Wild Friday and the Weekly HammerFrom a technical-geometric standpoint, Natural Gas is approaching a high-confidence inflection zone. The weekly hammer forming into Friday’s close (12.12.2025) signals potential exhaustion of the recent downside leg and early signs of demand stepping back in.
Descending from 5.33 as expected, the move has unfolded cleanly, and the red candle opening on Monday—exactly in line with the anticipated flow—reinforces the directional bias of the current retracement phase
The end-goal for this corrective leg is anchored at 3.90, which stands out as the dominant liquidity objective. The structure shows a high—if not near-certain—probability of a retracement into that zone, consistent with the broader technical roadmap already outlined.
Commodities
THE SETUP: 2026 CUP and Handel Formation (most realistic)This observation has crossed a threshold.
It is no longer merely "trading ideas" or speculative commentary.
We are witnessing the most structurally significant formation of the cycle a multi-stage Handle and Channel Convergence setting the stage for a historic move.
The alignment of a historic Cup & Handle replication, within a 10-year Fibonacci framework, at the meeting point of macro channels, creates a scenario that demands a higher level of consideration. It presents a probability that is now too significant to ignore.
Phase 1: The Final Exhaustion Drop
Price is rejected from the massive 8.0 resistance wall. This isn't just a normal pullback.
Why it drops fast: This sell-off represents the final liquidation wave of the previous bear cycle. Weak hands capitulate, and late sellers scramble for the exit, creating a sharp, high-volume descent into the formation. This rapid drop is necessary to flush out the last remnants of selling pressure.
Phase 2: The Energy Channel (The "No-Return" Zone)
The price enters the Handle channel, a defined equilibrium zone where the final sell orders are absorbed.
This is where the major trend channels converge. Once price consolidates here and breaks north, there is no logical support left to retest—it becomes a one-way trajectory. The "no-return point."
Phase 3: The Launchpad
This entire structure acts as a rocket launch base, compressing energy for the next macro leg up confirming a bogger Fibonacci. The completion of this base targets a powerful ignition in January 2027.
This is not trading advice or signal at all
This is the identification of a mathematical and structural precedent that now stands, clear and present, on the chart. The responsibility for any action taken—or not taken—rests solely with the individual.
The market is a mechanism.
This is how its gears are aligning.
XAU/USD Facing Decision Time – Volatility AheadThe Gold chart shows that the price is trading near a strong resistance zone after completing several impulsive waves inside an upward channel. The structure suggests Gold is likely finishing a Wave (3) or Wave (5) near the top, where selling pressure usually appears. The recent sideways-to-down movement looks like a developing Wave (4) correction, which could lead to a deeper pullback before the next big move. If the price fails to break and hold above the resistance zone, Gold may continue lower toward the lower channel support. However, if buyers push the price higher and break above the resistance cleanly, one more upside leg could form before a larger correction. Overall, the chart signals short-term weakness inside a bigger bullish structure, so caution is needed near the highs.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
Soybeans: Buy the dip!Soybeans are oversold enough after a correction, it seems like everyone was too hyped with the prospect of China buying US beans and some weak longs capitulated in this retrace.
This is my technical prognosis from here to June 2026 or sooner.
RR is very interesting.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
The Gold–Silver Ratio: The Market Signal Most Traders IgnoreMany traders treat Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver (XAGUSD) as the same trade with different volatility.
That’s a mistake.
Gold and Silver respond to different macro forces, and understanding when capital rotates from one to the other gives a serious edge — both for trading and physical investing.
1️⃣ Gold vs Silver — Core Difference
Gold = Monetary metal
Store of value
Inflation hedge
Central bank asset
Safe haven during stress
Silver = Hybrid metal
Part monetary
Part industrial
High beta version of gold
More sensitive to growth cycles
This single difference explains why silver moves faster and further than gold — in both directions.
2️⃣ When to Trade GOLD (XAUUSD)
Gold performs best when fear and monetary uncertainty dominate.
Bullish Gold Environment:
Falling or expected rate cuts (Fed pivot)
Rising inflation or sticky CPI
USD weakness
Geopolitical risk (wars, sanctions, OPEC supply risks)
Equity market stress or drawdowns
Trader mindset:
Gold moves first, cleaner, more technically respected.
