flying psx💡 SmartMoney AR – Fundamental + Technical View
📊 FLYNG – Flying Cement Company Ltd (PSX)
📉 Technicals
(Holding in an uptrend) Price retraced after good run and we are expecting an other rally for the upside.
Investor can go without SL.
Use stop-loss below that swing low to protect downside.
For take-profit, aim for previous resistance or extension zones if breakout continues.
🧠 Fundamentals
Flying Cement posted a 5.6× growth in Q1 FY26, with PAT jumping to ~Rs 130.7m from Rs 23.5m.
EPS surged to Rs 0.19 vs Rs 0.03 in the same quarter last year.
For FY25, net profit reached Rs 638.46m, up from just Rs 51.45m in FY24.
Gross margin expanded strongly to ~15.1% (FY25) from ~7.3% last year.
Finance costs have declined YoY (in full year), which helps bottom-line leverage.
Cement
Thatta Cement Co. Ltd. (Daily chart analysis):Current Situation: 📉
Price: 72.49 PKR, down 9.35% (significant drop!)
MAJOR BREAKDOWN IN PROGRESS - This is a critical technical event! ⚠️
Key Technical Observations: 🔍
Trend Structure:
Beautiful uptrend from June 2024 to October 2025 ✅
Massive parabolic rally from 50 to 108 (116% gain!) 🚀
NOW: Sharp reversal and breakdown from highs 💥
Price broke below the white ascending trendline support 📉
Fibonacci Extension Levels:
2.618 (43.52): Extended target (not reached)
2.414 (34.24): Secondary extension
1.618 (13.42): Base extension from earlier rally
Critical Support/Resistance: 🎯
Resistance (Now turned into overhead supply):
Immediate: 76-78 (broken trendline + previous support)
Strong: 84-88 (gap fill zone)
Major: 95-100 (psychological level)
Massive: 105-108 (recent highs - unlikely to revisit soon) 🔴
Support:
Current battle: 70-72 (attempting to hold) ⚔️
Critical: 60-65 (major support zone + gap support) 🛡️
Strong: 52-55 (pre-breakout consolidation)
Major: 43-45 (2.618 Fib extension + historical resistance) 💪
Volume Analysis: 📊
MASSIVE volume spike on the breakdown day (circled in purple) - Classic distribution! 🚨
Previous volume spikes throughout the rally (circled in orange/blue)
Today's volume at 24.68M is extremely elevated - Panic selling detected! 😰
Pattern Recognition: 📐
Parabolic blow-off top - Classic exhaustion pattern 💨
Potential gap down creating overhead resistance
Break of multi-month ascending trendline (white line) ⚠️
This looks like a "climax top" pattern
Technical Outlook: 🎲
Bearish Scenario (HIGH Probability - 75%): 🐻
Gap down with massive volume = Strong distribution
Expect further downside to 60-65 zone (-15% from here) 📉
If 60 breaks, next stop: 52-55 (-25% from here) 😬
Worst case: Full retracement to 43-45 zone 💀
Neutral Scenario (Medium Probability - 20%): 😐
Finds support at 68-70 and forms a base
Choppy consolidation for several weeks
Needs to reclaim 78-80 to stabilize ⚡
Bullish Scenario (LOW Probability - 5%): 🐂
Immediate V-shaped recovery above 78-80 (unlikely given volume)
Would need massive buying volume to negate this breakdown 🤷♂️
Trading Strategy: 💡
For Current Holders: 😰
RISK ALERT: Major technical damage done! 🚨
Consider cutting losses if breaks below 68-70 decisively
Stop loss: 67 (limit further damage) 🛑
This could be a 20-30% correction scenario
For Buyers: 🤔
DO NOT catch the falling knife! 🔪
Wait for stabilization and basing pattern
First entry opportunity: 60-65 zone (if reached with calming volume) ✅
Better entry: 52-55 zone (safer, more attractive R:R) 💰
Best entry: 43-45 zone (if we get a full retracement - high reward!) 🎁
For Traders: 📈
Short-term bounce possible to 76-78 (dead cat bounce?) 🐱
Any bounce is a selling opportunity until structure improves
Watch for lower highs and lower lows pattern 📉
Key Signals to Watch: 👀
Volume normalization (needs to dry up) 💧
Stabilization above 68-70 for 3-5 days ⏰
Reclaim of 78-80 with volume (trend change signal) 🔄
Risk Assessment: ⚖️
🔴 HIGH RISK ZONE 🔴
Parabolic moves up = parabolic moves down
The bigger the rally, the harder they fall 💥
This stock went up 116% in ~15 months - expect 30-50% retracement
Sentiment has shifted from greed to fear 😱
Bottom Line: 🎯
This is a textbook breakdown from a parabolic rally. The massive volume confirms institutional selling. Stay on the sidelines until the dust settles. Patience will be rewarded with better entry prices! 🧘♂️
THCCL- PSX - Technical AnalysisTHCCL price has made a wedge which is an indication of price going up any time. RSI has already bounced from 30 and moving upwards. Klinger is just hinting at likely beginning of the bull run for this SCRIPT.
