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EURUSD: bullish pressure🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour (H4) timeframe, EURUSD is exhibiting strong bullish momentum within a well-defined ascending structure. The price is currently being guided by a steep Ascending Support Line, which has remained intact since the "Global bullish signal" was triggered in early December. The pair is currently consolidating just below a major horizontal Resistance zone (1.18000 – 1.18080). As noted on the chart, buyers are consistently putting pressure on this level. The analysis suggests a high probability of an upward breakout, likely fueled by the "accumulation of sellers' stop losses" situated just above this resistance area. The moving averages (SMA 50, 100, and 200) are all trending upward, providing dynamic support and confirming the overall bullish bias. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: Confirmation of an H4 candle close above the resistance (approx. 1.18080). 🎯 Take Profit: 1.18626 (Next major liquidity level). 🔴 Stop Loss: 1.17718 (Below the immediate support and ascending trendline). ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Long
by Trade8Eight
XAU/USD – Bullish Structure Holds, Focus on Buy the DipMarket Context Gold remains in a bullish environment, trading within an ascending structure. The recent pullback appears to be a technical retracement after an impulsive move, not a trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a more accommodative Fed continue to weigh on the USD, keeping gold supported on dips. This backdrop favors trend-following BUY strategies rather than aggressive SELLs. Technical Structure (H1) Overall structure remains Higher High – Higher Low Price is holding above the ascending trendline No confirmed bearish Break of Structure Current phase = rebalancing / pullback within uptrend Key Zones on Chart OBS BUY Zone: 4,483 – 4,475 Deeper Support: 4,457 Near Resistance: 4,515 Upper Resistance / Target: 4,534 Major Supply: 4,566 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation BUY Wait for price to pull back into the OBS BUY zone (4,483 – 4,475) Look for bullish reaction / structure hold on lower timeframes This zone aligns with demand + trend support Targets TP1: 4,515 TP2: 4,534 TP3: 4,566 (expect reaction / profit-taking) Alternative Scenario If price breaks above 4,534 with acceptance → Expect a push toward 4,566, but avoid chasing at premium Invalidation A H1 close below 4,457 would weaken the bullish structure and shift bias to neutral. Summary Gold remains bullish as long as structure support holds. The priority is to buy pullbacks at key demand zones, manage risk near resistance, and avoid emotional entries at the highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD ANALYSIS 12/26/20251. Fundamental Analysis a) Economic factors: • USD: Mild technical rebound after a period of weakness, mainly driven by year-end profit-taking sentiment → creates short-term corrective pressure on gold. • US equities: Stable, no major risk shock → not generating strong safe-haven flows. • FED: Expectations of rate cuts in the medium–long term remain unchanged, but in the short term the Fed maintains a cautious tone → gold is prone to short-term volatility. • TRUMP: US political factors still pose potential volatility toward 2026, but no immediate trigger yet. • Gold ETF (SPDR): Added 3.71 tons → price base remains supported. However, large holdings may see partial profit-taking, leading to short-term pullbacks → look to buy on dips. b) Political factors: • No new geopolitical escalation → not enough momentum for a strong breakout, but still provides a supportive base for the long-term uptrend. c) Market sentiment: • Mild risk-on sentiment at year-end, capital focuses on portfolio rebalancing → gold corrects and consolidates, not a trend reversal. ⇒ Fundamental conclusion: Short-term corrective pressure, while the medium–long-term trend still supports BUY on pullbacks to support zones. 2. Technical Analysis Main trend: Clear uptrend, higher high – higher low structure remains intact. Current price: • Moving within an ascending channel after rejecting the ATH zone at 4525. Short-term MAs: • Price is ranging around the MAs → market is pausing, waiting for new momentum. RSI: • RSI has rebounded from lower levels, not overbought, no strong bearish divergence. Implication: This is a pullback within an uptrend, not a breakdown. RESISTANCE: 4480 – 4500 – 4525 SUPPORT: 4468 – 4448 – 4430 3. Previous session market behavior • Price formed a new ATH, then was strongly rejected at the upper trendline. • The US session saw profit-taking → gold corrected toward lower support. • Buying interest returned well at the channel bottom → no signs of distribution yet. ⇒ Yesterday’s market indicates: Sellers are not strong enough to break the trend; buyers still control the lower zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Signals_100pips
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.90, target 57.00-56.00Crude Oil Market Analysis: The recommended strategy for today is to sell crude oil. Recent crude oil price fluctuations have been relatively small, and the fluctuations are mostly within a consolidation phase. The recommended strategy is to sell, as chasing this range-bound market is not advisable. Wait for a rebound to a higher point before considering selling. Today, pay attention to the levels around 58.90 and 59.50. Fundamental Analysis: These past few days have been a holiday, with few major data releases. However, the escalating US-Venezuela relations and the worsening Russia-Ukraine situation are providing short-term geopolitical support, significantly benefiting gold prices. Trading Recommendation: Crude Oil – Sell around 58.90, target 57.00-56.00
NYMEX:CL1!
by FlyingTowardsWealth
1
XAUUSD: This Is a Breakout PreparationXAUUSD – 1H | Structure: Strong impulsive rally followed by bullish consolidation below previous high → classic continuation pattern. Key Zone: Former resistance ~4,350–4,380 flipped into strong support. Price keeps respecting this base. Momentum: Higher highs & higher lows intact → buyers still in control. No distribution signal yet. Next Objective: Clean continuation opens the path toward 4,700 (new ATH projection). Macro Drivers (Supporting the Move): Fed rate-cut expectations in 2025 keep real yields pressured. USD lacks strong upside momentum, reducing headwinds for gold. Ongoing geopolitical & fiscal uncertainty sustains safe-haven demand. ➡️ Bias: Bullish continuation. Pullbacks into support are buy-the-dip, not reversal signals
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Gold Continues to Maintain Its Bullish Streak Into Year-EndHello everyone, Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is taking a pause during the Christmas holiday period, currently trading around 4,479 USD. Although slightly lower than the previous session, gold continues to hold a strong high-price base after a powerful rally, driven by rising safe-haven flows, escalating geopolitical tensions, and expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in 2026. On the chart, price has broken out of the previous sideways range and formed a clear bullish structure. At the moment, gold is consolidating within the 4,450–4,525 range, with 4,520–4,525 acting as the nearest resistance (weak high)—a zone where liquidity may be drawn before the market commits to its next direction. From a scenario perspective, as long as price holds above key support, any pullbacks are considered healthy, and the uptrend remains dominant. A decisive break above 4,525 could open the door toward 4,600 USD and beyond, especially if supportive factors such as low interest rates and ongoing geopolitical risks persist. The preferred strategy at this stage remains buy-biased, focusing on patience, confirmation-based entries, trading in line with the trend, and avoiding FOMO. What’s your view on the current XAUUSD trend? Feel free to leave a comment. Wishing you a peaceful and joyful Christmas!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
13
XAUUSD ATH Sell Analysis 4530 - 4130This sell from 4,530 down toward ~4,130 is a straightforward “extension then correction” setup. Price pushed into a fresh high at 4,530 right at the upper boundary of the rising channel, but instead of building acceptance above that level it looks like an exhaustion print. In my framework, this is also exactly where my 5-wave model count completes. The impulse ends at 4,530 so I’m not treating the next move as a trend failure, but as the expected corrective phase that typically follows a completed count. The logical magnet for that correction is the heavy volume cluster / prior consolidation near 4130 where price previously spent time and transacted heavily. That zone is where I expect the market to rebalance, fill the thin area left by the late stage expansion, and potentially stabilize before the next directional decision. Invalidation for the correction idea would be sustained price acceptance as we are in discovery and continuation above 4530 For now I expect price rejections and potential ABC top formations
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by johnconner966
4
Price Breaks Higher, Pullback Becomes the OpportunityHi, On the 4H timeframe, XAUUSD is still clearly trading within a strong bullish trend. The recent sharp move higher was not a random spike, but a solid bullish Break of Structure (BOS), marked by a large candle body closing decisively above the previous consolidation zone. From a fundamental perspective, the broader news backdrop continues to support this bullish scenario. The market is increasingly pricing in the possibility of monetary easing by the Fed next year, while recent U.S. economic data shows signs of cooling. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical risks and global uncertainty are sustaining strong safe-haven demand for gold. In terms of price action, I do not expect gold to move straight up without any pullbacks. The most reasonable scenario is a corrective move to retest the 4.43x–4.45x support zone, where demand aligns with the bullish market structure. If price holds this area and shows clear buying reactions, it would present a high-quality opportunity to continue looking for BUY setups in line with the dominant trend. Wishing you successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Camila_Roja
25
IE | Copper Companies Are Going Parabolic Soon | LONGIvanhoe Electric, Inc. is a minerals exploration and development company which focuses on developing mines from mineral deposits. Its projects include Santa Cruz Copper and Tintic Copper-Gold Projects. It operates through the following segments: Santa Cruz Project, Critical Metals, Data Processing, and Energy Storage. The Santa Cruz Project and Critical Metals segment handles mineral project exploration and development with a focus on identifying and developing mineral projects, and ultimately mines, associated with the metals necessary for electrification. The Data Processing segment provides data analytics, geophysical modeling, and artificial intelligence services for mineral, oil and gas, and water exploration industries. The Energy Storage segment develops, manufactures, and installs vanadium flow batteries for grid-scale energy storage. The company was founded on July 14, 2020 and is headquartered in Tempe, AZ.