Best use:
Swing trades
Trend continuation
Capital protection during risk-off phases
Physical gold bars:
Best accumulated when:
Real rates peak
Fed is restrictive but close to easing
Media interest is low (no gold hype)
3️⃣ When to Trade SILVER (XAGUSD)
Silver thrives when liquidity + growth expectations return.
Bullish Silver Environment:
Fed easing or liquidity injections
Improving PMI / industrial demand
Tech expansion (AI, EVs, solar panels)
Rising copper and industrial metals
Risk-on equity sentiment (SP500 strength)
Silver benefits from:
Industrial usage (electronics, AI chips, solar)
Smaller market → easier to push
Speculative flows
Trader mindset:
Silver is late but explosive.
Best use:
Momentum trades
Breakout strategies
Relative strength vs Gold
Physical silver bars:
Best accumulated when:
Gold/Silver Ratio is extremely high
Economy is weak but stabilizing
Nobody wants silver (yet)
4️⃣ Why Silver Often Outperforms Gold
Even though gold is more precious:
Silver supply is tighter relative to demand
Industrial demand is growing structurally (AI, green energy)
Silver market is much smaller → higher volatility
Speculators prefer silver during risk-on cycles
📌 Key metric:
Gold/Silver Ratio
High ratio → Silver undervalued
Falling ratio → Silver outperforming Gold
5️⃣ Gold vs Silver Rotation Framework
Simple rule:
Risk-off → Buy Gold
Early recovery → Gold first
Liquidity expansion → Silver explodes
Late-cycle euphoria → Reduce Silver first
Gold leads.
Silver accelerates.
6️⃣ Macro Context That Matters
Fed: Rates & liquidity decide direction
USD: Inverse correlation for both metals
SP500: Risk appetite indicator
Oil (OPEC): Inflation transmission → Gold support
Earnings cycles: Growth optimism favors Silver
Final Takeaway (Trader Language)
Trade Gold for safety, structure, and macro clarity.
Trade Silver for speed, volatility, and expansion phases.
Buy physical gold when fear is high.
Buy physical silver when nobody cares — before liquidity returns.
Gold protects wealth.
Silver multiplies it — at the right time.
Relevant Hashtags
#Gold #Silver #XAUUSD #XAGUSD #MacroTrading #TradingStrategy #Fed #SP500 #Commodities #Inflation
Silver's Rally Is About To ExhaustSilver has outperformed gold with a huge margin this year
On the 4-hour chart the price perfectly fits into the blue uptrend channel
The 5-wave sequence is almost complete with the following signs of soon trend exhaustion:
1) triangle in the trend usually makes for wave 4 of 5 of (5)
2) price approaches the top of the channel for the third time already
3) RSI "doesn't buy" the current rally showing lower readings at Bearish Divergence
The strong support is located at the bottom of wave 4 at $56.4
GBPUSD: channel breakdown🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, GBPUSD has signaled a significant shift in market structure. After a sustained rally marked by a "Global bullish signal," the price has violated the lower boundary of the ascending channel. The chart explicitly identifies a "Breakout of the ascending channel," indicating that the bullish momentum has been exhausted. The price is currently testing the support zone 1.33400. The analysis projects a bearish continuation, targeting the confluence of the SMA 200 and horizontal support around 1.32097.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Sell after accumulation price near support (approx. 1.3360 – 1.3390)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.32097 (SMA 200 / Support)
🔴 Stop Loss: 1.33938
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
COPX: watching for upside momentum to continue Price is reacting constructively from the ideal mid-term support area established at the November bottom.
The trend structure suggests potential for at least one more leg to the upside into the 71–75 resistance zone, as long as the November lows continue to hold.
Chart:
XAUUSD: breakout to ATH🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) is demonstrating significant bullish strength, holding firm against a key resistance level. The chart notes that the price has been fixed at the resistance zone since December 12. This behavior—refusing to correct significantly despite hitting resistance—indicates strong underlying demand. The price is compressing between the horizontal resistance at 4,351.35 and an ascending trendline support. The analysis projects a powerful upward breakout, propelling the metal into price discovery mode towards a new target of 4,467.56.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Breakout entry above 4,351.35
🎯 Take Profit: 4,467.56
🔴 Stop Loss: Below the immediate consolidation zone (4,291.38)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current chart patterns; breakout trades carry risk, and false breakouts can occur.
GOLD → Growth may continue after correction...FX:XAUUSD is trading in a sideways range amid mixed signals: weak macro data and concerns about an AI bubble are supporting the metal, but the moderate strengthening of the dollar is limiting its growth...
