(BTC) Are the bulls back?!?! NO!!!...But change is in the air!!!Alright folks, I know I dropped a COINBASE:BTCUSD analysis for you yesterday (and its held solid!!!)....but I felt like it would be beneficial to provide something less "predictive" and just drop some facts.
So as I said, no predictions today, just facts!
And I must say, these facts look real promising; all signs point to a significant momentum shift in the recent trend.
Enough babble, lets lay it down!
1. The most recent major peak was the first since things turned bearish to break above the ATH overhead resistance.
2. The downtrend from this peak has been significantly less impulsive than the prior major peaks.
3. Although things may be dipping a bit COINBASE:BTCUSD appears to have formed a new minor support above the previous minor channel.
4. Swing lows on the MACD are not only getting higher, but they are now diverging further from their low support for both the signal and MAC.
5. The MACD volatility has dropped off significantly since the second major peak.
6. The MACD is spending significantly longer periods above the zero line.
7. Last but certainly not least, we are seeing convergence of the 24% fib retrace, the july-november low support, and the major overhead resistance.
So in short... are we out of the woods yet?
Absolutely not.
BUT with all of the signs in front of us, I smell the perfect storm for a significant breakout assuming we can smack through that overhead resistance!
*** Note that the MACD RSI crossover strategy I've written has the RSI hidden, and that the earning results are irrelevant as it used for cleaning up major trends NOT buys and sells.
Remember, TA is neither investment advice nor a guaranteed result, but rather an informed prediction of historical and emerging patterns.
Good luck and happy trading!
Austin Doyle
CTO
Crypto Playhouse
Convergence
S&P500 Intraday Sell IdeaH1 - Bearish convergence, we may expect a triple cycle down and the price to respect the downtrend line.
M15 - After we get double wave, wait for the price to break below the uptrend line and then join the sells.
Conservative Approach - After the breakout of the trend line and the most recent low, wait for a double wave correction and go short with the breakout of the most recent trend line.
Persimmon Imminent Bullish Reversal After bouncing off its channel support with a rounded bottom, we are looking at the beginning of a bullish reversal. Within the oversold stochastic, there has just been a bullish crossover. The MACD is beginning to converge. Furthermore, it's still trading above the ichimoku cloud, which also acts as a support. To top it all off, the technicals lined up here have already triggered all previous bullish reversals within this channel. It would probably be wise to go long.
NZDCHF Buy IdeaD1 - We have two waves down, price reached the magnet zone and then pushed higher.
H4 - Big double cycle. Bullish divergence with false break followed by bullish convergence.
H1 - Now look for double wave correction and then we can go long with the breakout of the trend line. The double wave should stop within the zone shown in the screenshot.
This is a very strong zone and breaking below that would be a warning sign for us.
his scenario is valid as long as the last low shown in the screenshot is holding.
USDJPY Sell IdeaD1 - Price reached important resistance zone. We have bearish divergence. Price reached the two levels but was rejected.
H4 - Bearish divergence followed by bearish convergence and also price broke below the two lows. As long as the H4 high is holding, we can look for pullbacks and sells.
Alternative Scenario:
On the daily chart 61.8 of the first wave has not been reached yet. If the price pushes higher then we might expect it to reach 61.8
KraftHeinz Buy IdeaD1 -Triple cycle completed, price reached magnet zone.
H4 - We have bullish divergence and false break. Now we may expect a breakout of the last high forming convergence.
After that wait for a correction to happen and then look for buys.
If the price break and hold below 76.00 then setup is invalidated.
GBPAUD Buy IdeaD1 - Price moving inside wedge. Price created bullish convergence followed by double wave down.
We can go long with the breakout of the trend line.
Crucial zone formed with the trend line coinciding with the 61.8 Fibo and we may expect the price to reach this zone at least after breakout.
H4 - Price broke above the big downtrend line and moving higher now. We can go long after pullback.
Gold Buy IdeaH4 - We got double wave down after bullish convergence. We can go long with the breakout of the most recent trend line.
Conservative Approach: Wait for the most recent high to be broken creating potential bullish convergence and then go long after correction.
Alternative Scenario:
D1 -Potential double wave forming. Uptrend line coincides with 61.8 Fibo of the first wave creating a crucial zone.
We also have divergence forming. Once the price reaches this zone, we can start looking for buys.
GBPAUD Buy IdeaD1 - Hidden bullish divergence
H4 - We have a potential rang and also the intraday cycle finished with divergence and false break.
H1 -We have bullish convergence, now we can look for pullbacks.
M15 - Double wave down and the most recent trend line was broken. We can now look for correction and then buys.
The first target that we are going to expect is the very top of the H4 range.
BTC's Moving Average Convergence and Divergence.BTC's Moving Average Convergence and Divergence gives much insight to the beginning of the Elliott wave 5.
*Bull, AF*...., you decide.
~Ji
This is not advice.
I don't need to be right or wrong.
I don't care if the market goes up or down.
Make your Own analysis and trade off of that.
If you have positive, constructive criticism and wish to share Please do.
Agreeing or Disagreeing is not personal and is welcomed in a positive way.
This is not a therapy outlet for venting negativity. Go join a boxing club. I like boxing.
Happy trading everyone!!
AUDCAD triangle after the sudden dropWedge followed a sudden drop after COT readings were a surprise. One false bull breakout towards the end of the wedge, high chance of a real breakout. Trigger line moved to the breakout level. If PA touches the line, long position will be triggered. SL is placed at the wedge boundary, TP placed at the first rebounce of the drop, matching with the .5 level (see fibb.)
USDJPY Buy IdeaD1 - Price respected the D1 range. We also had divergence.
As long as last low is holding we can look for pullbacks and buys.
H4 - Classical pattern has formed - Bullish divergence followed by bullish convergence.
We currently have band to band move.
Looking for pullbacks in order to go long.
In case we get a breakout below the range we can look for sells towards the 104 zone.
Danone Buy IdeaD1 - Bullish special cycle completed
* Double Wave correction completed.
* Breakout of the double wave down happened.
H4 - We have bullish convergence.
Correction is happening now and then we may expect a continuation up.
DShort
NZDJPY Double ScenarioWeekly range and price created a false break and it has bounced from the top. Our final target is the bottom of the range.
Daily - Bullish divergence formed. correction is expected to happen.
H4 - Triple cycle has completed itself. We have convergence and also divergence with false break.
Once the correction completes itself, look for breakout of the most recent trend line and then look for buys.
Once the price reaches this level look for confirmations for bearish reversal and then we can start looking for sells.
EURCHF Buy Dips IdeaD1 - As long as last swing low is holding, I am still after buys in this pair.
Technically we can expect at least the last swing high to be reached as bullish divergence has formed already and the pair is making the move up.
H4 - Price is creating a Convergence Principle with The false break of 1.3608 (blue line), was followed by higher highs (green line). Ideally we are now after double wave correction down, and then we can long the pair.
Corrections are due as price is close to 20 candles ride on the Bollinger bands,
It is now important to remain patient and wait for the best possible setup that the market will provide.






















