Get started

Cpidata

$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Rate (August/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY August/2025 source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications -Japan's annual inflation rate eased to 2.7% in August 2025 from 3.1% in the previous month, marking the lowest reading since October 2024. Electricity prices fell much steeper (-7.0% vs -0.7% in July) due to government subsidies, and gas prices dropped (-2.7%) after being flat previously. Education costs also continued to drop (-5.6% vs -5.6%). Price growth slowed for household items (2.0% vs 2.5%), healthcare (1.3% vs 1.5%), and recreation (2.3% vs 2.6%). Inflation accelerated for housing (1.1% vs 1.0%), clothing (2.9% vs 2.8%), transport (3.0% vs 2.6%), communications (7.0% vs 6.4%), and miscellaneous goods (1.3% vs 1.2%). On the food side, prices rose 7.2%, easing from July’s five-month peak of 7.6%, driven by the smallest gain in rice prices in eight months at 69.7%, amid Tokyo’s efforts to curb staple food costs. Core inflation also stood at 2.7%, matching market consensus and reaching a nine-month low. Monthly, the CPI edged up 0.1%, holding steady for the third straight month.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate Flat at 3.8% (August/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY August/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The UK’s annual inflation rate held steady at 3.8% in August 2025, unchanged from July and remaining near the highs last seen in January 2024, in line with expectations. Lower airfares and easing services inflation were offset by higher motor fuel costs and rising prices for restaurants and hotels and food. Meanwhile, annual core inflation rate slowed to 3.6% from 3.8%.
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$USIRYY - U.S Inflation Rises to Seven-Month High (August/2025)ECONOMICS:USIRYY August/2025 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The US annual inflation rate accelerated to 2.9% in August, its highest level since January, as retailers gradually passed higher import tariffs on to consumers. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.4%, the most since January, above both July’s 0.2% increase and forecasts of 0.3%. Core inflation held steady, rising 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, matching July’s pace.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Gold | Waiting for CPI & FED rate cut | Priority Buy at support🟡 XAU/USD – 11/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context US PPI yesterday : Wholesale prices dropped sharply, below forecasts → strengthening expectations of a FED rate cut. FED probabilities : 100% odds for a -25bps cut next week, and even 16% of investors bet on -50bps. Today : US CPI & Jobless Claims – key data to assess inflation & labor, determining the specific cut. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : FED will certainly cut rates, so Gold remains supported in its bullish trend. Short-term fluctuations may occur due to sentiment or surprises (e.g., tariff news from Trump). 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance) : Bearish OB: 3645 – 3650 (near-term resistance) Weak High: 3674 (target if breakout succeeds) Golden Harbor (Support) : Near support: 3622 FVG Dock: 3603 Bullish OB: 3581 – 3585 (strong mid-term support) Market Structure : H1 shows a short-term bearish BoS, retesting support. Main trend remains bullish → possible pullback to 3622 or 3603 before rallying toward 3670+. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority with trend) Entry 1: 3621 – 3623 (Scalping) SL: 3619 TP: 3625 – 3630 – 3635 – 3640 – 36XX Entry 2 (FVG): 3603 – 3605 SL: 3592 TP: 3610 – 3615 – 3625 – 365x Entry 3 (Bullish OB): 3581 – 3585 SL: 3572 TP: 3600 – 3620 – 3640 ⚡ Sell (only short scalp at resistance) Sell Zone: 3645 – 3650 SL: 3658 TP: 3635 – 3628 – 3622 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails remain full of wind as the FED is almost certain to cut rates. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3622 – 3603) and the deeper OB 3581 – 3585 are safe havens to follow the bullish tide. If the ship touches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3645 – 3650) , only Quick Boarding 🚤 short scalps are recommended. The larger voyage still heads north, steering Gold toward new highs at 367x.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
$CNIRYY - China CPI (August/2025)ECONOMICS:CNIRYY August/2025 source: National Bureau of Statistics of China - China’s consumer prices dropped 0.4% yoy in August 2025, after being flat in the previous month and missing market expectations of a 0.2% fall. It was the fifth time of consumer deflation this year and the sharpest pace since February. Food prices slumped (-4.3% vs -1.6% in July), logging the steepest fall in nearly four years, with broad-based decreases across categories and a sharper drop in pork prices, due to ample supply, lower production costs, and weak demand. In contrast, non-food inflation quickened (0.5% vs 0.3%), supported by Beijing’s ongoing consumer goods subsidies, with increases in housing (0.1% vs 0.1%), clothing (1.8% vs 1.7%), healthcare (0.9% vs 0.5%), and education (1.0% vs 0.9%). Meanwhile, transport costs shrank but at a slower pace (-2.4% vs -3.1%). Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.9% yoy, the highest in 18 months, after a 0.8% gain in July. On a monthly basis, CPI was flat, below forecasts of 0.1%, following a 0.4% increase in July.
