USDCAD back to falling?USDCAD waiting for retest from Break out of TrendLine for a continuing drop in the London session.
Commodities
Gold Eyes 4,000 — Key Buy Zone Ahead!!Hey Traders,
Today we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD, which continues to trade firmly within its medium-term uptrend. Price is currently pulling back in a healthy correction, and the 4,000 zone stands out as a major confluence level — a structural support, previous reaction area, and dynamic trend touchpoint.
A controlled dip into this zone could attract fresh buyers, especially with markets still leaning toward risk caution and demand for safe-haven flows remaining elevated. As long as the broader trend structure holds, Gold may attempt another leg higher from this area.
Trade safe,
Joe.
QuyetP | Gold edging up… eyes on 4100TVC:GOLD is doing that type of move I call “small bite, not a feast.”
Quiet. Controlled. But real.
Bond yields keep softening — U.S. 10Y slipping another ~2–3bps, and gold reacts instantly, almost hypersensitive.
Risk tone is cooling: equities slowing, crypto losing that wild edge → a thin stream of defensive flow shows up.
TVC:DXY losing momentum from earlier sessions → gives gold the oxygen it needed.
And when gold gets oxygen, it usually climbs slow… but steady.
Right now, 4100 is the clean, realistic target. Close enough to trust, far enough to matter.
QuyetP’s view:
This isn’t a big trend. It’s a light move.
Let it touch 4100 — then I reassess. No greed. No forcing. Small waves get small bites.
Do you think gold is truly waking up… or just stretching before it lies back down?
How to build a Healthy Trading MindsetMany traders underestimate how much psychology shapes their results. This guide outlines the foundations of a strong trading mindset that supports consistent and disciplined decision-making.
1. Understand That Emotional Discipline Is a Skill
Trading naturally triggers emotions such as fear, frustration, greed, and impatience. These reactions are not weaknesses; they are human. What separates consistent traders from inconsistent ones is their ability to recognize emotions without acting on them.
A resilient mindset comes from training, not talent.
2. Create Distance Between Yourself and Your Trades
Do not tie your self-worth to the outcome of a single position. A loss does not mean you failed, and a win does not mean you are skilled. When traders begin to link identity to results, they make impulsive decisions.
Use phrases like “this trade” instead of “my trade” to remove ownership bias.
3. Focus on Process, Not Profit
Most traders sabotage themselves by obsessing over the end result. The market does not reward effort; it rewards alignment with probability.
Instead of thinking “How much can I make?”, think “Did I execute according to my plan?”
Your trading plan should define your entries, exits, risk, and market conditions. Follow it even when it feels uncomfortable.
4. Accept Uncertainty as Part of the Game
No setup is guaranteed. Every trade, no matter how perfect, carries uncertainty. Accepting this prevents you from forcing control where none exists.
When you fully accept uncertainty, you no longer fear it.
5. Build Consistency Through Routine
A stable routine reduces mental noise. Examples include:
• Reviewing your plan before each session
• Limiting how many markets you monitor
• Taking breaks after high-stress situations
• Logging your trades with honest notes
When your routine is consistent, your decisions become consistent.
6. Use Losses as Data, Not Drama
A loss is not a personal attack from the market. It is information.
Ask: “What does this loss teach me about my system or my mindset?”
If you can extract value from losses, they become opportunities instead of obstacles.
7. Master Patience
Most trading errors come from acting too soon, not too late. Patience means waiting for your setup without deviation.
If you need to be in a trade at all times, it is no longer trading; it is compulsion.
8. Protect Your Mental Capital
Mental capital is as important as financial capital. Overtrading, revenge trading, and excessive chart time drain your cognitive energy.
Stop trading when you notice fatigue, frustration, or impulsiveness. A clear mind is an advantage.
9. Develop Long-Term Thinking
Think in terms of series, not individual outcomes. A single win or loss means little. What matters is the overall direction of your equity curve.
Professional traders think in months and years. Amateurs think in minutes.
Conclusion
A powerful trading mindset is built through consistency, self-awareness, and emotional control. By focusing on process and discipline rather than short-term results, you create a stable internal environment that supports longevity in the markets.
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 4,010.78
- Strong pullback support
- 78.6% Fib retracement
- 161.8% Fib extension
Stop Loss: 3,928.49
- Multi-swing low support
Take Profit: 4,109.35
- Overlap resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
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GOLD → Retest 4050 in a weak market...FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off support at 4000 and forming a correction towards 4050, an important resistance level. The market's main focus is on the September employment report (NFP), which will be released on Thursday.
Key pressure factors:
The strong dollar is supported by hawkish statements from the Fed and risk aversion. The probability of a rate cut in December has fallen to 42%.
Support for gold: Demand for government bonds has lowered the yield on 10-year Treasuries, allowing gold to rebound to $4045.
A series of negative labor market reports keeps risks alive.
Gold remains under pressure. A break below $4000 will open the way to $3950, while a rise above $4050 will require weak NFP data or dovish Fed rhetoric. The week will determine the direction
Resistance levels: 4050, 4090
Support levels: 4000, 3965
The market is beginning to doubt the local bullish structure. Strong trend support is breaking down and the previously broken level is being retested. If the bears keep the price below 4045-4050, gold could continue to decline. However, it is worth keeping an eye on the news in the second half of this week...
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAU/USD Intraday Plan – Watching Reaction at Support ZoneAfter a brief consolidation yesterday, gold dropped into the Support Zone and is currently trading around 4014. Market structure remains bearish, with price sitting below both the MA50 and MA200. The series of rejection wicks shows buyers are trying to push back, but momentum is still with the sellers for now.
The first resistance is at 4027. For buyers to gain traction, we need a clean break above 4027, followed by a break above 4053 — only then could we see an attempt toward 4078.
If price fails to hold the Support Zone and breaks below 3,996, the next downside target becomes the HTF Support Zone — a major area where buyers have reacted strongly in the past.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4027
4053
4078
Support:
3996
3968
3921
USDCAD: Patient Fed & oil drop support iH&S projection to 1.4370USDCAD is building an interesting medium-term setup as crude oil weakness combines with Fed patience and supports dollar strength against the loonie, with an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern pointing to a measured-move target near 1.4370.
Crude oil recently broke below $60, directly pressuring the Canadian dollar since Canada is a major commodity exporter. Meanwhile, the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts, despite labour market softness ahead of a potential partial NFP on Friday, keeps the buck bid as investors hold dollars for yield.
The technical structure confirms what the macro backdrop suggests: USDCAD has room to run higher from current levels.
Key drivers
Oil breakdown hurts CAD: crude slipped below $60 recently, and every time oil weakens, the commodity-linked loonie follows. This correlation has been tracking cleanly since July, when USDCAD turned higher alongside the energy sell-off.
Fed patience supports USD: Despite labour-market weakness signals from existing data releases, the Fed isn't rushing to cut in December, and a patient central bank typically supports the dollar because investors can hold dollars and earn decent carry while awaiting clarity on policy.
Inverse H&S pattern: The technical setup shows a head near 1.3537, a neckline breakout near 1.3900, and a clean retest at 1.3985 (former 2022 resistance turned support). The measured move from head to neckline brings 1.4370 into play, with intermediate targets at swing levels.
RSI reset above 50: After showing flat divergence at the recent highs, the RSI has reset by bouncing cleanly off the 50 line on the daily chart, suggesting momentum has room for another leg higher before any overbought concern.
Use 1.3985 as your line in the sand, consider longs above this level with the first target at the peak of 1.4145 (validation of the breakout), the second at 1.4250, and trail stops toward 1.4370 if momentum holds. Watch for oil to remain below $60 and Fed messaging to stay cautious, as a daily close below 1.3985 would shift the bias to consolidation, while full pattern invalidation sits at 1.3720.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,168.46
Target Level: 4,053.04
Stop Loss: 4,244.92
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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How to navigate volatile market conditions after the government #XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
As I mentioned on Friday, if the closing price failed to stabilize above 4110-4120, gold would weaken further on Monday. Sure enough, gold again fluctuated downwards, testing the 4050 support level.
With Friday's panic selling gradually subsiding and the US government reopening, significant fluctuations are unlikely in the short term. Key data such as NFP and PMI may be released this week. Before the data is released, the market may be relatively cautious, and I think the market may tend to fluctuate and recover.
Short-term support levels to watch are 4050-4030. If the price retraces and tests this support again during the European session, we can try to continue going long on gold.
PRE-LONDON CONDITIONS — DXY Range-Bound, Yields Slide, ES HeavyU.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds a tight 98.99–99.59 range in a third consecutive inside bar.
U.S. 10-year yield drops ~1.01% in Asia.
U.S. 2-year yield falls ~1.27%.
S&P 500 futures (ES) extend lower toward the 6.571 fractal.
Gold tests support after filling imbalance.
Volatility remains elevated.
DXY — Dollar Index
Dollar stays inside 98.991–99.591.
Inside-bar stack remains unbroken.
Price sits near the 0.6 premium zone.
Neutral until London breaks the range.
Yields — 10Y & 2Y
10Y yield: -1.01% in Asia → long-end compression.
2Y yield: -1.27% → dovish policy tone.
Curve: both ends lower → risk-off positioning.
ES — S&P 500 Futures
ES moves lower toward 6.571.
Yesterday’s high-volatility expansion continues.
Tone remains defensive.
Gold — Safety Premium
Gold fills imbalance and presses into support.
Break = active safety flows.
Hold = passive bid.
Volatility
VIX closed pre-London.
Futures hold elevated regime.
Conditions favor fast intraday expansions.
Calendar Risk
Medium-tier data ahead.
Yesterday’s partial data production repeats → limited visibility.
Expect flow-driven moves until major prints arrive.
Execution View
DXY bias neutral inside range.
Yields down + ES down = risk-off.
Gold support = key inflection.
London expansion outside 98.99–99.59 sets direction.
Trade second move, not first spike.
Summary:
Dollar trapped. Yields lower. ES heavy. Gold at support.
Fragile pre-London environment; London’s first expansion defines the session.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
USOIL Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 59.384.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 61.007 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAU/USD – Bearish Momentum Approaches Key Support ZoneGold continues to trade within a clear downtrend on the H1 timeframe, respecting the descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. Price is now moving toward a major support zone — an area that has previously triggered strong bullish reactions — making it a critical level to watch for today’s session.
Technical Outlook
Trendline: Price continues to respect the descending trendline, confirming strong bearish control.
Support Zone: 3,985 – 3,995 remains the most important demand area. This zone has acted as a reversal base multiple times.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance: 4,025 – 4,035 (trendline confluence)
Upper resistance: 4,065 – 4,075
Indicators:
EMA Structure: Price remains below short-term EMAs → indicates sellers remain dominant.
RSI: Approaching oversold territory, suggesting a possible technical rebound.
Fibonacci: The 0.618 retracement aligns closely with the support area, increasing its reliability.
Price Behavior
The chart shows two previous consolidation boxes (accumulation phases), followed by expansions. The current structure is a deep pullback into major support. If selling pressure weakens at this zone, a short-term rebound toward the trendline is likely before the market decides its next major direction.
Trading Strategy
Scenario 1 – Bullish Rebound at 3,985 – 3,995
Wait for bullish confirmation candles + increasing volume.
Entry: 3,995 – 4,005
Target 1: 4,025
Target 2: 4,065
Stop-loss: below 3,975
Scenario 2 – Breakdown Below Support
Only trade if price closes clearly below 3,985.
Entry: around 3,980
Target 1: 3,960
Target 2: 3,930
Stop-loss: above 4,010
Final Note
The overall structure still favors the bearish side, but the support zone below is a decision point for the market. Observe price action carefully before entering. Follow for more daily strategies and insights, and save this analysis if you find it helpful.
Another Gold-Silver Pair Trade Oppurtunity?Gold/Silver tell many tales for metal traders. Usually, when metal prices falling hard or during extreme risks (like April when Trump announced tariffes) the ratio goes higher while market rallying the ratio goes lower. The less liquidty in silver market relative to gold is one of the reasons for that. But now metals in selloff mode and ratio is going down, it is giving mixed signals.
In any case, if the ratio holds around this support which is also very near to 5 year -1 standard deviaton from average, buying gold and selling silver could be an idea that I'm currently thinking about but not yet pull the trigger.
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 3992.755
💰TP: 3853.896
⛔️SL: 4067.971
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Gold is moving in line with the previous sell scenario, and this medium-term trade remains relevant. In the shorter term, additional selling below the point of control (POC) level, around 3992.755, could also be considered. An alternative short-term scenario is selling near 4100, where the last accumulation is located. The downside target is currently considered to be in the 3800-3900 area, but a decline to 3600-3700 remains possible.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.15351
💰TP: 1.14184
⛔️SL: 1.15903
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The main scenario for selling via a breakout of the 1.15500 - 1.16000 support area remains. The USD is gaining momentum and is likely to continue strengthening in the medium term. Against this backdrop, a shorter-term sell-off is being looked for. The lows from early this week serving as a potential sell entry point. Downside targets are considered as low as 1.14000.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 17 - Nov 21]Last week, OANDA:XAUUSD prices rose from $3,999/oz to $4,245/oz, but then fell sharply to $4,032/oz and closed the week at $4,084/oz.
The reason gold prices rose sharply last week after news of the US government reopening was because White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) may never release October employment and inflation data because the federal government was shut down during this period, not doing statistical work. These comments put the USD under selling pressure, pushing gold prices above $4,200/oz.
