s&p 500 analysis - 03 mar 2023hope all you traders are doing great! here are my observations of the s&p...
- so for two days (thursday and wednesday) the market was at a level of support, and price tried to breakout of this support level (on lower time frames) but broke back in to show that it has been respected
- the rejection of yesterdays daily candle are seen as an inverse head and shoulders on the H1
- yesterdays candle closed off bullish, and with a lot of momentum seen by the long body
- and it broke through an intraday level of resistance 3968.71 which is now our support, but price has already retested that level on the london open
- so now i am currently waiting for my peach resistance to get broken and i will go long on the retest of that zone
- but i could be wrong this is just what I THINK WILL HAPPEN ;)
Consistency
Sniper Trading System EURUSDThere is genius in simplicity.
On Friday's the market typically reverses.
So we use the Data of the previous days of the week to determine where price is and if it's time for a reversal.
A simple chart analysis of this pattern let's the Snip0er know what direction price is going:)
It's been a great week of trading with you all and showing you my Sniper Trading System.
Never over leverage.
Trust your trade set up.
Have Fun!!!
I Am Trading Made Simple.
Master Jedi & Sensi of #SniperGang
gbpjpy analysis - 01 mar 2023happy first of the month!! hope we all have profitable months :)
so here it goes...
- on the daily market closed below the downward trendline yesterday
- down to the H4 a bearish engulfing formed closing two previous bullish candles
- a head and shoulder pattern formed which is more clearer on the H1
- entry could have been taken at the london open where the right shoulder formed
- but now we WAIT for a breakout of the neckline and depending on how aggressive your entries are you can enter at the immediate breakout or wait for a retest of the neckline
- and just like every other trade I DO NOT KNOW WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT, i'll just act on my edge and SEE WHAT HAPPENS
us30 analysis - 27 feb 2023hope all you successful traders are doing great and cheers to a profitable week!
here goes my us30 analysis...
- on the daily timeframe market respected a level of support and closed above it
- down on the H4 and H1 market formed a double bottom and broke its neckline
- also forming HH and HL around the significant level of support
- so the two peach yellow zones are where i'll be looking to catch this move so a retest of the 32875 or wait for the 32912 zone to get broken then i'll go long
- but market could carry on being bearish so we'll see what happens
gold analysis - 24 feb 2023my top down analysis goes like this...
- market broke out the 1829 level of support on the daily support
- yesterdays daily candle retested (broke in and broke out) to respect that level of structure which is our new resistance
- currently on the H4 market is still respecting structure and is showing signs of a bearish move with the long wicks
- just took a trade on those wicks but i'll be monitoring what market does because i see signs of an inverse head and shoulder which could work against us
- but tp is at 1812 and sl is placed at 1828 above the wicks so we'll see which one gets hit today
nas100 analysis - 06 feb 2023too late with publishing this trade i took on nas100 but my reasons were as follows
- a double top formed last week at a significant resistance level
- market then broke the neckline of that double top
- waited for a retest of that neckline which occured at the london open and the new york open
- waited for a formation of a lower high on the M5 after the rejection than placed my sells
- take profits are at the 12187 level then we'll see what price does when it gets there
S&P 500 analysis - 06 feb 2023hope all you guys are doing fantastic here's my analysis for the s&p 500
- market made a higher high at around 4190
- then went on to make lower highs while breaking higher lows
- initial entry could have been taken last week thursday, but market showed signs of continuation and at the london open it retested the support level where my entry was taken
- take profits are at 4083 and we will see what the market decides to do when it gets there
- if it breaks that support i will wait for a retest and go short, if it respects that level then i will look for a bullish reversal pattern and/or wait for the formation of a higher low point where i will place my long trades
God bless!
:)
Trade setups I would take and how to manage riskJust like this. Buy and sell limits above and below structure, as in the most recent highs/lows, with your TP in general being a return to structure. Brutally easy way to scalp and make money.
Few more examples...
This one shows where the stop loss might be. In general, I go with a 2/3 or 3/4 type rule, where I'll have a wide cluster of limits, then a gap, then a hard stop that closes all of them. Just in case. Your order clusters should be wide enough with this strategy that it almost never gets hit. Regular market movement should not be hitting your stop loss. That kind of behavior should generally be reserved for news events that catch you off guard.
Now as far as actual risk goes, this is entirely determined by you and no one else. There's no single correct way to do this. A lot of people are dead set on the idea that you should never risk 10% of your account, but how big is the account? Is it $10,000? Is it $100? If it's $100, why not risk $50+ when the odds of a loss are very low?
On EUR/USD, you might have a hard stop loss of 50 pips with 15 tickets separated by 2 pips each. Each ticket would be 1k (0.01 lots).
If 1 pip on a 1k is $0.10, then a 50 pip stop loss is $5.
Your second ticket is 2 pips away, so that loss would be $4.80. Third $4.60, and so on. It's doable, right?
Maybe the price dips 20 pips into your counter-trend limit cluster, eating 10 limits. Then the price returns to the support or resistance near your starting point, and you decide to close all of your tickets.
The profits from that would be $2.00, then $1.80, then $1.60, and so on. That might not seem like much in comparison to the stop loss, but consider this: your stop loss will have a 0-5% chance of ever getting hit. It's straight profit. And it's constant, and consistent. I cannot stress that enough! You can be doing this all day long.
So, what if you want to follow a trend in this manner? It's the same deal, really... just throw limit orders below (or above) trending wicks. Like this:
It's all just structure. You bet with structure, and you bet against structure. At all times.
You only require a 50% retracement from your starting ticket in order to break even. If you even feel uncomfortable with what's going on in front of you, it doesn't take much for you to get out safely and start over with a new cluster of limits. There is absolutely nothing wrong with closing out safely. You'll be trading so frequently you aren't even a little bit obligated to let things "play out".
Maybe you don't like how quickly the momentum built into your cluster, and it retraces down to the 50% area so you wanna break even, but then you start laying more limits above and below because you believe that momentum is likely to slow down.
I'm gonna tear down a phrase that I'm sick of hearing: the trend is your friend .
The trend could be the worst friend you've ever had. Sometimes he's really cool, and he's the life of the party. But he really likes hanging out with you, especially when nothing is going on. He really likes to wait! He doesn't exactly value your time, and he's perfectly content sitting in a chair next to you watching paint dry. He smacks the remote out of your hand when you try to turn on the TV. This trend guy can be a real jerk sometimes. You also suspect he might be bi-polar, because sometimes when you get excited to do things with him, his mood shifts the moment you open your mouth and suddenly the fun has been sucked out of the room.
That is the trend. On some pairs like USD/JPY, a trend can go on for a very long time, and there's a lot of money to be made. The problem is it is speculative . You don't know where that trend is going to end. Nobody is clairvoyant, and most people will make incorrect guesses. If you simply remove this requirement of speculation, where you have to be "correct" in your guesses in order to make money, you will do better in almost any market.
If your goal in trading is to make consistent money, then the trend is not your friend. He's an acquaintance at best. You have to associate with him in business and that's about it. You spend just as much time associating with the counter-trend, because you should be doing business with both of them constantly.
Now, on the other hand, if your goal is to invest (AKA gambling), that's a separate concept entirely. You're trying to grow a tree from a seed when you invest, and there's nothing wrong with that. But most people cannot live off of it. You can't even order pizza with your investments until they come to fruition.
A trader can make consistent money every single day, without knowing or caring where the market is going or what it's going to do. Price continues trend, price retests, trader makes money. Price reverses, price retests, trader makes money. That's it . No waiting for retarded "key support levels", no waiting for "confirmation", no speculation, no technical analysis. Just raw risk management, getting in and out of the market quickly and constantly.
Now, the one downside to being this kind of trader is you generally can't do this easily with the basic tools provided by your platform, meaning you would need scripts, EAs or whatever in order to quickly deploy limit clusters. The tool I'm working on allows me to drag a horizontal line on the screen, and I have a panel of buttons that do interesting things. I can click "Sell limits" and a whole bunch of sell limit orders appear just above the line. I can move that line again and click "Adjust TP", and the take profits for all of those orders will appear right below the structural retest point I'm targeting. I have buttons to close profits, to close pendings, close all tickets... it's just the bees knees. This is an MT5 EA, which most people won't be using, but I trade on CryptoAltum so that's what I use. I will leave it here for free.
Lastly, have some limit order porn. Every single rectangle is a place where you could've had limits that got filled and made money. On really strong trends, you might notice that the retracement only returns to around the 50% point of your limit cluster, but you'll notice how uncommon that is and how easily you could've gotten out with little to no loss.
A lot of the time, I won't even restrict myself to structure (swing highs and swing lows) even though that's the most reliable way to do it. I'll literally just put limits above and below any wick because I feel like it and I can make a profit in all likelihood.
...Anyway. I hope you enjoyed this write-up. Leave a comment if you did, or have any questions!
us30 analysis (09 aug - 13 aug)similar to my nas100 analysis, us30 has been in an uptrend but on here the downward trendline has not been broken but my bias is still strongly bullish with the possibility of a bearish move
1. firstly i'll be waiting for a break and close above the trendline to go long
2. or a break below the previous higher low point to go short
3. but there's a correlation between nas100 and us30 so if i'll just wait and see and what happens
nas100 analysis (08 aug - 13 aug)nasdaq has been in an uptrend for just over a month now so the chances of it continuing with this trend are highly likely and as seen by my analysis...
1. on the daily it broke above the downward trendline
2. market retested both the trendline and broken resistance on friday
3. entries can be taken if prices comes back down to the support level or if it breaks the daily resistance
possible that market can just turn bearish but i will wait and see what happens on the next trading day but my current bias is bullish
Bitcoin in 1 Minute - Day 23Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
23 out of 500 days done.
I truly appreciate your continuous support everyone!
Let me know if you like the series, and if you would like me to change or add anything.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin in 1 Minute - Day 10Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
I just started a new series where I will analyze Bitcoin in 1 minute for 500 Days!
Let me know if you like the idea.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Shocking Truths about Trading no one talks about EP1.After 5 years of self-educating myself in the art of trading while undergoing brutal consistent losses, these are the truths that set me on the path of surprising consistency after internalizing them.....I hope it will for you guys and give more inspiration to the already consistent ones.
Shocking Truths no one talks about in trading:
1. You may have the best strategy, signal provider or learned everything about trading, but what counts is what happens to that knowledge 5 seconds before pressing the buy/sell button.
2. What is Mathematically optimal is Psychologically impossible.
If you have a strategy that gets wins of 25R but has like 12 losses in a row, DUMP IT.
Mathematically, you will make money at the end, Psychologically you will quit before you take trade 13.
3. You start winning in trading when you believe you can lose (Trading Paradox).
Consistently profitable traders have one thing in common: they place their next trade like it was already a loser.
4. Extremely good analysts are most often bad traders....you can be right about the direction but fail in the critically important aspect of Entry timing and still lose the trade.
5. IT IS THE SIMPLE THINGS THAT WORK!.
Most people will tell you to look for complex strategies that look for "Random walk algorithmic discrepancies that rhyme with Chaos theories....and all that blah..." But I have been on that path and I hate to break it to you that a guy/girl using only support and resistance and simple moving average crossovers with a verified and bactested edge and discipline will most likely be more profitable.
5. THE MORE OBVIOUS A TRADE IS THE GREATER THE CHANCES YOU LOSE IT.
Most people think that if a trade has soooo many confluences it is more likely to work....well that might be true to an extent after which it is a blatant fallacy. From historical data and my own personal LIVE trading results, the probability of a trade working out reduces DRASTICALLY when the number of confluences crosses 5.
I theorize that this happens because market makers will see all the orders placed at that point is soo much(cause everyone will see the opportunity with their different approaches) and take them all out.
6. No one can sell a money printer, cause it has no price.
If someone offers to sell you a robot or STRATEGY that triples your money every month, laugh and pass, if you don't and end up buying that....you deserved to be scammed.
Think about it the person can just take $100 and apply his/her magic to it and print out Elon Musk's networth in lower than 3 years using compounding......and he/she will sell you that for $2000?, you must be kidding me!.
7. Your consistency has nothing to do with your strategy but your mind.
I can bet you my life's earnings, that there is someone out there, using your exact entry and exit rules but is profitable and you are not.
A better strategy brings in more profit, but any random edge with the right mindset and risk management MUST be profitable.
8. Almost everything in life is a pyramid-scheme, & survival of the fittest and trading is not left out.
No matter how much we desire to the contrary, it is IMPERATIVE THAT TRADING HAS MORE LOSERS THAN WINNERS.
The winners in trading have to be relatively fewer cause they win a lot and hence they need soo many losers to give them that money.
There is no bank that hands at money to you when you win, your job as a trader is to outsmart some other fellow and TAKE his/her money and once you come to terms that every dollar lost by you trading, is a dollar gained by someone else in this zero-sum game, you will realize only YOU has got your own back.
9. You can NEVER completely eliminate emotions in trading but you can set rules that allow you trade only when you are at your optimal state, and gives you a day or two vacation when you are down.
10. Reading this article will definitely NOT HELP YOU, it is remembering it the moment before you place your next trade that will.
Pls LIKE and Subscribe, I want to know what you think about this article and which point you agree with the most or disagree with.
Tell me whether it helped you in any way and if we get 50 likes and 20 comments I will consider making the next episode.
Learning This Pattern Will Change Your Trading Forever.I trade from a strictly fundamental standpoint. The reason that 95% of traders are failing is because they are simply looking at a chart. The catalysts behind the movements of the chart and the why behind what's going happening on the charts is the news. Technical Analysis can only be applied properly once you have an objective, data based bias on the market.
