Contains IO script
The time for the ALTCOIN rallyThe text is a bit long, but it contains valuable insights. I’ve reviewed the past and discussed the #TOTAL3 chart update at the end, so make sure to read the full text and check the charts and previous posts linked for reference.
1. In my initial analysis on July 9, I mentioned that in the long-term view, the TOTAL3 index was heading toward the red box. This played out, with the index rising about 38%, leading to 40-70% gains in altcoins.
2. On July 19 , I explained this chart further, noting that many believed the altcoin season had started and altcoins would see significant gains. However, the chart showed we were in wave-(D) of a neutral triangle, indicating that the major altcoin surge people expected wasn’t here yet.
3. In my latest analysis on September 26, I wrote:
"The Running Triangle pattern remains valid. However, with wave-e breaking the a-c trendline, we should consider this a warning. There’s a possibility that a Diametric pattern could form instead of a Running Triangle.
Altcoin Market:
As I previously stated, the altseason many analysts expect hasn’t arrived yet. Looking at the 1W cash data chart, we’re in wave-(D) of a Neutral Triangle. Still, I believe altcoins could see 30-70% growth. In my view, the main altseason is likely to occur in 2026. To pinpoint the start, we need to wait for wave-(D) to complete."
4. #TOTAL3 Chart Update:
As noted in my last analysis, the final part of wave-(D) turned into a Diametric pattern (explained in the latest #TOTAL3 analysis). Exactly from the red box, a sharp 35% drop in the #TOTAL3 index occurred. This suggests that wave-(D) of the neutral triangle has ended, and wave-(E) has begun. Based on the price size of wave-(D), the final wave of the neutral triangle could complete at 699B or 514B, after which the main altcoin rally should start. I expected another upward move, but Trump’s influence halted the growth.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
BAT Resilient Post-Liquidation: Swing Trade PotentialWhile most altcoins broke its range lows and printed fresh lows following the October 10th liquidation flush, BAT held its ground and gained! This is a very bullish signal.
The weekly candle closed strong on increased volume, signaling quiet accumulation beneath the surface. No need to overcomplicate: this setup speaks for itself.
Minimal range target: 0.2786
Stop loss options:
Simple: use the weekly swing low
Advanced: refine on the daily TF for tighter SL and improved R:R
This structure offers a clean swing setup with asymmetric potential.
BNBUSDT.P - yeah—dead cats don’t bounce foreverWhat did the “biggest liquidation in crypto history” teach me?
'Buy the strong after forced selling. BNB hit ATH 3 days later. Follow the money, not the panic.'
But yeah—dead cats don’t bounce forever, and neither do leaders. Size risk.
What you think of BNB? More straight up or down?
#BTC and #ETH: key levels to watch in coming weeksBTC
The recovery pattern from the September lows still looks more like a medium-term correction rather than the completion of the broader bullish cycle.
As long as the price holds above the macro support zone at 108–102K and does not close below the 50-week moving average for more than two consecutive weeks, I consider the macro uptrend intact and expect the correction to conclude in Q4.
However, while Bitcoin remains below 118K, another wave of selling toward the 108K area in the coming weeks cannot be ruled out before a potential new leg higher.
Chart (taken on Oct 12):
Short-term resistance zone: 115.5–118K
Macro support zone: 108–102K
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ETH
The price has moved deeper into the macro support area highlighted in earlier reviews and reached key weekly moving averages (20SMA and 21EMA), which have historically provided support to every major growth cycle.
On the daily timeframe, as long as the price remains above 3290, the main scenario remains bullish — with potential for new highs in Q4.
Ideally, I would like to see ETH hold the 3840–3700 zone during the current recovery attempt and form a constructive consolidation above the 21/50-day moving averages.
If assets maintain their macro support zones, I expect Ethereum could once again outperform Bitcoin in the next phase of the uptrend.
Chart:
Short-term resistance zone: 4180–4360 / 4550
Local support zone: 3960–3700
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In light of the historic liquidation event we witnessed last week, I’d like to share a quote from one of the veteran traders and original Market Wizards — Peter Brandt:
"Greetings crypto traders whose Friday was not a cheerful day. I need to tell you that there will be better tomorrows. While the tunnel may seen dark, there can be bright days in front of you depending upon how you respond to your present circumstances.
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Wealth - real wealth that is secure and lasting - does not come from "bet the farm" speculative bets. Real wealth comes from accepting investing as a marathon, not a sprint.
Real wealth comes from controlling risk, not from taking huge gambles. Real wealth comes in the accumulation in small pieces, gained, then protected.
