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12/01/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $94,802.73 Last weeks low: $89,312.98 Midpoint: $92,057.85 The first trading week of 2026 continued the same patterns as the end of 2025. With $94,000 still very much the key level that the bears are defending, and defending well. However, the 4H 200 EMA has been reclaimed by the bulls with consistent support bounces when tested indicating a level of strength. For this week that is what I think is most important for BTC, the bulls are building a base to attempt a rally through $94,000 resistance, should this level be breached with volume $100,000 big even level is the target. The bears will continue their defense of $94,000 with the objective of pushing price back below the 4H 200 EMA (currently $90,400). CPI takes place tomorrow and so an increased level of volatility should be expected, especially if the result is different to the 2.7% forecast. Altcoins have seen a steady rally relative to BTC & ETH, also flipping the 4H 200 EMA with an eye to retest the 1D 200 EMA resistance. If altcoins were to get back above the 1D with acceptance the market would look a lot healthier.
by ProR35
Bitcoin at a Long-Term Inflection Point — Hold the Base or RESETBTCUSD 1W – Long Term Market Analysis 1. Current Market Structure (Macro View) On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin remains in a macro bullish structure, but is currently in a late-stage consolidation / distribution phase below major resistance. After the strong impulsive rally from the 2022–2023 accumulation base, price expanded aggressively and is now digesting gains rather than reversing. However, momentum has clearly slowed, and recent weekly candles show overlapping ranges, signaling indecision and profit-taking. Importantly: - The primary uptrend is still valid - But BTC is no longer in impulsive expansion it is in a decision zone This is where long-term trends either: - Continue after re-accumulation, or - Correct deeply to reset structure 2. Key Long-Term Zones & Market Positioning Major Resistance Zone: 120,000 – 126,000 → Previous weekly highs, strong sell pressure → This zone must be broken and accepted to unlock the next macro leg up Current Distribution / Range Zone: 85,000 – 100,000 → Price is compressing here, showing balance between buyers and sellers Critical Macro Support: 67,000 – 69,000 → Previous breakout level → Confluence with EMA 200 on weekly → This level defines bull vs bear control Bearish Breakdown Support (Last Line): 49,000 – 50,000 → Loss of this zone would signal a full macro trend reset As long as BTC holds above 67K, the macro bullish thesis remains intact. 3. Liquidity, Volume & Smart Money Behavior Volume has declined significantly compared to the impulsive rally phase This confirms the market is not in expansion, but in absorption Multiple failed pushes near resistance indicate: - Profit distribution - Liquidity building above highs The key insight: Smart money is not aggressively selling but they are not buying breakouts either This behavior aligns with re-accumulation below resistance, not a top yet. However, failure to hold support would trigger sell-side liquidity acceleration. 4. Long-Term Market Scenarios 🔼 Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation (High Probability if Support Holds) Expected macro flow: - BTC holds above 67K - Extended consolidation (weeks to months) - Momentum rebuilds - Clean weekly break and acceptance above 126K - Next macro expansion phase begins ➡️ This scenario supports new all-time highs later in the cycle. 🔽 Secondary Scenario – Deep Correction (Still Within Bull Market) If BTC: Loses 67K decisively on a weekly close Then expect: - Sharp correction toward 50K - Long-term EMA retest - Full reset of leverage and sentiment This would not immediately invalidate the bull market, but it would delay the next expansion significantly. 5. Long-Term Trading & Investment Perspective - Macro Bias: Bullish above 67K - Investor Strategy: Accumulate fear, not euphoria - Trader Strategy: Avoid chasing highs near resistance - Risk Zone: Between 100K–126K without confirmation Bitcoin is currently at a structural crossroads, not a breakout zone. Patience is the edge here. WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT BITCOIN IN 2026?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BlackGoldMarket
Gold Defends Buyer Zone, Upside Toward 4,550 in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (3H) based on the current chart structure. Gold previously traded inside a well-defined range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, showing balance between buyers and sellers. This consolidation acted as an accumulation phase and marked the point where the market started to grow. A strong breakout to the upside from the range confirmed renewed bullish interest and initiated an impulsive move higher. Following the breakout, price respected a rising Support Line, forming a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, which confirms a bullish market structure. During this phase, XAUUSD advanced steadily within an ascending channel, with pullbacks remaining shallow and corrective — a sign of strong buyer control. As gold pushed higher, it reached the Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 4,550, where selling pressure emerged. Price reacted from this level and pulled back, indicating that sellers are actively defending this resistance. The pullback, however, remained controlled and corrective, with price returning toward the Buyer Zone, which aligns with a key Support Level around 4,400 and a previous breakout area within the broader bullish structure. Currently, XAUUSD is holding above the Buyer Zone and the ascending support line, showing that buyers are still defending structure. The recent price action suggests consolidation rather than a breakdown, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as support holds. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising Support Line, the bullish bias remains intact. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt another push toward the 4,550 Resistance Level (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside. However, a decisive breakdown below the Buyer Zone would weaken the structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. For now, price is at a key decision area, and patience with proper risk management is essential. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
30
POLUSDT - Weekly outlookPOL is currently trading at a key weekly resistance zone after a strong bounce from the lows. On the higher timeframe, price has been respecting clear support & resistance flips. Previous support levels have turned into resistance, and price is now testing one of those key areas again. Key levels to watch: Weekly Resistance: ~0.17 – 0.18 Weekly Support: ~0.12 – 0.13 For bullish continuation, price must flip this resistance into support. Without a clean S/R flip and weekly close above this level, this move remains a relief bounce inside a broader downtrend. Rejection here would keep the structure bearish, with a high chance of price revisiting lower support zones. Acceptance and hold above resistance would open the door for a move toward the next major resistance around 0.30. Patience is key on the weekly timeframe — structure confirmation comes first. 👉 Do you expect a clean weekly S/R flip, or will this level act as resistance again? Like & comment if this helps your bias 👇 MrC
by Mrctradinglab
Ethereum Is Building a Base — Accumulation Before...FLYEthereum is currently transitioning from a strong bearish impulse into a clear accumulation phase, as shown on the 1-hour timeframe. After an aggressive sell-off from the highs, price has slowed down significantly and begun to compress within a defined range, suggesting that distribution has paused and the market is absorbing sell pressure. 1. Market Structure & Context - ETH previously respected a bearish structure, trading below the EMA and printing lower highs. - However, the recent price action shows loss of bearish momentum: candles are overlapping, ranges are tightening, and volatility is contracting. This behavior is typical of accumulation, especially after a strong markdown. 2. Key Zones on the Chart - Support Zone: ~3,060–3,080 This zone has been tested multiple times with strong rejection, indicating buyers are actively defending this level. - Accumulation Range: ~3,080–3,180 Price is rotating inside this box, building liquidity on both sides. - Upper Resistance / Range High: ~3,160–3,180 A break and acceptance above this level would confirm bullish intent. 3. EMA & Momentum Insight - Price is currently interacting with the EMA 50, which is flattening — another sign of trend transition, not continuation. - The failure to aggressively break below the EMA after multiple attempts suggests selling pressure is weakening. 4. Scenario Outlook Bullish Scenario (Primary): A successful hold above the support zone, followed by a breakout and acceptance above 3,180, could trigger an expansion toward: 3,240 - 3,280 (next major liquidity target) Bearish Invalidation: A strong breakdown and close below 3,060 would invalidate the accumulation idea and reopen downside risk. 5. Trading Plan Avoid trading inside the middle of the range. Focus on: - Longs after confirmed breakout above range high - Or reaction trades at support with clear bullish confirmation - Patience is key accumulation phases reward discipline, not anticipation. Conclusion Ethereum is no longer trending it is preparing. The current structure favors a range-to-expansion model, where smart money builds positions quietly before the next directional move. Until price leaves the accumulation box, expect choppy conditions — but once it breaks, the move is likely to be decisive. 💬 Do you see ETH breaking up from this range, or is this just a pause before another leg down? Let’s hear your view.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
