ETH - Doing it AGAIN...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈ETH has been bullish trading within the rising channel in red.
Currently, ETH is rejecting the upper bound of the channel, so a bearish correction is expected.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green structure and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #ETH approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Correction
Will Berkshire Hathaway hit $525 before a healthy correction?📈 Introduction Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) has shown a consistent pattern of growth over the past years, forming well-defined bullish channels with predictable wave lengths. The current price action suggests a potential healthy correction before another upward rally that could see prices reach the $525 mark.
💡 Key Observations from the Chart
1 - Channel Dynamics:
The price has respected two major ascending channels over the last few years. Each channel has shown waves of sustained upward momentum, lasting approximately 731 days and 790 days, respectively. This consistent cyclicity points to a reliable trend structure.
2 - Correction Phase Ahead?
Based on historical patterns and technical indicators, we might see a short-term correction into the $450-$460 range. This is supported by:
Overbought signals from the Stochastic Oscillator (75/77).
A potential test of the lower boundary of the current ascending channel.
3 - Upside Potential to $525 ~ $550+
After the correction, the next bullish phase could see prices push toward key resistance levels at $491.67 and ultimately $525.90. The confluence of the SMA and VWAP levels reinforces this projection, with strong support near $457.51 acting as a springboard for the next rally.
What’s Next?
The stock remains in a long-term uptrend, and the current dip should be seen as an opportunity rather than a threat. With volatility at 9.63%, the market appears poised for a calculated breakout in the medium term.
What do you think?
MCHP Long Setup: Oversold Rebound w/ Rising Volatility & VolumeMicrochip Technology (MCHP) is presenting a promising long opportunity for a temporary rebound, supported by three strong technical factors:
Slow Stochastic in Extreme Oversold Territory : The indicator is below 20, signaling excessive selling pressure, often linked to potential short-term recoveries.
Rising Volatility Index (LSVI) : The significant increase in volatility suggests the market is entering a phase of larger price movements, increasing the probability of a sharper rebound.
Increasing Volume with Reduced Decline: Recent candles show higher trading volume accompanied by a slowing rate of decline, indicating potential buyer activity and a technical correction from the recent sharp drop.
With the price near a critical support zone and a target identified at $65.00 (10% gain), this setup offers a compelling risk-reward ratio for short-term traders. If the price crosses above the red line, it may reach $71.00 (20% gain).
Watching for confirmations such as a %K/%D crossover on the Slow Stoch and sustained buying volume will be key to validating this thesis.
Disclaimer : Always manage risk carefully, particularly in high-volatility environments.
BTC correction is inevitable...So... BTC made it to 100k and beyond!!! Amazing fact indeed. History is repeating again and each time with higher prices but even without super special technical analysis, the logical thing to happen is a correction sooner or later. maybe not under 85k-90k , maybe more but it IS going to happen no matter if governments and MicroStrategy or everyone else is buying. When BTC reached 74k for the first time, MicroStrategy, governments and everyone was buying BTC, all moon boys and moon girls were shouting to infinity and beyond etc yet a correction happened. Same since 2017 when BTC reached 19k for the first time, same at 38k, same at 59k, same at 64k and so on...
Of course IMO BTC will go higher and higher as time passes (and I hope so as a trader) but all parabolic moves lasted for a while and then corrections came.
Share your opinions in the comment if you like!!
Bitcoin Is About To Enter 100K Area SoonBitcoin with ticker BTCUSD is coming and moving nicely higher as expected, after Donald Trump won US elections, so coin remains in a strong bullish five-wave impulse on a daily chart with room even up to 130k-150k area. Price came nicely higher, out of a recent wave 4 consolidation into wave 5 of an extended wave (3) close to 100k area in the 4-hour chart. Now that BTC is slowing down, seems like it's making a higher degree correction in wave (4) before the uptrend for wave (5) of 3 towards 100k area resumes. It's ideally forming a bullish triangle pattern in wave (4), but alternatively be also aware of a deeper correction, which can still retest 90k-85k support zone.
Final Post: The Collapse Is Brewing🚨 Final Warning: The Collapse is Brewing 🚨
The market is flashing unmistakable warning signals. If you’re still clinging to the idea of endless upside, it’s time to confront the data. Here are the key reasons why the market is on the brink of a major crash:
1. Record Dumb Money Investment, Consumer Debt, and Reckless Behavior
Small traders, often referred to as “dumb money,” are more heavily invested in equities than ever in recorded financial history. Historically, these traders are most bullish at market tops, while smart money—like institutional investors—are quietly exiting.
A prime example is Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the greatest investors of all time, has been signaling caution through his actions. Berkshire Hathaway is on track to finish its second straight year as a net seller of stocks, unloading a record $133.2 billion in equities through the first three quarters of 2024. The majority of these sales came from its largest holding, Apple (AAPL), generating over $125 billion in proceeds.
Buffett's reluctance to reinvest that capital is a significant red flag. Even more telling, Berkshire has not repurchased any of its own stock this year for the first time in six years, signaling that Buffett believes even Berkshire itself is overvalued. This aligns with his famous adage: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
At the same time, households are drowning in record levels of debt. Credit card balances have surged to all-time highs, and auto loan delinquencies are near record levels, signaling that consumers are stretched to the brink. Meanwhile, households have allocated more of their portfolios to equities than ever before, reaching record levels of stock investments as a percentage of total household equity.
This dangerous combination of overleveraged consumer spending and peak exposure to equities creates the perfect storm. When the market begins to fall, liquidity issues and forced selling could accelerate the crash dramatically.
2. Elliott Wave Analysis: A Probable Turning Point
When Wave 3 is extended, Wave 5 is typically shorter and often mirrors the length of Wave 1. In the chart above, I highlight a potential key target at 6,104.51 on the SPX, where Minor Wave 5 will equal 161.8% of Minor Wave 1. This level represents a probable turning point, as Wave 5 is unlikely to extend much further given the size of Wave 3 and the guideline concerning Wave 3 extensions.
Additionally, the Minor Wave 1-3 trendline, shown on the chart, is a critical resistance level and a reliable predictor for pinpointing the end of Wave 5. This trendline suggests that Wave 5 is ending very soon, most likely by the end of the year.
3. Uninverted Yield Curve (After a Record Inversion)
Buffetts favorite recession indicator! The yield curve has recently uninverted, a historically flawless predictor of recessions. But this time, it spent a record amount of time inverted, signaling extreme stress in the financial system.
There is a strong historical correlation between the length of the inversion and the severity and length of the subsequent recession. With this inversion lasting longer than any in recorded history, the implications for the economy could be catastrophic.
Final Thoughts
The writing is on the wall. With record dumb money investment, Elliott Wave pattern nearing completion, a recently uninverted yield curve after a record inversion, and record consumer debt, the market is primed for a crash.
Banks are sitting on over $500 billion in unrealized losses—and that’s just what we know of. The cracks in the financial system are growing, and in 2025, we should prepare for a 40-50% correction in US equities and banking failures across the globe.
Greed and recklessness have reached unsustainable levels. History shows that these excesses are always punished, and this time will be no different.
Stay cautious—this is your final warning. There will be no other post.
Chainlink Targets $35: Key Resistance at $25 in FocusHello,
Chainlink (LINK) is maintaining strong bullish momentum, currently approaching the $25 resistance level. A confirmed breakout here could open the path toward $35 as an initial target. Monitor the price action around the resistance zone for confirmation. As always, ensure effective risk management is in place.
BR,
Zscaler (ZS): Liquidity Below $154—A Drop Imminent?Zscaler is becoming interesting again, not only due to its earnings call yesterday but also because it has formed a strong sell-side liquidity below $154.
After a period of sideways movement, we anticipate a sell-off to take out the liquidity below, most likely wicking into the $151-$122 area. If this plays out, it should conclude the wave C and wave (2).
We did not believe the earnings report will have a decisive impact, but it still could provide one last push into the $220-$237 range before the expected drop to wave (2).
At this point, we are not placing any limit orders but have set alerts to monitor the development of this scenario closely.