I love that the younger generation to which you belong has taken an interest in speculative markets such as crypto and futures. Welcome.
This is the arena I have operated in now in the 6th different decade starting in the 1970s.
I wiped out several accounts in the early days. These are not fond memories. But I kept at it. For me I learned how to control my risk. What does that mean exactly?
Well, for me it means to limit my risk on any given bet to no more than 1% of my total pot. I know that sounds too tame to be meaningful, but if you do not want to go through what you experienced this past week, then perhaps it should be meaningful.
It also means that I do not bet any more than 3% of my entire trading capital on the composite of highly correlated bets.
I have noticed that some in the crypto space wear as a badge of honor that they can sit through 80% drawdowns. Well, that is NOT a badge of honor. It is a crown of shame. Anyone who thinks lightly of 80% drawdowns will end up rekt at the end of the game. If you doubt me, then stay on your present course and find out.
...
So, I encourage you. Take this past week as a serious lesson of investing and of life. Take ownership of your mistakes. Don't blame this past week on some "whale" or manipulator. Own it. And move forward having learned some valuable lesson "
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Thank you for your attention!
In times of heightened volatility, please remember - protecting your emotional capital is just as important as protecting your financial one. Stay disciplined, patient, and kind to yourself through market turbulence - it’s part of every trader’s journey toward mastery.
Let’s leave the past behind, take the lessons it offered, and focus on the next trade with a clear vision and renewed confidence.
Wishing everyone a strong and productive start to the new week!
BTCUSDT.P - We are not probably out of the woods yetCRYPTOCAP:BTC Ideas to think of. Probably not out of the woods yet.
This on-going pump is very likely to be dead cat bounce and we might be heading some more downside.
Bull market over? Don't think so. I think we have better odds than former World Ski Jump Champion and Olympic Medalist Matti Nykaenen have said 'it's fifty sixty'.😄
Leave me your thoughts on the comments, would love to hear them to get more ideas on the table. Maybe I missed something?
Fear-Fueled Shakeout Sets the StageMassive liquidation shook the crypto space on Friday, October 10th with nearly $20B flushed out. But while the masses panicked, the charts show smart money buying.
LINK printed a textbook high-volume spring out of the range, signaling smart money absorption amid capitulation. The weekly candle closed deep into the range, reinforcing the idea that this wasn’t random volatility, it was structured accumulation and shakeout.
Volume on the Spring exceeded that of the Selling Climax (SC), which sets the stage for a potential retest. But don’t anchor to the $7.64 wick, that’s an anomaly. Instead, watch for price to revisit the EQ of that wick zone to form a higher low (HL) and validate the test.
This setup offers a compelling Risk-to-Reward profile. If the structure holds, a minimal very simple range target sits around ~$66. from here price could go much higher but one step at a time.
BTC Pennant Price action has given us all a fair amount of whiplash the past 48 hours. Safe to say, Friday's shenanigans hurt A LOT of people in very bad ways. We have unfortunately lost some brothers in coin to them taking their own lives as a result of losing everything. Keep their loved ones in your thoughts & prayers.
That said, price has returned to within the upper tip of the very large pennant. BTC will either pop much higher very quickly within the next 2 weeks, or it will fall off the cliff of the pennant tip. Monday Oct 20th will be the 1064th day since the last pico bottom. The past 2 cycles were exactly 1064 days long from pico bottom to pico top. If price remains within or above the pennant past the end of next week, BTC could very well likely print a 49-50, or even 51 month cycle.
Keep vigilant.
CAD/JPY GOING LONG! BUT FOR HOW LONG? I want to document this possible direction because from what I am seeing this looks very probable.
When it comes to this pair we have seen a great push to the upside that looked very steady until the disaster of 10/10 but I believe we will bounce long! but for how long is the good question, I would pay attention to this pair due to the fact that there is no real impactful news this week for either pair! Meaning some good foundational trades should be possible but again we follow price action and then move a long side! My theory is-
Price will push down to .786 or .619 level and then bounce back up for a pullback or correction! (for my ICC) this is where I will be looking to do longs if I see HH N HL on smaller time frames up until critical prices like 108.497 and 108.962 and above! one of these key levels will either hold and push down even further or it will be broken and price will continue!
tell me your feed back and thoughts on this trading idea.
#BTC Update | 12.10.2025🚨 #BTC Update | 12.10.2025 🚨
Bitcoin had a massive drop, making a deep wick near the 100K zone — a true disaster day for many traders with huge liquidations across the market 😬💥
As I mentioned in my previous analysis, once BTC lost the support at Arrow #1 and #2, the bullish momentum weakened, opening the door for a deeper retracement on the weekly timeframe.
