.
Its that simple.Even if i show
you my secret..Your emotions
wont believe this because you
will need time to process the
reasons of why and how.
This forex pair OANDA:EURUSD is very good because
we are about to have a non farm payrolls
report tomorrow.
Positioning yourself right now
is the best thing that you can do
for yourself.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Warning!! Trading is risky please use risk management
and profit taking strategies
and feel free to use a simulation trading account
before you trade with real money.
We firmly go long when the market is blindly shorting.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
From the hourly chart, the short-term gold price has broken through the resistance of the triangle pattern boundary. The market has made its choice, and it is clear that we bulls have won. Therefore, we can continue to execute our trading strategy for the next step. Wait for a pullback to 3995-3985 to buy again, with an initial target of 4020-4030.
The correction is over; buy gold on pullbacks.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
With the White House website indicating the ongoing US government shutdown, the normal release of key data such as ADP and NFP may be affected. The news briefly boosted gold prices, leading to a technical rebound in Asian trading.
From the daily chart, the short-term resistance is still around 3980-4000, which is also where the 4H middle line is located. For the bulls to make a full comeback, they need to break through this resistance range and hold above 4000. The current slow and volatile upward trend in gold prices indicates that the bulls still have room to maneuver. In the short term, one can try to continue to be bullish on gold by using the middle line of the hourly chart as a defense. Conservative traders can wait for a pullback to 3970-3955 to try to go long on gold.
Short trade
Pair: AUDUSD
Direction: Sell-Side Trade
Date: Wed 5th Nov 25
Time: 1:00 am
Session: London Session AM
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Metric Value
Entry 0.64944
Profit Level (TP) 0.64437 (+0.73 %)
Stop Level (SL) 0.64995 (–0.12 %)
Risk–Reward (RR) 5.93 R
🔸 Technical Context
Market Structure:
Price completed a retracement into premium following a previous impulsive leg down.
The retest into the breaker block + KAMA resistance zone (0.6490–0.6500) acted as a re-entry for continuation.
🔹 Narrative & Bias
AUDUSD continues to reflect bearish sentiment following a USD reaccumulation phase.
The rejection from premium levels within the established downtrend suggests sellers are firmly in control, with order flow showing progressively lower highs and BOS confirmations across multiple sessions.
Macro Correlation:
AUD weakness mirrors declining commodity sentiment and a dovish RBA stance.
USD demand remains supported by a risk-off tone following the NASDAQ pullback and the markdown in ETHUSDT.
Projection:
Expect continued draw on liquidity toward 0.6440–0.6430, with potential to extend below 0.6400 if intraday momentum persists. The short bias remains intact as long as the price remains below 0.6500.
XAUUSD 15-Minute Chart Minor-Grade Short Entry Strategy XAUUSD 15-Minute Chart Minor-Grade Short Entry Strategy
Entry level around 4018 USD, stop-loss placed at 4053 USD.
1st target around 3940 USD: partial close (50% position), trail stop.
2nd target around 3870 USD: further partial close (50% of remaining), trail stop.
3rd target around 3800 USD: additional partial close (50% of remaining), trail stop.
Let the residual position run with progressive partial closures and stop trailing.
SWING IDEA - CHAMBAL FERTILIZERSChambal Fertilizers , a leading manufacturer of fertilizers and agri-products in India, is presenting a compelling swing trade setup with strong technical indicators.
Reasons are listed below :
Break of Cup and Handle Pattern : A classic bullish continuation pattern indicating potential for a significant upside.
Bullish Marubozu Candle : A strong bullish marubozu candle on the weekly timeframe highlights sustained buying pressure.
500 Zone Breakout : The price is attempting to break above the 500 resistance zone after consolidating near its all-time high, signaling strength.
Prolonged Consolidation Breakout : The stock is breaking out of a consolidation phase spanning over 3 years, suggesting a fresh trend initiation.
Target - 675
Stoploss - weekly close below 440
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Short trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: EURUSD
Direction: Sell-Side Trade
Date: Wed 5 Nov 25
Time: 7:00 am
Session: LND to NY Session AM
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Metric Value
Entry 1.15156
Profit Level (TP) 1.14109 (+0.83 %)
Stop Level (SL) 1.15409 (–0.21 %)
Risk–Reward (RR) 3.94 R
🔸 Technical Context
Market Structure:
Price remains in a confirmed bearish sequence following prior BOS and CHOCH events on both 15m and 1H timeframes. A rejection from the breaker block / FVG zone (1.1550–1.1560) confirms institutional supply continuation.
