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Gold — Fed Cut Fade: Overextended, Eyeing a ThrowbackGold — Fed Cut Fade: Overextended, Eyeing a Throwback 🎯 Gold ripped higher into the FOMC, but the 25 bp cut was fully priced in. Post-decision, we saw the classic whipsaw — down → up → slow fade into the close. With the dollar and real yields catching a bid, the metal looks due for digestion before the next leg. Technicals (4h) Overextended run: Vertical leg higher with no real basing. Supply zone: Sellers showed up around 3.71–3.75k. Volume magnet: Confluence of the broken trendline + HVN sits down at ~3.41k. Thin profile: Gap between 3.52 → 3.41k leaves room for a fast move lower if momentum flips. Trade Idea Short bias: Fading the 3.71–3.74k zone or on breakdown acceptance below 3.69k. Stop: Above 3.76k (invalidation). Target: 3.41k (major HVN + retest zone). Macro Context The Fed’s move matches expectations. With positioning stretched and “buy the rumor / sell the news” in play, near-term risk is for a pullback. Medium term, the trend stays bullish if easing continues and real yields drift lower. Not financial advice — just sharing the setup I’m watching. #Gold #GC1 #Futures #ShortSetup #VolumeProfile #FOMC
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
Fed Cuts Rates — Gold Reacts, Watching for Follow-Through or ReThe Fed has just delivered a 25 bps rate cut, and there’s a mixed tone in the after-move: inflation still high, jobs softening, and the dot-plot shows more cuts are expected — but with divided opinions. On the chart, Gold spilled out of consolidation post-Fed, touched key support, and is now pressing back toward a 4H FVG (supply zone). Scenarios: Upside: If price pushes up toward the 4H FVG, gets rejected cleanly → potential short entry. Downside: If that rejection holds, or support breaks, expect slide toward high timeframe FVG region in 3600s. Trade with eyes open — volatility likely stays high. Support & resistance zones are critical here.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
FOMC Liquidity Games – Gold Trapped Both Sides Ahead of UnemployHello traders, today Gold delivered a textbook manipulation during FOMC — first sweeping liquidity into demand, then spiking into supply before rejecting hard. With Unemployment Claims tomorrow, price is trapped between two clean structural zones. Let’s map it out 👇 🔸 Higher Timeframes (D1 + H4) D1: Macro bullish structure still intact (higher lows). Today’s candle left long wicks both sides → clear evidence of liquidity hunts, not a trend change. H4: 3645–3655 demand → validated as price flushed into this zone (low 3651) and reversed strongly. 3696–3707 supply → confirmed as the rally stalled here, leaving rejection wicks and sending price back down. 🔸 Intraday (H1) Pre-FOMC: Tight range around 3680–3685, building liquidity. FOMC flush: Sharp dump into 3645–3655 demand, liquidity cleared, buyers stepped in. Rally: Straight run into 3696–3707 supply, where sellers reactivated. Reject: Strong drop back to 3646, followed by a bounce into 3666. 🔥 What This Means Gold is currently balancing at 3657, right between demand and supply. Tomorrow’s Unemployment Claims will be the catalyst: Break below 3645–3655 demand → opens the path into 3630–3620, and deeper into 3590–3580 if momentum continues. Break above 3666 and 3696–3707 supply → unlocks upside into 3725–3735, with potential extension toward 3750–3760. 🧭 Final Thoughts FOMC didn’t give direction — it gave the trap. Demand at 3645–3655 and supply at 3696–3707 are now the battlefield. Tomorrow, whichever side breaks will dictate the next leg. 💬 Do you think buyers will defend demand or sellers will push deeper? Drop your thoughts below 👇 — and don’t forget to like and follow GoldFxMinds for more daily precision breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Go long before the data,be wary of a short-selling counterattackYesterday, gold retreated slightly in the Asian session, continuing the strong bull pattern. We originally expected to wait for gold to retreat to the support level of 3675-3665 to go long on gold, but the market always only gives us unattainable points. In the evening, gold rebounded directly to around 3703, which is in line with my previous judgment that gold will touch 3700 after stabilizing above 3665. As gold hit a new high and the Fed was about to cut interest rates, some buyers on the upper side chose to take profits, which gave us another opportunity to retreat to the ideal point. We also successfully seized the opportunity to go long on gold. This morning, gold rebounded again to around 3695, and the long positions we held also made a wave of profits. Judging from the current market conditions, yesterday's daily line closed with a positive sign, and 3703 became the short-term high point. The lower moving averages MA5 and MA10 in the daily chart are around 3665 and 3635 respectively, which is exactly the middle track position of the Bollinger band. Only when it effectively falls below this point, will gold usher in a trend reversal in the short term. 3665 is the key position for the top and bottom conversion, and the market's enthusiasm for a 50 basis point interest rate cut remains unabated. If gold falls back to 3665-3655 again in the European session without breaking, then gold will rebound. Therefore, before the data is released, I choose to go long on gold again and expect a rebound, with the short-term target at 3685-3705. Bros can gradually reduce their positions during the rebound or take profits and exit at appropriate points according to their own account conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
