XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Price Back Below Key ResistanceGold is once again trading below the 4334 resistance. After reaching the 4362 target yesterday, price sharply retraced and slipped back below 4334, now trading around 4321 and below the MA50.
Price action has turned bearish in the short term. If 4334 continues to hold as resistance, a rotation back into the reaction zone becomes likely. A break below 4270 would increase downside pressure and shift focus toward the support zone for a potential reaction.
For bulls to regain control, price needs to reclaim 4334, followed by a break above 4362 to open the path toward 4395.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4334
4362
4395
Support:
4301
4270
4237
4185
Commodities
GBP/USD | Up or Down? (READ THE CAPTION)In the hourly chart of GBPUSD, we can see that GBP surged in in price after the CPI news, however, it failed to go through the supply zone and sweep the liquidity above there. GBPUSD hit 1.34466 after the CPI news, but dropped all the way to 1.33632, just below the high of the supply zone and it is now being traded at 1.33790.
There's a FVG at 1.34055-1.34097 which could cause a reaction.
We shall monitor the market closely to see how GBPUSD reacts.
XAU/USD | Consolidation! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the Hourly chart of XAUUSD, we can see that Gold has been ranging between the 4H FVG and the bearish OB. After the CPI news yesterday, Gold went up as high as 4374, before dropping again and touching the high of the 4H FVG at 4317 and then again going up and now it's being traded at 4323. Gold is now consolidating between the Bearish OB and the 4H FVG.
It's not clear yet how Gold might react in the coming hours and weeks before the new year, however, it still is possible for Gold to hit a new ATH by the end of the year.
What Is the Bull Side – and What Is the Bear Side?In trading, there are concepts that everyone has heard of , but not everyone truly understands correctly . “ Bull side ” and “ Bear side ” are two such terms. Many traders use them every day, yet often assign them overly simplistic meanings: bulls mean buying, bears mean selling.
In reality, behind these two concepts lies how the market operates , how capital flows think , and how traders choose which side to stand on .
What Is the Bull Side?
The Bull side (bulls) represents those who expect prices to rise . However, bulls are not simply about buying .
The true essence of the bull side is the belief that the current price is lower than its future value , and that the market has enough momentum to continue moving upward .
The bull side typically appears when:
Price structure shows that an uptrend is being maintained
Active buying pressure controls pullbacks
The market reacts positively to news or fresh capital inflows
More importantly, strong bulls do not need price to rise quickly . What they need is a structured advance , with healthy pauses and clear support levels to continue higher.
What Is the Bear Side?
The Bear side (bears) represents those who expect prices to fall . Like bulls, bears are not merely about selling .
The core of the bear side is the belief that the current price is higher than its true value , and that selling pressure will gradually take control .
The bear side tends to strengthen when:
An uptrend begins to weaken or breaks down
Price no longer responds positively to good news
Every rally is met with clear selling pressure
A market dominated by bears does not always collapse sharply . Sometimes, it shows up as weak rebounds , slow and extended , but unable to travel far .
When Does the Market Lean Toward Bulls or Bears?
The market is never fixed to one side . It is constantly shifting .
There are periods when bulls are in control , times when bears dominate , and moments when neither side is truly strong .
Professional traders do not try to predict which side is right . Instead, they observe:
Which side controls the main move
Which side is reacting more weakly over time
What price is respecting more: support or resistance
These price reactions reveal who is in control , not personal opinions or emotions.
Common Mistakes When Talking About Bulls and Bears
Many traders believe they must “ choose a side ” and remain loyal to it . In reality, the market does not require loyalty .
The market only demands adaptation .
Today’s bulls can become tomorrow’s bears .
A skilled trader is someone who is willing to change perspective when the data changes , rather than defending an outdated view .
Gold Is Being Tested at the TopGOLD (XAUUSD) – Daily Structure & Macro Context
Technical Structure (Daily)
On the 1D timeframe, Gold remains in a primary bullish trend, but price action is now clearly hesitating near the previous ATH zone (~4,380–4,400). This area has historically attracted strong supply, and the current behavior confirms that sellers are actively defending it.
Price is still trading inside an ascending channel, respecting the rising trendline from the November lows. However, momentum has slowed notably as candles compress beneath the old ATH, forming overlapping highs and shallow pullbacks rather than clean continuation. This is a classic distribution vs. re-accumulation zone, not an impulsive breakout phase.
Key technical observations:
- Higher highs and higher lows remain intact → macro trend still bullish
- Repeated rejection near old ATH → supply absorption in progress
- EMA structure (34 & 89) remains supportive below → downside currently corrective
A clean daily close above the old ATH would confirm continuation toward new highs. Conversely, failure to hold the rising trendline opens room for a deeper pullback toward the EMA cluster, without invalidating the broader uptrend.