📉 The weekly retracement zone was marked around 104,669, and guess what? — on Friday’s wick, price tapped it perfectly. 🎯
Now, the focus shifts to Arrow #3 and #4 — once the price breaks above these levels, we can look to re-enter buy positions confidently. ✅
Remember, on the bigger timeframes, the overall structure remains bullish, so this pullback could just be a healthy correction before the next leg up. 🚀
I expect a strong recovery move after Monday, which could confirm the breakout.
Next up 👉 I’ll post the #BTC.D and #ETH analysis, so stay connected, stay patient, and trade smart! 💪🔥
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #BTCAnalysis #SwingTrade
Dumptober 10 days in.
Good afternoon Traders,
For those of you who follow crypto and have been around for a while know, Leverage can be dangerous. Its been a little over 24 hours from the black swan event where almost $10B was liquidated from peoples hands. In the event that took place, users of certain exchanges using leverage at the time suffered the most.
In this case, because the price fell so fast, no stop loss or limit order would have triggered. Locking you into the trade. Folks, with a large enough drawdown like yesterday, erases your whole account. You may have intended to risk 1% like a responsible trader...but that wasn't the outcome. There was no protection. No liability. That is the risk no body wants to talk about.
Crypto is still not fully regulated. Crypto is still the wild west. Your money is the main tool you use to survive. Protect your assets by any means. Cold wallet, gold, stocks, beanie babies...its your call. But understand the risks involved.
This was a panful reminder. Some may never bounce back, ever.
So stay safe, i wish you the best.
Cheers,
Uni.
BHVNBiohaven Ltd. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for neurological and neuropsychiatric disorders, including migraine treatments and rare diseases. It's a high-risk, high-reward biotech play, with volatility tied to clinical trial results and pipeline advancements, but facing cash burn pressures in a tough funding environment.
Recent Performance & Fundamentals:
Current Price: $15.80 (as of Oct 10, 2025 close, down ~8.3% that day amid liquidity concerns and selling pressure).
Market Cap: $1.67B.
52-Week Range: $12.79–$54.98 (near the bottom after a sharp YTD decline of ~60%, reflecting broader biotech weakness).
Key Metrics: Trailing P/E N/A (unprofitable), EPS (TTM) -$7.46. Cash burn accelerated 33% YoY, leaving ~8 months runway, raising dilution risks.
News/Outlook: Shares swung wildly last week—up 7% to $16.36 on Oct 9, then plunged to a new 2025 low on Oct 10. Q3 earnings due Nov 10; focus on pipeline updates for troriluzole (ALS) and migraine assets. Bearish short-term forecast, but long-term growth from neurology focus.
Buy, Hold, or Sell?
Strong Buy. Analyst consensus is bullish—62% Strong Buy, 31% Buy, 8% Hold, with no Sells; average ABR 1.32. Price targets average $47.42–$49.23 (~200% upside), ranging $19–$75. Recent initiations like Citigroup's Buy at $28 reinforce momentum, but monitor cash runway—ideal for aggressive growth investors.
BTC: bullish impulseOn September 29, Bitcoin initiated a confident upward move from $113,705.5 on the 4-hour chart. The price traversed all four partial-take stages and reached $122,358.9 — nearly $8,600 per coin. Trading with 10x leverage made the move notably dynamic.
I followed my proprietary strategy. When the structure is clear, the market becomes much calmer. From here, there is a nontrivial probability of a pullback; it makes sense to prepare for a potential bearish signal.
Net effect: the upside potential was substantial — and those who acted systematically could capture the bulk of the move. Moments like these highlight the importance of analytics and discipline. In markets, winners aren’t guessers; they are traders who execute a plan.
ADMAWhat is ADMA & its business profile
ADMA Biologics is a biopharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures, and markets specialty plasma-derived biologics.
Yahoo Finance
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Its key products include BIVIGAM (an IVIG product for primary humoral immunodeficiency) and ASCENIV (another immunoglobulin therapy).
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The company also operates plasma collection facilities to supply parts of its product pipeline.
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In 2024, they reported strong growth: revenues up ~65% year over year, and Adjusted EBITDA up ~309%.
Admabiologics
In Q1 2025, ADMA reported revenue growth of 40% YoY and EBITDA growth of ~81% YoY.
Admabiologics
In Q2 2025: revenue $122.0 million (14% YoY increase), and GAAP net income of $34.2 million.
Admabiologics
A key development: in April 2025, ADMA received U.S. FDA approval for a yield enhancement process in their immunoglobulin (IG) production, which is expected to boost output (they estimate ~20% increase in output from the same plasma volume) and improve margins.
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Strengths & positives
Growth trajectory & profitability
Many biotech companies operate at losses, but ADMA is generating profits and expanding margins, which is a relatively rare and favorable position in the biotech space.
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Investors
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Operational leverage from yield improvements
The FDA-approved yield enhancement means they can get more output from the same plasma inputs, which should help with scaling revenue and improving margins (assuming demand, stability, and regulatory risk are managed).
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Analyst sentiment & upside estimates
Several recent analyses point to potential upside. For instance, one source places average target prices in the $20.96 to $35.00 range (implying ~40-60% upside depending on current price) with “Buy” and “Hold” ratings, and no present “Sell” ratings.
Directors Talk Interviews
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Directors Talk Interviews
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Also, ADMA was spotlighted after its yield process approval: the stock jumped ~12% on the news.
ALTs: So you turned bearish?$20 Billion liquidation move
Fear racing through their veins
Is this the Covid crash from 2020 all over?
Current TOTAL3 15MIN => 3 candles
2020 BTC Weekly => 3 candles
They are oddly similar. What can we learn from this? Cycle is massively shortened. weekly -> 15min.
To confirm we are bullish we need to take out the TOTAL3 High.
We are again at the 21 Weekly MA + uptrend + horizontal support
I don't like the bearish divergence on my Oscillator.
So holding that 1 Trillion on TOTAL3
If we do go higher, what coins should you hold? Not every one will perform.
Breaking that 1Trillion mark and losing 21 Weekly here and other coins like BTC, ETH etc would be very bearish.
BTC: Prepare for 2026Following the 4 year cycle, The Top is almost in.
Tapping an uptrend and sitting at 111K the 21 Weekly MA. Holding this level i find very important. Although i believe an we will see higher prices in Q4, the top could also be in.
Following the 4 year cycle, after the TOP comes "Crypto Winter". Everything cools off. Emotionally, many will reach the state off Despair and Capitulation. You should not be in that state because at that time you have "Zero" holdings in crypto (at the end off Q1 2026 you should have close to zero crypto exposure) , probably sooner.
We can extrapolate when the next BUY TIME is. We don't know the exact price, hence the big range. But we do know +- the Time. Currently marked 28 september - 21 December. Wherever the price is there, is probably a good Longer Term investment, for that next cycle.
While the last hands are selling there crypto, we will slowly start buying them. setting up the stage for the next 4-year cycle.
Price wise i'm looking at 73K is the minimum target and 35K is the maximum target. There was huge institutional buying between 30K and 70K. If there are many institutional outflow in the coming year, then lower targets are probable. If they keep their holdings, they'll want to protect the rice and create a floor somewhere..
So yeah. 73K - 55K - 42K - 35K
Bitcoin Reclaims Channel Support After Sharp Liquidity CascadeBitcoin recently experienced a sharp correction, sweeping through major swing lows in a widespread liquidity cascade. Despite the heavy drawdown, the market has shown early signs of recovery, with price action reclaiming the lower boundary of the trading channel. This development could set the stage for a short-term relief rally — provided the reclaimed level holds as support.
Key Technical Points:
- Channel Reclaim: Price has recovered the lower boundary of the trading channel after a liquidity sweep.
- Fresh Structure: The current rebound remains early-stage and requires further confirmation through consolidation.
- Relief Rally Potential: Sustained support above the channel low could lead to a bullish rotation toward higher levels.
Following the liquidation-driven drop, Bitcoin has stabilized above the channel’s lower limit — a critical technical threshold for directional bias. This region now acts as a pivot between continuation lower or recovery toward the mid-range. Market structure suggests that post-liquidation consolidations often trigger countertrend rallies as selling pressure exhausts and new buyers step in.
For this scenario to unfold, Bitcoin must continue closing candles above the reclaimed level while volume and momentum gradually improve. A sustained defense of this area could push price action higher into mid-range targets, signaling the beginning of a broader recovery. However, if the market fails to maintain this base, another sweep of recent lows could follow before a more stable reversal forms.
Gold Trade Ideas🟢 Bullish Conclusion
✅ Buy above yesterday’s Point of Control (POC).
Bias turns constructive if price holds above Wednesday’s low and Asian session high, aligning all timeframes bullish.
Look for continuation toward 4030–4040 if value builds higher.
🔴 Bearish Conclusion
🚫 Sell below today’s Point of Control, only if price remains below Wednesday’s lows.
Ideal setup: a fake-out high of the London or Asian session (or both), followed by a breakdown through Wednesday’s low.
Sell from the closing price under those conditions — targeting rotation down toward last week’s highs as support.