AMEX:IELong
by DivergenceSeeker
Weekly Hammer, 2026 Channel Exitthere are two critical levels that must be confirmed. The first is the baseline of the last three months, which represents the structural foundation of the current market phase. The second is the formation of a new baseline for the next three months, a level that will be validated and confirmed later in 2026. A green hammer candle forming next week is expected to act as the ignition point of this cycle, signaling the start of the move and providing the momentum for the broader formation. This setup points to a strong continuation, with a significant bullish push anticipated in the following week, culminating in a clearly confirmed, strong green candle on the first Monday of 2026.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
XAUUSD Gold to 5K Another breakout amist a growing pattern of buildup- major conflict inbound and the USD is being tested. The world will not pay (inflation) by supporting it's debt system (bond market) The dollar is being dumped. The debt bubble is popping. (Potentially) The conflict is causing the issue and the issue is causing (by) the global criminal syndicate of power. (the banking system) He who controls the most debt controls the world; Proverbs Chapter 22:7 The Rich Rule Over the Poor and the Borrower (the Government) is Slave to the Lender (the Central Bank) The national debt is the debt (infinite) issued by the bond holders- which is simply currrency for the slaves. They don't issue out stock- they sell the country's resources. And as such- War is a Racket- (Smedley Darlington Butler) It flips countries so they can plunder thier resources. The CIA works for them; not for you, you pay with your blood through war. They directly tax (income tax) you like kings- they own you. (slaves/borrowers) (George Carlin) they own the government, the government is there to keep you in line and give you the illusion of control. They own the system; they own every member (your representatives) and if they don't; they have the power to get rid of them. Every corporate news piece is there to keep you in the dark. Nothing gets out beyond the system. (cults) They're infested in virutally every neighborhood (police) and now they're leveraging technology to further thier power. And now they want full control, they want systems to govern your every step and they will scare you into them as they please. They want full control of the world. The end.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mikhiavelli
LNG Week 52: -158 BCF Draw Deepens as Winter Demand Bites* Due to the platform's features, the charts are arranged in sequence from left to right, from the first to the eighth chart. The charts were created by our team and based on an analysis from Bloomberg and the EIA data. This analysis was conducted in cooperation with Anastasia Volkova, analyst of LSE. The natural gas market closes out Week 52 with continued winter pressure, as a forecast -158 BCF storage withdrawal for Week 51 (December 19) pushes inventories to 3,420 BCF-125 BCF below 2024 and 70 BCF under the 5-year average. The F26 contract expires with heightened volatility above the upper interquartile range, while the forward curve stabilizes long-term but diverges near-term. HDD+CDD values surge to 30-year highs before easing, driving demand amid stable production. Current prices compared to price dispersion 10 days before expiration, by month since 2010 The last days before the expiration of the F26 contract are marked by increased volatility, as in many historical years. The current price has significantly exceeded the upper limit of the historical interquartile range 10 days before expiration (exceeding the 75th percentile and approaching historical highs). This may signal strong buyer pressure or a change in market expectations, but it also increases the risk of a downward correction to the historical norm.   Forward curve compared to 2020-2025 The shape of the 2025 forward curve on nearby contracts is practically consistent with the 2023–2024 ranges, while the nearby F26 contract shows significant volatility. Current stocks and forecast for next week compared to 2020-2024 According to the forecast for week 51 (EIA report for the week ending December 19), a series of significant withdrawals is expected to continue. Gas stocks in underground storage facilities will decrease by -158 BCF, which is 35 BCF below the average for the past five years. At the same time, stock levels will reach 3,420 BCF, which is 125 BCF below the 2024 level and 70 BCF below the five-year average. HDD+CDD based on current NOAA data and forecast for the next two weeks compared to 1994-2024 Currently, the total HDD + CDD (heating and cooling degree days) indicators for all climatic regions of the United States are at the lower end of the range. According to meteorological models, the weather in the next two weeks will be within the average and moderately warm ranges of the 30-year climate norm. Daily supply/demand difference compared to 2014-2024 On December 24, the difference between supply and demand in 2025 continues to decline after abnormal growth and has fallen below the lower interquartile range for 2014-2024. Number of days for delivery from warehouses The graph shows the number of days of supply from storage alone, based on current consumption levels. As of December 24, reserves are sufficient for approximately 30 days, which is one day higher than in 2024, two days lower than the average, and remains stable around the average.   