USDCAD simple outlookMultiple daily candlestick from 30 Dec 2025 has led to price testing 100 SMA, we must closely observe how it is going to react with it.
Chart Patterns
USDCHF range beastWithout any significant catalyst I think USDCHF will continue to trade in range. Since XAU and CHF are highly correlated, a HUGE movement in XAU will shake USDCHF, and in weekly timeframe we can observe bearish flag. Bearish flag is a regular phenomenon in this pair.
USDJPY conditionsNeutral on this one. 12 Jan 2026 week USD reports are going to be major directional catalysts.
ISMQ is testing resistance level - Waiting for breakout !Weekly chart, the stock EGX:ISMQ is drawing an ascending channel, and is trying to break the resistance line R.
Above 7.60 for 2 weeks, the target will be 10.1 - 10.3
Near stop loss is 7.00
Below 7.00, the support will be line S (then, a price action around 6.60 - 6.50)
So, a new entry should be above R breakout (closing above 7.60 for 2 weeks), or after a price action at 6.50 - 6.60 and rebound.
$SEI Bullish Blueprint for Sustained Stock Market OutperformanceIn the dynamic world of growth investing, even promising stocks can exhibit periods of frustrating consolidation. A stock may complete what appears to be a textbook base, only to see its subsequent breakout fizzle after a modest advance before settling into another sideways drift. While this price action can test an investor's patience, it is precisely during these phases that some of the market's most significant future winners are quietly constructing a powerful, multi-stage launchpad known as the base-on-base pattern.
Identified through extensive research by Investor's Business Daily (IBD), this pattern represents a critical juncture where institutional accumulation and fundamental momentum coalesce, often preceding substantial price appreciation. The structure is a compound formation comprising two distinct, yet connected, basing periods. The initial stage typically manifests as a classic cup-with-handle, cup, or double-bottom base. Following a valid breakout, the stock advances, but its rally is contained—gaining less than 20% from the initial buy point, and sometimes as little as 8-10%.
This restrained advance sets the stage for the second, equally crucial phase. Rather than entering a prolonged decline, the stock pauses to form a secondary consolidation, most frequently a flat base, directly above the midpoint of its first base. This high-level consolidation, which should form entirely or predominantly above the prior base, signifies strong underlying support and a refusal by institutional holders to distribute shares at lower prices. The definitive new buy point is derived from the structure of this second base, offering a fresh entry opportunity with a higher probability of sustained momentum.
A Contemporary Case Study: Solaris Energy Infrastructure (SEI)
The recent price action of Solaris Energy Infrastructure (NYSE: SEI) provides a compelling, real-world illustration of this pattern's potency, adapted to a high-growth thematic trend: powering the AI revolution.
The First Base and Breakout (Point 1): Beginning in August 2023, SEI formed an extensive, multi-month consolidation. The narrative catalyst arrived in mid-July 2024, when the company announced the strategic $200 million acquisition of Mobile Energy Rentals, a natural gas-powered mobile turbine provider. This move directly positioned Solaris to address the explosive energy demands of artificial intelligence data centers. The stock responded by soaring 45% during the week ended July 12, 2024, on massive volume, conclusively breaking out from its lengthy first base.
The Construction of the Base-on-Base (Points 2 & 3): Following this powerful breakout, SEI did not simply continue rocketing higher. Instead, it rallied for two weeks and then entered a new period of consolidation, ultimately forming a double-bottom base with a buy point of $12.74. It successfully cleared this second-stage buy point during the week ended September 20, 2024. After a further six-week period of tight trading, the stock staged yet another decisive breakout during the week ended November 8, 2024. While technically forming a complex "base-on-base-on-base" structure, this progression perfectly embodies the core principle: a high-level series of consolidations following a major initial breakout, each building strength for the next leg up.
Fundamental Momentum and Analyst Conviction
The technical pattern is firmly supported by accelerating business fundamentals. In November, Solaris announced it had secured an additional 500 MW of capacity, raising its total generation pipeline to approximately 2.2 gigawatts by early 2028. This represents 900 MW of new, high-value capacity that analysts expect will be contracted in the first half of 2026. The company has successfully begun providing primary power to a second data center, solidifying its role as a critical infrastructure partner.
This strong execution has captured significant Wall Street attention. On January 5, 2026, Northland Capital Markets significantly raised its price target on SEI from $61 to $70, representing over 32% potential upside from recent levels. The firm maintained its Outperform rating and named SEI a 2026 Top Pick, lauding it as "the leading off-grid power provider to data centers" with a clear growth appetite through both equipment and value-added services.
Technical Framework: Support Zones and Price Targets
For investors monitoring SEI, the established uptrend provides clear technical landmarks for risk management and profit objectives.
Key Support Zones: In the event of a market- or sector-driven pullback, Fibonacci retracement levels from the stock's major advance highlight probable areas of institutional support:
Primary Support ($45.23): This aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. A hold here would indicate a shallow, healthy correction within a strong ongoing trend.
Secondary Support ($37.85): The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zone represents a deeper, yet historically significant, level of support where buyers have previously stepped in with conviction.
Price Targets: Based on the pattern's measured moves and fundamental analyst projections, two primary price objectives emerge:
Near-Term Target ($60): A conservative target aligning with the initial wave of the pattern's expansion.
Extended Target ($70): This aligns directly with Northland's revised price target and represents the full potential of the current growth narrative and pattern projection.
Strategic Conclusion
The base-on-base pattern exemplified by Solaris Energy Infrastructure is more than a chart formation; it is a visual representation of a stock's transition from an initial discovery phase to a sustained, institutionally-driven growth phase. It demonstrates that the most powerful trends are often not straight lines but are built through periods of controlled consolidation that shake out weak holders and build a foundation for the next advance. For SEI specifically, the convergence of a bullish technical pattern, a strategically timed acquisition in the white-hot AI power niche, and accelerating contract wins creates a compelling narrative for continued leadership. Investors are presented with a stock that has already demonstrated its capacity for explosive moves and is now building the structural integrity for its next major leg higher.
BNBUSDT Daily Chart | Breakout or Rejection Zone📊 BNBUSDT Daily Chart | Breakout or Rejection Zone
Market: BNBUSDT (Binance)
Timeframe: 1D
Context: Range-bound with key HTF levels
BNBUSDT is currently trading between a well-defined supply zone and demand zone, with Previous Month High (PMH) acting as a major decision level.
🔹 Key Levels
Supply Zone: Near PMH (upper resistance band)
Demand Zone: Previous accumulation base
PML: Major downside support
Current Price: Testing supply zone
🔀 Two Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario
A strong daily close above the supply zone / PMH
Acceptance above this level can trigger trend continuation
Next upside expansion toward higher resistance levels (1000+)
❌ Bearish Scenario
Failure to break and sustain above supply
Rejection from this zone may push price back toward:
Demand Zone
Extended move toward PML (marked target area)
🧠 Technical Insights
Clear range structure on higher timeframe
PMH acting as a decision-making level
Price reaction at supply will define the next directional move
⚠️ Trading Note
Wait for confirmation (daily close + volume) before entering any trade. This is a level-to-level market, best traded with patience and risk management.
📌 Chart is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
EURAUD Gaining Momentum | Upside Targets in Sight🌅📈 EURAUD Gaining Momentum | Upside Targets in Sight 🎯
Overview:
EURAUD is showing bullish continuation strength, with price holding firmly near a key support area, favoring further upside expansion.
Buy Zone (Focus Area):
🟢 1.7400
This level is acting as a strong base where buyers are stepping in with confidence.
Upside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 1.7450 – Initial upside reaction
🎯 Target 2: 1.7500 – Momentum continuation
🎯 Target 3: 1.7550 – Higher structure target
Why This Setup Works:
✔ Price holding above a clear support level
✔ Bullish structure remains intact
✔ Smooth upside path with well-defined targets
Trade Management Insight:
Booking partial profits at each target helps secure gains while allowing participation in extended upside movement.
Execution Guidance:
Wait for price stability or bullish confirmation near the buy level before entering. Discipline improves precision.
Final Note:
As long as price respects the base level, the probability favors continuation toward higher targets.
⸻
✨ Special Note for Serious Traders
If you value clean entries, clear targets, and professional risk control over impulsive trading, feel free to connect. I work with traders who focus on structure, patience, and consistency.
🔒 Structure first. Targets next. Consistency always.
Is Volatility Finally Contracting? On the daily chart, SPX remains in a clear uptrend. Even with recent pullbacks and sideways noise, price continues to make progress higher, and volatility has been compressing. Pullbacks have been shallower, and the move up has become more orderly, which is typical of a healthy stage two advance.
Levels I’m watching
Hourly 50 SMA, and the 6,920 area as the first pullback and retest zone
6,900, if we retest deeper toward the prior zone, this is the level I want to see hold
7,000, if we keep riding higher, I’m expecting some hesitation there since it’s a major psychological level, and by then we may be extended from the hourly 10 EMA
How next week could play out
Shallow pullback, then continue
Buyers continue to step in, price holds above 6,945 (think hourly 10 and 20 EMA retests), we grind higher and keep building the right side without giving back much.
Retest the breakout, then rebuild
We dip into the 6,920–6,900 area, find support near the hourly 50 SMA, then work our way back up and try for new highs again.
Sideways digestion
After the recent push, we chop and digest between roughly 6,920 and 6,965, then the next directional move comes after price tightens up.
Bigger pullback
If 6,900 breaks, I’d look for support in the middle of that first zone I marked, then I'd reassess whether it’s just a deeper reset or a real shift in momentum.
NZDCHF Losing Strength | Sellers Target Lower Levels🔻🧊 NZDCHF Losing Strength | Sellers Target Lower Levels 🎯
Overview:
NZDCHF is showing bearish continuation signs, with price reacting near a key supply area, opening the door for further downside movement.
Sell Zone (Focus Area):
🔴 0.4600 – 0.4595
This zone acts as a resistance area where selling pressure is expected to remain active.
Downside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 0.4570 – Initial downside reaction
🎯 Target 2: 0.4560 – Continuation target
🎯 Target 3: 0.4550 – Deeper downside objective
Why This Setup Works:
✔ Price respecting a clear resistance zone
✔ Bearish structure remains intact
✔ Smooth downside path with defined targets
Trade Management Insight:
Scaling out at each target helps secure profits while maintaining exposure for further downside continuation.
Execution Guidance:
Allow price to confirm rejection or acceptance near the sell zone before entry. Precision improves outcomes.
Final Note:
As long as price remains below the resistance zone, the probability favors a move toward lower targets.
⸻
✨ Special Note for Serious Traders
If you value clean setups, precise targets, and disciplined execution over emotional trading, feel free to connect. I work with traders who focus on structure, patience, and long-term consistency.
USDJPY: Liquidity Grab Complete — Bearish Pullback Toward 156.80USDJPY is facing strong rejection near the 157.90–158.00 resistance zone after taking buy-side liquidity. On H4, price is trading inside a rising wedge / converging structure, which often leads to a bearish pullback. RSI is above 70, indicating overbought conditions, while MACD momentum is weakening, suggesting buyer exhaustion. A corrective move toward the lower structure support around 156.80 is likely, where previous demand and sell-side liquidity are resting.
Avidity Biosciences : A Compelling Merger-Arbitrage OpportunityAvidity Biosciences (RNA): A Compelling Merger-Arbitrage Opportunity with a Clear Valuation Floor
Analysis of the Novartis Acquisition and Investment Thesis
Avidity Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ: RNA) has emerged as a focal point for investors following its landmark $12 billion merger agreement with pharmaceutical giant Novartis AG. The deal, announced at a definitive price of $72 per share, triggered an immediate and substantial market re-rating, with shares surging approximately 42% on the news. However, with the stock trading around $71-$72, a sophisticated and low-risk opportunity appears to remain, structured around the mechanics of the transaction itself and the creation of a separate entity known as "SpinCo."
Deal Structure: Simplicity with a Bonus Component
The acquisition is strategically straightforward for Novartis, which aims to bolster its neuroscience portfolio with Avidity's innovative RNA-targeted therapeutics. There is no business overlap, streamlining regulatory approval. The transaction is slated to close in the first half of 2026, introducing a time horizon that contributes to current market pricing dynamics.
The unique element is the pre-closing formation of SpinCo. Prior to finalizing the merger, Avidity will transfer its early-stage precision cardiology programs and rights from two existing collaborations (with partners Bristol Myers Squibb and Eli Lilly) into this new, wholly-owned subsidiary. Critically, these partnered assets are structured such that the collaborators bear all research and development costs. This leaves SpinCo primarily responsible for minimal administrative overhead while holding potential future royalty or milestone rights.
Valuation Breakdown: The $72 Floor and the "Free Option"
The investment thesis rests on a clear arithmetic breakdown of value:
The Guaranteed Cash Consideration ($72/Share): Novartis is contractually obligated to pay $72 per share in cash upon deal closing. This provides a hard valuation floor. At a current price slightly below this figure, the market is effectively offering a small discount to account for the time value of money and the remote risk of deal failure over the next ~18 months.
The SpinCo "Bonus" (Estimated $2-$3/Share): Shareholders will receive 1 share of SpinCo for every 10 shares of RNA they own. This entity is seeded with approximately $270 million in cash and the rights to the partnered programs. Even assuming the partnerships hold minimal or no additional value, the cash alone supports a SpinCo valuation. Conservative estimates place SpinCo's value at $2 to $3 per RNA equivalent share, with a bear-case floor of ~$1. This component is currently being valued by the market at close to zero, representing a "free option" for shareholders.
Net Present Value Calculation:
Base Case: $72 (Novartis cash) + $2.50 (SpinCo estimate) = $74.50 per share of implied value.
Annualized Return: If acquired at $71.50 with a mid-2026 close, the return from the $72 cash alone approximates a low-single-digit annualized yield. The SpinCo value represents pure, uncompensated upside, boosting the potential annualized return meaningfully.
Market Inefficiency and Catalyst Potential
The discount to the guaranteed $72 payout likely stems from two factors:
Biotech Fund Reallocation: Specialized biotech funds, required to hold only developing companies, may be forced to sell RNA post-announcement, creating technical selling pressure.
Timing and Complexity Uncertainty: The 2026 closing and the novel SpinCo structure introduce elements that some automated or generalist investors may avoid.
These factors create an inefficiency. Furthermore, significant catalysts could materialize:
SpinCo Monetization: There is a possibility that the collaboration assets are sold back to partners BMY or LLY, potentially leading to a cash dividend or a secondary takeover of SpinCo itself before the Novartis deal closes.
Accelerated Timeline: While unlikely, any indication of a faster regulatory review would immediately compress the time-discount.
Technical Perspective: Support Levels in a Defined Range
With the stock now trading in a narrow band below its guaranteed takeover price, its technical behavior is influenced by merger-arbitrage flows rather than traditional biotech fundamentals. For investors considering entry, Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent surge highlight potential areas of support during any market-wide or sector-specific volatility:
Primary Support ($60.54): This level aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement of the post-announcement rally. It represents a significant pullback that would likely attract strong arbitrage-driven buying, viewing it as an enhanced yield opportunity.
Secondary Support ($53.08): The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement serves as a deeper, stronger support zone. A retreat to this level would be unexpected in a stable deal environment but would present a highly compelling risk/reward entry given the $72 cash floor.
Conclusion: A Asymmetric Risk/Reward Proposition
The Avidity-Novartis deal presents a classic, low-volatility merger-arbitrage setup with an added twist. Investors purchasing RNA near its current price are essentially:
Lending money to the market at a positive annualized yield, secured by Novartis's obligation to repay $72.
Receiving a free call option on the SpinCo subsidiary, which has tangible cash value and potential upside.
With a credible acquirer, no material adverse conditions, and a transparent structure, the primary risks are deal delay and opportunity cost—not permanent capital loss. This makes Avidity Biosciences a compelling consideration for investors seeking to park capital with limited downside and defined, uncorrelated upside in a diversified portfolio.
AUDCHF Facing Supply Pressure | Downside Targets in Focus🔻🌊 AUDCHF Facing Supply Pressure | Downside Targets in Focus 🎯
Overview:
AUDCHF is showing bearish pressure, with price approaching a well-defined supply area, favoring a controlled move to the downside.
Sell Zone (Focus Area):
🔴 0.5358 – 0.5360
This zone represents a strong supply area where selling interest is expected to emerge.
Downside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 0.5310 – Initial downside reaction
🎯 Target 2: 0.5300 – Deeper downside target
Why This Setup Works:
✔ Price reacting near a clear resistance zone
✔ Bearish structure favors downside continuation
✔ Clean, low-noise movement expected
Trade Management Insight:
Partial profit booking near Target 1 helps protect capital while allowing continuation toward lower targets.
Execution Guidance:
Wait for price to show rejection or acceptance near the sell zone before entering. Avoid early or emotional entries.
Final Note:
As long as price reacts from the supply area, the probability favors a move toward the downside targets.
⸻
✨ Special Note for Serious Traders
If you prefer structured levels, clear targets, and disciplined execution over noisy signals, feel free to connect. I work with traders who value precision, patience, and consistency.
Previous week selling delivered massive Results XAUUSD last week Recap
As outlined in all previous week market market update, the plan was to wait for a confirmed rejection at 4480-=500 . Price delivered exactly as expected rejected at 4500 psychological level with a successful drop towards 4400 support level.
📌 Execution:
Buy orders were placed within the 4498–4485-4478-4464-4455& 4442 lastly .
🎯 Results:
Targets were achieved on extension at 4420 and 4410 with clean follow-through but last trades which I opened from 4440 zone missed buy 20 pips from TP at 4405 and later it hits BE.
Well done to everyone who followed the plan and held positions with patience.
Discipline and execution made the difference — enjoy the profits.
Poundusd buy setupGBPUSD is shown bullish divergence and on major resistance.
BUY setup
Entry 1.339
TP 1.34762
SL 1.33426
Oklo (OKLO) Soars on Transformative Meta Partnership!Oklo (OKLO) Soars on Transformative Meta Partnership, Securing Nuclear-Powered Future for AI
Shares of Oklo Inc. (NYSE: OKLO) surged dramatically on Friday, catapulting over 18% higher following the announcement of a landmark strategic agreement with tech titan Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META). This partnership represents a pivotal validation and acceleration of Oklo's vision, directly linking its advanced nuclear energy technology to the most urgent power demand driver of the decade: artificial intelligence.
At the core of the deal is the development of a massive, purpose-built 1.2-gigawatt (GW) nuclear power campus in Pike County, Ohio, designed to supply clean, reliable electricity to Meta's expanding network of AI data centers in the region. In a critical show of commitment, Meta will provide upfront prepayments for future energy, effectively helping to fund the early-stage development, procurement, and construction activities for Oklo's pioneering reactor designs.
This agreement is far more than a standard power-purchase agreement; it is a strategic enabler for Oklo. The capital infusion from Meta will be channeled into securing nuclear fuel and accelerating Phase 1 development on the 206-acre site acquired from the U.S. Department of Energy. As Oklo's CEO Jacob DeWitte stated, this "funding commitment... is a major step in moving advanced nuclear forward." The company plans to initiate site suitability studies and pre-construction work this year, targeting the first phase of the multi-year project to be operational by 2030.
The AI Energy Imperative Meets Advanced Nuclear
The partnership underscores a fundamental truth of the AI era: the exponential growth of computational power is colliding with the physical limits of the electrical grid. AI data centers require massive, continuous, and scalable power—a demand that legacy renewable sources often struggle to meet consistently and that fossil fuels address at an environmental cost. Meta's aggressive move into nuclear, which also includes deals with TerraPower and a 6.6 GW agreement with Vistra, signals a strategic pivot by Big Tech to secure baseload, low-carbon power at an industrial scale.
Oklo's technology is uniquely positioned to answer this call. The company is developing small modular reactors (SMRs) and advanced fission systems, which promise enhanced safety, faster construction, and flexible deployment compared to traditional nuclear plants. For Meta, partnering with Oklo is a forward-looking bet on securing a dedicated, clean energy source for its AI ambitions, potentially locking in long-term price stability and sustainability credentials.
Financial and Market Implications: From Concept to Commercial Reality
For Oklo, this deal is transformative. As a pre-revenue company focused on development, securing a cornerstone agreement with a creditworthy partner like Meta de-risks its path forward. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives highlighted the significance, noting the deal "provides Oklo with the necessary capital from commercial partners to advance power infrastructure," fundamentally changing its funding narrative. This partnership validates Oklo's business model and provides a clear, high-profile pathway to its first commercial revenue.
Technical Analysis: Mapping the Momentum
The explosive news-driven gap in OKLO's share price has reshaped its technical landscape. For traders and investors evaluating entry points amid the volatility, Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent major move provide a framework for identifying potential support and resistance.
Support Zones:
Primary Support ($99.58): This level aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. A pullback to this zone would represent a healthy, moderate retracement of the recent surge and could attract buyers looking for a consolidation entry.
Secondary Support ($77.34): The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level serves as a deeper, stronger support zone. A successful hold here would indicate underlying strength and a potential base for the next upward leg.
Resistance & Profit-Taking Targets:
Initial Target ($121.81): The 0.382 Fibonacci extension level provides a logical first profit-taking target as the stock seeks to establish a new, higher trading range post-announcement.
Extended Target ($149.33): A more ambitious target lies at the 0.236 Fibonacci extension. A move toward this level would signal that the bullish momentum initiated by the Meta deal has sustained power and is attracting continued investment.
Strategic Outlook
Oklo's agreement with Meta is a watershed moment, bridging the worlds of deep-tech nuclear innovation and hyperscale computing. It accelerates Oklo's timeline, bolsters its credibility, and provides a crucial funding mechanism. While execution risk remains—including regulatory milestones, construction timelines, and technology deployment—the partnership fundamentally alters the company's trajectory. For the market, it crystallizes a powerful investment thesis: Advanced nuclear energy is not an alternative fantasy but an essential infrastructure component for the AI-driven future. Oklo, with its first major commercial anchor tenant secured, has positioned itself at the forefront of this convergence.
GBPCHF Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPCHFis below:
The market is trading on 1.0741 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0731
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0747
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDJPY Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NZDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 90.143
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 90.455
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTC 1Hr Analysis BTCUSDT – 1H Technical Analysis
🧱 Market Structure
Clear Double Bottom formed around 89,300 – 89,600
Strong bullish impulse after the pattern
Price failed to hold above resistance and is now ranging
Recent structure shows HL → LH → indicating consolidation, not reversal yet
👉 Bias: Nutral → Slightly Bullish (range-bound)
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Strong 1H close above 91,900
Targets:
92,600
93,200
Structure flips bullish again
🔴 Bearish Scenario
1H close below 89,500
Targets:
88,700
87,900
Double bottom invalidated
BTCUSD (4H) – Bearish Structure After Distribution, ConsolidatioMarket Structure:
The chart shows a clear bearish shift after the January impulsive rally.
A BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside occurred first, followed by distribution and then a CHoCH (Change of Character) to the downside, confirming loss of bullish control.
Price is now making lower highs and lower lows, respecting a descending trendline, which reinforces bearish bias.
Key Levels & Zones:
Supply / Resistance:
~93,500–94,500 (previous highs & rejection zone)
~92,000–92,500 (mitigated area / prior structure)
Current Price: ~90,574, trading below key structure and trendline.
Demand / Support:
~87,800–88,500 (FVG / demand zone)
Below that, next liquidity rests near ~85,500.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
The lower FVG remains unfilled, acting as a bearish magnet if downside continuation occurs.
Upper FVGs have mostly been mitigated, reducing bullish fuel.
Bias & Scenarios:
Primary Bias: Bearish continuation while price remains below ~92,000.
Bearish Scenario:
Consolidation → breakdown → move toward 88,500 FVG, possibly extending to 85,500.
Invalidation / Bullish Shift:
Strong reclaim and close above 92,500–93,000, breaking the descending trendline, could open continuation toward 94,500+.
Trading Insight (ICT / SMC perspective):
Favor sell-on-rallies into premium zones and trendline resistance.
Wait for lower-timeframe CHoCH confirmation for entries.
Avoid longs unless structure flips decisively.
Quantum Leap: $QTUM Continuation Pattern has triggered.The Defiance Quantum ETF (QTUM) is showing a classic bullish continuation pattern after a spectacular 2025. Following a sharp rally, the price has been consolidating in a tight range near its 52-week high of $117.12.
The Technical Setup: We are seeing a clear consolidation phase—likely a cup and handle / or continuation inverse head and shoulders Both have the same price objective—just above the 50-day moving average ($114.36).
This 'pause' in the trend is healthy and suggests that the previous uptrend is ready to resume.
FUNDAMENTAL DRIVER:
2026 is being labeled a potential 'inflection year' for the industry.
IBM is targeting quantum advantage by the end of this year with its 120-qubit Nighthawk processor, while IonQ aims for systems up to 256 qubits.
Diversified Exposure: Unlike betting on a single stock, QTUM holds 84 different companies, spreading risk across hardware, software, and machine learning leaders like Microsoft, Alphabet, and NVIDIA.
Massive Market Growth: Analysts estimate the quantum computing market could grow from $0.8 billion in 2025 to over $1 billion in 2026, with some projections suggesting a nearly $2 trillion value creation potential by 2035.
Sustained Inflows: The ETF has seen net AUM growth of over $2.39 billion in the last year, proving that institutional capital is rotating heavily into this sector.
What's your take? Is the quantum sector ready for another parabolic move?
ETH the bull case, as opposed to my recent bearish perspectivesSo I've been sharing some ideas about CRYPTOCAP:BTC and stable coins over the last few days. I suggest you check those out to understand why I'm also sharing this bull case for $ETH.
You can find my BTC analyses here:
About Ethereum Bull case:
I'm not sharing bearish distribution plays only to be blindsided by potential bullish PA. There's definitely something to say for the overal price buildup in this current area. The way the price has been going up and down at first, but is now slowly coiling up as if we are creating a mini-parabolic move.
So on this chart I've pointed out what type of PA I'd like to see in order to expect a more bullish outcome from this current Low Timeframe area. I specifically say Low Timeframe because I want you to understand that this also means the expected outcome is short term. When looking at daily timeframes, you cannot expect an outcome where the new trend lasts months. You'll need the weekly or monthly timeframe for long term views.
Anyway back to the topic: if ETH can reclaim the top of the range and you need an entry: that might be it. If price can sustain above 3.2K, I think there's a good chance we will visit at least 3.8K next.
From a Wyckoff perspective that scenario means we've just witnessed a SOS-phase and are about to see a 1.618 extension next.
GBP/USD Faces Strong Rejection
, GBP/USD has been reacting to a key resistance level that price rejected multiple times. Eventually, the pair attempted a false breakout above this zone, but quickly closed back below it — a classic fake‑out that reinforces the strength of this resistance area.
Based on this behavior, the outlook for GBP/USD remains bearish as long as price continues to trade below the 1.357 level. Staying under this zone keeps the downside scenario valid, with expectations for the decline to extend toward the first target at 1.330, followed by the second target at 1.31180.
USDCAD | Strategic SELL Opportunity🔻💼 USDCAD | Strategic SELL Opportunity (Multi-Target Setup)
Overview:
USDCAD is displaying bearish continuation behavior, with price reacting near a well-defined supply area, favoring further downside movement.
Sell Zone (Focus Area):
🔴 1.3920 – 1.3915
This zone acts as a strong resistance area where selling pressure is expected to dominate.
Downside Objectives:
🎯 1.3900 – First reaction target
🎯 1.3880 – Momentum extension
🎯 1.3860 – Structure continuation
🎯 1.3840 – Deeper downside move
🚀 1.3820 – Possible stretch target if selling accelerates
Why This Setup Works:
✔ Price reacting from a clear supply zone
✔ Bearish market structure remains intact
✔ Momentum aligns with downside continuation
Trade Management Insight:
Step-by-step profit booking helps secure gains while keeping exposure for extended moves. Capital protection remains the priority.
Execution Guidance:
Wait for price rejection or confirmation within the sell zone before execution. Avoid chasing price.
Final Note:
As long as price respects the resistance area, downside continuation toward lower targets remains the higher-probability scenario.
⸻
✨ Special Note for Serious Traders
If you believe in clean levels, disciplined execution, and professional risk control rather than noisy signals, feel free to connect. I work with traders who value clarity, patience, and long-term consistency.
🔒 Trade with structure. Manage risk. Stay consistent.
