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GOLD is rising as instability has become a realityAt the start of the week's trading session, the market was no longer "anticipating risk." The risk had materialized. On Monday morning, the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD surged in the Asian session, surpassing the $4,400/ounce mark, at one point reaching $4,421.53, an increase of nearly $90 in just a few hours. Silver rose nearly 4%. This was not a purely technical reaction, but rather a safe-haven flow of money reacting to a real geopolitical shock. Early Saturday morning, the U.S. military launched an operation in Caracas, arresting Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and taking him to New York to face criminal charges related to drugs. At the same time, Washington announced it would take control of Venezuela's oil industry, at least during a "transitional" period. Here's the crucial point: the market didn't react to Trump's words, but to the action that had been taken. Personal perspective! Gold is reflecting a less stable world. The arrest of a sitting head of state, control over another nation's oil industry, and signals of a willingness to expand military intervention have pushed geopolitical risk to a whole new level. In this context, gold doesn't need more reason to rise; it just needs prolonged uncertainty. This rally is a reassessment of systemic risk, not speculative euphoria. If tensions remain "open," precious metals are likely to retain their role as the ultimate store of value, despite short-term volatility. In other words: Gold isn't rising because the world is getting better, but because the world is more unpredictable than ever. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4468 - 4466⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4472 →Take Profit 1 4460 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4454
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
XAUUSD Price Forecast: US Venezuela Tensions Test $4,500Market Overview - Gold (XAU/USD) opened the week with strong upside momentum, briefly pushing above the $4,400 handle during the early European session. However, that initial advance stalled relatively quickly. The primary driver behind the early strength was not technical in nature, but rather a renewed surge in geopolitical risk. Developments in Latin America, particularly the U.S.-led military action in Venezuela and the arrest of President Nicolás Maduro, have significantly increased global risk sensitivity. Additional rhetoric suggesting that Colombia and Mexico could face similar pressure has further unsettled markets. - Beyond Latin America, unresolved conflicts in Ukraine, persistent instability involving Iran, and ongoing tensions in Gaza continue to reinforce a fragile global backdrop. In this environment, capital preservation has become a priority. Investors are rotating into traditional safe-haven assets, and gold remains one of the primary beneficiaries of this risk-off positioning. Strong U.S. Dollar Fails to Suppress Gold Demand - Despite the broader risk-off tone supporting the U.S. dollar, gold has proven resilient. Normally, a stronger dollar would act as a headwind for bullion, but current market conditions suggest that safe-haven demand is strong enough to offset currency pressure. This divergence highlights how elevated geopolitical uncertainty is currently overriding conventional correlations. - Looking ahead, U.S. macroeconomic data will be a key driver. Inflation-related releases throughout the week, followed by Friday’s U.S. employment report, are critical inputs for Federal Reserve expectations. Any signs of labor market softening could reinforce expectations for additional rate cuts, which would further support gold by reducing real yield pressure. Short-Term Forecast In the near term, gold is likely to remain range-bound as the market digests both geopolitical headlines and upcoming economic data. A consolidation range between $4,410 and $4,450 appears reasonable over the next few sessions. As long as safe-haven demand remains intact, upside pressure persists, and a clean break above the $4,500 level cannot be ruled out. Technical Structure and Key Levels - From a technical standpoint, gold is currently trading near $4,421 after rebounding from the recent sharp pullback off the $4,550 high. Price has successfully reclaimed the $4,412 Fibonacci retracement level, and short-term EMA closes above this zone suggest improving near-term structure. Importantly, the broader uptrend that has been in place since December remains intact. - Imediate resistance is located near $4,445, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, followed by a higher resistance zone around $4,498. Recent price action has produced a sequence of higher lows, signaling renewed dip-buying interest and improving market confidence. - Momentum indicators support this view. The RSI has recovered toward the 50 level, indicating stabilization and early momentum recovery rather than overextension. From a tactical trading perspective, pullbacks toward the $4,410 area remain attractive, with upside targets toward $4,500, while a protective stop below $4,340 helps manage downside risk if the recovery fails.