MY POSITION ON GOLD 2025I have been having streaks of good trades lately, and I feel I need to share some of my wins. Note, I'm not a Day trader, I'm more like a position or swing trader.
This is my Gold Position.
Commodities
Silver Bear
Traders are trading silver like USD is collapsing tomorrow. 47923481239 bearish divergences on indicators don't matter to these traders they simply buy because of green candles like UNGA DUNGA. That big giant red candle that went straight down last Friday doesn't scare these traders apparently. That bearish divergence on the RSI doesn't scare these traders, apparently silver is just going up forever...
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 4347.9
Stop - 4363.6
Take - 4318.5
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Weekly Market Outlook (Week 51)🔘 EURUSD
The pair has surged to test the critical resistance zone around 1.1740. While the trend is upward, the technical structure suggests a possible reaction and short-term reversal from the next resistance zone 1.18000.
🔘 GBPUSD
Price is trading firmly within a robust ascending channel, currently hovering near the 1.3370 level. The structure supports a continuation of the bullish trend, with the technical setup pointing towards a target at the channel’s upper boundary near 1.3500.
🔘 AUDUSD
Following a breakout from the critical resistance zones, the pair is approaching a solid resistance block near 0.6650 – 0.6700. The chart indicates a high probability of a rejection at this level, which could trigger a pullback towards the 0.6620 support area.
🔘 USDJPY
The pair is moving steadily within an ascending channel, and with occasional success, the price is pushing toward the 157-158 area. It's highly likely that such tests will continue next week, and buyers will likely break through this resistance area upwards.
🔘 XAUUSD
Gold is trading near all-time highs, testing the major resistance zone around 4,300. Traders should watch for a decisive breakout; however, a failure to breach this level could see prices retreat to test the 4,222 support.
🔘 XAGUSD
Silver is trending within a steep ascending channel but is currently reacting to strong resistance near the 64.00 level. The most likely technical scenario is a corrective move downwards to test the support zone around 59.70.
🔘 BTCUSD
Bitcoin has flashed a local bullish signal, recovering towards the 90,000 mark after finding support. A sustained breakout of the 92,000–93,000 resistance zone is needed to confirm a breakout.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis: Volatility is expected to remain high as markets digest last week's Federal Reserve interest rate cut, with focus now shifting to the "Super Week" of central bank decisions, including the ECB, Bank of England, and a potentially pivotal hike by the Bank of Japan. Flash PMI data due this week will be critical in assessing whether the US and Eurozone economies are maintaining "soft landing" momentum, which could further weaken the US Dollar if global growth data surprises to the upside. Traders should remain cautious of liquidity thinning ahead of the holiday season, which can exacerbate price swings at these key technical levels.
XAGUSD (Silver) – 1-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends, good morning,
I have prepared an XAGUSD-Silver analysis for you on the 1-hour timeframe.
My friends, if XAGUSD-Silver reaches the levels between 60.69393 and 60.11226, I will open a buy position and target the 63.16603 level.
My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏✨
Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
Gold Holding Key Structure as Dollar Loses MomentumHey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,300 zone. Gold remains in a well-defined uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective phase, approaching a key trend-aligned support area near 4,300.
From a macro perspective, the backdrop continues to favor Gold. The US Dollar remains under pressure following the recent rate cut, ongoing balance-sheet expansion, and growing sensitivity to US labor-market data, which could reopen the door for additional easing ahead. This environment reinforces the negative correlation between Gold and the Dollar, supporting upside continuation in XAUUSD.
Price reaction at 4,300 will be key — bullish confirmation at this level could signal trend continuation toward higher highs.
Trade safe,
Joe
GOLD UPDATE📈 GOLD UPDATE — Levels on Watch!
Gold is reacting around a key price zone, and this move could get interesting from here 👀✨
🔓 Entry Level: 4,291
❌ Stop Loss: 4,248
🎯 Target: 4,320
Market momentum is being closely watched at this level. A sustained move could open the way toward the target zone.
What’s your view on Gold from here?
Bullish or bearish?
Share your thoughts below — let’s get a discussion going! ⬇️💬
Your support helps this reach more traders 👍
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice; it reflects only my personal market analysis. Please do your own research before trading.
