Gold Long ICT This is an analysis of gold using the three phases of the market: accumulation, manipulation (fakeout), and distribution.
The entry is based on the 15-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) created by strong buying pressure that produced a Market Structure Shift (MSS).
This trade offers an attractive 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio.
The overall setup is supported by gold’s strong bullish bias and the consistent formation of new all-time highs (ATHs).
Commodities
Silver XAG to $47 soonBreaking Out - silver is second most used commodity after oil and reserves are running low. It’s not difficult to work out that soon large companies, like apple , Samsung, Microsoft etc will be HODL silver like a baby on breast milk. Not to mention when the vampires come out to bite you will need your silver bullets so don’t sell your silver .
Are bulls back??Hard to say, finally getting some kind of structure. We bottomed at 3.46 only once, if we go back down we would hope to see a double bottom off that. 4hr is halfway through its extension and slowing down a bit. We need to see 4 hour strengthen again to get a real rally going off of this move. If not spot will be returning to $4. We are approaching the cloud but we would want to see this break the cloud by Monday and that prospect is slowly diminishing. Widening out to Daily RSI slightly crossed but hasn’t turned fully positive. MACD is beginning to plateau getting ready for a turn around but it isn’t confirmed yet. Good luck all. We will re analyze on Monday.
(USOIL) 2H – Bullish Continuation After Trend ReversalThis 2-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) shows a clear transition from a prior downtrend into a structured bullish recovery. After forming a base near the mid-$55 area, price breaks structure (BOS) and establishes a steady uptrend, guided by an ascending channel.
The Ichimoku Cloud supports the bullish bias, with price trading above the cloud and the cloud turning positive. A clean pullback into a demand zone around 57.0–57.5 aligns with previous consolidation and cloud support, suggesting a potential buy-the-dip area.
Price is currently consolidating above a change in structure (CISD), indicating strength. Upside projections highlight two key resistance targets:
1st target: around 59.10
2nd target: near 60.45
As long as price holds above the demand zone and trend channel support, the bullish continuation scenario remains valid.
Why Are Precious Metals Rallying?All precious metals have performed exceptionally well, especially in 2025.
From this illustration, we can see that in 2025 alone, from their yearly troughs to their recent highs, gold rose by 73%, silver by 164%, and platinum by 172%.
In today’s tutorial, we will discuss whether the precious metals rally is likely to persist into 2026, and why platinum looks particularly interesting to me. As we can see, over just the last two weeks, platinum has rallied significantly more than both gold and silver.
Platinum Futures & Options
Ticker: PL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $5.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 4h chart route map and trading plan for the week ahead.
We are now seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4381 and a gap below at 4303. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4381
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4459
BEARISH TARGET
4303
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4303 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4222
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4222 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4130
4042
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4042 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3964
3873
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD ) Beriash trend analysis Read the captionSMC Trading point Update
Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using SMC + trend exhaustion logic.
⸻
Market Context
• Strong impulsive bullish move into highs → signs of buy-side liquidity taken
• Price is now stalling at resistance
• Momentum is weakening after expansion → distribution phase
⸻
Key Area (Supply / Liquidity Zone)
• Upper blue zone (~4490–4500)
• Multiple rejections (red arrows)
• Equal highs / liquidity pool
• Classic SMC supply zone
• Indicates smart money selling into late buyers
⸻
EMA Structure
• EMA 50 far extended from price
• Typical behavior after strong rallies:
• Price returns to mean value
• EMA acts as a magnet → correction likely
⸻
Bias
Bearish retracement / reversal scenario
This is not a trend change yet, but a high-probability corrective sell after liquidity grab.
⸻
Trade Idea (Example Plan)
Sell from Supply
• Entry: 4488 – 4500 (sell on rejection / confirmation)
• Stop Loss: Above supply zone (~4510–4520)
• Targets:
• TP1: 4426 (EMA 50)
• TP2: 4380–4365 (key support / demand zone)
• Final target: ~4367 (marked target point)
RR potential: 1:3 to 1:5 depending on entry
⸻
Best Confirmation Signals
Wait for one of these at supply:
• Bearish engulfing candle (1H or 15m)
• Long upper wicks (failed breakout)
• Lower-timeframe CHoCH / BOS
• Decreasing bullish volume
⸻
Invalidation
• Clean 1H close above 4500
• Acceptance above supply zone
• Strong continuation with no rejection
If that happens → bearish idea is invalid.