Fundamentally, from cement sector, this will show progress as sales will be substantial during post Ramadan and pre-monsoon (April ~July). Coupled with company has already shifted its power requirements to solar energy, therefore manufacturing cost cutting is eminent.
This SCRIPT can be kept in portfolio for investment point of view as well since prices are already very discounted.
Trade Values:
Buy-1 :189.58
Buy-2: 167.08
TP-1: 233.36
TP-2: 255.66
TP-3: 305.41 (For SWING TRADE 6 months Plus)
TP-4: 336.62 (For SWING TRADE 6 months Plus)
SL: 159.88
Lucky Cement Ready for Major Upside | Demand Tested, Supply NextHello Billionaires!!
Lucky Cement (LUCK) has successfully completed its Head & Shoulders pattern, reaching into the demand zone and now showing early signs of reversal momentum.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Head & Shoulders completed — possible end of distribution phase
💎 Demand zone tested and held strong
🔷 Triangle pattern breakout forming
🎯 Targeting Complete Supply Zone (550–560 PKR)
🧠 Smart Money structure: accumulation → expansion → distribution
⚡ Possible Scenario:
Short-term retracement toward demand to grab liquidity before a strong impulsive move toward the major supply zone.
💬 Watch for bullish confirmations near 430–435 PKR for a potential rally toward 550+ PKR.
AL JOUF CEMENT – BUY PLAN (TADAWUL: 3091)📈 AL JOUF CEMENT – BUY PLAN (TADAWUL: 3091)
✅ Current Status:
Price: 7.09 SAR
Action: Initial entry taken — some shares added to My portfolio.
🔍 Technical Overview:
Sell-side Liquidity Cleared:
Previous lows taken out, triggering liquidity sweep.
Strong reversal suggests potential shift in market sentiment.
Volume Imbalances (Voids):
Bullish targets marked based on unfilled volume gaps:
📍 Target 1: 8.34 SAR (➕17.63%)
📍 Target 2: 10.01 SAR (➕41.19%)
📍 Target 3: 12.93 SAR (➕82.28%)
Trendline Liquidity Above:
Long-term descending trendline can act as a magnet for price, drawing it upward.
Bullish Confirmation:
Price has reacted from a bearish fair value gap.
Clean bullish engulfing and strong volume — suggests start of reversal.
🎯 Buy Strategy Breakdown:
Step Action
✅ Partial buy/entry completed (accumulation started)
📉 Wait for small pullback or bullish continuation to add more
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below recent swing low (around 6.50 SAR)
🚀 Targets: TP1 – 8.34, TP2 – 10.01, TP3 – 12.93
🔁 Re-evaluate plan if price closes below 6.70 with volume
ACC BULL waves started BIG Giant Ready to Roll !!!ACC daily counts suggested DUAL match for Eillot waves + Harmonics bullish Wave structure
both looks bullish implus started for this stock
LONG TERM investors get ready for good returns in future for 2 to 5 yrs
all charts shown to understand elliot waves theory + harmonics waves + gann theory + time theory
all charts are education purpose!!!!!
we don't any responsibilities for profit /loss
TADAWUL: 3050 (Southern Province Cement Co.)📈 TADAWUL: 3050 (Southern Province Cement Co.)
The stock has entered a long-term demand zone near 30.70–32.00, showing historical support. If this zone holds, a potential bullish reversal could take price first toward the 36.90 resistance, then to 44.00, with a final target around 46.35.
Trade Idea:
Entry: 32.00–33.00 (inside demand zone)
TP1: 36.90
TP2: 44.00
TP3: 46.35
SL: Below 29
Bias: Bullish (as long as price holds above 30.70)
Narrative: Accumulation in demand zone with a possible shift in trend.
Still Bullish on Bigger Time Frames.Still Bullish on Bigger Time Frames.
Hidden Bullish Divergence has appeared.
Immediate Resistance lies around 186 - 189
Crossing this Level with Good volumes may
expose 197 - 200
Fresh Entry should be Triggered if 205 is Crossed
& Sustained; only then it may resume its Uptrend.
Still Bullish on Bigger Time Frames.Still Bullish on Bigger Time Frames.
Hidden Bullish Divergence has appeared.