Portfolio and the Sensex Correction AnalysisMy personal Portfolio performance against the Indian markets, all with holding period of 1 year to 3 years. (No single stock in the portfolio taken with tips from others, brokers, TV. All research on my own, using Fundamental / Technical analysis learned over past 20 years of weekends).
This includes stocks sold, dividend received, no mutual funds included:
The portfolio has had a draw down of 7.5% from peak from 2 months ago to bottom 1 week ago which was a market correction of 11%
A lot of the Ideas i have been posting over the years on trading view platform were part of my portfolio, when i analyzed a stock i thought i should share. I stop sharing when i didn't have time or had personal issues.
I thought i should share my performance on the platform which has helped me analyse.
Portfolio-and-Sensex-after-recent-11-correctionMy personal Portfolio performance against the Indian markets, all with holding period of 1 year to 3 years. (No single stock in the portfolio taken with tips from others, brokers, TV. All research on my own, using Fundamental / Technical analysis learned over past 20 years of weekends).
This includes stocks sold, dividend received, no mutual funds included:
The portfolio has had a draw down of 7.5% from peak from 2 months ago to bottom 1 week ago, during which Sensex had a correction of 11%.
During correction, i sold weak stocks and accumulated strong ones at the 200d EMA support.
I used Tradingview for all my technical analysis and thought it right to share my performance on this platform.
I am a student of the stock market, i do not recommend, nor take recommendations . Best thing if you don't have the time to do research and the analysis or learn it, as it is a full time job, stick to mutual funds and that too SIP. Or take recommendation from only SEBI registered and experts analysts preferably a authorised portfolio manager.
Disclaimer: i have never recommended stocks, all part of my educational purpose and sharing my analysis for feedback purposes only.
Silver May Face More Weakness After A Corrective RallySilver is making sharp reversal down from recent highs, even breaking a lower trendline support of an ending diagonal which is an important indication for a top in place. As such, we are aware of much lower prices, maybe even back to the start of a diagonal at around 27/28 as drop from 4h time frame has an impulsive bearish structure into wave A/1.
But we see some bounce now that can be an A-B-C irregular/expanded flat correction into wave B/2, where subwave (C) can be now in progress. Resistance is then around 31.60-33 area, and from where we will have to be aware of further weakness within wave C or 3.
Golden Cross, Overbought Conditions, and Key Resistance Ahead!OANDA:XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Price is above all moving averages, indicating an uptrend. A Golden Cross is forming near the 2656 level, suggesting bullish potential. However, caution is advised as the price is near strong resistance, which may cap upward movement. For a potential correction, the price target is 2656.
The monthly RSI is overbought at 80.07, indicating a potential long-term pullback. The weekly RSI is mildly bullish at 65.45, while the daily RSI is neutral at 58.62. The 4-hour RSI is overbought at 76.36, signaling a possible pullback. The 3-hour and 2-hour RSIs are extremely overbought, with bearish divergence, reinforcing a likely near-term correction.
The price is approaching a critical resistance zone, where sellers may enter. Weak volume across timeframes suggests a lack of buying conviction, and if volume remains weak near resistance, a reversal or consolidation could occur.
Actionable Insights:
Caution is advised due to overbought conditions and weak volume. Watch for price rejection at resistance for a potential pullback. If the Golden Cross is confirmed, ensure volume picks up to sustain the move; otherwise, the breakout may be short-lived. A pullback or reversal is likely, especially near resistance, with the price target for a correction at 2656.
key levels:
Ultimate Resistance: 2734.375
Major Support, Pivot Point: 2656.250
Ultimate Support: 2578.125
Reminder: Always follow your risk management strategies and trade responsibly.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Happy trading!
