NZDJPY: Move UP is Expected! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
One of the setups that we discussed on the today's live stream
is on NZDJPY.
The price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern
and violated its neckline after London session opening
on an hourly time frame.
With a high probability, the price will continue rising
and reach 87.95 level soon.
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Chart Patterns
Is Gold’s Bearish Move About to Unfold?Although this setup was kept private, this is how it started from the very beginning:
My previous analysis on gold has already played out as expected, with the first small bearish correction on wave C right after completing a clean 5-wave move into new all-time highs above $3670.
That confirmed the structure, and now the chart appears to be setting up for a bigger correction. The earlier abc pattern formed the A leg, we are now finalizing wave B, and soon wave C may be ready to unfold to the downside.
My primary expectation is for price to hit the $3673 level, which is my main target for this trade. I am aiming for a clean 1 ATR move into that target, while protecting the position with a 2 ATR stop loss placed slightly above the all-time high. Beyond that, the market might push further down into the $3650–60 and $3600–25 zones, and there is also a high probability of tagging the 23.6% retracement at $3612. A deeper retracement to the 38.2% level at $3555 (last seen from the $3300 area) is still possible in the bigger picture, but that is not my current focus.
For entry reasons, I rely on a full confluence package: Elliott Waves, major resistance levels, trendline breaks on the chart, as well as trend breaks on RSI and MACD. Importantly, there is also a MACD divergence confirming weakening momentum at the highs, which adds strong weight to the bearish case.
From a broader perspective, the consolidation between April and September 2025 already reached its target with the completion of the 5th Elliott Wave at the all-time high, which also marks my main resistance level in this play.
To be clear, my trading focus is only on the $3673 target and the 1 ATR move into it. The rest of the deeper levels and retracement scenarios are part of my broader thought process, but not active trade objectives. Since this is a strong move pushing into all-time highs, I am definitely not trading against the trend — but even within strong bullish moves, there are often opportunities for small shorts at high-probability levels.
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
Are gold bulls or bears more dominant?
Gold is currently still volatile, and short-term pullbacks do not affect its overall bullish trend. With the Federal Reserve's significant interest rate decision, will it fuel a surge in gold bulls, or will it usher in a turnaround for gold bears?
Technically, gold's 1-hour moving average continues to form a golden cross and bullish formation, demonstrating bullish momentum. The overall trend remains volatile upward, with support between 3675 and 3680. Gold's dip only stopped at 3678 before rebounding strongly. Ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision, gold is likely to continue its volatile upward trend.
Based on current US economic and inflation data and market expectations, there are only two possible scenarios for the Fed's interest rate decision: a 25 basis point or a 50 basis point cut.
If the Fed cuts rates by 25 basis points, below market expectations, the gold market could initially rise before falling, with the turning point likely around 3710. If the Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points, in line with market expectations, bullish sentiment will intensify, and buying will continue to push gold prices higher, potentially to around 3735.
Today, we accurately grasped the rhythm of gold's fluctuations. In our previous trading strategy, we clearly pointed out the possibility of gold retracing to the 3680 area. Our latest trading plan is to continue long gold positions around this area, aiming for an eventual rise to 3700. This is an excellent short-term long trade!
Trading Recommendation: For short-term trading, I believe it's advisable to buy long positions around 3675, with a short-term rebound target of 3690.
Wednesday 17 Sept - Asian SessionPrice broke ATH again and set the new ATH around @3703
Big retracement to collect orders - expecting price to push again during Asian session or eventually drop further down to collect orders.
If price respect the Support zone we are looking for further push towards the new ATH around @3700 - new psychological level @3720-25
Lets see what this new day bring us!
Let’s Print 💰💰💰
#TeamWePrint
BTCUSD 4H chart short-term1. Trendline breakthrough
• In the chart you have a drawn orange relegation line (downward trend).
• The current candle struck above this line, which is the first signal of a change of sentiment from short -term inheritance to more bullshit.
2. Horizers of support and resistance
• Support:
• USD 115,426
• 114,487 USD (below, strong support, where price reactions can be seen)
• Resistance:
• 116,826 USD (the price came there)
• 117,717 USD (next resistance - an important destination point, if the moment is maintained).
3. Volume
• The last candles have a growing volume when struck. This is healthy, confirms that breaking from Trendline is not "empty".
4. STOCHASTIC RSI (below)
• You can see a dynamic break from the level of sale (<20) in the direction of 60+.
• This is a signal of growth, but note: the indicator begins to enter the purchase zone. A correction may appear in the short term.
5.
• Long (aggressive): entry around the retestation around 116k as support, target ~ 117.7k, SL below 115.4k.
• Short (versus): If the price rejects 116.8-117K and returns below 116k, you can consider Shorta with Target 115.4k → 114.5k.
FIGR - a clear winner among last week's IPOsI bought shares of FIGR as it was the only profitable company among newly listed IPOs last week ($24M/annual revenue). This is a lending platform on the blockchain. Indicators are looking good, and I think $46-52 can come quickly based on continuation of bullish momentum.
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping the historic $3,700 level. Price briefly tapped 3,702 before retreating into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs both sides. With the Fed policy decision due at 1 AM VN time, volatility is expected to spike. Market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tension, but short-term positioning suggests possible liquidity grabs before a directional move.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703)
Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660)
Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630)
Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665)
• Entry: 3,674 – 3,665
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,685
TP2: 3,695
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638)
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,638
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,680+
👉 High R:R setup if stops hunted before Fed decision.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694)
• Entry: 3,696 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,703
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,685
TP3: 3,680
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but Fed decision risk means smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay nimble: fade extremes at 3,696–3,694 for shorts, and defend demand at 3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638 for longs. Trade lighter size until post-Fed clarity.
EURUSD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.18354 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.18227.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NZDUSD Bullish Momentum Above Key SupportNZDUSD is showing strong bullish structure after a clear Break of Structure (BOS) near 0.5900. Price is now retesting the support zone and holding above, which could open the way towards the next resistance area around 0.6050 – 0.6100.
If buyers maintain momentum, continuation to the upside is likely. A confirmed break and close above 0.6000 would strengthen the bullish case. On the other hand, failure to hold 0.5900 could shift momentum back to the downside.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Support: 0.5900 – 0.5910
Resistance: 0.6050 – 0.6100
This idea is shared for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management.
VWAP Analysis on EURUSD: Anticipating Retracement + Bullish BoS📈 EURUSD has been in a strong bullish trend, showing significant upside expansion. In my view, price is now looking overextended.
📊 When applying the VWAP to the chart, we can see that price is currently trading two deviations above VWAP — a clear sign of stretched conditions. Historically, around midweek, we’ve seen aggressive retracements from similar levels.
🔎 I’m anticipating a potential pullback into my optimal entry zone 🎯. Should this occur, I’ll be closely watching for a bullish break of market structure (BoS) to align with a continuation entry.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly.
GBPJY Daily Forecast - Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|
📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|
📊 GBPJY Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPJPY
USDCHF H4 | Bullish reversal in playUSD/CHF has bounced off the buy entry which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could potentially rise from this levle to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.7871, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss is at 0.7812, which aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 0.7915, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Heading into pullback resistance?EUR/AUD is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.78230
1st Support: 1.76984
1st Resistance: 1.79130
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold Pauses Ahead of FOMC – Big Move Loading?Gold has been consolidating just below its all-time highs as traders await the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow.
Key levels on my chart:
Resistance: ATH 3737.5 → 3749.8 (DH)
Support: 3715.2 (WH) → 3711.6 (DL)
If the Fed cuts rates more aggressively than expected, Gold could break higher and run liquidity above 3750. On the flip side, a smaller cut or hawkish tone could give the dollar strength, driving Gold lower — first target 3700 → 3680.
I’m staying cautious during Asia and London, expecting chop until NY session. My focus will be on how price reacts after the announcement — that’s where the cleaner opportunities should come.
Patience is key here — the real move is still loading.
Could the Kiwi reverse from this key resistance?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5998
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6058
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 0.5950
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish reversal off key support?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3728
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.3688
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension,
Take profit: 1.3792
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.