Bitcoin Roadmap: Major Support Ahead — Bounce or Breakdown?As expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has dropped to $93,040(Target done) .
The question now is whether Bitcoin will continue its downward trend or not.
Currently, Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($93,200-$87,340) and key Support lines .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave Theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing Wave 5 , with the Wave 3 being extended .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again by entering the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($92,869-$91,763) and possibly from the lower line of the descending channel.
There is a possibility of a fake breakout , but be careful of the momentum of the decline.
First Target: $95,297(near the upper line of descending channel)
Second Target: $96,831
Stop Loss(SL): $90,727
Points may shift as the market evolves
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $98,338-$96,913
CME Gap: $92,525-$91,415
Note: Since Bitcoin has had a high correlation with the S&P 500( SP:SPX ) recently, and if the S&P 500 continues to decline, we can expect Bitcoin to follow suit.
Another important note is that rising tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela could also impact the crypto market, so we should keep that in mind.
Where do you think Bitcoin’s correction will go?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Chart Patterns
USD/CAD: Breakout Alert: 2 Strong Bullish Patterns Say YesAs you can see, 📈USDCAD is resuming its growth.
After completing a bullish accumulation, the price is currently breaking both the neckline of an ascending triangle and of an inverted head and shoulders formation on a 4H timeframe.
I anticipate that the price will continue to rise and reach the 1.4070 resistance soon.
USDJPY 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversals Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 155.050 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Warning: AUD/USD Sinking – Any Reversal Ahead?Hello everyone, today we’ll analyze the AUD/USD pair in the context of its clear downtrend.
In terms of news, the USD is strengthening due to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates high, putting pressure on the AUD. Additionally, the lack of supportive data from Australia recently has made investors concerned about the economic outlook of the country.
From a technical perspective, the chart shows that AUD/USD is in a downtrend as the price breaks through a descending triangle pattern . The resistance at 0.65200 has been rejected several times, and the buying pressure is weakening. This indicates that the downtrend could continue, especially as the price has tested and failed to break through this resistance level.
The next key support levels are 0.64700 and 0.64200. If the price breaks these support levels, the downtrend will likely accelerate. Given the current context, AUD/USD may continue to fall in the short term, unless there’s an unexpected shift in policy from the Fed or Australia .
In conclusion, the downtrend of AUD/USD is clear and significant . The support levels at 0.64700 and 0.64200 are important levels to watch for trading.
XAUUSD – Intraday Liquidity BlueprintSmart Money Roadmap for November 18, 2025
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters today’s session with compressed volatility after yesterday’s liquidity sweep near 4120. Momentum remains mixed as the market balances between strong USD flows and visible institutional accumulation zones below 4000.
London Session: Expected engineered sweeps → fake premium push
NY Session: High-probability expansion after liquidity collection
Market Sentiment: Neutral-to-bearish, but significant buy-side liquidity sits below 4000, inviting deeper wicks
Current price is positioned in the middle of a premium → discount rotation, meaning both long and short opportunities exist but only at well-defined Smart Money levels.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure (M30)
Short-term structure: Lower High → Lower Low, confirming a bearish intraday trend
Liquidity pools stack at:
Above 4176–4178 (buy-side)
Below 3991–3993 (sell-side)
Beneath 3950 lies unmitigated demand and resting liquidity
Imbalance / FVG Zones
Premium imbalance near 4178 strengthens the sell setup
Discount FVG around 3991 supports a sharp scalp reversal
Major unmitigated OB sits at 3951–3949
🔱 KEY PRICE ZONES (M30)
(Explained clearly and attractively using SMC logic)
🔺 4178–4176 – Premium Sell Zone (Major Supply)
Why this zone matters:
Strongest supply of the day
Contains an M30 bearish Order Block + resting liquidity
Ideal sweep level before a bearish reversal
👉 A classic Smart Money “stophunt → sell-off” zone.
🔺 4122–4120 – Internal Sell Scalping Zone
Why this zone matters:
Shallow internal supply
Perfect for a London-session fake pump
Sits above internal equal highs
👉 Designed for fast intraday scalps.
🔻 3993–3991 – Buy Scalping Zone (Shallow Demand)
Why this zone matters:
Located below a liquidity cluster
Aligns with OB + imbalance fill
High probability for short-term rebounds
👉 Ideal for quick, reactive buy scalps.
🔻 3951–3949 – Major Buy Zone (Strong Demand Base)
Why this zone matters:
Fresh, untouched demand
Deep discount location
Multiple intraday lows resting beneath → liquidity magnet
Highest-probability long setup of the day
👉 A premium-quality liquidity sweep zone for major reversals.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (M30)
🟥 SELL GOLD – Premium Rejection Setup
Entry: 4178–4176
SL: 4184
TP1: 4150
TP2: 4125
TP3: 4070
Logic: Sweep buy-side liquidity → revert to discount.
🟥 SELL SCALP – Quick Intraday Reversal
Entry: 4122–4120
SL: 4129
TP1: 4108
TP2: 4092
Logic: London fakeout zone + internal supply mitigation.
🟩 BUY SCALP – Liquidity Sweep Rebound
Entry: 3993–3991
SL: 3985
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4030
Logic: Short-term sell-side sweep → immediate bounce.
🟩 BUY GOLD – Deep Discount Reversal (Best Setup)
Entry: 3951–3949
SL: 3944
TP1: 3985
TP2: 4020
TP3: 4070
Logic:
Deep liquidity target
Touching a major OB
Highest-probability reversal zone of the entire day
🎯 SESSION NOTES & STRATEGY
Avoid trading inside the 4030–4100 mid-range (no liquidity = low-quality trades)
Only execute from the extremes:
✔ Above 4176 (premium)
✔ Below 3993 and 3950 (discount)
Wait for confirmation: liquidity grab → BOS/CHOCH → mitigation entry
NY session expected to deliver the main directional move
🏁 CONCLUSION
Today’s XAUUSD playbook is clean and high-probability:
➡️ Sell from premium zones: 4178–4176 & 4122–4120
➡️ Buy from deep discount: 3991–3993 & 3949–3951
These levels align strongly with Smart Money liquidity behavior and offer both scalp and high-quality swing entries.
The Market is at 80°C. What Happens at 100°C?Greetings, everyone.
Today, I don't want to talk about the news. I want to talk about what truly matters: market structure. Many traders are currently looking for a news event to explain the current lull and predict Bitcoin's next move. They are looking in the wrong direction.
Remember this: the news is not the cause of a move. It's just a convenient explanation handed to you after the move has already happened. For me, the chart is primary. And right now, it's telling a story that most people are not going to like.
The Global Picture: An Economy of Bubbles and Boiling Water
We live in an era of bubbles. We had the dot-coms, the tulip mania, and now we are witnessing the AI bubble. Yes, AI is a game-changer, and I am actively integrating it into all my processes - it would be foolish to deny this trend. But that doesn't change the fact that the markets are overheated.
The entire global economy right now feels like water heated to 80 degrees Celsius. It’s not boiling yet, but the boiling point is near. Something is about to happen, and the steam is getting ready to burst out.
The Market's Pulse: Where the Crowd Goes Wrong
And what about the crowd? The crowd isn't in Bitcoin anymore. They are trapped in altcoins, having resigned themselves to being "forever waiters." They are praying for an altseason, not realizing that the brief 20-30% pump we saw - that was the altseason. It has already become a meme.
I see endless posts about liquidations on social media. The sentiment is desperate. Most have already lost their futures positions or will lose them soon. What reigns in the market right now isn't fear or greed, but rather a slow realization that the bear market never really left.
The Main Setup on the Chart: A Classic Liquidity Trap
Now for the most important part - what is happening on the Bitcoin chart?
As you can see, we are sitting on a critical trendline support. Everyone sees it. Novices and retail traders see this as a clear "buy the dip" signal. And that is part of the game.
A deliberate trap is being set:
Consolidation : The price is being intentionally held near the support line to create an illusion of strength and to accumulate buyers' positions.
Stacking Stop-Losses : Market makers know that the crowd places their stops just below this obvious line.
Execution : Once enough liquidity has been built up, a sharp breakdown will occur. This will trigger a cascade of stop-loss liquidations, which will only accelerate the fall.
I remain fully on the bearish side until we see a confident break of the all-time high. I view any bounce from the current levels as an opportunity for a better entry into a short position.
What's Next?
What is my advice to myself for the next 2-4 weeks? Wait.
The market is preparing for a great cleansing. A wave of delistings of junk projects and meme coins - which serve no one but the exchanges that use them for hype - is coming. After this cleanse, there will be incredible opportunities to buy at very attractive prices.
Now is the time for deep research into the projects you truly believe in. It's time to get your limit orders ready and wait for the market to come to your prices.
Thank you for your attention.
Regards,
Your EXCAVO.
Liquidity Basics: Equal Highs/Lows, Inefficiencies & POIsPrice doesn’t move randomly, it is always attracted towards liquidity.
Every wick, breakout, and fake-out tells a story of orders being filled.
If you can read where those orders are hiding, you stop trading noise and start trading intention.
Equal Highs & Lows — The Obvious Targets
Retail traders love to mark equal highs and lows as “strong support/resistance.”
Smart money sees them as fuel.
Above equal highs = cluster of buy stops.
Below equal lows = cluster of sell stops.
When price reaches them, it’s a collection of accumulated liquidity as a main driver behind that move.
Inefficiencies — Fair Value Gaps
Also known as Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or imbalances, these occur when price moves too quickly, leaving unfilled orders behind.
Price often revisits these zones later to rebalance.
Spot them between large candles with no overlap, they often mark where institutions filled partial orders.
Points of Interest (POIs)
POIs are areas where liquidity and inefficiency converge , the zones of intent.
Look for:
Liquidity sweep of equal highs/lows
Return to imbalance or order block
Shift in market structure
That’s where high-probability setups occur.
Note:
Stop chasing every candle.
Start mapping why price moves.
Equal highs and inefficiencies are magnets, with proper plan and confluence this can represent your strong side of trading.
BTD ChallengeThree Step Challenge.
Day Trading Nasdaq-100 Futures.
I "Bachelor's"
II "Master's"
III "Phd"
I "Bachelor's"
A. Workshop: five tabs plus a reliable business news service
*1. www.marketwatch.com
*2. 4 Hour chart
***a. Session Volume Profile
***b. volume bars
*3. Daily chart
***a. volume bars
***b. 50-d simple moving average
***c. 200-d simple moving average
*4. 1 Hour chart
***a. Visible Range Volume Profile
***b. volume bars
*5. 5-minute chart
***a. volume bars
*6. Business news Fox, MSNBC, Bloomberg etc
Yesterday's chart was all about an outstanding, high probability win rate Buy the Dip plan. Now we shall earn a B.D. in BTD trades for the Nasdaq-100 futures. This will be applicable to the Dow, S&P 500 and the Russ 2000 futures. We shall go on to earn a Master's and then a Ph.D.. At the end you will be one of the best Buy the Dip traders on the planet.
The old ladies taught this trader how to outline in the fourth grade. He doesn't represent this as their best teaching but as his best (poor) remembrance.
He will stumble and bumble, but we'll get to the end. Let's call step 1 a Bachelor of Buying the Dip Degree - B.BTD.
Above is a rough outline of his workshop. If you like it use it. You are a unique individual. Do what works for you.
Expect additions, subtractions, revisions, anecdotes and, hopefully, facts.
Gold Price Retest Setup – Key Supply Zones in FocusGold (XAUUSD) has broken below its ascending structure, forming a clear weak low and shifting into a bearish environment. Price is now attempting a recovery toward two major supply zones highlighted on the chart.
The first reaction zone sits near 4099–4121, where sellers may re-enter. If this level is breached, price could extend toward the upper supply zone around 4160+, where a deeper retracement is expected.
Market structure shows earlier BOS, CHoCH, and a clear EOH, confirming the bearish shift. Until a strong reversal forms, rallies into marked supply levels may act as sell opportunities
Gold has broken its bullish trendline and formed a weak low, confirming bearish control. Price is now pulling back toward the 4099–4121 supply zone, where the first rejection is likely. If buyers push higher, the next strong supply sits near 4160, expected to cap any deeper retracement. Until these zones break with strength, rallies remain sell-biased.
Is Gold About to Collapse?There are moments when the market doesn’t need to shout for us to sense that a storm is coming . Gold right now is the clearest example: after a wild surge of more than 245 USD in just a few sessions, the market has gone quiet — but it’s the kind of quiet that doesn’t feel safe.
The news backdrop is working against gold . The U.S. government reopening after 43 days means critical data is about to be released, giving the USD room to recover. At the same time, Fed officials continue to deliver hawkish messages , emphasizing they are not ready to cut rates while inflation remains high. This immediately tightens market expectations and puts direct downward pressure on XAUUSD.
Looking at the chart, the recent drop was no surprise: price has broken the ascending trendline and is now retesting the 4,100 resistance zone , where the Ichimoku cloud forms dynamic resistance. Each bounce is getting weaker, showing the bulls are running out of strength . If gold keeps getting rejected at 4,100, a deeper decline becomes almost certain, with the first target near 3,980 — a confluence of previous lows and horizontal support, and a prime area for liquidity sweeps before a potential bottom forms.
In summary, with unfavorable news, weak retracements , and technical structure leaning strongly bearish , gold is facing a very real risk of continuing its downward slide.
BITCOIN The 1W MA50 Bear confirmation you didnt want, happened..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed last week below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 06 2023. Since that break-out, the 1W MA50 had been tested and held on 3 major occasions within the Bull Cycle, providing the most optimal mid-Cycle entries during those 2.5 years.
What's even more important than this time distance, is the fact that every 1W candle closing below the 1W MA50 has always marked/ confirmed the start of the new Bear Cycle historically. This is something that we've presented to you and discussed numerous times this year, as we were analyzing BTC's 4-year Cycle theory and why October was the most likely Cycle Top candidate time-wise.
This time we are looking at the previous Cycle more specifically, due to the strong similarities so far leading to the current Top. First of all the end-of-Cycle rallies on both started after a clear test and rebound on the 1W MA50. At the same time, the both displayed Higher Highs, against the 1W RSI's Lower Highs, which is a huge Bearish Divergence and the first strong indication that the Cycle Top may be forming.
The Cycle Top on both came when the 1W RSIs were 70.00. Also the 1W MA50 break-out took place around the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the last test/ rebound. As you may realize, there is a high degree of symmetry here both price-wise and in terms of RSI. If that continues, we can expect the Bear Cycle bottom to be at least on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $55000.
So do you think that the closing below the 1W MA50 has confirmed the new Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLD: Watching The Support Zone for the Next MoveGOLD: Watching The Support Zone for the Next Move
Gold has pulled back sharply after yesterday’s aggressive selloff, but price is now sitting right on a strong support zone.
This area aligns with the previous structure and could act as a launch point if buyers step back in.
If this zone holds, gold may attempt another push toward the 4,150 resistance and potentially break higher into the upper targets.
However, a break below the support could expose the 4,025 level and even the deeper psychological zone near 3,900.
Key Targets :
4,150
4,230
4,296
4,361
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAUUSD: Light Downtrend, Targeting Lower LevelsGold prices declined during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, continuing the recent downtrend. The weakening confidence in the Federal Reserve's potential rate cut in December has provided strong support for the US dollar , putting pressure on gold and other non-yielding assets. Furthermore, the caution ahead of the delayed September non-farm payroll report, expected to be released this week, is also benefiting the US dollar and driving gold prices lower.
On the chart, we can see that gold is currently moving within a mild downtrend, with a price structure forming a “cup and handle” pattern, setting up for a possible pullback. The resistance level at 4,120,000 USD is quite strong, and if the price fails to break this level, gold is likely to continue its decline toward the next support levels around 4,080,000 USD and 4,000,000 USD.
In particular, the support zone near 4,000,000 USD is a key area to watch, where prices may bounce if selling pressure is not too strong. However, given the current downtrend, the potential for further declines below 4,000,000 USD is highly probable.
Trade Strategy Recommendations:
Sell: If gold fails to break the resistance at 4,120,000 USD and continues to decline, consider opening a sell position with targets near 4,080,000 USD and 4,000,000 USD.
Buy Against the Trend: Consider short-term buy orders if gold rebounds from the 4,000,000 USD support zone, but only trade with low risk and within a short time frame.
Be sure to closely monitor the important resistance and support levels , particularly around 4,080,000 USD and 4,000,000 USD, to make accurate trading decisions.
Overview: Gold isn’t Stalling, it’s Loading...Things have seemed a bit messy for gold lately: momentum getting shaky, traders unsure whether this is a top or the start of something bigger... But zoom out even slightly, and the story becomes stupidly simple.
First, after price broke an important resistance and accelerated upwards (Check my analysis before that ), we get a strong impulsive leg, a steep ascending flagpole.
Then price pulled back in a controlled, downward-sloping channel. Lower highs, lower lows, perfectly respecting trendlines... Just a controlled cooldown after aggressive expansion.
Price then slipped into consolidation, where nothing seemed to happen. That’s the phase where traders panic, second-guess themselves, and misread a simple pause as a full trend reversal.
Compression ➝ expansion.
And then, out of nowhere, the breakout.. right when traders are drained and doubting the trend. Price breaks out of that range, straight into another impulsive leg. That breakout alone confirms the continuation.
BUT THE BEST PART?
After the breakout, what do we get?
Another flag. A cute mini one. This smaller flag is not reversal pressure. Just a pause before the next expansion. The same continuation logic applies: strong leg up, controlled corrective structure, and now the market is coiling again, preparing for its next push.
Traders call this noise, but it’s just the market doing the same thing on a smaller scale. Corrections inside corrections. Fractals. Order. This mini flag is nothing more than momentum reloading. Compression before another expansion.
THE SAME SCRIPT PLAYING OUT AGAIN.
This is where most traders get confused. They zoom too far in, see little candles chopping around, and think the trend is done. But when you actually look at structure, it becomes clear: the market simply created a smaller bullish flag on top of the larger one. A mini-correction sitting right above the breakout. The exact behavior a trending market should show: momentum, pullback, momentum.
We have a pattern of impulse → flag → impulse → flag.
And historically, structurally, this setup continues until the flag finally fails.
This one hasn’t failed yet.
So my expectation?
A breakout form here and continuation bullish. One more beautiful leg up at minimum.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4124 and a gap below at 4042. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4124
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4124 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4212
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4212 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4422
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4422
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4494
BEARISH TARGETS
4042
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4042WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3964
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3964 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3873
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3873 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3767
3646
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
CRYPTO MARKET IN BIG TROUBLE! CRACK!!🔥 Crypto Bros… this is the LAST thing you ever want to see on your chart.
The last time I warned about a MEGAPHONE CRACK back in July 2024, the entire crypto market dropped 31% — and that was while it was still in an uptrend.
This time?
This crack is far, far worse because it’s breaking the entire structure, not just a line.
Breaking a trendline alone is whatever…
But breaking a major structural boundary at this point in the cycle?
You do NOT want to find out whether this is “the real one” or not.
I’m issuing a major WARNING to crypto bulls.
Your whole generation has been trained for 17 straight years to “Buy The Dip.”
That conditioning is a massive disadvantage — and most of you don’t even know it.
And those cute, colorful, meme-filled crypto charts made by 12-year-olds posing as traders?
They aren’t going to save you.
They’re going to massacre your account when the cycle actually breaks.
You had your fun.
Now it’s time to get off the Ferris wheel, step to the sidelines, and actually observe and learn — no matter where price goes from here.
Over $1 trillion has already been wiped out.
Don’t stick around waiting for the other $2 trillion to evaporate with it.
Stay sharp. Stay humble. Stay alive.
Sorry, but it has to be said by somebody!
THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Boost
👉 Follow
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
US100 Technical Outlook: Bearish Pullback Inside a Key LiquidityHey traders 👋
The US100 (NASDAQ 100) is currently sitting in a very interesting technical position on the 4-hour chart.
Let’s break it down 👇
🧭 Structure Overview
After a strong bullish leg that peaked near 25,800, the index entered a descending corrective channel.
We’ve now hit an important support cluster around 24,975 – 25,000, which previously acted as a pivot zone.
I’ve mapped two main liquidity boxes (blue & yellow) that show where buyers and sellers built positions during the last phases of consolidation.
Notice how price rejected from the upper boundary of the yellow box twice — confirming short-term supply pressure.
📊 Volume Analysis
Volume has been elevated on each red candle, confirming that this down-move isn’t just a retracement without conviction.
However, the most recent bar shows a strong bullish reaction on higher volume, indicating potential absorption — smart money may be defending the 25K handle.
If we see declining volume on the next two green candles → likely dead cat bounce.
If volume expands again above 25,200 → we might get a break and retest of the red trendline for a short-term continuation toward 25,600–25,750.
🧱 Key Levels
Zone Bias Comment
25 210 – 25 220 Resistance Prior liquidity flip zone, possible rejection area
24 975 – 25 000 Current support Reaction zone, watch for confirmation candle
24 600 Target 1 Measured-move projection
24 250 – 24 300 Target 2 Major daily demand zone / possible higher-low base
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Short bias remains valid below 25 210.
Expect a short-term bounce into 25 100–25 200, then rejection.
Targets: 24 600 → 24 250.
Invalidation: close above 25 220 on strong volume (would flip the structure bullish).
🟢 Bullish Alternative
If bulls can close a 4H candle above 25 210 – 25 220 with confirmed volume > previous red bar,
the down-channel breaks, and we may see a fast rally back to 25 600 – 25 750.
⚙️ Strategy Note
This chart is for educational & analytical purposes — not financial advice.
I’ll update if we get confirmation on the next 4-hour candle.
👉 Follow for updates and let me know your view — will the 25K zone hold or break next week?
📅 Summary
Trend: Medium-term uptrend, short-term correction
Bias: Bearish below 25 210
Setup: Channel rejection → continuation toward 24 600 / 24 250
Risk: Volume-based breakout above 25 220
Hit 👍 and follow if you found this breakdown helpful — I post detailed NAS100 / SPX / DAX updates every week with volume-based setups.
Let’s grow the community together 🚀
Would you like me to format it with hashtags and keyword tags (so it ranks better in TradingView search, like #US100 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #VolumeProfile)? I can add that next.
EURUSD Channel Down has started its new Bearish Leg.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the October 01 High and price its latest Lower High last Thursday, getting rejected exactly on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in 1 month.
Today it broke below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) after 10 days and such break-outs have confirmed both previous Bearish Legs. As a result, we turn bearish again on this pair and since both previous Legs declined by at least -2.03%, we are targeting 1.14200.
As you can see, this can make a perfect technical Lower Low on the 1D MA200 (black trend-line) a major long-term market Support. Another metric to look for, is the 4H RSI, which provides a Buy Signal when it double bottoms below 30.00.