ECONOMICS:CNIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
ES (SPX) Analyses for Thu, Sep 11 (CPI day)What matters tomorrow (fundamentals) CPI (Aug) at 8:30 ET — the BLS schedule shows the August CPI release Thu Sep 11, 08:30 ET. This is the day’s primary driver. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims at 8:30 ET — standard Thursday release; calendars show the event scheduled for Sep 11 at 08:30 ET. Treasury 30-yr bond auction — $22B long-bond sale Thursday (typically 13:00 ET). This can move yields into the NY afternoon and spill into equities. Context into the print: PPI (Aug) was released today (Sep 10); YoY +2.6% per data trackers/BLS release, keeping focus on CPI for confirmation. Markets are leaning toward a Fed cut at next week’s meeting. I’m using your 1D / 4H / 1H. Trend: Uptrend intact on 1D; price sits just beneath a “weak-high / premium” supply band. (1D shows fib extensions near ~6705 (1.272) and ~6799 (1.618) as far targets, not base-case for tomorrow.) 4H: Recent push into a red supply band then pullback; mid-range equilibrium roughly ~6,44x–6,45x. 1H: Resistance zone ~6,558–6,565 (your “Weak High” band). Prior highs around ~6,536–6,540 act as local pivot/PMH; below that, demand/discount blocks stack ~6,50x → 6,46x–6,44x. Scenario A — Disinflationary/soft CPI (yields down) Likely path: Early sell-side sweep into 6,51x → 6,49x discount → bullish MSS. Entry: Buy the 1–5m PD-array in discount after displacement. Targets: 6,536–6,540 → 6,558–6,565 (weak-high). Leave runner toward 6,57x–6,58x only if order-flow stays bid. Invalidation: 1–5m structure loses 6,49x and cannot reclaim. Scenario B — Hot CPI (yields up) Likely path: Buy-side sweep through 6,558–6,565 → failure → bearish MSS back below the band. Entry: Short premium PD-array after displacement down. Targets: 6,536–6,540 → 6,51x, stretch 6,49x then 6,46x–6,44x if momentum accelerates. Invalidation: Acceptance back above 6,565 with bullish structure. Projections: ES futures are anticipated to respond within a 5-15 minute window following the 8:30 AM release, with intraday movements likely intensified by algorithmic trading and stop-hunting activities. Historical analysis of the past 6 CPI events indicates an average end-of-day ES move of approximately +0.76% in response to ±0.1% deviations from forecasts. The prevailing volatility suggests that implied moves, derived from options data, are forecasting a swing of around 0.5-1% (equivalent to ±30-60 points from current levels), though actual market responses have been known to exceed these expectations in the event of surprises. In the pre-release phase, spanning overnight to pre-market hours (approximately 4:00-9:30 AM ET), market participants are likely to observe a consolidation or mild upward bias within a range of 6480-6575, building upon today’s record highs. The light trading volume may lead to false breakouts around critical levels. Traders are currently positioning for a "failed breakdown" pattern, wherein an initial dip below recent lows could trigger stop-loss orders, followed by a swift reversal higher if market sentiment remains intact. As the clock strikes 8:30 AM ET, high volatility is expected, with the potential for a 20-40 point gap open or sharp spike. A common occurrence is an initial downside flush aimed at testing liquidity (for instance, dipping below 6500) before a definitive market direction is established. Whipsaw action is likely as news headlines emerge, with particular focus on the core CPI data, which will be pivotal for determining sustained market trends. Good Luck Everyone!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
$EUIRYY -E.U CPI (August/2025)ECONOMICS:EUIRYY 2.1% August/2025 source: EUROSTAT - Euro area consumer price inflation rose to 2.1% in August 2025, slightly above both July’s pace and market expectations of 2.0%, preliminary data showed. Unprocessed food prices climbed 5.5% from 5.4% in July, while energy costs fell 1.9%, a smaller decline than the previous month’s 2.4% drop. Services inflation eased to 3.1% from 3.2%, and prices for processed food, alcohol, and tobacco rose at a slightly slower pace of 2.6% versus 2.7%. Non-energy industrial goods inflation held steady at 0.8%. Core inflation—which excludes energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco—remained unchanged at 2.3%, marking its lowest level since January 2022.
ECONOMICS:EUIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Hits 8-Month Low (July/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY July/2025 source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - Japan’s annual inflation rate eased to 3.1% in July 2025 from 3.3% in June, the lowest since November 2024. The moderation was driven by falling electricity prices and flat gas costs, which helped offset a faster rise in food prices, largely fueled by surging rice costs. Core inflation also stood at 3.1%, in line with the headline rate but slightly above market expectations of 3.0%.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY - U.K Inflation Hits 18-Month High (July/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY July/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The UK’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.8% in July 2025 from 3.6% in June, the highest since January 2024 and slightly above forecasts of 3.7%. The uptick was led by higher transport costs linked to school summer holidays, with additional pressure from motor fuels, restaurants and hotels, and food and non-alcoholic beverages. On a monthly basis, CPI rose 0.1%, defying forecasts of a 0.1% decline but slowing from June’s 0.3% gain. Core inflation inched up to 3.8% from 3.7%.
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
EURGBP shorts due to higher than expected UK CPI y/y readingThe most recent UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July 2025 indicates an annual inflation rate of 3.8%, an increase from 3.6% in June 2025, marking the highest level in 18 months. Key drivers include rising transport costs and food inflation hitting a 16-month peak. Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, climbed to 3.7% from 3.5% in May 2025. The CPI index stood at 138.90 points in June 2025, up from 138.40 points in May. As a result of the above date, we expect the EUR to weaken against GBP.
Short
by NDOBObanks
CPI Relief Sparks Crypto Rally The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the July 2025 CPI and Real Earnings reports today at 8:30 AM ET. The data came in exactly as markets expected, no hotter than expected inflation and sparking a risk-on rally across the market, while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) dropped sharply. Key Data Points: CPI (Headline): +0.3% m/m, +2.9% y/y (June was +2.7% y/y) Core CPI (ex-food, energy): +0.2% m/m, +3.2% y/y (stable from June) Energy: +2.1% m/m — Gasoline +3.3% Food: +0.2% m/m Shelter: +0.4% m/m (still the largest inflation contributor) Real Avg Hourly Earnings: +0.1% m/m, +1.1% y/y Real Avg Weekly Earnings: +0.3% m/m, +0.7% y/y Market Reaction: The release of the July 2025 CPI and Real Earnings data triggered an immediate and decisive move in financial markets. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) saw a sharp and rapid decline within minutes of the announcement, reflecting a shift away from safe-haven demand. This was largely because inflation came in exactly as expected, avoiding the “hot” surprise that could have reignited fears of further aggressive Fed action. Equity futures jumped, and crypto markets reacted almost instantly, with BTC, ETH, and SOL showing strong green candles on the 1-hour chart. The drop in DXY removed a major headwind for risk assets, as a weaker dollar often correlates with stronger performance in crypto. The reaction also suggests that traders were positioned defensively ahead of the release and quickly moved capital back into higher-risk assets when no negative surprise was observed. The post-CPI order flow also hints that macro traders are linking USD weakness directly to crypto strength in this environment. While the momentum is positive in the short term, it’s worth noting that the Fed will remain cautious, especially with shelter inflation still contributing heavily to the overall CPI. Currently BTC is moving around $119,900 (~1.2% since CPI release) while ETH, SOL, XRP, BNB are 3.74%, 3.22%, 1.55% and 2.41% respectively at the time of writing.
Long
by Bashitha
AUDUSD: Rate Cut Tuesday + Price At A Daily -FVG! Time To Sell?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 11 - 15 In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: AUDUSD AUDUSD has been difficult to trade, as it chops its slow grind upwards. Then last, although the week's trading range was small, the Weekly candle closed as a bearish Inside Bar. This, as price made contact with a -FVG! The scenario could be laying the ground work for a new bearish leg to form. Couple the above with an interest rate cut coming Tuesday for the AUD, and August being a historically bad month for the aussie, things could get real interesting for sellers next week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
1
$EUIRYY -Europe CPI (July/2025)ECONOMICS:EUIRYY July/2025 source: EUROSTAT - Eurozone consumer price inflation held steady at 2.0% year-on-year in July 2025, unchanged from June but slightly above market expectations of 1.9%, according to preliminary estimates. This marks the second consecutive month that inflation has aligned with the European Central Bank’s official target. A slowdown in services inflation (3.1% vs 3.3% in June) helped offset faster price increases in food, alcohol & tobacco (3.3% vs 3.1%) and non-energy industrial goods (0.8% vs 0.5%). Energy prices continued to decline, falling by 2.5% following a 2.6% drop in June. Meanwhile, core inflation—which excludes energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco—remained unchanged at 2.3%, its lowest level since January 2022.
ECONOMICS:EUIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY - U.K Inflation Rises to a 2024 High (June/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY June/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the UK rose to 3.6% in June, the highest since January 2024, up from 3.4% in May and above expectations that it would remain unchanged. The main upward pressure came from transport prices, mostly motor fuel costs, airfares, rail fares and maintenance and repair of personal transport equipment. On the other hand, services inflation remained steady at 4.7%. Meanwhile, core inflation also accelerated, with the annual rate reaching 3.7%.
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$USIRYY -U.S Inflation Rate Seen Rising for 2nd Month (June/2025ECONOMICS:USIRYY June/2025 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the US likely accelerated for the second consecutive month to 2.7% in June, the highest level since February, up from 2.4% in May. On a monthly basis, the CPI is expected to rise by 0.3%, marking the largest increase in five months. Meanwhile, core inflation is projected to edge up to 3% from 2.8%. Monthly core CPI is also anticipated to climb 0.3%, up from 0.1% in May, marking its sharpest increase in five months.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$CNIRYY -China's Inflation Data (June/2025)ECONOMICS:CNIRYY June/2025 source: National Bureau of Statistics of China - China’s consumer prices rose by 0.1% yoy in June 2025, reversing a 0.1% drop in the previous three months and surpassing market forecasts of a flat reading. It marked the first annual increase in consumer inflation since January, driven by e-commerce shopping events, increased subsidies for consumer goods from Beijing, and easing trade risks with the U.S. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, rose 0.7% yoy, marking the highest reading in 14 months and following a 0.6% gain in May. On a monthly basis, the CPI fell 0.1%, after May's 0.2% drop, pointing to the fourth monthly decline this year.
ECONOMICS:CNIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$EUIRYY - Europe CPI (June/2025)ECONOMICS:EUIRYY 2% June/2025 source: EUROSTAT - Eurozone consumer price inflation rose slightly to 2.0% year-on-year in June 2025, up from May’s eight-month low of 1.9% and in line with market expectations, according to a preliminary estimate. The figure aligns with the European Central Bank’s official target. Among major economies, inflation in Germany unexpectedly declined, while France and Spain saw modest increases and Italy’s rate held steady.
ECONOMICS:EUIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$JPIRYY -Japan CPI (May/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY May/2025 source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - Japan's annual inflation rate edged down to 3.5% in May 2025 from 3.6% in the previous two months, marking the lowest level since November. Price growth eased for clothing (2.6% vs 2.7% in April), household items (3.6% vs 4.1%), and healthcare (2.0% vs 2.2%), while education costs fell further (-5.6%). In contrast, inflation held steady for transport (2.7%) and miscellaneous items (1.3%), but accelerated for housing (1.1% vs 1.0%), recreation (3.0% vs 2.7%), and communications (1.9% vs 1.1%). Meanwhile, prices of electricity (11.3% vs 13.5%) and gas (5.4% vs 4.4%) remained elevated. On the food side, prices increased by 6.5%, staying at the slowest pace in four months, though rice prices soared over 100%, underscoring the limited impact of government efforts to rein in staple food costs. Meanwhile, the core inflation accelerated to 3.7% from 3.5% in April, reaching its highest level in over two years, ahead of the summer election. Monthly, the CPI rose 0.3%, after a 0.1% gain in April.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx