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Silver have more room to surgeSilver briefly surged to a new record high, exceeding 116 USD/ounce, before consolidating around 110 USD/ounce, propelled by escalating geopolitical tensions initiated by the US. Markets anticipate a "polycrisis" as the new paradigm, disrupting the post-World War II global order. Consequently, investors are diversifying away from Gold into other precious metals, such as Silver and Palladium. The Gold/Silver ratio collapsed from a peak of 110 to 46, trending toward the 2011 low of 32. Persistent geopolitical risks could drive prices to the 160–200 USD/ounce range. Silver maintains a high correlation with Gold but exhibits a higher standard deviation, which may amplify price gains—particularly as supply deficits loom due to surging demand from the energy transition and AI infrastructure. Technically, XAGUSD retreated to test the EMA21 before rebounding above both expanding EMAs, signaling a continued uptrend. If price surpasses the recent swing high, XAGUSD could target the 227.2% Fibonacci extension at 131. Conversely, failure to sustain levels above the EMA21 may trigger a retest of the lower trendline boundary. By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by WiseLeoTrading
1
#GBPJPY , Another Short ??📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep 🔎 Instrument Focus: #GBPJPY ⚠️ Risk Environment: High 📈 Technical Overview: Maybe , We can have GJ again but this time would be so Risky. 🚀 Trading Plan: • Check Momentum around Entry point . if it be high momentum , SKIP IT • LTF ENTRY NEEDED 🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot #Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
Short
by Ash_TheTrader
XAUUSD H1 – Detailed Market Structure AnalysisGold is currently trading at all-time highs, confirming a strong impulsive bullish trend on the H1 timeframe. The rally into ATH was fast and decisive, leaving behind a clear price imbalance (GAP) around the 4,990–5,010 region, which is a classic sign of aggressive institutional participation rather than exhaustion. This type of expansion typically does not reverse immediately; instead, the market pauses to rebalance liquidity before continuation. From a structural perspective, the previous demand zone near ~4,900 acted as a successful launchpad, producing a clean continuation leg and validating buyers’ control. The EMA 98 is trending upward and remains well below price, reinforcing that the current move is still in a markup phase, not late distribution. Importantly, there is no confirmed lower high or bearish structure break at this stage. The most probable path forward is a corrective pullback into the GAP zone, where price can mitigate inefficiency and absorb resting buy orders. As long as this gap holds and price does not accept below it, any retracement should be treated as bullish consolidation, not weakness. Following stabilization inside or above the gap, the structure favors a renewed expansion toward the next upside objective around 5,110–5,140, extending beyond current ATH levels. Invalidation only appears if price loses the GAP and breaks decisively below the demand zone, which would signal momentum failure. Until that occurs, the dominant narrative remains unchanged: Gold is trending, pullbacks are corrective, and the path of least resistance is higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
WTI: False breakout above the range — seller priorityHi traders and investors! On the 4-hour timeframe, a false-breakout pattern has formed above the upper boundary of the range. The chart shows that key volume was accumulated above the range high (highlighted by the blue band), after which the price returned back into the range. The seller initiative is currently active. The initiative target is 59.068, which aligns with a daily level, adding confluence to the scenario. In the current context, it makes sense to look for short (sell) patterns. Profitable trades! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Liquidity Cleared, Gold Setting Up the Next Leg HigherOANDA:XAUUSD has just completed a powerful expansion leg that pushed price into a new all-time high region, and the current pullback should be viewed through the lens of liquidity management, not trend failure. On the one hour timeframe, the market has clearly transitioned from a steady accumulation phase into an impulsive markup, leaving behind multiple unfilled inefficiencies and a well-defined demand zone around five thousand to four thousand nine hundred eighty. This area is not random. it represents the last consolidation before the vertical expansion, where smart money accumulated inventory before driving price higher. From a structure perspective, the sequence is constructive. The impulsive move from the previous base formed a clean five wave advance, with wave three accelerating through prior resistance and wave five extending toward the five thousand one hundred ninety to five thousand two hundred region. After such a move, it is statistically normal for price to retrace into prior demand to rebalance liquidity. The projected corrective structure labeled as A–B–C is consistent with a healthy bullish continuation: wave A initiates profit-taking, wave B traps late buyers into thinking the uptrend has resumed, and wave C completes the correction by sweeping remaining