BTCUSDT | Back on track?! (READ THE CAPTION)As it is seen on the 2h chart of BTCUSDT, Gold finally managed to break through the IFVG, going as high as 90,961 and sweeping the liquidity above that level. Currently, Bitcoin is being traded at 89,874 and is testing the high of the IFVG. Should it go through, these are the targets for BTCUSDT: 90,150, 90,550, 90950 and 91350.
Commodities
What's next for Legendary Silver?The algorithm is currently engineering a Macro Market Maker Sell Model to reprice towards the Discount Arrays and Sell Side Liquidity residing at 64.00. The present action within the 72.00 to 74.00 price level is a Distribution Phase into a Bearish Breaker designed to trap late longs before the primary liquidation leg begins.
Entry: 73.50 (126 points higher)
Stop loss: 77.20 (370 points from entry)
Take profit: 64.00 (950 points from entry)
Risk to reward ratio: 2.56R
The absolute truth at the center of this chart is that the parabolic expansion on the Monthly timeframe has reached a Terminal Velocity and is now undergoing a violent mean reversion.
You are witnessing the aftermath of a Blow Off Top where the algorithm delivered price into a deep Premium to induce maximum retail euphoria before slamming the door.
The massive rejection wick on the Monthly candle is not just volatility it is the footprint of Institutional Distribution.
The Smart Money has offloaded their long inventory into the buy stops of breakout traders above the 80.00 level.
The subsequent displacement lower on the Daily and 8 Hour charts has created a definitive Market Structure Shift to the downside confirming that the Order Flow has inverted.
The Draw on Liquidity is no longer the highs.
It is the vast chasm of inefficient price action left behind during the ascent.
The market is currently retracing into a Premium Array specifically the Bearish Breaker Block and Fair Value Gap region between 73.00 and 75.00.
This is the "Right Shoulder" of the reversal pattern or in ICT terms the Smart Money Reversal entry.
The entry logic is predicated on the algorithm's necessity to mitigate the inefficiency created by the rapid decline from the 84.00 highs.
Price is being drawn back up into the 73.50 region not to resume the trend but to rebalance the Premium and trap bulls who view this dip as a buying opportunity.
The "Weekly Bias Level" marked on your chart acts as the fulcrum.
The algorithm is holding price below this level to build a ceiling.
We are looking to short the failure at this ceiling.
The temporal window for this entry is the beginning of the new week or the New York session where the manipulation of the daily range typically occurs.
You are selling to the "Buy the Dip" crowd who are oblivious to the fact that the trend has changed.
The invalidation of this thesis is a decisive daily close above the 77.20 swing high.
If the algorithm displaces above this level it indicates that the current decline was merely a complex correction in a still valid bull market and price will likely attack the 84.00 highs again.
However the sheer magnitude of the monthly rejection makes this the low probability outcome.
The Primary Antithetical Chain would require a fundamental shift in the macro landscape that forces a panic bid for hard assets.
But technically the chart is screaming distribution.
The 8 Hour chart shows a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Until that structure is broken to the upside the path of least resistance is gravity.
Target 1: 68.00 | Type: Internal SSL / Daily Support | Probability: 85% | ETA: Short Term
Target 2: 64.00 | Type: Equilibrium / Volume Imbalance | Probability: 70% | ETA: Medium Term
Target 3: 58.00 | Type: Deep Discount / Order Block | Probability: 55% | ETA: Long Term
A 30% probability exists for the antithetical reality: a Consolidation at Highs.
In this scenario the market refuses to break down and instead chops between 70.00 and 80.00 for several months to digest the move.
This reality is confirmed if price reclaims 75.00 and holds it as support.
If this occurs the trade is scratched and we await a new expansion signal.
But for now the knife is falling.
Do not try to catch it.
Wait for the bounce to resistance and then push it down.
DVN - Devon Energy Corporation (Bullish TA Thesis for 2026)There are multiple confluences telling me that DVN could make a move up to $65 and possibly as high as $105-$129 levels. Very successful backtest of an 18 year trendline in which the stock broke out of in 2021. Elliott Wave counts also look very well structured to me with an ABC correction down to form a descending channel, which it is now breaking out of to start the month/year.
The 2 levels that must be breached to the upside in order to reach the potential targets are $42-$44 where there is some bearish order block activity as well as VPOC (Volume Point of Control).
All monthly oscillators have officially turned bullish, specifically Stoch RSI and B-Xtrender with fresh confirmed signals.
Silver - Just Like in the Books?The move we’re watching runs from early September 2022 to the end of 2025.
We completed three strong upward waves and finished around 84 .
But the main phase of the uptrend actually started in March 2020.
So far, we’ve drawn waves 1 , 2 , and 3 , and now we’re forming the 4th corrective wave.
Since things are moving fast, we won’t focus too much on direction — just the main ideas and key levels.
First scenario:
Wave 2 of the larger move looks like a zig-zag, so in this correction we expect to see a flat.
This means a return to around 84 (slightly above or below), then back down, and then the next main move starts. The sizes of waves 2 and 4 could be roughly equal, around 12 .
Also, wave 1 may be equal in size to wave 5 , which is around 18 .
Another point: since this is a commodity, wave 5 could be bigger than all the others and reach well above 90 .
This is clearly visible on the smaller timeframe.
Second scenario:
A deeper correction of wave 3 is possible.
Potential levels: 68 -> 62 -> 58 -> 50
Only after that, the price moves upward toward 90+ .
Summary:
We could rise to 90 or higher.
We could correct down to 50
We’ve marked the main directions and target levels.
It’s a bit complex, but this example is similar to classic textbook patterns.
The key point — you’re now prepared for different possible outcomes.
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Gold/Silver Ratio AnalysisSince 2007, the Gold/Silver ratio has been moving in certain patterns. Although the ratio generally tends to rise, we can see significant volatile deviations from time to time. These deviations present us with good opportunities. We are currently experiencing one of these opportunities.
The overall uptrend in the chart means that gold has generally outperformed silver. The sharp increases in 2008 and 2020 also point to periods when gold significantly outperformed silver.
In 2010, the second half of 2020 and the period we are currently experiencing, silver has significantly outperformed gold, causing the chart to fall.
But there is a common point in both periods. After every period of extreme volatility, the Gold/Silver ratio tends to converge towards the average. This will likely be no different now. So what does this indicate?
As we all know, silver has gained significant momentum, pushing the Gold/Silver ratio up to 60. While there's a possibility the ratio could fall back to 50 in the coming months with continued momentum, a Hodrick Prescott filter shows a significant negative deviation from the normal average. This means that the time for convergence with the average is slowly approaching. So how will this convergence scenario unfold? In two ways:
1. Either silver won't experience a decline, but gold will rise significantly with buying pressure and momentum.
2. Or, while gold remains stable or continues its uptrend slightly, silver will fall significantly.
I particularly think the scenario where silver falls due to profit-taking (and it's pretty overbought) more likely. During this period, gold may continue its gradual rise, which could bring the Gold/Silver ratio back into an overall trend free from volatility.
Bullish potential detected for KLREntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:KLR along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI, and
(ii) observing market reaction around the $0.19 resistance area from 21st November.
Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the potentially rising 30 day MA (currently $0.161), or
(ii) below the recent swing low of $0.15 of 29th December, or
(iii) below the ultimate swing low of $0.125 of 15th December.
Gold Starts 2026 with a Setup — Correction or New Rally Ahead?Wishing you all a Happy New Year 2026 in advance.
First and foremost, I wish you good health — because everything starts from there.
I hope your hearts feel lighter, your minds stay calm, and the new year brings many positive and meaningful moments into your lives.
May most of your trades end in wins, and may the money you earn through trading be used for joy, happiness, and beautiful memories.
I truly wish you a year filled with growth, peace, and reasons to smile.
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As I previously expected, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has reached its targets (full target) and has now approached the resistance zone($4,382-$4,341).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that gold has completed a wave 5 with the help of an expanding ending diagonal pattern.
Additionally, we can observe a positive Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys.
I expect that after a correction, gold will once again test theresistance zone($4,382-$4,341) and could potentially climb at least up to $4,371. If it breaks through that resistance zone($4,382-$4,341), we could see gold rising further to around $4,421.
What do you think? Will gold repeat its bullish trend in 2026, or should we expect a correction? I’d love to hear your thoughts!
First Target: $4,371
Second Target: $4,421
Stop Loss(SL): $4,237(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
SU: The "Boring" Giant is Coiling (Structural Breakout Setup)Tech stocks get the headlines, but Energy giants like Suncor (SU) pay the rent. While retail traders are chasing volatile small-caps, institutional capital is quietly positioning in major structural setups.
I'm looking at the pure price structure on SU, and it's painting a clear picture of compression. Here is the "No BS" breakdown of why this boring chart might be about to get very exciting.
1️⃣ THE STRUCTURE:
The "Energy Coil" 📉 Markets move in cycles of expansion and contraction. SU is currently deep in a Contraction Phase. Look at the chart (clean price action only). You can see price is being squeezed between two clear converging lines:
The Ceiling (Defined Resistance): Sellers are defending a clear horizontal or descending level. Every rally is getting sold into.
The Floor (Rising Support): Crucially, buyers are stepping in higher each time there is a dip. This shows underlying demand is building pressure.
2️⃣ THE PSYCHOLOGY:
The Standoff 🧠 This tightening range represents a standoff between bulls and bears. As the range gets tighter, the energy builds up.
The Physics of Trading: Compression always leads to expansion. The longer the coil, the more explosive the eventual move. We are approaching the apex of this structure now.
3️⃣ THE SETUP:
Patience Pays 🎯 This is not a "guess the direction" game. This is a reactive setup.
The Bull Trigger: We need to see a decisive Daily Close above the resistance ceiling, ideally accompanied by a spike in volume. This confirms the sellers are exhausted and the "markup phase" is beginning.
The Invalidation: If price breaks below the rising support line, the bullish structure is broken, and we likely revisit lower liquidity zones.
The "Pro" Verdict: Amateurs try to front-run the breakout and often get chopped up. Professionals wait for the confirmation. The coil is tight. Watch the boundaries. When this giant decides to move, it won't look back.
Discussion: Are you seeing energy stocks as a rotation play right now, or is the global demand fear too high? Let me know your thoughts below 👇
Light the fires...maybeIts starting to look what could be described as a bullish set up. Will keep a keen eye to see if price bounces of the 50ema and continues within the upward channel. Will look for a good entry price on the 2 hour charts if conditions are met on the daily. Not financial advise, so its not.
Single-Family Home Prices Priced in Gold (1971–2026)📊 Single-Family Home Prices Priced in Gold (1971–2026)
This chart shows the price of a U.S. single-family home measured in ounces of gold, not dollars, going back to the early 1970s.
Why this matters:
Tight Credit is not good for markets! Bad JUJU!
Gold acts as a long-term monetary benchmark. Pricing homes in gold strips out currency effects and helps reveal real cycles, not nominal noise. It gives us insight into how the market is looking at credit going forward.
🔎 What the chart shows (facts)
Home prices in gold move in long, multi-decade cycles
Peaks tend to occur during periods of:
easy credit
suppressed interest rates
strong belief in “housing always goes up”
Troughs tend to follow:
monetary tightening
credit contraction
stress resets in the financial system
Historically, these cycles are not random and not short-term.
Bottom line
This chart is about relative value, monetary regimes, and long-term structure.
For new traders:
Learn to separate nominal prices from real purchasing power, "VALUE" and you’ll start seeing markets more clearly.
Structure first. Emotion later.
The home didn't change
The Currency did.
I strongly encourage traders and investors to understand the operational mechanics of the monetary system. There is a meaningful distinction between money and currency, and this chart highlights that difference clearly.
Understanding that distinction changes how you interpret cycles, value, and risk.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in raw truth, not hype.
Next week outlookSo, if we can hold our higher high today and into Sunday, bulls will be back in control. My prediction is we gun straight toward $4.2 starting next session and we hit that target around Tuesday night. This is all resting on 4hr turning positive on Sundays night session. There is still a chance for collapse of the 4hr and we head down to retest prior low. If we break prior low all this is out the window and bulls have lost their chance for now. Entering now is high risk, so for low risk traders wait for the 4 hour positive cross confirmation.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please see our weekly chart timeframe Route Map and Trading plans for the week ahead.
After seeing the test at 4294, we now have a candle body close above 4294 opening long range target at 4519 and will need ema5 cross and lock above this level to further confirm and strengthen this target.
We will now look for 4294 to provide support and play between this new range to confirm if it was a fake out or confirmed breakout into this new range.
We’ll keep these long range timeframe structures in mind as we continue with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep you all updated as this chart idea unfolds.
Mr Gold
- Path To Glory - GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD
Hello ! I give my opinion for the future of GOLD, I think the OB H1 will react to get the liquidity and will fall under 417X-418X. In more, we are in bullish movement since a long time and in a bullish range (H4). Once this liquidity has been take back, we will target the GOLD ATH.
(I'm a new trader and I improve my strategy everyday, backtesting by backtesting, Wins&Loses are normal. Please be kind. I'm also grateful for your tips.)
GOLD: Broken Trendline, Retest in ProgressHi!
Gold has clearly broken the rising trendline, signaling weakness in the bullish structure.
Price is now retesting the broken trendline from below, which acts as dynamic resistance.
As long as price stays below this zone, bearish continuation is favored
Rejection here can open the door for a deeper pullback
Bulls need a strong reclaim above the trendline to regain control
GBP/USD | Going back up? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4h chart of GBPUSD, it went through the NWOG only to be stopped in the supply zone, consolidating there for a while and finally a drop in price. Cable dropped all the way to 1.34016, hitting the low of the FVG and then bouncing back up, going through the NWOG once again but it dropped again and it is now being traded in the NWOG zone at 1.34560.
If GBPUSD continues to fall, I expect a reaction to the high of the FVG.
For the time being, the upwards targets for the GBPUSD are: 1.34690, 1.34910 and 1.35130.
XAUUSD (Gold) – H1 Analysis...XAUUSD (Gold) – H1 Analysis (based on My latest chart)
Market Structure
Overall bullish structure is broken (strong impulsive sell).
Price is now below the main ascending trendline → trend shift.
Current move is a pullback into resistance + Ichimoku cloud.
Marked red arrows show sell rejection zone (good supply).
Bias: SELL on pullback
📉 Sell Setup (Preferred)
Sell Zone: 4,360 – 4,400
(price is already reacting from this zone)
🎯 Target Points
Target 1: 4,300
Target 2: 4,240
Target 3 (extended): 4,180
❌ Invalidation
H1 close above 4,430 → sell idea invalid.
📌 Trade Summary
Pair: XAUUSD
Timeframe: H1
Bias: SELL
Targets: 4,300 → 4,240 → 4,180
📍 If price breaks below 4,300, expect strong bearish continuation.
🔄 Alternate Buy Scenario (Only if confirmed)
Buy only above: 4,430
Buy Targets: 4,480 → 4,520
GOLD's SituationWe can be hopeful that after breaking out of the wedge, we will see significant price growth.AB=CD
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
Oil Traders Watch This Breakdown Level Carefully🔻 XTI/USD (WTI / USOIL) — Bearish Breakout Trade Blueprint
Energies Market | Day / Swing Trade Opportunity
📌 Asset Overview
XTI/USD – WTI Crude Oil vs U.S. Dollar
Market Type: Energy Commodity (CFD / Futures correlated)
Trading Style: Day Trade / Swing Trade
🧭 Trade Plan
🔴 Primary Bias: BEARISH BREAKOUT CONTINUATION
Price has completed a structure breakdown, confirming seller dominance after failed bullish recovery. Momentum favors downside continuation as liquidity shifts below key levels.
🎯 Entry Strategy
📍 Sell AFTER confirmed breakout below → 56.80
• You may enter at any price level after breakout confirmation
• Aggressive traders: enter on breakdown momentum
• Conservative traders: wait for a pullback retest below 56.80
Execution depends on your risk model & position sizing.
🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Control)
🚨 Protective SL: 58.00
⚠️ This is a reference level, not a mandatory rule.
Adjust your stop placement based on:
Timeframe
Volatility
Account risk parameters
🎯 Profit Objective
🎯 Primary TP Zone: 55.80
Why this zone matters:
• Strong historical support
• Oversold reaction area
• High probability of short-covering
• Correction + liquidity trap zone
⚠️ Partial profits are advised as price approaches this region.
🔎 Key Technical Drivers
✔️ Breakdown below key structure
✔️ Lower highs + lower lows
✔️ Momentum shift favoring sellers
✔️ Failed bullish continuation
✔️ Liquidity sweep completed above range
🌍 Related Markets to Watch (Correlation Map)
💵 USD-Linked Instruments
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) → Strong USD often pressures oil prices
USD/CAD → Inverse correlation (CAD = oil-linked currency)
📉 Risk & Macro Assets
US10Y Treasury Yields → Rising yields = pressure on commodities
S&P 500 / US Indices → Risk-off sentiment weighs on energy demand
🛢️ Energy Complex
Brent Crude (UKOIL) → Confirms directional bias
Energy Sector Stocks → Weakness confirms oil downside momentum
📰 Fundamental & Economic Factors Supporting This Trade
⚖️ Macro Environment
• Demand concerns from global growth slowdown
• Stronger USD reducing commodity attractiveness
• Tight financial conditions limiting speculative inflows
🛢️ Oil-Specific Factors
• Inventory sensitivity remains elevated
• Market reacts sharply to supply-demand imbalance
• Volatility increases near key economic releases
📅 Upcoming Market Sensitivities
• U.S. inflation data
• Federal Reserve policy expectations
• Energy inventory updates
• Global growth & demand outlook commentary
Expect volatility spikes around high-impact macro releases.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This analysis is not financial advice.
Stop loss and take profit levels are guidelines only.
Every trader must manage risk according to their own strategy.
👍 If this analysis adds value
• Drop a LIKE 👍
• Share your view in comments 💬
• Follow for consistent energy market breakdowns 📈
XAUUSD (Gold) – 2H Chart pattern...XAUUSD (Gold) – 2H Chart pattern
(trendline break + rejection from resistance):
Bias: Bearish / Sell on pullback
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 4200
🎯 Target 2: 4040
Invalidation / SL:
❌ Above: 4415–4430 (recent resistance zone)
Reasoning (simple):
Price broke below the rising trendline
Rejection from resistance (red arrows)
Momentum shows continuation to downside supports
Exact entry zone
Scalp vs swing setup
Risk–reward calculation






















