BTCUSD: Price can Rebound Up from Support line of PennantHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
Bitcoin has been through an incredibly volatile cycle. After reversing from a major low near the 109400 Support, we saw a powerful rally that led to a new ATH around 126000. Since that peak, the market has been in a deep and complex corrective phase.
Currently, this correction has taken the shape of a large pennant or wedge pattern. The price is consolidating and coiling within this structure. After a recent test of the upper boundary, the price is now pulling back towards the ascending support line for what I see as a critical test.
My Scenario & Strategy
I view the current pullback to the support line as a healthy correction and a logical place for buyers to show interest and defend the structure. A confirmed and strong bounce from this dynamic support would be the key signal for me that the pullback is over and the market is ready to challenge the highs again.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful rebound is expected to lead to a rally that will break the intermediate Resistance at 117300. The primary target for the subsequent move is 118600, which aligns with the resistance line of the pennant.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Crypto
Bitcoin is going to the hell???hi follow me , boost this post and read
everything shows me that bull trend is over , weakness in highs , candles and the momentum
the targets for retracement is 83 to 74 and after that 50k
i know its hard to hear that but this is market he do what he wants so accept it.
thank you. i reply to questions anytime.
SOL/USDT Weekly Chart Update !! SOL/USDT Weekly Chart Update
SOL is forming a massive cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe – a strong bullish continuation setup leading to a major breakout.
Currently trading around $199, SOL is consolidating below the key resistance level of $250-$260. Once we achieve a weekly close above $260, it could confirm a breakout move towards $450-$480 (approximately +90-100% upside).
Support: $170-$180 (handle base/accumulation zone)
Resistance: $250-$260 (breakout zone)
Target: $450-$480
Overall sentiment remains bullish – the structure is clear, and momentum is building. A confirmed breakout above the resistance level could mark the start of SOL's next major surge.
DYOR | NFA
Gold (XAU/USD), 4H timeframe..Gold (XAU/USD), 4H timeframe — here’s what the technical setup indicates:
Current price: around $4,107
Structure: Rising channel (uptrend), but price recently rejected the upper boundary.
Indicators: There’s a clear blue arrow pointing downward, suggesting a short-term correction.
Support zones:
First near $4,050 – $4,030 (mid-channel support)
Second near $4,000 – $3,995 (cloud & lower trendline support — also marked “Target Point” on my chart)
✅ Short-term Target: $4,000 – $3,995
If the bearish momentum continues, it might test the lower edge of the Ichimoku cloud near $3,975.
⚠ Invalidation:
If price closes above $4,145, the bearish correction setup fails and the bullish channel continues.
So, my target zone = $4,000 ±10.
XAU/USD (Gold) 4H chart:XAU/USD (Gold) 4H chart:
✅ Current Price: around $4,072
✅ Trend: Strong uptrend within an ascending channel
✅ Support zone: around $4,010 – $4,025 (mid-channel + previous resistance)
✅ Resistance/Target zone: top of channel & marked “Target Point”
🎯 Target Levels
1. Short-term target: $4,110 – $4,125 (upper channel resistance, same as my marked target area)
2. Extended target (if breakout occurs): $4,150 – $4,170
This assumes strong bullish momentum and a clean close above $4,125.
🛡 Support / Stop-Loss Suggestions
Conservative stop-loss: below $4,000 (below trendline & Ichimoku cloud support)
Aggressive stop-loss: below $4,030
🔍 Summary
Trend bias: Bullish
Immediate target: $4,125
Breakout extension: $4,150–$4,170
Invalidation (trend break): below $4,000
BTC/USD (Bitcoin) chart pattern..BTC/USD (Bitcoin) 1D (Daily) chart 👇
✅ Current Price: around $110,685
✅ Trend: Bearish breakdown — price has clearly broken below the long-term ascending trendline.
✅ Market structure: After rejecting near $117,000, BTC dropped below both the Ichimoku cloud and the trendline — confirming downside pressure.
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🎯 Target Levels (Downside)
1. Primary Target: $100,000 – $98,000
2. Extended / Final Target: $94,000 – $92,000
This is the second target point shown on my chart.