However, hawkish comments from Fed officials later pushed gold prices down sharply to $4,032/oz. Specifically, St. Louis Fed Governor Alberto Musalem said that the labor market is expected to remain at near full employment and the Fed needs to be cautious in operating monetary policy at this time. Meanwhile, Minneapolis Fed Governor Neel Kashkari emphasized that inflation is still too high, meaning the Fed should pause interest rate cuts.
The sharp decline in market expectations of a Fed rate cut in December may continue to have a negative impact on gold prices in the short term. However, gold prices will hardly fall sharply as macro risks and geopolitical conflicts persist and central banks’ demand for gold continues to increase.
📌According to technical analysis, the support level for gold prices next week is at 3,930 USD/oz. If it holds above this level, gold prices will continue to hover around 4,000 USD/oz in the short term. However, if gold prices fall below this level next week, they may fall to the 3,800 USD/oz area.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4176 - 4174⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4180
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3949 - 3951⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3945
GOLD H1 – Will Retail Sales Trigger Gold’s Next Big Move?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (17/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside a corrective phase as markets anticipate today’s U.S. Retail Sales data and several Fed speeches — both crucial for assessing whether inflation momentum is slowing or rebounding.
• Weak retail numbers may hint at cooling consumer strength, supporting safe-haven bids in gold.
• Strong data could revive USD demand, prompting sell-side setups from premium zones.
Institutional flows show engineered pushes into inefficiency before a directional leg unfolds.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Gold is forming a short-term accumulation at the discount range after consecutive bearish candles and a deep liquidity sweep below 4030.
• FVG Sell Zone: 4140–4138 aligns with an unmitigated FVG + internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions.
• Discount Zone: 4008–4010 is the last clean demand zone + sweep area, matching the chart’s projected bullish inducement.
• Liquidity:
→ Buy-side liquidity rests above 4140.
→ Sell-side liquidity remains exposed near 4000–3995.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,140 – 4,138
• Stop-Loss: 4,150
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,095 (intra-day imbalance fill)
→ 4,060 (previous BOS block)
→ 4,010 (discount accumulation area)
📌 Trade only after a liquidity sweep into FVG + bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,010 – 4,008
• Stop-Loss: 4,000
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,060 (short-term structure high)
→ 4,095 (mid-range inefficiency)
→ 4,138 (final premium reaction zone)
📌 Valid if price sweeps 4008 and shows bullish BOS + displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect volatility during the U.S. Retail Sales release.
• Avoid chasing price inside the 4060–4100 chop region.
• Lock profits at each liquidity level and trail stops.
• Keep total risk under 1–2% per setup.
📝 Summary
Gold remains in a engineered pullback phase with clear liquidity pockets at both extremes.
• Sell Zone: 4140–4138 (FVG / premium reaction zone)
• Buy Zone: 4008–4010 (discount accumulation zone)
A clean manipulation–reaction–continuation pattern is likely before the next intraday move.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
Check out my TradingView profile for special gifts 🎁
GOLD DAILY TRADING 11/17: BUY TODAY🦁 THE GOLDEN ARENA – NOV 17, 2025
“Rebound or Trap? Let the Orderflow Decide.”
A visually striking TradingView plan – part narrative, part tactical map. This is not just a bias, it’s a battlefield strategy.
🧭 MARKET CONTEXT SNAPSHOT
Price currently consolidating around 4076 – 4084, after clean breaks of structure (BOS) and a deep retracement.
Significant supply zones confirmed at 4157 – 4180, where POC clusters, FVG imbalances, and volume absorptions align.
Orderflow on M5–M30 shows fading buy pressure and aggressive sells into lower highs.
🎯 CORE STRATEGIES FOR TODAY
🔺 Scenario 1: Breakout Trap SELL (High Conviction)
Target Zone 4178 – 4180 (Main Supply)
Stop Loss (SL) 4185
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4155 (Low volume node)
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4100 (Local support)
Take Profit 3 (TP3) 4040 (Structural SSL level)
🔍 Why this setup?
Clear liquidity pool above 4178 being targeted.
Volume tapering off into the move → classic reversal signal.
Footprint shows absorption candles at key supply.
🪙 Scenario 2: FVG Scalping SELL (Secondary)
Entry Zone 4157 – 4158
SL 4163
TP 4100 – 4105
✅ Perfect for short-term scalpers looking to ride the intraday rejection from the imbalance zone.
🟢 Bullish Reversal INVALIDATION (Failsafe Plan)
Trigger Break and hold above 4185
Entry Breakout Buy above 4190
SL 4175
TP 4220
Only flip bullish if aggressive buyers step in + strong delta + profile breakout.
🧱 KEY PRICE ZONES TO MONITOR
Level Description
4185 Stopline – invalidates Sell
4178 – 4180 Main SELL Zone (POC + FVG)
4157 – 4158 Minor FVG Scalping Area
4100 Micro support + Bull trap
4040 SSL – liquidity target
📊 VOLUME & ORDERFLOW INSIGHT
M5–M30 Footprints:
Massive seller imbalances from 4175+
Footprint at 4084 shows buyer exhaustion
Volume Profile:
High-volume node at 4178 acting as strong resistance
Low-volume gap below 4155 → fast price travel zone
Delta:
Negative delta buildup confirming sell bias
💡 EXECUTION CHECKLIST
✅ Wait for entry trigger at marked zones – don’t pre-empt.
🚫 Avoid FOMO buy into supply unless 4185 is cleanly broken.
🔔 Set alerts at 4157 and 4180 for rejection signs.
🧠 TRADING MANTRA OF THE DAY
"The chart speaks in structure,
The volume whispers the truth,
But the orderflow shouts the conviction."
📌 Bias: SELL on retracements toward supply → hold for 4100–4040
📌 Watchlist: Footprint aggression, absorption blocks, spoof traps
Looking for the Sweep leading into a bigger Play! Price bled lower through the entire Asian session after yesterday’s late breakdown, continuing the move away from the prior value area. We’re now trading inside a cluster of intraday inefficiencies with clean liquidity sitting below at 4013 and the psychological 4000 level.
My focus going into London and NY is patience.
Asia’s slow descent is typically a continuation phase, not the actual entry. I want to see:
A sweep of 4013 or 4000
A clear displacement reaction
A retrace back into a fresh M5–M15 FVG
Then structure confirming continuation or reversal
Until that happens, this remains a bearish environment with untested Weekly imbalance still below. If buyers don’t defend 4013 with force, the algo will likely reach for the 4000 liquidity pocket next.
Staying reactive, not predictive.
London will reveal whether this breakdown continues or sets the trap for a reversal.
GOLD Bearish Pennant! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD bearish pennant has already broken down, confirming displacement and shifting orderflow bearish. Price is now likely to target the next liquidity pocket below. Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Fear & Greed Index — Rebuilt as a Macro Oscillator for CryptoThe Fear & Greed Index is everywhere — a popular way to gauge market sentiment.
But it's usually just a mix of volatility, momentum, and social buzz...
📉 Not exactly macro.
This script is a technical reinterpretation of the Fear & Greed concept — but grounded in real, measurable economic behavior .
🧠 The Core Idea
This indicator is powered by the Copper/Gold ratio , a time-tested signal used by economists and institutional traders to track macroeconomic cycles:
- 🟢 When Copper outperforms → the economy is likely expanding → risk-on → Greed
- 🔴 When Gold outperforms → the economy may be contracting → risk-off → Fear
Copper represents industrial growth , while Gold signals defensive capital flows .
We track this ratio over time using a Z-Score oscillator to identify when sentiment is statistically stretched in either direction — highlighting moments of macro-level greed or fear.
📊 Why It Matters for Crypto
Crypto doesn’t live in a vacuum.
It's highly sensitive to the broader risk environment.
This oscillator gives you a macro lens to help:
- Anticipate bullish or bearish shifts in crypto markets
- Avoid common emotional traps at sentiment extremes
- Build entries or exits around macro confluence zones
It doesn’t tell you when to buy or sell — it tells you when the market context is shifting .
🔧 How to Use It
- Watch for the Z-Score entering > +2 (Greed) or < -2 (Fear)
- Use it to confirm broader risk-on/off behavior
- Combine with BTC or ETH price for potential lead/lag relationships
- Customize the tickers to test other macro pairs (e.g. SPX/VIX, BTC/DXY)
📈 Built with Pine Script v6
🔍 Default Tickers: CAPITALCOM:COPPER vs TVC:GOLD
📦 Fully customizable inputs, clean visual design, alert-ready
💡 Use this to trade with context — not emotion.
If you found this useful, give it a like and drop your feedback or improvements below 👇
Gold Near Channel Support – Bulls Preparing for Another Leg Up?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is approaching the Support zone($4,193 – $4,137) and the lower line of the ascending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like Gold is completing the main wave 4 .
I expect Gold increase from the Support zone($4,193 – $4,137) to Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance zone($4,316 – $4,270) .
First Target: $4,253
Second Target: $4,297
Stop Loss(SL): $4,133
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