Filling level of European storage facilities The overall level of gas storage in Europe on December 24 continues to decline and stands at 66.1% (-2.7% for the week), which is 9.8% below the average level and 9.2% lower than last year. The lowest storage levels are observed in Croatia (41.7%), Latvia (50%), Denmark (52.9%), and the Netherlands (53.5%). The maximum levels are in Sweden (102%), Portugal (93.5%), Poland (85.7%), Romania (78.8%), and Italy (76.5%).   Electricity generation by source Compared to last week, gas generation in the US48 energy balance fell by 3% on December 24, 2025, remaining in the middle range at 35.9% of the total. The share of nuclear generation increased by 2.8% to 20.8% and is in the middle range. The share of coal generation fell by 2.5% and is close to its 5-year low of 16.8%. The share of wind generation fluctuated significantly over the past week, reaching 17.5% and settling at 13.9%. Solar generation accounts for 3.5% of the total.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by igorisaev
XAUUSD - Gold has reached its ceiling?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. A reduction in the upward momentum and a correction towards the demand range will provide us with a better risk-reward buying position. On December 10, the Federal Reserve surprised financial markets when it announced that **just two days after halting its balance sheet runoff**, it would resume **expanding its balance sheet starting December 12**. At first glance, this swift reversal appeared to signal a return to accommodative monetary policies, but a closer examination reveals that **its nature and scale differ meaningfully from past experiences**. Although the move came earlier and with greater force than markets had anticipated, it should not be interpreted as the **start of a new round of quantitative easing (QE)**. During the 2008 global financial crisis and again amid the COVID-19 shock in March 2020, the Federal Reserve injected massive liquidity into the financial system through **large-scale purchases of long-term government bonds**. Those programs were designed to **push down bond yields, ease financial stress, and directly support economic activity**. What is unfolding today is fundamentally different. This time, **liquidity injections are primarily being conducted via short-term securities**, and, crucially, there is no expectation that **the size of the Fed’s balance sheet will increase relative to GDP**—a key distinction from traditional QE episodes. In reality, recent decisions more closely resemble the events that followed the **repo market turmoil of September 2019**. At that time, the Federal Reserve misjudged the impact of new liquidity regulations on banks’ demand for central bank reserves and allowed **balance sheet reduction (QT)** to continue for too long. As a result, **excess reserves fell to levels insufficient to meet liquidity needs during critical moments**, triggering a sharp spike in short-term interest rates and ultimately forcing an **emergency intervention by the central bank**. While markets typically enter a quieter phase ahead of year-end holidays, certain **geopolitical risks** have the potential to disrupt this seasonal calm. One of the most prominent risks is the **escalation of tensions between the United States and Venezuela**. In recent days, Donald Trump has repeatedly warned about **expanding military actions against drug trafficking networks**, even floating the possibility of shifting operations from maritime routes onto Venezuelan territory—a scenario that could rapidly intensify tensions. Along these lines, the United States has effectively imposed a **de facto blockade on sanctioned oil tankers** over the past week, restricting their movement to and from Venezuela. Should Trump decide to further escalate pressure on the government of **Nicolás Maduro**, the likelihood of a meaningful market reaction would rise considerably. Such a scenario could initially **support oil prices** and, to a lesser extent, **drive safe-haven flows toward gold**.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
1