1
Exit with short-term profit. Interest rate cuts ignite the marke#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Powell's comments and the Fed's interest rate cut will be the focus of the entire market tonight. If Powell makes dovish remarks this time or the rate cut basis point exceeds expectations, and the number of rate cuts is increased this year, gold will still have room to rise. On the contrary, if Powell makes hawkish remarks or the interest rate cut is less than expected, a technical correction may occur. The group has reminded people to go long on gold when the price falls back below 3665-3655. Currently, the gold price has rebounded and successfully touched TP. Friends who continue to hold long positions can consider leaving the market early on the eve of the data release to avoid profit-taking caused by data uncertainty. Resist trading before the data release and wait for the Fed's decision and Powell's speech. Support at 3660 remains. If it breaks below, the next target will be 3630-3600.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading-Magician_G
6
Gold Trade Update📊 Gold ( FX:XAUUSD ) Market Update The 200-Day SMA held strong as support against the heavy sell pressure triggered by the conflicting FOMC statement – a move largely driven by liquidated buyers. ⚡ With structure intact, I’m expecting a complete reversal and continuation of the bullish trend in the coming hours to days. 📉 Remember – the 25bps rate cut remains bearish for the TVC:DXY , which keeps gold positioned for strength. Trade smart, stay patient. 💛
FX:XAUUSDLong
by niclaxfx
Can USOIL Break Higher? SMA Breach & Target at $68🛢️ USOIL Energy Market | Cash Flow Management Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 📌 Trading Plan: 👉 Bias: Bullish (pending order setup) 👉 Confirmation: When Simple Moving Average (SMA) is breached by buyers, trend confirmation is valid. 👉 Entry Style: Layered buy-limit entries after breakout confirmation (Thief Strategy 🕵️‍♂️ = multi-layer entry). 📥 Layered Buy Limit Orders (example setup): 64.00 ✅ 64.50 ✅ 65.00 ✅ 65.50 ✅ (You can increase the number of layered entries based on your own style — flexibility is the thief’s edge!) ⚠️ Important: Buy-limit layers are only valid AFTER breakout confirmation. Do not jump in without confirmation. 🎯 Risk Management (SL & TP): 📌 Stop Loss (Protective Level) Example stop placement: 63.50 (🔑 Note: This is my style. Manage risk in your own way — never copy-paste without adapting!). 📌 Target Zone Projected resistance near 68.00, aligned with: Weighted Moving Average (WMA) resistance Overbought conditions Possible “trap” zone ⚠️ 💡 Best approach: Secure profits step by step. Escape once the target region is approached. 📢 Note for Traders (Thief OG’s): I’m not recommending only my SL or my TP. This is just a framework. You’re responsible for your own money management, profits, and exits. Trade at your own risk, and take the bag when you feel it’s right. 💰 🔗 Correlation & Related Pairs to Watch: Energy markets are heavily correlated across multiple assets: 🛢️ TVC:USOIL / BLACKBULL:WTI – Main setup 🛢️ BLACKBULL:BRENT – Moves in sync with USOIL, watch for confirmation 💵 TVC:DXY – Stronger USD often pressures crude oil prices 💹 AMEX:XLE (Energy Sector ETF) – Tracks US energy stocks, gives indirect flow confirmation 🪙 FX:NGAS – Energy sector cousin, can sometimes give early signals of demand shifts Keep an eye on these related pairs/assets for flow confirmation and stronger conviction. 🧾 Key Points Recap: ✔️ SMA breach = buyers’ control confirmed ✔️ Layered entries (Thief Strategy 🕵️‍♂️) ✔️ Stop loss = personal choice (mine @63.50) ✔️ Target = 68.00 escape zone ✔️ Risk & reward = your own responsibility ✔️ Watch related assets for confirmation ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USOIL #WTI #CrudeOil #EnergyMarkets #SwingTrade #DayTrade #TradingStrategy #PriceAction #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntries #XLE #BRENT #DXY #NGAS
TVC:USOILLong
by The-Thief
Gold - Everything is Possible, as Always🚀 FX_IDC:XAUUSD Gold's Wild Ride: What's Brewing After the $3674 High? 🤯 Hey Goldbugs! 🤩 Our shiny friend, XAUUSD, has been on an absolute tear lately. Market makers did their magic, nudging Gold to a comfy spot around $3640, just shy of its ALL-TIME HIGH of $3674! 🚀 But now... crickets. What's next for our "always up" precious metal? Let's decode this mystery in a flash! 👇 The Lowdown: Why Gold's Taking a Breather 😴 1. The "Less Bad" News Effect: Recent U.S. data has been... well, "less bad". Inflation/deflation drama is cooling off, and markets are starting to think things aren't as grim as they were. This makes some traders less keen on Gold, but don't forget the big players (institutions!) still need their fix. So, a tug-of-war begins! ⚔️ 2. Overheated Engine Syndrome! 🌡️ Gold's run from $3321 to $3674 was a whopping +10.5% ($353!) at an almost 45-degree angle! That's impressive, but even the best engines need to cool down. Our daily RSI values have been chilling above 75% – that's "overheated" territory! 