Fundamental situation
• Weak data from China: industrial production and retail sales showed the lowest growth in several years.
• Mixed data from the US: NFP for November: +64K (better than forecast), but October revised to -105K. Unemployment rose to 4.6%.
• Expectations of Fed policy easing remain, especially against the backdrop of the possible appointment of a new “dovish” chair (Christopher Waller is being considered).
The fundamental backdrop remains favorable for gold, but new triggers are needed to break out of the range. Attention is shifting to US inflation data, which will set the direction before the end of the year.
Technically, gold may test key support before attempting to rise to retest 4335-4350.
Resistance levels: 4335, 4353, 4380
Support levels: 4311, 4300, 4329
The trend is bullish, and the fundamental background is favorable. If the bulls keep the price above 4320-4310 within the current correction, the growth may continue...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Silver is in the Bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBP/USD | Further drop incoming? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4H chart of GBPUSD, After the news yesterday, GBPUSD managed to sweep the liquidity above the 1.3438 level before dropping down both of the Supply Zones below it and it is now being traded at 1.3327 level. At the moment, GBPUSD is not showing any strong will to go higher, and I expect a drop to the FVG at 1.32850-1.32925, and I'd rather see it go under the SellSide Liquidity that is residing below the 1.32875 level, sweeping it and then going back up.
Let's monitor it closely.
XAUUSD (Gold) Intraday ForecastXAUUSD (Gold) Intraday Forecast: Range Compression Below 4345, Buy-the-Dip Bias While 4315 Holds
Gold on the 1H chart is compressing inside a clear range: price is holding a demand band around 4315–4320 while repeatedly respecting the ceiling near 4345. This is classic “coil under resistance” behavior, where liquidity tends to build on both sides before the next expansion.
Today’s plan is straightforward: bullish continuation is favored as long as 4315–4320 remains defended, with a secondary scenario for a deeper sweep before the same upside continuation.
Key Support and Resistance Levels (1H)
Major resistance
4345–4350: range high / repeated rejection zone (primary breakout level)
Intraday resistance
4333–4335: minor supply and reaction level inside the range (first take-profit area for longs)
Intraday support (must-hold)
4315–4320: demand band and the market’s current “defense line”
Deeper supports (if a liquidity sweep happens)
4300–4305: Fibonacci retracement cluster (important bounce/invalidation area)
4195–4205: higher-timeframe demand zone (major support if volatility spikes)
Tools Confluence (Fibonacci, EMA, RSI, Trendline)
Fibonacci
Using the latest impulse leg into the 4345 high, the pullback area aligns well with:
0.382 retracement near 4318
0.5 retracement near 4310
0.618 retracement near 4302
That makes 4315–4320 the first “healthy pullback” zone, and 4300–4305 the deeper, higher-quality retracement if the market hunts stops.
EMA (confirmation filter)
Bullish continuation is cleaner if price holds above the 20 EMA on 1H and the 20/50 EMA stay positively stacked.
If 1H candles start closing below the 20 EMA and failing to reclaim it, expect choppier conditions and higher probability of a deeper dip.
RSI (momentum filter)
Bias stays bullish while RSI holds above 50 on 1H.
A bearish shift is more credible if RSI drops below 50 and fails to recover during a retest of 4315–4320.
Trendline / structure
Market structure is still building higher lows into resistance. That’s why the “range breakout” scenario remains the higher-probability play until support breaks decisively.
High-Probability Trading Plans for Today
Plan A: Buy the dip at demand (preferred)
Entry idea
Look for a pullback into 4315–4320, then confirmation on 15m/1H (bullish engulfing, strong rejection wick, or a reclaim back above the zone).
Stops
Conservative: below 4310
Safer (volatility-friendly): below 4300–4305
Targets
TP1: 4333–4335
TP2: 4345–4350
Extension (only if breakout holds): trail toward the next upside leg after a clean retest above 4345.
Plan B: Breakout and retest above 4345 (momentum trade)
Trigger
Wait for a 1H close above 4345, then a pullback that holds 4340–4345 as support.
Stops
Below 4333 (or below the retest low)
Targets
Scale out into the next expansion leg; keep risk tight because false breakouts at range highs are common.
Plan C: Bearish pullback scenario (only if support fails)
If gold closes 1H below 4310 and fails to reclaim 4315 on a retest, the market may be shifting into the deeper retracement path.
First downside magnet: 4300–4305
If 4300 fails with strong momentum, the market can accelerate toward the 4195–4205 demand zone (higher-timeframe support).
Invalidation and Risk Notes
Bullish idea is invalidated intraday if price accepts below 4310 and cannot reclaim 4315–4320 on retest.
Keep position sizing disciplined: this is a range environment, so fake moves and stop-hunts are part of the game.
Silver - Looking To Buy Pullbacks H4 - Strong bullish move.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for December 17th.Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4382, Support: 4175
4-Hour Resistance: 4353, Support: 4270
1-Hour Resistance: 4345, Support: 4307
The daily gold chart shows a doji candlestick, indicating strong tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The price is supported by the 5-day moving average (MA5), which is in an upward trend. The price is within an upward Bollinger Band channel. Support is seen around yesterday's low of 4275, while resistance is at 434. 5;
The 0.5 support level of the rounded bottom on the 1-hour chart remains strong. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the price is facing another directional decision at high levels. The short-term consolidation range to watch is 4335-4300. The hourly MACD/KDJ indicators show increasing bearish sentiment. Avoid blindly chasing highs in the short term and be cautious of risks.
Trading Plan:
BUY: 4300near
BUY: 4270~4260
SELL: 4350near
More Analysis →
Gold Update 17DEC2025: Ending Diagonal Almost Done Market volatility dries up as price approaches the all-time high
Out of the three scenarios posted last time, the first one is playing out
Price is shaping an Ending Diagonal in the final wave up, which should at least retest the record high around $4,400 to complete a full five-wave sequence
Meanwhile, RSI did not build the same bullish momentum and is showing early signs of bearish divergence against price
This confirms that the current move is likely the final wave up and also warns of a possible reversal after price retests the record high
Minor support is located at the previous low around $3,901
Typically, the valley of the larger wave 4 contains the first drop in the event of a reversal
This major support is located near the $3,300 level
Let’s see how price behaves around the all-time high first
XAUUSD Gold Breaks Structure Short, But My Bullish Bias RemainsI’m currently watching XAUUSD Gold, and yesterday we didn’t get the higher high I was looking for. Instead, price broke structure to the downside, which has resulted in a fairly deep pullback 📉.
⏳ That said, the higher time frame structure remains bullish, so my overall bias is still to the upside 📈. At this stage, I’m waiting to see price trade back into support, and If that holds and breaks to the up-side, I’ll be looking for a potential long opportunity aligned with the broader trend.
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just my market perspective.
EUR/USD | Challenges Ahead! (READ THE CAPTION)Well, as you can see, EURUSD was absolutely rejected from the FVG as I predicted last night, and boy it was a brutal rejection. EURUSD dropped over 70 pips, and is being traded at 1.17170 level, just above the initial Supply zone it had broke through last week.
I expect EURUSD to challenge the supply zone again, and I expect a little challenge to the small FVG that I've demonstrated, breaking through this FVG means EURUSD is ready to challenge to the FVG zone between 1.17760-1.17950 levels.
DeGRAM | GOLD local decline📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD continues to respect a descending resistance line, with multiple failed attempts to break above the 4,330–4,350 zone. Each rejection is followed by lower highs, confirming short-term bearish pressure within the broader range.
● Price is rolling over from the rising intraday trendline, signaling weakening momentum. A clean break below 4,315 opens the path toward the next support cluster at 4,300–4,285.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold faces short-term pressure from stabilizing US yields and a firmer dollar, reducing immediate demand for defensive assets.
✨ Summary
● Bearish rejection confirmed. Key resistance: 4,330–4,350. Downside targets: 4,300–4,285. Invalidation above descending resistance.
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BTC/USDT | Tests ahead! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see, the BTC is ranging between the Demand zone and IFVG. BTC dropped to the mean threshold of the demand zone before going back up to the low of the FVG, at $88,350 level, then again dropping to the high of the Demand zone, at $86,680 level.
At the moment, BTC doesn't seem to be making any meaningful movements. If BTC fails to bounce back from the Demand zone and goes lower, a drop to 80,955, the high of the Bullish OB is likely to happen.
If BTC manages to bounce back up and go through the IFVG, it can go up all the way to the low of 4H FVG at 94,515 to challenge it once more.






