⸻ Mr SMC Trading Point
Summary
This setup is:
• Liquidity grab at highs
• Supply + overextension
• Mean reversion toward EMA & demand
Patience matters — wait for confirmation, don’t chase.
If you want, I can:
• Break this down into a 15m or 5m execution model
• Or help you define partial profit & trailing logic
Please support boost this analysis
USDCHF: bearish flag🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, USDCHF remains under heavy bearish pressure. The chart highlights a confirmed "Global bearish signal", where the short-term SMA has crossed below the long-term SMA (100 and 200), validating the downward trend. Currently, the price is consolidating within a bearish flag formation just above the immediate support level of 0.79445. This consolidation is typically a continuation pattern, suggesting that the market is gathering liquidity for another leg lower. The analysis projects a breakdown of this flag, targeting the major support zone at 0.78776.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Sell on the breakdown of the flag support (approx. 0.7940 – 0.79445)
🎯 Take Profit: 0.78776 (Support)
🔴 Stop Loss: Above the recent consolidation structure (approx. 0.79889 – 0.8000)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current chart patterns; market conditions can change rapidly, especially with upcoming central bank news.
EUR/USD _ 2H Chart Pattern...EUR/USD _ 2H Chart Pattern
Buy bias: Bullish (uptrend holding above trendline)
Main Target: 1.1900
Partial Targets:
TP1: 1.1830
TP2: 1.1870
Support / Invalidation:
Key support: 1.1750–1.1760
Trendline break below: bias weakens
Price is respecting the ascending trendline and structure, so continuation toward 1.19 is valid unless the trendline breaks.
NZDUSD – H4 Analysis....NZDUSD – H4 Analysis (Based on My chart)
Market Structure
Overall bullish trend on H4.
Price has reached a strong resistance / supply zone (yellow area).
Rejection visible → corrective pullback expected toward trendline & support.
Ichimoku cloud below price → pullback, not full reversal (for now).
📉 Sell (Correction) Setup
Sell Zone: 0.5830 – 0.5850
🎯 Target Points
Target 1: 0.5740
Target 2: 0.5620 (extended correction target)
❌ Invalidation
A strong H4 close above 0.5860 will invalidate the sell correction idea.
📌 Summary (Signal Style)
Pair: NZDUSD
TF: H4
Bias: Sell (Pullback / correction)
Targets: 0.5740 → 0.5620
AUDUSD – H4 Analysis ....AUDUSD – H4 Analysis (based on My chart)
Market Structure
Clear uptrend (higher highs & higher lows).
Price is above the trendline and above Ichimoku cloud → bullish continuation.
Previous resistance zone has flipped into support (yellow zone).
📈 Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 0.6680 – 0.6710
🎯 Target Points
Target 1: 0.6780
Target 2: 0.6850 (extended / swing target)
❌ Invalidation / Stop Logic
A strong H4 close below 0.6640 will weaken this bullish setup.
📌 Summary (Clean Signal Style)
Pair: AUDUSD
Timeframe: H4
Bias: BUY
Trend: Bullish continuation
Targets: 0.6780 → 0.6850
GBP/JPY 3H chart pattern...GBP/JPY 3H chart pattern
Buy bias while price stays above the rising trendline
Primary target: 215.80 – 216.00 (marked target point on the chart)
Intermediate resistance: 212.50 – 213.00
Support zone: 209.80 – 210.20
Invalidation: A clear break below 209.50 would weaken the bullish setup
Summary: Trend is bullish on the 3H chart. As long as price holds above trendline support, upside continuation toward 216.00 is expected.
XAUUSD: Rejection from 4,420 Resistance - Pullback Toward 4,350Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD continues to trade within a broader bullish structure, but the current price action signals a short-term corrective phase. After forming a strong upward impulse, gold established a well-defined upward channel, confirming buyer control. Price then broke above the previous consolidation range, which marked a continuation of bullish momentum.
Currently, XAUUSD pushed higher and reached the Resistance Zone around 4,410–4,420, a level that has historically acted as a strong supply area. At this zone, price showed clear rejection, with sellers stepping in aggressively and limiting further upside. This reaction suggests that supply is currently outweighing demand at these highs. As a result, price is now pulling back from resistance and moving toward the Support Zone around 4,350, which aligns with the previous breakout area and the lower boundary of the upward channel. This zone represents a key demand area where buyers have previously defended the trend. The recent breakout above this level followed by a retest further strengthens its importance.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario remains short-term bearish as long as XAUUSD stays below the 4,410–4,420 Resistance Zone and continues to show rejection from this area. I expect price to retrace toward the 4,350 Support Zone, where the next reaction will be crucial for determining continuation or deeper correction.
Therefore, A clean breakdown below the 4,350 Support Zone would confirm a deeper corrective move within the structure and could open the path toward lower demand levels along the channel support. However, if price reaches support and shows a strong bullish reaction, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and buyers may attempt another push toward the resistance highs. For now, the focus is on the corrective pullback, with 4,350 acting as the key level to watch.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD | Safe-Haven Demand Drives Further UpsideGOLD | Technical & Fundamental Overview
Gold prices continue their upward trend, extending gains after reaching a new record high in the previous session.
Investor demand remains strong as markets price in future Fed rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, reinforcing gold’s role as a safe-haven asset.
Notably, gold has recorded more than 50 all-time highs this year, highlighting the strength of the underlying bullish trend.
Technical Outlook
Gold has reached our previously mentioned resistance target at 4515.
The bullish structure remains active, and the price may continue higher toward 4521 and 4540, especially if a 1H candle closes above the 4500 pivot level.
However, if the price trades below the 4490–4500 zone, a short-term corrective move toward 4472 is likely before the next directional move.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 4500
Resistance: 4521, 4540, 4572
Support: 4474, 4460, 4438
Bias: Bullish above 4500; corrective below 4490–4500.
USOIL (WTI) – High-Probability Bullish Setup USOIL (WTI) – High-Probability Bullish Setup from Strong Demand Zone
🔍 Market Structure & Price Action Insight
USOIL is currently trading inside a well-defined and repeatedly tested demand zone between 55.10 – 56.50.
This zone has proven its strength by rejecting price three times in the past, each time producing a meaningful bullish reaction.
The current revisit into this zone offers a high-quality risk-defined buying opportunity for swing and positional traders.
📌 Trade Execution Plan (Bullish Bias)
🟢 Entry Zone:
55.10 – 56.50
🔴 Stop Loss:
50.00
(Below the demand structure to avoid false breakdowns)
🎯 Target 1:
64.00
(Previous structure + supply reaction area)
📊 Technical Confluence
✔ Multiple demand-zone validations
✔ Price reacting at historical accumulation area
✔ Clear structure-based invalidation level
✔ Favorable Risk : Reward profile
🧠 Professional Trading Insight
Strong trades are not created by prediction, but by location and confirmation.
When price revisits a proven demand zone, patience and discipline offer an edge. Entries taken close to demand provide superior psychology and controlled risk.
📈 Trade Management Note
Partial booking can be considered near intermediate resistance levels.
Trail stop only after structure confirmation — let the market do the work.
XRP/USDT – H4 Analysis....XRP/USDT – H4 Analysis (Based on my chart)
Market Structure
Price has broken the descending trendline.
Strong support zone held near the bottom (yellow demand area).
Price is now above the trendline and pushing into the Ichimoku cloud → bullish reversal confirmed.
📈 Buy Scenario
Buy Zone: 1.85 – 1.90
🎯 Target Points
Target 1: 2.10
Target 2: 2.50
❌ Invalidation
A strong H4 close below 1.80 will invalidate this bullish setup.
📌 Summary
Bias: BUY
Trend: Bearish → Bullish reversal
Expectation: Price to continue upward toward 2.10 first, then 2.50 (as marked on my chart)
EUR/JPY 2H chart pattern...EUR/JPY 2H chart pattern
Buy / Upside Target: 185.30 – 185.50
Near Resistance: 184.80
Support Zone: 183.40 – 183.60
Trend: Bullish (price is holding above the rising trendline)
Explanation (simple):
Price is respecting the uptrend and bouncing from support. If it holds above 183.50, the next move is likely toward 185.30–185.50 (the marked target point).
Gold Enters PRZ After New ATH — Time to Watch for Shorts?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started the new week by printing a New All-Time High(ATH).
At the moment, price is moving inside the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and is also approaching the upper lines of the Small/Large ascending channel.
Technically, there is a strong probability that these upper channel lines act as dynamic resistance for gold.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be in the process of completing Main Wave 5.
The main wave 5 could reasonably terminate inside the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Additionally, a clear Regular Bearish Divergence (RD−) is visible between the last two consecutive highs.
This Regular Bearish Divergence (RD−) is not limited to lower timeframes and can also be observed clearly on the Daily timeframe, which adds weight to the setup.
Based on this confluence, I expect gold to start a corrective move from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , with a minimum downside target toward the key support lines.
First Target: Support lines
Second Target: Support zone($4,357-$4,341)
Stop Loss(SL): $4,475
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
USOIL short trade setupIf price maintain below those Lower Highs, the dotted line, I can still see reasons to short USOIL.
-Price has been trending down creating LH's and LL's .
-I can see buyers presence only above that dotted line (!!!).
-I charted this on the 4H so this may take long to play out.
Patience.
XAU/USD | Gold Breaks $4500 , Get Ready for $4600! (READ THE TA)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that price moved exactly as expected. Gold pushed into the $4440 to $4444 zone, faced selling pressure there, but only corrected to $4412 before strong demand stepped in again. Yesterday, gold rallied sharply and printed a new ATH at $4497.
After that move, price corrected again to $4430, but demand was so strong that the entire drop was recovered within four hours. Gold then broke above $4500 and is now trading around $4525, marking another new ATH.
At the moment, I do not see a clear reason for a heavy correction. From a mid-term view, I consider $4330 as a key price floor. The main demand zones to watch are $4330 to $4350, $4406 to $4419, and $4484 to $4500. As long as gold holds above $4500, my short-term upside targets are $4550, $4575, and $4600.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDCAD: mid-term view🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour (H4) timeframe, USDCAD has undergone a significant bearish correction following a breakdown from its long-term Ascending channel. A "Global bearish signal" was confirmed in early December, leading to a sharp drop that pushed the price below all major moving averages (SMA 50, 100, and 200).
Currently, the pair is trading near the support at 1.37300. The price action suggests a "v-shaped" recovery attempt as the downward momentum slows down near this multi-month low. The analysis anticipates a technical reversal (mean reversion) back toward the previous breakout zone and the SMA 50, SMA 100 cluster, targeting the resistance around 1.39500.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Buy only after the price closes above the support of 1.37300 (approx. 1.37340).
🎯 Take Profit: 1.39500 (Resistance).
🔴 Stop Loss: 1.36175 (Below the most recent swing low).
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Natural Gas Market Signaling a Fresh Bullish Opportunity?🔥 XNG/USD – Natural Gas Bullish Swing Trade Play | Energy Momentum Setup 🔥
📌 Asset
XNG/USD – NATURAL GAS
Energies & Commodities Market
⏳ Trade Type: Swing Trade
🧭 Market Plan
📈 Bullish Bias Active
Natural Gas is showing upside continuation potential, supported by energy-sector momentum and price acceptance above key demand zones. Bulls are currently in control while volatility expands.
🎯 Entry Strategy
🟢 Flexible Entry Allowed
You may enter from any favorable price level, aligned with your own execution model.
This setup supports scaling or single-entry styles, depending on risk preference.
🛑 Stop Loss
🔻 Reference SL: 3.500
⚠️ Risk Note:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s),
This is not a mandatory stop loss. Always adjust your SL based on:
Position size
Volatility
Personal risk management rules
💡 Capital protection comes first.
🏆 Profit Targets
🎯 Target 1: 4.500
🎯 Target 2: 5.200
📊 Why Take Profits Here?
Strong historical resistance zones
Overbought conditions likely near targets
Liquidity traps often appear at these levels
➡️ Book profits smartly and don’t get greedy.
⚠️ TP Disclaimer:
This is a guideline, not a command. Secure profits based on your own strategy.
👀 Related Assets to Watch (Correlation Check)
⛽ WTI Crude Oil (USOIL / WTI)
Positive sentiment in energy markets often supports Natural Gas
Rising oil prices can lift overall energy demand expectations
🛢️ Brent Crude (UKOIL)
Global energy benchmark
Strength in Brent usually confirms broad energy-sector bullishness
🇺🇸 DXY – U.S. Dollar Index
Natural Gas is USD-denominated
Weak USD = tailwind for commodities
Strong USD may slow upside momentum
📊 Energy Sector Index / Energy Stocks
Institutional flows into energy equities often precede commodity strength
Watch for sector-wide risk-on behavior
🧠 Final Notes
✅ Trade with confirmation
✅ Respect volatility
✅ Manage risk aggressively
✅ Profits > Ego
If this idea adds value, hit 👍 Like, 💬 Comment, and ⭐ Follow to stay ahead of smart money moves.
Trade safe & trade sharp. 🚀💰






