🔥 A correction is basically Gold taking a well-deserved nap. The "C" Word: What Correction Looks Like 📉 Forget complicated math! A correction is usually a 10-20% price dip. Given Gold's recent sprint, we could be looking at a 20-30% pullback from that $353 gain, meaning a possible $70-$105 drop. 📉 Target Zones? Many eyes are on $3580. But hey, Gold likes surprises! It could go lower, perhaps even test $3550 or more! Your Trader's Toolkit: Don't Get Caught Napping! 🛠️ Want to predict Gold's next move? Here's your cheat sheet: Candlestick Clues: Watch for Shooting Stars 🌠, Hanging Men 🕯️, Spinning Tops, and Dojis. These are like little whispers telling you the trend might be tired. EMA Lines: These are your trend compasses! Fibonacci, Baby! 💫 Seriously, if you haven't, dive into Fibonacci Channels and Circles. They're like a crystal ball for price moves! Economic Calendar: 🗓️ CPI, PPI, NFP, and U.S. Inflation Data are Gold's daily bread and butter. Know them! 🧠 ICT Insights: What the Pros Are Seeing 📊 Market Structure Shift (MSS): After hitting $3674, Gold's current wiggles (Lower Highs & Lower Lows) within this consolidation hint at a short-term shift in order flow. It's not a full reversal, but a pause for thought. If you look closely, you can see a Bull Flag Pole exists and the Flag is forming, currently a triangle, a good sign before the liquidity needs to get taken out from the bottom. Liquidity Magnets: Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): Loads of orders (and stop losses!) waiting above $3674. That's a juicy target if Gold decides to moon again! Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Plenty below the recent low around $3590-$3600. A dip here could be a "stop hunt" before bouncing. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Order Blocks (OB): Those rapid green candles left "gaps" and "blocks" during the ascent. Gold loves to retrace and "fill" these gaps or retest these blocks ($3590-$3600 is a key OB zone!) before its next big move. The Verdict? Gold's Not Done Yet! ✨ Is Gold heading for $3700+? YES! But probably not right now. A little cooldown, a bit of retracement to those key support levels and ICT zones, seems inevitable. So, what to do? Be patient, be responsible with your capital, and keep your eyes peeled for those technical clues. Gold's next big move could be around the corner! Next Week's Radar (ignoring the news for a sec): Bullish Target: $3800 🚀 Bearish Target: $3550 🐻 Significant large orders are on Sell Stop: 3611 Sell Limit_ 3657, 3659 Buy Limit: 3600, 3580, 3500 Buy Stop: 4497 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
4
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Market points to Wave 4LiamTrading – XAUUSD Outlook Sharing my personal view on the next potential move for gold. From the current chart structure, the wave pattern suggests XAUUSD is likely in Wave 4. The correction began yesterday after price touched the 3,700 round number – a key resistance area that also aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This zone typically attracts significant liquidity, and the subsequent pullback adds weight to the view that Wave 4 has been triggered. At present, the main support level to monitor is 3,675. A break below this level could see the corrective move complete around 3,656. On the H1 timeframe, RSI has dropped below 30, indicating oversold conditions. In my opinion, while the market trades in this area, short positions remain favourable, though patience is required until clearer confluence signals emerge. Trading plan (short-term focus): Sell 3685–3687, SL 3693, TP 3670 – 3656 Buy 3656–3654, SL 3648, TP 3675 – 3690 – 3702 – 3721 – 3740 I’ll continue to share further updates if price action shows significant changes. Wishing everyone good trading and success in the markets.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, After successfully sharing our 1H chart target updates earlier this week, here’s an update on our our 4H chart idea shared on Sunday. This setup has also played out perfectly: We started the week with 3655 being hit. That was followed by the EMA5 cross and lock, which opened the target for 3696, also hit perfectly to complete the target. Currently, we’re seeing range play between 3655 and 3696. The next move will depend on whether we get another EMA5 cross and lock above or below these two Goldturns, which will guide us toward the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3655 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3696 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3738 BEARISH TARGETS 3615 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3615 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3583 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3583 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3545 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3545 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3509 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3509 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3458 3409 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3409 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3360 3320 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
1