Getting closer and closer to the bullflag targetsTwo of the biggest patterns bitcoin has broken upwards from this year are both bull flags and they both have a bullish confluence measured move breakout target of around $99,999. The first one that’s been forming the longest from we actually broke upwards from all the way back n February or March, and here is what it looks like: it was all the way back then I knew we would eventually reach this target and it’s extremely satisfying to click play and watch price action go directly to the target. You can see the price target for that one shown at the chart on the top of this page at the top of the dotted purple line. The other big bull flag of this year we only just recently broke upwards from in October, and it has also had beautiful priceaction unfold perfectly shown here: Clicking play on this chart also is amazing to watch it seemingly go up and hit the exact target with the dotted red line acting as a magnet. That same dotted red line can be seen on the chart image above on this current chart idea. Even though on both of those charts it looks like we have already hit the exact target, when you zoom n on the daily time frame here you can see that we came within a whisker of hitting the $99999 target but still have only gotten just below it. IN the process recently we have been consolidating in a rising wedge (as indicated by the diagonal pink trendline) and a rising channel (the ascending red trendline + the dotted red trendline). The rising wedge also can qualify as a bullish pennant and when you factor in the pink flagpole to where price has broken above the top trendline of the wedge, the measured move target for a breakout of such a pennant is around $116k. Rising wedges default mode is to break down instead of up, but in a parabolic bull phase many of them can consecutively break upwards, I do believe at the very least price action will finally reach both the dotted red and dotted purple targets. However, since that was the full target for two of the most pivotal bullish chart patterns of the year that may actually be a good time for it to make a solid correction. We also have the psychological resistance of 100k where many people would likely take profit at which could add to the liklihood of a correction in that range. Usually once price gets this close to a psychological level it tends to hit it so it would not surprise me at all if we hit 100k before the correction, there’s also a chance we could hit the little pennants 16k breakout target before the correction too but if we correct right after 100k, right after the 115-116k target zone, or just above that at the next big resistance area around 120-130k which is the top green trendline of this series of channels on the log chart: My belief is the correction will go down to fill the gap that was created in the CME bitcoin futures chart shown here: . I think it could likely retest that zone right around the 1day 50ma (in orange) rises up to meet that zone. My goal is to wait for a pullback back around there or back to the neckline (in yellow) of the big cup and handle we broke up from just recently, I will look for those levels as potential zones to make any additional entries into the market. The cup and handle has been by far the absolute biggest chart pattern of the entire year, however the channel of the red bullflag is also the handle of the cup and handle. Will be interesting to see how much of the above plays out how I anticipate it will. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin’s CME futures gap gives a clue for the 1st big correctonAnytime you see a gap in price action like this they almost always get filled, and typically get filled sooner than later. So while there is a chance bitcoin could turn the current mild retracement into a deeper pullback that goes down to fill this gap, until the current support on btc is broken, which is the top trendline of the rising wedge it now currently has 3 consecutive daily candles above(not shown here), I think it’s more probable that bitcoin waits for a much more powerful resistance line that results in a much stronger rejection before it corrects back down far enough to fill this gap. If the current pullback doesn’t lead to the gap fill then my guess is once we retest the top green trendline of this group of channels:
That this would be the perfect time to have our first significant correction of the current parabolic phase of the bull market. I will be prepared for either zone to have a chance to fill that gap and plan accordingly, Also a few measured move targets around the 115 - 116k range so a pullback could potentially occur around that zone as well. *not financial advice*
McDonald’s (MCD): Crisis Management and Market ReactionWhat a perfect flat this is on McDonald’s. Already back in the range and finished the wave ((ii)) at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Far more downside is expected for $MCD. If we are right about this intra wave count, we should see the level of wave ((iii)) to be at a minimum of $258.5.
The outbreak that caused the big drop was linked to slivered onions used in Quarter Pounder burgers, which affected 104 individuals across 14 states and resulted in one death. To address the crisis, McDonald’s will invest $35 million in marketing and advertising campaigns to rebuild customer trust and foot traffic. Additionally, $65 million will be directed toward franchisee support, including deferrals on rent and royalties.
To recover from this significant image damage, it will likely take much time for NYSE:MCD to resolve these challenges. Therefore, it would also be valid if NYSE:MCD sweeps the range low at the level of $245 before coming back to at least the range middle.