I call this pattern the market maker news pattern.
Depending on whether or not it is a bullish or bearish day, this pattern can be found all over the charts on any given week.
It happens on every chart.
When you understand the why behind this pattern and can recognize it while it is happening, you will be able to catch massive moves in the market that happen very quickly.
I hope this helps you grab a billion points and pips!
Blessings to you and your trading!
What Does Consistency Mean In Trading ? Hello traders:
Today let's talk about “consistency” in trading.
Many traders understand they need to be consistent, but what exactly is consistent in trading ?
To me, it's not just making consistent “profit”, rather it's being consistent with your trading strategy, risk management, trading psychology, mindset and emotion.
Let's take a look at a few examples of consistency in trading:
Consistency in profits:
More often traders think about hitting a set amount of % return in consistency.
This is certainly one way to look at it, but I would say to challenge ourselves to do more.
Each and every month, the market will develop differently, hence our profits are not gonna always be the “same” each and every month.
Some month with more profits, some month with more losses. We need to have the ability to stay “consistent” no matter what the market condition is.
Consistency in strategy and Trading Plan:
Remember, there are many different trading strategies out there.
The ability to stay “consistent” with your current trading strategy, and not jump from strategy to strategy.
Even if your strategy right now isn't getting any entries available in the current market condition, while others are entering trade, you need to stay consistent with your strategy and let the probability play out.
Understand no strategy can catch every move in the market. Some will catch this particular run, while others will catch other developments.
Consistency in risk management:
When you are at a series of drawdowns and losses, the ability to stay “consistent” with your risk management.
Not risking more than 1%, not entering more than 2-3 trades at a time. No revenge trade, and/or over leverage trade.
Respect your SL and honour the SL. More often traders fall into this stage while they take a number of losses and throw their risk management out the window.
Consistency in mindset and emotion:
When your strategy isn't playing out on a short term, the ability to stay “consistent” and not to start randomly taking trades based on FOMO, Greed and emotion.
Sometimes traders get impatient and feel like waiting for setups to happen is a hassle and they don't want to wait.
This is when they start to rush their trading journey and backfires on them.
Consistency in your goal:
Set goals for your result and progress. The ability to stay “consistent” with yourself and don't let external factors like social media, fake guru, scammers affect you and your goal.
If you plan to have 5% per month profit, then don't let other people affect you in a negative way.
Everyone trades differently, and with different strategy, method and approach. No need to compare and compete with others, rather, with yourself each and every year.
Below I will forward some good educational videos on the above topics that we have discussed:
Trading Psychology: Revenge Trading
Trading Psychology: Fear Of Missing Out
Trading Psychology: Over Leveraged Trading
Risk Management: Combine everything you learn to prevent blowing a trading account
Gold Longs On 1H close about 1898 Hope all is well,
Sharing a technical analysis on GOLD as an overview my overall bias is long. Please be sure to always use proper risk management. We are looking for targets of 1913.5 depending on closure 1930 before a major sell off again depending on how price reacts when we reach the higher targets.
Gold must close 1H above 1898 for continuation to the upside. 15M TL is valid waiting for break and retest however I did enter longs already with stops at 1895.4
If you like the idea be sure to follow for more trade setups.
I would love to build a community of professional traders strictly watching gold .
I do dable occasionally into gold GJ but other than that you too should be focusing on mastering one single pair or indices.
Potentially LARGE GOLD MOVE INCOMING! URGENTHello traders thank you for viewing another one of our video breakdowns of XAUUSD .
We will always provide our community with daily updates and current status of gold . Currently looking for XAUUSD to continue its bearish trend down into the 1932 levels and potentially much lower on a break and close below 1941.
IF not we will hold the pennant formation for a push into 1960 range and will have to update from there.
From there I will update you on my bias for the intraday trades throughout the week. I may not be able to post once it gets down there as I will be asleep but we are looking for buys again out of that region with some red folders coming up for news tomorrow. We can certainly see another volatile day out of gold!
As always set your stops set your takes and be sure to always use proper RR!
Thank you for your support!
XAUUSD Overall Analysis Hello traders thank you for viewing another one of our video breakdowns of XAUUSD.
We will always provide our community with daily updates and current status of gold. Currently looking for XAUUSD to continue its bearish trend down into the 1964-1960 levels.
From there I will update you on my bias for the intraday trades throughout the week. I may not be able to post once it gets down there as I will be asleep but we are looking for buys again out of that reigon with some redfolders coming up for news tomorrow. We can certainly see another volatile day out of gold!
As always set your stops set your takes and be sure to always use proper RR!
Thank you for your support!






