GOLD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 4340.5
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 4355.7
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 4315.6
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 61.986 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 62.997
Recommended Stop Loss - 61.372
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD | Testing the supply zone (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the 4H chart of EURUSD, we can see that it has stuck to the supply zone and it's having a hard time making it through the zone. I expect another move to 1.17590 (high of the supply zone) and if it breaks through, I expect it to challenge the FVG zone.
If EURUSD fails to go through the supply zone, a drop to 1.17130 is likely.
Make sure to like and leave comment folks.
XAUUSD (Gold) H1 Outlook: Breakout Retest in Play, 4356 Is the KXAUUSD (Gold) H1 Outlook: Breakout Retest in Play, 4356 Is the Key Trigger
Gold on the 1H chart is holding a bullish structure after a clean breakout from the prior consolidation range. Price is now attempting to stabilize above the breakout area and rebuild momentum after a sharp pullback wick, which often signals a liquidity sweep before continuation. The next direction will be decided by how price reacts around the current reclaim zone and the prior swing high.
Market Structure Summary (H1)
Strong range expansion after a long consolidation (clear breakout leg).
Fast pullback with a deep wick (stop run/liquidity grab), followed by a steady climb back into the mid-to-upper range.
Bias remains bullish while price holds above the key demand band and keeps printing higher lows.
Key Resistance Levels
4356 – 4360: Major intraday resistance and breakout trigger (prior swing high zone).
4398 – 4400: Next upside target zone (projected expansion area on the chart).
Key Support Levels
4340 – 4330: Immediate support (reclaim zone; where buyers are currently defending).
4326: First demand (clean support marker on the chart, aligns with Fib retracement behavior).
4300: Structural support (if lost, bullish continuation weakens intraday).
4260: Breakout base and “line in the sand” for the current bullish thesis.
Fibonacci Map (Practical Levels to Trade)
Using the latest impulse leg 4260 → 4356:
0.382 retracement: ~4320 – 4326 (high-probability pullback buy area)
0.50 retracement: ~4308
0.618 retracement: ~4295 – 4300 (must-hold support for bulls)
This Fib cluster reinforces why 4326 and 4300 are the most important intraday supports.
EMA and RSI Confirmation (Trade Filters)
EMA (Suggested: EMA20/EMA50 on H1)
Bullish continuation is favored while price holds above EMA20 and EMA20 stays above EMA50.
A clean H1 close below EMA50 typically increases the odds of a deeper pullback toward 4300/4260.
RSI (14)
Bullish environment while RSI holds above 50.
Watch for bearish divergence if price retests 4356 but RSI fails to make a higher high.
Trading Plans for Today
Plan A: Pullback Buy (Higher probability)
Entry zone:
4326 – 4330 (preferred)
If deeper: 4300 – 4308 (secondary)
Invalidation:
H1 close below 4295 – 4300, or especially a breakdown toward 4260.
Targets:
TP1: 4356 – 4360
TP2: 4398 – 4400
If momentum is strong, trail partials using EMA20 or higher-low structure.
Plan B: Breakout Buy (Momentum setup)
Trigger:
H1 close above 4356 – 4360 followed by a retest that holds.
Invalidation:
Failed breakout with H1 closing back below 4350.
Targets:
4398 – 4400 first, then manage with structure (do not overstay if volatility spikes).
Plan C: Defensive Sell (Only if structure breaks)
Trigger:
Loss of 4300 with weak reclaim attempts (acceptance below support).
Targets:
4260 first.
Invalidation:
Strong reclaim back above 4326 with bullish engulfing/impulse.
Execution Notes
Do not chase entries in the middle of the range. Let price come to levels.
The cleanest continuation signal is a successful hold above 4356.
The cleanest pullback opportunity is the Fib cluster around 4326 and 4300.
XAU/USD | A new ATH coming? (READ THE CAPTION!)Good morning folks, Amirali here.
As you can see, Gold has shattered the FVG and is now being traded at $4343 which is the lower part of the Bearish OB. We have to wait and see if Gold can go through the Bearish OB and hit the $4380 target and a hit a new ATH.
A drop to the high of the FVG at $4317 before going up to hit the target is possible.
ETH/USD – 8H Analysis ...ETH/USD – 8H Analysis (Based on my chart)
Market Structure
ETH was in a strong downtrend, respecting a descending trendline.
Price has now broken and closed above the descending trendline.
A successful retest + cloud support is forming, indicating a trend reversal to bullish.
Momentum is shifting upward after accumulation near the bottom.
