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XAUUSD - MARKET CONTEXT I Oct/14/2025📌 1. MARKET CONTEXT -Gold just created a new high around 4,180, followed by a strong pullback (profit-taking sell-off). -The main trend remains strongly bullish on H1 – H4 – D1 (clear Higher High – Higher Low). -This pullback is only a healthy correction as long as price holds key Fibonacci support levels. -No major news in the current session → market likely driven by technical structure + liquidity. ✅ 3. MAIN TRADING SCENARIOS 🟢 SCENARIO 1: BUY at 4,090 – 4,095 (Fibo 0.382) Conditions: • Bullish confirmation candle (Pin bar / Engulfing / Rejection) • Volume increases Reason: • VAH + 0.382 Fib = shallow pullback in strong trend • Buyers usually defend this zone 🎯 TP: 4,125 → 4,150 → 4,180+ ❌ SL: Below 4,080 ⸻ 🟡 SCENARIO 2: BEST BUY at 4,060 – 4,065 (Fibo 0.5) Conditions: • Price bounces from this zone Reason: • 50% Fibo = golden buy zone • H1 Higher Low structure holds 🎯 TP: 4,090 → 4,125 → 4,160 ❌ SL: Below 4,045 ⸻ 🔵 SCENARIO 3: BUY SWING at 4,035 – 4,040 (Fibo 0.618) Conditions: • Fake break + strong wick rejection • Clear stop hunt Reason: • Smart Money Entry (0.618 + Liquidity) • High probability to create new ATH 🎯 TP: 4,090 → 4,150 → 4,200+ ❌ SL: Below 4,020 ⸻ 🔴 SCENARIO 4: SELL SCALP (only if…) Conditions: • Price retests 4,125 but fails to break • Strong rejection / bearish engulfing 🎯 TP: 4,095 → 4,065 ❌ SL: Above 4,135 ⚠️ Short-term scalp only — do NOT hold long! ⸻ 🎯 4. STRATEGY SUMMARY ✅ Prioritize BUY at key zones: 4,090 / 4,065 / 4,040 ⛔️ Do NOT FOMO BUY in the middle ⚠️ SELL only with clear rejection at resistance ⸻ 💡 5. MARKET PSYCHOLOGY • Current selling is profit-taking, not a reversal. • Buyers will return at liquidity pools. • Once liquidity is absorbed → gold will break above 4,180 again.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX68
SENSEX Analysis With Intraday Levels for 14th Oct 2025SENSEX At A Glance (As of October 13, 2025) The BSE Sensex closed at 82,327.05 on October 13, 2025, down 173.77 points or 0.21% from the previous close of 82,500.82. The index opened at 82,049.16, hit a high of 82,438.50, and a low of 82,043.14 during the session. This marked the end of a two-day rally, with the decline primarily driven by losses in IT stocks (e.g., Infosys down, contributing -62.61 points) amid US-China tariff concerns under potential Trump policies. Positive contributors included Bajaj Finance (+70.35 points) and Adani Ports (+51.73 points). Overall market breadth was negative, with broader indices like midcaps and smallcaps also slipping 0.3-0.5%. 🛠️ Technical Analysis Candlestick Patterns and Indicators: The daily chart showed a bearish engulfing pattern after indecision, with the index closing below key moving averages. RSI (14) around 52 (neutral but declining), MACD showing a bearish crossover. Implied volatility (India VIX) edged up to ~11, indicating mild caution. Support/Resistance: Immediate support at 82,000-82,043 (today's low and 50% Fibonacci retracement). Resistance at 82,500-82,800 (recent highs and 200-DMA). Low IV suggests range-bound trading unless triggered by news. Option Greeks (for Sensex Options): Near-ATM strikes (around 82,300) have Delta ~0.5/-0.5, moderate Theta decay (~₹10-15/day), and Gamma favoring directional breaks. Fundamental Analysis Macroeconomic Cues: FII inflows remained positive (net buy ~₹500 Cr), but DII selling added pressure. Q2 earnings season is underway, with focus on banking (positive RBI liquidity) and IT (H-1B visa risks). Global impacts: US indices mixed (Nasdaq down ~3.56% recently), Asian markets lower (Hang Seng -1.63%), weighing on sentiment. Sectoral News: IT dragged the index (down 1-2% on tariff fears), while financials (Bajaj Finance, Axis Bank) provided support. Realty and autos weakened on demand slowdowns. FII/DII Flows: FII net buyers, DII net sellers, signaling mixed institutional confidence. Real-Time News Sentiment Headlines and Announcements: Key stories include US tariff threats on China impacting exports/IT, and corporate updates (e.g., Bharat Forge litigation with no material impact, EFC investor meet). No major RBI commentary; geopolitical stability (e.g., Middle East ceasefires) reduces tail risks. Discussion on Social Sites & Sentiment: Recent posts highlight market declines ("Bears takeover!"), company-specific updates (e.g., RACL Geartech director change), and neutral-to-bearish views on BSE stocks. Broader discussions on global tariffs add caution. 🔍Intraday Probability Estimates for October 14, 2025 (My OWN VIEW Based on current after-hours cues (GIFT Nifty indicating a flat-to-lower open, correlated to Sensex), low IV, and bearish momentum: Upside: 35% – Limited by resistance and global drag, but possible on positive earnings. Downside: 55% – Higher probability from tariff woes and IT weakness. Volatile Market (>1% move): 30% – Earnings surprises could trigger, but low VIX caps big swings. Fundamental Analysis Macroeconomic Cues: FII inflows remained positive (net buy ~₹500 Cr), but DII selling added pressure. Q2 earnings season is underway, with focus on banking (positive RBI liquidity) and IT (H-1B visa risks). Global impacts: US indices mixed (Nasdaq down ~3.56% recently), Asian markets lower (Hang Seng -1.63%), weighing on sentiment. Sectoral News: IT dragged the index (down 1-2% on tariff fears), while financials (Bajaj Finance, Axis Bank) provided support. Realty and autos weakened on demand slowdowns. FII/DII Flows: FII net buyers, DII net sellers, signaling mixed institutional confidence. Real-Time News Sentiment Headlines and Announcements: Key stories include US tariff threats on China impacting exports/IT, and corporate updates (e.g., Bharat Forge litigation with no material impact, EFC investor meet). No major RBI commentary; geopolitical stability (e.g., Middle East ceasefires) reduces tail risks. SN Sentiment: Recent posts highlight market declines ("Bears takeover!"), company-specific updates (e.g., RACL Geartech director change), and neutral-to-bearish views on BSE stocks. Broader discussions on global tariffs add caution. Intraday Probability Estimates for October 14, 2025 Based on current after-hours cues (GIFT Nifty indicating a flat-to-lower open, correlated to Sensex), low IV, and bearish momentum: Upside: 35% – Limited by resistance and global drag, but possible on positive earnings. Downside: 55% – Higher probability from tariff woes and IT weakness. Volatile Market (>1% move): 30% – Earnings surprises could trigger, but low VIX caps big swings. BTST/STBT Trade Setup: BTST (buy calls if closes above 82,300 for gap-up potential, 35% prob). STBT (short puts for downside carry, 55% prob), avoid if VIX spikes. View of Closing Session (Last 1 Hour): Likely mild selling or consolidation; low volume in cautious environment, watch FII flows. Probabilities for Day-End Close (From ~82,327) Higher: 35% (institutional support, but globals dominate). Lower: 55% (tariff fears emphasized). Roughly Flat (±0.5%): 10% (low IV favors sideways). Assumptions: Prioritizing global tariff tensions and negative Asian cues over domestic flows; historical patterns in low-VIX days (60% range-bound) adjusted for sentiment. Assumptions: Prioritizing global tariff tensions and negative Asian cues over domestic flows; historical patterns in low-VIX days (60% range-bound) adjusted for sentiment. # "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. ^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^ L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . In depth Analysis will be added later
BSE:SENSEX
by DSKF16
GBPNZD Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GBPNZD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.3302 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 2.3210 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold rebounds, uptrend intact1. Market Overview After a brief dip to $4090, gold (XAU/USD) quickly rebounded strongly to around $4125, showing that buying pressure is still dominant. Safe-haven demand remains solid as the USD stabilizes and U.S. Treasury yields ease slightly. However, traders are now more cautious after the previous sharp volatility, keeping gold in a short-term accumulation phase around $4110–$4130. 2. Technical Analysis • Near Resistance: $4132 – $4140 • Strong Resistance: $4155 – $4168 • Near Support: $4105 – $4090 • Deep Support: $4078 – $4060 • RSI (H1): 58 – Neutral, slightly bullish bias • EMA20 (H1): $4110 – Trending upward, acting as dynamic support • Price Structure: Higher low on H1 → confirms continuation of the bullish trend 3. Outlook Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, and the recent decline is seen as a technical pullback for reaccumulation. If the price holds above $4110, gold is likely to continue rising toward $4140–$4155 in the next sessions. Conversely, a break below $4090 would signal a deeper correction toward $4075. 4. Trading Strategy 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: 4110 – 4105 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4100 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: 4150 – 4155 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4159
