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Gold Pullback Toward 4,420 as Dollar Weakness Persists!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,420 zone. From a technical perspective, Gold remains firmly within a broader uptrend and is currently undergoing a controlled corrective phase. Price is approaching the 4,420 area, a key confluence zone combining trend support with a former support/resistance level — an area where buyers have previously stepped in. On the fundamental side, the backdrop continues to favor Gold. The Federal Reserve’s December rate cut has reinforced downside pressure on the US Dollar, while incoming data keeps the door open for another potential rate cut at the January FOMC, further weighing on USD expectations. This persistent weak-dollar bias remains structurally supportive for Gold. Additionally, concerns around Federal Reserve independence and rising political and geopolitical tensions are contributing to renewed safe-haven demand, providing an additional tailwind for the metal. As long as price holds above the 4,420 region, the broader bullish structure remains intact, with pullbacks viewed as potential continuation opportunities rather than trend reversals. Don't forget to boost the post and leave your opinion on the comment section. Trade safe, Joe
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
11
Gold (XAUUSD) H1 – Intraday Structure & Key LevelsGold is currently trading within a corrective phase after a strong bullish impulse, with price reacting below a weak high. The broader structure remains constructive, but short-term price action suggests two-sided risk. Key observations Recent CHOCH signals indicate a pause in momentum rather than a trend reversal. Price rejected from the upper supply zone and is now reacting around the mid-range. Liquidity remains stacked above the weak high, while demand sits below near the prior support block. Key levels to watch Resistance: 4,520–4,560 (weak high / supply) Support: 4,400–4,420 (intraday demand) Invalidation: Below 4,380 opens room toward deeper demand Scenarios Bullish continuation: Hold above support → reclaim 4,480–4,500 → liquidity run toward 4,520–4,560. Bearish pullback: Failure to reclaim 4,480 → continuation lower into 4,400 demand before buyers step in. Bias stays neutral-to-bullish while above key demand. Patience and confirmation around these levels will define the next high-probability move. Follow to stay updated, and save this if it adds value.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Gold Slides as Investors Lock in Profits, Safe-Haven Demand FadeGOLD | Overview Gold Falls as Investors Lock In Profits Gold prices pulled back as investors locked in profits after a strong rally this year, with prices having traded around $2,670 in early January. Additionally, signs of potential progress between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on ending the conflict with Russia have reduced safe-haven demand, adding pressure to the metal in the short term. Technically: Gold maintains a bearish bias while trading below the pivot level at 4472. As long as price remains below 4472, downside momentum is expected to continue toward 4459, with a deeper move likely toward 4420 if selling pressure strengthens. A bullish recovery would require a 1H candle close above 4472, which would open the path toward 4500 and 4545. Key Levels Pivot Line: 4472 Support: 4459 · 4438 · 4420 Resistance: 4490 · 4500 · 4545 Outlook: Gold remains bearish below 4472, targeting 4459–4420. A confirmed 1H close above 4472 would shift momentum to bullish, aiming for 4500–4545.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
WTI Energy Markets: Are Buyers Still in Control?🛢️ WTI / USOIL — Bullish Energy Momentum Play Energies • Commodities CFD • Day / Swing Trade 📌 Market Bias 🟢 Bullish Plan Active WTI crude oil is trading with strong upside momentum, supported by trend structure and energy-sector flows. Buyers continue to defend dips while price respects bullish continuation behavior. 🎯 Trade Plan Entry: ✅ Flexible entry allowed — you may enter at any price level, depending on your execution model and risk profile. Stop Loss: ⛔ Reference SL: 56.000 ⚠️ Risk disclaimer: Adjust your stop-loss based on your strategy, position sizing, and account risk rules. Take Profit Zone: 🚨 Primary Objective: 60.000 📉 The moving average zone acts as a “police force” resistance — expect: Overbought conditions Liquidity traps Potential corrective reactions 💡 Protect profits aggressively near resistance. 🧠 Technical Logic (Why This Works) ✔️ Bullish trend structure intact ✔️ Higher-low defense suggests dip buyers are active ✔️ Moving average acting as dynamic resistance → profit-booking zone ✔️ Momentum favors continuation until supply absorbs demand 🔗 Related Markets to Watch (Correlation Guide) 💵 USD-Based Pairs DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) → Inverse correlation 📉 Weaker USD often supports higher oil prices. USD/CAD → Strong negative correlation 🛢️ Rising oil typically strengthens CAD. 🛢️ Energy Instruments BRENT Crude → Directional confirmation XLE (Energy Sector ETF) → Institutional energy flow tracker Natural Gas (XNG/USD) → Sentiment cross-check (not direct correlation) 📈 Risk Sentiment US30 / S&P500 → Risk-on flows support commodity demand Bond Yields → Rising yields can cap aggressive oil rallies 🌍 Fundamental & Economic Factors to Monitor 📊 (Current & upcoming macro drivers) 🛢️ OPEC+ supply guidance (production discipline impacts price stability) 🏭 U.S. crude inventory data (supply-demand imbalance signals) 🌍 Global growth outlook (energy consumption expectations) 🚢 Geopolitical supply risks (shipping routes & production regions) 💵 U.S. Dollar strength (pricing pressure on commodities) 🏦 Central bank policy tone (risk appetite & inflation hedging) 📌 These factors can accelerate or cap bullish momentum, especially near resistance zones. ⚠️ Risk Note This idea provides market structure and directional context only. You control: Position size Risk exposure Entry & exit execution Trade responsibly and manage capital professionally. 💬 If this setup adds value, hit 👍 and ⭐ to support quality analysis. 📌 Follow for more structured energy & macro-driven trade ideas.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by The-Thief
Wti on high time frame 1. **Fundamental Analysis**: Given the current economic situation and tensions, particularly the conflict between the USA and Venezuela, I expect oil prices to rise. 2. **Technical Signals**: Technical analysis supports my expectations, indicating a favorable outlook for price movement. 3. **Price Target**: I anticipate that WTI could break through the $64 level. 4. **Risk Management**: Emphasizing the importance of good risk management while trading. If you need further insights or a specific aspect analyzed, feel free to ask!
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by somayehbasiri
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for December 29thGold Technical Analysis: Daily Resistance: 4550, Support: 4403 4-Hour Resistance: 4550, Support: 4430 1-Hour Resistance: 4488, Support: 4445 Gold experienced a stepped decline today, breaking below the recent MA5 moving average support. Whether it can recover this level today is a key reference point for whether the short-term trend will rebound or continue downward. The moving averages remain in a bullish alignment, the Bollinger Bands are trending upwards, and the overall price action is within an upward channel. Watch the short-term support levels of 4445/4430, and the immediate resistance level is around the intraday high of 4550. On the 1-hour chart, the price action is at a high level, exhibiting a double-top pattern followed by a sharp decline. The price has broken below the upward trend support line, and the short-term focus is on the continuation of the downward momentum. Currently, attention is focused on the lower edge of the high-level consolidation range, where there is some support. The current structure still favors buyers, and the slowdown in upward momentum aligns with the need for adjustment after the recent sharp rise and also reflects the expectation of profit-taking at higher levels before the New Year holiday. Support levels to watch are around 4445/4430. The short-term strategy remains to wait for a pullback and look for support levels to buy. Trading Strategy: BUY: 4445 near BUY: 4430 near If it breaks below 4420, consider buying again around 4403. More detailed analysis →
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
DeGRAM | GOLD is above the support area📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD remains within a broader ascending channel, where the recent pullback stalled inside a well-defined support area. Buyers reacted near the lower channel boundary, preserving the higher-low structure. ● The rejection from upper resistance formed a corrective leg rather than a trend reversal. Price is now stabilizing above key support, suggesting a potential rebound toward the mid-channel and prior resistance zones. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold continues to draw support from sustained geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of easing monetary policy, while softer real yields keep downside pressure limited. ✨ Summary ● Short-term bullish bias holds. Support near the lower channel is critical. Recovery toward 4,497–4,520 is favored as long as price stays above the support area. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
1
XAUUSD – Developing Structure & Daily RSI Bearish DivergenceGold is currently trading near the upper boundary of a developing rising structure on the daily chart. This structure is not yet fully confirmed, but price is reacting from a potential resistance zone while momentum is weakening. Price is attempting to extend higher, however RSI (14) is forming a lower high — creating a bearish divergence. This does not necessarily signal a major trend reversal, but it does warn of possible exhaustion and a corrective phase. Important context: The current daily candle still has around 12 hours until close. We are in the Christmas / year-end holiday period with thin liquidity, which increases the probability of sharp moves and profit-taking reactions. Personal bias / expectation: I do not expect a deep bearish reversal at this stage. My primary expectation is a phase of profit-taking and a controlled pullback rather than a full trend change. Possible corrective objectives: • Return to the previous ATH zone. • Mean reversion into the mid of the developing structure / prior consolidation base. Confirmation trigger: A bearish displacement candle breaking below the most recent higher low would be the first sign that profit-taking is expanding. Invalidation: Strong daily acceptance above the current highs with improving RSI structure would delay or cancel the corrective scenario. This is a technical perspective based on structure and momentum, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GForecast
9
Weekly Market Outlook (Week 53)🔘 EURUSD Buyers continue to apply pressure on the 1.1800 resistance, with a breakout expected in the short term as the market targets seller stop-losses above this zone. The global bullish signal remains intact, suggesting further upside potential once the current resistance is cleared. 🔘 GBPUSD The pair is currently testing a major resistance line within a global bullish structure. A local pullback followed by a continued move upward is the most likely scenario as the price maintains its long-term momentum. 🔘 AUDUSD Price has stabilized at the critical resistance zone and is expected to maintain its short-term upward trajectory toward 0.6750. Traders should watch for a bullish continuation signal within the framework of the current medium-term trend. 🔘 USDJPY The pair maintains its medium-term upward momentum. The technical model points to a likely target at 162.00 if buyers hold the likely breakout of resistance at 158. 🔘 XAUUSD Gold has reached a significant resistance line near the 4531 peak, where a technical correction toward the 4350 - 4400 support area is now probable. Despite the global bullish signal, the current price extension suggests a period of cooling off. 🔘 XAGUSD Silver has entered a vertical parabolic phase, reaching extreme highs near 79.14. Given the aggressive nature of this move, a sharp corrective reversal is expected as the market seeks a more sustainable support level. 🔘 BTCUSD Bitcoin continues to trade within a bearish structure, capped by descending resistance lines and failing to hold higher levels. The momentum currently favors a retest of the 81,000 support zone in the coming days. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis: Market participants are navigating the final week of the year under conditions of significantly thinned liquidity, which often leads to erratic price movements and widened spreads. Investors are largely focused on year-end portfolio rebalancing and the "January Effect," while keeping a close eye on any late-breaking geopolitical shifts. With major banks closed for the New Year holiday, expect low-volume trading to dominate until the full return of institutional players in early 2026. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
TICKMILL:XAUUSD
by Trade8Eight
XAUUSD Sellers Defend Resistance, Eyes on PullbackHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. Gold remains in a bullish structure after breaking above a descending resistance line, confirming a shift in control to buyers. Price then consolidated in a clear range, showing balanced market activity before continuing higher. The upside breakout from this range, supported by a rising trend line, confirms ongoing bullish momentum. Currently, XAUUSD is testing a key Resistance Level within the Seller Zone, where selling pressure may appear. Below, the former resistance has turned into a strong Support Level, aligned with the Buyer Zone near 4,440 and the previous breakout area. My scenario: as long as price remains below the Seller Zone and shows rejection from resistance, the bias turns bearish, with TP1 targeting a move back toward the Buyer Zone and trend-line support. A strong breakout and acceptance above resistance would invalidate the short scenario and suggest further upside continuation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
35
Swing Long Trade Idea on USOILSwing Long Trade Idea on USOIL In 2025, metals, commodities, equities, and Bitcoin all reached new all time highs, while USOIL has lagged behind. I believe we could see a catch up move in USOIL during Q1 2026, as price is currently holding at a strong support level. I am considering a swing long position if USOIL breaks out of the descending triangle. The RR on this setup looks very attractive. My plan is to take partial profits at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, set the second target at the top of the channel, and trail the stop loss after the first target is reached. Share you thoughts
TVC:USOILLong
by smwajeeh
1
Gold - Breakout, Retest, Reload?Gold continues to respect a clean bullish structure 📈 on the 4H timeframe. After breaking above the previous all-time high, price has shifted that level into demand, confirming strength rather than exhaustion. ⚔️The rising blue trendline remains intact , and every pullback so far has been met with aggressive dip-buying, reinforcing the trend-following environment. As long as price holds above the highlighted demand zone, the bias remains firmly bullish. From here, the plan is simple and disciplined: 🏹I’ll be looking for longs on pullbacks into demand, in alignment with the trend, rather than chasing price higher. A clean reaction from this zone keeps the path open for continuation toward new highs. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
20
Correction vs. Reversal: How Will the Market Choose?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Good morning. Last Friday, I warned of the possibility of a market pullback after a surge, and the market has now successfully delivered on our prediction. If you have paid close attention to my analysis and have not blindly followed the trend, then congratulations on successfully avoiding market risks Gold prices have now fallen below the daily MA5 and may see further pullback. The next key level to watch is the short-term support around 4430, which is last week's low. A small long position could be considered on the first touch of this level, with a key support level around 4400 (the daily MA10). If this level holds, gold prices are likely to rebound Therefore, our goal is clear, if the market continues to fall and retraces to around 4430-4420, we will take a small long position. If the decline continues to the daily MA10, we will consider adding to our position around 4410-4400. In short, we will only trade at key price levels, we will not consider trading in other areas
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by G_Bull-Bear_Sniper
1
DeGRAM | GOLD is testing the important resistance level📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD is trading near the upper boundary of a rising channel, where multiple rejections from the resistance line signal weakening bullish momentum. The latest push created a visible gap and false breakout, often preceding corrective pullbacks. ● Price structure shows exhaustion after a steep impulse, with consolidation zones below acting as magnets. A breakdown toward 4,450–4,400 aligns with channel mean reversion and prior support levels. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold faces pressure from stable US yields and reduced safe-haven demand as risk sentiment improves, limiting upside continuation in the medium term. ✨ Summary ● Medium-term short from channel resistance. Key resistance: ~4,520. Targets: 4,450–4,400. Trend weakens if price holds above the channel top. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
3
Gold Technical Analysis | XAUUSD Holds Support, Eyes 4600+ LevelGold remains bullish within a rising channel and is currently trading above the key support zone around 4470-85 which aligns with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the lower trendline of the channel. Price recently showed BOS (break of structure) and CHoCH confirming bullish market structure followed by a healthy pullback that held support. The current consolidation just below 4535-40 suggests liquidity buildup rather than weakness. As long as price holds above 4485 the bias stays bullish with upside targets toward 4586 and 4617. A clean breakout and hold above 4540 could accelerate momentum toward 4600+ while a break below 4470 would delay the move and shift price into deeper consolidation. Overall, trend remains bullish with pullbacks seen as buying opportunities. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
3
Gold in 2026: Will the Bull Market Defy Gravity?Gold emerged as the premier asset of 2025, delivering a remarkable year-to-date gain of roughly 60% . The precious metal shattered multiple records, peaking near $4,550 per ounce in December. While the S&P 500 advanced approximately 17%, gold decisively outperformed almost every major asset class. As we enter 2026, the market must decide if this powerful uptrend still has "fuel in the tank." Fed Policy and the Opportunity Cost Shift Federal Reserve policy remains the primary engine for gold’s momentum. After reigniting the easing cycle in late 2024, markets now price in approximately * 60 basis points of additional cuts for 2026. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, making gold more attractive to institutional investors. The potential appointment of a more dovish Fed chair in mid-2026 could further accelerate this trend. President Trump has publicly pressured for more forceful rate reductions to support economic expansion. If the Fed adopts a markedly more accommodative tone, gold could easily target the $5,000 psychological barrier . Geopolitical Flashpoints and Tariff Warfare Military conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza, and the Middle East continue to drive persistent safe-haven inflows. However, the "Trump Liberation Day" announcement of sweeping global tariffs has become an even larger catalyst for demand. Investors increasingly utilize gold as a hedge against the resulting trade-war uncertainty and currency volatility. Central Banks and the De-Dollarization Narrative Central banks are fundamentally altering the global reserve landscape. Emerging market institutions, led by China and India, are stockpiling gold to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar. In 2025, official sector demand reached record-breaking levels, with quarterly totals often exceeding 900 tonnes . While the pace of accumulation may moderate slightly in 2026, the structural trend remains firmly bullish. Central banks now treat gold as strategic collateral in an increasingly fragmented global financial system. The Gold-to-Silver Ratio Compression While gold’s performance was exceptional, it lagged behind the explosive gains in silver, which surged over 150% in 2025 . This dynamic caused the gold-to-silver ratio to tumble toward the 70 mark. Historically, such a sharp compression often precedes a renewed acceleration in the gold rally as the ratio reverts toward the mean. Risks: Jewelry Demand and Regulatory Headwinds Despite robust investment interest, record-high prices are crushing physical jewelry demand. Worldwide jewelry consumption saw a 31% year-on-year decline in Q3 2025 as consumers balked at elevated costs. Additionally, new regulatory measures could dampen local demand in key markets. China’s decision to cut tax exemptions on certain gold holdings might exert downward pressure on prices in early 2026. If the Fed implements fewer rate cuts than anticipated due to a resilient U.S. economy, the bull run could enter a consolidation phase during the second half of the year. Strategic Outlook for 2026 Technical analysts target the $5,000 to $5,200 range for gold in the first half of 2026. This target aligns with the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of recent corrections. While the path will not be linear, the convergence of geopolitical risk, debt expansion, and accommodative monetary policy justifies a higher equilibrium price.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by the5erstrading
GOLD ANALYSIS 12/29/20251. Fundamental Analysis a) Economic Factors: • USD: After a period of weakness driven by expectations of FED rate cuts, the USD is showing a short-term technical rebound → creating mild corrective pressure on gold within a narrow range. • US Equities: Capital flow still favors risk assets, but momentum is slowing as markets approach high valuation zones. • FED: Expectations of rate cuts next year remain the key pillar supporting gold in the medium–long term. The FED is not rushing into aggressive easing → gold is likely to move sideways or undergo technical corrections. • TRUMP: Statements and the possibility of a return to the political stage increase policy uncertainty, which is beneficial for gold in the long run. • Gold ETFs (SPDR): ETF flows remain in accumulation mode with no significant outflows → confirming the primary uptrend is intact. However, current holdings are very high, and partial profit-taking this week is highly possible → be cautious of sudden sharp drops. b) Political Factors: • Global geopolitical risks remain elevated (Middle East, Russia–Ukraine) → gold continues to play its safe-haven role. c) Market Sentiment: • Mild risk-on sentiment but cautious. Investors are not ready to aggressively sell gold; instead, they are waiting for pullbacks to buy. • Year-end trading is quiet with thin liquidity. 2. Technical Analysis • Main trend: UP (Higher High – Higher Low) on H1/H4. • Price is consolidating below the strong resistance zone around 4,550 after printing a new ATH. • Rising trendline remains intact → market structure is not broken. • RSI: • Pulling back to the neutral zone and bouncing again → signals short-term correction, not reversal; potential for a mild rebound in the early Asian session. • Preferred scenario: Sideways movement – shallow pullback – then continuation of the uptrend. Look for buying opportunities at support zones when signals appear. • Key Technical Levels: • Resistance: 4,550 – 4,577 – 4,604 • Support: 4,525 – 4,500 – 4,481 3. Previous Session (26/12/25): • Gold surged strongly with a breakout to new highs, then moved sideways without heavy selling. • Buying pressure remained dominant; selling was mainly technical profit-taking. • No major distribution signals → market remains healthy. 4. Today’s Strategy (29/12/25): 🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4510 – 4508 • SL: 4514 • TP1: 4502 • TP2: 4496 🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4402 – 4404 • SL: 4398 • TP1: 4410 • TP2: 4416
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Signals_100pips