NZD/USD – M30 Analysis..NZD/USD – M30 Analysis (According to My chart)
Market Structure
Price is moving inside a descending wedge / channel.
Trading below the Ichimoku cloud, showing bearish pressure.
Recent rejection from upper wedge + cloud confirms downside continuation.
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📉 Sell Scenario
Sell Zone: 0.5780 – 0.5795
🎯 Targets
Target 1: 0.5730
Target 2: 0.5720
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❌ Invalidation
A strong 30-minute close above 0.5810 will invalidate the bearish setup.
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📌 Summary
Trend: Bearish
Bias: SELL
Expectation: Price to drop toward the lower wedge support (marked Target Point)
Commodities
Energy market cools down: oil and gas under pressureOver the past three months, global prices for oil (#BRENT/#WTI) and gas (#GAS) have declined noticeably. Benchmark oil grades Brent and WTI have lost around 11–12%, ending the year near multi-month lows. U.S. natural gas has also entered a correction after a strong rally at the start of the winter season.
Factors Behind the Decline:
#BRENT — U.S. production is at record levels, supplies from Brazil and other countries are rising, and some African oil remains unsold for extended periods. As a result, Brent struggles to stay above $60 , with any price rebound quickly sold off.
#WTI — Economic and fuel demand forecasts have weakened, while crude oil and fuel inventories continue to grow, making WTI more vulnerable to selling on pullbacks.
#GAS — In autumn, gas prices surged on colder weather forecasts and record exports, but later forecasts turned milder, production stayed high, and inventories remained sufficient — leading to a price correction.
Brent and WTI are ending the year amid a clear supply surplus: record U.S. output and rising supplies from other regions prevent prices from holding above recent levels, while OPEC+ has not yet moved toward aggressive production cuts. This suggests that the risk of a gradual further decline in oil prices may persist into early next year.
The gas market follows the same logic: high production, well-filled storage facilities, and a relatively mild winter create room for prices to move lower after the recent rally. Altogether, this makes #BRENT, #WTI, and #GAS vulnerable to a continuation of the correction unless there is an unexpected surge in demand or a sharp supply disruption.
FreshForex analysts note that in the coming months, the price trajectory of oil (#Brent/#WTI) and natural gas (#GAS) will largely depend on whether the supply surplus persists, how the global economy develops, and whether expectations of a mild winter are confirmed. In such an environment, investors and traders are advised to maintain strict risk management and closely monitor news from the commodity markets.
GOLD | Softer Inflation Supports Upside — Key Levels 4314–4347GOLD | Technical Overview
Gold is on track for a weekly gain, supported by rising expectations of U.S. rate cuts after inflation came in lower than forecast.
Although prices slipped slightly in early trading due to a firmer dollar, sentiment remains bullish as traders assign roughly a 25% probability of a January cut and are almost fully pricing in a cut by April.
Lower rates typically benefit non-yielding assets such as gold, while geopolitical tensions continue to enhance safe-haven demand.
Technically:
Gold remains in consolidation between 4314 and 4347, maintaining a bullish bias as long as it stays above the pivot zone.
Given improving inflation conditions, the fundamental outlook supports bullish continuation.
The price is expected to retest 4314 – 4308.
If gold stabilizes above this zone, the bullish trend should extend toward 4347 and 4379.
However, a 1H or 15M close below 4308 would signal intraday weakness and open the way for a drop toward 4291 and 4277.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 4314
Resistance: 4334, 4347, 4367
Support: 4292, 4278, 4265
Bias: Bullish while above 4314 -4308; bearish only below 4308.
XAGUSD: breakout of the support trend line🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, Silver (XAGUSD) has been in a sustained bullish rally, characterized by a well-defined Support trend line that has successfully propped up price action since late November. However, the pair has now reached a critical Resistance zone between $65.70 and $67.00.
The price action is currently showing signs of exhaustion at this peak, as it struggles to break higher. The analytical projection suggests a breakdown of the support trend line, which would trigger a corrective move toward the horizontal support levels below. A shift in momentum is expected as the price moves away from the overextended resistance toward the $58.50 target.
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❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL)
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➡️ Entry Point: Sell on the break of the Support trend line (approx. $64.68 - $65.72).
🎯 Take Profit: $58.496 (Support).
🔴 Stop Loss: $67.775 (Above the current resistance zone).
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 4328.1
Sl - 4319.1
Tp - 4342.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | GOLD formed an ascending wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is capped below a descending resistance line near 4,340–4,350, where multiple intraday highs failed, forming a lower-high structure. The latest bounce lost momentum inside a rising corrective channel, signaling exhaustion.
● Price is rolling over from resistance and drifting back toward key support at 4,300–4,280. A breakdown below the rising support line would confirm short-term bearish continuation toward the lower support zone.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold faces pressure from firmer US yields and reduced safe-haven demand as markets reassess near-term rate expectations.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 4,340–4,350. Key supports: 4,300 and 4,280. Rejection from resistance keeps downside risk dominant.
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for December 19thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4382, Support: 4260
4-Hour Resistance: 4371, Support: 4290
1-Hour Resistance: 4350, Support: 4302
From the 1-hour chart, gold is currently consolidating at a high level, but the overall upward trend remains unchanged. Structurally, after the previous surge, the upward momentum failed to continue, with multiple attempts to break through resistance and subsequent pullbacks, leading to a short-term consolidation pattern. The current price pullback to the lower part of the consolidation range is a normal correction after the initial rise. In terms of moving averages, the price has returned to the vicinity of the short-term moving averages and the middle Bollinger Band; the Bollinger Bands have not expanded significantly, indicating that volatility remains within a controllable range, and short-term consolidation may continue. The first upward resistance level for gold is at the upper Bollinger Band at $4352. A break above this level could lead to a challenge of the historical high of $4382, and subsequently the psychological level of $4400. On the other hand, if bearish candlesticks appear and prices remain below the December 17th low of $4300, short-term sellers will control the market, and prices will continue to decline. Support levels to watch are $4300, $4371, and $4357. The key resistance levels for the NY market are $4352 and $4380. The short-term reversal point is at $4302!
NY Market Reference Strategies:
Risk Strategy: SELL: $4345-$4353
Safe Strategy: SELL: $4368-$4376
If a significant pullback occurs, buying suggestions:
BUY: $4300-$4292
BUY: $4272-$4265
More Analysis →
Platinum Futures On A Weekly TimeframeRight now PL1! along with other rare metals are entering a very strong bullish phase with the first movement of the phase already taken place
I expect it price to evolve into a large expanding wedge as can be seen on chart
Vertical lines show lengths of bear markets and how we have moved out of the last bear market on this timeframe.
GOLD - Consolidation amid a bullish trend. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD , after retesting its ATH (to the 4375 zone), is falling amid weak US inflation data. The dollar is strengthening, but despite this, gold is in a bullish trend.
US inflation (CPI) for November was lower than expected, but Trump's statements about the future “dovish” Fed chair are limiting the decline in gold. The market continues to expect the Fed to ease policy in 2026.
Today, data on the US consumer confidence index will be released.
Short-term pressure remains, but the fundamental background does not allow us to talk about a trend reversal. The market structure is bullish, but there is a magnet zone below: 4310 - 4300. MM is likely to test it before moving towards ATH and updating highs...
Resistance levels: 4330, 4353, 4375
Support levels: 4308, 4300, 4291
The dollar is forming a temporary correction due to fundamental factors. A weak dollar will support gold...
The 4308-4300 zone is a liquidity pool, and the market may test this area amid the dollar correction. A long squeeze could bring the market back to growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Near Triangle Top — Correction Phase IncomingBased on yesterday’s U.S. economic data, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) failed to post a significant bullish move.
At the moment, Gold appears to be trading within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern and is currently moving near the upper lines of this pattern.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Gold has completed a Double Three corrective structure near the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle.
In addition, a Regular Bearish Divergence (RD−) can be observed between the two most recent highs, which weakens the bullish momentum.
I expect that Gold will at least decline toward the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle. If these lower lines are broken, we could even anticipate a breakdown below the Support zone($4,265-$4,240).
First Target: Lower lines of symmetrical triangle
Second Target: Support zone($4,265-$4,240)
Stop Loss(SL): $4,357
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
XAUUSD Holds Bullish Structure - Resistance at $4,380 in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (Gold) based on the current chart structure. After a corrective phase, Gold established a solid base and transitioned into a bullish recovery, forming higher lows and respecting the rising Support Line. The price previously moved through a consolidation Range, where accumulation took place before a clear breakout confirmed renewed buying momentum. Following this breakout, XAUUSD continued to trade within an ascending channel, showing a well-structured bullish trend. Recently, price pulled back into the Buyer Zone around 4,280, which aligns with the horizontal Support Level and the lower boundary of the rising structure. Buyers successfully defended this area, keeping the bullish structure intact. From this support, Gold has started to rebound and is now pressing higher toward the Seller Zone / Resistance Level near 4,380 (TP1) — a key supply area where sellers may attempt to slow the move. As long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,280 Support, the bullish scenario remains valid. I expect continued upside pressure toward the 4,380 Resistance (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this seller zone would open the path for further bullish continuation. However, rejection from resistance could lead to a short-term consolidation or a healthy pullback back toward support. For now, the structure favors buyers, with 4,280 as key support and 4,380 as the main upside target. Always manage your risk and trade with confirmation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
DXY: long-term view🛠 Technical Analysis: On the weekly timeframe (W1), the U.S. Dollar Index is displaying a significant structural shift. Despite a brief breach of the psychological 100 level, the price failed to generate a strong downward impulse, suggesting that bearish momentum is exhausted.
As noted on the chart, "sellers are being bought out," paving the way for a recovery back above the 100 level. The primary objective of this move is a test of the long-term descending resistance line, which currently aligns with the 107.384 target.
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❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
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➡️ Entry Point: Confirmation of price holding above the pivot level (approx. 100.524).
🎯 Take Profit: 107.384 (Long-term Descending Resistance).
🔴 Stop Loss: Below the recent accumulation lows (approx. 97.787).
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
XAUUSD: rise to all-time high🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, gold (XAUUSD), after breaking out of accumulation in a wide triangle, continues to show signs of bullish momentum. Analysis suggests a high probability of a final upward push or even a potential "false breakout" (liquidity capture) to the resistance zone around 4,400 to liquidate early short positions. A downward reversal around 4,400 can be considered if appropriate signals are present.
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❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
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➡️ Entry Point: Buy on the confirmed breakout of the short-term resistance 4,286 (approx. 4294)
🎯 Take Profit: 4,377.47
🔴 Stop Loss: 4,249.74
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
EURUSD: triangle breakdown🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, EURUSD is showing signs of trend exhaustion after a sustained rally within an ascending channel. Although a "Global bullish signal" was previously recorded, price action is now forming a "Triangle pattern" near the critical support level of 1.17300. This pattern, occurring at the bottom of the channel, typically indicates a likely downward movement as buying pressure fades. The analysis anticipates a breakdown from this consolidation zone, leading to a correction toward lower support levels.
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❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL)
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➡️ Entry Point: Sell on the breakdown of the triangle lower boundary (approx. 1.17211 – 1.17300).
🎯 Take Profit: 1.16500 (Support).
🔴 Stop Loss: Above the recent local peak (approx. 1.17609).
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
EUR/USD | What to expect (READ THE CAPTION!)As you can see in the Hourly chart of EURUSD, after the CPI news, it surged in price, went through the supply zone and sweeped the liquidity above 1.1758 before dropping all the way back to the prior supply zone, now being traded at 1.1711.
I expect the SSL there below the 1.1703 level to be sweeped and then a reaction.
BTCUSD SELL SETUPPOSSIBLE SELL SETUP BTCUSD
SL ABOVE SUPPLY ZONE
TP 1 BELOW DEMAND ZONE
TP 2 OPEN USE PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT
FOLLOW YOUR TRADING PLAN !!!!
SIMPLE BTCUSD TRADING PLAN
1️⃣ Timeframe
15m or 1H only
2️⃣ Indicators
200 EMA → trend
50 EMA → entry
RSI (14) → confirmation
3️⃣ BUY RULES
✅ Price above 200 EMA
✅ Pullback to 50 EMA
✅ RSI above 50
✅ Bullish candle
➡️ Then BUY
4️⃣ SELL RULES
✅ Price below 200 EMA
✅ Pullback to 50 EMA
✅ RSI below 50
✅ Bearish candle
➡️ Then SELL
5️⃣ Risk Rules
Risk 1% per trade
Always use Stop Loss
Target = 2× Stop Loss (1:2)
6️⃣ Management
At 1:1, move stop to breakeven
Do nothing else
7️⃣ Golden Rules
❌ No stop loss = no trade
❌ No emotions
❌ No overtrading
ONE LINE RULE
If all rules aren’t met → NO TRADE
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 4,320.70.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 4,339.30.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Price Back Below Key ResistanceGold is once again trading below the 4334 resistance. After reaching the 4362 target yesterday, price sharply retraced and slipped back below 4334, now trading around 4321 and below the MA50.
Price action has turned bearish in the short term. If 4334 continues to hold as resistance, a rotation back into the reaction zone becomes likely. A break below 4270 would increase downside pressure and shift focus toward the support zone for a potential reaction.
For bulls to regain control, price needs to reclaim 4334, followed by a break above 4362 to open the path toward 4395.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4334
4362
4395
Support:
4301
4270
4237
4185
GBP/USD | Up or Down? (READ THE CAPTION)In the hourly chart of GBPUSD, we can see that GBP surged in in price after the CPI news, however, it failed to go through the supply zone and sweep the liquidity above there. GBPUSD hit 1.34466 after the CPI news, but dropped all the way to 1.33632, just below the high of the supply zone and it is now being traded at 1.33790.
There's a FVG at 1.34055-1.34097 which could cause a reaction.
We shall monitor the market closely to see how GBPUSD reacts.
XAU/USD | Consolidation! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the Hourly chart of XAUUSD, we can see that Gold has been ranging between the 4H FVG and the bearish OB. After the CPI news yesterday, Gold went up as high as 4374, before dropping again and touching the high of the 4H FVG at 4317 and then again going up and now it's being traded at 4323. Gold is now consolidating between the Bearish OB and the 4H FVG.
It's not clear yet how Gold might react in the coming hours and weeks before the new year, however, it still is possible for Gold to hit a new ATH by the end of the year.






