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
2
GBPUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast -Q4 | W42 | D14 | Y25|📅 Q4 | W42 | D14 | Y25| 📊 GBPUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
EUR-AUD Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! EURAUD taps into a horizontal demand area, showing strong displacement to the upside as Smart Money absorbs liquidity below recent lows. A bullish reaction from this level targets 1.7793 for rebalancing. ————————— Stop Loss: 1.7706 Take Profit: 1.7793 Entry: 1.7751 ————————— Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
1
KSE 100 Index Analysis |TCA| 30-Min TF | 13-10-2025KSE 100 Index Analysis |By The Chart Alchemist | 30-Min TF | 13-Oct-2025 The KSE 100 index previously traded in a bullish channel (marked light blue) before reversing after reaching an all-time high of 170,000 points. The subsequent correction entered a bearish mode, initially within a channel that included multiple selling climaxes. A parabolic breakdown from this channel ensued, marked by exhaustive selling. The index is currently finding support at 157,900 points (Axial Line). While it has shown an upward reversal, confirmation of the bearish correction's end and resumption of the uptrend requires: 1. A move above the immediate resistance line (160,340 points, marked solid color). 2. Formation of a higher low. Until these conditions are met, caution is advised.
PSX:KSE100
by THE-CHART-ALCHEMIST
USDJPY: Waiting for bullish pullback signals on the 4h timeframeTo better understand my current outlook on USDJPY, please refer to my previous higher-timeframe and fundamental analyses: * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ George Vann @ ZuperView
Long
by ZuperView
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 13, 2025As of October 13th, I would like to share my bearish outlook on Bitcoin. The first basis is the Shark pattern within the 1.13–1.414 range. The Shark pattern, established by Scott Carney, is a modified harmonic pattern that defines its PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) within the 1.13–1.414 XA extension range. This zone represents a region where the buying momentum tends to be exhausted after excessive price expansion, and it is typically interpreted as an area where strong reversal pressure tends to emerge. Currently, Bitcoin has entered this 1.13–1.414 range and is repeatedly testing the upper resistance zone. Therefore, I believe the probability of a short-term bearish reversal is gradually increasing. The second basis is that Wave 5 forms a 0.382 length ratio relative to Waves 0–3. This is a Fibonacci-based structural relationship often observed in Elliott Wave Theory. When Wave 5 fails to extend excessively and remains around 0.382 of Waves 0–3, it typically indicates a phase of exhaustion, followed by a corrective or retracement phase. Accordingly, I set the average target price around 111,350 USDT. Depending on the future development of the chart, I will provide updates on position management and any changes to this idea. Thank you for reading.
Short
by SeoVereign
Once Again: AI + Strategy Called It Days Ahead!Another Proud moment—my AI-powered trading predicted this BTC move days in advance. I’m thrilled to see it playing out just as planned! In this post, I’ll walk you through my thought process, the signals I spotted, and how my approach combined data with discipline for an early, accurate call. Proof that patience and a good system really pay off! Profit targets and stop loss details below—feel free to ask questions or share your own take!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Blayno_MTOPS
BTC appears to have completed its growth phase in this cycle.The current market structure and price behavior suggest the formation of the final stage — distribution. This is the classic Wyckoff phase, where major players begin taking profits after a strong impulsive uptrend. From here, BTC is likely to show increased volatility, with liquidity gradually rotating into ETH and altcoins. Historically, this stage has often marked the beginning of an altseason, as capital flows from Bitcoin into higher-risk assets. So even if BTC’s rally has ended, the market cycle itself is far from over — it’s simply moving to the next phase.
Short
by cryptocamp21