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XAUUSD – Structure Holding at the Blue BoxHi fellow traders, On the 1H XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential continuation scenario. After a sharp corrective move, price is reacting from the blue box and holding above the key structural level, suggesting the correction may be complete and continuation to the upside remains possible. I am entering at the current price, with a Stop Loss at 4270.00. My Take Profit is set at 4574.60, targeting continuation within the larger impulsive structure. If price breaks below the stop level, this trade is no longer valid. Structure first. Noise second. Good luck and trade safe!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by OGwavetrader
1
DeGRAM | GOLD will fall from $4,400📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD broke down sharply from the rising channel, confirming a bearish reversal after repeated failures near the upper boundary around 4,540–4,560. The impulsive sell-off invalidated prior bullish structure and pushed price below key intraday supports. ● Current rebound looks corrective, with price retesting the former support-turned-resistance near 4,390–4,420. As long as this zone caps upside, the bias favors continuation toward lower supports at 4,310 and 4,270. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold faces pressure from firmer USD and cautious market positioning ahead of upcoming US macro data, limiting demand for non-yielding assets in the short term. ✨ Summary ● Short-term bearish setup. Resistance: 4,390–4,420. Targets: 4,310 and 4,270. Bearish bias holds below broken channel resistance. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
4
Gold Is Not Done — H1 Structure Favors ContinuationHello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the short-term hesitation, but the fact that gold has successfully transitioned from a corrective phase into a recovery structure and is now reacting constructively below resistance. After the sharp sell-off earlier in the session, price found strong demand inside the 4,280–4,300 support zone, where selling pressure was fully absorbed. The impulsive rejection from this area marked a clear structural low, followed by a steady sequence of higher lows. This confirms that the downside move has already completed and that the market is now in a rebuilding phase. From a structural perspective, gold has reclaimed multiple intraday levels and is currently trading above the 4,350–4,360 area, which previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into short-term support, indicating acceptance at higher prices. The current pause just below the 4,400–4,405 resistance zone is therefore a reaction point, not a sign of weakness. The projected paths drawn on the chart reflect realistic scenarios rather than predictions: - A shallow pullback toward the 4,350–4,370 region to retest demand, followed by continuation higher. - If momentum persists, acceptance above 4,405 would open the door for a push toward 4,450–4,480, and potentially higher toward the upper resistance cluster. - Only a clean breakdown back below 4,330 would invalidate the bullish continuation structure and shift the market back into range behavior. Importantly, price action remains orderly, with no impulsive selling and no expansion to the downside. This tells us that current consolidation is part of a trend continuation process, not distribution. As long as gold holds above the reclaimed support levels, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
3
GOLD Weekly Levels: Buy/Hold 4270/4300 Target 4500/4633 🔱 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ✨ Gold in wave-4 accumulation after extended impulse 🟡 Primary impulse complete: 3910 → 4500 (H2/H4) 🔄 Current pullback: 4500 → 4268 = corrective, not reversal 🧱 Accumulation zone: 4300–4268 (buy dips only) 📈 Trend remains bullish while above 4210 🚀 Wave-5 target: 4630–4650 price discovery zone ⏳ Expect consolidation before expansion ⚠️ Invalidation: acceptance below 4210 🎯 Strategy: buy & hold dips, don’t chase highs 🏦 Final leg likely followed by larger consolidation 🗳️ Gold Weekly Scenarios — What’s Your Play? Which path do you have for XAUUSD next week? 🅰️ Hold 4,27x–4,30x → continuation toward 4,500+ / wave-5 extension 🅱️ Dip into 4,25x–4,26x, then rotate higher (accumulation before breakout) 🅲 Acceptance > 4,380 → squeeze confirms upside continuation 🅳 Your level: drop one price you’re watching most next week 🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE 🏆 Swing High / Swing Low $4,500 → $4,268 — controlled pullback from the wave-3 peak following an extended impulse. The decline into the $4,26x area shows overlap, compression, and reduced momentum, consistent with a wave-4 corrective phase rather than trend reversal. Weekly structure remains constructive while price holds above key invalidation. 