It would be the next major support if BTC continues falling after $98,000 breaks.
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🛡 Resistance / Stop-Loss
Immediate resistance: $113,000 – $114,000 (broken trendline retest zone).
Stop-loss for short trades: above $115,000 – $116,000 (invalidates bearish setup).
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🔍 Summary
Trend bias: Bearish (break of trendline + below cloud)
Sell zone: $111,000 – $113,000
Target 1: $100,000 – $98,000
Target 2: $94,000 – $93,000
Stop-loss: above $115,000
UDSUSD – FVG’s Not Filled, Trend Ain’t Done YetHey There Guys,
Post-BOS, the market’s still pushing with upside momentum.
That upper +FVG hasn’t been filled yet, so the trend’s not showing signs of fatigue.
The Strong Buy Zone below is still in play—if liquidity gets pulled down there, buyers could step in hard.
As long as we don’t get a daily close below the main support zone, dips are still buying opportunities.
I will share updates here.
Every like you send is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these setups. Big thanks to everyone backing me.
GBP/USD (1H chart) ...GBP/USD (1H chart)
Current price: around 1.3274
Breakout trendline: downward sloping, recently broken
Support zone: near 1.3200 – 1.3220 (highlighted green area)
Resistance/Target zones: marked as “Target Point” on my chart
From the chart structure and Ichimoku breakout:
🎯 Target Levels
1. First target (near-term): 1.3370 – 1.3380
→ This aligns with the first “Target Point” on my chart (post-breakout resistance area).
2. Second target (major target): 1.3470 – 1.3490
→ This matches my higher “Target Point” level and previous supply zone/resistance.
🔄 Summary
Target Type Price Zone Comment
TP1 1.3370 – 1.3380 Short-term breakout target
TP2 1.3470 – 1.3490 Extended bullish target if momentum continues
SL (Suggested) Below 1.3220 To protect against false breakout
BITCOIN – WAIT FOR ARBITRAGE TO BALANCE SPOT MARKETSTraders,
What a week it’s been. A lot of people got rekt, and I hope you were on the right side of the move. If not, it’s fine: this is how markets reset. I’ve been getting a lot of questions about what comes next, so here’s my current view.
The Situation
Binance/USDT wicked down to 102,000
Binance/USD wicked to 107,485.59
Coinbase/USD wicked to 107,000
That’s roughly a $5,000 difference, or about 5%, which is huge for major spot markets.
Under normal conditions, spreads between top venues like Coinbase and Binance are usually below 1% (Bitwise, 2019 SEC Study on Real Bitcoin Trading Volume - for the nerds interested ;)).
Why It Matters
Both Binance and Coinbase printed round-number lows (102k and 107k).
Round-number lows are considered “bad lows” because they attract clustered stop-loss orders and create obvious liquidity pools underneath.
Studies on market microstructure (e.g., Osler 2003; Kamps & Klein 2018) confirm that price clustering at round numbers is a real behavioral bias in FX and crypto markets.
Real market bottoms are messy, chaotic, and rarely form at clean, even levels.
These “perfect” lows often get revisited or swept later as the market clears liquidity and finds true balance.
How the Flush Works in Spot Markets
Even though spot markets don’t have leverage liquidations, they still experience stop cascades and panic selling.
When price breaks below a clean low, it triggers stops, sending a surge of sell orders into thin liquidity.
Market makers step in to absorb those orders and rebuild liquidity from a more stable base.
This is what traders call a spot flush — the market removing weak hands and resetting liquidity.
Conceptually, it’s the same as a liquidation flush in futures, just without forced margin calls.
What Arbitrage Does
Arbitrage keeps prices between exchanges in check.
When Bitcoin trades cheaper on Binance than on Coinbase, arbitrage traders buy on Binance and sell on Coinbase.
This pushes the cheap venue’s price up and the expensive one down until they align.
Makarov & Schoar (2020, NBER) showed that cross-exchange price deviations in Bitcoin are temporary and mean-reverting, driven by arbitrage capital restoring equilibrium.
