DeGRAM | GOLD will fall from $4,400📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD broke down sharply from the rising channel, confirming a bearish reversal after repeated failures near the upper boundary around 4,540–4,560. The impulsive sell-off invalidated prior bullish structure and pushed price below key intraday supports.
● Current rebound looks corrective, with price retesting the former support-turned-resistance near 4,390–4,420. As long as this zone caps upside, the bias favors continuation toward lower supports at 4,310 and 4,270.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold faces pressure from firmer USD and cautious market positioning ahead of upcoming US macro data, limiting demand for non-yielding assets in the short term.
✨ Summary
● Short-term bearish setup. Resistance: 4,390–4,420. Targets: 4,310 and 4,270. Bearish bias holds below broken channel resistance.
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Commodities
Gold Is Not Collapsing — It’s Completing a Pullback at H1 DemandHello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the sharp sell-off, but how gold is behaving after breaking below a descending trendline and reacting into a clearly defined support zone. The market has already delivered the impulsive leg down; what matters next is whether sellers can extend or whether price shifts into a corrective rebound.
From the chart, gold completed a lower-high sequence beneath a descending resistance line, confirming sustained selling pressure throughout the session. Each attempt to recover was capped by the trendline, keeping price compressed and vulnerable. That structure finally resolved with a strong impulsive breakdown, sending price directly into the 4,270–4,290 demand zone.
This support area is critical. It aligns with prior reaction lows and has already triggered a sharp intraday response, indicating that sell-side momentum is slowing as liquidity is absorbed. The long downside candle into support followed by reduced follow-through suggests this move is exhaustive, not the start of a fresh acceleration lower.
Structurally, price is now in a post-breakdown rebalancing phase. A brief consolidation or marginal sweep below support is possible to complete the downside sequence. However, as long as the market holds this demand area, a corrective rebound becomes the higher-probability scenario rather than immediate continuation lower.
The projected path on the chart reflects this logic:
Short-term stabilization inside the 4,270–4,290 zone
A corrective push back toward the descending trendline
Potential extension higher toward the 4,390–4,400 resistance, which marks the next major supply level
Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would reopen the door for deeper downside. Conversely, a decisive reclaim above the descending trendline would signal that bearish pressure has reset and that gold is ready to challenge higher resistance levels again.
Until that confirmation appears, gold is not trending aggressively lower. It is working through a technical pullback after a completed bearish impulse, where patience and level awareness remain key.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
Bullish or bearish? How to trade gold in the new year?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
The trading strategy given yesterday did not provide suitable trading opportunities in the evening. After the market opened this morning, it rebounded from around 4328, only $3 away from our entry point of 4325. However, as everyone knows, I was sleeping during the Asian session and hardly participated in any trading, so I unfortunately missed this trading opportunity.
Currently, gold prices have rebounded after testing the 4285-4275 level.It's not advisable to get involved in rapidly fluctuating markets, as it's too easy to trigger stop-loss orders. Don't envy those who make huge profits in one wave or another, whether it's real or not is still unknown. Just focus on doing your own thing and remember that what we need is to achieve steady and consistent gains.
Based on the current trend, the upside resistance level to watch is 4335-4355, the short-term support level is 4260-4250, and the key defense level is 4210-4200. Observe first. If the rebound continues and reaches the resistance level around 4335-4355, then consider shorting with a small position. Wait for my subsequent trading signals
XAUUSD – Structure Holding at the Blue BoxHi fellow traders,
On the 1H XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential continuation scenario. After a sharp corrective move, price is reacting from the blue box and holding above the key structural level, suggesting the correction may be complete and continuation to the upside remains possible.
I am entering at the current price, with a Stop Loss at 4270.00. My Take Profit is set at 4574.60, targeting continuation within the larger impulsive structure.
If price breaks below the stop level, this trade is no longer valid.
Structure first. Noise second.
Good luck and trade safe!
Gold Is Not Done — H1 Structure Favors ContinuationHello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the short-term hesitation, but the fact that gold has successfully transitioned from a corrective phase into a recovery structure and is now reacting constructively below resistance.
After the sharp sell-off earlier in the session, price found strong demand inside the 4,280–4,300 support zone, where selling pressure was fully absorbed. The impulsive rejection from this area marked a clear structural low, followed by a steady sequence of higher lows. This confirms that the downside move has already completed and that the market is now in a rebuilding phase.
From a structural perspective, gold has reclaimed multiple intraday levels and is currently trading above the 4,350–4,360 area, which previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into short-term support, indicating acceptance at higher prices. The current pause just below the 4,400–4,405 resistance zone is therefore a reaction point, not a sign of weakness.
The projected paths drawn on the chart reflect realistic scenarios rather than predictions:
- A shallow pullback toward the 4,350–4,370 region to retest demand, followed by continuation higher.
- If momentum persists, acceptance above 4,405 would open the door for a push toward 4,450–4,480, and potentially higher toward the upper resistance cluster.
- Only a clean breakdown back below 4,330 would invalidate the bullish continuation structure and shift the market back into range behavior.
Importantly, price action remains orderly, with no impulsive selling and no expansion to the downside. This tells us that current consolidation is part of a trend continuation process, not distribution. As long as gold holds above the reclaimed support levels, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
XAU/USD | What's the general idea? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4H chart of Gold, it has experienced a massive drop in price from the ATH at 4550, to now being traded at 4315.
I expect Gold to bounce back up and I believe the general idea is still Bullish. However, there are a few potholes in the road which are the supply zone, vol imbalance and the bearish OB.
Current upwards targets are: 4330, 4357, 4403, 4477, 4550, 4575 and 4600.
Correction Completed — The Trend May Be ReloadingOANDA:XAUUSD has completed a sharp corrective leg after breaking down from the rising channel. The impulsive sell-off flushed price into the 4,265–4,280 demand zone, where buyers reacted and triggered a technical rebound. This move still fits a corrective structure (A–B–C) within a broader bullish context, not a full trend reversal.
Price is now stabilizing above short-term support, suggesting the market is transitioning from liquidation into reaccumulation.
Resistance: 4,380 – 4,410
Support: 4,265 – 4,300
Upside reference: 4,600 (next expansion target)
➡️ Primary: hold above 4,265 → higher low formation → recovery toward 4,410, then continuation toward 4,600.
⚠️ Risk: failure to hold 4,265 weakens the structure and delays upside continuation.
What's next for Legendary Silver?The algorithm is currently engineering a Macro Market Maker Sell Model to reprice towards the Discount Arrays and Sell Side Liquidity residing at 64.00. The present action within the 72.00 to 74.00 price level is a Distribution Phase into a Bearish Breaker designed to trap late longs before the primary liquidation leg begins.
Entry: 73.50 (126 points higher)
Stop loss: 77.20 (370 points from entry)
Take profit: 64.00 (950 points from entry)
Risk to reward ratio: 2.56R
The absolute truth at the center of this chart is that the parabolic expansion on the Monthly timeframe has reached a Terminal Velocity and is now undergoing a violent mean reversion.
You are witnessing the aftermath of a Blow Off Top where the algorithm delivered price into a deep Premium to induce maximum retail euphoria before slamming the door.
The massive rejection wick on the Monthly candle is not just volatility it is the footprint of Institutional Distribution.
The Smart Money has offloaded their long inventory into the buy stops of breakout traders above the 80.00 level.
The subsequent displacement lower on the Daily and 8 Hour charts has created a definitive Market Structure Shift to the downside confirming that the Order Flow has inverted.
The Draw on Liquidity is no longer the highs.
It is the vast chasm of inefficient price action left behind during the ascent.
The market is currently retracing into a Premium Array specifically the Bearish Breaker Block and Fair Value Gap region between 73.00 and 75.00.
This is the "Right Shoulder" of the reversal pattern or in ICT terms the Smart Money Reversal entry.
The entry logic is predicated on the algorithm's necessity to mitigate the inefficiency created by the rapid decline from the 84.00 highs.
Price is being drawn back up into the 73.50 region not to resume the trend but to rebalance the Premium and trap bulls who view this dip as a buying opportunity.
The "Weekly Bias Level" marked on your chart acts as the fulcrum.
The algorithm is holding price below this level to build a ceiling.
We are looking to short the failure at this ceiling.
The temporal window for this entry is the beginning of the new week or the New York session where the manipulation of the daily range typically occurs.
You are selling to the "Buy the Dip" crowd who are oblivious to the fact that the trend has changed.
The invalidation of this thesis is a decisive daily close above the 77.20 swing high.
If the algorithm displaces above this level it indicates that the current decline was merely a complex correction in a still valid bull market and price will likely attack the 84.00 highs again.
However the sheer magnitude of the monthly rejection makes this the low probability outcome.
The Primary Antithetical Chain would require a fundamental shift in the macro landscape that forces a panic bid for hard assets.
But technically the chart is screaming distribution.
The 8 Hour chart shows a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Until that structure is broken to the upside the path of least resistance is gravity.
Target 1: 68.00 | Type: Internal SSL / Daily Support | Probability: 85% | ETA: Short Term
Target 2: 64.00 | Type: Equilibrium / Volume Imbalance | Probability: 70% | ETA: Medium Term
Target 3: 58.00 | Type: Deep Discount / Order Block | Probability: 55% | ETA: Long Term
A 30% probability exists for the antithetical reality: a Consolidation at Highs.
In this scenario the market refuses to break down and instead chops between 70.00 and 80.00 for several months to digest the move.
This reality is confirmed if price reclaims 75.00 and holds it as support.
If this occurs the trade is scratched and we await a new expansion signal.
But for now the knife is falling.
Do not try to catch it.
Wait for the bounce to resistance and then push it down.
Unlock Fibonacci Retracement: Predict Pullbacks & TargetsFibonacci Retracement is a powerful tool based on mathematical ratios from the Fibonacci sequence. It helps identify potential support/resistance levels during price pullbacks in trends.
Key levels: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% (and extensions like 161.8%).
Draw from swing high to low (or low to high) – perfect for spotting entries in Forex, Crypto, and Stocks.
How Fibonacci Works (Quick Setup)
On TradingView: Use the Fib Retracement tool. Select recent high/low points. Levels auto-plot where price might bounce or reverse.
Key Strategies
1- Pullback Entries
Buy at 38.2% or 61.8% in uptrends; sell in downtrends.
2- Target Projections
Use extensions (100%, 161.8%) for take-profits beyond the swing.
3-Confluences
Combine with S&R, RSI, or MAs for stronger signals.
Real Examples Right Now (Jan 3, 2026)
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSDT :
Between 30 Dec 2022 and 20 Feb 2023 We saw a pullback from top to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
We also saw a hit to the 1st Fibonacci Extension level as a target on March 22, 2023.
Pro Tips
Use in trending markets; avoid choppy ranges.
Adjust for volatility: Shorter swings in Crypto, longer in Stocks.
Confirm with volume – strong moves break Fib levels.
Backtest on historical charts to master it!
Add Fib to your toolkit today and nail those pullbacks!
What's your best Fib win? Share in the comments! 👇
Silver is in the Bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
DVN - Devon Energy Corporation (Bullish TA Thesis for 2026)There are multiple confluences telling me that DVN could make a move up to $65 and possibly as high as $105-$129 levels. Very successful backtest of an 18 year trendline in which the stock broke out of in 2021. Elliott Wave counts also look very well structured to me with an ABC correction down to form a descending channel, which it is now breaking out of to start the month/year.
The 2 levels that must be breached to the upside in order to reach the potential targets are $42-$44 where there is some bearish order block activity as well as VPOC (Volume Point of Control).
All monthly oscillators have officially turned bullish, specifically Stoch RSI and B-Xtrender with fresh confirmed signals.
XAGUSD ON 2026Following our previous silver analysis — which reached its projected target sooner than expected — we now turn our attention to the potential trend of this attractive metal for 2026.
The bullish trend in silver may continue into the new year, possibly with slightly reduced momentum, but still intact. Over a 3 to 6-month horizon, a move toward the $100 level can be considered a realistic scenario.
Key and high-probability support zones for potential entries have been marked on the chart. However, it’s important to note that there is no guarantee price will revisit these levels, and they should only be considered in the event of a corrective move.
++++ Silver at $70 shows strong similarities to Bitcoin in late 2019.
Manage your silver positions carefully and make the most of the opportunity.
Silver - Just Like in the Books?The move we’re watching runs from early September 2022 to the end of 2025.
We completed three strong upward waves and finished around 84 .
But the main phase of the uptrend actually started in March 2020.
So far, we’ve drawn waves 1 , 2 , and 3 , and now we’re forming the 4th corrective wave.
Since things are moving fast, we won’t focus too much on direction — just the main ideas and key levels.
First scenario:
Wave 2 of the larger move looks like a zig-zag, so in this correction we expect to see a flat.
This means a return to around 84 (slightly above or below), then back down, and then the next main move starts. The sizes of waves 2 and 4 could be roughly equal, around 12 .
Also, wave 1 may be equal in size to wave 5 , which is around 18 .
Another point: since this is a commodity, wave 5 could be bigger than all the others and reach well above 90 .
This is clearly visible on the smaller timeframe.
Second scenario:
A deeper correction of wave 3 is possible.
Potential levels: 68 -> 62 -> 58 -> 50
Only after that, the price moves upward toward 90+ .
Summary:
We could rise to 90 or higher.
We could correct down to 50
We’ve marked the main directions and target levels.
It’s a bit complex, but this example is similar to classic textbook patterns.
The key point — you’re now prepared for different possible outcomes.
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BTCUSDT | Back on track?! (READ THE CAPTION)As it is seen on the 2h chart of BTCUSDT, Gold finally managed to break through the IFVG, going as high as 90,961 and sweeping the liquidity above that level. Currently, Bitcoin is being traded at 89,874 and is testing the high of the IFVG. Should it go through, these are the targets for BTCUSDT: 90,150, 90,550, 90950 and 91350.
Gold/Silver Ratio AnalysisSince 2007, the Gold/Silver ratio has been moving in certain patterns. Although the ratio generally tends to rise, we can see significant volatile deviations from time to time. These deviations present us with good opportunities. We are currently experiencing one of these opportunities.
The overall uptrend in the chart means that gold has generally outperformed silver. The sharp increases in 2008 and 2020 also point to periods when gold significantly outperformed silver.
In 2010, the second half of 2020 and the period we are currently experiencing, silver has significantly outperformed gold, causing the chart to fall.
But there is a common point in both periods. After every period of extreme volatility, the Gold/Silver ratio tends to converge towards the average. This will likely be no different now. So what does this indicate?
As we all know, silver has gained significant momentum, pushing the Gold/Silver ratio up to 60. While there's a possibility the ratio could fall back to 50 in the coming months with continued momentum, a Hodrick Prescott filter shows a significant negative deviation from the normal average. This means that the time for convergence with the average is slowly approaching. So how will this convergence scenario unfold? In two ways:
1. Either silver won't experience a decline, but gold will rise significantly with buying pressure and momentum.
2. Or, while gold remains stable or continues its uptrend slightly, silver will fall significantly.
I particularly think the scenario where silver falls due to profit-taking (and it's pretty overbought) more likely. During this period, gold may continue its gradual rise, which could bring the Gold/Silver ratio back into an overall trend free from volatility.
Bullish potential detected for KLREntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:KLR along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI, and
(ii) observing market reaction around the $0.19 resistance area from 21st November.
Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the potentially rising 30 day MA (currently $0.161), or
(ii) below the recent swing low of $0.15 of 29th December, or
(iii) below the ultimate swing low of $0.125 of 15th December.
Light the fires...maybeIts starting to look what could be described as a bullish set up. Will keep a keen eye to see if price bounces of the 50ema and continues within the upward channel. Will look for a good entry price on the 2 hour charts if conditions are met on the daily. Not financial advise, so its not.
Next week outlookSo, if we can hold our higher high today and into Sunday, bulls will be back in control. My prediction is we gun straight toward $4.2 starting next session and we hit that target around Tuesday night. This is all resting on 4hr turning positive on Sundays night session. There is still a chance for collapse of the 4hr and we head down to retest prior low. If we break prior low all this is out the window and bulls have lost their chance for now. Entering now is high risk, so for low risk traders wait for the 4 hour positive cross confirmation.
GBP/USD | Going back up? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4h chart of GBPUSD, it went through the NWOG only to be stopped in the supply zone, consolidating there for a while and finally a drop in price. Cable dropped all the way to 1.34016, hitting the low of the FVG and then bouncing back up, going through the NWOG once again but it dropped again and it is now being traded in the NWOG zone at 1.34560.
If GBPUSD continues to fall, I expect a reaction to the high of the FVG.
For the time being, the upwards targets for the GBPUSD are: 1.34690, 1.34910 and 1.35130.
Silver Analysis (XAG/USD)CAPITALCOM:SILVER
Chart Structure
From December 6 to 26, the price followed a strong uptrend.
On December 27, silver peaked near $84 and then corrected sharply.
A strong support zone around $70 formed after the drop.
The current price is $74.53, and a recovery appears to be forming with bullish candles.
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Level | Price
Resistance 1 | ~$76.5
Resistance 2 | ~$80
Support 1 | ~$72
Support 2 | ~$70 (major)
Patterns & Price Behavior:
Higher Lows are forming → indicating bullish structure.
A V-shape recovery pattern is visible → suggesting a strong rebound.
Buyers are stepping in aggressively after the pullback.
Fundamental Analysis
Factor | Status | Impact on Price
Global Inflation | Still elevated | Bullish for silver
Fed Interest Rate Outlook | Expected cuts in early 2026 | Bullish for silver
Geopolitical Tensions | Ongoing risks in ME/EU | Increases safe haven demand
Industrial Demand for Silver | Stable or increasing | Supports price
China’s Economic Recovery | Gradually improving | Boosts industrial demand
Conclusion: The fundamental outlook supports bullish continuation for silver.
Momentum Analysis
Strong bullish momentum after bouncing off the $70 support.
Recent candles show high volume and strong green bodies, signaling fresh buying interest.
If momentum holds, resistance at $76.5 could be tested and potentially broken.
XAG/USD Price Forecast
Timeframe | Expected Move
Short-Term | Likely move to $76.5–$78
Medium-Term | If resistance breaks, $80–$82 target
Long-Term (Weeks) | $88–$92 possible with strong fundamentals
Warning:Any losses are entirely your own responsibility. This is solely an analysis and **not** a recommendation to buy or sell.






