O 1D Investment Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume TE / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SoS level
+ support level
+ weak approach"
1Y Trend
"+ long balance
+ volumed manipulation
- neutral zone"
BTC, one last push (to take out liquidity)Hello everyone,
following the liquidity that is still forming like clouds above all new ATH bitcoin made we are close to a decision point for Bitcoin. The moves are getting more and more choppy and considering the strong rally I guess a correction is outstanding. But first we should see another move higher completing a five wave cycle of a third wave.
QUALCOMM (QCOM): Diversified Growth Amid DowntrendQualcomm ( NASDAQ:QCOM ) presents an intriguing setup as we believe the wave I and a larger cycle might have concluded. Following its peak, NASDAQ:QCOM has dropped nearly 30%, retracing back to the range high. To finalize wave (A), we expect an additional leg down to complete the intra 5-wave structure. The likely target lies between $143 and $133, a range that aligns well with the Point of Control (POC) from March 2020 to now. This adds confluence to its significance as a potential support zone.
Despite the technical setup, we caution that the risk for a long position remains high. A more favorable entry could arise once NASDAQ:QCOM reclaims the range, validating the start of a potential bullish wave.
For the current quarter, Qualcomm projects revenues between $10.5 billion and $11.3 billion, with automotive sales anticipated to rise 50% year over year. CEO Cristiano Amon’s strategy to diversify Qualcomm beyond smartphones into chips for PCs, cars, and industrial machines underscores the company’s adaptability.
The next financial results release is scheduled for January 29, 2025, offering further insights into Qualcomm’s trajectory.
The $143-$133 range is a key zone for potential support, bolstered by its alignment with the POC. A decisive break below this zone could invalidate the bullish outlook, while a breakout above the range high may provide an opportunity to long this stock with lower risk. The completion of wave (A) would ideally coincide with a structural turnaround.
We are closely monitoring NASDAQ:QCOM for any signs of a reversal. Should the stock confirm a reclaim of the range, we may consider initiating a long position with a more precise stop-loss strategy. Until then, patience and vigilance are essential.
Gold, strong support coming inHello everyone,
after the election in the US Gold started a sharp pullback and lost 9% within 2 weeks.
Now the price reached very strong support zones, built from former consolidations. These zones also match with order blocs on the weekly, 4H and 1H time frame (not shown on the chart).
The RSI is highly oversold and the drop was the biggest one this year. All in all I think it's time for a correction at least.
According to the Elliot wave theory we finished three waves down, the C wave was formed by a five wave move which is very common on five waves. If you are interested in the micro count, let me know in the comments.
The orange area shows the potential resistance for the larger B wave. The green support zone should ideally hold to keep the bullish trend alive and the upper zone shows the fifth wave targets. The price could easily extend to 3000 dollar before a major correction should come.
Shopify (SHOP): Preparing for a Long-Term Entry at $49.62Considering Shopify, the situation is unfolding as we anticipated. We expected the beginning of 2024 to potentially mark the peak for Shopify with the completion of Wave (1), indicating a Wave 2 correction. This correction is likely to find support between the 63.8% and 78.6% retracement levels.
Currently, the pattern is showing lower lows and lower highs, suggesting that further price declines may occur, potentially closing existing gaps. Our strategy is still developing, but we plan to place a long-term entry at $49.62 with a stop-loss at $31.
USDCAD Buying ideaAs indicated by the drawings. There are some things we need to understand .
1. The resistance zone one the Hour , and the 4 Hrs TF which are used for the analysis , rather intraday bias has been Violated .
2 observe keenly that after the break, there has been a undoubted close of the candle above the resistance zone showing that the bulkish market as per the breking hour is unchallenged.
3. Observe a consolodation of different players in the market structure has been observed prior the break
4. What we expect next after an impulsive move is a corrective move.
5. We wait for the bearish correction upto the last breaking structural zone to tap out the structural pool for a confirmation of the entries.
Bitcoin(BTC): Entering Reaccumulation Phase (DROP???)As we are over-expanding on Bitcoin, we also need to keep in mind that we have a really high chance of seeing the "reaccumulation" phase activate soon.
We are monitoring the charts and waiting for a bigger correction to happen before the next bullish market, so eyes open, everyone!!
Soon, we should see a really good buying opportunity.
Swallow Team