Confluence Factors:
15m CHOCH aligned with 1H BOS confirms lower-timeframe structure compliance.
Retest into the premium array post–liquidity sweep at London open.
KAMA (Adaptive MA) sharply turning down, reinforcing directional bias.
Volume contraction during retrace → expansion upon sell-side continuation.
Key Liquidity Zones:
Supply Rejection Zone: 1.1550–1.1560 (Breaker Block).
Target Zone: 1.1410–1.1400 (PD Array / Daily Imbalance Fill).
Extended Target: 1.1360 (Liquidity resting beneath prior daily swing lows).
🔹 Narrative & Bias
EURUSD continues to trail the broader USD recovery phase, mirroring setups seen across AUDUSD and NZDUSD. The setup captures the rejection of mid-range liquidity and the initiation of a new impulsive leg toward the next demand cluster.
Session Flow:
The London session provided a retracement into premium levels.
NY open accelerated displacement, confirming sell-side intent.
Macro Sentiment:
Hawkish Fed comments reinforcing dollar bids.
European data softening; ECB maintaining cautious tone.
Bond yield spreads are widening in favour of USD.
Projection:
Price expected to extend toward 1.1410–1.1400 with potential for continuation into 1.1360, completing the liquidity draw beneath October’s swing lows.
Short trade
Pair: NZDUSD
Direction: Sell-Side Trade
Date: Wed 5 Nov 25
Time: 1:00 am
Session: London Session AM
Timeframe: 4 hours
🔹 Trade Details
Metric Value
Entry 0.56548
Profit Level (TP) 0.55855 (+1.23 %)
Stop Level (SL) 0.56609 (–0.11 %)
Risk–Reward (RR) 11.36 R
🔸 Technical Context
Structure:
NZDUSD has completed a BOS and CHOCH sequence after a corrective retracement into premium, confirming continuation of the broader downtrend.
Price rejected from the breaker block + imbalance zone (0.5660–0.5680) with displacement, validating sell-side control.
Confluence Factors:
Clear BOS alignment on both 1H and 4H timeframes.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) mitigation on the retest; displacement followed immediately after.
KAMA (adaptive MA) sloping downward — confirming trend direction.
Volume: Elevated at breakdown, signalling institutional execution.
Key Liquidity Zones:
Sell Entry Zone: 0.5650–0.5660 (breaker block rejection).
Liquidity Target: 0.5580–0.5560 (previous move origin + CHOCH base).
Extended Target: 0.5480 zone (major liquidity resting beneath March swing lows).
🔹 Narrative & Bias
The trade aligns with USD dominance across the board, as observed in correlated FX pairs (AUDUSD, EURUSD).
The pair continues to distribute beneath previous structural highs, forming lower highs across multiple sessions.
Macro Alignment:
RBNZ outlook: Neutral-to-dovish amid slowing NZ CPI.
USD tone: Strength supported by safe-haven demand, following tech sector profit-taking and ETH sell-side continuation.
Projection:
Expect price to continue targeting deeper liquidity toward 0.5580–0.5560, with potential extension to 0.5480 should downside momentum persist. Maintaining sell bias as long as price remains below 0.5660 (BOS invalidation threshold).
GBPJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly Previous Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structuree Rejection
Around Psych Level 200.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King..
EUR/CAD: Bullish Outlook📈EURCAD formed a significant inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 4-hour timeframe.
The neckline for this pattern is identified between 1.6226 and 1.6210.
Should the price successfully break and close above this neckline, it would indicate a strong bullish signal.
In such a scenario, the market could potentially advance towards the 1.6560 level.
Please note that the neckline currently acts as a robust demand area. Shorting opportunities should only be considered after a confirmed breakout of this level.
EUR/AUD: Local Bullish Reversal?!I spotted a notable bullish reaction to a significant daily/intraday horizontal support level on 📈EURAUD.
Following a test of the highlighted blue area, the price started to consolidate, forming a horizontal range on the 4-hour timeframe.
The resistance of this range is broken which we interpret as a significant indication of buyer strength.
We can now anticipate a bearish continuation, at least towards the 1.7800 level.
AUDUSD sell setupOne of the most beautiful sell setup this week. AUDUSD swept a noticeable liquidity high at Supply level, then after CPI news yesterday confirming dollar strength, This led to clear Market structure shift (mss) on XXX/USD pairs.
Retest of the move today confirmed downward pressure on the pair. OB mitigation + imb
As far as there's a prescence of market gap below, my bearish bias is not yet invalidated.
Learn!






