$ETH 1W: Zoomed out thoughts On the weekly, ETH still looks structurally constructive, but it’s very clearly in range rather than trend right now. Price is sitting back in the middle of a large multi-year range, roughly bounded by the ~$2,000 area on the downside and ~$4,700 on the upside. The recent pullback from the highs did not break the broader structure, but it also failed to establish acceptance above resistance, which is why ETH has slipped back into chop. The $3,000–3,100 region is acting as an important short-term pivot. Holding above this area keeps ETH neutral-to-bullish from a higher timeframe perspective. A loss of this level would likely open a deeper retrace toward $2,700 and potentially the $2,000–2,100 region, which remains the most important higher timeframe demand zone on the chart. What’s constructive is that the prior low near $2,000 was aggressively bought and led to a strong impulse toward the top of the range. That tells me higher timeframe buyers are still active. What’s missing right now is follow-through and expansion above resistance. Until ETH can reclaim and hold above $3,500–3,600, upside moves are still best viewed as range rotations rather than trend continuation. The projected path on the chart highlights what usually happens in these environments: chop, higher lows, and frustration before a real expansion. If ETH can continue to base above $3,000 and eventually reclaim $3,500, the odds shift toward a push back to the $4,700 range high. If not, more time and rotation inside the range should be expected. In short, ETH looks healthy but unresolved. This is not a breakout market yet, and it’s not a breakdown either. It’s a classic higher timeframe range where buying dips has historically worked better than chasing strength, until price proves it can escape the range and hold.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by OnchainDecoded
XAUUSD: Descending After Fake Breakout - Bears in ControlHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup. Market Analysis XAUUSD initially spent a prolonged period trading inside a well-defined range, where price respected clear support and resistance boundaries. This range reflected market indecision, with neither buyers nor sellers able to gain sustained control. Eventually, price broke out to the upside, confirming bullish intent and triggering a strong impulsive rally. Currently, after the rejection, price broke back below short-term structure and started forming a descending triangular structure, defined by a clearly respected descending resistance line. Each bullish attempt toward this trendline has been rejected, signaling that sellers remain in control. At the same time, price is gradually rotating lower toward the 4,350 Support Zone, which previously acted as a key demand and breakout area. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,490 Resistance Zone and continues to respect the descending resistance line, the bearish bias remains valid. Rejections from this trendline favor further downside continuation toward the 4,350 Support Zone, which is the first major downside target. If price breaks and accepts below the 4,350 Support Zone, this would confirm bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper corrective move toward lower support levels. However, if buyers manage to reclaim the descending resistance line and achieve a clean breakout and acceptance above the 4,500 resistance area, the short bias would be invalidated and the market could transition back into bullish continuation. For now, structure favors sellers, momentum is weakening near resistance, and price remains capped below key supply. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ratner
24
BTCUSD – Outlook for the Upcomming daysMonthly View The monthly timeframe remains bullish overall, but Bitcoin has pulled back to gather strength, it can take previous monthly timeframe low's liquidity. This kind of move is typical when the market is gearing up to break a higher high. The broader structure hasn’t shifted—this is simply a deeper retracement inside a bullish narrative. Weekly View The weekly chart is showing a similar story. Price has been dropping consistently without giving even a single proper reversal. If BTC truly wanted to fall aggressively, it would normally make a move up first, trigger traders’ stop-losses near previous highs, and then dump. But this time, it didn’t do that. This unusual behavior hints that the market may be preparing something different from what most traders expect. Daily View The daily timeframe is where things get really interesting. Bitcoin spent more than half the recent sessions moving sideways, collecting liquidity on both sides. After that, it dipped and formed a lower high—but that lower high hasn’t been broken yet. According to my analysis, BTC is currently sitting in the Discount Zone, an area where buyers often start becoming active. 4-Hour View On the 4H chart, I already had a clean short setup earlier, but now I’m watching for signs of a potential reversal. That reversal idea is not guaranteed, though—it becomes invalid if BTC fails to break the series of lower highs. There’s also another scenario: BTC might refuse to break the lower highs and begin forming higher lows at the same time. If that happens, we’ll see a period of sideways consolidation. When the breakout finally comes—whichever direction it chooses—the move is likely to be powerful. Final Thoughts Based on my analysis, BTC is showing mixed but promising signals across the higher and lower timeframes. The monthly structure is still bullish, and this pullback looks more like preparation for a stronger push rather than a trend reversal. Weekly price action hasn’t shown any meaningful bounce yet, which is unusual—and that alone hints that the market might be setting up something unexpected. On the daily chart, BTC has swept liquidity after moving sideways for quite a while, and now it’s resting in the Discount Zone, where smart money usually becomes active. The 4H timeframe already gave clean short opportunities earlier, but now the market is approaching a point where a reversal could begin—unless lower highs remain untouched. If BTC starts forming higher lows without breaking lower highs, the market will likely slip into a compression phase. When price finally breaks out of that squeeze, the move—up or down—can be very strong. Again, this is just my personal viewpoint. Please do your own analysis before investing. Your profits and losses are entirely your responsibility—I’m only sharing what the charts are suggesting to me right now. Stay alert to the reaction levels ahead; that’s where the next major direction will reveal itself. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for checking out this analysis! If you enjoyed it, hit that follow button so you don’t miss future updates. And if this breakdown helped you out, drop a like 👍 and share your thoughts in the comments 💬—I always appreciate the feedback!
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by PankajHuslte
4
BTCUSD Holds Buyer Zone - Bulls Target 91,500 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook of BTCUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. BTC previously traded inside a well-defined range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, showing balance between buyers and sellers. This consolidation acted as an accumulation phase. A strong breakout to the upside from the range confirmed renewed bullish interest and initiated an impulsive move higher. Following the breakout, price respected a rising Support Line, forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, which confirms a bullish market structure. As BTC pushed higher, it reached the Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 91,500, where selling pressure emerged. Price reacted from this level and pulled back, indicating that sellers are actively defending this resistance. The pullback, however, remained controlled and corrective, with price returning toward the Buyer Zone, which aligns with a key Support Level around 89,200–90,000 and the rising support trend line. Currently, BTC is holding above the Buyer Zone and the ascending support line, showing that buyers are still defending structure. The recent price action suggests consolidation rather than a breakdown, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as support holds. My scenario: as long as BTCUSD remains above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising Support Line, the bullish bias remains intact. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt another push toward the 91,500 Resistance Level (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside. However, a decisive breakdown below the Buyer Zone would weaken the structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. For now, price is at a key decision area, and patience with proper risk management is essential. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
19
BNB Price Analysis: Is the Next BNB Rally Taking Shape?* The BNB price is sitting in a zone where the next move really matters, with price reacting around major moving averages and previous resistance. * While short-term charts have shown early signs of improvement, the market is really waiting for confirmation around the $890–$900 area before it can commit. * According to on-chain data, this looks more like a cooling-off period rather than a breakdown or capitulation. When you step back and look at BNB, it’s clear the market isn’t in a hurry to make a decision. There’s no panic and no clean breakout either. After running into resistance, the BNB price has slipped into a slow, uncomfortable phase where momentum has cooled and direction is still in the air. Over the last few sessions, BNB has been hovering around the same area. This kind of price action usually drains attention. Volume dries up, conviction weakens, and the passion in the story fades. It’s not very exciting, but it doesn’t show weakness either; it simply indicates the market is resting on its laurels after the strong movement. That’s why this stretch matters. The BNB price isn’t breaking down, and buyers are still stepping in on dips. At the same time, rallies keep stalling as price runs into overhead resistance. Sellers aren’t pushing hard, but buyers also haven’t done enough to force a clean break higher. For now, it’s a pause rather than a breakdown. We’ve seen this before with BNB. In past cycles, we commonly experienced periods of quiet markets following major breakouts. Prices temporarily stalled, momentum decelerated, and the hype died down. Then, once expectations reset, the structure shifted quickly. On-chain data lines up with that view. BNB’s market cap has eased back slightly from its recent peak, but there are no signs of stress. Network activity surged during the rally and has since cooled, which fits a digestion phase rather than panic selling. What’s next for BNB? From here, structure matters more than sentiment. As long as the BNB price holds key support while pressing against resistance, the broader setup stays intact. This phase doesn’t reward impatience, but it’s often where the next meaningful move quietly takes shape.