---
📈 Buy Scenario (As per my marked arrows)
Buy Zone: 3,050 – 3,150
🎯 Targets
Target 1: 4,000
Target 2: 4,800
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❌ Invalidation
A strong close below 2,950 will invalidate the bullish setup.
---
📌 Summary
Previous Trend: Bearish
Current Bias: Bullish reversal
Expectation: Price to continue higher toward major resistance zones
USDJPY 4H chart...USDJPY 4H chart:
Structure
Uptrend trendline clearly broken
Strong bearish impulse → continuation likely
Price below cloud / resistance zone
🎯 Targets
TP1: 151.80 – 152.00
→ Nearest demand / horizontal support
TP2: 147.00 – 147.20
→ Major demand zone & previous consolidation base
🛑 Invalidation / SL
Above 156.20 (above recent lower high / structure)
Bias
➡ Bearish continuation unless price reclaims 156+ with strong close
If my want:
scalping targets
intraday (1H / 15M) refinement
entry confirmation
NZD/USD – H2 Analysis...NZD/USD – H2 Analysis (As per My chart)
Market Structure
Overall structure is bullish, price was moving inside an ascending trendline + cloud support.
Recently price made a sharp rejection from the upper range and broke below the trendline, indicating a bearish corrective move.
This looks like a pullback, not a full trend reversal.
---
📉 Sell Scenario (According to your marked levels)
Sell Zone: Around 0.5790 – 0.5810
🎯 Targets
Target 1: 0.5740
Target 2: 0.5690
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❌ Invalidation
A strong close above 0.5830 will invalidate this sell setup.
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📌 Summary
Trend: Bullish (higher timeframe)
Current Move: Bearish correction
Expectation: Price to move down toward marked demand zones before next continuation
GBP/USD – H2 Technical Analysis...
GBP/USD – H2 Technical Analysis
Market View
Price is trading inside an ascending channel and recently faced strong rejection from the upper resistance zone.
After the rejection, price is showing weak momentum near the trendline and cloud area, indicating a corrective bearish move is likely.
This is not a trend reversal, but a healthy pullback within the overall bullish structure.
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📉 Sell Scenario (As per Chart)
Sell Zone: Current / pullback area near 1.3350 – 1.3380
🎯 Targets
Target 1: 1.3180
Target 2: 1.3060
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❌ Invalidation
A strong break and close above 1.3420 will invalidate this sell setup.
---
📌 Summary
Trend: Bullish (higher timeframe)
Current Move: Bearish correction
Expectation: Price to move down toward marked demand zones before next bullish continuation
WTI Oil: Bulls vs Bears – The Next Major Move Is LoadingHello and best wishes to all my TradingView followers 👋🌹
Hope you’re doing great and trading safely 💪📊
Today, we are going to analyze WTI Crude Oil in the short-term perspective, focusing mainly on the 4H and Daily timeframes.
Based on the chart, price is currently moving within a range structure with a bearish bias and is reacting to several key technical levels.
🔻 Market Structure Overview
Price is trading below the descending Dynamic Resistance (trendline)
The highlighted Daily Resistance Zone acts as a strong supply area
Price is currently inside a decision zone, where volatility is expected ⏳
🟥 Bearish Scenario 📉
If price breaks and closes below the marked support zone on the Daily timeframe:
🔻 Bearish continuation becomes valid
📌 A potential pullback to the broken zone may occur before continuation
🎯 Targets can be activated step by step at lower demand levels (as shown by the gray projections on the chart)
This scenario aligns with the lower high & lower low structure and weak bullish momentum
📉 As long as price remains below the dynamic resistance, the bearish scenario remains dominant.
🟩 Bullish Scenario 📈
If price manages to:
✅ Break the descending trendline (Dynamic Resistance)
✅ Close a valid 4H candle above the resistance
Then we may expect:
🔁 A pullback to the broken trendline
🚀 A bullish continuation toward higher resistance levels
🎯 Targets located at previous highs and key supply zones
📌 This scenario requires confirmation. Without a valid breakout, it remains only a possibility.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Price is at a very critical level
📉 Support break = continuation to the downside
📈 Trendline breakout = potential trend reversal
⏳ Best approach here is waiting for confirmation before entering trades
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. All trading decisions are your own responsibility. Please always follow proper risk and money management ⚠️
If you found this analysis helpful ❤️
🔔 Don’t forget to like, comment, and follow
Wishing you green trades and consistent profits 🌱📈
GBPUSD (4H) chart patterns ...GBPUSD (4H) – Technical Targets (Educational)
Based on the chart (descending trendline break + bullish structure):
🎯 Upside Targets
Target 1: 1.3600 – 1.3620 (near resistance / first objective)
Target 2: 1.3720 – 1.3750 (major resistance zone)
🛑 Invalidation / Risk Area
Bullish setup weakens if there is a 4H close below 1.3320–1.3300.