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC/USDT | Bitcoin Drops Hard – Key Demand Zones Now in Play!By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that BTC failed to hold above $104,700, and as expected, this led to a heavy sell-off. First, the price dropped to $94,000, and then a second strong wave pushed it down to $89,000. Bitcoin is now trading around $91,000.
Key supply zones and demand zones are marked on the chart. Important demand levels sit at $88,000, $84,000, and the larger zone at $74,000–$78,000. Watch how the price reacts to these areas.
If Bitcoin wants to recover, it must first hold above these key zones. But if BTC breaks below $74,000, it could open the door for a deeper drop toward $50,000. For now, focus on price reactions at the marked demand levels.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD | Euro Preparing for a Bearish Reversal Zone! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 6H timeframe, we can see the price trading around 1.1590. I expect a small push upward first, followed by a potential rejection from the 1.16085–1.1640 zone. If we get a strong rejection there, a powerful bearish move could follow.
This bearish scenario only fails if the price breaks above 1.1660.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Understanding Risk Management in TradingWelcome everyone back to Trading view article by King_BennyBag.
In today’s post we will discuss how one can understand risk management in trading, and action it.
We will start off by defining what risk management is.
Risk management definition:
Risk management is the process of identifying your current capital and assessing what you can afford to invest and lose. Never to see again.
It involves identifying risks, assuming risks and ensuring you have a planned response for before, during and after a trade.
CAPITAL IN RISK MANAGEMENT:
In the past, I have stated that the goal of trading is to “PROTECT” your capital first. Once you know how to protect it, you can then multiply it and risk bit by bit.
To take on proper risk management, you must decide what amount you will allocate to your investments or trades. For example – you risk only 1% of your capital on every trade.
INVEST WHAT YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE:
You should only do trading with the funds that you can AFFORD to lose, even then you must be cautious and apply the process above to the same capital. Doing this eliminates the emotional pressure factor and avoids decisions that are driven by Fear of Missing Out. (FOMO)
Before Trading, set a clear number on what you can lose (NEVER to see again) without it affecting your life.
IDENTIFYING RISKS:
Relating to my previous posts, you must have a defined trading plan/edge. This plan must allow you to identify market volatility, news events, psychological mistakes, or technical invalidation points. These are risks that must be identified BEFORE trading.
Knowing these will allow you to apply the right position size correctly.
ASSUMING RISKS:
When it comes to assuming risks, (most people don’t factor this in) it means to accept the potential scenario of you losing, before the trade is actioned.
Your stop loss (always use a stoploss!) must be defined in a way that will not get yourself liquidated. You must calculate the right position size and learn to accept the outcome of the trade, and the mental effects it has on you.
Doing this, the trades & the process becomes mechanical. No longer would it be emotional.
If the loss is too big and you take it anyway. You should not be taking that trade as it will encourage revenge trading.
PLANNING RESPONSES BEFORE, DURING and AFTER RISKS:
With trading & risk management, you must have a pre-defined response for before, during and after trades. Your risks must be set.
Before the trade, you should have an entry, SL & TP set. Along with an invalidation level (if price hits a specific point, you DON’T take the trade) and a maximum risk, eg “I’ll risk max $5,000 on this trade”
During the trade, you must stick to the plan, don’t adjust your SL, or TP if it’s not part of your strategy.
After the trade, if you win, or lose, find out why. Was it a valid trade, did it follow your edge? Or did you take a blind gamble. If you lose, figure out why, if you won, figure out how you could have scaled it upwards.
Applying these 3 factors allows the cycle of discipline to develop and grow. It then removes randomized decision making.
Risk management is a crucial Key in trading. Without it – you have already lost.
I have attached the 3 KEYS to trading success below. Here I go in depth on what an individual must master to be successful in trading.






















