Get started

Chipotle

Chipotle Mexican Grill | CMG | Long at $30.56Chipotle NYSE:CMG stock has dropped dramatically since 2024, but the company has been *highly* overvalued for many, many years (69x p/e in June last year). As of Friday, November 7, 2025, the stock price entered my "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). I do not suspect this is truly bottom, though. The company's growth is likely to slow into 2026 as people continue to spend less, and the stock finally starts to enter a reasonable p/e value (currently 27x). I anticipate further entry possibilities near $25 in the short-term if the economy continues to show more and more weakness. Entry into the "major crash" simple moving average zone, or gray lines, near $20-$24 isn't out of the question either. Thus, a personal entry at $30.56 is simply a starter position. Growth Earnings per share anticipated to rise from $1.60 in 2025 to $1.82 by 2028. Revenue expected to rise during that time from $11.9 billion to $16.6 billion. www.tradingview.com Health Extremely healthy, financially Altman's Z Score / Bankruptcy risk: 7.5 (very low risk) Quick Ratio: 1.5 (low debt) Action While there is risk of continued near-term pain for NYSE:CMG , the longer outlook is reassuring if true. Thus, at $30.56, Chiptole is in a personal buy zone (starter position) with risk of a continued drop to $25 or, "major crash" territory in the low $20s. These will be other personal entry points. Targets into 2028 $35.00 (+14.5%) $39.00 (+27.6%)
NYSE:CMGLong
by WorthlessViews
1
Chipotle, UnconvincedUnconvinced. That is how I feel about CMG. From the public’s perspective, Chipotle is a dying company. Prices up while quantity and quality are down is the main objection from the public. All reviews point to your local chipotle as the nastiest places you can go with overpriced food and rude workers. I do not buy it. I may be naive, but can anybody name a business that hasn’t shrunk quantity or quality to meet margins over the past few years. We are in a bull market; how do you think stocks go up? Margins and profits go up. In 2016 I could eat at McDonalds for $7 now it’s closer to $15. Meanwhile chipotle used to cost $8 now it is $10 and there is outrage. I believe that consumers are spoiled or ignorant (as am I, I must confess.) This is a publicly traded company, if your expenses have doubled since 2019, what do you think happened to theirs? Are the leaders going to just lose their job to shareholder outrage just because they won’t increase prices by 20% over 5 years? I think not. And as for the rude and nasty chipotles, yes, I agree, but I do think that is more of a generational and geographical problem than we give it credit for (I am 25 so I understand.) A Boca Raton chipotle will be a better experience than a Mississippi location (I’m from Mississippi, relax.) I do not go into many fast-food style restaurants and feel engulfed with pride in my fellow gen z ers (is that the right generation? Idc.) Moral of the story every time I go into chipotle: it’s packed, not that clean, I still get a bowl for $10, and it’s mildly healthy. Now as for what Ceo Scott boatwright has said during his interviews after Q3 earnings and guidance. He blames the slowdown in guidance to his team's conservative outlook and the economy for the next 2 quarters. Meanwhile, Rev up 7.5% yoy, which is moderate. Including that last time we entered this price range in Q1 and Q2 of 2022 area, net income has almost doubled. This seems like the same tariff scare we saw 7 months ago, sell the news, and then find out it might not be that bad. I believe Americans will still spend their last dollars on things they don’t need. Am I saying that Americans aren’t struggling no, But I do not think chipotle is first cut to a financial freedom. All you can do is think for yourself and the people around you. When my family and I want a meal and don’t want to drop $100 at Texas roadhouse, Chipotle is the budget friendly option that doesn’t make you feel sick like conventional fast food. I know this company has its problems, but when a household name like Chipotle drops 50%+ you must wonder why. For about .5-1% of my portfolio, I am willing to bet that the “why” is over exaggerated. As seen on the charts. This is the first time that the PE and RSI have met at this level since the GFC. It does seem like a falling knife, and I would be stunned if we didn’t go lower, but $25-$31 seems like a good starting point for me. If you are looking for a quick flip this is not the move for you, but I believe in 10 years I’ll be happy and finally able for afford extra guac! Good luck out there and remember THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Q3 notes (what I found interesting) CEO Scott Boatwright Says the overall economy is hitting business the hardest right now Notes that spending has slowed, especially among their main customers — 25–34-year-olds making under $100K Expects things to turn around by Q2 2026 Loyalty program remains a strong point for the company 10-Q Highlights (Q3 2025) Revenue up 7.5% year-over-year in the third quarter Opened 84 new stores — around 300 more total than this time last year Operating cash flow: $1.7B for the first nine months of 2025 vs. $1.6B last year — mostly due to tax timing and the H.R.1 – One Big Beautiful Bill Act Investing cash flow: Used $7.3M vs. $701.5M last year — big change from a drop in investment purchases, partly offset by higher spending on new restaurants Financing cash flow: Used $1.7B vs. $735M last year — mainly from more stock buybacks Interest rate note: Company has about $1.8B in cash and investments — most of it interest-bearing, so rate changes affect their income and results
NYSE:CMGLong
by calebgsmith2000
2
Chimichurri Salsa will bring $CMG to $50NYSE:CMG Is at a great discount after rising 657% since 2020 to It's peak in June 2024. Since June, the Stock has fallen about 40% after mediocre results. Now, its around the $40-42 range, which in my opinion, is at a perfect discount. While earnings have been constant with the estimate, their revenue since 2020 has doubled, and they're at a 4B surplus with total assets vs total liabilities this year. One of the reasons why I am buying this stock is because im a chipotle food addict, I love their food, especially their burritos and bowls, so its no wonder I am buying this stock. You can laugh at me, call me stupid for this, but I am trusting Chipotle. Trust the process.
NYSE:CMGLong
by Rem3dy
3
Don’t Sleep on $CMG - Is This the Start of Fresh Rally?Could be!I've been a fan of Chipotle and I think I am beginning to like the set up of its chart now. After that long downtrend (gap down) from the $52s, NYSE:CMG finally looks like it’s trying to carve out a bottom base. You’ve got a clean breakout from the descending trend line and a solid close above short-term resistance near $41. Volume picked up — that’s confirmation you want to see when something’s flipping sentiment. The stochastics are curling up from oversold, signaling a momentum shift. The 50-day MA looks ready to flatten and possibly turn up. If this move holds above $40s (a psychological and technical level), this could trigger a bullish reversal wave toward that $46–47 range next, where the 200-day MA sits as the next wall. It would be nice if that gap would be filled at no time, similar to what happened to our recent trade to ( NYSE:LAC ). Bigger picture: $39–$40 zone is the make-or-break level for bulls. Lose that, and it’s back to the base-building zone around $37. But if momentum follows through, this might be the early stage of a trend reversal rather than just a bounce. If in case this price action holds up above that line $41.76, I will start a small position even if I got an average cost at $42s. Then if this uptrend pattern follow thru - I'll add more. I'll put my stop at $36. It's kinda loose but this stock is not as volatile as the AI's so I will give this time to play out. I'm a bit worried about the US Shutdown as people will definitely try to cut down their expenses, so there will be a factor to the final quarter store revenue of NYSE:CMG , but let's see... So again, manage your trade carefully and God bless you all. Happy weekend.
NYSE:CMGLong
by blue039
1
CHIPOTLE BACK TO 50 !Why Chipotle (CMG) Could Climb to $50 by 2026: Tasty Bull Case Chipotle’s trading at ~$43 today (Sep 23, 2025), down slightly YTD, but with strong fundamentals and operational wins, $50 (16% upside) by EOY 2026 is achievable long-term. Here’s the recipe:Revenue & Same-Store Growth: Q2 '25 comps +11.1% and $3.8B revenue (15% YoY) signal robust demand. Analysts project 13% YoY growth to $12.5B in '26, driven by 300+ new stores and digital orders (30%+ of sales). This supports $1.75 EPS, pushing P/E to 28x for a $50 target. Operational Efficiency: Chipotlanes (drive-thru) now in 60% of new locations, boosting margins to 28%+. Automation in prep (e.g., Autocado) cuts costs 5%, per management, fueling EPS growth to $2.10 by '26, aligning with $50 at 24x forward P/E. Analyst Optimism: 27 firms avg $50.24 PT (high $62), with BMO Capital’s $56 Buy rating citing loyalty program strength (35M+ members). CoinPriceForecast sees $53 mid-'26, clearing $50 on 10% comps. Consumer Resilience: Despite inflation, CMG’s premium positioning (health-focused, customizable menu) retains Gen Z/Millennial traffic, hedging macro risks. LongForecast eyes $54 by Q3 '26.
NYSE:CMGLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
Chipotle (CMG): Brand Power Meets Technical PatienceWhat they do: Fast-casual burritos/bowls with a heavy digital and throughput focus. Why it’s strong: Industry-leading unit economics, brand love, and a deep U.S. runway—now going global. Developments: Asia entry JV (SPC Group): first restaurants in South Korea & Singapore in 2026. Some metrics: Forward P/E: ~27.5x. ROIC (TTM): ~19–22% Debt/Equity: ~1.35 (lease-heavy model). Piloting kitchen automation like “Autocado” (guac prep) and “Chippy” (chips). Risks: Food inflation; labor availability; brand hit risk from food-safety headlines. Moat in a line: Brand + operational throughput at scale. Technical view A bit sloppy, but the criteria are in place. It’s “sloppy” because the levels don’t line up compactly — if they were a few percent tighter, it would form a stronger support zone. Still, the high-probability area is there, between $32 - $43 - Trendline drawn from monthly closing prices - Channel projection - Previous highs turning into support - 50% drop from the ATH Cheers, Vaido
NYSE:CMGLong
by VaidoVeek
Chipotle (CMG): Awaiting strong correction in bearish waveAfter the recent 50-1 stock split, we revisited Chipotle's chart, refining our analysis for a clearer picture. With the adjusted setup, we’re more confident in our outlook for a potential bearish correction. Our initial turn-around zone was spot-on when factoring in the split, and we remain committed to our analysis. Today, NYSE:CMG reached the targeted Wave B area at the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci level. Immediate reactions are often rare, but we believe a reversal could materialize soon. We’re eyeing the range between $43-$26, near the trendline, as a potential target zone for the next phase in this corrective wave pattern. In the second quarter, Chipotle posted an 18.2% year-over-year revenue growth, boosted by an 11.1% rise in comparable restaurant sales and over 8% transaction growth. The earnings report tomorrow will likely attract more investor attention, but our approach focuses on technical entries at key levels rather than earnings reactions. We have alerts set and are prepared to buy when the scenario aligns. Until then, patience and disciplined timing will guide our approach.
NYSE:CMGShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
Starbucks Appoints New CEO: Brian Niccol Takes the Helm Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SBUX ), a global leader in coffee retail, has made a significant leadership change by appointing Brian Niccol, former CEO of Chipotle Mexican Grill, as its new Chairman and CEO. This decision, announced on September 9, 2024, has already sparked considerable investor interest, with Starbucks shares surging 24% on the news. However, while the market reacts positively, some caution may be warranted as the journey ahead could be challenging. Leadership Change and Market Reaction The appointment of Brian Niccol is a bold move by Starbucks, aiming to revitalize the company's growth strategy. Niccol is widely recognized for his transformative leadership at Chipotle, where he nearly doubled the company’s revenue and achieved an 800% increase in its stock value during his tenure. His success in driving digital transformation, menu innovation, and expanding brand benefits positions him as a promising leader for Starbucks at a crucial time. Niccol is set to succeed Laxman Narasimhan, who is stepping down after a brief 17-month tenure. During his time as CEO, Narasimhan focused on enhancing partner experience and store operations, but the company faced several challenges, including declining sales, rising competition in China, and changing consumer spending patterns due to economic pressures. What This Means for Starbucks The appointment of Niccol signals Starbucks' commitment to reinvigorating its growth and adapting to the evolving market landscape. His track record at Chipotle suggests that Niccol could introduce significant changes to Starbucks' operational and digital strategies. However, investors should be mindful that such transformations take time to materialize and that the initial market exuberance may be premature. Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch From a technical perspective, Starbucks’ stock has confirmed a double bottom pattern, a bullish indicator that suggests a potential reversal from its recent downtrend. The stock surged above its 200-day moving average with a trading volume of over 150 million shares, the highest since June 2000. This level of activity indicates strong interest from institutional investors, which could bode well for the stock’s future performance. The daily price chart shows a gap up, a strong bullish reversal pattern where a stock's opening price exceeds the previous day's closing price. Conversely, a gap down occurs when the opening price is lower. A gap up indicates bullish sentiment and strong buying interest. However, the stock’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently above the 70 threshold, indicating overbought conditions. This could lead to short-term profit-taking, so investors should monitor key support and resistance levels closely. - Support Levels: Starbucks shares may find support around $86, a level that aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels. If the stock pulls back further, it could test the $83 level, where the double bottom’s neckline is located. - Resistance Levels: On the upside, the stock could face resistance near $98, with a more bullish move potentially targeting the $107.50 area, where a trendline connects multiple peaks from the past year. Conclusion: A Cautious Optimism While the market has responded enthusiastically to Niccol’s appointment, it’s essential to approach this transition with cautious optimism. Niccol's proven leadership could drive significant growth for Starbucks, but the challenges he inherits from his predecessor will require time and strategic execution to overcome. Investors should keep a close eye on how these developments unfold and consider their risk tolerance before making any decisions. The potential is there, but as always in the stock market, nothing is guaranteed.
NASDAQ:SBUX
by DEXWireNews
$CMG top in?As you can see on the weekly chart, we had a deviation above resistance and now look to be closing below it. Typically, that's an extremely bearish pattern. Since the covid low, we've largely seen Chipotle go straight up and now I think we're about to see it go straight down. Ichi also showing exhaustion signs. I'd expect to see a bottom sometime between now and mid-next year down below the $24 range. My base case is that we bottom before the end of the year, but the move can extend into next year. Let's see what happens.
NYSE:CMGShort
by benjihyam
2
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Soars on Stellar EarningsIn the fast-paced world of stock trading, few names evoke the kind of sizzle that Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: NYSE:CMG ) does. With its recent first-quarter earnings report exceeding expectations, NYSE:CMG stock is once again on investors' radar for all the right reasons. Chipotle ( NYSE:CMG ) reported 27% surge in earnings to $13.37 per share, easily outpacing the FactSet consensus of $11.81 per share. This marks the second consecutive quarter of accelerating growth for the burrito giant, cementing its position as a formidable player in the ever-evolving restaurant industry. But it's not just the bottom line that has investors salivating; Chipotle's top-line performance was equally impressive. Sales soared nearly 14% to $2.684 billion, slightly surpassing analyst forecasts. Driving this growth was a robust 7% increase in same-restaurant sales, showcasing the enduring popularity of Chipotle's offerings among consumers. Not content with resting on its laurels, Chipotle ( NYSE:CMG ) also saw improvements in its operating margins. Operating margin expanded to 16.3% from 15.5%, with restaurant operating margins reaching 27.5%, up 190 basis points. This operational efficiency underscores Chipotle's ability to drive profitability even in challenging market conditions. Looking ahead, Chipotle ( NYSE:CMG ) remains bullish on its growth prospects, forecasting same-restaurant sales growth in the mid- to high-single digits. This optimistic outlook reflects management's confidence in the strength of Chipotle's brand and its ability to capture market share in the highly competitive restaurant landscape. Investors have wasted no time in expressing their enthusiasm for Chipotle's stellar performance. Following the earnings announcement, NYSE:CMG stock surged 3.5% to $3,028 in early Thursday trading. This uptick builds on the stock's recent momentum, with shares posting their third consecutive gain. But perhaps the most compelling development for investors is Chipotle's proposed 50-for-1 stock split, pending shareholder approval at the annual meeting on June 16. If approved, this move could make CMG stock more accessible to a broader range of investors, potentially fueling further upside in the share price. In summary, Chipotle Mexican Grill's ( NYSE:CMG ) stellar first-quarter earnings report underscores its resilience and ability to thrive in a dynamic market environment. With accelerating earnings growth, robust sales performance, and a promising outlook, NYSE:CMG stock appears poised for continued success. As investors await the outcome of the stock split vote, now could be an opportune moment to consider adding Chipotle to their portfolios for long-term growth potential.
NYSE:CMGLong
by DEXWireNews
Chipotle Breaks Tradition with 50-for-1 Split Amid Record HighsIn a groundbreaking move reflecting its soaring market success, Chipotle Mexican Grill ( NYSE:CMG ) has announced its first-ever stock split, igniting excitement among investors and signaling a new era of accessibility for potential shareholders. The decision, approved by the company's board, comes as Chipotle's shares continue to reach unprecedented highs, with premarket trading seeing a nearly 8% surge to $3011. Chipotle's ( NYSE:CMG ) remarkable ascent to record levels over the past year underscores the unwavering demand for its signature burritos and rice bowls, particularly among its affluent customer base. Buoyed by robust earnings, the California-based chain has solidified its position as a market leader, driving its market value to a staggering $76.71 billion. The 50-for-1 stock split is a strategic move aimed at democratizing ownership of Chipotle's shares, making them more accessible to individual investors. If approved at the upcoming annual meeting, shareholders stand to receive an additional 49 shares for each share held, effectively reducing the share price to around $56 based on Tuesday's closing price. Chipotle's ( NYSE:CMG ) Chief Financial and Administrative Officer, Jack Hartung, emphasized the split's role in expanding ownership opportunities, stating it will "make our stock more accessible to employees as well as a broader range of investors." Analysts view the stock split as a savvy maneuver to enhance liquidity while maintaining the company's compelling economics. Jim Sanderson, an analyst with Northcoast Research, noted that the move should ease liquidity concerns given Chipotle's soaring share price, which ranked it as the fourth-highest-per-share value on the S&P 500 index. Despite the split, Chipotle's fundamental strengths remain intact, with its forward price-to-earnings multiple (P/E) standing at 49.72, outpacing industry peers such as Starbucks and McDonald's. This underscores investors' confidence in Chipotle's growth prospects and reinforces its status as a formidable player in the fast-food industry. Technical Outlook Chipotle ( NYSE:CMG ) is trading above the 200- day Moving Average (MA) with a Bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 86 indicating strong overbought situation. As Chipotle charts new territory with its historic stock split, all eyes are on the company's continued trajectory and its ability to sustain momentum in a fiercely competitive market. With accessibility on the rise and investor enthusiasm soaring, Chipotle is poised to embark on its next chapter of growth and innovation, reaffirming its status as a beloved brand and investment powerhouse in the years to come.
NYSE:CMGLong
by DEXWireNews
CMG Weekly H&S Forming Into +GEX Level - weekly is forming right shoulder in distribution cycle right at 1600 psych + positive gamma level - consistent with /ES local top of 4060 (or 4200 on impulse wave) - invalidated if break above 1630s - high risk counter trend trade against current market conditions & positive gamma ratios - BTO Feb 1400p @ 10.85 - IV on puts is cheap + upcoming ER should elevate Feb premiums - gamma conditions for this week and next week's expiry outlined below Ticker: NYSE:CMG Exp. Dates. Greater Than: 2023-01-27 Total_OI:= 39443.00 COTMC:= 1694.77 CITMP:= 1634.34 COI:= 1600.00 plus_GEX:= 1600.00 Spot_Price:= 1596.86 COTMP:= 1571.13 Pos_Trans:= 1535.00 ZeroGEX:= 1505.00 CITMC:= 1493.08 SMA50:= 1488.47 EMA21:= 1487.95 Neg_Trans:= 1440.00 POI:= 1400.00 minus_GEX:= 1400.00 GEX_Ratio:= 1.63 Ticker: NYSE:CMG Exp. Dates. Greater Than: 2023-02-03 Total_OI:= 35202.00 COTMC:= 1694.77 CITMP:= 1634.34 COI:= 1600.00 plus_GEX:= 1600.00 Spot_Price:= 1596.86 Pos_Trans:= 1575.00 COTMP:= 1571.13 ZeroGEX:= 1505.00 CITMC:= 1493.08 SMA50:= 1488.47 EMA21:= 1487.95 Neg_Trans:= 1440.00 POI:= 1400.00 minus_GEX:= 1400.00 GEX_Ratio:= 1.49
NYSE:CMGShort
by soulunveiled