sell-side liquidity resting below the demand zone. Liquidity dynamics strongly support this scenario. The all time high area above five thousand one hundred is a major pool of buy side liquidity, but markets rarely move straight through such levels without first clearing internal liquidity below. The current pullback is effectively a liquidity cleanse removing weak long positions and triggering protective stops which resets positioning and allows stronger hands to re-enter at better prices. As long as price holds above the demand zone near four thousand nine hundred eighty to five thousand, the bullish structure remains intact. On the macro side, gold continues to benefit from persistent uncertainty: elevated geopolitical risk, long-term concerns over sovereign debt, and expectations that global monetary conditions will remain accommodative longer than previously priced. Even when short-term rate expectations fluctuate, gold has shown relative strength, signaling that capital is flowing into it as a strategic hedge rather than a short-term trade. This macro backdrop supports the idea that dips are being accumulated, not sold aggressively. From a market psychology standpoint, this is the classic late-stage breakout behavior. Retail traders tend to chase strength near all time highs, while professional participants wait for pullbacks into demand. The current retracement is designed to shake confidence, create fear of a “top,” and entice premature short positions fuel that can later drive the next expansion once price reclaims momentum. Trading Plan & Key Levels: As long as price respects the demand zone between four thousand nine hundred eighty and five thousand, the bias remains bullish. A strong reaction and higher low from this area would open the path for another push toward five thousand one hundred ninety to five thousand two hundred, with a confirmed break potentially extending the trend further. A sustained breakdown and acceptance below four thousand nine hundred eighty would invalidate the immediate bullish scenario and suggest a deeper correction instead. Summary: This is not weakness it is rotation. Gold has already proven strength by reaching new highs. What we are seeing now is a controlled reset of structure and liquidity before the market decides whether it is ready to continue toward the five thousand two hundred objective. Patience here is key; let the market show its hand at demand.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
Gold long term targetsAs I personally think we will see gold hitting 5600$! Based on what? Well this is why I think what I think ! My first target hit long ago(as you can see in the image) and I sold all my Long term position already...Sadly. I honestly thought price would have retraced a bit but instead it didn't even stop. This strongly convince me , now that we have created a monthly FVG above 0.75 DRT level, that price will retrace in it and that will give me an advantage to open a light swing trade to last target 5600$. Check it out and see if you like the idea.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Antonio_Cirrincione
Silver bullish breakout supported at 9900The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 9900 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 9900 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 11200 – initial resistance 11617 – psychological and structural level 12070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 9900 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 9468 – minor support 9010 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 9900. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by Trade Nation
Gold Options Expiry: The $4,375 "Gravity" vs. StatisticalHey traders! Tomorrow is a financial battleground for the gold market. It's the major monthly options expiry, and the numbers reveal a fascinating tug-of-war. Let’s break down the forces at play and what they mean for the price. The Setup: Huge Open Interest Looking at the latest data, we have over **126,000 open call contracts** and more than **155,000 open put contracts** set to expire. Here’s the breakdown: Calls: - In the Money (ITM): 105,859 - At the Money (ATM): 68 - Out of the Money (OTM): 20,572 - Total OI: 126,499 Puts: - In the Money (ITM): 111 - At the Money (ATM): 47 - Out of the Money (OTM): 154,874 - Total OI: 155,032 That’s a massive pile of open interest, with most puts sitting deep out of the money—a sign that a lot of traders have been betting on a drop or hedge there bull trades. But the story doesn't end here. The "Gravity" of Max Pain The Max Pain level is currently sitting at $4,375. What is Max Pain? Think of it as the "house's" ideal price. Option sellers (market makers and institutions) collect premiums from buyers. They make the most money if options expire worthless. The Max Pain price is the strike where the maximum number of options (both puts and calls) expire worthless, causing the most financial "pain" to buyers and maximum profit for sellers. The theory suggests that as expiry approaches, the price will be gravitationally pulled toward this level. If you take this theory at face value, gold should drop from its current to $4,375 by tomorrow's close. But… Is That Even Possible? Here’s where we need to pump the brakes. Statistically speaking, the odds of such a move are close to zero—and here’s