Get started

Chartanalysis

S&P500: Poised for Further Pullback The S&P 500 futures are currently trading just above support at 6,540 points, but are expected to see a temporary pullback within magenta wave (4). In our primary scenario, we anticipate the sell-off will extend into the green Long Target Zone between 6,163 and 5,912 points. From this area, we expect the start of wave (5), which would complete the magenta five-wave sequence and push the index higher—ideally above resistance at 6,952 points. This move would also mark the final high of the broader blue wave (III). However, if selling pressure intensifies and the Long Target Zone is breached, our alternative scenario will come into play (probability: 31%). In this case, blue wave alt.(III) would already be complete, and the index would enter a significantly deeper correction phase.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by HKCM_Global
Bitcoin at the Edge – What Comes Next?Over the past couple of months, Bitcoin has been navigating a complex mix of macro shifts, liquidity changes, and sector-specific catalysts that, in our opinion, have pushed the market into a critical decision zone. Sentiment has become increasingly divided: long-term structural bulls remain confident, while short- and medium-term flows have turned more cautious. 1. Recent Developments & Market Sentiment In the past half a year, crypto markets have been influenced by several overlapping narratives. Regulatory tone has eased globally, with more pro-innovation stances emerging in key regions. Political developments—particularly renewed efforts in the U.S. toward clearer crypto frameworks—have added a layer of optimism. Institutional participation has also continued to expand, with ETF flows stabilizing after earlier periods of volatility. Yet despite these supportive headlines, market behavior has shown hesitation and sold off in the past month. In our opinion, this was driven primarily by the resurfacing of Trump’s aggressive tariff threats, reigniting trade-war fears, a sharp drop in expected Fed rate cuts, and massive institutional ETF outflows plus leveraged liquidations. Sentiment has flipped from extreme greed to extreme fear. In our view, the inability to sustain acceptance at recent highs points to exhaustion in the prior uptrend. Overall sentiment is less euphoric and more cautious—this current zone would likely be a battleground between long-term accumulation and shorter-term mean reversion. 2. The Underlying Driving Forces Bitcoin’s medium- and long-term structural drivers remain intact: institutional adoption, the growing integration of digital assets into traditional finance, the post-halving supply dynamics, and Bitcoin’s increasing correlation with broader macro conditions. Macro factors such as real yields, liquidity conditions, and risk appetite continue to play a major role. As markets position for next year’s rate lowering expectations and potential fiscal shifts, Bitcoin, in our opinion, is behaving more like a liquidity-sensitive asset than a speculative outlier. This is especially apparent in how it has reacted to major economic releases and policy signals. The bottomline is that Bitcoin’s major swings are increasingly tied to macro liquidity flows—the same forces that drive equities, especially high-beta tech. Market structure is equally important. Bitcoin’s auction process—how price accepts or rejects value—often drives multi-month cycles. When value areas break or hold, the market tends to transition into new regimes. That is exactly where the market appears to be now. 3. Chart Analysis – A True Decision Area Bitcoin is currently sitting at what we believe is a major inflection point: the 2024 Low-Value Area (LVA), where Bid Block 1 formed in March 2025. This zone acted as the structural base where buyers initiated up to new all-time highs earlier this year. From July to October 2025, the market attempted to accept near the top of the range, with buyers defending Bid Block 2. By mid-October, however, bid support weakened. Longs unwound, driving price back into Bid Block 1 near 84,600, which is confluent with yearly support and the prior trendline break from November 2024. Going into the next quarter, Bitcoin sits atop a critical area of demand. In our opinion, how price responds here could determine whether this pullback stabilizes or it becomes a deeper liquidation phase. Key Levels: 82,000 – 2025 developing low / Bid Block 1 low / 2024 TL breakout 77,000 – 2024 VPOC Bearish Scenario: If buyers cannot recover quickly back above 87,700 (2024 VAH), and bids fail to hold the 81,000–77,000 region, the market may open the door to further long liquidation. That could lead to a move through the 2024 Value Area, potentially targeting the 60,000 region (2024 VAL). Bullish Scenario: If buyers reject strongly up from the 82,000 area, a move through 94,200 (Bid Block 1 high) could shift control back toward buyers. This may open a path toward 100,000/102,550 (2025 developing VAL / Bid Block 2 low), where sellers could be expected. Acceptance above that could set up a move toward 123,050 (2025 developing VAH) and possibly a revisit of the all-time highs. Neutral Scenario: Without any new catalyst, the market may consolidate and form a two-way auction between 99,700 and 82,000 as it digests recent volatility. This could serve as a base for the next directional expansion. In our view, how Bitcoin behaves around this zone will set the tone heading into 2026. I’d love to hear your views—drop your thoughts in the comments and give this post a boost so others can join the discussion. This post reflects our personal market views and is for educational discussion only. It should not be interpreted as financial or trading advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and the levels discussed here may shift as new information emerges. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before making trading decisions.