Macro Drivers (What’s influencing Gold now)
1. US Dollar Stabilization
The recent pause in Gold’s advance aligns with a short-term stabilization in the US Dollar. As USD demand temporarily recovers, Gold loses momentum but does not break structure a sign of balance, not weakness.
2. Fed Policy Expectations
Markets continue to price in eventual rate cuts, but the timing remains uncertain. The absence of immediate dovish confirmation from the Fed keeps Gold capped near highs, as traders reduce leverage and wait for clearer signals.
3. Real Yield Sensitivity
While real yields have stopped rising aggressively, they remain elevated enough to slow Gold’s upside acceleration. This creates consolidation rather than reversal.
4. Geopolitical & Risk Hedging Still Present
Despite short-term hesitation, Gold continues to benefit from structural demand as a hedge, which explains why pullbacks remain shallow and well-supported.
Forward Scenarios
Bullish continuation: Acceptance above old ATH → trend expansion resumes
Corrective scenario: Rejection at ATH → pullback toward trendline / EMAs
Invalidation: Only a sustained break below the rising structure would shift the macro bias
Key Takeaway
Gold is not topping out it is being priced under uncertainty.
The market is balancing strong long-term bullish drivers against short-term macro hesitation. This zone is where decisions are made, not where trends end.
BTC/USDT | No clear movement! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the Hourly chart of BTCUSDT, it surged in price after the CPI news, going as high as 89,477, before dropping to the demand zone again. However, this drop came with BTC going as low as 84,450, reaching the Bullish Rejection Block, and then going upwards towards the IFVG, reaching 88,449 before dropping again in between the demand zone and the IFVG.
So far, BTC is yet to make a strong move towards up or down, consolidating in the range with no clear motif.
GOLD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving to the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
The volatility of the movement has decreased.
The price has reached the resistance level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Be wary of intraday market reversals, avoid chasing rallies.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices rose and then fell back yesterday, eventually closing around 4330, forming a doji candlestick pattern on the daily chart. This signal also serves as a warning that we need to pay attention to a possible market correction in the short term. Sure enough, gold prices weakened immediately after the Asian session opened today, retesting the 4310 level. Currently, the 4-hour chart shows a profit-taking pattern at high levels, and gold prices may enter another selection phase in the short term. At the same time, as everyone can see, Fridays are the days when market trends are most likely to change suddenly, so please be cautious when trading today.
During the European session, pay attention to the 4310-4300 area. If the price stabilizes in this area and rises rapidly, the bullish outlook can be maintained for today
USOIL BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 55.27
Target Level: 56.16
Stop Loss: 54.67
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 4300.195
💰TP: 4217.466
⛔️SL: 4364.676
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Following yesterday's false breakout of local resistance, gold is considered a selling opportunity, although an alternative scenario remains for growth toward 4400-4500. A sell should be initiated by waiting for a breakout of the support trendline, which pushes the price toward resistance at 4350. The preliminary target is currently around 4200. If the alternative scenario is realized, selling near 4400-4500 is likely to be considered, but it's best to do so after reaching this area and consider potential entries based on the market situation that develops.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
XAUUSD PULLBACK AND PUMP (READ CAPTION)Hi trader's what do you think about gold
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing a bullish trade structure, with price respecting key demand zones and buyers maintaining control on pullbacks. The overall market behavior supports further upside continuation as long as price holds above major support areas.
🔹 Support Zone: 4307
This is the primary bullish support zone where buyers are actively defending price.
Holding above 4307 keeps the bullish bias valid.
🔹 Strong Bullish Zone: 4286–4273
This area represents a strong demand and accumulation zone.
Any pullback into 4286–4273 is considered a high-probability buying region, where strong bullish reactions are expected.
🔹 Resistance Zone: 4348
This is the first upside resistance, where price may face temporary rejection or consolidation.
A clean breakout and close above 4348 will confirm bullish continuation.
🔹 Supply Zone: 4373
This is the major upside target and supply area.
If Gold breaks above 4348, price is likely to extend toward the 4373 supply zone, where sellers may attempt to slow the move.
A strong breakout above this zone could signal further upside expansion.
📈 Market Outlook
Holding above 4307 → Bullish continuation expected
Pullback into 4286–4273 → Strong buy reaction zone
Break above 4348 → Opens path toward 4373 supply
Supply zone reaction will define next directional move
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Gold Bullish Continuation | Trendline Support & Liquidity TargetGold (XAU/USD) is respecting an ascending trendline and holding above key structure support. Price has reacted from a demand zone and is forming higher lows, indicating bullish continuation. A pullback is expected before continuation toward the previous high and upper liquidity zone near 4374. Bias remains bullish as long as price stays above trendline support.
