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Silence Before the Break — Gold Is Charging for a New ATHGOLD (XAUUSD) — 1H MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure Gold remains in a clear bullish structure on the 1H timeframe. After the strong impulsive move up, price has shifted into a horizontal accumulation phase, forming a tight range below the old ATH. This is not distribution structure still holds higher lows, and no major support has been broken. 2. Accumulation Zone Insight The highlighted box represents a classic accumulation zone: - Price is moving sideways after an impulse - Volatility is contracting - Sellers fail to push price lower - Buyers absorb supply quietly This behavior typically precedes range expansion, not reversal. 3. Key Levels - Accumulation Support: Lower boundary of the box must hold for bullish bias - Range High / Trigger Zone: Upper boundary of the box - Major Target: Old ATH around 4380+ Acceptance above the range high will confirm breakout strength. 4. Expected Scenarios Primary Scenario (High Probability): - Price continues compressing inside the range - Forms a higher low within the accumulation zone - Breaks out of the range high - Breaks old ATH → Price discovery mode Projected flow: - Range → Breakout → Retest (optional) → Expansion Invalidation: - Only if price breaks and holds below the accumulation support does this bullish setup weaken. Currently, there is no structural confirmation of that. 5. Market Psychology & Conclusion This phase traps impatient traders and rewards disciplined ones. Sideways price action at highs is a sign of strength, not weakness. Conclusion: Gold is consolidating below ATH to build liquidity for the next impulsive leg. Once the range breaks, continuation toward new all-time highs becomes the dominant path. Strong moves are born in quiet ranges — wait for structure, not emotion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
3
PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – GOLD (XAUUSD, M30)🔎 Overall context: Price is moving within a short-term bullish structure, supported by a clearly defined ascending trendline from the recent low. However, the current rally is approaching a high-value / supply zone, where selling pressure is starting to appear. 📌 Key levels on the chart: VAH / POC zone (~4,327 – 4,331): This is a strong resistance area, where price was previously rejected decisively. The sharp reaction here suggests that sellers are actively defending this zone. POC (~4,327): A high-liquidity area where price often slows down, consolidates, or reverses if there is insufficient breakout momentum. VAL zone (~4,290): A major support zone below, and a likely pullback target if price gets rejected from VAH. 📈 Potential scenarios: Scenario 1 – Priority (Sell on rally): If price fails to break and hold above the VAH / POC, and rejection signals appear (wicks, engulfing candles, minor structure break), 👉 A pullback toward the VAL area around 4,290 is likely. Scenario 2 – Bullish continuation: Only if price breaks and holds firmly above 4,331 with strong volume, 👉 A new bullish leg is confirmed, making buying on pullbacks the safer approach. ⚠️ Important notes: Do not chase BUYs directly below resistance. Do not SELL blindly without confirmation. Focus on price reaction at key levels and trade based on probability, not emotion. 👉 Short-term bias: Bullish, but at a sensitive resistance zone 👉 Strategy: Stay patient and wait for confirmation at VAH / POC Stay disciplined – protect your capital – opportunities will always remain. 💪📈
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
Gold Is Losing Momentum — Distribution, Not a PullbackMARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H) Market State: Gold has failed to break and hold above the major resistance zone, triggering a clear momentum rollover. The recent structure is no longer a healthy pullback it is distribution after exhaustion. Technical: – Price formed a rounded top under resistance, signaling buyer fatigue. – Breakdown below the fast EMA, followed by rejection at the mid EMA, confirms trend deceleration. – Structure shifted from higher highs to lower highs, validating short-term bearish control. Key Levels: – Resistance Zone: 4,330 – 4,360 – Immediate Supply / Rejection: ~4,300 – Downside Target / Demand: 4,180 – 4,200 Macro Context (Why This Matters) – USD stabilizing after recent pullback → reduces upside pressure for Gold. – US yields holding firm, limiting non-yielding asset demand. – No fresh geopolitical escalation → safe-haven premium fading. – Market is shifting from “fear bid” to risk rebalancing mode. This macro backdrop aligns perfectly with the technical distribution pattern on Gold. Scenario Outlook Primary Scenario – Controlled Pullback: – Price continues to respect EMA resistance – Gradual bleed lower toward 4,180 – 4,200 demand – Any bounce into 4,300 remains a sell-the-rally zone Invalidation: – Only a strong reclaim and acceptance above 4,360 cancels the bearish thesis Gold is not consolidating for continuation. It is unwinding excess long positioning under a macro-neutral backdrop. Momentum favors patience on the downside, not chasing strength. What do you think about GOLD at this level?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
ETH Is Compressing Between 2,860 and 3,020ETH/USD H1 — Market Update ETH is currently trading around 2,908, consolidating after a sharp sell-off from the recent high near 3,179.50. This impulsive drop cleared short-term liquidity and forced the market into a reset phase. Key Levels From the Chart Major Resistance Zone: 3,020 – 3,050 → This is the supply zone where price was aggressively rejected. A reclaim above this area would signal a bullish shift. EMA 34 (H1): ~3,020.10 EMA 89 (H1): ~3,081.53 → Both EMAs are currently acting as dynamic resistance, explaining why price needs consolidation before any upside continuation. Major Support Zone: 2,860 – 2,900 → Strong demand zone where buyers are expected to defend aggressively. Current Structure Price is holding above the support zone, showing stabilization rather than continuation lower. The projected price path suggests: - Short-term sideways accumulation between 2,900 – 2,960 - Followed by a recovery push toward 3,000 → 3,020 - A successful break and hold above 3,020 opens the door for a move back into the resistance zone. Outlook Short term: Range-bound / accumulation phase. Mid term: Bullish recovery favored as long as ETH holds above 2,860. Invalidation: A clean break below 2,860 would negate the bullish recovery scenario.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Gold Is at a Decision Point — Hold the Pullback or Reject Again?MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (4H) Market State: Gold remains in a broader bullish structure, but short-term momentum has cooled after repeated rejection from the major resistance zone. Price is currently reacting around the EMA cluster, a critical decision area. Key Levels: – Resistance Zone: 4,330 – 4,360 – Dynamic Support (EMA area): ~4,260 – 4,270 – Major Demand Zone: 4,170 – 4,190 Price Action: – The impulsive rally stalled under resistance, followed by a controlled pullback no panic selling, suggesting profit-taking rather than trend failure. – Current candles show hesitation near the fast EMA, indicating buyers are testing commitment. – As long as price holds above the EMA structure, the trend remains constructively bullish. Scenario Outlook Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation: – Price holds above 4,260 – 4,270 – Higher low forms – Rotation back toward 4,330 – 4,360 resistance – A clean acceptance above this zone opens the path toward new ATH Alternative Scenario – Deeper Reset: – Failure to hold EMA support – Pullback extends into 4,170 – 4,190 demand – This would be a structural retest, not a trend reversal Macro Alignment (Why This Setup Makes Sense) – Fed still restrictive, but rate-cut expectations remain alive, keeping Gold structurally supported – US yields capped, limiting downside pressure – Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty continues to provide underlying bid Gold is not breaking down — it’s deciding. This pullback is either the last reload before expansion, or a healthy reset into demand. What do you think about GOLD at this level?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
2
Gold Breaks the Triangle - Liquidity Targets Now in Sight📌 MACRO ANALYSIS REPORT — GOLD BREAKS THE TRIANGLE, BULLISH MOMENTUM ACCELERATES 1. Global Macro Environment - Gold is navigating a highly supportive macro landscape as global financial conditions continue shifting toward lower yields, softer inflation, and rising risk-hedging flows. The U.S. economy has shown signs of gradual cooling most recently reflected in moderating labor data and softer inflation prints reducing pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain restrictive policy. These developments keep real yields capped, which historically strengthens gold’s demand profile. - In addition, rising geopolitical uncertainty and fragile sovereign debt dynamics in multiple regions (Europe, Middle East, parts of Asia) are reinforcing the global bid for safe-haven assets. Central banks especially in emerging markets have continued accumulating physical gold as part of long-term reserve diversification strategies. These macro forces combine to create a structural floor beneath gold prices. 2. U.S. Dollar & Treasury Dynamics - The dollar has struggled to maintain upside momentum as markets increasingly price in the likelihood of policy normalization in 2025. Although the USD remains broadly resilient, the loss of bullish follow-through has weakened its pressure on commodities, especially gold. - U.S. Treasury yields also remain near key cycle lows after a sharper than expected deceleration in inflation indicators. Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non yielding assets like gold, generating a more favorable environment for sustained upside movement. Combined with slowing global growth expectations, gold benefits from these yield/dollar dynamics aligning simultaneously. 3. Liquidity Conditions & Risk Sentiment - Global liquidity conditions have improved subtly as several major central banks shift from tightening to neutral stances. China continues to inject targeted liquidity to stabilize domestic financial markets and support manufacturing. The Bank of Japan maintains accommodative conditions, while the ECB signals caution amid slowing Eurozone demand. - Improved liquidity typically increases investors’ willingness to allocate capital toward alternative stores of value and inflation hedges—gold remains a primary beneficiary. Risk sentiment across global equities is stable but not euphoric, leaving investors open to diversifying into metals as a defensive balance. 4. Gold’s Structural Demand Beyond short-term macro drivers, the long-term structural demand for gold continues to intensify. - Central bank purchases remain near multi-year highs. - Retail demand is being reinforced by inflation concerns, currency instability in several emerging markets, and elevated geopolitical risk. - Institutional allocation into commodity baskets is increasing after years of underweight positioning. This sustained structural demand provides a strong macro foundation supporting gold’s technical breakout. 5. Technical Confirmation Backed by Macro - The chart shows a clear symmetrical triangle consolidation, a pattern typically appearing during periods of macro uncertainty. The strong breakout confirms that institutional flows are aligned with the broader macro narrative of falling yields and rising demand for safe haven exposure. The current ascending leg reflects: - Strong trend continuation - Aggressive dip buying - Absence of major supply zones until 4365–4370 liquidity This aligns perfectly with the global macro backdrop favoring further upside movement. 6. Forward-Looking Macro Risks While the outlook is constructive, a few key risks warrant monitoring: - A surprise rebound in U.S. inflation could revive dollar strength - Any aggressive Fed communication could temporarily suppress gold’s momentum - Rapid easing in geopolitical tensions could reduce haven flows However, none of these risks have materialized convincingly, allowing gold to maintain its bullish structure. 📈 Final Outlook Gold’s breakout is supported not only by technical strength but also by a robust macro foundation: softening yields, a stalling dollar, central bank buying, improving liquidity, and persistent geopolitical risk. As long as price maintains its higher-low structure and remains above channel support, the path toward the next major liquidity cluster at 4365–4370 remains firmly intact.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
7
This Gold Drop Is a Trap — Smart Money Is Waiting Right HereMARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H) Market State: Gold is in a controlled corrective phase after failing to hold above the recent high. Price is now compressing toward a key demand zone, with momentum slowing rather than accelerating lower. This is not panic selling it’s positioning ahead of a macro catalyst. Structure Read: – Clear lower highs under a descending trendline → short-term bearish pressure – Price is approaching a major reaction level (~4,205 – 4,215) – This zone aligns with previous structure + demand, making it a decision point, not an automatic breakdown Key Levels: – Resistance: ~4,315 – 4,320 – Current Price Area: ~4,280 – Demand / Reaction Zone: 4,205 – 4,215 Macro Context – Why Non-Farm Matters Here – NFP is the next major volatility trigger for USD and yields – Market is currently flat positioning, waiting for labor data confirmation – A weaker NFP → USD softens → Gold likely reacts sharply from demand – A strong NFP → brief downside liquidity sweep possible, but still into major demand This explains the compression and hesitation on the chart — institutions are waiting, not exiting. Scenario Outlook Primary Scenario – Reaction then Expansion (Post-NFP): – Price sweeps liquidity into 4,205 – 4,215 – Holds structure – Sharp reaction higher toward 4,315 – 4,320 – Break above opens room for trend continuation Alternative Scenario – Deeper Shakeout: – Only a clean acceptance below 4,200 – Would delay bullish continuation, not invalidate the larger structure Gold is not breaking it’s waiting. The market is pausing ahead of Non-Farm, letting liquidity build before direction is revealed. Wait for Non-Farm. Let the data move price not emotion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
EUR/USD Is Coiling — The Next Push Is Being PreparedMARKET BRIEFING – EUR/USD (1H) Market State: – EUR/USD is holding a constructive bullish structure, transitioning into a controlled consolidation after the impulsive leg higher. Price continues to respect higher lows, indicating buyers remain engaged. Key Levels: – Range Support: 1.1730 – 1.1740 – Mid-Range Balance: ~1.1750 – 1.1755 – Range Resistance / Target: 1.1765 – 1.1770 – Breakout Acceptance: Above 1.1770 Price Action: – Pullbacks are shallow and quickly absorbed, suggesting demand is defending the range. – The current structure resembles re-accumulation, not distribution, with energy building below resistance. Next Move: – Continued sideways rotation within the range is likely before expansion. – A clean break and acceptance above 1.1770 opens the path toward higher highs. – Failure to hold 1.1730 would delay the bullish scenario and force deeper consolidation. Bottom Line: EUR/USD is not stalling it’s compressing with intent. As long as structure holds, upside continuation remains favored.