Conservative protection: below 1.3300 (adjust to my risk rules).
📌 Notes
Clear break above the descending trendline.
Price holding above the cloud supports bullish continuation.
Consider taking partial profit at Target 1 and trailing the rest.
EUR/USD (H2) Chart Pattern..EUR/USD (H2) – Targets
From My chart:
Price is at the upper channel resistance and showing rejection / pullback setup.
Bias: SELL (correction within uptrend)
🎯 Targets
TP1: 1.1620 (first demand / mid-support)
TP2: 1.1520 (major demand zone / channel support)
🛑 Invalidation (for safety)
Above: 1.1760 – 1.1780 (channel top & supply)
📌 Structure-wise this looks like a healthy pullback before next move.
If you want, I can also give exact entry + SL in pure ..
EURUSD (4H) chart pattern...EURUSD (4H) – Technical Targets (Educational)
Based on the chart (trendline break + bullish momentum):
🎯 Upside Targets
Target 1: 1.1800 – 1.1820 (near resistance)
Target 2: 1.1880 – 1.1900
Target 3: 1.1980 – 1.2000 (major resistance / round number)
🛑 Invalidation / Risk Area
Bullish bias weakens if there is a 4H close below 1.1700.
Conservative protection zone: below 1.1680–1.1700 (adjust to your risk rules).
📌 Notes
Descending trendline has been broken.
Price is holding above the cloud → bullish continuation possible.
Consider partial profits at Target 1 and trail the rest.
Silver Holds Trend Structure as Buyers Step In🥈 XAG/USD: SILVER BREAKOUT SETUP | DAY/SWING TRADE BLUEPRINT 📊
💎 Asset: XAG/USD (Silver vs. U.S. Dollar) - Metals Market
⏰ Timeframe: Day Trading / Swing Trading
📈 MARKET ANALYSIS
Current Price: $61.89 (Real-time verified December 15, 2025)
Recent High: $64.62 (All-time high recorded this week)
Strategy: BULLISH MOMENTUM CONFIRMED
✅ Hull Moving Average Pullback Strategy Active
✅ Bullish outlook supported by Fed policy
✅ Strong momentum structure intact
✅ Rising industrial demand driving prices higher
🎯 TRADE PLAN
📍 Entry Zone: Buy above Hull MA @ $63.00
Wait for price confirmation above moving average
Strong buyer presence confirms breakout validity
🎯 Target Zone: $66.00
Major resistance confluence area
Overbought conditions likely
Profit-taking zone - scale out recommended
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
Ladies & Gentlemen (OG Traders) - Stop Loss and Take Profit levels are YOUR personal decision. Manage YOUR capital, take YOUR profits at YOUR own risk. This is educational analysis, not financial advice.
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (IN USD)
1️⃣ OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) - $2,650-$2,680 range
📌 Correlation: Highly positive (+0.85-0.90)
💡 Gold and Silver move together as precious metals. When Gold pushes higher, Silver typically follows with amplified momentum.
2️⃣ TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) - Currently @ 98.32-98.53 range
📌 Correlation: Strongly negative (-0.70-0.80)
💡 Dollar declining for three consecutive weeks - weakening Dollar = stronger Silver prices. Watch for DXY breakdown below 98.00 support.
3️⃣ FX:EURUSD (Euro) - $1.05-$1.06 range
📌 Correlation: Positive (+0.60-0.70)
💡 Euro strength = Dollar weakness = Silver rally. Monitor Euro breakouts above 1.0600.
4️⃣ FX:USDJPY (Yen) - 152-156 range
📌 Correlation: Negative (-0.50-0.60)
💡 Yen strength signals risk-off sentiment, benefiting safe-haven metals like Silver.
5️⃣ CSE:GC (Gold Futures) - Watch for directional cues
📌 Correlation: Near-perfect positive (+0.90+)
💡 Gold futures lead Silver movements. Track institutional positioning.