XAUUSD BULLISH MOVE (READ CAPTION)Hello trader's what do you think about gold
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently maintaining a bullish market structure, as price continues to respect key support zones and shows strong buyer interest on pullbacks. The overall price action suggests a potential continuation toward higher levels.
🔹 Support Zone: 4263
This is the primary bullish support zone where buyers are actively defending price.
As long as Gold holds above 4263, the bullish bias remains valid.
🔹 Second Support: 4240
This level acts as a strong secondary support and deeper retracement area.
If price pulls back into 4240, it can offer a high-probability buying opportunity within the bullish trend.
🔹 Resistance: 4349
This is the key resistance level where price may face temporary rejection or consolidation.
A confirmed breakout above 4349 will strengthen bullish momentum.
🔹 Supply Zone: 4383
This zone represents the next upside target.
If Gold breaks and holds above 4349, price is likely to move toward the 4383 supply zone, where sellers may become active.
A strong breakout above this zone could signal further upside continuation.
📈 Market Outlook
Holding above 4263 / 4240 → Bullish continuation expected
Break above 4349 → Opens the path toward 4383 supply zone
Supply zone reaction will determine the next major move
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Gold Is Quiet — But Pressure Is BuildingGold is maintaining a bullish continuation structure, not showing signs of distribution.
- Trend: Price is moving inside a rising channel with higher lows intact.
- Structure: Pullbacks are corrective and shallow, showing buyers defending each dip.
- Dynamic Support: Price is holding above EMA 34 & EMA 89 → bullish control remains.
Key Levels:
- Target 1: 4,348
- Target 2 (Old ATH): 4,379
Outlook
Primary scenario: Consolidation → push to Target 1 → extension toward Old ATH.
Alternative: Short-term pullback to channel support to reload before continuation.
Focus:
As long as price holds above the rising channel and EMAs, bias stays bullish.
Patience here is part of the trade.
Gold Is Not Hesitating — It Is Building Energy for a New ATH.Gold on the H1 timeframe continues to display a bullish consolidation directly below the previous high at 4,380 , a structure that typically precedes continuation rather than reversal. Price is holding firmly inside a well-defined range, with higher lows forming repeatedly while pullbacks remain shallow and controlled. This behavior signals absorption of supply, not distribution sellers are active near resistance, but they are failing to push price into acceptance below the support zone. As long as Gold holds above the 4,260–4,270 support area, the broader bullish structure remains intact.
From a market-structure perspective, this sideways action below ATH reflects strength. In strong trends, markets often pause near highs to build liquidity before expanding again. The repeated tests of the upper range, combined with higher lows, suggest pressure is coiling rather than fading. A clean acceptance above 4,380 would likely unlock a break into new ATH territory , while failure to break simply extends the consolidation phase, not invalidates the trend.
From a macro standpoint, conditions remain supportive for Gold. U.S. monetary policy expectations continue to lean toward easing in 2025, keeping real yields capped and limiting sustained USD strength. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty continue to underpin safe haven demand. These factors reduce the probability of a deep corrective sell-off and favor sideways-to-higher price action instead.
Bottom line: Gold is not topping it is positioning. As long as support holds, the technical and macro alignment favors a breakout above the previous high. Patience is required, but the bias remains firmly bullish until proven otherwise.
Gold Is Accumulating for a Break — Not HesitatingGold on H1 continues to consolidate inside a clear accumulation zone after the impulsive upside move, with price holding above key support and forming higher lows. This price behavior reflects absorption rather than distribution, as sellers repeatedly fail to force acceptance below the range while buyers defend dips. Compression beneath the old ATH is a classic pre-expansion structure, where the market builds liquidity before choosing direction. As long as the accumulation floor holds, the technical bias remains bullish, with a breakout above the previous ATH as the primary resolution.
From a macro perspective, the backdrop remains supportive for Gold. Expectations around U.S. monetary policy continue to favor rate cuts in 2025, keeping real yields capped and limiting sustained USD strength. At the same time, year-end positioning, thinning liquidity, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty reinforce demand for safe-haven assets. These factors reduce the probability of a deep corrective sell-off and favor consolidation resolving higher rather than breaking down.
In short, Gold is not stalling it is aligning technical structure with macro support. A clean acceptance above the accumulation high would likely unlock continuation toward new highs, while failure to break simply extends the buildup phase. Patience remains the edge until expansion confirms intent.