by CoinCodex
NMR Forming Falling Wedge at Macro Demand ZoneNMR is trading inside a falling wedge structure, with price compressing between descending resistance and rising demand. This is a classic bullish reversal pattern forming after an extended downtrend. Price is currently holding the 8.66–9.18 demand zone while pressing toward wedge resistance around 10.7–10.8. A confirmed breakout and acceptance above the wedge resistance would indicate a momentum shift, targeting 13.20 initially, with a larger upside extension toward the macro resistance near 24.50. Failure to hold above 8.66 would invalidate the wedge and keep the bearish structure intact.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
1
$ZEC 1D Update: Post-dev drama dump ZEC update. Technically, this is a gnarly breakdown on the daily. Price has rejected the prior uptrend structure and is now putting in an impulsive leg lower, which usually means volatility is not finished yet. The bounce structure that was holding the higher lows has been lost, and we are back in “find the next real bid” mode rather than “trend continuation.” Key levels I’m watching: 400 area (roughly where price is now) is a short-term pivot, but after this kind of sell candle it often acts as overhead supply on any bounce. 300–310 remains the major higher timeframe line in the sand. That level was the launchpad for the last expansion and the cleanest demand shelf on the chart. If we tag that zone, I’m watching for a reaction (slowing momentum, reclaim attempts, and better candle structure). If 300 loses on daily closes, the market likely needs more time to rebuild and the drawdown risk increases materially. Fundamentals are messy right now and that matters for sentiment and liquidity. Multiple outlets are reporting that the entire Electric Coin Company team resigned / split following a governance dispute with Bootstrap (the nonprofit tied to ECC), and plans are being discussed around the team forming a new entity. This doesn’t “kill” Zcash from a protocol standpoint (it’s open source and other contributors exist), but it does inject real uncertainty around coordination, roadmap execution, and optics, which can amplify volatility in the token. DL News How I’m treating it: This is now a high-volatility, headline-sensitive environment. I’m not interested in guessing bottoms in the middle of a breakdown. I want to see where price stabilizes, and for me the most important read is the reaction at 300. If buyers can defend that zone and rebuild structure, it can set up the next tradable leg. If 300 fails, the market is telling us it needs a deeper reset before it can get “cooking” again.
COINBASE:ZECUSDLong
by OnchainDecoded
COIN Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:COIN 🎯 Coinbase is still in a wave 2 (V), finding support at the orange trend line and weekly 200EMA, just below the weekly pivot, in the golden pocket. There is a lot of confluence here to suggest a bottom will form. Wave (v) has a target of the R3 weekly pivot at $701. 📈 Weekly RSI is below the EQ with room to fall, though it often bottoms around this area and never reaches oversold. 👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (IV), $149 Safe trading
NASDAQ:COIN
by Maddox_Metrics
8
XRP (1D): Price Consolidation with On-Chain ActivityXRP has moved into a consolidation phase following a large expansion move. Price is currently trading well above the prior base, but below the cycle high, with volatility compressing on the daily timeframe. At the same time, several on-chain metrics have continued to trend higher. Observations from the chart Price remains elevated relative to the long consolidation period prior to the breakout The 1-year active supply percentage has increased, indicating more coins are moving on-chain compared to earlier periods Active addresses have shown multiple spikes during and after the expansion, followed by normalization rather than collapse New funded addresses increased sharply during the breakout phase and remain higher than pre-breakout levels Total value locked rose materially during the advance and has retraced modestly while remaining above earlier levels These metrics suggest broader participation compared to the pre-breakout period, even as price consolidates. Interpretation The current structure shows price stabilizing after a rapid repricing, while on-chain activity remains elevated relative to historical baselines. This points to redistribution and network usage rather than complete disengagement. Price is no longer moving with the same momentum as during the expansion phase, but participation metrics have not reverted to prior lows. What to monitor Whether active supply and address activity remain elevated during consolidation Whether price holds above the prior breakout area Any renewed expansion in on-chain activity accompanying directional price movement A decline in both price and on-chain participation would weaken this structure. Summary XRP is consolidating after a large move higher. On-chain metrics indicate higher engagement than during the prior base, while price trades within a defined range. Further direction likely depends on whether participation expands again or continues to level off.
COINBASE:XRPUSD
by Cryptobingbong
BITCOIN (BTC) - WEEKEND RANGE WRESTLINGTrade Analysis 📅 Jan 10, 2026 | 09:56 CET 💰 Price: $90,436 📉 Weekend vibes: low volume, lower patience ⸻ A) MARKET SUMMARY — “Nothing Happens, But It Happens Slowly” 🌍 Macro & Cycle Context • Post-2024 halving, mid-cycle digestion phase 🍽️ • Long-term structure still bullish (95% supply mined), short-term reality = range prison • $90k–$95k box refuses to die • NFP came in weak (~50k) → dovish-ish, but… • ETFs said “nah” → -$1.1B outflows • Tariff ruling delayed = macro fog still thick 👉 Translation: Good story, bad timing. ⸻ 📉 Volatility & Regime (a.k.a. Weekend Chop Simulator) • Range: $90.3k–$90.7k (~0.5%) • Liquidity: Thin like instant noodles • Volume: Weekend special (~$20–30B) • Regime: CONSOLIDATION BTC is basically buffering ⏳ ⚠️ Thin liquidity = moves can be fake and rude ⸻ 🗓️ Risk Calendar • Weekend: No catalysts, only boredom • Upcoming: • Fed Jan 29 • Tariff ruling TBD (market hates TBDs) • Risk Level: 🟡 MEDIUM Low volume + unresolved macro = surprise candles possible ⸻ B) STRUCTURE — “STUCK, BUT NOT BROKEN” 🧱 HTF (Swing Context) • Trend: Bullish, but tired • Support: • $90,000 (psychological boss level) • $89,600 (recent low) • Resistance: • $91,000 (local buzzkill) • $94k–$95k (range ceiling of doom) • Bias: Neutral → Lower range acceptance ⸻ 🔬 LTF (Intraday Context) • 1H: Flat EMA, zero momentum • Support: $90,280 • Resistance: $90,746 • Bias: Neutral / Chop 👉 If you’re scalping this, you either love pain or spreads. ⸻ 💧 Liquidity Check • Shorts: $89.6k–$90k (juicy downside magnet) • Longs: $91.5k–$92k (above, but not invited yet) • Funding: Neutral (no one confident) • OI: Low (weekend nap mode) ⸻ C) TRADE AVAILABILITY • Intraday: ❌ NO EDGE • Swing: ⚠️ YES — Short-biased Why? Weekend chop = no intraday structure Lower range acceptance + ETF outflows = downside favored if support cracks ⸻ D) INTRADAY TRADE 🚫 NO TRADE Low volume + flat structure = donation environment Capital preservation > boredom trades ⸻ E) SWING TRADE SETUP — “Fade the Range Until Proven Wrong” 📉 Direction: SHORT • Entry: $90,400–$90,600 (range rejection) • Stop-Loss: $91,200 (above range high = idea invalid) • Targets: • 🎯 TP1: $89,800 (1R) • 🎯 TP2: $89,200 (2R) • 🎯 TP3: $88,500 (3R, liquidity sweep territory) ⏳ Holding: 3–7 days ⚠️ Risks: • Tariff ruling surprise → face-ripper rally • ETF inflows randomly turn back on ⸻ F) TRADE LOGIC — “Why This Isn’t Random” • Macro: Dovish NFP ≠ bullish follow-through due to ETF bleeding • Structure: Lower range test; failure likely targets $89k liquidity • Derivatives: Neutral funding + low OI → shorts not overcrowded • Order Book: Watching $90k for absorption vs breakdown • Flows: ETFs still exiting → institutions on pause, not buying dips ⸻ G) INVALIDATION — “How This Trade Dies” ❌ Trade is invalid if: • Price: BTC > $91,200 (range reclaim) • Time: Still stuck by EOD Jan 13 (pre-Fed noise) • Macro: Tariff ruling bullish + ETF inflows resume • Order Book: $90k absorbs aggressively and refuses to break ⸻ 🧠 TL;DR — THE TRADER VERSION • BTC is not bullish, not bearish — just annoying • Weekend chop = no intraday plays • Swing short valid only if $90k starts slipping • Until then: patience, alerts, coffee ☕
Short
by minno91
Ethereum Stuck Below Trendline — Bearish Pressure Price is continuing to respect the descending trendline and trading below the EMA, confirming a sustained bearish market structure. Recent bullish attempts have failed near the trendline, showing clear seller defense and lack of upside follow-through. As long as price remains capped below 3,140–3,160, any bounce is likely corrective and vulnerable to renewed selling pressure. A bearish continuation below 3,100 keeps downside targets active toward 3,050 → 3,000, with a deeper liquidity objective near 2,970–2,960. Only a decisive breakout and close above the descending trendline would invalidate the bearish scenario and signal a potential trend shift.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by HENRY_TraderGold
1
Bitcoin Trapped Between Supply and Demand — Range Resolution Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the H1 timeframe is currently trading inside a clearly defined range structure, following the previous impulsive rally and subsequent corrective decline. The market has transitioned from trending conditions into balance, with price oscillating between strong resistance and support zones. On the upside, BTC continues to face heavy supply around the 91,600–92,000 resistance zone. Multiple rejection wicks and failed attempts to reclaim this area confirm that sellers are actively defending this level, preventing bullish continuation for now. On the downside, price is repeatedly finding bids near the 89,200–89,600 support zone, which aligns with prior demand and acts as a liquidity buffer. This zone has absorbed selling pressure several times, keeping the market from breaking down impulsively. Currently, price is trading near the mid-range around 90,700–90,900, close to the EMA 50. This is a high-risk area for entries, as price can rotate aggressively toward either boundary of the range without warning. Bearish scenario: Rejection from the 91,200–91,600 resistance zone, followed by continuation lower, opens downside targets toward 89,200, with extension risk toward 88,400–87,600 if support fails. Bullish scenario: A clean break and acceptance above 92,000, followed by a successful pullback, would invalidate the range and open upside toward 93,900–94,500. For now, Bitcoin remains in range-trading conditions. Patience is essential — the highest-probability opportunities will come from confirmed breakouts or breakdowns, not from trading the middle of the range.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BlackGoldMarket
1
Bitcoin Hits High-Timeframe Demand — Bounce or Breakdown?Price is reacting from a well-defined high-timeframe demand zone around 89,400–89,700, where sell-side momentum has slowed after a sharp bearish impulse. This area is a key liquidity pool that previously fueled strong upside expansion. A bullish reaction from this demand zone could trigger a corrective recovery toward 90,800–91,600, with further upside extension possible toward 92,300 and 93,200 if buyers regain control. However, a decisive break and close below 89,400 would invalidate the demand, exposing deeper downside toward 88,800–88,400. Price behavior at this zone will be critical in determining whether this move is accumulation or the start of a larger bearish continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
2
Ethereum Slips: Distribution Phase or Setup for a Higher Low?Ethereum on the H1 timeframe has transitioned from a clean bullish expansion into a corrective bearish structure after failing to sustain momentum near the recent highs. The prior series of consolidation boxes highlights a clear stair-step advance, but the loss of bullish follow-through at the top marked the beginning of distribution, followed by a decisive break into a descending channel. Price is currently trading within this downward-sloping channel, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries with consistent lower highs and lower lows. The recent bearish impulse pushed ETH back toward the 3,100 area, a level that previously acted as a reaction zone during the earlier consolidation phase. This suggests the market is revisiting prior liquidity rather than entering an immediate trend reversal. As long as price remains capped below the upper boundary of the descending channel, the corrective structure stays intact. Any short-term rebound from current levels is likely to be corrective in nature, potentially rotating back toward the mid-channel region where selling pressure may re-emerge. Failure to reclaim and hold above the channel resistance keeps downside risk active. If selling pressure resumes, ETH could extend lower toward the 3,000 psychological level and potentially deeper into the 2,900 region, where the lower channel boundary aligns with a larger liquidity pool. Such a move would represent a deeper correction within the broader structure rather than confirmation of a full bearish trend shift, provided higher-timeframe support remains intact. Alternatively, a strong bullish reaction from current levels followed by a clean break and acceptance above the descending channel would invalidate the bearish corrective scenario. In that case, Ethereum could transition back into expansion mode, targeting higher resistance zones and resuming its broader bullish trajectory.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
2
A Familiar Scenario — Downtrend Remains the Dominant BiasBitcoin is now firmly trading in a clear downtrend, which is the main narrative on the H1 timeframe. After failing to hold above the prior highs, price has transitioned from a bullish expansion into a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers have taken control of market structure. Recent price action shows repeated rejection from former support levels, which are now acting as resistance. Each recovery attempt is corrective and short-lived, reinforcing the idea that the broader bias remains bearish rather than range-bound or bullish. The structure clearly favors continuation to the downside. Pullbacks lack momentum, while bearish legs are impulsive and decisive a classic sign of trend strength. Price is currently consolidating below a key resistance area, suggesting distribution before continuation, not accumulation. The highlighted range between $80,000 – $91,000 reflects temporary consolidation within a downtrend, not a stable trading range. As long as price remains capped below the upper boundary, downside pressure is expected to persist. Resistance: 91,000 – 91,500 (key structural resistance) 94,800 (major trend invalidation level) Support: 87,500 – 88,000 (next downside target) Below this zone opens room for further bearish extension ➡️ Primary Scenario (Downtrend Continuation): Price remains below the 91k resistance and continues to form lower highs. A breakdown from the current consolidation would likely trigger the next bearish leg, extending toward the 87.5k area and potentially lower. ⚠️ Risk Scenario: Only a strong bullish breakout and acceptance back above 91.5k would invalidate the downtrend narrative. Until that happens, upside moves should be treated as corrective rallies within a bearish trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mathew_TraderGold
2
Bitcoin Is Holding Demand — Bulls May Be Setting Up the Next Price is reacting positively from a well-defined demand zone around 89,700–90,000, where selling pressure has been absorbed after the recent pullback. Despite the prior correction, the broader structure remains constructive as buyers defend this key area. A sustained hold above the demand zone opens the door for a bullish recovery toward 91,400–92,300, where price may pause near the EMA and prior intraday resistance. If bullish momentum strengthens and price breaks and closes above 92,300, the upside continuation scenario comes into play, targeting 93,200–93,700 as the next expansion zone. As long as price holds above 89,700, the upside scenario remains the primary focus.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
1