📈 Trend Higher-timeframe: Primary trend remains bullish following a completed 5-wave impulse on H2/H4, with wave-3 extension from $4,000 → $4,500 confirming strong trend participation. Tactical: Current price action fits a wave-4 accumulation / consolidation phase: Shallow pullback relative to wave-3 Overlapping ranges Compression above prior breakout structure As long as price holds above $4,210, the tape favors continuation into wave-5 rather than deeper correction. 🛡 Supports – Accumulation / Buy-Side Zones $4,300–$4,270 🟢 Accumulation zone Primary wave-4 basing area. This zone represents: Prior minor breakout structure Overlapping corrective price action Area of strongest dip-buying interest Preferred zone for buy-the-dip positioning, not aggressive chasing. $4,250–$4,230: Secondary support shelf and intraday defense zone. Acceptance below this area would increase corrective risk but does not yet invalidate the bullish structure. $4,210 🔑 Structural invalidation Loss and acceptance below $4,210 invalidates the wave-5 continuation thesis and signals a deeper corrective phase instead of immediate trend extension. 🚧 Resistances – Upside Objectives / Expansion Targets $4,380–$4,400: First upside resistance and near-term liquidity magnet. A clean reclaim and hold above this zone would confirm wave-4 completion. $4,500: Prior high and breakout trigger. Acceptance above $4,500 opens the door for wave-5 price discovery. $4,630–$4,650 🎯 Wave-5 target zone Projected wave-5 expansion objective based on prior impulse proportions. This zone represents the final upside leg of the current impulse sequence before a larger-degree consolidation becomes likely. 🧭 Bias Next Week Primary bias: buy dips within the accumulation zone, do not chase highs. The market structure favors: Continued consolidation early week Holding above $4,250–$4,210 Breakout attempt toward prior highs later in the week As long as price remains above $4,210, upside continuation remains the dominant scenario. ⚖️ Base Case Scenario Early week: Price continues to range within $4,270–$4,330, maintaining compression and absorbing supply from late longs. Mid-week: Sustained holding above the accumulation zone invites renewed upside momentum toward $4,380–$4,400. Expansion phase: Acceptance above $4,500 triggers wave-5 continuation toward $4,630+, with momentum-driven price discovery. 🚀 Breakout / Invalidation Triggers Bullish confirmation: Daily acceptance above $4,500 confirms wave-5 in progress and shifts focus to higher expansion targets. Bullish invalidation: A clean break and acceptance below $4,210 invalidates the wave-5 thesis and signals a deeper corrective structure instead of continuation. 🔓 Bull / Bear Structural Lines Bull structure line: Above $4,210 — impulse structure intact, dips are corrective and buyable. Bear expansion line: Below $4,210 — bullish continuation delayed; opens scope for a deeper retracement toward lower demand zones before any renewed upside. 🧭 Recommended Strategy — Buy & Hold Dips (Accumulation Phase) ⚠️ Illustrative framework, not financial advice. Manage risk according to your own rules. 1️⃣ Primary Strategy — Accumulate Pullbacks Focus on $4,300–$4,270 for staged long exposure Avoid chasing strength near highs Use acceptance and structure confirmation for entries Risk management / invalidation: Tactical invalidation: sustained acceptance below $4,210 Upside objectives: First objective: $4,380–$4,400 Breakout objective: $4,500 Expansion target: $4,630–$4,650 (wave-5 projection)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
7
What's next for Legendary Silver?The algorithm is currently engineering a Macro Market Maker Sell Model to reprice towards the Discount Arrays and Sell Side Liquidity residing at 64.00. The present action within the 72.00 to 74.00 price level is a Distribution Phase into a Bearish Breaker designed to trap late longs before the primary liquidation leg begins. Entry: 73.50 (126 points higher) Stop loss: 77.20 (370 points from entry) Take profit: 64.00 (950 points from entry) Risk to reward ratio: 2.56R The absolute truth at the center of this chart is that the parabolic expansion on the Monthly timeframe has reached a Terminal Velocity and is now undergoing a violent mean reversion. You are witnessing the aftermath of a Blow Off Top where the algorithm delivered price into a deep Premium to induce maximum retail euphoria before slamming the door. The massive rejection wick on the Monthly candle is not just volatility it is the footprint of Institutional Distribution. The Smart Money has offloaded their long inventory into the buy stops of breakout traders above the 80.00 level. The subsequent displacement lower on the Daily and 8 Hour charts has created a definitive Market Structure Shift to the downside confirming that the Order Flow has inverted. The Draw on Liquidity is no longer the highs. It is the vast chasm of inefficient price action left behind during the ascent. The market is currently retracing into a Premium Array specifically the Bearish Breaker Block and Fair Value Gap region between 73.00 and 