why. On developed markets, asset price moves are largely governed by well-known mathematical and statistical boundaries, especially the **expected volatility range**. Hedge funds and institutional traders have relied on these ranges for years to guide their decisions. The range is defined by standard deviations: - 1st standard deviation:** Price stays within this range 68% of the time (up or down). - 2nd standard deviation:** 95% probability. - 3rd standard deviation:** 98% probability. So, to seriously claim that gold will hit $4,375 by tomorrow’s close, you’d need to calculate the 3rd standard deviation from today’s settlement and see if $4,375 is even in the realm of possibility. In my experience, I do these calculations right after the daily clearing and plot them on the current gold futures chart. (If you’re not up for the math, just follow my posts—I regularly share these volatility bands and show how well they work. Spoiler: price bounces or stalls at these levels with at least 70% effectiveness.) Can Gravity Break the Leash? Now, let's be data-driven analysts and combine our two forces: Max Pain "Gravity" Target: $4,375. Statistical "Leash" Range for Today(3rd SD): $4,855-5,300 The conclusion is immediate and powerful: The Max Pain level of $4.375 lies far outside the probable 3rd standard deviation statistical range. For the price to reach $4,375, it would need to break not just the 1st, but likely the 2nd or even 3rd standard deviation boundary. While not impossible, this is a very low-probability event. The Bottom Line: What to Expect So, will gold collapse to $4,375 tomorrow? Statistically, the odds are heavily against it. The "leash" of volatility is too short. The theory of Max Pain is a vital tool for identifying points of financial interest, but it's not a crystal ball. It works best when the Max Pain level falls inside the statistical volatility range. When it's outside, volatility almost always wins. In a hot market like gold, where every dip is being bought, a low-probability statistical move becomes even less likely. Instead of a crash to Max Pain, a more probable scenario is for the price to remain pinned within its statistical range (for today $4,855-5,300), possibly testing the lower bound of that range. I hope this article has sparked your interest in diving deeper into these topics and prompted you to start incorporating statistical data into your trading decisions. This is precisely the kind of edge that is essential for successful practical trading 💰 Check our account bio for more ADVANTAGE! Trade Smart!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by ClashChartsTeam
SilverOver the last 10 trading days, silver futures have exhibited a strong bullish trend, extending a powerful rally that began in late 2025. The price has advanced from roughly $88–90/oz to above $105/oz, with successive higher highs and higher lows Surpassed ~$100/oz decisively and sustained above this psychological threshold toward recent highs near ~$110/oz The rally has been supported by risk-on flows as the US dollar softened and safe-haven and industrial demand factors strengthened. Speculative positioning and ETF inflows have underpinned upside interest, though sentiment signals indicate extended bullishness and potential for corrections.. Like and Share
TVC:SILVERLong
by emraldconsul
GOLD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 5088.9 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 5049.0 Safe Stop Loss - 5114.5 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD 1H – Bullish Continuation with Mapped TargetsGold (XAUUSD) is trading in a strong bullish structure on the 1H timeframe, characterized by consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price is currently consolidating near recent highs, indicating healthy price action and potential continuation rather than reversal. This chart highlights: A clear buy-on-dip zone aligned with previous demand A well-defined invalidation level to manage risk Multiple upside targets based on market expansion and liquidity zones As long as price holds above the key structure support, the bullish bias remains valid. Breakout or pullback confirmations from the marked zone may offer continuation opportunities in the direction of the trend. ⚠️ A strong close below the invalidation level would signal a possible shift into correction or consolidation. 🔑 Key Concepts Used Market Structure (HH / HL) Demand & Resistance Zones Trend Continuation Logic Risk-to-Reward Target Mapping
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JaxonJackFX
Bearish Reversal Setup on XAU/USD (SMC Analysis)The chart depicts a potential short (sell) setup after a significant bullish run. The price is currently trading near all-time highs (marked around $5,091 in this simulation/chart) and is showing signs of exhaustion at a structural resistance level. Key Technical Elements: • Trend Context: The price has been moving within an ascending channel (the blue diagonal lines). It recently hit a "Weak Swing High," suggesting the upward momentum may be fading. • Market Structure: * BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple bullish breaks are visible on the way up. • CHoCH (Change of Character): Several internal shifts in trend are highlighted in orange, indicating local volatility. • Supply & Demand Zones: * The red box at the top represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block where the "Smart Money" is expected to enter sell positions. • The green shaded area below represents the Target/Take Profit zone, aiming for a return to previous support levels around $4,975 - $5,000. • FVG (Fair Value Gaps): The yellow highlighted areas and text labels indicate gaps in price action that the market often returns to "fill" or rebalance. • Projected Path: The large pink arrow and the black zig-zag lines predict a breakdown from the current consolidation, moving toward the "Strong Swing Low" identified near the $4,900 handle.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by marcomr
HUT Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:HUT 🎯 Price jumped back up following my path. Wave 4 of V was indeed complete at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node just above the daily 200EMA. The daily R1 pivot has been claimed. The uptrend is well intact. 📈 Daily RSI is showing bearish divergence as price falters 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close below wave 4, $30 Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities 🎯 Hut is in the SD+2 overheated zone, where it is expected to spend <5% of the time. Price has a tendency to rally above the SD+3 threshold before being rejected, characteristic of low-cap assets. Price is well above fv, traders should be cautious 👉Fair value is ~$20 Safe trading
NASDAQ:HUT
by Maddox_Metrics
CIFR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:CIFR 🎯 The triangle has flipped to a bearish-looking triangle. This is a penultimate pattern, we can expect price to thrust lower, test the daily 200EMA, end the correction and then makes its way to new highs. l pattern Wave d of the triangle may still be underway, wave e is expected to end at the daily pivot where price currently sits, above the daily 200EMA, showing the uptrend is still intact but flattening. 📈 Daily RSI is neutral, reflecting triangle dynamics 👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave b or above wave a. Safe trading
NASDAQ:CIFR
by Maddox_Metrics
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Support & Resistance Analysis Here is my updated structure analysis for Gold. Resistance 1: 5096 - 5112 area Resistance 2: 5196 - 5212 area Resistance 3: 5296 - 5312 area Support 1: 4988 - 5010 area Support 2: 4758 - 4773 area Support 3: 4629 - 4644 area Support 4: 4536 - 4550 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
9
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Trend Intact Below the $5,000 Supply ZoneHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Gold is trading within a well-defined bullish trend, supported by a clean ascending channel that has guided price higher from the lower levels. Earlier in the move, XAUUSD respected the lower boundary of the channel and formed a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming sustained buyer control. During this advance, price entered a consolidation range, signaling temporary balance and accumulation before continuation. This range eventually resolved to the upside, triggering a strong impulsive breakout and accelerating bullish momentum. After the breakout, Gold pushed higher within the ascending channel and approached a major Supply Zone near the psychological 5,000 level. At this area, price showed hesitation and formed a fake breakout above resistance, indicating that sellers were active near the highs. Following this rejection, XAUUSD pulled back toward the mid-lower area of the channel, where previous resistance has now turned into a Demand Zone around 4,870. This zone aligns with channel support and a key structural level, making it an important area for buyer reaction. The recent dip into demand appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting a pause within the broader uptrend. Currently, XAUUSD is trading above the demand zone and remains inside the ascending channel, with buyers defending structure. The market is compressing after the pullback, which often precedes continuation in trending conditions. My scenario: as long as Gold holds above the 4,870 demand zone and continues to respect the ascending channel, the bullish bias remains intact. A renewed push higher could lead to another test of the 5,000 Supply Zone (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this level would confirm trend continuation and open the door for further upside expansion. However, failure to hold demand and a breakdown below channel support would weaken the bullish setup and signal a deeper corrective phase. For now, structure and momentum continue to favor buyers. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by heniitrading
18
GBPJPY: targets at 214 and 216🛠 Technical Analysis: On the H4 chart, GBPJPY remains in a clear ascending channel, keeping the broader bullish structure intact. Price is currently in a pullback toward the 211.8–210.9 support area, where buyers previously defended momentum. The SMA cluster (50/100) is nearby and can act as a pivot—holding above support favors a continuation push. A sustained rebound from this zone opens the path back toward the 214.25 resistance, with the channel top as a potential extension. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: 212.238 🎯 Take Profit: 214.249 🔴 Stop Loss: 210.874 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Long
by Trade8Eight