GOLD MARKET OVERVIEWAfter last week's sell mitigating 3990's, we saw gold make a bullish pullback up till 4060's before the market closed on friday. This weekm gold opens with nearish sentimens as gold 4040's inti currently ranges between 4040's with $20 decline in price from last weeks close.
4030 is a vital zone and if it breaks we may go lower up tilll 4010's.
Higher time frame bullish bias still valid.
Commodities
Gold: Overview 24.11This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello, traders and investors!
The gold price on the daily timeframe is in a sideways range.
A seller initiative is active, with a target at 3928.
On the daily chart, the levels 4133 and 4154 are of interest for potential short opportunities, as well as the 4110 level — which is both an hourly timeframe level and the high of a seller candle with increased volume.
The first target for short positions is 3998.
Long positions should be considered only when we see signs of buyer strength on the daily timeframe — this may happen near 3998 or 3928.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Is This the Start of the Next Natural Gas Upswing?💨 Natural Gas (XNG/USD) — “Profit Pathway Setup” 🎯 Swing / Day Trade Edition
📊 Market Overview:
The Energies Market is heating up — and Natural Gas is showing its next potential boom move! After a confirmed Moving Average Breakout, bulls are sneaking back in. 🕵️♂️
This setup blends discipline + creativity, using the Thief-Trader layered entry method — designed to catch price action efficiently while minimizing emotional errors. ⚙️
⚔️ Trade Plan (Bullish Setup):
Entry Zones (Layered Buys):
🟩 3.500
🟩 3.600
🟩 3.700
(You can expand your buy layers depending on your own comfort and risk plan.)
Stop-Loss (Thief SL):
🧯 3.350 — just below the nearest lower-low candle wick.
💬 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — this SL is a personal style choice, not a fixed rule. Manage your risk your way.
Target (Profit Escape Zone):
🎯 4.100 — a strong resistance + overbought + trap + distribution zone.
💬 Reminder: I’m not forcing my TP; you’re the boss of your own bag — make your profits, then take them! 💰
📈 Why This Setup Works:
🧠 Technical Confirmation: MA breakout = bullish continuation in progress.
🎯 Layering Strategy: Multiple limit orders reduce average cost + improve flexibility.
🏗️ Structural Setup: Clear accumulation → breakout → markup pattern emerging.
🧩 Exit Logic: Resistance + trap-zone = high-probability exit zone for profit capture.
🌍 Related Assets to Watch (Correlation Check):
💹 NYMEX:NG1! — Natural Gas futures benchmark, strong global mirror.
AMEX:UNG — U.S. NatGas ETF; sentiment confirmation.
🛢️ BLACKBULL:WTI / BLACKBULL:BRENT — closely tied to energy flow; when oil strengthens, gas often follows.
⚡ TVC:DXY — dollar strength can inversely impact commodity demand.
💵 FX:EURUSD — macro correlation to risk appetite across energy & FX.
Keep eyes on these pairs — their momentum helps confirm or contradict your NatGas bias. 👀
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Trend Bias: Bullish
💪 Setup Type: Swing / Day Trade hybrid
🧮 Risk : Reward: Favorable above 1 : 3
⏳ Holding Window: Short-term → Mid-term (2 – 5 days typical)
🧭 Trade Management: Stick to your plan — don’t chase, layer smart.
⚠️ Pro Tip:
If price breaks below 3.350, it’s a signal to step aside — no hero moves. 🛑
Price structure > emotions. Stay patient, and let the plan do the heavy lifting. 🧘♂️
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NaturalGas #XNGUSD #EnergyTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutStrategy #CommodityTrading #ForexTrading #TradingIdeas #RiskManagement #MarketAnalysis #EnergyMarkets #TradingView #ChartAnalysis
Weekly Market Forecast: Indices Are Weak! Wait For Sells!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of Nov 24-29th.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Potential bullish bounce?Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,928.53
1st Support: 3,823.55
1st Resistance: 4,200.91
Disclaimer:
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USOIL: Bullish Continuation
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current USOIL chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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XAU/USD ANALYSIS 11/24/20251. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD is stabilizing after a recent period of weakness as markets expect the Fed to maintain lower interest rates in 2025, reducing pressure on gold.
• US Stock Market:
U.S. equities are seeing slight corrections, reflecting cautious sentiment ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes. When stocks stall, gold often benefits.
• FED:
Recent weak economic data has increased expectations that the Fed will cut rates earlier in 2025. Any dovish signals from the Fed will support gold prices.
• TRUMP Administration:
The Trump administration is considering a new economic stimulus package and adjustments to import taxes. Protectionist-leaning policies may cause volatility in the USD, but generally increase safe-haven demand — supporting gold.
