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Just a Thought: What If the Big Bull Run Starts Next February?Chart: SOLUSDT Perpetual (1W) Let’s play devil’s advocate for a second… 📉 What if: The most recent pullback from Solana’s all-time high wasn’t just a dip to find support, but a high timeframe market structure break (MSS)? We wicked right into the Point of Control (POC) at $126, a critical level going back to Solana’s inception. Many saw that as a liquidity sweep, which it is, but what if that break was confirmation of a shift in the macro structure? Since then, we’ve seen a corrective rally, and as of now, price is approaching the golden pocket (0.618–0.65) around the $200 region coupled with time Fib confluence around June 25. ⚪ The ABC Hypothesis: There’s a clean potential for an (A)-(B)-(C) correction. If the market can’t push through the $200 resistance in June, we could see a dragged out move down into the 1:1 extension, which interestingly aligns with key monthly naked POCs (MNPOCs) at $73 and $41, and specifically the 1:1 at $49 (highlighted on the chart for September 25). That would create a textbook ABC correction, where: • A = drop from ATH to MSS • B = golden pocket retracement • C = 1:1 extension, sweeping long-term liquidity 📅 What if the real bull run doesn’t start until Feb 2026? Everyone’s calling for the big breakout this year… but what if we need one last washout to fully reset? That timing aligns eerily well with early Q1 2026, after a final leg down. Chart Legend: • ✅ Green line = current price • 🔴 POC = Point of Control (macro volume node) • ⚪ White lines = ABC structure • 🔵 Blue verticals = time-based Fibonacci • 🟡 Golden Pocket = 0.618–0.65 retracement • 🟣 MNPOC Levels = untested monthly points of control Just a theory. Not advice. DYOR. What do you think? Could the real reset be coming?
by turnandshoot
2
SEI Turns Bullish After A Zig-Zag CorrectionSEI Turns Bullish After A Zig-Zag Correction, as we see it sharply bouncing from projected support that can send the price higher by Elliott wave theory. SEI with ticker SEIUSD is waking up exactly from the channel support line and equality measurement of waves A=C, which is perfect textbook support for subwave (5) of an impulse into wave C of an ABC zig-zag correction. It's actually nicely and impulsively rising for wave 1, so after current wave 2 pullback, be aware of a bullish continuation within wave 3 of a five-wave bullish cycle, especially if breaks above 0.30 first bullish evidence level. Sei (SEI) is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain designed specifically for decentralized finance (DeFi) and decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Launched in August 2023 by Sei Labs, it features innovations like Twin-Turbo Consensus for fast block finality, Optimistic Parallelization for high throughput, and SeiDB for efficient transaction handling. It supports EVM compatibility, enabling seamless deployment of Ethereum-based apps. The SEI token is used for transaction fees, staking, governance, and liquidity.
CRYPTO:SEIUSDLong
by ew-forecast
HSBC (HSBC) – $54 Risk Zone if ABC Correction Is Triggered HSBCHSBC is currently trading within a rising wedge, but a potential short-term drop of approximately 5% could trigger a full ABC correction pattern. This scenario is not confirmed yet, as the chart remains structurally bullish. However, should the price reverse and break below the rising channel, it would likely mark the start of wave C, completing an A-B-C corrective sequence. This development could lead the price toward the $54 support zone, which aligns with a previous demand area. While there is no immediate breakdown or weakness, traders should remain alert. A simple -5% drop might be all it takes to activate the next phase of correction. Pattern: Potential ABC correction Trigger: 5% decline from current levels Target: $54 Bias: Neutral – watch for reaction if price softens
NYSE:HSBC
by CakirInsights
Gold Completes A Correction Within Bullish TrendGold made another sharp leg to the upside in first half of April, even showed some accelerating price action away from the 3,000 level. This suggests it might have been part of wave three when looking at the Daily and 4-hour time frame, so there can be more upside within a much more extended impulse structure. Possibly already now after blue wave four consolidation shows first signs of a bottom near 3120. Notice that pullback from recent high is in three legs, while price recovered out of wave (C) channel, so looks like new recovery is in the cards.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Silver Finds Its Footing—Are the Bulls Back? (Elliott Waves)Silver rebounded quite aggressively in April, following Trump’s decision to impose a 90-day tariff pause. At the time, there was still a lot of uncertainty, so many investors turned to metals as a safe haven—particularly during periods of trade tensions. More importantly, we can see silver forming five waves up from the 28.34 low. In Elliott Wave terms, when we see a strong directional move that can be counted in five waves, it often represents the beginning of a new trend. That means the current pause is likely just a correction, and more upside should follow. The 31.00–31.50 area is a very interesting support zone for silver—an area from which we could see a rebound, possibly after a completed A-B-C setback from the 33.70 region.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Bitcoin can drop from wedge to 100K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. After consolidating for an extended period within a triangle pattern, the price eventually broke out with strong bullish momentum. The move was supported by a solid rebound from the buyer zone and a clean breakout above the 92800 - 94200 support area. This breakout initiated a steep climb, forming a new upward wedge structure, defined by narrowing trend lines and rising local highs. Currently, the price is trading near the resistance boundary of the wedge, around the 104000 - 105000 zone. This zone has already triggered one rejection and is showing signs of weakening bullish strength. Given the rising wedge geometry and the fading impulse strength, the risk of a correction is increasing. The current structure typically leads to a pullback, especially after such a steep rise. I expect that BTC may rise to the resistance line of the wedge and then drop below the support line, thereby exiting from this pattern. That's why I set my TP 1 at the 100K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
17
Bitcoin may drop to 102K points, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. After breaking out of a multi-day range and launching a strong impulse from the buyer zone, the price has formed a clear upward pennant pattern. This technical formation often signals a potential slowdown in the bullish momentum, especially when it follows an aggressive move to the upside. The current price action shows that BTC has approached the resistance line of the pennant, but failed to generate further breakout strength. Each new impulse within the structure has weakened, and the market is starting to compress inside narrowing boundaries. The support area has been holding the structure temporarily, but the inability to push through the top of the pennant suggests growing exhaustion among buyers. This setup indicates that BTC may soon break downward from the pennant. So, I expect that it will make a correction that could drive the price down to the 102000 points, thereby exiting from pennant pattern. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
21
Sugar Is In A Higher Degree Correction; Elliott Wave AnalysisSugar has been trading lower since 2023 when we spotted final wave V of an impulse on the weekly chart. So from Elliott wave perspective, it’s trading in a multi-year higher degree ABC corrective decline, where wave C can drop the price even down to 78,6% Fibonnaci retracement and 14-12 support area before bulls show up again. The reason why Sugar can go lower is a short-term daily Elliott wave structure, where we see a five-wave leading diagonal formation into wave A, followed by a bearish abcde triangle pattern in wave B. It can now extend the decline within wave C towards 14 -12 area which can be made by a lower-degree five-wave bearish cycle, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
PEPPERSTONE:SUGAR
by ew-forecast
Bitcoin can bounce from support line of channel to 98500 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price of Bitcoin has been in recent price action. The asset had been confidently moving inside an upward channel, building structure through higher highs and higher lows. Each upward impulse was supported by pullbacks to the support line, showing continued buyer pressure. The latest breakout above the support area confirmed a bullish continuation, and the price entered the seller zone, where it faced resistance. Despite multiple attempts to break through, the price repeatedly turned around, forming a tight triangle pattern within the upper boundary of the channel. Currently, the price has broken down from the triangle, but it still holds above the channel's lower line. Given that the channel remains intact and there's no strong breakdown of the structure, I expect the price to rebound from the lower boundary and continue climbing toward my TP 1 at 98500, which aligns with the resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
18
A larger corrective pattern is formingIn the previous analysis, a specific range was determined for the price to reverse, after reaching that price range, the price jumped upwards and the price grew by 1700 pips. However, considering that the structure of wave-c is not an impulse, the zigzag was not confirmed and it seems that a larger corrective pattern is forming. It seems that the reverse contracting triangle pattern is forming, which is currently in wave-d of the triangle. With the completion of wave-d, we can better find the end point of wave-e.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NEoWave-Chart
One Last Drop Before Take Off?Price is still in a pullback phase, and the next potential target zone is around 0.07488 – 0.07334. We might see one last dip before BINANCE:STPTUSDT resumes its uptrend. If the price reaches this pullback zone with a bullish divergence, that would be a strong confirmation for a possible reversal. But even without divergence, we can still rely on candlestick patterns to signal a potential reversal at that level. What do you think — will BINANCE:STPTUSDT bounce from this zone or break lower?
S
by EkyFabyanto
BTC - The Perfect Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. The picture says it all! 🔄Is history about to repeat itself? If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈 What’s next? A dip toward the $87,000 - $88,000 zone would be the perfect retest to look for trend-following longs and expect the start of Phase 3. 📚 Reminder: Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key. Good luck, and happy trading! All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
16
NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart. If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal. From a quantitative perspective: If we calculate the raw historical success rate using: Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90% In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using: Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83% Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior. Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest? Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
5
Nasdaq - This Is Still Not The End Yet!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) cannot resist bearish pressure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past three months, we saw such a harsh correction on the Nasdaq that a lot of people are freaking out entirely. However technicals already told us that something feels wrong and this is the result. If we see another -10% from here, buying the dip will most likely pay off. Levels to watch: $16.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
13
Gold can exit from wedge and drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Price action on Gold has shown strong bullish momentum earlier, as it broke out of the previous upward channel and started forming an upward wedge. The rally gained traction once the price left the buyer zone between 3006 - 3025 points, pushing through multiple resistance levels and creating a new structure of higher highs. After the breakout from the wedge’s support line, the price continued to grow and eventually reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. Here, we saw a clear reaction and reversal, signaling potential exhaustion among buyers. Currently, the price is trading just below the upper wedge resistance and has already made a pullback after the latest local high. Given this structure and the fact that the wedge pattern is tightening, I expect gold to reverse again and decline toward 3270, which is my first TP. If pressure continues, the price may drop to the 3210 current support level as TP2. The reaction from the upper wedge boundary, combined with weakening momentum and a strong support area below, supports my bearish outlook for now. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
15
Gold can make correction to mirorr line, after upward movementHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After a strong breakout from the support area between 2975 - 3000 points, the price continued moving upward, forming an impulsive rally. This movement brought the asset directly into the upper support area, now acting as resistance, between 3195 - 3170 points. Once inside this zone, the bullish momentum began to slow down. This area also aligns with previous local highs and is showing clear signs of selling pressure. The recent reaction from the top of the zone suggests that the market could be preparing for a pullback. If this reaction develops further, I expect the price to head toward the mirror line, which currently acts as a dynamic support level, located around TP1 - 3120 points. This line has historically served as a key structure level - first as resistance, then flipped into support - and now may once again act as a magnet for price. A retest of this level would not break the overall bullish structure but could provide a healthy correction before the next leg. Considering the sharp push into resistance, the potential loss of bullish momentum, and the nearby structural support at 3120 points, I remain bearish in the short term, expecting a local decline. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
16
USDCAD - Long-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈USDCAD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising blue channel. This week, USDCAD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel. Moreover, the green zone is a strong resistance turned support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower red/blue trendlines acting non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #USDCAD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
3
SP500: Is This the 2025 Correction? Or Just Another Bounce?Looking at the weekly chart of the S&P 500 with RSI and key support trendlines, it’s clear we’ve entered a historically important level. 🔍 Context: 2020 → COVID Crash, RSI bottomed 💥 2022 → Bear Market, RSI again flagged a major drop 📉 2023 → Healthy correction, price respected trendline support 2025? → RSI flashing oversold, price testing the long-term trendline again. 📊 RSI is approaching the same low levels as the previous two macro shocks — is this a signal of another reversal opportunity? Or could this time be different? 🚨 If we break below this trendline convincingly, it could open the door for a deeper bear leg. But if we hold, we might just see another bounce-back rally like in 2020 and 2022. 📈 Watch for confirmation: A strong bounce with bullish RSI divergence = potential long Breakdown + volume spike = more downside ahead Let’s see if the trendline holds up — it has for 5 years… 👀 #SP500 #Correction #BearMarket #RSI #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #2025Outlook #StockMarketIdeas
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by SmartSignalss
Party's OverDow Futures daily forming a downwards channel with price targets potentially down to 34k and 31k. These drops would be about 20-40% which is considered a true market crash. The falling wedge pattern plays out until potentially June of 2027, but wedges from the top of the range are dangerous as they can turn into bull traps. - Economic fundamentals have been disconnected from the financial system for some time but as the underlying economy begins to falter (ex. unemployment wave) markets begin to price in data such as falling retail sales. - President Trump is going through with mass layoffs in the Federal Government which creates unemployment as the private sector has been going through layoffs and has halted actual new hiring since 2023. - As more traders have become accustomed to "bad news is good news," they will most likely be wiped out trying to buy dips or chase false breakouts doing what they have always done. - Tariffs regionalize trade which make global economies and supply chains less interconnected. A global economy that is also very levered up on USD denominated debt needs dollar liquidity to continue to function. By regionalizing trade that liquidity is starved which can lead to financial problems on a global scale if not handled carefully. - Markets are likely to price in these risks over the next 2-3 months leading asset prices and interest rates lower. Expect individual companies to do well at times but then rotate to others while the Dow index itself falls. - Even if the Dow were to play out the wedge during 2026, without significant improvements to the global financial system expect that move to be a bull trap or a best lead to minimal gains without a new wave of monetary inflation.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by CrashoutCapital
1