i think the hourly spike in vix is over, but the 4hr might be in for some additional waves, followed by a daily bear in vix with a weekly bull trend still on. the road to 20 seems locked in, but were not averse to 30 in the mean time.
i think the vix will have to sink before it gets the rebound that it seems destined for. ive marked out a couple scenarios. if we climb above pivot i would look for upper horizontals and one of the green scenarios yo play out. if we remain beneath it id look for one of the red scenarios and lower horizontals.
it's that time of the month.
No, it's not Hygiene.
July CT spread is ZERO, the CAsh Vix is positive on Roll Yield as well.
The Curve went into backwardation slightly...
Hopefully, a PCC Squeeze into the next DUMP.
Losing the 55ED_EMA was not a good look for Vol.OnlyFabs.
The downtrend we indicted remains in Trade for now.
Vol of Vol collapsed well below the 103 Pivot... primarily due to
a solid lack of participation.
With $x Expiry ahead on the Day of the FOMC Rate Decision, it's
going to be a highly volatile day.
VX2/VX1 Looking at Extremes in the Slope of the VIX Futures Term Structure.
This is just to show how the signal is generated & some data on it will overlay the signals on that breadth chart I use to illustrate how complementary Simple Breadth + Vol Metrics Can be for Long Term Buying/Selling.
The VIX has Gpas slightly below into the 29s on the 15-minute chart.
Breaking 30 would create an immediate dump.
Friday will provide a tell for the CT for the Indies.
The VX Curve remains in Backwardation will beyond M2/V2.
When the Vix trades its supports, it rallies and the Indices decline.
They never make it to Full Resistance.
The ARB is to use the PCC over 1.28 to 1,35 for countertrend squeeze.
A trader who continues to project a bottom... persists in being incorrect.
Bottom Callers have been chumps time...
A Pullback to the support zone, 26.00 should be observed for a reaction.
The 2022 50% is the Key Over/Under.
Consolidation PB is underway ahead of EPS.
26.00 is the PO
31.20 is the extension on reversal and back to the larger trend.
Disappointing the VIX was unable to break up and out on a surrender move
for the Indices.
Lower Price Objectives will continue over time for the near term with minor
VVIX is showing a PO @ 103s.
The VX Curve is attempting to flatten somewhat. with the Indicies approaching
extreme overbought readings - VX could pick up Short Term.
By the Numbers - VIX indicates a potential Index Pullback approaching either Today or tomorrow.
IT is currently sitting on 2022 Support.
Protection is absent across the Equity Complex, an ominous sign once again.
the upside in short term vix futures remains muted as limitations on how far out broader market shorts in the money puts are due to backwardation in front month contracts. this is leading to derivatives like UVXY to probably continue to sell off of overbought.
we could find ourselves back in the low 14s UVXY if we see 22 vix again which should be soon. if we go...
Much better to panic early than late.
The VX1-VX2 spread helps you define when market participants are starting to panic. The backwardation / reversal is a sign that market participants are starting to panic. In this sense we can use it as a risk mitigation tool, including the distributions of returns for the stock market and the volatility when futures are in...
Given the VX Complex has asserted a Positive Weekly Trend for the First
time since the Roswell Crash (4/5 LT Structure) - the ST Structure indicates
more to come for IT 4/5.
M1 @ 3.66%
M2 @ 1.74%
M3 @ 0.78%
M4 @ 0.12%
M5 @ 1.51%
M6 @ -0.38%
M7 @ ...