• Gold ETF (SPDR):
SPDR has recently shown mixed buying and selling, indicating capital flows are not yet surging but also no longer experiencing heavy outflows. This is a neutral signal but slightly supportive of price stability.
b) Politics:
Tensions in the Middle East and concerns about the upcoming EU elections keep defensive capital flows active. These factors help support gold and limit the risk of deep declines.
c) Market Sentiment:
The market is in a mild risk-off state, with capital shifting toward safe assets, though not strongly yet. This aligns with gold maintaining its base and having the potential to break out if key technical levels are breached.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Price is maintaining a long-term uptrend line from early November.
• A compression triangle pattern has been broken to the upside — a clear bullish signal.
• The 4,064 level is a key retest zone currently being tested.
• If this zone holds, upside targets will expand.
• RSI on the M30 timeframe is in a balanced zone, not overbought — favorable for further upside movement.
Conclusion: The trend leans bullish as long as price does not break below the trendline and the 4,029 zone.
RESISTANCE: 4,096 – 4,125 – 4,193
SUPPORT: 4,029 – 4,000 – 3,964
3. Yesterday’s Market (21/11/25):
• Gold fluctuated strongly from the 4,029 support area and bounced back along the trendline.
• Buyers dominated late in the session, setting up a foundation for today’s recovery.
• Volatility has been narrowing, signaling a potential breakout.
4. Strategy for Today (24/11/25):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4147 – 4145
SL: 4153
TP1: 4137
TP2: 4129
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 3964 – 3966
SL: 3960
TP1: 3972
TP2: 3978
BRIEFING Week #47 : Monthly Reversal in ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 24 - Nov 28]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD price continued to hold above the support level of 4,000 USD/oz, but the risk of price decline is increasing due to geopolitical tensions and expectations that the FED will cut interest rates at the December meeting is not enough to create a strong rebound for gold prices.
The gold price next week may continue to fluctuate in a narrow range, waiting for US economic data to clarify the FED's interest rate reduction roadmap.
Retail sales and producer price index (PPI) reports, along with other data due next week, could help us get a better idea of the US economic situation. If the US economic data is below expectations, it could increase expectations for a Fed rate cut in December, pushing gold back above $4,100/oz next week. However, if these data continue to reduce expectations for a Fed rate cut, gold could break the important support level of $4,000/oz next week, opening the door to $3,845-$3,800/oz.
However, in the long term, gold prices are still expected to continue to rise as central banks continue to buy, although the pace of buying may slow down due to the high gold price. Moreover, gold has proven its value, even when compared to other stores of value such as cryptocurrencies, due to the sharp decline of bitcoin and many other cryptocurrencies. Therefore, the appeal of gold is still very large and has no rivals in the financial investment environment.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, an important support level is established around the 4,000 USD/oz threshold. If this level is broken, the gold price is at risk of falling deeply to 3,900 or even 3,850 USD/oz. In case the gold price forms a double bottom pattern at 4,000 and breaks through the 4,132 resistance level, there is a chance to recover above the 4,200 USD/oz threshold.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4176 - 4174⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4180
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3964 - 3966⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3960
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAUUSD) – Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone
1. Key Zone: Strong Demand / Rejection Area
Price has reacted multiple times inside the blue demand zone (around 4040–4035).
This zone aligns with Fibonacci levels (0.705–0.79), strengthening the bullish probability.
Each touch shows buyers stepping in (long wicks + strong rejections).
2. Falling Wedge Breakout
A falling wedge pattern has been broken to the upside.
Price retested the wedge but dropped again to retest deeper inside the demand zone.
A bullish continuation is expected after one more dip into the zone (green arrow).
3. EMAs: Bullish Confluence
EMA 50 and EMA 200 are close, tightening and suggesting a potential trend shift.
Price is expected to bounce off the demand zone and climb above EMAs.
4. Projected Move
After tapping the demand zone, price is expected to:
Break above recent structure highs
Build bullish momentum toward the target point: 4,143.06
SMC Trading point
5. Overall Idea
This setup indicates a bullish continuation forming after a correction.
The blue zone is the high-probability buy zone, and the projected path suggests a move toward 4143 after confirmation.
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Silver is in the Bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum LoadingGold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum Loading
Gold is showing signs of upside exhaustion, with price repeatedly failing to gain momentum as it approaches the mid-range premium zone near the 4,245 area. The recent structure reflects a market transitioning from short-term recovery into renewed weakness, with each bullish attempt losing strength faster than the previous one.