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Can the Venezuela Crisis Spark the Next Rally?Gold (XAUUSD) Price Outlook: Can the Venezuela Crisis Spark the Next Rally? 1. Market Context: Margin Hike Drives Forced Selling, Not Structural Weakness Gold closed last week with a sharp downside move, but the decline was driven primarily by a technical and mechanical factor rather than a deterioration in fundamentals. The increase in futures margin requirements forced leveraged traders to liquidate positions, triggering a cascade of sell orders. This type of margin-driven selloff typically exaggerates price moves and does not, by itself, signal a change in the broader trend. Despite the magnitude of the drop, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. 2. Trader Behavior Shift: From Momentum Chasing to Selective Positioning For several months, traders aggressively chased upside momentum, consistently lifting offers as price moved higher. The margin hike has altered that behavior. With higher capital requirements, participants are now more selective, focusing on value zones and confirmation rather than momentum alone. Until upside momentum re-emerges, gold is likely to trade with more caution and tactical positioning rather than impulsive trend extension. 3. Weekly Close Snapshot: Sharp Loss, Trend Still Preserved XAUUSD settled last week at $4,332.06, down $201.14 (-4.44%). While the weekly decline was significant, it did not violate the core structure of the uptrend. From a professional trading perspective, this type of correction is consistent with position rebalancing rather than trend failure, especially after an extended rally. 4. Primary Technical Structure: Defining Bullish and Bearish Boundaries From a technical standpoint, the main trend remains bullish. A sustained break above $4,550 would confirm trend continuation and signal renewed upside expansion. Conversely, the trend would only shift decisively bearish if price breaks below $3,886 on a weekly closing basis. Until one of these levels is resolved, gold remains structurally bullish within a corrective phase. 5. Key Decision Zone: $4,218–$4,139 Sets the Near-Term Tone The most critical area in the current structure lies between $4,218 and $4,139, a key retracement zone. Price reaction here will determine the next directional move. Strong buying interest on the first test would suggest the formation of a secondary higher low, reinforcing bullish continuation toward the record high near $4,550. Failure to hold $4,139, however, would signal weakness and increase the probability of a deeper corrective leg toward $3,886. 6. Long-Term Value Area: Where Institutional Buyers May Step In For longer-term positioning, the weekly chart highlights a high-confluence support cluster between $3,545 and $3,472. This zone aligns with the 50% retracement of the rally from the November 2024 low at $2,537, as well as the 52-week moving average near $3,472. As long as this moving average holds, the broader market regime remains firmly in “buy-the-dip” mode rather than a trend reversal environment. 7. Geopolitical Catalyst: Venezuela Crisis Adds Risk Premium Fundamentally, gold has received a fresh tailwind from rising geopolitical uncertainty. Developments in Venezuela escalated after the U.S. launched a military strike and detained President Nicolás Maduro on criminal charges. President Donald Trump’s statement that the U.S. would oversee Venezuela during a transition period has added further uncertainty. Any escalation or instability tied to this situation has the potential to reintroduce a geopolitical risk premium into gold prices. 8. Macro Focus: U.S. Jobs Data and Fed Policy Expectations Attention now turns to the upcoming December U.S. jobs report, which will be closely monitored by both traders and policymakers. Federal Reserve officials have emphasized that labor market conditions will play a key role in shaping the rate-cut path into 2026. Recent policy minutes revealed internal divisions, with labor data and inflation as the primary points of disagreement. A weaker employment print could strengthen expectations for additional rate cuts, indirectly supporting gold. 9. Week Ahead Outlook: Volatility Before Clarity In the near term, gold is likely to experience heightened volatility as markets react to developments in Venezuela. Bias may remain cautiously to the upside as long as geopolitical uncertainty persists. However, the more decisive macro-driven move may not materialize until after the jobs data is fully absorbed. For now, gold sits at a critical junction—supported by long-term structure, constrained by near-term resistance, and highly sensitive to geopolitical and macroeconomic headlines.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
