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Cor5dan

BITCOIN UpdateBitcoin x Dollar Bitcoin delivered four clean trades last week — precise structure, high control. Now we’re sitting right inside the buy zone, near the lower negative deviation of range volume. Yesterday’s session was flat, typical Sunday noise. Today, volume’s tightening — energy’s building. The key structural area is 121 698. That’s our bearish distribution ceiling — the level that’s kept price capped for weeks. If Bitcoin holds below, we stay in distribution. But if it breaks and confirms above, the market opens clean air for a strong leg higher. Macro adds spice here: The U.S. shutdown still delays core data, the dollar’s stretched, and liquidity’s thin. If DXY breaks lower, Bitcoin could fly hard — fast. But remember, volatility in these conditions ignores perfect TA. I learned that lesson long ago — great setups fail when macro chaos takes the wheel. Stay patient. Watch 121 698 — that’s where the real story starts.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
Dollar at Max Deviation — Watching 99.197 CloselyThe dollar had another wild week, closing around 99.197 — right on the edge of major structure. Most traders see strength, but when you zoom out, this move looks stretched. Yields have started to cool off, which takes pressure off the dollar’s safe-haven run. We still got smaller data releases like PMIs and Fed talks, but the big stuff like CPI is on hold until the U.S. shutdown clears. Even the IMF warned about growing liquidity risks in global FX — meaning sudden spikes or fake outs can happen fast when markets get thin. Technically, we’re in a bearish zone on the higher timeframe. The last three months of liquidity targets are already taken, and the market’s now trading inside maximum deviation — a point where algorithms usually reset before any new trend forms. That’s why 99.197 matters: it’s the last shelf before structure confirms the drop. If price breaks and holds below that level early next week, momentum likely shifts bearish. If it holds above, expect more sideways chop before a correction. For now, it’s all about patience and tracking structure — not emotions.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
EUR/USD Macro + Technical TargetLiquidity Run Complete • EUR/USD swept last week’s key high and stalled. • Dollar Index (DXY) just balanced on its weekly range—classic setup for a euro fade if USD strength resumes. Macro Undercurrent • U.S. Side: September core PCE inflation held at 2.8% y/y, keeping the Fed cautious about rate cuts. Futures now price only ~40 bps of easing into Q1. • Eurozone Side: HICP inflation slowed to 2.4% and the ECB’s minutes flagged “weak growth, sticky wages.” Rate-cut odds for March keep rising. Levels to Watch • Resistance near 1.17540,todays High • Southbound magnets: 1.16455 Lows
Short
by CORE5DAN