Immediate Resistance lies around 186 - 189
Crossing this Level with Good volumes may
expose 197 - 200
Fresh Entry should be Triggered if 205 is Crossed
& Sustained; only then it may resume its Uptrend.
UPDATE PPC hit target up and now we have a down target to 3.60The PPC target worked well hitting R4.75 despite it taking some time.
But then, it was top heavy turned around and crashed like no tomorrow.
DUring the crash it formed a Rev Inv Cup and Handle and broke below the rim.
So here's the update with a new target.
Price<20 but >200
Rev Inv Cup and Handle
Target R3.65
Titan Cement: Impressive its progress in 2024Titan Cement (TITC) Group, the Titan of the Athens Stock Exchange, which was the first stock I bought as an investor in 1987, ended 2024 with a shower of new historical highs in its share value.
The group posted record sales in the nine-month period at 1.984 billion euros, up by +4.9% compared to the corresponding period last year. At the same time, it posted a strong increase of +14.6% in EBITDA profits, closing at 454.5 million euros, from 396.7 million euros in the nine-month period last year, while it also had a significant increase of +20.3%, to 237.8 million euros, from 197.6 million euros, in net profitability.
In 2025, we will also have the listing of Titan America on the New York Stock Exchange, thus giving significant goodwill to the group, while the raising of several hundred million dollars will further lower the already “wonderful” net debt / EBITDA ratio, which at the end of last September was at 1.10x.
From a diagrammatic point of view, the stock is moving within the strongly upward “S” channel governed by the two pivots of 2019. Here it is clearly visible that the stock has now taken an upward slope towards 44 euros, with a possible development of breaking the four-year channel with a move towards 48 to 50 euros.
Beginning of a DUOPOLY - Great OpportunityUltratech cement has approved an acquisition of 8.69% stake in Star cement for Rs 851 crore. As mentioned earlier in my post of August 26 that their is a possible chance of creation of duopoly in the cement sector after Adani's entrance in the sector it has been adamant after looking to the aggressive acquisitions made by Ultratech and Adani group. Till now Ultratech cement has taken stakes in Kesoram industries, India cements and Star cement while Adani Group has taken stakes in Ambuja, ACC, Sanghi Industries, Penna Cement and Orient Cement. As we know that Greenfield projects are limited due to limited natural resources, production capacity can only be increased and dominance can be maintained by acquiring small companies. Because of this tug of war share prices of small companies have surged significantly. Star cement has given a return of 40% in 2024. It's present capacity is 7.7 MTPA and plans to increase the capacity to 25 MTPA by 2030. Cement sector is going to be exciting in the coming years. Do keep a track and be updated about the sector.
ACC Ltd (NSE: ACC) Weekly Chart Analysis🔹 Channel Support and Resistance
The stock has been moving within an ascending channel since early 2022, creating a structured uptrend. Currently, it’s trading near the channel’s lower boundary, around ₹2,357. This zone has historically acted as a key support level, making it an area to watch closely for potential buying interest.
🔹 Descending Wedge Breakout
Recently, ACC broke out of a descending wedge pattern, a generally bullish formation, which suggests the potential for an upward move. The breakout is still in its early stages, so continued momentum will be critical in confirming the trend reversal.
🔹 Price Targets
First Resistance: ₹2,592.75 – If momentum sustains, this level aligns with a prior high and could act as a short-term target.
Channel Resistance: If the stock gains further strength, the upper boundary of the channel could offer the next significant resistance level.
🔹 Cement Industry Tailwinds
According to brokerages, Indian cement firms, including ACC, have seen successful price hikes in September, and there are plans for further hikes in October. This is generally positive for margins, adding fundamental support to the current technical picture.
🔹 RSI
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows an oversold condition that’s starting to turn upwards, suggesting possible accumulation at these levels.
📈 Conclusion: Watch for sustained support around ₹2,357 and an upward move towards ₹2,592. A close above ₹2,592 could indicate renewed bullish strength, especially with ongoing industry tailwinds from price hikes.
Cement sector- A duopoly?After Adani group bought ACC and Ambuja cements and became an impact player in cement sector of the country there is a chance of duopoly creation in the cement sector as was seen in the case of telecom sector when Jio entered the segment. Although such extreme duopoly will not be created in cement sector as the other regional cement will continue to operate. There is a chance that the plants of regional companies can also be bought as Ambuja and ACC were bought. So both Ultratech and Adani group cement companies should be looked upon and should be added to our personal portfolio keeping in mind the long term vision of the country. Please do your analysis and share your views in the comment section below.
Hope you like my idea.






