75.00. This is the "Right Shoulder" of the reversal pattern or in ICT terms the Smart Money Reversal entry. The entry logic is predicated on the algorithm's necessity to mitigate the inefficiency created by the rapid decline from the 84.00 highs. Price is being drawn back up into the 73.50 region not to resume the trend but to rebalance the Premium and trap bulls who view this dip as a buying opportunity. The "Weekly Bias Level" marked on your chart acts as the fulcrum. The algorithm is holding price below this level to build a ceiling. We are looking to short the failure at this ceiling. The temporal window for this entry is the beginning of the new week or the New York session where the manipulation of the daily range typically occurs. You are selling to the "Buy the Dip" crowd who are oblivious to the fact that the trend has changed. The invalidation of this thesis is a decisive daily close above the 77.20 swing high. If the algorithm displaces above this level it indicates that the current decline was merely a complex correction in a still valid bull market and price will likely attack the 84.00 highs again. However the sheer magnitude of the monthly rejection makes this the low probability outcome. The Primary Antithetical Chain would require a fundamental shift in the macro landscape that forces a panic bid for hard assets. But technically the chart is screaming distribution. The 8 Hour chart shows a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Until that structure is broken to the upside the path of least resistance is gravity. Target 1: 68.00 | Type: Internal SSL / Daily Support | Probability: 85% | ETA: Short Term Target 2: 64.00 | Type: Equilibrium / Volume Imbalance | Probability: 70% | ETA: Medium Term Target 3: 58.00 | Type: Deep Discount / Order Block | Probability: 55% | ETA: Long Term A 30% probability exists for the antithetical reality: a Consolidation at Highs. In this scenario the market refuses to break down and instead chops between 70.00 and 80.00 for several months to digest the move. This reality is confirmed if price reclaims 75.00 and holds it as support. If this occurs the trade is scratched and we await a new expansion signal. But for now the knife is falling. Do not try to catch it. Wait for the bounce to resistance and then push it down. ​
COMEX_MINI:SIL1!
by TradeConfirmed
DVN - Devon Energy Corporation (Bullish TA Thesis for 2026)There are multiple confluences telling me that DVN could make a move up to $65 and possibly as high as $105-$129 levels. Very successful backtest of an 18 year trendline in which the stock broke out of in 2021. Elliott Wave counts also look very well structured to me with an ABC correction down to form a descending channel, which it is now breaking out of to start the month/year. The 2 levels that must be breached to the upside in order to reach the potential targets are $42-$44 where there is some bearish order block activity as well as VPOC (Volume Point of Control). All monthly oscillators have officially turned bullish, specifically Stoch RSI and B-Xtrender with fresh confirmed signals.
NYSE:DVNLong
by SovereignCharts
Silver - Just Like in the Books?The move we’re watching runs from early September 2022 to the end of 2025. We completed three strong upward waves and finished around 84 . But the main phase of the uptrend actually started in March 2020. So far, we’ve drawn waves 1 , 2 , and 3 , and now we’re forming the 4th corrective wave. Since things are moving fast, we won’t focus too much on direction — just the main ideas and key levels. First scenario: Wave 2 of the larger move looks like a zig-zag, so in this correction we expect to see a flat. This means a return to around 84 (slightly above or below), then back down, and then the next main move starts. The sizes of waves 2 and 4 could be roughly equal, around 12 . Also, wave 1 may be equal in size to wave 5 , which is around 18 . Another point: since this is a commodity, wave 5 could be bigger than all the others and reach well above 90 . This is clearly visible on the smaller timeframe. Second scenario: A deeper correction of wave 3 is possible. Potential levels: 68 -> 62 -> 58 -> 50 Only after that, the price moves upward toward 90+ . Summary: We could rise to 90 or higher. We could correct down to 50 We’ve marked the main directions and target levels. It’s a bit complex, but this example is similar to classic textbook patterns. The key point — you’re now prepared for different possible outcomes. --- Please subscribe and leave a comment. You’ll get new information faster than anyone else. ---
FX:XAGUSD
by NotBoringTrading
Gold/Silver Ratio AnalysisSince 2007, the Gold/Silver ratio has been moving in certain patterns. Although the ratio generally tends to rise, we can see significant volatile deviations from time to time. These deviations present us with good opportunities. We are currently experiencing one of these opportunities. The overall uptrend in the chart means that gold has generally outperformed silver. The sharp increases in 2008 and 2020 also point to periods when gold significantly outperformed silver. In 2010, the second half of 2020 and the period we are currently experiencing, silver has significantly outperformed gold, causing the chart to fall. But there is a common point in both periods. After every period of extreme volatility, the Gold/Silver ratio tends to converge towards the average. This will likely be no different now. So what does this indicate? As we all know, silver has gained significant momentum, pushing the Gold/Silver ratio up to 60. While there's a possibility the ratio could fall back to 50 in the coming months with continued momentum, a Hodrick Prescott filter shows a significant negative deviation from the normal average. This means that the time for convergence with the average is slowly approaching. So how will this convergence scenario unfold? In two ways: 1. Either silver won't experience a decline, but gold will rise significantly with buying pressure and momentum. 2. Or, while gold remains stable or continues its uptrend slightly, silver will fall significantly. I particularly think the scenario where silver falls due to profit-taking (and it's pretty overbought) more likely. During this period, gold may continue its gradual rise, which could bring the Gold/Silver ratio back into an overall trend free from volatility.
OANDA:XAUXAGLong
by YavuzAkbay
Bullish potential detected for KLREntry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:KLR along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI, and (ii) observing market reaction around the $0.19 resistance area from 21st November. Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be: (i) below the potentially rising 30 day MA (currently $0.161), or (ii) below the recent swing low of $0.15 of 29th December, or (iii) below the ultimate swing low of $0.125 of 15th December.
ASX:KLRLong
by Ivory_Wolf
Next week outlookSo, if we can hold our higher high today and into Sunday, bulls will be back in control. My prediction is we gun straight toward $4.2 starting next session and we hit that target around Tuesday night. This is all resting on 4hr turning positive on Sundays night session. There is still a chance for collapse of the 4hr and we head down to retest prior low. If we break prior low all this is out the window and bulls have lost their chance for now. Entering now is high risk, so for low risk traders wait for the 4 hour positive cross confirmation.
NYMEX:NGG2026Long
by tirsobust
GBP/USD | Going back up? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4h chart of GBPUSD, it went through the NWOG only to be stopped in the supply zone, consolidating there for a while and finally a drop in price. Cable dropped all the way to 1.34016, hitting the low of the FVG and then bouncing back up, going through the NWOG once again but it dropped again and it is now being traded in the NWOG zone at 1.34560. If GBPUSD continues to fall, I expect a reaction to the high of the FVG. For the time being, the upwards targets for the GBPUSD are: 1.34690, 1.34910 and 1.35130.
by AmirAliTrading
1
Silver Analysis (XAG/USD)CAPITALCOM:SILVER Chart Structure From December 6 to 26, the price followed a strong uptrend. On December 27, silver peaked near $84 and then corrected sharply. A strong support zone around $70 formed after the drop. The current price is $74.53, and a recovery appears to be forming with bullish candles. Key Support & Resistance Levels: Level | Price Resistance 1 | ~$76.5 Resistance 2 | ~$80 Support 1 | ~$72 Support 2 | ~$70 (major) Patterns & Price Behavior: Higher Lows are forming → indicating bullish structure. A V-shape recovery pattern is visible → suggesting a strong rebound. Buyers are stepping in aggressively after the pullback. Fundamental Analysis Factor | Status | Impact on Price Global Inflation | Still elevated | Bullish for silver Fed Interest Rate Outlook | Expected cuts in early 2026 | Bullish for silver Geopolitical Tensions | Ongoing risks in ME/EU | Increases safe haven demand Industrial Demand for Silver | Stable or increasing | Supports price China’s Economic Recovery | Gradually improving | Boosts industrial demand Conclusion: The fundamental outlook supports bullish continuation for silver. Momentum Analysis Strong bullish momentum after bouncing off the $70 support. Recent candles show high volume and strong green bodies, signaling fresh buying interest. If momentum holds, resistance at $76.5 could be tested and potentially broken. XAG/USD Price Forecast Timeframe | Expected Move Short-Term | Likely move to $76.5–$78 Medium-Term | If resistance breaks, $80–$82 target Long-Term (Weeks) | $88–$92 possible with strong fundamentals Warning:Any losses are entirely your own responsibility. This is solely an analysis and **not** a recommendation to buy or sell.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by mohamadmokari
Latest Gold Price Update TodayHello everyone, let’s take a look at today’s gold price. XAU/USD fell more than 4% from its all-time high at 4,555 USD, marking its weakest performance in several months, largely due to thin trading volumes on Monday. However, buyers returned aggressively on Tuesday, with the rebound largely driven by dip-buying activity following the sharp sell-off. At the moment, the pair is attempting to recover from the 4,300 USD area, supported by a more cautious market sentiment on Tuesday as geopolitical tensions continue to escalate. As long as this support level holds, buyers remain in control. On the other hand, if it fails, waiting for opportunities at lower levels would be a safer approach. What’s your view on the current XAUUSD trend?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
8
Gold at 4300 Demand vs 4397 Supply — Smart Money Sets the Trap🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (02/01) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally supported on higher timeframes, despite the recent corrective leg triggered by a clear CHoCH from premium. Current price action reflects controlled rebalancing and liquidity engineering, not impulsive continuation. As the market digests USD yield fluctuations and positioning flows at the start of the new trading year, Gold continues to attract institutional interest on pullbacks. However, intraday volatility suggests Smart Money is prioritizing liquidity capture and re-accumulation rather than directional chasing. This environment favors engineered sweeps, inducement, and delayed confirmation, not clean breakouts. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: HTF bullish structure with short-term corrective consolidation Key Idea: Expect price interaction at HTF demand (4300–4302) or a reaction from internal supply / FVG (4395–4397) before any meaningful displacement. Structural Notes: HTF bullish BOS remains intact Prior CHoCH initiated corrective downside Sell-side liquidity has been probed and absorbed Price is stabilizing above demand Discount zone aligns with institutional accumulation Buy-side liquidity rests above internal highs 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4302 | SL 4290 • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4395 – 4397 | SL 4407 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules 🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4302 | SL 4290 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or refined demand OB Targets: 4350 4395 4450 – extension if USD weakens and risk-off sentiment expands 🔴 SELL GOLD 4395 – 4397 | SL 4407 Rules: ✔ Reaction into internal supply / FVG ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on LTF ✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: 4360 4325 4300 – extension if USD strengthens or yields rise ⚠️ Risk Notes Compression favors false breakouts No execution without MSS + BOS confirmation Expect volatility during U.S. session Thin liquidity increases stop-hunt probability Reduce risk around macro headlines and yield spikes 📍 Summary Gold remains bullish by structure, but today’s edge is patience over prediction. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before committing: • A sweep into 4300–4302 may reload longs toward 4395–4450, or • A reaction near 4395–4397 could fade price back into discount. Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm. Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
12
Silver — Strong Bull Trend, but Is the Correction Really Over?After the explosive rally to a new all-time high near the 84 zone, OANDA:XAGUSD experienced a sharp correction, dropping nearly 15,000 pips — a natural reaction after such an extended move. Buyers eventually regained control just above the 70 zone, where the market established a solid floor. However, the first rebound produced a lower high, and the following high was also lower — which currently shapes what appears to be a potential descending triangle structure (still unconfirmed at this stage). ❓ Key Question: Is the Correction Finished? From a long-term perspective, there is no doubt about the dominant trend — Silver remains strongly bullish over the macro horizon. But the short-term issue remains: 👉 Has the correction already ended, or is there more downside risk ahead? Right now, the answer depends on two critical levels. ⚖️ Decision Levels to Watch 1️⃣ 74 Resistance Zone A clean breakout above 74 would ✔️ invalidate the current corrective structure ✔️ confirm bullish continuation ✔️ open the door toward further upside extensions 2️⃣ 70 Support Zone A breakdown below 70 would ⚠️ strengthen the descending-triangle scenario ⚠️ expose Silver to a deeper correction ➡️ potentially toward the 63 zone 📌 Trading Stance for Now Given today’s low-liquidity environment, the prudent approach is: 👉 wait for confirmation rather than forcing a position Price action around 70 and 74 will likely provide the next major directional clue. Until then — patience remains the best strategy. 🚀
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
10