XAU/USD | Gold Prints New ATH at $3,685 – Rate Cut Rally Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price broke the key $3,657 level, just as expected, and today it even printed a new ATH at an impressive $3,685! As you know, this week is the interest rate decision week, and markets are preparing for a rate cut — either 0.25% or 0.5%. Each scenario can have a different level of impact: a 0.5% cut could easily push gold above $3,700–$3,740. Right now, gold is trading around $3,679. As long as it does not break and close below $3,674, we can expect some sideways movement followed by more upside, with the first target at $3,700. However, there’s also an important FVG (Fair Value Gap) between $3,664 and $3,674. If the first scenario fails, gold could sharply drop to fill this gap. I hope this analysis was helpful for you — stay tuned for more setups based on this outlook!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
69
My short followers cheer for the victoryThis is the trading idea I provided in my previous article. Clearly, the gold price movement has been in line with my expectations and has started to decline, earning us a considerable amount of profit from this short-term trade. www.tradingview.com Seven hours ago, I once again suggested opening a short position at 3695. The market has now dropped to around 3680, and we have once again reaped a good amount of profit. During this round of strong and rapid rise in gold prices, there are traders who have made considerable profits by following the trend, while there are also many who have held short positions against the trend. I believe the latter situation is quite common. Some have already given up halfway, while others are still struggling. So, no matter which situation you are in now, you can follow me and share your entry point in the comment section. I will analyze and reply to each one, helping you turn losses into profits. Welcome to join my free camp. TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
TVC:GOLDShort
by Martin_Trading_Guide
1
XAUUSD Short: Awaiting Rejection from the Supply LineHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been defined by a broadening wedge pattern, signaling a period of expanding volatility. This structure has been formed by a series of higher highs and lower lows, with key pivot points establishing the diverging supply and demand lines. This indicates a fierce but structured battle between buyers and sellers within a clear range. Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point at the top of this wedge. Following a strong rally from the demand line, the price is now directly testing the descending supply line. This is a high-liquidity area where seller initiative has previously overwhelmed buyers, making it a key decision point for the market. The primary scenario anticipates a rejection from this supply line, continuing the rotational pattern within the wedge. The expectation is that sellers will defend this upper boundary and initiate a new downward swing back towards support. A failure to break out higher would confirm the short-term corrective scenario. The take-profit is therefore set at 3595, targeting the upper part of the first major demand zone. Manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by heniitrading
2
Zinc & Copper Correlation is very healthyZinc and copper markets are closely related because both metals are used heavily in construction, manufacturing, and electrical applications, so demand often rises and falls together with industrial activity. They’re also frequently mined from the same deposits, meaning supply-side disruptions can affect both. As a result, prices for zinc and copper tend to show a high degree of correlation, moving in similar cycles tied to global economic growth and infrastructure. Comparing the Charts (Zinc on the left on a Monhtly TF), we see that Zinc has a lot of room left to the upside. Because it's goal is to go back to balance, which is the Centerline. And because of the close correlation, I think the Chart of Copper HG1! is still OK. So, in Copper, the Centerline target is still in play.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by HowToChart
OIL Trade Insights📲 NFX TRADE ALERT 📊 TRADE TYPE: SWING TRADE ♻ PAIR: GBEBROKERS:USOIL ⬇️ SELL AT MARKET 📝 ORDER TYPE: MARKET ORDER 👨🏻‍💻 ENTRY : $64.45 ⭕️ SL: 65.450 ✅ TP: $62.00 📝 REASONS FOR TRADE: H1 Confirmation of Price Rejection at Resistance - SR Holds📈 Multiple reversal candles spotted on H4 around supply zone, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Pay close attention to US Inventory report later the morning. I expect report to be bearish for oil given the high supply as seen last week.
GBEBROKERS:USOILShort
by niclaxfx
1
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 17 SeptI am looking for a bullish setup on Gold ahead of FOMC, with my buy zone placed at 3669–3671, which aligns with previous support and a liquidity grab area. My stop-loss is set just below the recent swing low at 3658, keeping risk contained. If data comes in favor, I expect price to rally toward the 3703+ zone, with potential extension toward all-time highs as momentum builds. The setup offers a strong risk-to-reward profile, and given the rejection from lower levels, I’ll be watching closely for fundamentals to confirm continuation to the upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts