Chart Patterns
MNQ - Ascending Channel Range Play | FVG Zones Holding
Hey TradingView community! 👋
NASDAQ futures are in classic range mode right now. Let me break down what I'm seeing on the 45-minute chart.
The Setup
MNQ1! is trading at 25,941 inside an ascending channel, currently sitting right in the upper FVG zone around 25,880-25,920. Price has been respecting this channel beautifully - bouncing between the upper and lower boundaries like clockwork.
This is a range-bound market. Until we get a decisive breakout, expect more of the same: test resistance, pull back to FVG, bounce, repeat.
Why I'm Neutral Here
Ascending channel intact - but price is RANGING, not trending
Two FVG zones acting as magnets - price keeps retesting them
S&P 500 at record highs but NASDAQ lagging slightly
Fed pressure headlines creating uncertainty (Powell vs Trump drama)
CPI data Tuesday could be the catalyst for breakout
Bank earnings starting this week (JPM Tuesday)
The News Context
Mixed signals keeping the market choppy:
S&P 500 hit record high Friday - but NASDAQ underperforming
Trump vs Powell drama - DOJ threatening Fed Chair over "renovation" testimony
Credit card rate cap proposal hitting bank stocks hard
Soft jobs data (50K vs 60K expected) - but unemployment dropped to 4.4%
Banks pushing back rate cut expectations after jobs report
Walmart joining Nasdaq-100 on Jan 20 - could bring passive fund flows
CPI report Tuesday - this is the big catalyst to watch
Key Levels I'm Watching
Resistance:
26,000 - Psychological level / upper channel
26,280 - Major resistance (near 52-week high)
26,399 - 52-WEEK HIGH
Support:
25,880-25,920 - Upper FVG zone (current)
25,800-25,860 - Lower FVG zone
25,600 - Channel midline support
25,320 - Lower channel support
My Game Plan
Range scenario (MOST LIKELY): Price continues to oscillate within the ascending channel. Expect retests of the FVG zones. Trade the range - buy at lower FVG, sell at upper channel resistance. This is a scalper's market until we get a breakout.
Bullish scenario: If CPI comes in soft and we break above 26,000 with volume, next target is 26,280, then 26,399 (52-week high). Walmart joining Nasdaq-100 on Jan 20 could bring passive buying.
Bearish scenario: If CPI comes in hot or Fed drama escalates, we could break below 25,600 and test 25,320 lower channel support. Watch bank earnings for sentiment.
The Bottom Line
I'm NEUTRAL here. The channel is intact but we're just ranging. No clear trend until we break out. The FVG zones are acting as support/resistance - trade the range or wait for the breakout.
CPI Tuesday is the key. That's likely the catalyst that decides direction.
What do you think? Breakout or more chop? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Tesla (TSLA) – Head and Shoulders Pattern Analysis🧠 Tesla (TSLA) – Head and Shoulders Pattern Analysis
📊 Pattern Overview
The chart displays a classic **Head and Shoulders** formation on the daily timeframe, which is typically considered a **bearish reversal pattern**.
It consists of:
- **Left Shoulder (Épaule gauche):** A peak followed by a minor decline.
- **Head (Tête):** A higher peak forming the top of the pattern.
- **Right Shoulder (Épaule droite):** A lower high, mirroring the left shoulder.
- **Neckline:** A dotted support line connecting the lows between the shoulders and the head.
🔍 Technical Implications
- Breakdown Risk: If the price breaks below the neckline with strong volume, it may signal a **trend reversal** from bullish to bearish.
- **Price Target:** The expected downside move is typically estimated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward from the breakout point.
- **Volume Confirmation:** The volume spike near the right shoulder and neckline area suggests increasing selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
📈 Current Price Action
- TSLA Price:** $445.01 (+2.11%) — currently above the neckline, but approaching a critical zone.
- Volume: 69.34M — relatively high, indicating active participation.
- Resistance Zone: Around $445–450, aligning with previous highs and the right shoulder.
- Support Zone: Near the neckline (~$426–431), which is crucial to watch for a potential breakdown.
🧭 Strategic Considerations
- Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break below the neckline could trigger a sell-off toward the $400–410 range.
- Bullish Scenario: If TSLA holds above the neckline and breaks above the right shoulder, it could invalidate the pattern and resume its uptrend.
- Risk Management: Traders may consider stop-losses above the right shoulder and targets near the projected breakdown zone.
Any information in this post are not any financial advice you are reponsible for your own decision.
Bearish reversal for the Kiwi?The price is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5796
1st Support: 0.6748
1st Resistance; 0.5831
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
BCHUSD H4 | Bearish BreakoutThe price is reacting off our sell entry level at 620.10, which is an overlap resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 660.37, which acts as a multi-swing high resistance.
Our take profit is set at 580.20, an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
Bullish reversal setup?Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.1643
1st Support: 1.1617
1st Resistance: 1.1698
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
GBPUSD Accumulation → Bullish Breakout SetupThis chart illustrates GBP/USD forming a well-defined accumulation structure after a corrective move. Price has been respecting a strong Key Support Zone, also acting as a Price Floor / Base Zone, where buyers consistently step in and absorb selling pressure. This behavior indicates institutional accumulation and smart money interest at lower levels.
Within the range, the market created multiple reaction zones and internal structures, showing controlled volatility and liquidity buildup. The highlighted Accumulation Zone reflects a phase where the market consolidates before initiating a directional move. Each pullback into support was met with buying interest, resulting in higher reactions and gradual strength.
The shaded bullish channel represents the re-accumulation phase, where price compresses and prepares for expansion. A successful hold above the Base Zone and a clean breakout from the upper structure confirms trend continuation. The projected arrows indicate a potential bullish impulse, targeting higher liquidity zones and previous highs.
Overall, this setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Wyckoff accumulation logic, making it ideal for traders looking for buy-on-dip opportunities, breakout confirmation, and risk-defined bullish continuation trades, provided proper confirmation and risk management are applied.
HBAR PA Retests .618 Fibonacci Support, Bullish Reversal ?HBAR’s current price action is technically constructive, as the market continues to defend the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement on multiple attempts. Price has now spent several sessions consolidating around this level on the daily time frame, indicating that sellers are failing to push price lower while buyers are increasingly willing to step in.
This behaviour is often associated with higher-low formation, especially when it occurs after a prolonged corrective phase. Importantly, bullish volume has begun to increase during these retests, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. Rising volume at support is a key ingredient for reversal structures, as it confirms demand is actively absorbing sell pressure.
Key Technical Observations:
- Multiple holds at the 0.618 Fibonacci support
- Daily acceptance signals strong demand
- Bullish volume building at support
- Key invalidation level remains near $0.10
As long as HBAR continues to trade above the $0.10 support zone, the probability of a rotational move higher increases. A push toward the Point of Control would be the first sign of improving structure, followed by a potential extension toward $0.14 high-time-frame resistance.
From a price action and market structure perspective, HBAR is positioned at a critical inflection point where a bullish reversal may begin to materialise if volume expansion continues.
BNB Trendline Support Holding, Structure Still IntactBNB continues to respect a well-defined rising trendline, with price consolidating just above the $900 area. This behavior suggests acceptance above prior resistance and controlled pullbacks rather than aggressive distribution.
As long as price holds above the ascending support, the structure favors continuation toward higher highs. A loss of the trendline would be the first signal of momentum weakening, but for now buyers remain in control.
Bias remains constructive while structure holds.
ZB: 30 Year Treasuries Face a Defining Data Week The Long Bond and the Shifting Inflation Narrative
The ZB thirty year Treasury futures contract represents the long end of the United States Treasury yield curve and is primarily driven by expectations around inflation, growth, fiscal policy, and long term interest rate risk. Because of its long duration, ZB is the most sensitive Treasury product to changes in inflation expectations and shifts in term premium. When markets become concerned about persistent inflation or increased Treasury issuance, ZB tends to underperform. When growth risks rise or inflation pressures ease, ZB often attracts defensive demand.
Within the Treasury complex, ZB sits at the far end of the curve, while ZT two year, ZF five year, and ZN ten year futures reflect progressively shorter duration exposures. ZT is most reactive to Federal Reserve policy expectations, ZN tends to balance policy and growth considerations, and ZB expresses longer term confidence or concern about economic stability and inflation control. Over the past few months, sentiment in ZB has improved as inflation has moderated from prior highs and recession risks have remained present but not fully realized. The narrative since late spring has centered on easing tariff fears, slower but resilient growth, and a market that is gradually reassessing how restrictive policy needs to remain over the long run.
This week, macro data will be a major driver. CPI on January 13th, followed by PPI and retail sales on January 14th, will shape near term direction. A miss in CPI or PPI, particularly on core measures, would likely support ZB as it reinforces the idea that long term inflation pressures are cooling, allowing yields to drift lower. A beat in inflation or strong retail sales would pressure ZB lower, as it would revive concerns that growth and pricing power remain too firm for comfort at the long end of the curve.
What the Market has done
• Since bottoming out at the 109'14 area in May 2025 after tariff fears were alleviated, bids have stepped up and the market has steadily reclaimed the April Trump liberation tariff selloff.
• In September 2025, buyers were able to overcome sellers at 116’00, which was daily level 2 and a four month resistance level where sellers had previously defended.
• Subsequently, buyers were able to defend this level until the end of November, when bids slipped and sellers were able to offer prices down through the September 5, 2025 low value area and single print at 115'20 to 114'20.
• Since December, the market has been consolidating sideways within this zone, filling in and repairing the LVA as balance has developed.
What to expect in the coming week
The key level to watch is 115'25 to 116'00, which represents the previous week’s close, the current consolidation block high, and the over-under zone of daily level 2.
Neutral scenario
• Expect the market to continue consolidating in a tight range, potentially between 115'25 and 115'05, as participants wait for clarity from CPI on January 13th and PPI and retail sales on January 14th.
• In this scenario, rotational and mean reverting behavior should dominate, with responsive buyers and sellers active at range extremes.
Bearish scenario
• If the market is unable to accept above 116'00, expect a rotation back down through the consolidation block toward 114'18, which aligns with the range low and weekly one standard deviation low.
• This bearish scenario is likely to be very choppy and difficult to trade, as the market remains in balance within the broader 116 to 114'20 range.
Bullish scenario
• If the market is able to accept above 116'00, price could move up through offer block 1 toward 117'00, which represents the high of offer block 1 and the weekly one standard deviation high.
• In our opinion, this is the cleaner trade opportunity, as the market would be imbalancing out of the current balanced and composite value area, opening the door for directional follow through.
Conclusion
ZB sits at a critical decision point, balancing between a well repaired value area below and a clearly defined acceptance zone above. With CPI scheduled for January 13th, followed by PPI and retail sales on January 14th, the market is likely to remain patient until these releases provide clarity on inflation persistence and demand strength. A softer inflation print or weaker consumption data would support acceptance higher and reinforce the bullish imbalance scenario, while firmer data could keep ZB capped and pressure price back through the current consolidation. In our opinion, traders should focus on how price responds at 116'00 and 115'25 following the releases, as acceptance or rejection at these levels will likely define the next directional opportunity.
If you found this analysis useful, feel free to give a boost, comment, or share your own levels and scenarios below.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk.
Acronyms:
w - Weekly
VAH - Value Area High
VAL - Value Area Low
VPOC - Volume Point of Control
LVN - Low Value Node
HVN - High Value Node
LVA - Low Value Area
SP - Single print
EURUSD ...Time To Buy Now!EURUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and struggled to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. EURUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is market as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. Buy EURUSD now.
AUDCAD going long!Hello! This is your finance professional, and here is a new high-quality analysis.
Today we will review the AUDCAD currency pair.
On the chart, we can see that after a strong impulse the price went into a correction. The decline did not follow a usual structure but formed a wedge pattern.
A wedge pattern is a reversal structure. That is exactly what happened — the price reversed and we saw the continuation of the uptrend.
Right now, I have taken a long position according to my trend-following strategy and set the target at the asset’s high.
XAUUSD Update New all-time high in January ?After touching the support area at 4270, gold has resumed its upward movement and is currently approaching its previous all-time high, at 4550.
Looking at the current price action, we can see that the price is attempting to break through the previous all-time high.
Currently, key levels are at 4450 and 4480.
We'll see if the price breaks the all-time high next week.
Have a blessing week ahead !
#TIA/USDT Short 1 H
#TIA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the upper boundary and is heading towards breaking it. A retest of this boundary is expected.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, as it has approached the upper boundary. A bearish reversal is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 0.6125. The price has bounced from this zone several times and is expected to bounce again.
A consolidation trend is observed above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching. This trend supports a decline towards this level.
Entry Price: 0.5691
Target 1: 0.5544
Target 2: 0.5389
Target 3: 0.5200
Stop Loss: Above the green support zone.
Remember this simple thing: Money management.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.






