Trend Holds Strong — Smart Money Still in ControlThe XAUUSD market continues to move precisely in line with the projected trend-following plan. After a controlled technical correction, price remains firmly above the key support zone and the MA structure, confirming that the broader bullish trend is still intact. Current price behavior shows consolidation just below resistance, with stable buying pressure and no aggressive selling a classic pre-continuation environment.
This phase reflects accumulation and supply absorption rather than weakness. Short-term pullbacks are functioning as liquidity shakeouts, allowing stronger hands to position in the direction of the main trend. As long as price respects the structural support, the preferred scenario remains a continuation to the upside.
From an intraday perspective, the market maintains a bullish bias, offering tactical opportunities on both sides while favoring trend-aligned entries.
Intraday Trading: Increase
📌 Timing Sell Zone (Short-Term Correction Trade)
XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 4369 – 4372
🎯 TP: 4366 – 4361
❎ SL: 4376
This setup targets a brief technical pullback within the broader uptrend. As a counter-trend trade, strict risk control is essential.
📌 Timing Buy Zone (Trend-Following Priority)
XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4274 – 4277
🎯 TP: 4280 – 4285
❎ SL: 4270
This is the preferred setup, aligned with the dominant bullish structure. Pullbacks into this zone are considered healthy retracements and offer higher-probability entries in the direction of the trend.
Conclusion:
Market movement continues to validate the original analysis and roadmap. Discipline, patience, and trading with the prevailing trend remain the key advantages in the current environment. Always apply proper capital management to protect account safety and maintain consistency.
Latest Gold Price Update TodayHello everyone, let’s take a look at the current trend of OANDA:XAUUSD .
As previously anticipated, XAUUSD continues to hold a steady recovery and remains firmly above the 4,300 USD level. At the time of writing, the precious metal is trading around 4,330–4,335 USD, maintaining a bullish structure within the main ascending price channel.
The U.S. dollar has softened slightly as the market continues to price in the possibility of monetary easing in the coming period. Cooling U.S. Treasury yields have further supported gold, allowing prices to stay elevated.
The 4,350–4,360 zone stands as the nearest resistance (weak high), which price needs to break in order to extend the upside momentum. On the downside, 4,300–4,310 is a key short-term support area, aligning with the lower trendline of the channel. If buying pressure is strong enough to clear 4,360, the next upside targets lie around 4,390–4,400. The preferred approach remains trading in line with the prevailing trend.
What’s your view on XAUUSD at this stage? Feel free to share your thoughts.
XAUUSD GOLD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaI’m currently watching XAUUSD (Gold). Price has broken market structure to the upside, confirming a short-term bullish shift. However, the presence of a three-drive pattern suggests we may see a corrective pullback before any further upside.
I’m looking for price to retrace back into support, as highlighted on the volume profile. If that area holds and aligns with the 61.8 Fibonacci level, I’ll be watching closely for a bullish break in market structure to potentially look for a long opportunity.
⚠️ Not financial advice — this is purely my market analysis.
Gold (XAUUSD): Rising Wedge at a Critical Decision ZoneHi guys!
Gold is currently trading inside a well-defined rising wedge, showing higher highs and higher lows, but with the price gradually compressing. This structure often signals a buildup before a strong directional move, making the current zone technically important.
On the upside, the 4,385–4,400 resistance area remains the key level to watch. A strong 4H breakout above this zone would confirm bullish continuation and could open the door toward the 4,458 target, which aligns with the projected measured move of the wedge.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Case: A strong 4H close above wedge resistance and the 4,385 level would confirm a breakout, opening the path toward 4,458 as the primary upside target. Momentum continuation would be favored above this level.
Bearish Case: Failure to hold the rising wedge support, especially with strong bearish candles, would invalidate the structure and likely trigger a deeper corrective move into the highlighted demand zone.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD - A pullback ahead of the news. Will there be growth?FX:XAUUSD is hitting resistance at 4350-4360 and forming a correction amid expected inflation and initial jobless claims data
Mixed US employment data supports expectations of Fed policy easing. The market is pricing in two rate cuts in 2026 versus one in the Fed's forecasts, which supports the bullish trend for the metal.
Today's US CPI release will be a key trigger for reassessing the Fed's rate trajectory.
Expectations of tighter policy from the Bank of Japan and market reassessment are creating overall caution.
A short-term correction in gold is possible, but the overall uptrend remains intact amid the Fed's dovish monetary policy and global uncertainty.
Resistance levels: 4337, 4353
Support levels: 4311, 4300
Technically and fundamentally, the situation is favorable for continued growth. Corrections allow the market to gather liquidity before movement, however, there is news ahead that will determine further movement. I expect a retest of 4311 - 4300 before growth to 4353 - 4380.
Sincerely, R. Linda!






