Long
by RexTraderSignal
ETH Just Flushed — Now the Market Is Being ResetMARKET BRIEFING – ETH/USD (1H) Market State: – Ethereum just completed a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking previous structure and entering a range-building phase. – The drop was aggressive, but follow-through selling has stalled price is now compressing inside a sideways box, signaling digestion, not trend continuation. Key Levels: – Demand / Base Zone: 2,900 – 2,920 – Range High: ~2,970 – 2,980 – Reclaim Level: ~3,040 – 3,050 – Major Resistance: ~3,100 – 3,120 Price Action Read: – The sell-off swept liquidity below prior lows, then immediately slowed — a sell-side exhaustion move. – Current candles show failed downside expansion and repeated rejections from the range low, typical of sideways accumulation after impulse. Next Move: – Expect continued sideways rotation between 2,900 – 2,980 while the market rebalances. – A clean reclaim and acceptance above 3,040 opens room for a recovery push toward 3,100+. – A decisive break below 2,900 would invalidate the base and reopen downside risk. Bottom Line: ETH is not trending it’s resetting after the flush. Until price escapes the range with acceptance, patience and range logic dominate. What do you think about ETH at this level?
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
2
Bitcoin Is Pausing at Demand — The Market Needs TimeMARKET BRIEFING – BTC/USD (1H) Market State: – Bitcoin has completed a sharp impulsive drop into a well-defined demand zone, followed by immediate stabilization. – Price is now transitioning into a sideways consolidation phase, signaling absorption rather than continuation lower. Key Levels: – Demand Zone: 85,100 – 85,300 – Range Mid / Balance: ~85,800 – 86,000 – Upper Range Resistance: 87,000 – 87,200 – Major Resistance / Breakdown Point: ~87,700 – 88,000 Price Action Read: – The sell-off flushed liquidity below prior structure, then stalled a classic sell-side exhaustion signal. – Short-term candles show compression and failed downside follow-through, consistent with range-building behavior. Next Move: – Expect continued sideways rotation inside the demand zone. – A clean reclaim of 87,000 opens room for a recovery push toward 87,700–88,000. – Failure to hold 85,100 would invalidate the base and reopen downside risk. Bottom Line: Bitcoin is not breaking it’s digesting the move. Until price exits the range with acceptance, patience beats prediction in this phase. What do you think about BITCOIN at this level?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Gold Is Coiling for Impact — Compression CompleteXAU/USD (M30) — Market Update Gold is currently compressing inside a rising wedge / symmetrical compression, exactly as illustrated on the chart. After the strong impulsive rally earlier, price has transitioned into a controlled consolidation phase, forming higher lows against a slightly descending cap a classic pre-breakout structure. Key Levels From the Chart Current Price: ~4,286 Ascending Support (Compression Base): 4,270 – 4,280 → Buyers continue to defend this zone aggressively. Descending Resistance (Range Cap): 4,340 – 4,350 → Multiple rejections confirm supply is present but weakening. Upside Liquidity Target: 4,380 – 4,385 → This is the next major liquidity cluster once a bullish breakout occurs. Bearish Alternative (Fake Break Scenario): A failure to hold above 4,270 could trigger a liquidity sweep toward 4,220 – 4,230 before any meaningful reversal. Structure & Expectation Price action inside the wedge shows volatility compression, not distribution. Each dip is being bought at higher levels → bullish pressure building. The longer price coils inside this structure, the stronger the eventual breakout. The primary bias remains bullish breakout, with the downside path acting as a secondary liquidity trap scenario.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
US30 | ANALYSIS📊 US30 Update — Key Structure Levels Active US30 is trading around an important structure zone where buyers have shown strength before. As long as price holds above support, bullish momentum remains valid, with potential continuation toward the next resistance area. 🔓 Entry: 48,395 ❌ Stop Loss: 48,192 🎯 Target: 48,627 Price action around these levels will be crucial for confirmation. Do you expect continuation or a short-term pullback from here? Drop your bias below 👇 Your like/support helps this idea reach more traders 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post reflects personal market analysis and is not financial advice.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by LEO_TRADES98
Gold Continues to Search for New HighsHello, smart and prosperous friends — what’s your view on OANDA:XAUUSD ? Today, gold continues to maintain its bullish momentum and is currently trading around USD 4,305, marking its highest level since October 21. The main driver remains expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates, which puts pressure on the U.S. dollar and supports the precious metal. In the near term, market attention is focused on the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, along with retail sales and PMI data scheduled for release today. These key indicators could directly influence monetary policy expectations and gold price volatility. From a technical perspective, the bullish structure remains clearly intact. Strong demand zones below are holding firmly, while recent pullbacks appear to be purely technical in nature. Notably, the USD 4,350–4,360 area is showing signs of a weak high, suggesting there may still be room for price to sweep liquidity to the upside. As long as gold holds above its structural support, the preferred scenario remains buying on pullbacks, rather than selling against the prevailing trend. What’s your take on gold prices today? Share your thoughts 👇.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
3
Gold Is Compressing for a Break, Macro Forces Are Lining UpMARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (4H) Market State: – Gold is consolidating bullishly below the previous ATH at 4,380, maintaining higher lows. This price behavior aligns with a market that is absorbing supply, not distributing. MACRO CONTEXT – WHY THE UPSIDE CASE IS STRONG 1. Fed Policy: Tightening Is No Longer the Driver – The Fed has shifted from aggressive tightening to a data-dependent, hold-biased stance. – Rate expectations are capped → real yields struggle to push higher, removing downside pressure on gold. – Markets are already pricing future easing cycles, which structurally favors precious metals. 2. USD Weakness Is Structural, Not Temporary – The U.S. Dollar has failed to extend upside despite elevated rates a classic late-cycle signal. – Any USD bounce remains corrective while macro flows rotate toward hard assets and inflation hedges. 3. Global Risk & Geopolitics Remain Unresolved – Ongoing geopolitical instability and fiscal uncertainty continue to support safe-haven demand. – Central banks remain net buyers of gold, reinforcing long-term accumulation beneath price. 4. Liquidity Environment Favors Asset Inflation – Global liquidity conditions are stabilizing after prolonged tightening. – Gold historically performs best during liquidity inflection phases, especially when rates peak. TECHNICALS + MACRO ALIGNMENT Key Levels: – Resistance / Decision Zone: 4,360 – 4,380 – Support Holding Structure: 4,300 – 4,320 – Structural Base: ~4,250 – Macro Expansion Target: 4,450 → 4,500 Price Action: – Bullish consolidation under ATH = smart money absorption. – Macro backdrop removes the conditions required for a sustained breakdown. – Technical compression + macro tailwinds = high-probability expansion setup. Next Move (High-Confidence Scenario): – Acceptance above 4,380 triggers range expansion toward 4,450–4,500. – As long as price holds above 4,300, pullbacks are continuation opportunities, not reversal signals. Gold is not just technically strong — macro conditions are validating the breakout thesis. This is not speculation; it is structure + policy + liquidity moving in the same direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
BTCUSDT – Downtrend - The Market Enters a Critical TestBitcoin is losing bullish momentum and gradually shifting into a phase dominated by selling pressure. After multiple failed recovery attempts, BTCUSDT is showing clear signs of buyer fatigue as short-term capital pulls back and risk-off sentiment spreads across the market. From a market context perspective, caution is prevailing as investors wait for key U.S. economic data. The U.S. dollar is showing signs of recovery, while Treasury yields stabilize, reducing the appeal of risk assets like Bitcoin in the short term. As a result, speculative flows have become more defensive. On the price chart, the short-term bullish structure has been broken. Bitcoin continues to form lower highs, signaling that sellers are taking control of price action. Recent rebounds are weak and purely technical, quickly met with selling pressure—typical behavior during the early stages of a developing downtrend. Notably, key support zones below are being gradually eroded. A clear break of these levels could trigger stop-loss cascades, accelerating the downside move. In this environment, attempting to catch the bottom carries significant risk. From a trader’s perspective, selling on pullbacks remains the preferred strategy. Trading in alignment with the prevailing trend, maintaining strict risk management.
Short
by Trade_and_Chill-
3
Latest Gold Price Update Today – Strong Rally👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the gold price today? Gold prices are currently undergoing a mild correction, giving back part of the strong gains recorded late in yesterday’s session, and are now consolidating around the key 4,300 USD level after reaching a multi-week high earlier. This move is driven by expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to cut interest rates next year. Overall, gold remains on an upward trajectory despite a stronger US dollar and a broad rise in US Treasury yields. From a technical perspective, the 4,250 USD resistance level has been convincingly broken and has now turned into a new support zone. This area is viewed as a launchpad for the precious metal to continue advancing toward the next resistance level at 4,370 USD. And you — what’s your view on the gold price today?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Three_Musketeers
3
Will Bitcoin Break Through $94,000 or Drop Back to Support?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Market Analysis – 1H Chart 1. Current Price Structure Bitcoin has been fluctuating within a range, respecting the support zone around $88,992 and the resistance zone around $94,234. Price action shows a period of consolidation after hitting the resistance zone, signaling indecision in the market. The price remains above both the EMA 34 and EMA 89, confirming that the medium-term trend is still bullish, as the moving averages are providing upward support. 2. Liquidity Zones Resistance Zone: $94,234 - $94,800. This region is a critical resistance, and price tends to struggle when it reaches this area, with rejections observed in recent price movements. Support Zone: $88,992 - $89,200. The price is currently respecting this support, with buyers stepping in to push the price upward. A break below this zone may signal a deeper correction. 3. Today’s Market Scenario Main Scenario – Bullish Continuation (60% Probability): If price holds above the support zone ($88,992) and breaks through the resistance zone, Bitcoin is likely to continue its uptrend toward the next targets: Target 1: $92,878 Target 2: $94,800 (near the resistance zone) Extended Target: $96,000 Bearish Scenario – Lower Probability (40%): If the price fails to break the resistance zone, we may see a retest of the support zone at $88,992. A break below $88,992 would open the way for further downside towards $87,600. 4. Market Psychology Bullish Sentiment: The general trend remains optimistic, with institutional investors likely accumulating positions at the support zone. Bearish Pressure: Retail traders may be getting caught in the volatility near the resistance zone, which often leads to false breakouts and liquidity grabs. 5. Intraday Strategy Guidance Buy Opportunity: Look for price rejections near the support zone ($88,992 - $89,200). A clean bounce off this level would be a great entry for a continuation of the uptrend. Sell Opportunity: Consider shorting if Bitcoin fails to break the resistance zone ($94,234) and begins to reverse from this level, especially if there is a strong bearish candle or rejection. Upcoming Key Factors Macroeconomic Factors (Fed Announcements): Any macroeconomic news, particularly announcements from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates or economic policies, could impact the volatility of Bitcoin. A dovish Fed stance could provide further bullish momentum, while hawkish signals may trigger a correction. Global Events: Be aware of global economic events (e.g., geopolitical tensions, economic reports) that might influence risk sentiment in the market. Conclusion: The market is currently in a consolidation phase, with a strong bullish bias above the support zone. A clear breakout above the resistance zone could open up more upside potential. However, any rejection at the resistance may lead to a retracement. Keep an eye on macroeconomic news, particularly related to the Fed, as it could be a catalyst for either a breakout or breakdown.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
1
Bitcoin Repeats a Familiar Pattern - NEXTZone Is Already Defined🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – BTC/USD (1H) Market State: – Bitcoin is once again trading inside a repeating range structure, similar to the previous consolidation phases marked (1 → 3). – Price has just rebounded from the lower demand area and is now holding above short-term support, while still trading below the key moving averages, keeping the broader structure neutral-to-corrective. Key Technical Levels: – Demand / Base Zone: 87,800 – 88,600 – Mid-Range Reaction Level: 90,000 – 90,300 – Major Resistance / Supply Zone: 93,000 – 93,500 – The projected move toward zone (4) aligns with prior range highs and unfilled liquidity. 🌍 Macro Context – Why This Remains a Range, Not a Breakout – Federal Reserve: Policy expectations remain stable with no immediate liquidity expansion signal. This limits impulsive upside in risk assets. – Liquidity Conditions: The recent downside move cleared leveraged longs, enabling a technical rebound, but macro liquidity is not supportive of trend continuation yet. – Risk Sentiment: Broader markets continue to show consolidation behavior, reinforcing mean-reversion rather than directional conviction. Next Move: – A controlled push toward 90,000–90,300 is likely as part of a corrective recovery. – Extension toward the 93,000–93,500 resistance zone is possible, but this area is expected to act as a decision point, not an automatic breakout. – Only acceptance above 93,500 would invalidate the range-based thesis and shift the bias toward trend continuation. Bottom Line: – Bitcoin is following a structured, repeating range pattern, not randomness. – Until macro conditions shift, rallies should be viewed as range extensions into resistance, not confirmed trend reversals.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Ethereum Set for a Rally: Can It Break Key Resistance?Ethereum (ETH/USD) – 1-Day Chart Current Market Structure: Ethereum is in a clear ascending channel with higher lows and higher highs, indicating a potential bullish trend. The price is currently consolidating within this channel and preparing for a potential breakout to the upside. Key Levels: Support Zone: $2,633.61 - The price has consistently bounced off this zone, showing strength. Resistance Zones: $4,716.90 Take Profit 1: $3,612.44 Take Profit 2: $4,188.23 Take Profit 3: $4,716.90 Most Probable Scenarios: 1. Bounce from Support: Ethereum is likely to continue its upward movement, testing the first take-profit target at $3,612.44. 2. Consolidation: Price may continue to consolidate within the channel before making a final move higher. 3. Breakout to the Upside: If Ethereum successfully breaks above the upper boundary of the channel, a move toward the next resistance levels (Take Profit 2 and Take Profit 3) is expected. Actionable Advice: Buy near the lower boundary of the channel, aiming for Take Profit 1 at $3,612.44. Hold if price reaches the higher resistance levels ($4,188.23 and $4,716.90). Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders below the support zone around $2,633.61 to protect against unexpected price action.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
1
Bitcoin's Critical Test:Will Upcoming News Drive It Beyond $106KHELLO TRADERS.... Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 1-Day Chart Current Market Structure: Bitcoin is currently forming an ascending triangle pattern, with higher lows establishing a clear demand zone at $80,595 and a supply zone at $106,003. This structure suggests a potential continuation to the upside if price breaks the resistance zone. Key Levels: Demand Zone: $80,595 Supply Zone: $106,003 Target Zone: If the resistance is broken, the next possible target is above the supply zone, indicated by the blue trendline. Most Probable Scenarios: 1. Breakout to the Upside: Bitcoin may break above the supply zone and move towards new highs, targeting the upper trendline as shown in the chart. 2. Consolidation: Price could continue to consolidate within the ascending triangle pattern before a final breakout. 3. Rejection at Supply Zone: If Bitcoin fails to break the resistance, it might experience a pullback toward the demand zone. Actionable Advice: Buy if Bitcoin breaks above the supply zone with strong volume, targeting the next resistance at higher levels. Sell if price rejects the supply zone, waiting for a retest of the demand zone for potential re-entry. Patience: As Bitcoin is consolidating in a defined range, waiting for confirmation at key levels is crucial to avoid false breakouts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
1
Gold Compresses in a Range - The Breakout Will Not Be Random🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H) Market State: – Price is moving sideways after a strong impulsive rally, forming a clear range structure between a well-defined support zone and a resistance zone. – The current price action shows controlled consolidation, not distribution, indicating the market is waiting for a catalyst rather than reversing. Key Technical Structure: – Support Zone: ~4255–4265 – Resistance Zone: ~4345–4360 – Price is respecting both boundaries, creating higher lows into resistance — a classic compression before expansion setup. Market Bias: – Neutral to bullish while price holds above the support zone. – The sideways movement reflects absorption, not selling pressure. 🌍 Macro Context – Why Gold Is Ranging – Federal Reserve: Markets are pricing in a wait-and-see stance from the Fed. Rate expectations are stable, limiting directional momentum in USD. – US Yields: Bond yields have stalled after the recent move, removing immediate pressure on gold. – Risk Sentiment: Equity markets remain mixed, keeping gold supported but not aggressive. → This macro balance explains the range-bound behavior seen on the chart. Next Move: – As long as price continues to hold above the support zone, the structure favors an upside breakout. – A clean break and acceptance above the resistance zone would likely trigger a continuation leg toward higher liquidity targets. – Failure to hold the support zone would invalidate the bullish structure and shift focus back to deeper demand levels. Bottom Line: – Gold is not weak it is waiting. – The current sideways phase is a preparation zone, and the breakout direction will align with the next macro impulse rather than random price noise.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Gold_Dominator
2
BTCUSD: Bearish Trend Confirmed with Downside TargetsAs per the updated analysis, BTCUSD has reversed its previous bullish momentum and is now poised for a downtrend toward lower targets. The chart shows a well-defined resistance zone at 91,563, where price has started to recoil and move lower. 🔹 Market State: Bearish Reversal Confirmed BTCUSD has now entered a consolidation phase below the resistance zone, with price rejecting the higher levels around 91,563. The market is setting up for a downside continuation with clear price action signals. The move lower has already begun, and targets are positioned around 89,200 (Target 1), 88,000 (Target 2), and 86,386 (Target 3). 🔹 Macro Factors Driving the Decline: 1. Risk-Off Sentiment Prevails Yesterday's decline can be attributed to the broad market risk-off sentiment. Concerns about global economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and weaker-than-expected economic data are pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin. 2. Strong USD and Profit-Taking The US dollar’s strength has been a key factor in BTC's retreat. As the dollar rises, investors typically retreat to more secure assets, causing Bitcoin and other risk assets to experience declines. Profit-taking after Bitcoin's recent surge also contributed to the market's downward movement. 3. Fed Rate Expectations Fed's hawkish stance (with interest rates possibly staying higher for longer) is placing further pressure on risk assets, making them less attractive to investors. This also increases the capital inflow into USD and dampens demand for Bitcoin. 4. Macro Data Weakness Poor economic indicators such as reduced job growth or disappointing inflation figures could contribute to the broader market decline. The weak economic data creates more uncertainty, prompting liquidation of higher-risk assets. 🔹 Price Expectations and Targets: Resistance Zone: 91,563 (Key Rejection Point) Target 1: 89,200 Target 2: 88,000 Target 3: 86,386 As long as price remains below 91,563, the bearish continuation setup is intact, and the market is expected to decline towards Target 1, then Target 2 and Target 3.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Gold (XAUUSD) Price Action Analysis – H1 Timeframe I 12/16📌 Market Context After a strong impulsive rally, price entered a distribution phase followed by a sharp correction, signaling that buying momentum has weakened and the market is now rebalancing supply and demand. At the moment, price is trading inside the Value Area, indicating a sideways / consolidation phase while waiting for the next directional move. 📊 Volume Profile Analysis VAH (Value Area High): ~4348 → A strong resistance zone where price has been rejected multiple times. Without strong momentum, price is unlikely to break above immediately. POC (Point of Control): ~4343 → The area with the highest traded volume, representing fair value. Price reacts clearly here, making it a key decision zone. VAL (Value Area Low): ~4310 → A critical support zone. Price is currently hovering around VAL, showing buyers are defending, but without strong conviction. 📉 Current Price Behavior Price moved decisively from VAH down to VAL, giving short-term control to sellers. After tapping VAL, price failed to break down aggressively and started ranging with small candles → a sign of temporary balance, likely waiting for news or fresh order flow. No clear bullish structure yet → no strong BUY confirmation at this stage. 🎯 Potential Scenarios 1️⃣ Continuation to the downside (preferred if bearish news hits): Clear break below VAL ~4310 Failed retest → potential extension toward lower demand zones 2️⃣ Technical pullback: VAL holds Price retraces toward POC ~4343 Rejection at POC → opportunity to sell on rallies ⚠️ BUY is only safer when: Price strongly reclaims POC H1 structure shifts clearly to higher highs and higher lows 🧠 Summary The market is currently in a waiting mode This area is highly sensitive, especially around news releases No FOMO, no predictions Trade based on price reactions at VAL – POC – VAH If the market doesn’t give a clear signal, patience becomes your strongest edge.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader