GBPNZD (H1) – Chart pattern...GBPNZD (H1) – Chart pattern.
My shared (trendline break + price under support):
Sell targets:
🎯 TP1: 2.3200
🎯 TP2: 2.3100
Invalidation / SL idea:
❌ Above 2.3450 (recent high & trendline area)
Bias stays bearish as long as price remains below the broken trendline.
If my want, I can also give entry + SL + risk setup clearly.
Crypto
GBPUSD – (3H) Chart pattern...GBPUSD – (3H) Chart pattern.
📍 Current price area: ~1.3550
📊 Structure: Ascending channel + bullish continuation
🎯 Targets
TP1: 1.3600 (recent structure / minor resistance)
TP2: 1.3650 (channel mid–upper zone)
TP3 (final): 1.3700 🎯 (upper channel target point my marked)
🛑 Stop Loss
SL: 1.3480 – 1.3500 (below demand zone & cloud support)
🧠 Trade Logic
Strong bullish impulse from demand
Price holding above Ichimoku cloud
Clear upside space to upper channel
✅ Safe plan: Partial at TP1, move SL to BE
🔥 Aggressive: Hold till 1.3700 with trailing SL
If my want, I can give exact entry, RR ratio, or scalp version.
EURJPY – 2H Chart Pattern...EURJPY – 2H Chart Pattern.
📍 Current area: ~183.45
TP1: 183.85 (near dashed mid-channel / minor resistance)
TP2: 184.10 (Ichimoku cloud top + structure)
TP3 (extended): 184.35 – 184.50 (upper channel resistance)
🛑 Stop Loss
SL: 182.95 – 183.00 (below recent swing low & channel support)
🧠 Logic
Price bounced from lower channel support
Bullish correction inside a descending channel
Upside room till cloud + channel top
👉 Conservative traders: book partial at TP1
👉 Aggressive traders: hold for TP2–TP3 with trailing SL
If my want, I can also give exact entry, risk–reward, or scalp setup.
BTC Update — Rising Risk of a Pullback Toward 85KBTC Update — Rising Risk of a Pullback Toward 85K
Last update with Data proven trend.
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a strong resistance / supply zone around 93–94K, where price is starting to show signs of exhaustion after a sharp impulsive move up.
What the Chart Is Showing
📉 Rejection risk at resistance: Price is pushing into a heavy supply zone with limited follow-through.
🧱 Weak continuation structure: Momentum is slowing, and upside progress is becoming inefficient.
🔄 Distribution signals: The current range suggests potential distribution rather than accumulation.
Bearish Scenario (High Probability)
If BTC fails to hold above the 92–93K zone, a deeper correction becomes likely.
The projected move points toward the 85K area, which aligns with:
Previous demand
Liquidity resting below recent lows
A clean reset level for structure
Key Levels to Watch
93–94K: Major resistance / invalidation zone for shorts
92K: Short-term support — loss of this level increases downside momentum
85K: Primary downside target and potential bounce zone
Summary
At this stage, BTC has a high probability of rolling over from resistance.
Unless price reclaims and holds above 94K with strong volume, the path of least resistance points down toward the 85K zone.
📌 Caution is advised — this looks more like a pullback phase than a breakout continuation.
ETHEREUM: Crucial Formation, Important Levels to Watch!Hello There,
on the short-term perspective Ethereum is forming crucial bearish pressure which could be decisive within the near future. While Ethereum remains the second largest cryptocurrency, it is recently forming crucial formations that should not be underestimated. In the past weeks, trading actions already showed major selling pressure occurred from whales dropping their ETH on the market. Now, there is an important formation forming, which could be the setup of a determined continuation. Especially when the levels confirm this will likely lead to an exaggerated price move.
When looking at the chart, we can see Ethereum is now trading within this major downtrend channel in which it already formed major bearish pressure. Furthermore, it formed a bearish EMA crossover to the downside, confirming the bearish trend. The several lower lows of the bearish trend mark the significance of this condition. Now, within the past few days, Ethereum set up to form a bear flag formation within the downtrend.
Within this bear flag formation, Ethereum already completed the initial waves A and B of the inner bear flag formation. Now with wave C, Ethereum is likely to move into the upper resistance zones. There is a major resistance zone within the upper boundaries of the channels. Several resistances come together, such as the upper boundary of the descending channel, the upper boundary of the bear flag, and the horizontal resistance line.
With a bounce into this area, which should be expected within the next times, Ethereum is entering a really crucial zone from where a pullback is highly likely. Especially when more and more whales enter the market and short sell, a pullback from this area will be an origin for bearish pressure towards the downside. The whole bear flag formation will be confirmed with a breakout below the lower boundary of the flag formation.
Once this formation has been completed, the targets as seen in my chart will be activated. From there on, a bearish continuation could also be likely if Ethereum does not manage to reverse in this area. In any case, this will be a highly important area to watch out for. Currently, it is important to consider the next phases of development and how Ethereum reacts to the resistance zones. The bearish price pressure should not be underestimated in any case.
With this being said, it is great to consider the important trades upcoming.
We will watch out for the main market evolutions.
Thank you very much for watching!
05/01/26 Weekly OutlookHappy new year everyone!
As 2026 begins BTC bulls will be looking to continue last weeks momentum continuing this LTF rally from mid $80,000's towards 2025's yearly open of $93,300.
Liquidity in theory should support this continuation move as year end window dressing is over, the Fed have begun to inject cash into the markets again having ended QT. It is also important to note that BTC ETF's had a net inflow of $460m last week which does look positive for the bulls.
This week I would be looking very closely at weekly high and any price acceptance above that level. That would mean $100,000 major resistance level is the next step for this rally but it is a huge hurdle to jump, with $108,000 being an even bigger one after that.
Should the weekly high fail to hold once again a rangebound SFP play is the logical move, with midpoint ($89,300) and weekly low (86,800) the targets for the bears.
TOTAL MARKET CAP – UpdatePrice is still reacting exactly as planned.
My bias remains unchanged.
3.22T remains my primary target
This level aligns with the 50% Daily retracement
Also a key area of previous liquidity + resistance
As long as price trades below this zone, this move still looks like a retracement within a higher-timeframe range, not a confirmed continuation.
Once 3.22T is tapped, I’ll re-evaluate the thesis and start watching for possible short setups, depending on reaction and structure.
No rush. Let price come to you.
What do you expect to happen at 3.22T: clean breakout or rejection?
MrC
BTC Update — 92K Zone as Bull Run Trigger (100K+ Scenario)Bitcoin is approaching a critical decision zone around 92K, which is acting as a major pivot for the next macro move. Price action shows consolidation and higher acceptance just below resistance, suggesting strength is building rather than distribution.
Why 92K Matters
📍 Key reclaim zone: 92K has historically acted as a strong resistance/support flip.
📈 Structure shift: Sustained trading above this level would confirm a higher high on the intraday structure.
🔊 Volume context: Current compression indicates that once volume expands, the move could be fast and directional.
Bullish Scenario
A confirmed breakout and hold above 92K can be the start of a broader bull phase.
From this zone, BTC has a high probability to accelerate toward 100K+, with momentum-driven extensions possible once psychological resistance is cleared.
Pullbacks above 92K would likely be seen as retests, not reversals.
Invalidation / Risk
Failure to hold 92K after a breakout would delay the move and keep BTC range-bound.
As long as price holds above the current base, downside risk remains controlled.
Summary
This 92K zone is the ignition level.
If BTC accepts above it with volume, the market structure opens the door for a strong bullish continuation toward 100K and beyond.
📌 Patience here is key — confirmation turns this zone into the launchpad.
OKB - Quiet Accumulation Before the Next Move?OKB has been through a long corrective phase, grinding lower inside a descending channel.
What stands out now is context.
Price is sitting on a major demand zone, a level that previously sparked strong upside momentum.
Since tapping this area, sellers have clearly slowed down, and price has started to compress rather than continue lower. That’s usually the first sign that selling pressure is getting absorbed.
At the same time, OKB is now pushing back toward the key structure above. This is the line in the sand.
As long as we’re holding above demand, I’m not interested in chasing shorts down here.
🏹For bulls to truly take over , we’ll need a clean break and acceptance above the orange structure zone. That’s when momentum shifts from defensive to offensive.
Until then, we wait :)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURUSD Short: Supply Holds Strong - Market Eyes 1.1680 DemandHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (3H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure, supported by a well-defined ascending trend line that has guided price higher from the previous pivot low. Earlier, the market spent time consolidating inside a range, indicating accumulation before the upside expansion. A strong impulsive breakout from this range confirmed buyer control and triggered a bullish continuation move. As price advanced, EURUSD reached a key Supply Zone around 1.1750–1.1760, where selling pressure became visible. Multiple attempts to push above this area resulted in fake breakouts, clearly signaling buyer exhaustion and the presence of strong sellers at higher levels. The chart highlights several failed breakouts and rejections from the supply line, reinforcing this zone as a critical resistance.
Currently, after the rejection from the upper highs near the pivot point, price broke below the short-term structure and is now trading below the supply line, suggesting a loss of bullish momentum. The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive, indicating that the market may be preparing for a deeper pullback rather than immediate continuation higher. Below current price, the Demand Zone around 1.1680 stands out as the next major downside target. This level previously acted as support and aligns with a key horizontal demand area where buyers may attempt to step back in. A move toward this zone would represent a healthy correction within the broader structure.
My scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1750 Supply Zone and continues to respect the descending supply line, the short-term bias favors sellers. I expect downside continuation toward the 1.1680 Demand Zone. A strong bullish reaction from demand could lead to consolidation or a corrective bounce, but a clean breakdown below 1.1680 would signal a deeper bearish correction. For now, price is at a key decision area, with sellers in control below supply and demand acting as the main downside objective. Manage your risk!
Let the chart explainFirstly, HAPPY NEW YEAR!!
In terms of the chart, people seem not to understand - candlesticks provide a whole lot of info. The majority of indicators are reflections of old price action.
Last year I covered several posts on mechanical structures and the associated techniques. Here's one;
Let's give an example here using GBPUSD.
This is how you can simplify your trading.
First, identify the larger range.
There are two obvious things that stand out in this example; firstly the trend itself and secondly, the break of the structure that caused the new low.
The reason they are important is to show the momentum (orderflow), in other words, who's in control.
We could do this in several ways - the mechanical is just a simple way to allow you to repeat the same process almost on autopilot.
Once you can spot the obvious without much effort, the ranges become a lot easier and the analysis is done in under one minute.
Now I have my range, next step I can look for some rationale as to where and why a Pull Back is likely to come to.
For clarification
Just to show you, a simple way to do this is use the volume profile tool and just cover range high or low to the opposing high or low.
So why here?
Well, to understand this, there are some other interesting areas to look into, such as supply and demand (not for this post) but in simple terms, it was this supply that made the new low.
OK, so if you get this so far. Another post that might be useful for you is one of my posts from 2021 here on @TradingView. This, is a lesson on Dow Theory.
Once you understand the primary range is what was drawn, you can then shift your attention to the secondary trend.
If you remember, how we broke down the external range. You can now see an internal range formed.
If this low had been taken out - the story would be completely different. This would have given more reason for the Pullback to be over and done with.
But in the example, the low held and that means it is still in the Pullback phase. So, unless the larger range high in broken. Indicating a larger trend shift.
The logic is simple, look for changes of character on the smaller ranges and watch them fall like dominoes. Once the secondary trend switches to your favour (back down, in the example) then you have some good, high probability setups on the cards.
Happy New Year to you all, again!
2026 is going to be another AWESOME YEAR!!!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
XRP Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:XRP
🎯 Wave 4 appears to have completed an expanded flat correction defined by the poke above the all-time high. Price found support at the weekly pivot, just above the weekly 200EMA and High Volume Node, keeping trend signals bullish. Wave 5 has a target of the R3 weekly pivot $5.7.
📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we fall below $1.5, keeping wave 4 alive.
Safe trading
SUI Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:SUI
🎯 Price appears to have completed a shallow wave (B) correction at the S1 weekly pivot and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. The chart is clean. Wave (C) has a terminal target os the R3 weekly pivot at $10.38 but could also over extend in the right conditions towards the R5, $15.
📈 Price is below the weekly pivot, and there is no 200EMA yet on this young asset. Weekly RSI is ticking bullish near oversold with no divergence.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (B) at $1.3
Safe trading
SOL Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:SOL
🎯 Sol has been holding up significantly well with only a shallow retracement to the 0.382 for wave A of 4. A running flat correction appears complete at the Fibbonaci 0.236, weekly 200EMA and High Volume Node. Wave 5 has a target of the R3 weekly pivot at $462, but I expect this to overextend due to the shallow pullback to the R% pivot at $660.
📈 Price is above the weekly 200EMA, which is bullish, but below the pivot, which is bearish, giving the overall pattern ambiguity. Weekly RSI is bearish with room to fall, but doesn’t often reach oversold.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave A, $90
Safe trading
LPTUSDT About to Break Out or Break Down? Yello Paradisers! Have you been watching LPT sink deeper into the descending channel and wondering if it’s finally time for a reversal or if another trap is about to wipe out impatient traders again? This setup is shaping up to be one of those textbook opportunities where discipline will separate winners from losers.
💎#LPTUSDT has been moving inside a clear descending channel, with price action consistently printing lower lows and respecting both resistance and support lines. However, it has now reached a major inflection point. The asset is sitting right on a strong support zone, a level that has previously attracted demand and triggered significant reactions in the past. What makes this setup even more intriguing is the convergence of technical signals that could be indicating a short-term bullish reversal.
💎On the momentum side, the MACD is flashing a bullish crossover, and we’re also spotting a bullish divergence between the price and momentum. This is often one of the earliest signs of trend exhaustion in a downtrend. These signals become even more meaningful when combined with the current price position within the descending channel structure. If the support holds, and the divergence plays out, we could see a strong rally first into the minor resistance area near $3.00 and potentially into the major resistance zone above $3.10.
💎However, the invalidation level is clearly defined at $2.782. If the price is accepted below this level, the setup is no longer valid, and the idea must be abandoned immediately.
The market is full of noise, and fake breakouts are designed to punish the emotional and reward the disciplined. Be the latter. Stay sharp, Paradisers.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
ONDO Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersLSE:ONDO
🎯 Wave 2 appears complete at the altCoin golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node support. Price is reacting well with a bullish engulfing candle. Wave 3 has an expected target in price discovery os the R£ weekly pivot $4.21, offering a 10x from here.
📈 Weekly RSI hit oversold threshold and ticked up bullishly.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below $0.35
Safe trading
ETH Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:ETH
🎯 Wave (IV) appears to have completed a multiyear running flat with weekly bullish divergence. A new motif wave is underway, completing its wave 1 of 5 with a poke above all time high on weekly bearish divergence. Wave 2 appears complete at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node support. Wave 3 has a target of the R4 weekly pivot at $7348. Wave 5 could extend towards $10,000.
📈 The retracement has been shallow compared to other alts. Weekly RSI is flipping bullish from below the EQ while price is about to challenge the weekly pivot. Price is above the weekly 200EMA, keeping the bullish trend in tact.
👉 Analysis is invalidated only if we get below$2634, keeping wave 2 alive.
Safe trading
HBAR Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:HBAR
🎯 Price has printed a textbook ABC for wave 2, now the weekly bullish divergence in the RSI. The bottom may be in with last week’s bullish engulfing candle at the Fibonacci golden pocket, the most likely termination for wave 2. Wave 3 has an expected target of the R3 weekly pivot $0.77.
📈 Price is below the weekly pivot, and there is still no 200EMA so there is still a chance for further downside with a target of the alt-coin golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, S1 pivot and High Volume Node support, $0.75.
👉 Bullish analysis is invalidated below $0.95, keeping wave 2 alive.
Safe trading
DOGE Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:DOGE
🎯 Uptrend remains intact from the multiyear wave 4 running flat bottom. We could still be in wave 4, as characterised by their long, complex ranges with shallow retracement 0.236 Fibs in this case. The initial upside resistance is the weekly pivot at $0.29, and macro wave 5 has a terminal target off a poke above all-time high at $0.76.
📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence as price tests the weekly 200EMA. Overcoming this is the first challenge and will add confluence to a bullish move.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave 4 and the S1 pivot, $0.0986
Safe trading
BNB Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersCRYPTOCAP:BNB
🎯 Price completed a macro wave 3 with bearish divergence on the RSI. Wave 4 is expected to end at the 0.382 Fibonacci $640, and can not extend below the 0.5 Fib, $506. Crypto assets can overextend in wave 5, which I believe we will see in 2026, with a terminal target of the R5 weekly pivot target, $2000, a psychological milestone where heaving selling may begin.
📈 Wave 4 is still underway, testing the previous all-time High Volume Node, 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, $760. Weekly RSI is at the EQ, where a bottom was found the previous two times and the price returned to an all-time high.
👉 Analysis is only invalidated if price falls below the 0.5 Fib, $506.
Safe trading
AAVE - Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersEURONEXT:AAVE
🎯 I am still looking at this multiyear triangle to break out to the upside with a terminal target of $670, the all-time High Volume Node resistance. Price is rangebound between $440 and $130 and appears to have completed triangle wave (C). Wave (D) is next, with a target of the upper boundary trend-line ~$340.
📈 Price is below the weekly 200EMA and pivot, reflecting the recent bearish trend, but finding support with bullish divergence in the RSI, suggesting a major bottom is forming. Wave (A) found terminal support at the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (A) or wave (B). This asset has been one of the best assets for trading signals in the last 3 years, sticking to the rules strictly.
Safe trading
EURUSD: Fake Breakout at Resistance Signals Move Toward 1.1680Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD previously traded inside a clear downward channel, reflecting sustained bearish pressure during that phase. After forming a base, price broke out of the descending channel and transitioned into a strong upward channel, confirming a shift in market control toward buyers. This bullish leg was supported by a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, showing healthy upside momentum. As price approached the key Resistance Zone around 1.1770–1.1780, bullish momentum started to weaken. Multiple attempts to break above this resistance resulted in fake breakouts, signaling strong seller interest at the highs.
Currently, following these rejections, EURUSD failed to hold above the upper boundary of the ascending channel and broke below short-term support, indicating a loss of bullish structure. Price is now compressing below resistance and forming a structure that resembles a triangle breakdown, suggesting increasing downside pressure. Below current price, a well-defined Support Zone around 1.1680 stands out as the next key area where buyers may attempt to defend and slow the decline.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1770 Resistance Zone and continues to respect the broken channel / triangle resistance, the bias favors sellers. Any pullbacks toward resistance that show rejection can be considered short opportunities, with downside continuation toward the 1.1680 Support Zone as the main target.
However, a clean breakout and acceptance back above resistance would invalidate the short scenario and signal a potential return to bullish continuation. Until then, structure and price action favor further downside or corrective movement lower.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Buyers Step In at Key Level - Momentum StabilizesHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Gold is trading within a broader bullish structure after a strong impulsive rally from lower levels. Earlier, price moved inside a consolidation range, signaling accumulation before breaking out to the upside and confirming renewed buyer control. This breakout initiated a sharp bullish leg, forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Following the impulsive move, XAUUSD reached the Seller Zone around the 4,400 Resistance Level, where strong selling pressure appeared. Price dropped aggressively from this area, confirming supply dominance at higher levels. After the drop, gold broke below the resistance, then performed a test and retest of the same zone, which now acts as resistance. This behavior confirms a short-term structural shift while the broader bullish trend remains intact. Currently, price is reacting around the Buyer Zone near 4,310–4,320, which aligns with a key Support Level and a previous breakout area. This zone has already shown a clear reaction, with price turning around and forming a higher low above the rising Trend Line. The recent move into support appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting a pause within the larger bullish structure rather than a full reversal. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising Trend Line, the bullish structure remains valid. A strong reaction from this area could lead to a move back toward the 4,400 Resistance Level (TP1). A confirmed breakout and acceptance above resistance would signal bullish continuation. However, a decisive breakdown below the Buyer Zone would weaken the structure and signal a deeper corrective move. For now, price is at a key decision area, with buyers actively defending support while consolidation continues. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀






















