Silver: From Underperforming to OutperformingThe Silver miner ETF has been underperforming the US Stock market for quiet some time.
The times are shifting, seeing the breakout off the Falling Wedge.
Targets from this moment: 100% Minimum
Potentially: 200%+
TLDR: for maximazing performance, you are better off owning SIL ETF (or silver stocks) then the S&P500.
Commodities
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 42.110 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3648.2 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3657.8
Recommended Stop Loss - 3642.9
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD – Bearish Setup After Liquidity Grab at All-Time HighsAfter the recent rate cut and the sweep of liquidity above the $3,707 ATH , gold has started developing a bearish market structure . On the daily chart , RSI has been hovering in the overbought region for an extended period and has now confirmed a bearish crossover , signaling potential downside momentum.
Sellers have been stepping in aggressively since the top, and a corrective move looks increasingly likely.
🔹 Trade Plan
Short entries:
Aggressive: 3665 – 3673
Conservative (golden pocket): 3677 – 3684
Targets:
TP1: 3600
TP2: 3580
TP3: 3530
Stop Loss:
Above 3718.50 (protective buffer above liquidity zone).
⚠️ Risk Management
Always size positions carefully. A break and daily close above 3718 would invalidate this setup.
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,650.46 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,661.11.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD – Rebound Holds Above Key 3,655 PivotGOLD – OVERVIEW
Gold rebounded in early trade after Thursday’s decline, supported by buyers despite a stronger U.S. dollar and a cautious Fed outlook. The Federal Reserve’s September meeting signaled fewer rate cuts than markets had expected, keeping sentiment mixed but overall supportive for gold.
Technical Analysis
GOLD is trying to touch the support level before the next bullish movement, which is 3639.
🔹A confirmed 15-min or 1-hour close above 3666 will strengthen the bullish continuation toward 3676 and 3686.
🔹However, a 15-min or 1-hour close below 3655 would trigger a bearish correction toward 3639.
🔹A sustained break below 3639 opens the way for deeper downside to 3628 and 3612.
Key Levels
Pivot: 3655
Resistance: 3666, 3676, 3686
Support: 3639, 3628, 3612
Gold holds firm at 3,63x | Caution for Friday session🟡 XAU/USD – 19/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
FED : Probability of a 25bps cut in October is 91.9%, while holding rates is only 8.9% → almost certain FED will continue easing.
US News : No major data today, market remains quiet.
Gold : Sharp moves in Asia session, but support 3,632 – 3,630 held strong.
Yesterday’s Buy at 3,62x delivered 200 pips , confirming this zone as a “fortress” support.
Note : Today is Friday – end of the week session, unexpected volatility may occur before the weekly close → strict risk management required.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold remains bullish, but caution is needed with end-of-week swings. Golden Harbor around 3,63x continues to be a solid anchor.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,661 – 3,663 (intraday resistance)
3,683 – 3,685 (strong OB, likely profit-taking zone)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
3,602 – 3,605 (FVG zone – deeper support if 3,63x breaks, waiting for strong demand)
Market Structure
After rebounding from 3,62x, Gold consolidated around 3,65x – 3,66x.
Main trend stays bullish, but needs support retest to confirm buyers’ strength.
3,66x is the pivot barrier:
• Breakout → targets 3,68x
• Rejection → retest 3,64x – 3,62x
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Entry: 3,602 – 3,605
SL: 3,588
TP: 3,629 – 3,661 – 3,683
⚡ Sell (short scalp)
Entry: 3,683 – 3,685
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,665 – 3,645
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The 3,63x fortress continues to hold, keeping the Golden ship safe on its northward journey. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,602 – 3,605) remains the main dock for sailors to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,683 – 3,685) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . Today is Friday – the sea can shift unexpectedly, so keep the sails full but hands steady on the helm.”
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – September 19, 2025On the H1 chart, gold has completed its pullback inside a descending channel and is now showing signs of a potential breakout to the upside. Let’s break down the key areas to watch:
1. Market Overview
After rejecting the 3,700 USD/oz area, gold retraced toward 3,625 – 3,635 USD/oz support.
Price bounced strongly and broke out of the short-term bearish channel, signaling fresh buying pressure.
The overall structure favors a bullish continuation if the latest low holds.
2. Key Technical Levels
Immediate Support: 3,640 – 3,645 (near-term EMA + minor swing low).
Major Support: 3,625 – 3,635 (previous demand zone + Fibonacci 0.618).
Immediate Resistance: 3,675 – 3,680 (channel high + trendline retest).
Major Resistance: 3,700 – 3,710 (psychological zone and previous highs).
3. Technical Indicators
EMA20 & EMA50 are narrowing; a golden cross may form if price holds above 3,650.
RSI (H1) has recovered from oversold, currently mid-range, leaving room to climb toward 65–70.
Fibonacci retracement confirms a bullish rebound off the 0.618 level.
4. Trading Strategies
Scenario 1 (Preferred – Buy Breakout):
Enter long if price sustains above 3,645 – 3,650, targeting 3,675 – 3,680, with extension toward 3,700 – 3,710.
Stop loss below 3,635.
Scenario 2 (Short-term Rejection Trade):
If price fails at 3,675 – 3,680, consider a short toward 3,645, with stop loss above 3,690.
5. Conclusion
Gold is showing early signs of a short-term reversal, with potential to retest 3,680 – 3,700 if it can hold above 3,645. These levels will be critical for intraday traders.
- Follow price action closely around these zones for optimal trade setups. If you find this analysis useful, make sure to save it for upcoming sessions.
Silver breakout support retest The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4144 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4144 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4260 – initial resistance
4320 – psychological and structural level
4375 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4144 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4065 – minor support
4020 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 4144. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold bullish flag breakoutThe Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation pause within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3608 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3608 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3677 – initial resistance
3705 – psychological and structural level
3740 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3608 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3577 – minor support
3540 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3608. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold After Fed Decision: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) seems to have caught many traders by surprise, as many thought it would continue to create new daily All-Time High(ATH) with the Federal's interest rate announcement , but Gold followed the adage " Buy the rumour, sell the news ".
Gold started moving emotionally yesterday after the US interest rate announcement and made a new ATH($3,707.555) . Given the volume of yesterday's candle , it seems that Gold is having a hard time creating a new ATH.
Gold is currently breaking the Support lines , which is a sign of weakness in the bullish trend of Gold .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the main wave 5 and we should wait for corrective waves . Do you agree with me!?
I expect Gold to at least decline after the pullback of the Support lines to the First target($3,614) .
Second Target: $3,599
Third Target: $3,577
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,677
Note: To enter a short position, it is better to wait for an upward correction, but depending on the movement of gold and your strategy, you can open a short position.
Do you think Gold can create a new ATH anytime soon?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD: Bounce from 3615 Support LevelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, after a strong run-up within a prior Upward Channel, the price action for Gold has transitioned into a horizontal consolidation Range. This shift from a trending to a ranging market indicates a period of balance as buyers and sellers digest the previous impulsive move.
Currently, the price is in a corrective phase within this Range. After recently failing to break above the Resistance Zone, sellers have pushed the price down, and it is now approaching the major horizontal support at the bottom of the consolidation, near the Support 1 level.
My Scenario & Strategy
I think that this Range structure will continue to hold for now. The lower boundary, which aligns with Support 1 at 3615, is a significant area of historical support. This Support zone represents a high-probability area for buyers to step in and defend, just as they have in the past.
My scenario is that Gold will complete its drop to the lower part of the consolidation, testing the Support 1 level. Therefore, I expect that a successful defense of this support will lead to a rally back across the Range. My target for this move is 3700, which is placed within the major Resistance Zone at the top of the consolidation.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Natural Gas fell on bearish EIA data and cooler forecastsNatural Gas fell on bearish EIA data and cooler forecasts
October natural gas tumbled on August 18 after the EIA reported a larger-than-expected 90 bcf storage build, pushing inventories more than 200 bcf above the five-year average. XNGUSD remains under pressure from core fundamentals including supply-demand balances, weather trends, geopolitics, macro conditions, and competing fuel prices.
Further downside came as forecasts showed fewer cooling degree days over the next two weeks. Analysts warned the market is running out of time for late-summer heat to tighten balances, with October often bringing cooling demand offset by weaker heating needs.
Losses accelerated on August 18 as late-September forecasts turned cooler, reducing air-conditioning demand. Meanwhile, near-record U.S. output and elevated rig activity continue to weigh on prices.
The Gold Price Is At A Crossroads, Caught In A Tug-Of-War.👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD !
Today, gold is struggling around the support level of 3635 USD. This is a hot point between the bulls and bears, with both sides looking for an opportunity to take control. Let’s check it out!
From a macro perspective, gold has recently shown a slight decline due to profit-taking after the Fed’s first rate cut, which met expectations last Wednesday. The market wasn’t surprised by this move, and gold had already reacted with a rise before shifting to profit-taking.
Most recently, gold experienced another decline yesterday, driven by news about US unemployment claims. The actual number came in at 231K, lower than the forecast of 241K and the previous 264K. This reflects a stronger labor market = stronger USD, putting pressure on gold.
From a technical standpoint: In the short term, as mentioned, gold is operating at support levels. Personally, I believe the bears still have the upper hand since there is no major news today. If the support zone is broken, it will open up significant opportunities for the bears.
What do you think? Will this support level hold, or will it break?
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,653.06
Target Level: 3,487.88
Stop Loss: 3,762.88
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – September 19, 2025Gold price on the H1 chart has recently broken out of a descending channel after a short-term correction from the 3,700 zone. The market is now testing a key support level around 3,645 – 3,650, which will play a decisive role in today’s intraday trend.
Technical Outlook
Trend
After rallying strongly above 3,700, gold entered a correction phase inside a falling channel.
The breakout from this channel signals potential bullish momentum if support holds.
Key Levels
Immediate support: 3,645 – 3,650 (retest zone after breakout).
Major support: 3,625.
Resistance zone 1: 3,675 – 3,680.
Resistance zone 2: 3,700 – 3,705 (a break above this area could extend toward 3,720+).
Indicators
EMA: Price is consolidating near short-term EMAs. If support holds, EMAs may flip bullish.
RSI: Recovered from oversold territory and moving upward, supporting a potential bounce.
Fibonacci: 3,645 aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement, strengthening its role as support.
Trading Strategy
Primary scenario (Long bias):
Watch for price action around 3,645 – 3,650.
If the support holds, consider long entries targeting 3,675 – 3,705.
Stop loss below 3,621.
Risk-to-reward ~ 1:2, suitable for intraday trades.
Alternative scenario (Short if support breaks):
If price breaks below 3,621 with strong volume, bearish pressure may resume.
Downside targets would be 3,600 – 3,588.
Conclusion
Gold is at a critical point today. Holding above 3,645 – 3,650 will favor a bullish continuation toward 3,700+. A breakdown below 3,621, however, would shift the bias back to the downside.
Stay alert and monitor the reaction at these key levels. Save this analysis if you find it useful, and follow along for more daily trading strategies.
XAUUSD – Correction Target on H4
Technical Analysis
After reacting at the Sell Zone – FVG around 3,670, Gold was unable to sustain its upward move and is now showing signs of weakness. The H4 structure suggests that the correction is extending, with price likely to retest key support zones below.
On the chart, the areas at 3,633–3,632 and 3,626 are acting as interim supports. If these levels fail to hold, bearish pressure could drive price deeper towards 3,614–3,612, before testing the main support confluence with Fibonacci extension and the potential Buy Zone around 3,579–3,560.
RSI is currently moving around 45–50, indicating that momentum is leaning towards a corrective phase rather than a strong bullish trend.
Trading Scenarios
SELL Setup (preferred):
Entry: on a retest of the 3,665–3,670 Sell Zone
Stop Loss: above 3,675
Target: 3,633–3,632, 3,626, 3,614–3,612, 3,579–3,560
BUY Setup (short-term / scalping):
Entry: consider longs around 3,626–3,625 support
Stop Loss: below 3,618
Target: 3,633, 3,645, 3,650
Key Levels to Watch
3,670: Sell Zone – confluence with FVG after FOMC.
3,633–3,626: Short-term support; a clear break would confirm extended downside pressure.
3,612: Critical level for near-term trend direction.
3,579–3,560: Potential Buy Zone and main corrective target on H4.
Keep these levels on watch and adjust trading plans accordingly. Follow for quicker access to future updates.
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish drop offBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry at 3,655.23, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this levle to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,672.97, whichis a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,616.99, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Silver Cup &Handle Formation:Potential Breakout Towards $50–$100📊 Silver Technical Outlook (Long-Term View)
Looking at the chart, Silver is forming a **massive cup-and-handle pattern** that has been developing for over a decade. This is one of the strongest bullish continuation patterns in technical analysis.
🔑 Key Takeaways:
1. Support Zone ($40–$42):
* This area is acting as strong support on both weekly and daily timeframes.
* A swing trade from here can easily deliver 18–20% returns.
2. Resistance Breakout ($49–$50):
* If Silver gives a solid weekly/monthly close above its all-time high ($49.7) , it opens the door for a massive rally.
* The upside potential could extend towards $100 (almost 100% gains).
3. Trend Structure:
* Price action shows a steady uptrend since the 2020 lows.
* The blue curve highlights the accumulation-to-breakout phase, signaling strong bullish momentum.
4. Strategy for Traders:
* Short-Term Swing: Look for longs near $40–$42 with targets around $48–$50.
* Long-Term Position: A confirmed breakout above $50 could be held for a much larger move towards $75–$100.
⚠️ Risk Note: Always manage position sizing—false breakouts are possible before the big move.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Pullback Trade
Gold may bounce from a key horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a breakout of a neckline of a double
bottom pattern after its test.
I expect a pullback to 3670.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.