Kaiko research (2021–2023) also found that USD and USDT pairs often decouple during stress events, especially when stablecoin liquidity or banking rails get disrupted, and later realign once volatility settles.
That’s exactly what we’re seeing now: a temporary dislocation that arbitrage will eventually close.
What I Expect
Binance already swept liquidity down to 102k.
Coinbase still has a clean 107k low that hasn’t been tested.
To rebalance both exchanges, I expect Coinbase to trade within 1% of the Binance 102k low, meaning roughly 103k–104k.
That would bring both markets back into alignment and complete a proper spot flush.
This isn’t a guaranteed move, but it’s a logical rebalancing target supported by historical arbitrage behavior.
What Could Happen Before That
We could still see Bitcoin move back toward 118k–120k before a potential drop.
After major liquidation events, markets often retrace sharply as liquidity rebuilds and shorts get squeezed.
A move higher doesn’t invalidate the idea of a later sweep; it could just be part of the natural reset phase before the market finds true equilibrium.
What I’m Watching
The spread between Coinbase/USD and Binance/USDT narrowing from around 5% to about 1%.
Coinbase breaking below 107k and testing the 104–102k zone.
A liquidity sweep followed by a strong reclaim and visible buy volume.
If we move up first, I’ll watch price behavior around 118k–120k for signs of exhaustion.
My Plan (Not Financial Advice)
I’m staying patient and letting the market mechanics reset.
If Coinbase trades into the 103k–102k zone, that’s my “let’s see what’s going on now” trigger.
That doesn’t mean I’ll instantly go long — it means I’ll start watching the data:
Volume and delta (are buyers stepping in?)
Strength of reclaim (is the recovery fast and decisive?)
Order book depth (is liquidity returning?)
What is Open Interest doing?
Do we see absorption? Or maybe a continuation pattern even?
Only if those metrics confirm strength will I consider entering.If not, I’ll stay flat and wait for the next confirmation.
So, TLDR;
Both Binance and Coinbase printed clean, round-number lows that are likely to be swept again. Arbitrage will eventually bring the spot markets back into balance, which should pull Coinbase closer to Binance’s 102k low. We might even see a push toward 120k first as liquidity resets. Either way, patience is key: let arbitrage, liquidity, and order flow do their job before taking any position.
And remember: Patience in trading isn’t about doing nothing, it’s about waiting for the odds to align in your favor. Chasing every move might feed the ego, but patience compounds the account. The market always rewards the trader who can sit still when everyone else is reacting.
Trade safe!
VR/USDT Accumulation Zone Update📊 Market Update — VR/USDT
VR is trading inside a clear range zone. The lower support is around 0.0022, and the top resistance sits near 0.0249.
Currently, VR is holding above the mid-level with solid volume — if it can confirm higher with a 4h close, a move toward 0.01+ looks possible, and later a push into the range high could follow.
✅ Outlook
Still early-stage accumulation, but structure looks bullish as long as price holds above support.
If BTC stays stable or trends up, VR could continue this breakout move.
ETH - Buy the Confluence, Not the DipPrice is pulling back into a chunky demand block that overlaps the rising channel’s lower trendline and the correction’s (falling wedge) lower rail—a classic confluence.
As long as this intersection holds, I expect the up-trend to resume from here.
My plan is simple: wait for a bullish rejection, then ride the bounce.
If it triggers, I’ll look up into ~4,350 → 4,600 → 4,900. The setup is invalidated on a decisive daily close below the zone and trendline, which would open a deeper mean-reversion toward ~3,500 → 3,250 first.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research and manage risk.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
ARB Breaks Structure – Is the Drop to $0.30 Already in Motion?Yello Paradisers, what happens when a strong uptrend finally cracks under pressure? That’s exactly what we are seeing with #ARBUSDT right now. The ascending channel that carried price action since June has officially been broken, and history tells us this is rarely a small signal. A clean breakdown from such a channel often marks the beginning of a deeper move, and #ARB is showing all the signs that more downside could unfold.
💎After failing to hold inside the channel, #ARB retested the broken zone but quickly rejected from supply around $0.45–$0.50. This rejection zone is now the key barrier standing above price. As long as #ARBITRUM trades below it, sellers are in control, and the probability of further decline remains high.
💎The next important area to watch lies at $0.35, which acts as the first strong support. If that level gives way, the move could accelerate toward the $0.30 minor support before potentially reaching the major support zone around $0.20–$0.25. This entire area is where bigger buyers could look to step in, but until then, the path of least resistance is clearly to the downside.
💎Invalidation for this bearish outlook would only come if AMEX:ARB reclaims the $0.55 supply zone and holds above it. Until then, traders must respect the bearish momentum.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. These breakdowns are where inexperienced traders get wiped out, while disciplined ones wait patiently for the best opportunities.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
BITCOIN... THE DROP IS NOT OVER YET!I see a lot of people fomo-ing to buy the dip, but I don't think this is the bottom yet. At least, that is not what my technical analysis is showing me.
I am expecting Bitcoin to likely go down to the 100k level again, maybe even less to 95k. The question is, will it go back up from there? I think there is a good possibility to make new all-time highs. BUT, if it does not show support or bounce hard, and higher timeframe candles start to close lower, this could mean quite bad things for crypto..
Let's wait and see..
Trade safe!
- R2F
Ethereum (ETH): A Break Above $4,200 Seems Within ReachHello everyone,
Ethereum continues to show strong momentum, maintaining a steady rise from around $4,050 to nearly $4,183. The ongoing bullish structure signals that buyers remain firmly in control in the short term. On the chart, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $4,040–$4,070 is acting as a key support, while the $4,150–$4,170 zone stands as the major resistance that ETH must clear to open the path toward higher levels.
On the news front, investor sentiment toward Ethereum remains positive. Ongoing progress in Ethereum 2.0 and the broader DeFi ecosystem continues to reinforce long-term confidence in the platform. The consistent growth in staking inflows suggests that investors prefer holding ETH rather than taking profits early. However, macroeconomic headwinds — including the Fed’s tight monetary stance and the strong US dollar — could trigger short-term pullbacks if market sentiment weakens.
Technically, a decisive breakout above $4,150 could pave the way for a run toward $4,200, or even $4,300 in the near term. Conversely, failure at this resistance may push ETH back to retest the $4,040–$4,070 support zone before regaining upward momentum. Losing that level would likely activate a deeper correction toward $3,900.
What do you think — how long can ETH sustain this bullish energy?
The Year of the ETF $XRPSpot CRYPTOCAP:XRP ETFs with SEC review dates in October 2025
Grayscale: October 18
21Shares: October 19
Bitwise: October 22
Canary Capital: October 23
CoinShares: October 23
WisdomTree: October 24
GOV Shutdown may have caused delays.
By middle of November we should start seeing massive gains in $XRP.
Wont even mention my target as you can see it on the chart.
I've personally waited a long time for this, I wont sell until we reach where I think we are headed.
I expect cycle to top out by the end of November, beginning of December max.
SNX 30m – Calm Before the Drop?SNX 30m – Pressure Building at Support
SNX is showing early exhaustion after a strong move up.
Price is forming lower highs while volume fades — a typical distribution setup.
From the system view, price < SMA < MLR, suggesting a possible downtrend forming, which would be confirmed once price closes under the BB Center.
RSI shows a bearish divergence, and MACD turning red confirms momentum is fading.
Funding is still positive and OI high — meaning too many longs are still stuck, and if support breaks, they’ll be the ones fueling the drop.
If the 2.30–2.25$ zone fails, next liquidity sits near 2.20–2.15$.
Until funding cools off and OI drops, short setups stay in control.
Bias:
Neutral–bearish — structure losing strength while leverage builds up.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Bitcoin: Bull Trend Intact, Wedge Breakout Setting UpWe’re pivoting back to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) this week after its recent breakout to fresh all-time highs. It’s a strong reminder that the broader trend remains bullish, and the bulls are still very much in control.
🔍 On the daily chart, we’re watching a new wedge formation develop. BTC is currently consolidating just beneath a major resistance zone. A break and daily close above the $124K–$125K range would likely confirm the next leg of this bull cycle.
📈 If the breakout holds, the measured move from the wedge projects a rally into the $138K–$140K zone. That’s our near-term upside target, contingent on momentum and confirmation.
📉 On the downside, support holds firm between $112K–$114K. As long as price remains above this level, the path of least resistance is still higher.
INUSDT: short setup from daily support at 0.16050Note that the current setup BINANCE:INUSDT.P is rather localized.
However, the overall trend in the asset remains clear — a consistent dump pattern of “drop — pause — further decline.”
A solid pre-breakdown base is forming, providing an opportunity for a tight and well-defined stop placement.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Correlation with the market
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Closing near the level
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BTC/USDT:Sharp Rebound Signals Recovery Within ConsolidationRageBTC/USDT bounced strongly from the 102,100 support level following a flash crash, indicating renewed buying interest near structural lows. The pair continues to trade within a broad consolidation range, with 119,500 serving as a key resistance target.
A sustained break above the trendline could confirm recovery momentum toward the all-time high at 125,000. The recent flash crash may have cleared out weak hands, paving the way for market stabilization and potential re-accumulation.
Today's Crypto Slaughter 11.10.2025I want you to look closely at this chart. These aren't just lines and candles. This is a timeline of warnings. September 12th, 23th, 30th, October 6th, October 10th—I was screaming that the top was in. I told you I was getting out of the market.
For this, I received more hate than I have in my entire career. 90% of the comments disagreed with me. But I knew what I was signing up for. I wanted to warn you. And I am grateful to those who listened.
And today, we saw the price the market pays for euphoria.
This Isn't a Meme. This is a Tragedy
Today was not just a "liquidity grab." It was the robbery of 1.6 million traders for $10 billion.
And these are not just numbers. Today, a trader I knew from competitions, Kostya Kudo, took his own life. This is no longer a joke. This is not a meme. People are dying. The best are leaving. We cannot watch this like it's some internet meme while real lives are being destroyed.
How Did This Happen? The Anatomy of a Perfect Storm
Of course, someone dumped a large volume. But why was the fall so deep and so fast?
Cascading Liquidations: The first wave of selling triggered a chain reaction.
A Vacuum in the Order Book: I've known this since 2019. During crashes like this, market makers simply switch off their algorithms to avoid losing money. They pull their liquidity. The order book becomes empty. Any sell order moves the price down by hundreds, thousands of dollars. This isn't a market. It's a vacuum.
The Exchanges Are the Winners: Where are those $10 billion now? With the centralized exchanges. And no one will be compensated. You'll just be told, "Manage your risk next time."
Why This Is Only the Beginning. The Road to the Bottom
I cannot be liquidated. I am entirely in stablecoins, just as I said I would be. I am tired of this aggressive environment.
But why am I certain we are going lower?
Only futures traders have been liquidated so far. But there is an army of players using leverage through collateral. They collateralize BTC/ETH, receive stablecoins, buy more BTC/ETH with them, and collateralize again... creating a pyramid. They are waiting for BTC at $200k.
With a 40-60% drop from the peak, this pyramid will begin to collapse, causing a new wave of forced selling. The bottom, by my calculations, will be around $60,000 - $65,000.
And who needs these liquidations? The major financial players who need a good entry point. They don't buy at the highs. They buy on blood.
An Address to Every Trader
I want to speak to every one of you. Analysts, traders, investors, speculators. You work alone. One-on-one with your decisions, with your problems, in front of a screen.
I have immense respect for everyone who has stepped onto this path. You have entered a hostile environment where the smartest algorithms and entire corporations want to take your money.
I am disappointed myself. I was expecting an "altseason" that never came. And I admitted it in time: "Altseason" is a scam. A meme that no longer works with a million coins on the market. This isn't a flip-flop. I was following my plan: stay in until September.
To those who are waiting for the market to fly up now "without the excess baggage"—good luck. I am not participating in that. I will return to active buying closer to September 2026.
Who is left to push the market up? The 1.6 million liquidated traders? The traders who are no longer with us?
This post is not gloating. It is pain. And it is a final warning. Protect yourselves and your capital.
Best Regards EXCAVO






