Order flow remains dominated by distribution behaviour, and the chart signals a potential liquidity sweep followed by a bearish continuation. The projected rejection zone suggests that buyers are running into an area of heavy supply, where institutional activity has previously triggered aggressive downside extensions. Volume distribution across the range also highlights diminishing demand at higher prices, reinforcing the likelihood of a downward rotation.
As the market continues to respect its broader range ceiling, the probability increases for price to revisit deeper value regions. With momentum fading and the current leg showing hesitation, gold is positioned for a potential sell-side move toward lower mean-reversion levels.
XAGUSD Silver Outlook (Count 2)Here is my primary view on FX_IDC:XAGUSD . This is an updated view taking in to account the monthly time frame chart which i have recently shared, i may work on publishing the monthly idea soon.
In this outlook silver is currently close to working through a series of wave 4's and 5's. As I mention on the chart if the projected levels change but the sequence is accurate then I’ll be happy with that.
I have added some more comments in the chart regarding the Elliott wave guideline of alternation, which we should consider when forecasting future price action.
In line with the monthly chart, this outlook now shows the $87 target, and the analysis behind it. I have changed the wave degrees to reflect this current impulsive rally being in the cyan primary degree sitting under the purple cycle degree wave III.
More comments on the chart.
Light crude oil On oil, I like two levels for trade, one is short from the approximate price of 66.3, where a deviation above the high could be created, and the close fibo level of 0.5 adds to the confluence, and the daily level on the long, I would like a drop at least below the value low around the price level of 57.46, where the daily level is also nearby
Supply sideThe situation of excess has become a definite trend, with weak supporting force
- OPEC + increased production, coupled with the conclusion of supply surplus, Securities Times e-Company: The OPEC report in November changed the global oil situation from healthy to surplus. Currently, the world's oil production exceeds demand by 500,000 barrels per day, while a month ago it was estimated to be a shortage of 400,000 barrels. Although OPEC + decided to suspend production increase in the first quarter of 2026, it will still increase production by 137,000 barrels per day in December, and the continuous rounds of production increase in the past have continuously accumulated market supply pressure. At the same time, the compensation for production cuts by some oil-producing countries can slightly offset the impact of production increase, but it is difficult to change the overall surplus situation.
- Non-OPEC oil-producing countries have high production: The U.S. crude oil production remains at a high level, with the production reaching 13.862 million barrels per day in the week of November 7th. Although it has slightly declined later, it still remains at a historical high level. EIA also raised the 2026 U.S. crude oil production by 200,000 barrels per day to 13.5 million barrels per day. Its continuous production increase further intensifies the expectation of global supply surplus.
Next week's crude oil strategy analysis
sell:58-58.5
tp:57.5-57
sl:59.5
HLU - Trio Retest: Where Structure Meets Opportunity!Homeland Uranium TSXV:HLU just secured a long-forgotten 35-million-pound uranium deposit in Colorado, originally discovered in 1979 and abandoned when the nuclear industry collapsed.
With uranium prices up 141% in four years , and global demand expected to jump another 28% by 2030 , Homeland is positioning itself inside a powerful multi-year commodity cycle few investors are watching.
Add AI-driven power demand, national security concerns, and new U.S. policies fast-tracking domestic uranium, and HLU becomes a high-conviction asymmetric energy play.
📊 Technical Analysis
After surging by over 160% , HLU has been in a healthy correction phase, trading within the falling channel marked in red.
However, from a long-term perspective, HLU remains overall bullish, trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern.
The orange circle represents a massive rejection point, the intersection of three confluences, what I call a TRIO RETEST :
- The lower bound of the rising wedge pattern
- The lower bound of the falling channel, acting as an oversold zone
- The structure marked in blue
As HLU approaches the orange zone, we will be looking for trend-following longs.
For the bulls to confirm long-term control and kickstart the next big impulse upward, a break above the falling red channel is needed.
💡 Bigger Picture
Here’s why the fundamentals add fuel to the technical setup:
- A $2.7B uranium prize reclaimed for pennies: Homeland acquired a 35-million-pound U.S. uranium deposit for just $0.15/lb, material now worth nearly $80/lb.
- Trump’s Day-One energy orders: New executive actions prioritize U.S. nuclear power and domestic uranium production. Homeland controls a rare U.S.-based asset right as the policy tide shifts.
- AI is outgrowing the grid: Microsoft, Google, and Oracle are moving toward nuclear due to soaring power needs. Homeland owns the fuel they’ll need.
- National security tailwind: The U.S. imports 98% of its uranium. Russia banned exports. China is hoarding supply. Homeland’s American deposit is uniquely strategic.
📘 Bottom line
HLU is sitting at a key technical zone while the macro, political, and energy narratives align in its favor. If the TRIO retest holds, the next bullish impulse could unfold from a position of both structural and fundamental strength.
📌 Always do your own research and consult your financial advisor before investing.
📚 Stick to your trading plan, entry, risk management, and execution.
All strategies are good, if managed properly.
~ Richard Nasr
XAUUSD: Price Holds Triangle Support, Aiming for $4,120Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is trading within a broad symmetrical triangle structure, where price continues to respect both the Triangle Resistance Line and the Triangle Support Line. After a strong bullish rally inside the Upward Channel earlier, Gold reached the Resistance Area around $4,120–$4,130, where a sharp reversal occurred. This zone has consistently acted as a major supply level, triggering multiple corrections in recent sessions. Following the breakout below the Upward Channel, XAUUSD entered a consolidation phase supported by the Support Zone near $4,000, which aligns with the lower triangle boundary. This level has proven to be a key reaction zone, showing strong buyer interest each time price tested it.
Currently, Gold attempted another bullish push after bouncing from the Triangle Support Line. Price is now approaching the Resistance Area once again, but buyers face strong selling pressure around $4,080–$4,120, which overlaps with both horizontal resistance and the descending triangle boundary. A break and close above the Triangle Resistance Line would confirm bullish continuation and likely lead to a retest of higher liquidity levels near $4,180–$4,200. As long as XAUUSD stays above the $4,000 Support Zone, the broader structure remains bullish. However, sustained failure to break the resistance area may result in another corrective move back toward the Triangle Support Line.
My Scenario & Strategy
From my perspective, as long as Gold holds above $4,000, the bullish bias remains intact.
My near-term target (TP1) is the $4,120 Resistance Area, with potential extension toward $4,160–$4,200 if buyers manage a clean breakout above the triangle resistance. I will look for long entries on pullbacks toward the Triangle Support Line or the Support Zone around $4,000–$4,020, especially if bullish rejection patterns appear.
If XAUUSD breaks below the $4,000 level, the bullish setup becomes invalid and deeper correction toward $3,960–$3,920 may follow. For now, price action favors a bullish continuation setup, provided support continues to hold.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 4021 - 4045 area
Support 2: 3869 - 3934 area
Support 3: 3765 - 3829 area
Support 4: 3690 - 3738 area
Resistance 1: 4082 - 4133 area
Resistance 2: 4202 - 4246 area
Resistance 3: 4360 - 4382 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Gold Nonfarm: Buy OB 4030, Target Break 4111🔍 Market Context – November 20, 2025
Gold initially dropped nearly 70 pips at the start of the day but quickly rebounded sharply from the 4030–4032 zone, demonstrating strong buying pressure and a refusal to decline further.
The market structure on the H1–H2 timeframe is forming a classic, well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—a quintessential bullish reversal pattern—signaling a potential upward expansion if the neckline is successfully broken.
📅 Key News Events Today:
🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
📉 US Unemployment Rate
🏛 FOMC Meeting Minutes
🗣 Speeches by Trump, Barkin, Williams
🧾 Initial Jobless Claims
⚠️ These events could trigger sharp volatility and will determine the confirmation or rejection of the reversal pattern.
📊 Technical Analysis
🛒 BUY SETUP – Primary Priority
✅ Entry: 4030 – 4032
🛡 Stop Loss (SL): 4027
🎯 Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 4039
TP2: 4047
TP3: 4059
💡 Rationale: Price bounced strongly at the OB + SSS zone. This is a crucial technical support area and the base of the Inverse H&S pattern. The objective is to break the neckline to trigger the uptrend.
🔻 SELL SETUP – Short-Term Strategy
📍 Entry: 4093 – 4095
🛡 SL: 4098
🎯 TP:
TP1: 4088
TP2: 4077
TP3: 4060
TP4: 4033
💡 Rationale: This strategy is only applicable if the price forms a false breakout of the BSL zone and reverses. This is an ideal entry point for quick scalping if the market reacts negatively to the news.
🔑 Key Price Zones
Buy Zone (OB + SSS): 4030 – 4032
→ Strong demand zone, the base of the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming the reversal signal if held.
Breakout Neckline Zone: 4101 – 4111
→ The neckline of the Inverse H&S pattern. Breaking this zone will open up opportunities for a sharp rise.
Final Resistance Zone: 4133 – 4140
→ The final target if the breakout is successful and the bullish pattern is confirmed.
✅ Strategy Conclusion
🎯 Main Strategy: Priority is to BUY in the OB zone 4030–4032.
🩸 SELL is only for short-term scalping if there is a signal of rejection at the BSL zone.
🕓 Caution: Be careful entering trades near the Nonfarm news release time—wait for price action to confirm the direction.






















