The VIX will spike again, nothing to do about it. Fundamentally, a perfect storm is brewing. We had/have many events in the markets: - Covid Pandemic - Supply Chain Disrupted - Ukraine Invasion - Russia Sanctions - Inflation Spike - Energy Crisis - Global Drought - Interest Rates Hikes What's next, a full-blown WAR?
VIX is pointing towards another spike in volatility as a probably scenario. This would or could cause a major sell-off in Indices and Stocks, on a global scale.
Following the significant downturn of the S&P500 yesterday, the forecasts I set out on October 23rd are taking shape. I had hinted at the potential outlook of a market correction in the last week of October, and now, we find ourselves in a critical zone that could signal a reaccumulation period for institutional investors. Below, I illustrate the technical and...
Prices are on bullish momentum and consolidating in a parallel channel . We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 28.89 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci Projection towards our Take Profit at 35.98 in line with 100% Fibonacci Projection . RSI is at levels where bounces previously occurred. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other...
48.5/49.5 achievable with an extended market correction. Implied volatitlity uptrend due to fundamental reasons (Inflation/War). S&P 500 target would equate to 3950-4000 in this projection! NASDAQ: 12K (Wave 1 top) or 11K (200 Week EMA / 50 Month EMA)
CBOE S&P 500 9 Day crossing 30 day - sign for uncertainty at the market. Watch the marked support area and lower boundary of the trend channel. If broken we can go short and expect a down trend to follow. ____ If you like this analysis thumps up and follow for more!
Hey What do you think guys? Is this a correction or a reversal trend? testing point 28.79 ;( TVC:VIX
Hi folks! As you may know, FINRA published the Margin Debt Statistics for July the other day. As you may also know, tops in prolonged and explosive runs in margin debt usually precede big corrections/crashes in the S&P500 by a couple of months The Margin Debt reading was down 4.3% from July after 15 consecutive months of increase (!) Here is my idea on how...
VIX has been trading within a Channel Down since March 2020, which is natural as the huge volatility spike following the COVID outbreak as a global pandemic has been normalized gradually. Every bottom on this Channel Down was in the form of a Cup and a spike to the Lower Highs trend-line followed. Every time that was translated into a strong correction on the...
I just noticed that when the VIX index is traded on the 14th day of the month, if you open a long position near the close value you are almost guaranteed a very nice risk-reward ratio with a minimum drawdown. When VIX is not traded on 14th, this can happen on the 15th or 16th.
I modified my VIX channels after experimenting with today's trading session. The angles seems to work. VIX is not as clean as other indices, but the volatility runs seem a bit too orderly. The channel is where we are now. There is a second channel above. However, anything above the red dashed line will sky rocket. The blue line is the current wedge we are...
This is the VIX since this whole bear market began. I've noticed that the local tops and bottoms seemed a little too neat and orderly for a volatility index. I played around the angles. I see a channel that VIX was in. The bottom green dashed line was Nov 2018 to Jan 2019's resistance. Now, it's been support in June and July. Once it escapes that channel, the...
Today is the big day! The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the unemployment number at 8:30AM EST. As I am writing this post, U.S. index futures are pointing up and so are Gold and Silver . This morning I'll be touching upon the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) and Silver Futures (SI!). The VIX Bears will be watching the VIX closely today and they should be....
VIX, might spike back to its old highs as I don't think investors are still optimistic about betting over high yield assets!
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) which measures the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility, has almost hit last Friday the highs (50.30) of the U.S. - China trade war in February 2018. Going further back on the time line, the 53.30 high of VIX during China's economic slowdown fears in late August 2015, isn't far off either. Today's lower...
Here we are tracking the massive breakup in Vol; this is looking dangerous and is right on time with Coronavirus kicking in. This was forecast miles in advance (see charts below) and has followed the mapped flows flawlessly since the previous swing we began tracking earlier last year: The sweep of the lows was a textbook example of clearing the board to open...
trying to long this end of September or beginning of October. Looks like a good trade to me.