CME:MBT1!
by EdgeClear
3M: Approaching the Target Zone3M stock has recently traced a zigzag pattern on the chart. In the short term, we anticipate further upside, with shares moving into our Target Zone between $184.42 and $202.51. Within this range, we expect to see the peak of the magenta impulse wave (1). Once this level is reached, a corrective wave (2) is likely to set in, pushing price below support at $115.56. Alternatively, it’s possible that the high for wave alt.(1) has already been established. In that scenario, the ongoing alt.(2) would bottom out within the alternative Target Zone between $110.13 and $93.07 (probability: 32%).
NYSE:MMM
by HKCM_Global
Apple: Pause - but New Highs Likely Ahead Apple has recently shown signs of sluggishness, trading mostly sideways. For now, we expect this pause to give way to renewed gains, allowing the green wave to reach a new high. However, there is also a 31% chance that the current consolidation could break to the downside, leading to imminent sell-offs below the $212.94 support level. In that scenario, we would view the previous advances as merely corrective and anticipate a new, broader corrective low in the blue wave alt.(IV), although this would still form above the lower $168 mark.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by HKCM_Global
LULU HOLIDAY LONGLULU has been falling hard in the past few months/weeks, down to support from March 2020 at $160~ With support from the bottom of the channel on this downtrend also meeting the support from over 5 years ago we see a confluence of support. Also with a rising MACD and a rising RSI showing signs of volume and interest at this HUGE support line, I see an approximate 15%-35% return on investment. The Financials on LULU also look very good with a P/E of 11.62 and little debt sitting at $1.76B. I find this to be a good thing because they have $1.16B of cash equivalents and a market cap of over $21B so little to no stress in the financials I am not a financial advisor, and the information in this post is for educational or discussion purposes only. Please do your own research and consult a licensed professional before making any investment or trading decisions.
NASDAQ:LULULong
by zachtrohon
USDJPY 4H Buy Setup with Levels!Hello Everyone, Let's see how this pair will perform based on the analysis. Based on my analysis I'm sharing my view. Make sure you do your research, and based on your confluence, please look for the entry. Don't rush your trades without any confirmation. Use proper risk management always and trade safe. Thank You All in advance for checking my trade idea for your Likes, Comments & Follows, Highly Appreciated your support! Get the updated ideas. FOLLOW | LIKE | COMMENT | SHARE If this analysis helps you plan better 📈
Long
by MYWORLD115
Nvidia: Downside Pressure Nvidia has recently faced notable downward pressure, but so far has managed to hold above the support level at $176.21. As a result, we continue to anticipate an imminent rally as part of the beige wave V, which should lift the stock into the now-red Target Zone between $227.38 and $260.60. However, if the stock immediately drops below the $176.21 mark, we would expect a new low for the beige wave alt.IV, with the lower $145.50 level still likely to hold.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by HKCM_Global
Tesla: DownwardShortly after our last update, Tesla experienced noticeable downward momentum, initially entering our previously magenta alternative target zone, which has already been stopped out. We currently consider the green wave complete, and the alternative target zone has been deactivated and grayed out. However, there's still a chance the stock could rise sharply, confirming an ongoing upward trend. If this alternative scenario, which has a 35% probability, plays out, we would mark blue wave alt.(II) as complete and expect gains above the resistance at $509.50 and $532.92 within a magenta upward impulse. Primarily, we anticipate further sell-offs and expect the regular wave-(II) correction low to occur first in our green target zone between $157.88 and $46.70. This green zone could potentially be suitable for long entries, protected by a stop 1% below the zone's lower edge.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by HKCM_Global