XAUUSD Long: Demand Zone Holds, $4,540 in SightHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD based on the current chart structure. Gold previously completed a corrective phase after breaking above a descending resistance line, which marked a shift in market control from sellers to buyers. Following this breakout, price entered a consolidation Range, where the market absorbed supply and built a base before the next impulsive move higher. After leaving the range, XAUUSD accelerated into a strong bullish leg and formed an ascending channel, confirming sustained buying pressure. The breakout above the channel base was decisive, and price continued to print higher highs and higher lows. Recently, gold reached the Supply Zone around 4,500, where selling pressure appeared and caused a short-term rejection. This reaction pushed price back toward the Demand Zone near 4,430, which aligns with the channel support and previous breakout structure. Currently, price is pulling back in a controlled manner within the bullish channel. The rejection from supply looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting profit-taking instead of trend reversal. Buyers are expected to defend the demand area as long as the channel structure remains intact. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,430 Demand Zone, the bullish structure stays valid. A strong reaction from this area could lead to another push toward the 4,500 Supply Zone, with a potential continuation toward 4,540 if a clean breakout occurs. A decisive breakdown below demand would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a deeper correction. For now, the bias remains bullish while price respects the ascending channel. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by heniitrading
22
Gold Price Today (H1) – Bullish Continuation After Trendline BreGold Price Today (H1) – Bullish Continuation After Trendline Break, Key Support Zones to Buy the Dip Gold is still holding a bullish intraday structure on the H1 chart after a strong impulse move. The prior steep trendline (green) has been broken, which often signals a transition from “trend acceleration” into a healthier phase: sideways consolidation, a pullback into demand, then continuation. Right now, price is compressing below the recent peak, suggesting the market is building liquidity before the next directional push. The cleanest edge today is not chasing the middle of the range, but waiting for price to revisit high-probability support zones (Fibonacci confluence + horizontal demand) and then confirming with EMA/RSI behavior. Market Structure Read (H1) Strong bullish leg from the base (around the lower support), followed by a topping wick and a sharp pullback. Current price action is consolidating, forming a “re-accumulation” style range under the previous high. The projected path on the chart aligns with a common continuation sequence: retest supply-to-demand flip, then push higher. Bias for today: Bullish as long as price holds above the mid support zone and does not break down into the lower base support. Key Support and Resistance Levels (Most Important Today) Resistance (sell-side liquidity / breakout triggers) 4,485 – 4,500: intraday supply, reaction zone before a cleaner breakout 4,515 – 4,530: previous peak (main breakout level) 4,555 – 4,585: upside expansion zone if 4,530 is reclaimed with momentum Support (buy-side zones) 4,465 – 4,475: nearest pullback zone (small box on chart), ideal for “retest then go” setups 4,420 – 4,435: mid demand zone (stronger intraday support), best location for higher R:R longs 4,305 – 4,315: major base support (HTF floor). If this breaks, the bullish thesis weakens materially Fibonacci Map (How I’d Anchor It) Using the most recent impulsive leg (base support → recent peak), the market is now rotating into typical retracement territory: 0.382–0.50 retracement aligns closely with the mid support band (high-confluence buy area) A deeper 0.618 pullback would still be “bullish correction,” but it would require more patience and confirmation This is why the 4,420–4,435 zone is the most valuable area on the chart: it matches both structure support and likely Fibonacci retracement behavior. EMA + RSI Confirmation (Execution Filters) EMA (trend filter) If price holds above the rising EMA cluster (commonly 20/50 EMA on H1), dips are more likely to be bought. The best continuation trades usually happen when price taps into EMA support and immediately prints strong rejection candles (long lower wicks, bullish engulfing, or clean break back above the EMA). RSI (momentum filter) After the impulse, RSI typically cools from overbought and resets toward the midline. Bullish continuation is favored when RSI holds above 45–50 during pullbacks and then breaks back up with price reclaiming key levels. If RSI loses 40 and stays weak while price breaks the mid support, that increases the odds of a deeper drop into the base support. High-Probability Trade Plans for Today (Intraday H1) Plan A – Buy the Dip at the Nearest Support (Aggressive Continuation) Entry idea: Wait for price to sweep into 4,465–4,475 Confirm with: bullish rejection candle on H1, or a reclaim of the micro range high Stops: Below the pullback box (give room under the sweep) Targets: TP1: 4,495–4,500 TP2: 4,515–4,530 TP3: 4,555–4,585 (only if breakout momentum is strong) Best condition: RSI holds above 45–50 and EMA support is respected. Plan B – Buy the Mid Demand Zone (Safer, Better R:R) Entry idea: Let price pull into 4,420–4,435 Look for confirmation: base-building + break of local structure (BOS) back upward on H1 Stops: Below the mid demand zone low Targets: TP1: return to 4,475 TP2: 4,515–4,530 TP3: 4,555–4,585 This is the setup I prefer if the market is choppy, because it avoids paying premium prices inside consolidation. Plan C – Breakdown Scenario (Only If Support Fails) If H1 closes cleanly below 4,420–4,435 and retests it as resistance: Short on the retest (confirmation required) Targets: 4,365 then 4,305–4,315 Invalidation: Price reclaims 4,435 and holds above it with RSI recovering. What to Watch During the Session A clean reclaim and hold above 4,500 increases the probability of a run back to the previous peak. A breakout above 4,515–4,530 with strong candles often accelerates quickly into the 4,555–4,585 expansion zone. If price keeps rejecting 4,500 and RSI stays heavy, expect the deeper pullback toward 4,420–4,435. Risk Note This is a technical analysis perspective for trading and education, not financial advice. Intraday volatility can spike unexpectedly, so keep risk fixed per trade and avoid overtrading inside the middle of the range.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
4
DeGRAM | GOLD is declining in the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD is trading below a descending resistance line after failing to sustain the breakout of the ascending channel. Multiple rejections from the 4,495–4,505 resistance area signal weakening bullish momentum. ● Price structure shows a lower high and a corrective bounce from the support area near 4,455, which currently acts as a reaction zone. As long as price stays below 4,485, pressure remains tilted toward a continuation move lower. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold faces short-term headwinds from stable USD demand and reduced safe-haven flows amid calm risk sentiment and limited macro catalysts. ✨ Summary ● Short bias below 4,485. Resistance: 4,500–4,517. Targets: 4,470 and 4,455 support zone. Structure favors further pullback. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
2
Gold 1H – Smart Money Traps Form Near 4540–4450 Range🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes, but price is now trading inside a compression zone after a clear impulsive expansion. With year-end liquidity thinning and traders positioning ahead of fresh Fed rate expectations and USD yield fluctuations, Gold is vulnerable to liquidity manipulation rather than clean continuation. Recent USD softness and mixed macro headlines keep Gold supported, yet extended pricing near highs increases the probability of stop hunts on both sides before the next decisive move. Smart Money behavior here favors range engineering — drawing in breakout traders above highs and shaking out impatient longs below key demand — before revealing true intent. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish HTF structure with short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at premium (4540–4542) or discount (4450–4448) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Recent CHoCH signals short-term distribution risk • Price is trading in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg left unmitigated inefficiencies below • A defined scalping range has formed between premium and discount • Liquidity rests clearly above 4540 and below 4450 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 Rules: ✔ Sweep above premium buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4510 2. 4485 3. 4450 – extension if USD strengthens or yields push higher 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and prior demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4480 2. 4510 3. 4540 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium trading increases fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session and thin year-end liquidity • Reduce risk around Fed-driven or USD yield headlines 📍 Summary Gold is still bullish by structure, but current price action signals liquidity games inside a defined range. Smart Money is likely to engineer stops before expansion: • A sweep above 4540 may fade back toward 4485–4450, or • A liquidity grab near 4450 could reload longs toward 4510–4540+ Let price show intent — Smart Money waits, retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
22
USOILSPOT H4 | Bullish Momentum To ExtendMomentum: Bullish The price is falling towards the buy entry, which aligns with the 23.6% Fib retracement, which adds significant strength to this level. Buy entry: 57.88 Pullback support 23.6% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 57.12 Pullback support 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Take profit: 59.27 Pullback resistance 78.6% Fibonacci retracement High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:USOILSPOTLong
by Tradu