Gold’s Bounce Looks Strong — But Is This a Trap Before the Next Gold has staged a sharp rebound from the 4,300–4,310 support zone, forming a sequence of higher lows (HL) after a prior impulsive sell-off. This confirms that short-term selling pressure has eased and buyers are actively defending the lower boundary of the range. However, despite the strong bullish candles, the broader structure remains corrective, not impulsive. Price is still trading below the key resistance band at 4,465–4,476, which previously acted as a major supply zone. Until this area is reclaimed and accepted, upside moves should be treated as retracements within a larger consolidation, not trend continuation. The current rally has stalled near 4,440–4,445, a minor internal resistance where price previously broke down. The projected path on the chart highlights a likely pullback scenario, with price potentially rotating lower to fill the highlighted inefficiency / GAP zone around 4,340–4,360. This zone aligns well with short-term mean reversion and prior liquidity imbalance. Key technical scenarios: - Bullish continuation (lower probability for now): A clean break and hold above 4,476 would invalidate the corrective structure and reopen upside toward 4,520 → 4,550 (ATH area). - Base-case scenario: Rejection below resistance leads to a pullback toward the GAP zone, followed by range trading. - Bearish risk: Loss of 4,300 support would expose deeper downside and confirm the rally as a corrective bounce only. Macro Drivers Impacting Gold From a macro perspective, gold remains highly sensitive to global risk and liquidity conditions: - Geopolitical risk / War premium: Ongoing geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Eastern Europe) continue to provide structural support for gold. Any escalation tends to trigger safe-haven flows, limiting downside but not necessarily driving immediate breakouts unless risk sharply deteriorates. - PMI & growth data: Recent soft PMI readings in major economies signal slowing growth momentum. Weak manufacturing and services data typically support gold through lower real yield expectations, but this effect is gradual rather than explosive. - Monetary policy & USD dynamics: Expectations around the Federal Reserve remain the dominant driver. As long as rates stay restrictive and the USD remains firm, gold upside is capped near resistance. Clear dovish shifts or falling real yields would be required for a sustained breakout. - Risk-on vs risk-off balance: Current market conditions suggest mixed sentiment — enough uncertainty to support gold on dips, but not enough stress to trigger a clean trend breakout. Summary Gold is technically recovering, but strategically still range-bound. The rebound from support is valid, yet price is approaching a high-risk resistance zone where rejection remains likely unless macro conditions decisively shift. Until gold reclaims and holds above 4,476, the higher-probability outcome is consolidation with pullbacks, not a straight-line move to new highs. Traders should remain disciplined and responsive to both price behavior at resistance and incoming macro catalysts.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Gold’s Next Move Depends on PMIOn the H1 timeframe, the key focus is the clean reclaim and hold above the 4,390–4,405 support zone, which is now acting as the market’s “base” after the recent swing low. Price has already pushed back above the EMA34/EMA89 cluster, and the fact that candles are stabilizing above this green band suggests the move is recovery + acceptance, not a random bounce. Technically, the structure is constructive as long as gold holds this reclaimed support. The chart shows a clear step-by-step pathway: a controlled pullback into support, followed by continuation into the marked targets. The first real test remains the 4,430–4,460 supply area (Resistance zone). If price accepts above that zone (not just a wick), upside targets become well-defined and mechanically consistent with prior swing levels. Support zone (must hold): 4,390–4,405 This is the pivot. A successful retest here keeps the bullish continuation scenario valid. Resistance zone /decision area: ~4,430–4,460 This is where breakouts often fail first. Acceptance above is required for continuation. Targets: Target 1: 4,459.703 Target 2: 4,499.067 Target 3: 4,524.117 Old ATH region: ~4,549.465 How the structure reads - The market is currently in a recovery leg with price holding above a reclaimed support shelf. - As long as pullbacks remain corrective and buyers defend 4,390–4,405, the path of least resistance stays up toward Target 1, then a retest, then continuation toward Target 2 / Target 3. PMI is one of the cleanest short-term drivers for USD + yields, which directly impacts gold. - The US ISM Manufacturing PMI printed 48.2 (below 50 = contraction), reinforcing “growth cooling” and typically supporting gold through softer yields / softer USD when markets price easier policy expectations. - The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI has also been signaling expansion but with recent moderation (December data described as slower improvement / lower reading vs prior month depending on release), which keeps markets sensitive to “surprise risk” in the next PMI prints. - Europe remains in contraction (Eurozone manufacturing PMI 48.8), which can add a risk-off undertone at times another background tailwind for gold if USD strength does not dominate. Practical implication for this chart: Weaker-than-expected PMI → higher probability gold holds 4,390–4,405 and breaks into Target 1 /Target 2. Stronger-than-expected PMI → higher probability of a rejection from the resistance zone and a deeper retest of the support band before continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
XAUUSD Gold Trade Plan | Institutional Levels / Weekly Open etcGold XAUUSD has broken out bullish — but the real opportunity is at a key institutional level. Here’s my trade plan for XAUUSD using the weekly open and volume profile. In this video, I’m breaking down XAUUSD (Gold). On the 4-hour timeframe, we can clearly see that gold has broken out bullish, shifting short-term market structure to the upside. Rather than chasing price, I’m focusing on where institutions are most active. 🔍 Key Levels • I’m using the weekly open combined with the volume profile • The weekly open is aligning with the Point of Control (POC) • This makes it a high-probability institutional level, not a random support or resistance 📊 Trade Logic • As long as price holds above the Point of Control, I’ll be looking for buy opportunities • If price drops below the POC, that would signal a liquidity run • In that scenario, I’ll wait patiently for price to reclaim the POC bullish before considering longs again This approach helps filter out low-quality trades and keeps you aligned with smart money flow, not retail noise. 🧠 The Point of Control is crucial because it represents fair value where the most volume has traded. How price reacts around this level often determines the next directional move. ⚠️ Risk Management Reminder Always manage your risk. Use proper position sizing, define your invalidation level clearly, and never risk more than you’re comfortable losing on a single trade. ❗ Disclaimer This content is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal market analysis.
Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
1
XAGUSD: pressure on $70 support🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour (H4) timeframe, Silver (XAGUSD) is showing a structural shift toward a corrective phase. Despite the broader uptrend, the price is currently exerting "pressure on the support in the 70 area". While the long-term trend remains bullish, the "moderate influence of geopolitical events on metals" is currently favoring a pullback. For a "more reliable sell," the strategy recommends waiting for a confirmed breakdown of the 70.00 support zone, which would signal a move toward deeper liquidity levels. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: Current market price ($75.498) or on a break of 70.00 🎯 Take Profit: 64.681 (Support) 🔴 Stop Loss: 79.483 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
TICKMILL:XAGUSDShort
by Trade8Eight
1
Gold Is Not Done — H1 Structure Favors ContinuationHello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the short-term hesitation, but the fact that gold has successfully transitioned from a corrective phase into a recovery structure and is now reacting constructively below resistance. After the sharp sell-off earlier in the session, price found strong demand inside the 4,280–4,300 support zone, where selling pressure was fully absorbed. The impulsive rejection from this area marked a clear structural low, followed by a steady sequence of higher lows. This confirms that the downside move has already completed and that the market is now in a rebuilding phase. From a structural perspective, gold has reclaimed multiple intraday levels and is currently trading above the 4,350–4,360 area, which previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into short-term support, indicating acceptance at higher prices. The current pause just below the 4,400–4,405 resistance zone is therefore a reaction point, not a sign of weakness. The projected paths drawn on the chart reflect realistic scenarios rather than predictions: - A shallow pullback toward the 4,350–4,370 region to retest demand, followed by continuation higher. - If momentum persists, acceptance above 4,405 would open the door for a push toward 4,450–4,480, and potentially higher toward the upper resistance cluster. - Only a clean breakdown back below 4,330 would invalidate the bullish continuation structure and shift the market back into range behavior. Importantly, price action remains orderly, with no impulsive selling and no expansion to the downside. This tells us that current consolidation is part of a trend continuation process, not distribution. As long as gold holds above the reclaimed support levels, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
3
USD/JPY | Higher and higher! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the hourly chart of USDJPY, the week started for it by opening in the FVG, at 156.756 level. However, it went on to make it out of the FVG once more and broke through the supply zone, going as high as 157.300 and inside the FVG, before dropping back to the supply zone and hitting the low of it and then going up higher and it's now being traded at 157.070 and barely out of the supply zone. I expect USDJPY to retest the FVG soon. Targets: 157.120, 157.210, 157.300 and 157.390
by AmirAliTrading
1
BTCUSD: potential $100K push🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour (H4) timeframe, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has shown a strong recovery following its November lows. The price is currently testing a significant horizontal Resistance zone between $92,000 and $94,406. As explicitly noted on the chart, a sustainable uptrend depends on one condition: "Price must consolidate in the resistance area of 92,000" before a high-probability buy can be considered. This consolidation would signal that buyers have successfully absorbed the overhead supply. Currently, the price is trading above the SMA 50, SMA 100, and SMA 200, which now serve as a solid support cluster below the current market price. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: Confirmation of consolidation/breakout above $94,406 🎯 Take Profit: $104,590.40 (Resistance) 🔴 Stop Loss: $87,617.05 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Trade8Eight
GBP/USD | GBP going higher? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the 4H chart of GBPUSD we can see that after starting the week at 1.34546, GBP went down and hit the high of the FVG at 1.34244 level, after which it started to go back up and now is being traded at 1.34340. GBPUSD soon will have to go test a big and old NWOG at 1.34400-1.34788 zone, which has this week's NWOG in itself as well at 1.34546-1.34602 zone. For the time being, we should wait and see how GBPUSD reacts to the old NWOG. Targets: 1.34400, 1.34490, 1.34580 and 1.34670
by AmirAliTrading
1
GOLD - The battle for 4400. Will the growth continue?FX:XAUUSD starts the week of 2026 with a rise of more than 1.5%, staying above $4,400 amid escalating geopolitical tensions in Latin America Geopolitical crisis: US-Venezuela, Donald Trump threatened new military intervention if the interim government does not comply with Washington's demands. Expanding risks: Trump hinted at Colombia and Mexico. The situation between Russia and Ukraine remains tense. Against this backdrop, investors are actively shifting funds into defensive instruments, including gold and the US dollar Important US labor market data is expected this week, which could add to volatility. Venezuela has set up a commission to free Maduro, indicating a further escalation of the conflict. Gold remains a priority for investors amid unprecedented geopolitical uncertainty. Short-term corrections are possible, but the overall uptrend is likely to continue, especially if the conflict in Latin America escalates Resistance levels: 4440, 4470, 4519 Support levels: 4400, 4373 If the bulls keep gold above 4410-4400, then in the short and medium term, gold will be able to continue to grow despite the fact that the daily ATR has already been exhausted. Local and global trends are bullish... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
XAUUSD - Macro Tailwinds Align with a Technically Intact UptrendHello everyone, Camila here! From a fundamental perspective, gold continues to receive clear support from macroeconomic factors. Expectations that the Fed will maintain a dovish stance throughout 2026 are keeping downward pressure on U.S. Treasury yields. As yields cool, the opportunity cost of holding gold declines, allowing capital to rotate back into the precious metal. In addition, ongoing geopolitical risks and unresolved global economic uncertainties mean that gold remains a preferred defensive asset. From a technical standpoint, I see no signs of a trend reversal at this stage. On the H4 timeframe, the bullish structure remains firmly intact, with a clear sequence of higher lows. The ascending trendline extending from November to the present continues to be respected, indicating that buying pressure still dominates the medium-term market direction. The 4.28x–4.30x price zone plays a critical role in the overall structure. This area previously acted as strong resistance and has now successfully flipped into support after being broken. Repeated price reactions and rebounds from this zone suggest that the market is accepting a higher price base, rather than entering a distribution phase. Following the sharp correction from the recent peak, price behavior indicates that selling pressure has lost momentum. Instead of extending lower, price has begun to consolidate and form a structure resembling an inverse Head & Shoulders. The right shoulder remains relatively tight, signaling weakening bearish pressure and active supply absorption. This phase often represents a “pause” before the primary trend resumes. My preferred short-term scenario is a modest break above the upper resistance, followed by a pullback to retest the newly broken area. If the underlying support continues to hold, this retracement should remain purely technical. In that case, gold would have a solid foundation to extend its advance toward the 4.49x region in the coming sessions. Wishing you successful trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Camila_Roja
2
Gold Surges as Bullish Outlook StrengthensHello everyone, what’s your take on gold prices today? At the start of the new trading week, gold jumped to 4,420 USD, posting a gain of more than 90 USD after the United States concluded its military operations in Venezuela. According to the Kitco News Annual Gold Survey, the majority of investors expect the precious metal to set new record highs above 5,000 USD in 2026, while only one in ten foresee prices falling below 4,000 USD. More specifically, survey breakdown (475 retail investors): 29% (138 investors): Above 6,000 USD in 2026 42% (197 investors): 5,000–6,000 USD 19% (92 investors): 4,000–5,000 USD 10% (49 investors): 3,000–4,000 USD In the short term, gold has successfully broken above the 4,400 USD level. If conditions remain favorable, 4,550 USD stands out as the next upside target and represents the path of least resistance. From my personal perspective, I remain bullish on gold—what about you?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
3
EURUSD | Where will it go? (READ THE CAPTION)Good morning, it is a good morning. Amirali here, with an analysis on 2H chart of EURUSD. As you can see, the week started with a new NWOG (New Week Opening Gap) at 1.17196-1.17239 zone. Then it dropped to the high of the FVG at 1.16738 before making an upwards move and it is now being traded at 1.16910 level. Considering that it has tswept 2 SellSide Liquidity pools, I expect EUR to go up and test an old NWOG at 1.17095-1.17196 zone (Pay attention last week's close was on 1.17196 as well), then going for this week's NWOG.
by AmirAliTrading
1
Will Gold Reach Its Previous ATH?Gold and silver posted strong gains in Asian trading on Monday, driven by a combination of key factors: Increasing geopolitical risk Expectations of easier monetary policy in the US Structural demand from central banks. Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. A move to either of these levels would open up a trading opportunity in the same direction. The US intervention in Venezuela and Trump’s increasingly hawkish tone towards Colombia and Mexico have raised concerns about regional instability and sparked a new wave of safe-haven buying. At the same time, slowing inflation and signs of weakness in the US labor market have kept real yields low, a factor that usually favors gold and silver. Central banks are also buying gold, and the move away from the dollar has strengthened gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. In addition to its safe-haven role, silver is also benefiting from the prospect of industrial demand in areas such as solar power and power generation. The combination of these factors has led markets to move more confidently into the precious metal, analysts say, both to hedge risk and to play on easier financial conditions in the year ahead. “While all eyes are on oil, Venezuela currently holds 161 tons of physical gold reserves. That’s equivalent to about 5.18 million troy ounces, which at $4,300 an ounce is worth nearly $22 billion. That makes Venezuela the largest holder of physical gold reserves in Latin America.”
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
GOLD: The "Reconstruction" Supercycle (Cup & Handle Breakout)The headlines are focused on the "Oil" aspect of the US-Venezuela news. They are missing the bigger picture. Rebuilding a nation requires massive capital expenditure. Whether it's printed or borrowed, it adds liquidity to the system. The Thesis: The "Silent Takeover" Phase 2 As we discussed in my previous idea ( Gold: The Silent Takeover) , Smart Money has been rotating out of fiat/tech and into Hard Assets for months. The "Venezuela Reconstruction" is just the latest catalyst in a broader Capital Rotation Supercycle. 1. THE STRUCTURE: Textbook Continuation 📉 I marked up the Daily Chart (attached) to show the pure geometry of this move. The Pattern: We have formed a massive Cup & Handle continuation pattern (the purple curve). This is one of the most reliable bullish structures in technical analysis. The Breakout: Price has broken above the key $4,380 Resistance (Red Line) and is now holding it as support. The Channel: We are strictly respecting the Blue Ascending Channel. As long as we stay inside this blue zone, the trend is mathematically up. 2. THE CATALYST: Inflationary Geopolitics 🌍 Why is Gold pushing ATHs while the Dollar is strong? Because the market is pricing in the cost of the US intervention in Venezuela. Reconstruction = Spending: The US administration has pledged to "invest billions" to rebuild Venezuela's energy grid. The Hedge: Institutional capital uses Gold to hedge against the currency debasement required to fund these geopolitical moves. 3. THE TARGET: The "TP" Zone 🎯 The technical measured move of this Cup & Handle aligns perfectly with the "TP" circle marked on the chart. If this channel holds, we are looking at a structural target in the $4,800 - $5,000 region as the Supercycle accelerates. 👇 The "Hard Asset" Rotation List: If this Supercycle is real, it's not just Gold. Check my previous analysis on Silver (The 1980 Curse Broken) to see how the whole sector is moving together. TVC:GOLD , TVC:SILVER , CAPITALCOM:COPPER
TVC:GOLDLong
by Algoat_Alpha
Gold Forecast Standing on premium ResistanceDisclaimer: Not A Financial Advice At All. What we present here a case study for you to experience real time You never ever ignore this Resistance or supports The Levels i just mark is very calculated and precise if you ignore this you will absolutely cooked . if you want be a good trader you have to appreciate my Efforts to teach you something that you not aware of before . This type precision is only come after hell of the hard work and effort .
FX:XAUUSDShort
by NumanAhmadShah
XAUUSD – Geopolitical Rally, Market Near Trend ConfirmationHello everyone, this is Domic. During the Asian session, gold rebounded sharply from the 4.33x area to above 4.39x, signaling a clear return of defensive flows after news that the US launched a military operation in Venezuela and detained President Maduro. Although the military action itself has concluded, Washington’s announcement of a temporary takeover to stabilize the country and oversee oil production has kept geopolitical uncertainty in Latin America elevated. In this context, gold continues to be favored as a safe haven rather than higher-risk assets. Another notable factor is crude oil pulling back toward the 57 USD/barrel area. This suggests the market is viewing the Venezuela situation primarily through a geopolitical risk lens rather than as an immediate threat to energy supply. Rising uncertainty without a corresponding spike in oil-driven inflation expectations creates a more supportive short-term backdrop for gold. On the H4 timeframe, technical signals are turning more constructive. Price remains above the slower EMA and has reclaimed the faster EMA after the year-end pullback. In hindsight, the decline from the 4.55x area down to 4.28x appears corrective rather than distributive. The strong reaction from the demand zone and the ability to sustain the rebound indicate that buyers have regained short-term control, placing the market in a phase where the uptrend is being confirmed rather than challenged. Wishing you all effective and successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DomicChaina
6