Gold Price Retest Setup – Key Supply Zones in FocusGold (XAUUSD) has broken below its ascending structure, forming a clear weak low and shifting into a bearish environment. Price is now attempting a recovery toward two major supply zones highlighted on the chart. The first reaction zone sits near 4099–4121, where sellers may re-enter. If this level is breached, price could extend toward the upper supply zone around 4160+, where a deeper retracement is expected. Market structure shows earlier BOS, CHoCH, and a clear EOH, confirming the bearish shift. Until a strong reversal forms, rallies into marked supply levels may act as sell opportunities Gold has broken its bullish trendline and formed a weak low, confirming bearish control. Price is now pulling back toward the 4099–4121 supply zone, where the first rejection is likely. If buyers push higher, the next strong supply sits near 4160, expected to cap any deeper retracement. Until these zones break with strength, rallies remain sell-biased.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mira_Clara
29
Microsoft: Stuck in Sideways PatternMicrosoft shares have continued to show weakness recently, although the stock has shifted into more of a sideways pattern. In the near term, we anticipate another downward move, which should establish the low for wave (4) in magenta within our green Target Zone between $477.87 and $451.84. From our perspective, this range remains attractive for long entries, as we expect a new upward impulse to follow as part of magenta wave (5). This move should push the stock above resistance at $562.17 and complete the larger blue wave (I). Alternatively, there is a scenario in which the high at $562.17 marks the end of beige wave alt.III (probability: 36%). In that case, we would expect a substantial decline below support at $392.97, where the low of wave alt.IV would be found.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by HKCM_Global
Silver Price Ready for Lift-Off: Bullish Channel Silver (XAG/USD) is consolidating within a rising channel, with strong Ichimoku cloud support hinting at a potential bullish breakout. After a brief pullback to the lower channel boundary, price action shows signs of rebound momentum targeting the $54 resistance zone. A confirmed break above $53 could trigger an upward move equal to the channel height, continuing the bullish trend. Traders are watching for a breakout confirmation above the midline for a potential long setup. 🧭 Chart Overview Timeframe: 30-minute chart Indicator: Ichimoku Cloud (9, 26, 52, 26) Price: $52.67 (as of the chart time) Trend Channel: Rising (ascending parallel channel) --- 📊 Price Action Analysis 1. Trend Structure: The chart shows Silver trading inside a well-defined ascending channel, respecting both upper and lower boundaries. Price recently bounced off the lower channel support, which often acts as a bullish signal within an ongoing trend. 2. Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo): The price is hovering around the top of the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting neutral-to-bullish sentiment. The cloud’s future span (Senkou Span A > Span B) points slightly upward — a sign of potential continuation of the uptrend. Support lies near the $52.50–$52.60 zone, which aligns with both the lower channel line and the top of the cloud — a strong confluence area. 3. Momentum Observation: The recent correction looks more like a healthy retracement than a reversal. Buyers are likely waiting for confirmation before pushing higher. 4. Breakout Levels: Immediate Resistance: $53.40 (mid-channel + previous top). Major Resistance: $54.00 (upper channel target). Support Zone: $52.50–$52.00 (Ichimoku + trendline confluence). --- 🚀 Bullish Scenario If price closes above $53.40, it would confirm a breakout of the short-term consolidation pattern. The projected move (based on the channel height) suggests a target near $54.50–$54.60.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Mira_Clara
19
“XAUUSD Trendline Break: Possible Retracement Before Next Move”Gold (XAUUSD) has broken below the rising trendline and Ichimoku support zone, showing strong bearish momentum. Price is currently trading around 4112, after rejecting the upper consolidation zones marked on the chart. The chart highlights two potential retest zones: 1️⃣ First Retest Zone: 4155–4160 (Minor Supply) This is the first reaction area after the breakdown. If price retests this zone and rejects, sellers may re-enter strongly. Ideal for short-term bearish continuation setups. 2️⃣ Major Retest Zone: 4175–4180 (Strong Supply) A deeper pullback level where previous support has turned into resistance. If price reaches this region, look for bearish confirmation signals before entering. Bulls need a clean breakout above this zone to regain control. Overall Outlook Trendline break indicates a temporary shift in momentum. Watch for pullback → rejection → continuation setups. A bullish recovery only becomes valid if gold reclaims 4178+ with strong volume. 1️⃣ Trendline Break Confirmed Price broke below the long-respected ascending trendline. This signals a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The breakdown is strong and supported by a sharp red candle. --- 2️⃣ Ichimoku Cloud Bearish Shift Price moved below the cloud → bearish signal. The cloud ahead is thinning, showing weak bullish support. Momentum is favouring sellers. --- 3️⃣ Previous Consolidation Blocks Marked You highlighted three old consolidation zones (rectangles). These zones acted as liquidity pools, and price used them before continuing higher. Now, price has fallen below them, meaning old support = new resistance. --- 4️⃣ Two Key Retest Levels Identified First retest (minor): 4155–4160 Closest supply zone. Price may bounce into this area before rejecting. Ideal for short-term sell setups. Major retest: 4175–4180 Stronger resistance zone. Previously acted as support. Clean rejection here would confirm continuation to the downside.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mira_Clara
6
XAUUSD Breakdown After Trendline Violation –Bearish ContinuationGold has broken below a long-held ascending trendline and slipped under the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a shift in market structure. After the breakdown, price is now forming potential pullback zones near 4130–4155, where sellers may re-enter. The chart highlights previous consolidation blocks, the trendline retest area, and projected bearish continuation levels. This setup suggests: Trendline break = bearish momentum shift Retest zones identified for possible short entries Lower targets likely if price rejects from resistance zones Ichimoku showing cloud resistance + bearish sentiment XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Strong Bearish Momentum After Trendline Breakdown 1. Major Trendline Break (Key Event) The chart shows gold breaking below a long-term rising trendline that had been respected for several sessions. This is the strongest signal of a trend reversal from bullish → bearish. Once price broke the trendline, momentum increased sharply to the downside. --- 2. Ichimoku Confirms Bearish Shift Price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, meaning bearish momentum dominates. The cloud ahead is thin and declining, suggesting weak future support. Trend bias = Downtrend. --- 3. Key Pullback (Rejection) Zones Two major resistance areas are marked on your chart: Zone 1: 4130 – 4140 A shallow pullback zone where early sellers may enter. If price retests here and rejects, expect continuation downward. Zone 2: 4148 – 4155 The higher, stronger resistance zone. This aligns with: Broken trendline retest Ichimoku cloud edge Previous structure zone This is the ideal short-entry zone for institutional/smart money traders. --- 4. Structure Breaks Confirm Bearish Bias Market broke: Previous consolidation blocks Higher lows Support levels around 4080–4100 This indicates clear displacement and strong bearish intent.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mira_Clara
17
US100 Price Action Outlook Weak High Target&Liquidity SweepZonesThe chart highlights a weak high above current price action, suggesting potential upside liquidity targets. Below, key downside levels at 25,067 and 24,739 mark liquidity pools and possible retracement zones if price rejects current resistance. The structure shows a recent break of structure with both bullish and bearish scenarios in play. Price is reacting near a resistance area after a recent bounce. The weak high above suggests liquidity may be targeted before any reversal. If price rejects this zone, the next downside levels to watch are 25,067 and 24,739, where liquidity sits and buyers may step in. Structure remains mixed, with both upward liquidity grabs and potential pullbacks likely
TVC:NDQShort
by Mira_Clara
7
Uber: Pulling BackUber has recently pushed higher toward resistance at $101.99 before pulling back noticeably from that level. This move aligns perfectly with our primary scenario, as we continue to expect a broader sell-off into the turquoise Target Zone between $68.29 and $59.15 as part of turquoise wave 4. Within this zone, we anticipate price will reverse and resume its broader upward trend, eventually breaking through the $101.99 resistance. However, if Uber reverses course soon and breaks above the $101.99 mark without setting new lows, we would then expect a new high for turquoise wave alt.3 . We currently assign a 35% probability to such a delay in the ongoing upward impulse.
NYSE:UBER
by HKCM_Global
1