🔑 KEY TECHNICAL POINTS
✔️ Breakout Confirmed: Silver consolidating above $64.00 level after reaching new highs
✔️ Volume Profile: Strong buyer accumulation on pullbacks
✔️ Moving Averages: Hull MA providing dynamic support structure
✔️ RSI: Monitor overbought zones near target - exit signals critical
✔️ Trend Structure: Higher highs, higher lows = bullish continuation pattern
💰 FUNDAMENTAL CATALYSTS
🔹 Silver added to U.S. critical minerals list - increasing strategic importance
🔹 Fed rate policy supporting precious metals environment
🔹 Industrial demand from solar/electronics sectors rising
🔹 Weakening Dollar providing tailwind for commodity prices
⚡ TRADING REMINDERS
✅ Manage position sizing (never risk more than 1-2% per trade)
✅ Watch DXY correlation - Dollar weakness = Silver strength
✅ Set alerts at $63.00 entry and $66.00 target zones
✅ Scale out profits at resistance levels
✅ Trail stops as price advances to lock gains
🚀 Let's Secure These Profits! Drop a 👍 if you're watching this setup!
📌 Follow for more metal market opportunities and professional trading blueprints!
#XAGUSD #Silver #MetalsTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexTrading #PreciousMetals #TradingSetup #MarketAnalysis
⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER: Trading precious metals involves substantial risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly according to your risk tolerance.
XAUUSDGold Trading Plan: Higher Highs, Higher Lows, and PatienceRight now, I’m keeping a close eye on Gold 🟡📈. Overall, it’s been trending bullish, but we did see a deep pullback on Friday, which is something to take note of. At this stage, I’m still looking for a trend continuation setup, not a reversal.
That said, we need to be careful early in the week ⚠️. Mondays often come with a liquidity run before price continues in the main direction, especially when the market is already trending higher. So patience here is key.
My approach is based around trend continuation. For me, that means I need to see a clear higher high followed by a higher low. Gold has started to rally, but at the moment, we don’t yet have a confirmed higher high. I want price to push higher, then pull back into a higher low — and only then will I start looking for a break in market structure to the upside 📊🔍.
Until that happens, there is still a chance price could push further south before continuing higher, so stay flexible and manage risk accordingly 🧠📉.
This is not financial advice — just my current read on the market.
When to Trade — When to Stay OutHi everyone,
In the way I approach the market, I don’t see trading as a reflexive reaction to price movements. I see it as a structured decision-making process , built on clearly defined conditions. The market is active all the time, but constant activity alone does not create tradable opportunities. Acting without clear conditions means confusing movement with real advantage.
That’s why every decision starts with an analysis of the broader context . I only consider getting involved when the market structure is coherent, price dynamics are readable, and the environment allows for a clear assessment of risk. When the market becomes unstable, fragmented, or dominated by noise, every attempt to enter inevitably weakens decision quality. In those moments, staying out of the market is not passivity—it’s a rational act of protection .
Once the context is validated, my absolute priority becomes risk management . Before evaluating any potential reward, I need to know exactly where my scenario is invalidated. Without that information, no trade can be justified. A stop-loss is not an emotional safety net; it’s a fundamental part of decision logic. When risk is clearly defined and limited, the outcome of a trade becomes a matter of probabilities, not hope.
Even so, in a technically favorable environment, a decision remains fragile if it’s made in an unhealthy mental state . The market doesn’t punish analysis mistakes as much as it punishes execution errors driven by emotion. Any decision influenced by urgency, fear of missing out, or the desire to recover a previous loss immediately breaks the integrity of the process. In those conditions, not trading is the only decision aligned with discipline .
This is exactly why I consider the ability not to intervene a core skill. Most of the time, the market does not offer a structure with a clear edge. Being constantly in a position is neither an obligation nor a goal. Preserving capital, maintaining mental clarity, and protecting decision discipline are prerequisites for sustainable performance.
In conclusion , knowing when to trade and when to stay out is not a technical issue—it’s a mindset. When action is limited to genuinely favorable contexts and inaction is fully accepted as a strategic choice, trading stops being a chase for short-term results and becomes a controlled risk-management process . At that point, long-term performance is neither accidental nor emotional—it’s built on logic.
Wishing you profitable and disciplined trading.
